— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: EGY.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

EGY NYSE

VAALCO Energy, Inc.
1W: -2.2% 1M: -3.0% 3M: +15.3% YTD: +62.1% 1Y: +84.0% 3Y: +85.8% 5Y: +169.3%
$5.72
-0.09 (-1.51%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±9.5%
$5 $5 $6 $7 $7
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 36 · $596.4M mcap · 101M float · 1.62% daily turnover · Short 41% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
29.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 0.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 22.9%
Cost Advantage ★
38
Intangibles
18
Switching Cost
34
Network Effect
19
Scale
38
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. EGY has No discernible competitive edge (29.2/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 0.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$7
Avg Target
$7
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$7.30
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-01-16 Loop Capital Markets Sergey Pigarev Initiated $7 +62.0% $4.50

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
2
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. EGY receives an overall rating of C. Areas of concern: DCF (2/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-08 C+ C
2026-05-04 C C+
2026-04-28 C+ C
2026-04-24 C C+
2026-04-01 C+ C
2026-03-16 C C+
2026-03-12 B C
2026-02-24 B+ B
2026-01-12 A- B+
2026-01-07 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

9 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
29
Growth
12
Value
48
Momentum
20
Safety
15
Cash Flow
22
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. EGY scores highest in Value (48/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.15
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Beneish M-Score
-6.79
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.07
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 21.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.98x
Accruals: -30.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. EGY scores 1.15, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. EGY scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. EGY's score of -6.79 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. EGY's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. EGY receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 21.5/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-4.17x
PEG
-1.15x
P/S
1.74x
P/B
1.73x
P/FCF
-24.49x
P/OCF
4.70x
EV/EBITDA
18.24x
EV/Revenue
2.13x
EV/EBIT
-12.63x
EV/FCF
-27.06x
Earnings Yield
-21.63%
FCF Yield
-4.08%
Shareholder Yield
4.11%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. EGY currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.023
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
2.418
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.168
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.368
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.977
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-30.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. EGY's ROE of -30.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.368), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.02 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.73
Median 1Y
$5.52
5th Pctile
$1.94
95th Pctile
$15.80
Ann. Volatility
63.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
George W. M.
Maxwell Chief Executive Officer
$632,225 $1,659,728 $3,001,723
Thor Pruckl Operating
rating Officer
$446,580 $819,203 $1,749,869
Ronald Y. Bain
Chief Financial Officer
$459,800 $616,333 $1,475,181
Matthew R. Powers
Executive Vice President and General Counsel
$390,758 $418,246 $1,128,813
Casey Donohue President,
Vice President, Technical and Business Development
$277,500 $165,120 $649,791

CEO Pay Ratio

25:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $3,001,723
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $117,754
Employees: 281

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
281
+22.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,278,548
Rev: $359,272,000
Profit / Employee
$-147,299
NI: $-41,391,000
SGA / Employee
$117,754
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 23.1% 51.3% 79.5% 81.8% 90.7% 66.6% 17.0% 14.2% 11.4% 11.2% 12.8% 13.7% 18.2% 19.2% 11.9% 11.9% 7.8% 5.8% -8.8% -30.3% -30.26%
ROA 11.2% 24.9% 40.5% 41.6% 46.2% 33.9% 9.3% 7.7% 6.2% 6.1% 7.2% 7.7% 10.2% 10.8% 6.6% 6.5% 4.3% 3.2% -4.5% -15.3% -15.31%
ROIC 83.0% 1.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 91.7% 13.9% 9.5% 7.4% 7.2% 14.2% 15.1% 17.9% 18.7% 10.9% 10.9% 8.5% 7.1% 7.2% 0.9% 0.93%
ROCE 10.5% 28.0% 44.7% 40.9% 64.5% 69.9% 18.1% 19.9% 14.0% 14.4% 22.6% 24.2% 24.2% 25.8% 16.3% 15.5% 15.1% 9.4% -2.5% -8.0% -8.01%
Gross Margin 46.7% 37.1% 44.1% 58.8% 60.6% 50.9% 19.8% 34.6% 21.6% 65.6% 67.7% 68.0% 26.7% 36.3% 39.5% 31.9% 21.9% 51.0% 18.8% -10.2% -10.20%
Operating Margin 35.5% 31.3% 39.7% 51.6% 57.4% 37.7% 19.4% 26.9% 13.6% 30.6% 54.3% 32.1% 17.5% 31.4% 31.6% 23.7% 13.3% 1.5% 2.6% -23.0% -22.99%
Net Margin 11.1% 49.6% 52.7% 15.7% 11.8% 7.6% 14.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 29.5% 7.7% 24.1% 7.8% 9.4% 6.9% 6.4% 1.8% -64.4% -1.5% -1.50%
EBITDA Margin 47.2% 42.7% 46.1% 15.8% 54.6% 43.2% 42.2% 55.8% 38.5% 56.6% 69.6% 57.1% 46.1% 65.0% 55.0% 50.2% 35.9% 33.4% -33.3% 6.1% 6.10%
FCF Margin -8.0% 12.5% 4.8% 1.7% 10.0% 5.9% -7.5% 1.6% -3.9% 7.8% 25.4% 22.7% 15.7% 7.8% 2.2% -4.2% 17.9% 5.3% 16.4% -7.9% -7.86%
OCF Margin 15.2% 31.1% 22.0% 18.3% 31.7% 36.9% 30.5% 40.5% 30.7% 36.1% 45.0% 39.4% 34.7% 23.9% 23.7% 25.5% 28.6% 26.6% 54.4% 41.0% 40.98%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.38%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 12.08%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.57%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.99%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.84%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.41%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 27.43%
CROIC snapshot only -5.26%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.39%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -40.72%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.65%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.38%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.88 3.24 1.90 3.78 3.66 3.16 7.50 9.74 10.07 12.04 6.96 10.22 6.91 6.05 7.27 6.35 9.46 14.47 -9.13 -4.62 -4.171
P/S Ratio 1.16 0.80 0.68 1.23 1.02 0.60 0.93 1.00 0.79 0.87 0.85 1.28 1.23 1.08 0.88 0.76 0.72 0.98 0.97 1.92 1.737
P/B Ratio 2.54 2.31 1.08 2.21 2.37 1.50 0.83 0.90 0.75 0.88 0.88 1.38 1.24 1.15 0.84 0.74 0.72 0.82 0.86 1.49 1.729
P/FCF -14.61 6.41 14.04 71.35 10.21 10.23 -12.32 63.51 -19.96 11.10 3.32 5.62 7.82 13.88 39.50 -17.97 4.05 18.51 5.91 -24.49 -24.486
P/OCF 7.65 2.58 3.10 6.69 3.22 1.63 3.03 2.46 2.56 2.41 1.88 3.24 3.55 4.54 3.72 2.97 2.53 3.68 1.78 4.70 4.697
EV/EBITDA 5.71 2.71 1.16 2.96 2.17 1.18 2.54 2.29 2.07 2.09 1.43 2.21 2.01 1.70 1.63 1.44 1.46 2.26 4.90 18.24 18.236
EV/Revenue 0.97 0.66 0.51 1.08 0.91 0.49 1.05 1.12 0.90 0.98 0.78 1.22 1.17 1.02 0.92 0.79 0.75 1.01 1.15 2.13 2.127
EV/EBIT 13.96 4.69 1.46 3.83 2.63 1.42 3.52 3.42 4.16 4.62 2.48 3.74 3.34 2.89 3.48 3.21 3.23 5.87 -24.50 -12.63 -12.634
EV/FCF -12.24 5.27 10.56 62.74 9.06 8.42 -13.96 71.33 -22.91 12.50 3.08 5.37 7.42 13.11 40.95 -18.73 4.23 19.20 6.99 -27.06 -27.062
Earnings Yield 12.7% 30.9% 52.7% 26.4% 27.3% 31.7% 13.3% 10.3% 9.9% 8.3% 14.4% 9.8% 14.5% 16.5% 13.8% 15.8% 10.6% 6.9% -11.0% -21.6% -21.63%
FCF Yield -6.8% 15.6% 7.1% 1.4% 9.8% 9.8% -8.1% 1.6% -5.0% 9.0% 30.1% 17.8% 12.8% 7.2% 2.5% -5.6% 24.7% 5.4% 16.9% -4.1% -4.08%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.490
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.191
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.426
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 121.150
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.11%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.22 1.22 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 0.69 0.69 0.693
Quick Ratio 1.14 1.14 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 0.69 0.69 0.693
Debt/Equity 0.37 0.37 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.29 0.29 0.290
Net Debt/Equity -0.41 -0.41 -0.27 -0.27 -0.27 -0.27 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.16 0.16 0.157
Debt/Assets 0.16 0.16 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.141
Debt/EBITDA 0.99 0.52 0.10 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.51 0.43 0.46 0.40 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.52 1.40 3.21 3.206
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.11 -0.59 -0.38 -0.41 -0.28 -0.25 0.30 0.25 0.27 0.23 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.10 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.76 1.74 1.736
Interest Coverage 24360.67 952.95 351.92 61.66 32.35 16.53 14.20 24.36 32.69 37.03 48.32 33.79 29.29 21.12 9.99 -2.22 -11.01 -11.014
Equity Multiplier 2.30 2.30 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 2.06 2.06 2.059
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.307
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 7.630
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.459
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.210
Defensive Interval snapshot only 607.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.76 1.00 1.13 1.29 1.65 1.78 0.75 0.76 0.80 0.84 0.59 0.62 0.57 0.60 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.47 0.42 0.37 0.368
Inventory Turnover 31.30 41.88 47.71 49.83 57.77 59.22 91.94 100.31 127.90 126.18 65.24 60.07 51.86 64.30 39.97 46.10 48.23 39.76 59.21 57.91 57.908
Receivables Turnover 18.71 24.71 20.29 23.14 29.76 32.08 11.26 11.33 11.96 12.66 10.24 10.64 9.94 10.44 6.86 7.00 7.18 6.04 5.81 5.10 5.099
Payables Turnover 4.78 6.40 7.39 7.72 8.95 9.18 5.76 6.28 8.01 7.90 6.31 5.81 5.02 6.22 16.56 19.09 19.98 16.47 9.91 9.69 9.691
DSO 20 15 18 16 12 11 32 32 31 29 36 34 37 35 53 52 51 60 63 72 71.6 days
DIO 12 9 8 7 6 6 4 4 3 3 6 6 7 6 9 8 8 9 6 6 6.3 days
DPO 76 57 49 47 41 40 63 58 46 46 58 63 73 59 22 19 18 22 37 38 37.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -45 -34 -24 -24 -22 -22 -27 -22 -12 -14 -17 -22 -29 -18 40 41 40 47 32 40 40.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.512
Operating Cycle snapshot only 77.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.831
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.660
