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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
1W: +2.1% 1M: +18.0% 3M: +43.2% YTD: +28.4% 1Y: -15.7% 3Y: -52.4% 5Y: -43.9%
$12.88
-0.17 (-1.34%)
After Hours: $12.86 (-0.03, -0.23%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.8%
$12 $13 $13 $14 $15
NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · Tech Score Buy · Power 65 · $1.3B mcap · 90M float · 2.71% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 67% of companies Debt: 58.9% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.54 (down 96%), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.85B against a stock market value of $1.29B.
Distance to default 3.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $260.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.4%; Altman Z'' -0.20. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Cash Flow Trends

Operating Cash Flow
$222M +98.4% ▲
5Y CAGR: +4.2%
Capital Expenditures
$198M -6.3% ▼
5Y CAGR: +8.7%
Free Cash Flow
$24M +131.9% ▲
5Y CAGR: -14.0%
Dividends Paid
$0 +0.0% ▲
Buybacks
$0 +100.0% ▲
Net Change in Cash
$7M +113.0% ▲

Cash Flow Composition

Year-over-Year Growth

View Full Cash Flow Statement
Line ItemFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
— Operating Activities —
Net Income$62M$65M$79M$39M-$225M
Depreciation & Amort.$74M$81M$88M$108M$130M
Stock-Based Comp.$18M$33M$31M$11M$10M
Change in Working Capital-$19M-$33M$70M-$86M$35M
Other Non-Cash Items$31M$41M$16M$27M$294M
Operating Cash Flow$166M$186M$303M$112M$222M
— Investing Activities —
Capital Expenditures-$123M-$130M-$169M-$187M-$198M
Acquisitions (Net)$0$0$0-$61M$0
Investment Purchases$0$0$0$0$0
Investment Sales$0$0$0$0$0
Other Investing-$13M-$19M-$25M-$27M-$31M
Investing Cash Flow-$137M-$150M-$194M-$274M-$230M
— Financing Activities —
Net Debt Issuance-$1M-$76M-$92M$182M$14M
Stock Repurchased$0-$3M-$6M-$81M$0
Dividends Paid-$186K-$105K-$15K$0$0
Other Financing$7M$7M$908K$9M$0
Financing Cash Flow$6M-$73M-$97M$110M$14M
Net Change in Cash$35M-$37M$12M-$52M$7M
Cash End of Period$140M$103M$115M$63M$70M
Free Cash Flow$42M$55M$111M-$75M$24M

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms