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FWRD NASDAQ

Forward Air Corporation
1W: -11.2% 1M: -63.3% 3M: -70.0% YTD: -66.8% 1Y: -53.7% 3Y: -91.2% 5Y: -91.2%
$8.80
+0.45 (+5.39%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±26.4%
$4 $6 $9 $11 $13
NASDAQ · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics · Alpha Radar Strong Sell · Power 26 · $278.3M mcap · 24M float · 4.63% daily turnover · Short 35% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
35.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 1.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 2.9%
Cost Advantage
38
Intangibles
18
Switching Cost
43
Network Effect
39
Scale ★
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. FWRD has No discernible competitive edge (35.5/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 1.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$17
Low
$18
Avg Target
$18
High
Based on 2 analysts since May 7, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 11Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$25.67
Analysts3
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-08 Susquehanna $42 $18 -24 +68.4% $10.69
2026-05-08 Stifel Nicolaus $32 $17 -15 -1.9% $17.33
2026-02-24 Susquehanna Bascome Majors $45 $42 -3 +58.7% $26.46
2026-01-21 Stifel Nicolaus Bruce Chan $30 $32 +2 +16.1% $27.56
2026-01-05 Susquehanna $35 $45 +10 +79.1% $25.13
2025-10-17 Stifel Nicolaus $36 $30 -6 +44.1% $20.82
2025-02-28 Susquehanna Initiated $35 +55.8% $22.47
2024-11-05 Jefferies Stephanie Moore $47 $45 -2 +23.3% $36.50
2024-10-21 Stifel Nicolaus Bruce Chan $23 $36 +13 -9.2% $39.66
2024-10-18 Jefferies Stephanie Moore Initiated $47 +17.0% $40.16
2024-10-01 Robert W. Baird Garrett Holland $17 $32 +15 -8.4% $34.92
2024-07-03 Robert W. Baird Garrett Holland Initiated $17 -12.1% $19.34
2024-05-21 Stifel Nicolaus Bruce Chan $136 $23 -113 +83.1% $12.56
2024-04-11 Wolfe Research Scott Group Initiated $25 -12.4% $28.55
2022-07-29 Raymond James Patrick Tyler Brown $135 $140 +5 +33.4% $104.93
2022-07-15 Raymond James Patrick Tyler Brown Initiated $135 +50.5% $89.69
2022-04-29 Stifel Nicolaus Initiated $136 +38.8% $98.00
2022-01-04 Stephens Jack Atkins Initiated $165 +32.4% $124.61

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. FWRD receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-03-13 C- C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

23 Grade D
Profitability
3
Balance Sheet
17
Earnings Quality
57
Growth
65
Value
27
Momentum
63
Safety
15
Cash Flow
33
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. FWRD scores highest in Growth (65/100) and lowest in Profitability (3/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.89
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
Beneish M-Score
-1.19
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.57
Bankruptcy prob: 1.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 15.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.68x
Accruals: -5.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. FWRD scores 0.89, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. FWRD scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. FWRD's score of -1.19 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. FWRD's implied 1.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. FWRD receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 15.7/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.98x
PEG
-0.01x
P/S
0.11x
P/B
3.36x
P/FCF
13.49x
P/OCF
8.28x
EV/EBITDA
12.61x
EV/Revenue
1.04x
EV/EBIT