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 64.4% 1.1% 2.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 84.3% 62.7% 33.5% 31.1% 18.2% 22.1% 8.1% 7.2% -3.6% -5.3% 3.9% -16.7% -18.3% -29.8% -29.79%
Net Income 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 4.8% 3.7% 56.1% -36.6% -48.7% -62.7% -50.2% 16.3% 49.5% 1.5% 1.7% -3.5% -9.8% -55.4% -68.7% -1.7% -3.5% -3.46%
EPS 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 4.7% 3.7% 54.7% -63.2% -72.1% -79.4% -72.2% 12.5% 55.5% 1.6% 1.7% -2.3% -9.2% -55.5% -68.8% -1.7% -3.4% -3.44%
FCF -13.6% 2.7% 2.5% 1.1% 4.1% -4.5% -3.9% 48.5% -1.5% 75.1% 5.0% 16.7% 5.3% 6.9% -91.5% -1.2% 17.8% -43.8% 5.0% -31.3% -31.30%
EBITDA 17.9% 120.0% 3.9% 319.7% 5.1% 2.5% 71.8% 1.2% 39.7% 46.8% 57.0% 38.1% 44.1% 38.2% -1.2% -6.1% -7.4% -38.2% -65.9% -85.0% -85.02%
Op. Income 1.7% 2.2% 22.5% 6.6% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 45.9% -36.9% -41.0% -7.4% 10.7% 68.6% 74.2% -14.8% -23.7% -25.5% -53.4% -65.5% -95.3% -95.33%
OCF Growth snapshot only 12.96%
Asset Growth snapshot only -4.35%
Equity Growth snapshot only -11.58%
Debt Growth snapshot only 30.83%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.46%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.04%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 12.4% 18.9% 25.4% 34.5% 47.5% 55.7% 65.3% 68.2% 76.2% 79.0% 90.7% 73.5% 53.2% 41.9% 28.1% 23.5% 14.5% 5.4% -2.3% -6.7% -6.70%
Revenue 5Y 15.6% 23.4% 30.7% 30.0% 36.1% 36.8% 40.4% 37.2% 36.4% 35.0% 33.8% 37.0% 35.9% 39.6% 38.8% 40.7% 43.8% 38.6% 40.4% 28.3% 28.26%
EPS 3Y 18.0% -20.8% -5.1% -3.5% -0.2% 78.4% 1.3% 35.6% 34.9% 5.5% -26.0% -26.7% -38.3% -38.1%
EPS 5Y 92.3% 25.5% 10.7% 9.5% -26.6% -18.8% -17.2% -12.1% 33.9% 66.9%
Net Income 3Y 17.1% -21.7% -5.9% -4.3% -0.4% 78.9% 1.7% 64.6% 63.2% 27.4% -10.7% -11.6% -25.7% -25.4%
Net Income 5Y 92.7% 40.0% 25.2% 23.1% -17.9% -9.3% -7.6% -1.9% 50.0% 86.8%
EBITDA 3Y -9.1% -0.2% 18.5% 22.3% 35.0% 50.4% 82.9% 2.1% 7.5% 1.3% 92.2% 38.6% 41.4% 23.1% 7.8% -19.2% -42.1% -42.09%
EBITDA 5Y 1.3% 32.6% 40.9% 42.9% 43.5% 44.5% 44.9% 38.5% 35.0% 40.6% 37.7% 47.1% 56.8% 1.1% 2.5%
Gross Profit 3Y 15.0% 15.3% 18.0% 32.1% 46.1% 62.7% 69.5% 70.7% 66.4% 76.8% 1.1% 94.1% 70.1% 51.1% 27.0% 10.4% -2.5% -10.3% -16.7% -26.4% -26.39%
Gross Profit 5Y 1.5% 56.3% 44.7% 33.3% 44.1% 47.2% 44.4% 38.1% 28.8% 27.7% 32.2% 39.1% 37.5% 40.5% 37.9% 36.2% 41.7% 37.3% 35.9% 13.0% 13.00%
Op. Income 3Y 10.4% 8.3% 15.5% 33.7% 53.0% 82.1% 1.0% 98.4% 1.0% 87.6% 2.6% 1.3% 71.4% 53.7% 19.6% 7.2% -7.5% -21.8% -35.2% -66.0% -65.96%
Op. Income 5Y 1.2% 44.9% 55.6% 56.7% 53.7% 43.8% 32.1% 21.5% 25.3% 31.0% 30.6% 44.1% 44.9% 45.8% 59.4% 39.9% 69.2% -15.2% -15.21%
FCF 3Y -4.9% -21.7% -40.4% 56.1% -6.5% -29.7% 2.4% 21.4% -1.0% 38.8% 1.7%
FCF 5Y 1.4% 52.2% -16.3% 7.5% 40.5% 40.9% 53.9% 8.9% -7.8% 1.5% 83.1%
OCF 3Y -16.3% 11.8% 10.5% 10.2% 66.2% 64.0% 69.2% 61.5% 65.6% 1.2% 1.0% 4.1% 1.0% 30.0% 31.4% 37.8% 10.6% -5.6% 18.3% -6.3% -6.30%
OCF 5Y 8.5% 1.1% 1.2% 80.7% 57.5% 31.6% 34.0% 43.2% 41.7% 48.6% 32.0% 33.8% 25.1% 36.6% 46.7% 50.6% 1.5% 1.46%
Assets 3Y 21.0% 21.0% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 59.3% 59.3% 59.3% 59.3% 80.0% 80.0% 80.0% 80.0% 53.7% 53.7% 53.7% 53.7% 2.2% 2.2% 2.20%
Assets 5Y 2.6% 2.6% 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% 60.8% 60.8% 60.8% 60.8% 37.7% 37.7% 37.7% 37.7% 35.2% 35.2% 35.2% 35.2% 45.3% 45.3% 45.26%
Equity 3Y 81.4% 81.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% 98.2% 98.2% 98.2% 98.2% 51.5% 51.5% 51.5% 51.5% -1.6% -1.6% -1.64%
Book Value 3Y 82.7% 83.4% 10.4% 10.4% 9.8% 9.2% 35.2% 31.3% 31.5% 32.1% 62.2% 63.3% 63.9% 64.1% 25.5% 25.6% 25.7% 25.6% -2.5% -0.3% -0.25%
