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EPSN NASDAQ

Epsilon Energy Ltd.
1W: -1.9% 1M: +5.4% 3M: +24.9% YTD: +35.4% 1Y: -10.1% 3Y: +39.7% 5Y: +83.8%
$6.19
-0.04 (-0.64%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.9%
$6 $6 $6 $6 $7
NASDAQ · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 62 · $155.2M mcap · 15M float · 1.66% daily turnover · Short 57% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
47.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 8.2%  ·  5Y Avg: 14.8%
Cost Advantage
54
Intangibles
55
Switching Cost
56
Network Effect
19
Scale
43
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. EPSN shows a Weak competitive edge (47.9/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 8.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Rating Summary
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-04-03 Roth Capital Initiated $8 +21.9% $6.89

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
4
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. EPSN receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), D/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-18 C+ B-
2026-05-15 B- C+
2026-05-11 C+ B-
2026-04-01 B- C+
2026-03-25 A- B-
2026-01-03 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

32 Grade C
Profitability
40
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
22
Growth
52
Value
41
Momentum
50
Safety
15
Cash Flow
44
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. EPSN scores highest in Growth (52/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.67
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-1.78
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.21
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 25.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -2.41x
Accruals: -17.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. EPSN scores 0.67, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. EPSN scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. EPSN's score of -1.78 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. EPSN's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. EPSN receives an estimated rating of B (score: 25.6/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-15.28x
PEG
0.12x
P/S
2.54x
P/B
1.12x
P/FCF
13.70x
P/OCF
6.32x
EV/EBITDA
57.71x
EV/Revenue
2.96x
EV/EBIT
-21.04x
EV/FCF
17.88x
Earnings Yield
-6.57%
FCF Yield
7.30%
Shareholder Yield
4.67%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. EPSN currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.897
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.181
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.140
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.350
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.568
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-8.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. EPSN's ROE of -8.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.350), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$6.19
Median 1Y
$6.16
5th Pctile
$3.14
95th Pctile
$12.23
Ann. Volatility
40.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Jason Stabell,
CEO
$322,000 $552,001 $1,056,447
Andrew Williamson,
CFO
$264,000 $221,001 $641,470
Henry N. Clanton,
COO
$282,000 $164,000 $588,341

CEO Pay Ratio

3:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,056,447
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $330,117
Employees: 27

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
27
+170.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,910,650
Rev: $51,587,556
Profit / Employee
$-179,504
NI: $-4,846,597
SGA / Employee
$330,117
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 4.7% 7.0% 15.7% 19.8% 34.8% 45.8% 38.5% 36.1% 25.0% 14.9% 6.8% 4.8% 5.2% 5.2% 2.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% -5.2% -8.2% -8.17%
ROA 3.7% 5.5% 12.5% 15.8% 27.7% 36.5% 31.7% 29.6% 20.5% 12.3% 5.6% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 1.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.8% -3.3% -5.2% -5.21%
ROIC 6.8% 16.8% 28.3% 36.1% 53.5% 63.3% 59.2% 52.2% 34.6% 17.3% 5.4% 3.6% 5.2% 4.9% 2.0% 5.9% 5.2% 6.1% 6.5% 8.2% 8.22%
ROCE 6.0% 8.8% 17.6% 22.0% 38.6% 51.1% 40.4% 37.8% 26.0% 15.4% 8.8% 5.9% 6.4% 6.2% 3.2% 6.8% 8.7% 9.5% -2.4% -4.2% -4.22%
Gross Margin 49.2% 67.7% 71.3% 75.6% 76.9% 79.6% 76.3% 59.1% 44.2% 43.2% 35.6% 41.1% 40.5% 27.4% 39.9% 58.0% 46.0% 38.4% 42.9% 57.8% 57.84%
Operating Margin 16.8% 54.2% 64.5% 65.9% 69.7% 67.8% 64.1% 35.5% -5.4% 11.8% 19.9% 17.6% 16.0% 3.3% 6.8% 44.3% 7.1% 15.7% 29.3% 42.5% 42.50%
Net Margin -6.8% 10.7% 57.9% 42.7% 53.2% 45.2% 61.5% 37.7% 6.6% 6.2% 30.3% 18.9% 11.2% 5.0% -8.5% 24.8% 13.3% 11.9% -83.9% 2.8% 2.85%
EBITDA Margin 14.4% 29.8% 89.2% 69.1% 82.4% 71.7% 85.3% 71.2% 35.8% 39.6% 75.0% 49.5% 45.6% 47.8% 33.8% 56.8% 56.9% 47.1% -85.4% 19.3% 19.30%
FCF Margin 38.9% 33.4% 35.7% 31.3% 32.1% 42.2% 41.6% 47.3% 29.0% 10.7% -1.5% -81.4% -57.6% -60.5% -61.3% -4.4% 15.0% 22.7% 10.1% 16.5% 16.53%
OCF Margin 54.4% 47.8% 47.2% 46.4% 45.9% 52.4% 52.8% 56.1% 60.0% 58.6% 59.2% 48.7% 56.3% 50.3% 52.4% 54.0% 55.6% 56.0% 39.4% 35.8% 35.83%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.75%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 10.51%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.22%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.48%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 7.86%
Cash ROA snapshot only 9.58%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 13.03%
CROIC snapshot only 6.01%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 22.61%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -16.59%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 16.10%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.25%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 29.54 25.36 9.77 8.90 4.67 3.73 3.83 3.29 4.75 7.73 14.86 22.79 21.25 23.35 68.04 34.08 30.90 18.77 -17.95 -15.21 -15.284
P/S Ratio 3.67 3.72 2.68 2.75 1.99 1.85 1.94 1.65 2.08 2.84 3.36 3.82 3.74 3.96 4.16 3.81 3.63 2.41 2.02 2.26 2.544
P/B Ratio 1.45 1.86 1.43 1.65 1.52 1.60 1.30 1.04 1.04 1.02 1.03 1.11 1.12 1.23 1.36 1.56 1.65 1.14 0.83 1.10 1.119
P/FCF 9.43 11.14 7.51 8.79 6.21 4.38 4.65 3.50 7.17 26.62 -225.50 -4.69 -6.49 -6.54 -6.79 -87.21 24.16 10.65 20.04 13.70 13.699
P/OCF 6.74 7.78 5.68 5.92 4.34 3.53 3.67 2.95 3.47 4.84 5.68 7.84 6.64 7.88 7.93 7.06 6.54 4.31 5.12 6.32 6.321
EV/EBITDA 6.77 8.11 3.82 3.92 2.23 1.88 1.67 1.24 1.71 2.49 4.00 5.30 5.01 5.34 9.07 7.64 6.90 4.53 19.87 57.71 57.708
EV/Revenue 3.18 3.34 2.05 2.19 1.55 1.46 1.29 0.97 1.22 1.63 2.33 2.74 2.69 2.95 3.97 3.66 3.49 2.28 2.83 2.96 2.955
EV/EBIT 17.69 15.91 5.39 5.15 2.64 2.13 1.90 1.43 2.09 3.35 7.00 11.66 10.85 12.82 34.73 18.78 15.60 9.72 -30.39 -21.04 -21.040
EV/FCF 8.18 9.99 5.76 7.01 4.84 3.46 3.10 2.04 4.19 15.27 -156.44 -3.37 -4.67 -4.87 -6.47 -83.73 23.25 10.07 28.16 17.88 17.877
Earnings Yield 3.4% 3.9% 10.2% 11.2% 21.4% 26.8% 26.1% 30.4% 21.1% 12.9% 6.7% 4.4% 4.7% 4.3% 1.5% 2.9% 3.2% 5.3% -5.6% -6.6% -6.57%
FCF Yield 10.6% 9.0% 13.3% 11.4% 16.1% 22.8% 21.5% 28.6% 13.9% 3.8% -0.4% -21.3% -15.4% -15.3% -14.7% -1.1% 4.1% 9.4% 5.0% 7.3% 7.30%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.122
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.100
EV/OCF snapshot only 8.249
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.019
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.326
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.67%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.94 3.94 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92 5.21 5.21 5.21 5.21 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 1.31 1.31 1.305
Quick Ratio 3.94 3.94 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92 5.21 5.21 5.21 5.21 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 1.31 1.31 1.305
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.41 0.407
Net Debt/Equity -0.19 -0.19 -0.33 -0.33 -0.33 -0.33 -0.43 -0.43 -0.43 -0.43 -0.31 -0.31 -0.31 -0.31 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.34 0.34 0.335
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.22 0.224
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 6.95 16.35 16.355
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.04 -0.93 -1.16 -1.00 -0.63 -0.50 -0.84 -0.88 -1.22 -1.85 -1.77 -2.08 -1.95 -1.84 -0.44 -0.32 -0.27 -0.26 5.73 13.49 13.488
Interest Coverage 45.49 75.56 159.49 226.11 521.82 684.93 936.61 695.54 313.12 204.18 127.22 113.84 213.56 90.20 37.97 78.63 90.04 157.74 -7.71 -5.52 -5.518
Equity Multiplier 1.26 1.26 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.82 1.82 1.816
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.359
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.012
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.175
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.197
Defensive Interval snapshot only 732.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.37 0.46 0.51 0.65 0.74 0.63 0.59 0.47 0.33 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.32 0.36 0.37 0.30 0.35 0.350
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 6.63 8.41 9.96 11.17 14.18 16.10 11.86 11.14 8.87 6.34 4.65 4.44 4.57 4.71 5.32 6.70 7.42 7.71 4.69 5.55 5.553
Payables Turnover 7.18 6.84 10.96 10.86 11.57 11.65 10.99 11.34 10.67 10.15 6.83 7.19 7.49 8.19 7.19 7.95 8.65 8.74 3.72 4.27 4.267
DSO 55 43 37 33 26 23 31 33 41 58 78 82 80 77 69 55 49 47 78 66 65.7 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 51 53 33 34 32 31 33 32 34 36 53 51 49 45 51 46 42 42 98 86 85.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 4 -10 3 -1 -6 -9 -2 1 7 22 25 31 31 33 18 9 7 6 -20 -20 -19.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.316
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.810
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.740
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 10.4% 36.6% 73.6% 79.9% 1.2% 98.4% 65.0% 38.2% -13.3% -45.4% -56.1% -55.3% -42.3% -16.7% 2.6% 35.2% 45.9% 46.8% 63.7% 53.7% 53.71%
Net Income 4.7% 2.4% 12.3% 3.5% 6.6% 5.7% 2.0% 1.3% -11.0% -59.7% -80.4% -85.1% -76.9% -61.4% -72.2% -9.9% -2.5% 11.2% -4.0% -3.0% -3.05%
EPS 15.1% 2.4% 12.3% 3.5% 6.6% 5.9% 2.1% 1.3% -7.0% -57.9% -79.2% -84.4% -76.1% -61.4% -72.1% -10.3% -3.3% 11.2% -4.0% -3.0% -3.02%
FCF 34.2% 2.8% 79.0% 39.6% 83.0% 1.5% 92.6% 1.1% -21.6% -86.2% -1.0% -1.8% -2.1% -5.7% -41.2% 92.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 6.8% 6.82%
EBITDA -1.2% 18.3% 1.0% 95.1% 2.3% 2.7% 1.4% 92.7% -11.4% -54.1% -66.8% -70.3% -56.4% -29.7% -23.0% 25.1% 37.5% 34.0% -46.6% -83.6% -83.56%
Op. Income 4.0% 36.8% 22.1% 6.4% 6.2% 2.5% 1.3% 58.1% -30.2% -70.8% -88.5% -91.5% -81.5% -66.5% -36.8% 1.6% 76.3% 1.2% 3.0% 90.1% 90.09%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.04%
Asset Growth snapshot only 89.48%
Equity Growth snapshot only 29.94%
Debt Growth snapshot only 106.17%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.47%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 20.07%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.3% 7.3% 12.6% 17.2% 26.4% 35.4% 37.9% 37.7% 28.4% 13.9% 8.0% 3.6% 3.4% -3.4% -9.4% -5.8% -10.0% -12.6% -9.7% -2.4% -2.44%
Revenue 5Y 4.5% 9.0% 10.8% 11.3% 15.4% 19.1% 21.0% 19.5% 15.5% 6.0% 0.7% -0.1% 0.2% 2.5% 3.4% 9.5% 12.3% 12.6% 16.1% 18.2% 18.21%
EPS 3Y -31.9% -25.9% 26.2% 43.8% 49.5% 74.5% 67.1% 71.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 17.7% 19.2% 3.8% -43.6% -31.2% -40.1% -43.4%
EPS 5Y 69.5% 63.3% 28.0% 22.7% 17.5% 3.4% 5.2% 1.6% -5.7% -2.9% -23.0% -6.9% 13.5% 33.8%
Net Income 3Y -35.1% -29.4% 20.4% 37.3% 43.0% 65.6% 59.6% 63.0% 92.2% 1.1% 99.5% 14.3% 16.2% 1.4% -45.1% -32.9% -41.4% -44.3%
Net Income 5Y 65.9% 57.8% 23.8% 18.4% 13.1% -1.0% 0.8% -2.8% -9.6% -6.7% -26.0% -10.3% 9.9% 31.7%
EBITDA 3Y -1.5% 1.6% 15.7% 24.5% 33.3% 45.0% 42.9% 42.8% 42.1% 26.7% 17.2% 3.7% 8.2% 6.5% -15.4% -10.6% -19.0% -24.4% -48.5% -60.6% -60.64%
EBITDA 5Y 10.8% 11.4% 17.0% 22.7% 25.6% 23.7% 22.7% 12.5% 4.0% 2.0% -1.8% -0.3% -5.7% 1.5% 11.5% 13.9% -7.9% -25.5% -25.52%
Gross Profit 3Y 4.4% 14.9% 23.1% 30.2% 44.1% 62.1% 68.1% 75.2% 68.1% 46.3% 30.5% 7.9% 1.8% -16.5% -24.2% -18.0% -22.9% -25.4% -23.2% -15.3% -15.33%
Gross Profit 5Y 75.4% 64.1% 43.4% 33.0% 32.6% 36.8% 38.2% 34.8% 29.9% 12.2% -0.5% -4.1% -4.1% -1.7% 0.7% 14.3% 21.2% 24.5% 30.9% 25.9% 25.85%
Op. Income 3Y -3.0% 18.7% 28.9% 42.1% 63.1% 84.9% 86.4% 1.3% 1.9% -0.3% -2.2% -30.1% -45.0% -29.4% -38.9% -39.9% -33.6% -25.0% -24.96%
Op. Income 5Y 54.5% 37.9% 38.0% 43.2% 49.8% 43.8% 35.8% 11.3% -10.8% -17.4% -10.9% -9.2% -13.9% 20.9% 52.6% 37.7% 37.67%
FCF 3Y 9.4% 24.1% 21.6% 27.8% 79.0% 2.0% 1.8% 9.6% -30.1% -29.0% -43.7% -31.3% -31.28%
FCF 5Y 10.0% 4.8% 6.8% 0.7% 13.5% 91.9% -14.7% 28.0% -9.3% -1.1% -1.10%
OCF 3Y 6.8% 12.7% 25.5% 23.8% 23.8% 38.0% 41.8% 37.3% 36.7% 18.3% 6.4% -2.6% 4.7% -1.8% -6.2% -1.0% -4.1% -10.6% -18.1% -16.0% -15.97%
OCF 5Y 14.3% 11.0% 12.3% 8.8% 11.2% 14.2% 16.1% 20.3% 20.9% 13.7% 12.4% 4.2% 3.1% 2.8% 5.0% 8.5% 14.7% 14.1% 6.2% 7.1% 7.12%
Assets 3Y -9.3% -9.3% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 12.7% 12.7% 12.7% 12.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 22.6% 22.6% 22.60%
Assets 5Y -6.7% -6.7% -4.8% -4.8% -4.8% -4.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 21.4% 21.4% 21.37%
Equity 3Y -6.2% -6.2% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 6.43%
Book Value 3Y -1.6% -1.6% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.8% 16.1% 16.3% 16.1% 13.8% 16.2% 16.8% 16.3% 16.1% 9.7% 9.6% 9.4% 8.5% 7.9% 7.4% 7.36%
Dividend 3Y 63.6% 29.0% 10.3% 1.9% 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 4.9% 7.2% 7.22%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.37 0.60 0.34 0.31 0.32 0.47 0.58 0.65 0.61 0.30 0.17 0.14 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.05 0.19 0.194
Earnings Stability 0.33 0.26 0.13 0.18 0.26 0.27 0.31 0.34 0.33 0.14 0.17 0.16 0.11 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.21 0.207
Margin Stability 0.46 0.48 0.54 0.64 0.65 0.62 0.59 0.63 0.62 0.67 0.63 0.68 0.71 0.72 0.69 0.67 0.64 0.62 0.59 0.69 0.689
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.99 0.96 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.88 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.90 0.97 0.89
ROE Trend -0.04 0.01 0.08 0.11 0.28 0.38 0.26 0.20 0.03 -0.12 -0.17 -0.20 -0.22 -0.23 -0.18 -0.14 -0.08 -0.03 -0.09 -0.12 -0.120
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.20 0.30 0.32 0.37 0.34 0.32 0.23 0.13 -0.05 -0.25 -0.31 -0.32 -0.32 -0.24 -0.13 -0.09 -0.01 0.06 0.06 0.062
FCF Margin Trend 0.24 0.18 0.16 0.08 0.13 0.20 0.07 0.11 -0.06 -0.27 -0.40 -1.21 -0.88 -0.87 -0.81 0.13 0.29 0.48 0.41 0.59 0.594
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.7% 7.0% 15.7% 17.8% 30.7% 39.9% 32.3% 29.9% 18.9% 8.9% 1.3% -0.6% -0.2% -0.2% -3.5% -1.0% -0.2% 0.5%
Internal Growth Rate 3.8% 5.8% 14.3% 16.5% 32.4% 46.5% 36.2% 32.6% 18.4% 7.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 4.38 3.26 1.72 1.50 1.08 1.06 1.05 1.11 1.37 1.60 2.62 2.91 3.20 2.96 8.58 4.83 4.73 4.36 -3.51 -2.41 -2.406
FCF/OCF 0.71 0.70 0.76 0.67 0.70 0.81 0.79 0.84 0.48 0.18 -0.03 -1.67 -1.02 -1.20 -1.17 -0.08 0.27 0.40 0.26 0.46 0.461
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.110
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 6.996
CapEx/Revenue 15.5% 14.4% 11.5% 15.1% 13.8% 10.2% 11.2% 8.8% 31.0% 47.9% 60.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 58.3% 40.5% 33.4% 29.4% 19.3% 19.30%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.007
Accruals Ratio -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.08 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.08 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.12 -0.14 -0.16 -0.16 -0.15 -0.18 -0.178
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.064
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.199
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.1% 5.2% 5.4% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 4.1% 3.6% 3.4% 4.9% 5.7% 4.7% 4.04%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.06 $0.12 $0.19 $0.24 $0.24 $0.24 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.24 $0.24 $0.24 $0.24 $0.27 $0.29 $0.25
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 11.5% 13.0% 16.1% 17.0% 24.2% 40.1% 80.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.8% 1.2% 1.0% 91.9%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 15.3% 15.3% 19.6% 18.1% 36.6% 1.4% 81.6% 52.2% 1.1% 64.0% 64.00%
Total Payout Ratio 2.5% 49.7% 20.8% 23.2% 32.2% 31.5% 33.3% 39.6% 46.9% 80.6% 1.7% 2.3% 1.8% 1.5% 3.7% 1.3% 1.2% 92.4%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 2.85 0.92 0.30 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 -0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.16 0.25 0.247
Buyback Yield 8.4% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 4.4% 5.0% 4.5% 6.9% 4.8% 5.2% 5.9% 5.3% 3.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 8.4% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 4.4% 5.0% 4.5% 6.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.9% 5.3% 3.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% -48.6% -36.6% -36.62%
Total Shareholder Return 8.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 6.9% 8.4% 8.7% 12.0% 9.9% 10.4% 11.3% 10.2% 8.6% 6.2% 5.5% 3.9% 3.8% 4.9% -42.9% -31.9% -31.95%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.68 0.72 0.71 0.75 0.54 0.58 0.53 0.55 1.07 0.90 0.897
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.13 1.18 1.181
EBIT Margin 0.18 0.21 0.38 0.43 0.59 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.58 0.49 0.33 0.24 0.25 0.23 0.11 0.19 0.22 0.23 -0.09 -0.14 -0.140
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.37 0.46 0.51 0.65 0.74 0.63 0.59 0.47 0.33 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.32 0.36 0.37 0.30 0.35 0.350
Equity Multiplier 1.27 1.27 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.57 1.57 1.568
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.14 $0.21 $0.49 $0.62 $1.08 $1.47 $1.51 $1.44 $1.01 $0.62 $0.31 $0.22 $0.24 $0.24 $0.09 $0.20 $0.23 $0.27 $-0.26 $-0.40 $-0.40
Book Value/Share $2.90 $2.90 $3.33 $3.32 $3.33 $3.42 $4.45 $4.53 $4.58 $4.70 $4.54 $4.57 $4.57 $4.54 $4.39 $4.37 $4.36 $4.37 $5.60 $5.60 $5.53
Tangible Book/Share $2.90 $2.90 $3.33 $3.32 $3.33 $3.42 $4.45 $4.53 $4.58 $4.70 $4.54 $4.57 $4.57 $4.54 $4.39 $4.37 $4.36 $4.37 $5.60 $5.60 $5.60
Revenue/Share $1.15 $1.45 $1.78 $1.99 $2.53 $2.96 $2.99 $2.85 $2.30 $1.69 $1.39 $1.33 $1.37 $1.41 $1.43 $1.80 $1.98 $2.06 $2.30 $2.72 $2.72
FCF/Share $0.45 $0.49 $0.63 $0.62 $0.81 $1.25 $1.24 $1.35 $0.67 $0.18 $-0.02 $-1.09 $-0.79 $-0.85 $-0.88 $-0.08 $0.30 $0.47 $0.23 $0.45 $0.45
OCF/Share $0.62 $0.69 $0.84 $0.93 $1.16 $1.55 $1.58 $1.60 $1.38 $0.99 $0.82 $0.65 $0.77 $0.71 $0.75 $0.97 $1.10 $1.16 $0.91 $0.97 $0.97
Cash/Share $0.56 $0.56 $1.11 $1.11 $1.11 $1.14 $1.93 $1.96 $1.99 $2.04 $1.45 $1.46 $1.46 $1.45 $0.30 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.40 $0.40 $0.35
EBITDA/Share $0.54 $0.60 $0.96 $1.11 $1.76 $2.30 $2.31 $2.23 $1.63 $1.10 $0.81 $0.69 $0.74 $0.78 $0.63 $0.86 $1.00 $1.04 $0.33 $0.14 $0.14
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $2.28 $2.28 $2.28
Net Debt/Share $-0.56 $-0.56 $-1.11 $-1.11 $-1.11 $-1.14 $-1.93 $-1.96 $-1.98 $-2.04 $-1.43 $-1.44 $-1.44 $-1.43 $-0.27 $-0.27 $-0.27 $-0.27 $1.88 $1.88 $1.88
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.671
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.634
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 8 8 7 8 9 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score -3.48 -2.84 -2.31 -2.58 -1.57 -2.34 -2.17 -1.84 0.08 0.66 -1.09 -1.54 -1.77 -1.43 -3.29 -2.94 -3.21 -3.52 -1.67 -1.78 -1.779
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.208
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -4.27%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-3.12
EVA snapshot only $-2986339.93
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 89.00 89.00 89.00 89.00 89.00 89.00 97.56 97.34 97.73 97.35 88.50 88.80 88.69 89.04 87.88 90.48 97.71 91.58 26.78 25.60 25.601
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -64.883
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 12
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 15

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