51.38x
EV/FCF
67.04x
Earnings Yield
-17.68%
FCF Yield
7.41%
Shareholder Yield
0.08%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. FWRD currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.635
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-2.877
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.020
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.888
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
17.607
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-58.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. FWRD's ROE of -58.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 17.61x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.80
Median 1Y
$5.69
5th Pctile
$2.22
95th Pctile
$14.65
Ann. Volatility
58.0%
Analyst Target
$25.67
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Shawn Stewart,
Chief Executive Officer
$900,000 $4,037,990 $5,561,309
Jamie Pierson, Financial
ancial Officer
$625,000 $2,187,990 $3,139,966
Jerome Lorrain,
Executive Chairman
$234,176 $1,184,250 $1,466,762
Michael L. Hance,
Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
$500,000 $600,000 $1,363,519
Eric Brandt, Commercial
ercial Officer
$525,000 $500,000 $1,286,226

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
6,062
-4.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$411,600
Rev: $2,495,118,000
Profit / Employee
$-17,782
NI: $-107,796,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 9.6% 10.8% 18.6% 24.1% 28.4% 33.4% 29.7% 28.7% 23.3% 16.7% 22.7% 9.4% -81.0% -92.3% -1.7% -1.7% -35.8% -24.0% -68.4% -58.1% -58.07%
ROA 5.3% 6.0% 9.8% 12.7% 15.0% 17.6% 16.6% 16.1% 13.0% 9.3% 8.0% 3.3% -28.5% -32.4% -28.3% -27.9% -6.0% -4.0% -3.9% -3.3% -3.30%
ROIC 11.1% 12.9% 13.6% 16.5% 19.4% 21.9% 21.2% 20.4% 16.4% 11.8% 2.4% -1.0% -35.2% -34.6% -39.7% -37.2% 2.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 1.90%
ROCE 12.5% 14.6% 16.7% 20.3% 23.9% 26.9% 25.6% 24.6% 19.9% 14.1% 2.8% -1.3% -42.2% -41.9% -43.9% -40.9% 4.6% 4.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.16%
Gross Margin 20.7% 22.7% 24.4% 24.9% 28.3% 28.6% 28.8% 29.0% 22.9% 22.7% 28.2% 11.1% 12.0% 16.8% 14.5% 12.3% 18.6% 2.4% 15.2% 3.5% 3.51%
Operating Margin 10.0% 10.1% 11.3% 12.3% 14.7% 14.1% 12.8% 13.2% 7.9% 4.5% -6.3% -12.1% -1.7% 5.7% -0.5% 0.8% 3.2% 2.4% -0.5% 3.5% 3.51%
Net Margin 7.3% 5.6% 8.8% 9.1% 10.8% 10.2% 8.9% 10.2% 6.0% 2.7% 79.5% -11.4% -1.0% -11.2% -5.8% -8.3% -2.0% -2.6% -4.5% -5.9% -5.90%
EBITDA Margin 12.3% 12.4% 13.8% 14.7% 16.9% 16.5% 15.3% 16.7% 11.9% 7.6% 4.5% -6.4% -1.6% 7.0% 18.6% 6.7% 7.3% 9.4% 6.4% 10.1% 10.13%
FCF Margin 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 7.2% 8.1% 10.2% 11.1% 12.1% 14.1% 12.2% 13.1% 2.7% -5.0% -3.4% -4.5% -1.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.56%
OCF Margin 4.5% 5.7% 7.2% 9.8% 10.8% 12.4% 13.1% 14.1% 16.4% 14.6% 15.6% 4.7% -3.0% -1.5% -3.0% 0.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.54%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.57%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -84.32%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -9.92%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -6.81%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.85%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.28%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.88%