Dividend 3Y 57.6% 37.8% 30.3% 16.1% 1.5% -7.7% -14.3% -17.7% -17.3% -17.1% -17.0% -0.5% 1.8% 1.77%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.61 0.55 0.45 0.52 0.57 0.63 0.64 0.69 0.74 0.77 0.77 0.84 0.89 0.94 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.73 0.56 0.41 0.414
Earnings Stability 0.24 0.17 0.06 0.10 0.13 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.55 0.40 0.53 0.37 0.30 0.00 0.29 0.293
Margin Stability 0.42 0.61 0.75 0.89 0.81 0.82 0.89 0.92 0.78 0.80 0.85 0.87 0.76 0.82 0.94 0.82 0.69 0.76 0.79 0.68 0.677
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.80 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.96 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.55 0.36 0.09 0.33 0.85 0.60 0.15 0.09 0.96 0.90 0.23 0.00
ROE Trend 0.14 0.86 0.95 0.72 0.74 0.32 0.22 -0.32 -0.41 -0.52 -0.21 -0.20 -0.18 -0.08 -0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.07 -0.21 -0.45 -0.448
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.01 0.04 0.08 0.14 0.16 0.08 -0.01 -0.18 -0.14 0.04 0.09 0.16 0.05 -0.06 -0.14 -0.11 -0.08 -0.16 -0.23 -0.234
FCF Margin Trend -0.13 0.07 -0.06 0.06 0.13 0.07 -0.12 0.16 -0.05 -0.01 0.27 0.21 0.13 0.01 -0.07 -0.16 0.12 -0.03 0.03 -0.17 -0.171
Sustainable Growth Rate 23.1% 51.3% 79.5% 79.9% 87.0% 60.9% 13.9% 9.5% 5.2% 3.4% 7.1% 8.1% 12.6% 13.7% 6.5% 6.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Internal Growth Rate 12.6% 33.1% 68.0% 68.5% 79.4% 44.9% 8.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.9% 4.2% 4.8% 7.6% 8.3% 3.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.03 1.26 0.61 0.57 1.14 1.94 2.47 3.96 3.93 5.00 3.70 3.15 1.95 1.33 1.95 2.14 3.74 3.94 -5.11 -0.98 -0.984
FCF/OCF -0.52 0.40 0.22 0.09 0.32 0.16 -0.25 0.04 -0.13 0.22 0.57 0.58 0.45 0.33 0.09 -0.17 0.62 0.20 0.30 -0.19 -0.192
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.189
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 3.513
CapEx/Revenue 23.1% 18.6% 17.1% 16.6% 21.7% 31.1% 38.1% 38.9% 34.6% 28.2% 19.6% 16.7% 19.0% 16.1% 21.5% 29.7% 10.8% 21.3% 37.9% 48.8% 48.84%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.714
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.06 0.16 0.18 -0.06 -0.32 -0.14 -0.23 -0.18 -0.24 -0.19 -0.17 -0.10 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.12 -0.09 -0.27 -0.30 -0.304
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.228
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.724
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 1.1% 2.7% 2.4% 3.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.4% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 7.0% 4.0% 4.37%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.03 $0.07 $0.10 $0.09 $0.13 $0.18 $0.22 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.26 $0.25
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 4.1% 8.5% 18.0% 32.8% 54.3% 69.4% 44.4% 41.0% 30.7% 28.9% 45.0% 45.2% 68.6% 92.7%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 43.2% 11.6% 27.5% 2.1% 64.0% 21.2% 22.6% 34.7% 66.4% 2.4% 29.4% 1.2% 41.2%
Total Payout Ratio 5.9% 3.3% 1.7% 4.0% 5.3% 9.6% 25.4% 53.1% 95.7% 1.3% 83.4% 79.0% 52.7% 43.1% 56.7% 46.3% 70.4% 95.2%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number 6.37 3.94 3.13 1.93 0.91 0.44 0.16 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.051
Buyback Yield 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 2.1% 4.1% 5.0% 5.6% 3.7% 3.2% 2.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.08%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 3.6% 3.1% 2.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.08%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.9% 3.3% 5.4% 9.4% 10.6% 11.8% 7.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 6.6% 7.2% 4.1% 4.11%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.89 1.37 1.37 1.55 0.87 0.56 0.42 0.32 0.38 0.37 0.40 0.40 0.48 0.47 0.42 0.44 0.34 0.43 1.57 1.02 1.023
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.38 1.28 0.75 0.74 0.93 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.94 0.93 0.96 0.96 1.07 1.07 1.11 1.12 0.95 0.90 1.45 2.42 2.418
EBIT Margin 0.07 0.14 0.35 0.28 0.34 0.35 0.30 0.33 0.22 0.21 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.17 -0.05 -0.17 -0.168
Asset Turnover 0.76 1.00 1.13 1.29 1.65 1.78 0.75 0.76 0.80 0.84 0.59 0.62 0.57 0.60 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.47 0.42 0.37 0.368
Equity Multiplier 2.06 2.06 1.97 1.97 1.97 1.97 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.78 1.78 1.78 1.78 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.98 1.98 1.977
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.34 $0.74 $1.39 $1.42 $1.57 $1.15 $0.51 $0.40 $0.32 $0.32 $0.57 $0.62 $0.83 $0.87 $0.56 $0.56 $0.37 $0.27 $-0.40 $-1.37 $-1.37
Book Value/Share $1.05 $1.04 $2.45 $2.44 $2.43 $2.43 $4.59 $4.29 $4.33 $4.38 $4.56 $4.58 $4.62 $4.61 $4.83 $4.83 $4.82 $4.81 $4.25 $4.25 $3.31
Tangible Book/Share $1.05 $1.04 $2.45 $2.44 $2.43 $2.43 $4.59 $4.29 $4.33 $4.38 $4.56 $4.58 $4.62 $4.61 $4.83 $4.83 $4.82 $4.81 $4.25 $4.25 $4.25
Revenue/Share $2.29 $3.01 $3.86 $4.39 $5.63 $6.06 $4.14 $3.89 $4.15 $4.44 $4.73 $4.94 $4.65 $4.88 $4.61 $4.71 $4.82 $4.05 $3.75 $3.29 $3.29
FCF/Share $-0.18 $0.38 $0.19 $0.08 $0.56 $0.36 $-0.31 $0.06 $-0.16 $0.35 $1.20 $1.12 $0.73 $0.38 $0.10 $-0.20 $0.86 $0.21 $0.62 $-0.26 $-0.26
OCF/Share $0.35 $0.94 $0.85 $0.80 $1.79 $2.24 $1.26 $1.57 $1.27 $1.60 $2.13 $1.95 $1.61 $1.16 $1.10 $1.20 $1.38 $1.07 $2.04 $1.35 $1.35
Cash/Share $0.82 $0.81 $0.82 $0.82 $0.82 $0.82 $0.37 $0.34 $0.35 $0.35 $1.15 $1.16 $1.17 $1.17 $0.80 $0.80 $0.80 $0.79 $0.56 $0.56 $0.46
EBITDA/Share $0.39 $0.73 $1.71 $1.60 $2.35 $2.54 $1.71 $1.90 $1.81 $2.08 $2.59 $2.72 $2.71 $2.95 $2.59 $2.58 $2.50 $1.81 $0.88 $0.38 $0.38
Debt/Share $0.39 $0.38 $0.17 $0.17 $0.17 $0.17 $0.88 $0.82 $0.83 $0.84 $0.86 $0.87 $0.88 $0.87 $0.95 $0.95 $0.94 $0.94 $1.23 $1.23 $1.23
Net Debt/Share $-0.43 $-0.43 $-0.65 $-0.65 $-0.65 $-0.65 $0.51 $0.48 $0.48 $0.49 $-0.29 $-0.29 $-0.29 $-0.29 $0.15 $0.15 $0.15 $0.15 $0.67 $0.67 $0.67
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.152
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.136
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 6 6 7 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 7 5 5 4 5 2 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.00 -2.20 1.89 -0.68 -0.85 -2.71 -0.17 0.04 0.38 -1.39 -3.87 -3.98 -3.81 -2.55 -6.23 -1.53 -2.17 -1.56 -3.76 -6.79 -6.790
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.072
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -9.44%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-3.23
EVA snapshot only $-46539900.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 77.65 88.88 89.88 94.34 97.94 97.51 72.32 73.36 64.64 76.02 83.21 87.62 87.59 86.23 77.20 68.78 77.45 67.30 42.36 21.45 21.452
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -47.332
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 8
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 10

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