CROIC snapshot only 1.77%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.67%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -5.84%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.27%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.29%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 44.35 36.12 30.41 18.93 15.06 12.55 14.32 15.12 18.12 16.26 9.64 11.79 -0.86 -1.46 -1.16 -0.75 -4.32 -6.85 -7.18 -5.66 -2.979
P/S Ratio 1.64 1.42 1.94 1.47 1.31 1.23 1.40 1.52 1.63 1.17 1.39 0.61 0.31 0.50 0.38 0.24 0.30 0.32 0.31 0.21 0.113
P/B Ratio 4.38 4.02 5.42 4.38 4.11 4.03 3.91 4.00 3.88 2.50 2.11 1.07 0.67 1.29 4.69 3.01 3.70 3.94 6.83 4.57 3.365
P/FCF 47.05 35.93 39.67 20.57 16.16 11.99 12.67 12.56 11.59 9.59 10.64 22.80 -6.23 -14.78 -8.42 -15.14 115.20 51.31 50.71 13.49 13.495
P/OCF 36.56 24.98 26.77 15.05 12.19 9.92 10.68 10.76 9.94 7.96 8.90 12.83 154.27 18.30 18.26 17.45 8.28 8.280
EV/EBITDA 17.80 14.54 17.61 12.25 10.05 8.83 9.54 10.01 11.54 9.99 26.29 72.13 -2.23 -2.73 -3.26 -3.15 11.16 10.77 15.19 12.61 12.614
EV/Revenue 1.77 1.55 2.11 1.63 1.46 1.37 1.51 1.63 1.76 1.31 2.96 1.96 1.41 1.43 1.21 1.04 1.11 1.14 1.13 1.04 1.044
EV/EBIT 23.84 18.78 21.98 14.86 11.98 10.43 11.24 11.91 14.35 13.54 44.53 -72.59 -2.02 -2.45 -2.82 -2.67 24.87 24.95 84.29 51.38 51.377
EV/FCF 51.04 39.24 43.15 22.80 18.03 13.40 13.68 13.54 12.52 10.79 22.66 73.69 -28.49 -42.02 -26.57 -66.08 430.06 183.16 185.22 67.04 67.044
Earnings Yield 2.3% 2.8% 3.3% 5.3% 6.6% 8.0% 7.0% 6.6% 5.5% 6.1% 10.4% 8.5% -1.2% -68.6% -86.3% -1.3% -23.2% -14.6% -13.9% -17.7% -17.68%
FCF Yield 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 4.9% 6.2% 8.3% 7.9% 8.0% 8.6% 10.4% 9.4% 4.4% -16.1% -6.8% -11.9% -6.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 7.4% 7.41%
EV/OCF snapshot only 41.135
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.427
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 49.350
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.08%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.43 1.43 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.22 1.22 1.216
Quick Ratio 1.43 1.43 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.22 1.22 1.216
Debt/Equity 0.44 0.44 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 19.05 19.05 19.054
Net Debt/Equity 0.37 0.37 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 10.12 10.12 10.12 10.12 18.12 18.12 18.119
Debt/Assets 0.23 0.23 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.787
Debt/EBITDA 1.66 1.47 1.61 1.36 1.18 1.06 0.85 0.88 1.04 1.34 14.88 53.15 -1.86 -1.89 -2.34 -2.55 8.59 8.15 11.60 10.59 10.595
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.39 1.23 1.42 1.20 1.04 0.93 0.71 0.73 0.86 1.11 13.95 49.82 -1.74 -1.77 -2.23 -2.43 8.17 7.75 11.03 10.07 10.075
Interest Coverage 21.82 27.44 36.72 49.01 59.41 58.33 51.77 38.13 25.50 15.92 2.45 -0.52 -10.09 -6.97 -5.61 -5.10 0.58 0.62 0.19 0.55 0.546
Equity Multiplier 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 13.89 13.89 13.89 13.89 24.22 24.22 24.217
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.247
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.225
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.049
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.018
Defensive Interval snapshot only 855.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.44 1.52 1.54 1.63 1.72 1.80 1.70 1.60 1.45 1.30 0.55 0.64 0.79 0.94 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.90 0.89 0.888
Inventory Turnover 1106.21 1157.90
Receivables Turnover 10.01 10.61 9.12 9.69 10.21 10.71 9.96 9.41 8.49 7.64 6.80 7.87 9.69 11.53 10.41 10.71 10.60 10.50 7.49 7.40 7.401
Payables Turnover 36.98 38.70 31.18 32.59 33.45 34.40 30.06 28.02 25.66 23.55 18.15 22.92 29.39 35.29 28.25 28.99 28.16 29.11 19.29 19.50 19.497
DSO 36 34 40 38 36 34 37 39 43 48 54 46 38 32 35 34 34 35 49 49 49.3 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 10 9 12 11 11 11 12 13 14 16 20 16 12 10 13 13 13 13 19 19 18.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 27 25 28 26 25 23 25 26 29 32 34 30 25 21 22 22 21 22 30 31 30.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.468
Cash Velocity snapshot only 23.245
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.114
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 10.1% 19.4% 30.9% 33.3% 27.1% 25.7% 18.7% 5.5% -9.6% -22.5% -41.2% -27.9% -1.7% 30.1% 1.1% 89.4% 52.4% 26.8% 0.8% -3.2% -3.22%
Net Income -6.6% 16.4% 3.5% 4.2% 2.0% 2.1% 82.5% 36.0% -6.6% -43.1% -13.4% -62.9% -4.9% -7.3% -5.9% -12.6% 71.0% 82.9% 86.8% 88.6% 88.65%
EPS -5.6% 18.4% 3.3% 4.3% 2.0% 2.2% 85.6% 39.2% -3.2% -40.6% -9.9% -62.6% -4.8% -6.8% -5.3% -11.1% 74.4% 84.6% 87.5% 88.9% 88.93%
FCF -58.2% -41.5% 11.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 78.0% 56.6% -7.9% -30.5% -84.1% -1.3% -1.4% -1.7% -2.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 1.96%
EBITDA 10.2% 33.3% 79.1% 99.6% 85.5% 83.3% 57.6% 29.3% -5.2% -34.4% -58.3% -88.0% -5.1% -6.2% -8.0% -24.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.24%
Op. Income 17.0% 48.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 67.0% 31.9% -9.1% -41.4% -69.5% -1.1% -6.6% -8.5% -14.9% -32.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.05%
OCF Growth snapshot only 14.90%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.06%
Equity Growth snapshot only -43.81%
Debt Growth snapshot only 0.65%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.58%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.3% 6.9% 8.0% 9.7% 11.2% 12.1% 11.8% 10.2% 8.1% 5.2% -3.0% 0.5% 4.1% 8.2% 14.2% 12.9% 10.6% 8.5% 8.1% 9.7% 9.74%
Revenue 5Y 8.6% 9.8% 11.1% 12.1% 12.6% 13.0% 12.4% 10.0% 6.7% 3.6% -2.6% 0.1% 4.1% 7.3% 11.9% 12.8% 13.6% 13.9% 14.5% 13.2% 13.19%
EPS 3Y -15.5% -13.2% 6.9% 16.1% 23.4% 30.0% 33.2% 36.8% 40.7% 30.5% 92.9% 39.8%
EPS 5Y 7.5% 12.5% 33.6% 39.8% 25.4% 27.1% 19.8% 18.0% 12.2% 4.2% 15.3% -4.0%
Net Income 3Y -17.3% -15.1% 4.8% 14.0% 21.3% 28.2% 30.4% 34.3% 37.8% 27.5% 91.8% 37.7%
Net Income 5Y 5.2% 9.8% 30.8% 36.7% 22.6% 24.2% 17.2% 15.5% 9.6% 1.7% 12.7% -5.7%
EBITDA 3Y -1.9% 1.6% 6.6% 12.6% 18.5% 22.7% 24.9% 26.5% 24.7% 17.0% 5.6% -32.3% -2.7% -4.6% -15.9% -12.5% -12.52%
EBITDA 5Y 7.1% 9.8% 14.0% 17.4% 13.2% 15.3% 15.9% 15.0% 10.7% 4.8% -4.5% -26.0% 13.5% 16.2% 10.9% 11.6% 11.57%
Gross Profit 3Y 4.2% 7.4% 11.2% 14.7% 19.3% 22.2% 23.8% 24.5% 23.0% 18.4% 8.6% 0.6% -4.3% -3.8% -2.4% -4.8% -5.8% -17.0% -18.0% -22.7% -22.72%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.3% 8.4% 11.2% 13.3% 16.1% 17.9% 18.2% 17.1% 12.9% 9.0% 2.0% -1.7% -2.0% -0.1% 3.4% 5.1% 9.5% 4.5% 5.6% 0.1% 0.09%
Op. Income 3Y -1.1% 3.4% 9.3% 16.5% 23.7% 28.5% 30.8% 32.5% 30.4% 20.5% 3.1% -36.4% -48.0% -48.5% -41.2% -41.16%
Op. Income 5Y 12.4% 16.1% 21.6% 25.7% 16.5% 18.9% 19.6% 18.4% 12.9% 5.4% -7.9% -8.9% -16.0% -13.2% -8.4% -8.42%
FCF 3Y -8.8% -8.7% -9.7% 3.8% 9.2% 18.1% 18.6% 23.3% 24.8% 20.7% 27.6% -12.7% -65.0% -57.4% -58.8% -44.6% -44.55%
FCF 5Y -9.5% -3.3% -1.6% 7.6% 10.8% 18.3% 27.4% 28.1% 28.6% 18.0% 6.6% -20.5% -44.4% -31.8% -26.9% -6.5% -6.55%
OCF 3Y -17.9% -14.2% -7.6% 4.1% 8.4% 15.5% 17.1% 20.8% 22.6% 21.3% 25.1% -4.7% -71.7% -41.2% -43.5% -44.5% -38.0% -38.03%
OCF 5Y -12.6% -6.5% -1.6% 5.9% 10.6% 16.3% 20.2% 19.6% 18.4% 9.7% 3.5% -16.1% -51.7% -22.9% -18.9% -13.7% -3.2% -3.21%
Assets 3Y 15.1% 15.1% 13.7% 13.7% 13.7% 13.7% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 41.7% 41.7% 41.7% 41.7% 35.9% 35.9% 35.9% 35.9% 31.5% 31.5% 31.46%
Assets 5Y 8.4% 8.4% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4% 23.1% 23.1% 23.1% 23.1% 21.2% 21.2% 21.25%
Equity 3Y 0.9% 0.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% -30.2% -30.2% -30.2% -30.2% -45.7% -45.7% -45.68%
Book Value 3Y 3.1% 3.2% 4.4% 4.3% 4.1% 3.9% 9.3% 9.0% 9.3% 9.5% 12.4% 13.5% 12.6% 10.7% -32.0% -32.7% -33.0% -33.4% -48.3% -48.4% -48.45%
Dividend 3Y 5.6% 7.0% 5.3% 5.0% 4.7% 4.5% 6.2% 4.6% 3.6% 2.4% -0.5% -8.8% -20.7% -38.0%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.94 0.86 0.77 0.81 0.87 0.84 0.81 0.85 0.76 0.43 0.04 0.13 0.49 0.47 0.25 0.37 0.61 0.69 0.52 0.62 0.616
Earnings Stability 0.02 0.02 0.09 0.18 0.22 0.25 0.25 0.30 0.33 0.15 0.47 0.09 0.32 0.35 0.31 0.37 0.33 0.28 0.23 0.26 0.263
Margin Stability 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.84 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.74 0.72 0.66 0.64 0.61 0.611
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.97 0.83 0.95 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.93 0.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.69 0.93 0.45 0.86 0.08
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.02 0.08 0.14 0.17 0.22 0.16 0.12 0.03 -0.06 -0.01 -0.16 -1.02 -1.13 -4.30 -4.17 -0.57 -0.21 0.96 1.15 1.145
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.00 -0.07 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.10 -0.06 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.063
FCF Margin Trend -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.05 0.05 -0.07 -0.16 -0.15 -0.17 -0.09 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0.01 0.010
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.6% 6.7% 14.5% 19.9% 24.1% 29.0% 25.7% 24.8% 19.4% 12.8% 19.3% 6.9%
Internal Growth Rate 3.2% 3.9% 8.3% 11.7% 14.6% 18.1% 16.8% 16.1% 12.1% 7.7% 7.3% 2.5%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.21 1.45 1.14 1.26 1.24 1.26 1.34 1.41 1.82 2.04 1.08 0.92 0.08 0.04 0.09 -0.00 -0.24 -0.38 -0.41 -0.68 -0.683
FCF/OCF 0.78 0.70 0.67 0.73 0.75 0.83 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.83 0.84 0.56 1.64 2.24 1.49 -10.19 0.16 0.36 0.34 0.61 0.614
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.419
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.307
CapEx/Revenue 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.98%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.157
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.11 -0.10 -0.01 0.00 -0.26 -0.31 -0.26 -0.28 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.056
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.054
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.588
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.82 $0.85 $0.85 $0.87 $0.90 $0.94 $0.97 $0.97 $0.98 $0.98 $0.97 $0.71 $0.46 $0.22 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 41.3% 37.8% 21.7% 17.2% 15.1% 13.2% 13.4% 13.8% 16.8% 23.2% 14.9% 26.9%
FCF Payout Ratio 43.9% 37.6% 28.3% 18.7% 16.1% 12.6% 11.8% 11.4% 10.8% 13.7% 16.5% 52.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 1.6% 1.2% 68.0% 58.6% 35.3% 38.2% 45.9% 64.9% 99.2% 1.2% 71.0% 91.4%
Div. Increase Streak 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.11 0.15 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.14 0.09 0.05 0.02 -0.02 -0.25 -0.49 -0.75
Buyback Yield 2.7% 2.2% 1.5% 2.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.08%
Net Buyback Yield 2.5% 2.1% 1.4% 2.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 3.4% 4.5% 6.1% 5.8% 5.4% 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 3.4% 3.2% 2.2% 3.0% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 4.3% 5.5% 7.6% 7.3% 7.6% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.52 0.49 0.68 0.72 0.73 0.76 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.79 3.67 -0.65 0.47 0.52 0.65 0.68 2.16 1.64 0.73 0.64 0.635
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.59 2.92 1.10 1.14 1.18 1.20 -0.71 -0.62 -4.39 -2.88 -2.877
EBIT Margin 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.07 -0.03 -0.70 -0.58 -0.43 -0.39 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.020
Asset Turnover 1.44 1.52 1.54 1.63 1.72 1.80 1.70 1.60 1.45 1.30 0.55 0.64 0.79 0.94 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.90 0.89 0.888
Equity Multiplier 1.81 1.81 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 2.85 2.85 2.85 2.85 5.99 5.99 5.99 5.99 17.61 17.61 17.607
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.97 $2.25 $3.90 $5.07 $6.01 $7.09 $7.24 $7.06 $5.82 $4.21 $6.52 $2.64 $-22.24 $-24.29 $-27.82 $-26.69 $-5.69 $-3.74 $-3.48 $-2.95 $-2.95
Book Value/Share $19.96 $20.16 $21.86 $21.91 $22.00 $22.07 $26.49 $26.71 $27.17 $27.44 $29.77 $29.10 $28.51 $27.35 $6.87 $6.68 $6.63 $6.51 $3.66 $3.66 $3.95
Tangible Book/Share $5.74 $5.80 $6.34 $6.35 $6.38 $6.40 $12.50 $12.60 $12.82 $12.95 $13.66 $13.36 $13.09 $12.55 $-44.95 $-43.73 $-43.39 $-42.63 $-42.50 $-42.50 $-42.50
Revenue/Share $53.45 $57.21 $61.21 $65.21 $68.98 $72.56 $73.91 $70.40 $64.63 $58.73 $45.20 $51.20 $61.73 $70.49 $84.25 $84.32 $82.85 $80.61 $80.56 $79.55 $79.55
FCF/Share $1.86 $2.26 $2.99 $4.66 $5.60 $7.42 $8.18 $8.50 $9.09 $7.14 $5.91 $1.36 $-3.06 $-2.40 $-3.83 $-1.33 $0.21 $0.50 $0.49 $1.24 $1.24
OCF/Share $2.39 $3.25 $4.43 $6.37 $7.42 $8.97 $9.70 $9.92 $10.59 $8.60 $7.07 $2.42 $-1.86 $-1.07 $-2.57 $0.13 $1.34 $1.40 $1.43 $2.02 $2.02
Cash/Share $1.47 $1.48 $1.37 $1.38 $1.38 $1.39 $1.72 $1.73 $1.76 $1.78 $4.75 $4.64 $4.55 $4.37 $3.57 $3.47 $3.45 $3.39 $3.42 $3.42 $4.55
EBITDA/Share $5.33 $6.09 $7.32 $8.69 $10.04 $11.26 $11.74 $11.50 $9.87 $7.72 $5.09 $1.39 $-39.12 $-36.81 $-31.21 $-27.85 $8.21 $8.50 $6.01 $6.58 $6.58
Debt/Share $8.87 $8.96 $11.79 $11.81 $11.86 $11.90 $9.99 $10.08 $10.25 $10.35 $75.80 $74.10 $72.60 $69.64 $73.07 $71.07 $70.52 $69.28 $69.73 $69.73 $69.73
Net Debt/Share $7.40 $7.48 $10.41 $10.43 $10.48 $10.51 $8.28 $8.34 $8.49 $8.57 $71.05 $69.45 $68.05 $65.28 $69.49 $67.59 $67.07 $65.89 $66.31 $66.31 $66.31
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.891
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.023
Piotroski F-Score 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 6 6 5 4 2 2 2 4 5 4 5 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.38 -2.50 -2.36 -2.43 -2.48 -2.50 -2.89 -2.97 -2.88 -2.86 -0.97 -1.01 -1.98 -2.46 -0.27 -3.16 -2.17 1.51 -2.67 -1.19 -1.186
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.572
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-66.58
EVA snapshot only $-175540920.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 86.49 86.50 89.43 90.88 90.95 93.03 95.54 95.54 93.97 92.11 27.26 16.94 19.92 18.42 16.38 17.10 16.00 15.93 15.95 15.73 15.730
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.367
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 3
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 4

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms