— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: GWR.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M

GWRS NASDAQ

Global Water Resources, Inc.
1W: +0.9% 1M: -4.6% 3M: -21.6% YTD: -16.6% 1Y: -31.7% 3Y: -31.9% 5Y: -54.2%
$7.22
+0.23 (+3.29%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.7%
$6 $6 $7 $7 $7
NASDAQ · Utilities · Regulated Water · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 45 · $207.7M mcap · 14M float · 0.641% daily turnover · Short 42% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
42.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 2.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.5%
Cost Advantage
22
Intangibles
47
Switching Cost
61
Network Effect
29
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. GWRS shows a Weak competitive edge (42.5/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 2.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$12
Avg Target
$14
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$12.50
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-03-09 Roth Capital $15 $12 -2 +60.5% $7.79
2025-11-17 Roth Capital Initiated $15 +70.2% $8.81

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
2
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. GWRS receives an overall rating of C-. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-20 C C-
2026-05-13 C- C
2026-05-06 C C-
2026-04-30 C- C
2026-04-28 C C-
2026-04-01 C- C
2026-03-09 C+ C-
2026-03-04 C- C+
2026-02-18 C C-
2026-01-03 C+ C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

23 Grade C
Profitability
16
Balance Sheet
21
Earnings Quality
80
Growth
25
Value
35
Momentum
58
Safety
15
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. GWRS scores highest in Earnings Quality (80/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.49
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
3.92
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.24
Bankruptcy prob: 1.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 18.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 8.58x
Accruals: -3.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. GWRS scores 0.49, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GWRS scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GWRS's score of 3.92 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GWRS's implied 1.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GWRS receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 18.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GWRS's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
101.80x
PEG
-1.45x
P/S
3.60x
P/B
2.42x
P/FCF
-5.30x
P/OCF
12.72x
EV/EBITDA
14.63x
EV/Revenue
6.23x
EV/EBIT
43.60x
EV/FCF
-8.55x
Earnings Yield
0.92%
FCF Yield
-18.88%
Shareholder Yield
3.92%
Graham Number
$2.17
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 101.8x earnings, GWRS is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2.17 per share, 233% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.730
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.339
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.143
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.127
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
6.616
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GWRS's ROE of 3.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 6.62x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.59
Price/Value
12.84x
Margin of Safety
-1183.98%
Premium
1183.98%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GWRS's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. GWRS trades at a 1184% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.59, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 101.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.22
Median 1Y
$6.59
5th Pctile
$3.74
95th Pctile
$11.67
Ann. Volatility
36.8%
Analyst Target
$12.50
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Ron L. Fleming
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer
$385,000 $259,252 $819,403
Michael J. Liebman
Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary
$308,000 $185,812 $610,308
Christopher D. Krygier
Chief Operating Officer
$275,000 $118,859 $458,432

CEO Pay Ratio

6:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $819,403
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $141,706
Employees: 126

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
126
+3.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$442,524
Rev: $55,758,000
Profit / Employee
$23,468
NI: $2,957,000
SGA / Employee
$141,706
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 9.3% 10.6% 11.6% 15.2% 15.6% 16.2% 14.8% 19.0% 18.0% 20.6% 17.2% 13.3% 13.3% 14.0% 12.0% 11.8% 11.6% 9.1% 4.4% 3.0% 2.98%
ROA 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.45%
ROIC 3.9% 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.0% 4.5% 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 3.6% 2.4% 2.1% 2.08%
ROCE 3.4% 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 3.7% 3.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.1% 2.1% 1.7% 1.74%
Gross Margin 77.3% 76.5% 74.4% 74.6% 74.9% 76.7% 76.3% 78.8% 75.5% 75.3% 74.8% 71.7% 74.2% 76.0% 73.5% 70.4% 49.2% 73.4% 70.3% 36.4% 36.44%
Operating Margin 21.4% 20.1% 12.7% 13.6% 21.0% 23.3% 11.1% 28.8% 23.2% 26.4% 13.4% 10.9% 20.7% 27.8% 9.9% 10.1% 18.4% 18.8% 2.7% 2.9% 2.93%
Net Margin 18.1% 13.1% 3.4% 8.9% 18.0% 14.2% 7.4% 18.8% 13.4% 18.1% 9.2% 6.0% 12.8% 20.4% 3.3% 4.7% 11.3% 11.1% -7.1% -2.8% -2.75%
EBITDA Margin 58.3% 47.8% 41.9% 47.7% 46.7% 49.6% 36.9% 49.9% 50.3% 55.2% 45.9% 46.9% 52.1% 59.4% 45.8% 44.8% 49.4% 47.7% 36.3% 35.6% 35.62%
FCF Margin 16.4% 11.3% 5.1% -0.5% -3.6% -15.7% -23.8% -20.7% -18.2% -1.9% 5.8% 10.6% 10.5% -8.5% -20.0% -38.4% -70.9% -70.9% -84.6% -72.8% -72.84%
OCF Margin 41.3% 43.8% 48.6% 49.1% 57.3% 56.6% 52.2% 51.1% 49.1% 50.7% 47.9% 52.4% 50.6% 35.8% 41.3% 39.6% 31.4% 42.3% 36.2% 30.3% 30.34%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.01%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.74%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.18%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.47%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.05%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.55%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.77%
CROIC snapshot only -18.66%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 8.12%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.84%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 32.02%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.45%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 133.14 128.79 98.39 73.49 57.07 50.59 49.13 39.15 42.42 29.00 37.57 47.87 45.46 45.43 46.66 43.25 49.52 64.37 77.37 109.14 101.805
P/S Ratio 8.63 9.36 8.47 8.12 6.36 5.79 6.05 5.80 5.80 4.29 5.65 5.77 5.42 5.69 5.13 4.60 5.08 5.06 4.10 3.86 3.599
P/B Ratio 10.91 12.02 11.82 11.54 9.20 8.47 6.09 6.25 6.42 5.01 6.17 6.11 5.79 6.06 5.67 5.17 5.80 5.90 2.64 2.52 2.417
P/FCF 52.51 82.89 166.23 -1786.06 -174.61 -36.91 -25.40 -27.99 -31.92 -227.20 97.33 54.58 51.38 -67.33 -25.63 -11.95 -7.17 -7.14 -4.85 -5.30 -5.296
P/OCF 20.87 21.38 17.42 16.53 11.09 10.22 11.59 11.34 11.81 8.46 11.81 11.01 10.71 15.91 12.40 11.61 16.19 11.97 11.34 12.72 12.716
EV/EBITDA 24.24 25.94 23.41 21.33 18.80 17.33 18.51 17.34 16.86 12.96 15.17 15.72 14.82 15.04 14.26 13.30 14.40 15.20 14.55 14.63 14.628
EV/Revenue 11.00 11.69 10.86 10.47 8.67 8.07 8.38 7.98 7.92 6.31 7.66 7.83 7.46 7.74 7.32 6.76 7.22 7.15 6.51 6.23 6.229
EV/EBIT 49.11 52.29 45.72 39.42 36.30 33.26 37.22 33.44 32.04 24.12 27.06 29.36 28.07 27.60 27.64 26.40 28.80 33.18 36.49 43.60 43.603
EV/FCF 66.96 103.59 213.18 -2302.92 -237.99 -51.46 -35.20 -38.52 -43.61 -333.89 131.85 74.12 70.78 -91.63 -36.61 -17.57 -10.18 -10.09 -7.70 -8.55 -8.552
Earnings Yield 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.4% 2.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.92%
FCF Yield 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% -0.1% -0.6% -2.7% -3.9% -3.6% -3.1% -0.4% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% -1.5% -3.9% -8.4% -13.9% -14.0% -20.6% -18.9% -18.88%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.948
EV/OCF snapshot only 20.534
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.758
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 56.039
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.92%
Graham Number snapshot only $2.17
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.89 1.89 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.76 0.76 0.761
Quick Ratio 1.89 1.89 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.76 0.76 0.761
Debt/Equity 3.56 3.56 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.62 2.62 2.62 2.62 1.60 1.60 1.597
Net Debt/Equity 3.00 3.00 3.34 3.34 3.34 3.34 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.43 2.43 2.43 2.43 1.55 1.55 1.549
Debt/Assets 0.40 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.29 0.29 0.286
Debt/EBITDA 6.21 6.15 5.81 5.39 5.64 5.52 5.48 5.04 4.81 4.40 4.09 4.26 4.18 4.10 4.61 4.59 4.59 4.78 5.54 5.74 5.739
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.23 5.18 5.16 4.79 5.01 4.90 5.15 4.74 4.52 4.14 3.97 4.14 4.06 3.99 4.28 4.25 4.25 4.43 5.38 5.57 5.570
Interest Coverage 1.70 1.75 1.92 2.23 2.17 2.32 2.50 2.85 2.88 3.08 3.08 2.60 2.51 2.53 2.29 2.28 2.27 2.00 1.67 1.32 1.317
Equity Multiplier 8.81 8.81 9.79 9.79 9.79 9.79 7.28 7.28 7.28 7.28 7.43 7.43 7.43 7.43 8.51 8.51 8.51 8.51 5.58 5.58 5.575
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.212
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.927
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.030
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.298
Defensive Interval snapshot only 162.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.127
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 9.19 9.33 12.06 12.28 12.50 12.64 18.65 19.94 20.48 21.58 17.71 17.20 17.37 17.30 10.83 11.00 11.16 11.40 8.26 8.39 8.385
Payables Turnover 13.06 13.18 7.77 7.80 8.15 8.23 5.07 5.19 5.30 5.68 7.92 8.23 8.42 8.33 8.92 9.18 11.62 12.06 8.86 11.08 11.075
DSO 40 39 30 30 29 29 20 18 18 17 21 21 21 21 34 33 33 32 44 44 43.5 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 28 28 47 47 45 44 72 70 69 64 46 44 43 44 41 40 31 30 41 33 33.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 12 11 -17 -17 -16 -15 -52 -52 -51 -47 -25 -23 -22 -23 -7 -7 1 2 3 11 10.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 14.182
Cash Velocity snapshot only 13.869
Capital Intensity snapshot only 8.534
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 10.8% 10.1% 8.5% 7.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 12.0% 13.1% 17.8% 18.6% 7.7% 5.9% 0.1% -0.6% 3.9% 4.3% 7.1% 5.8% 5.7% 5.69%
Net Income 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 7.8% 83.5% 67.3% 52.6% 50.2% 38.7% 52.4% 45.0% -12.4% -7.7% -15.3% -27.5% -8.3% -10.1% -32.8% -48.9% -64.8% -64.84%
EPS 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 7.7% 83.7% 62.7% 58.6% 43.2% 32.0% 48.4% 32.0% -13.3% -8.7% -15.6% -27.5% -8.9% -20.6% -40.6% -54.3% -70.1% -70.13%
FCF 9.1% 3.1% -60.3% -1.0% -1.2% -2.5% -6.0% -50.1% -4.6% 85.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% -3.5% -4.4% -4.8% -8.0% -8.0% -3.5% -1.0% -1.00%
EBITDA 18.8% 14.3% 19.4% 34.6% 8.4% 9.7% 4.1% 5.1% 15.3% 23.1% 32.2% 16.6% 13.4% 5.9% 1.1% 6.0% 3.9% -2.2% -7.8% -11.4% -11.42%
Op. Income 2.2% -10.5% -4.9% 10.9% 3.2% 19.7% 12.0% 40.2% 45.3% 50.1% 57.1% -4.5% -11.3% -18.1% -23.8% -4.3% -4.1% -16.4% -23.6% -32.7% -32.74%
OCF Growth snapshot only -19.01%
Asset Growth snapshot only 19.20%
Equity Growth snapshot only 81.95%
Debt Growth snapshot only 10.84%
Shares Change snapshot only 17.70%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 16.75%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 5.6% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 8.4% 7.8% 8.0% 10.0% 10.2% 11.3% 11.1% 9.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 8.1% 7.6% 5.8% 5.77%
Revenue 5Y 39.9% 21.3% 12.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 8.5% 7.3% 8.1% 8.3% 7.5% 8.8% 8.1% 8.2% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 7.6% 7.4% 7.37%
EPS 3Y -29.6% -22.5% 2.9% 8.8% 32.6% 24.7% 34.3% 50.7% 83.0% 86.0% 89.2% 1.2% 30.3% 26.8% 14.9% 4.2% -1.5% -9.4% -24.1% -38.2% -38.21%
EPS 5Y 22.1% 21.4% 2.2% 4.4% -3.3% 2.4% 18.0% 9.9% 22.9% 19.5% 18.3% 22.0% 34.7% 26.4% 17.6% 24.1% 24.09%
Net Income 3Y -26.0% -20.3% 5.2% 11.2% 35.3% 28.5% 35.3% 54.3% 86.9% 90.2% 93.3% 1.3% 32.9% 29.3% 17.1% 6.5% 4.8% -4.6% -18.7% -34.4% -34.39%
Net Income 5Y 25.9% 25.9% 4.5% 8.6% 0.6% 5.2% 20.8% 12.6% 26.0% 22.3% 21.1% 24.1% 40.2% 31.4% 21.8% 30.2% 30.23%
EBITDA 3Y -0.1% 1.9% 3.4% 6.5% 9.2% 8.9% 9.2% 10.5% 14.1% 15.6% 18.0% 18.2% 12.3% 12.7% 11.6% 9.1% 10.7% 8.4% 7.2% 3.1% 3.06%
EBITDA 5Y 48.8% 21.8% 15.6% 11.5% 8.3% 7.9% 5.6% 6.4% 4.5% 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 11.2% 10.9% 11.8% 10.7% 11.8% 9.9% 8.9% 9.1% 9.14%
Gross Profit 3Y 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.4% 10.8% 11.0% 12.0% 11.5% 8.7% 7.8% 7.1% 7.2% 6.8% 3.7% 3.8% 2.7% -3.7% -3.70%
Gross Profit 5Y 41.0% 21.8% 13.2% 8.0% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.6% 7.1% 7.9% 8.1% 7.0% 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 7.9% 5.7% 5.5% 4.8% 1.9% 1.88%
Op. Income 3Y -10.4% -10.7% -9.0% -7.1% 0.8% 0.6% 4.0% 10.6% 15.3% 17.2% 18.8% 14.1% 10.0% 13.8% 10.3% 8.6% 7.3% 0.9% -2.9% -15.0% -14.97%
Op. Income 5Y 54.2% 13.6% 10.6% 7.5% 4.4% 5.2% 1.9% 6.1% 1.5% 5.1% 5.8% 1.4% 5.7% 4.6% 6.1% 4.3% 5.4% 1.9% -0.5% -0.9% -0.90%
FCF 3Y 44.8% -4.5% -31.1% -17.0% -9.2% -6.4%
FCF 5Y -13.9% -0.6% 3.9%
OCF 3Y 9.6% 11.5% 21.7% 23.6% 28.5% 26.5% 26.4% 30.7% 30.3% 29.7% 20.5% 18.7% 16.1% 0.8% 2.2% 0.4% -11.9% -1.9% -4.7% -11.1% -11.12%
OCF 5Y 68.2% 25.4% 25.5% 15.9% 13.4% 13.5% 15.0% 17.6% 19.4% 17.5% 8.5% 13.5% 14.1% 9.3% 14.3% 6.8% 1.2% 1.24%
Assets 3Y 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 14.3% 14.3% 14.34%
Assets 5Y 3.6% 3.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 11.2% 11.2% 11.24%
Equity 3Y 29.4% 29.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7% 16.6% 16.6% 16.6% 16.6% 25.0% 25.0% 24.95%
Book Value 3Y 23.0% 25.9% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% -0.5% 20.8% 18.8% 19.1% 18.9% 12.3% 12.0% 12.5% 12.6% 14.5% 14.1% 9.6% 10.8% 16.7% 17.7% 17.69%
Dividend 3Y -3.8% -2.0% -1.8% -1.8% -1.6% -2.3% 0.7% -0.5% 0.2% -0.1% -0.7% -1.4% -1.4% -1.5% -1.3% -1.7% -4.6% -2.5% -2.9% -0.8% -0.83%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.81 0.86 0.92 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.91 0.88 0.88 0.96 0.99 0.95 0.94 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.93 0.98 0.985
Earnings Stability 0.17 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.11 0.06 0.16 0.63 0.51 0.84 0.79 0.72 0.63 0.72 0.44 0.16 0.04 0.038
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.89 0.892
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.50 0.82 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.89 0.97 0.96 0.87 0.80 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.12 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.50 0.58 0.60 0.68 0.58 0.63 0.87 0.92 0.83 0.68 0.91 0.89 0.61 0.35 0.04 0.040
ROE Trend 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.07 0.03 0.04 0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.06 -0.11 -0.10 -0.100
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 -0.16 -0.161
FCF Margin Trend 0.11 0.05 -0.02 -0.07 -0.11 -0.23 -0.33 -0.30 -0.25 0.00 0.15 0.21 0.21 0.00 -0.11 -0.33 -0.67 -0.66 -0.77 -0.59 -0.589
Sustainable Growth Rate -13.9% -12.6% -9.6% -6.2% -5.8% -5.5% -3.7% 0.2% -1.1% 1.3% 1.7% -2.2% -2.3% -1.7% -3.1% -3.4% -4.2% -7.3% -7.8% -9.8% -9.75%
Internal Growth Rate 0.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 6.38 6.02 5.65 4.44 5.14 4.95 4.24 3.45 3.59 3.43 3.18 4.35 4.24 2.86 3.76 3.73 3.06 5.38 6.82 8.58 8.583
FCF/OCF 0.40 0.26 0.10 -0.01 -0.06 -0.28 -0.46 -0.41 -0.37 -0.04 0.12 0.20 0.21 -0.24 -0.48 -0.97 -2.26 -1.68 -2.34 -2.40 -2.401
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -20.608
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.712
CapEx/Revenue 24.9% 32.5% 43.5% 49.5% 60.9% 72.3% 76.0% 71.8% 67.3% 52.6% 42.1% 41.8% 40.0% 44.2% 61.3% 78.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.03%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 3.646
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.034
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.040
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.256
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.29%
Dividend/Share $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.31 $0.29 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30 $0.28 $0.29 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30
Payout Ratio 2.5% 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 98.8% 1.1% 93.8% 90.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 4.3% 4.27%
FCF Payout Ratio 98.3% 1.4% 3.1% 2.3% 1.3% 1.3%
Total Payout Ratio 2.5% 2.2% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 98.8% 1.1% 93.8% 90.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 4.3% 4.27%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.16 0.21 0.207
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -0.0% -0.0% 0.2% 0.2% -0.5% -4.8% -5.5% -5.3% -6.8% -2.1% -0.9% -0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -12.5% -11.3% -15.7% -19.3% -6.0% -5.98%
Total Shareholder Return 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% -2.2% -2.9% -2.8% -4.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.7% 2.6% 2.8% -9.5% -8.5% -12.9% -15.7% -2.1% -2.06%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.70 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.87 0.83 0.85 0.83 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.73 0.730
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.41 0.43 0.48 0.55 0.54 0.57 0.64 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.72 0.62 0.60 0.60 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.50 0.40 0.34 0.339
EBIT Margin 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.22 0.18 0.14 0.143
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.127
Equity Multiplier 9.67 9.67 9.28 9.28 9.28 9.28 8.29 8.29 8.29 8.29 7.36 7.36 7.36 7.36 7.96 7.96 7.96 7.96 6.62 6.62 6.616
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.12 $0.13 $0.16 $0.21 $0.21 $0.21 $0.25 $0.29 $0.28 $0.32 $0.33 $0.26 $0.25 $0.27 $0.24 $0.23 $0.20 $0.16 $0.11 $0.07 $0.07
Book Value/Share $1.41 $1.40 $1.31 $1.31 $1.31 $1.27 $2.01 $1.85 $1.85 $1.83 $2.01 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $1.96 $1.95 $1.73 $1.73 $3.20 $3.01 $2.93
Tangible Book/Share $0.72 $0.72 $0.61 $0.61 $0.61 $0.59 $1.33 $1.22 $1.22 $1.21 $1.20 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.23 $1.22 $1.08 $1.08 $2.73 $2.57 $2.57
Revenue/Share $1.78 $1.80 $1.83 $1.86 $1.90 $1.86 $2.03 $1.99 $2.04 $2.14 $2.19 $2.12 $2.14 $2.13 $2.18 $2.19 $1.97 $2.02 $2.06 $1.97 $1.97
FCF/Share $0.29 $0.20 $0.09 $-0.01 $-0.07 $-0.29 $-0.48 $-0.41 $-0.37 $-0.04 $0.13 $0.22 $0.23 $-0.18 $-0.44 $-0.84 $-1.40 $-1.43 $-1.74 $-1.43 $-1.43
OCF/Share $0.74 $0.79 $0.89 $0.92 $1.09 $1.05 $1.06 $1.02 $1.00 $1.08 $1.05 $1.11 $1.08 $0.76 $0.90 $0.87 $0.62 $0.85 $0.74 $0.60 $0.60
Cash/Share $0.79 $0.79 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.54 $0.30 $0.27 $0.27 $0.27 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.37 $0.37 $0.33 $0.33 $0.15 $0.14 $0.06
EBITDA/Share $0.81 $0.81 $0.85 $0.91 $0.88 $0.87 $0.92 $0.92 $0.96 $1.04 $1.11 $1.06 $1.08 $1.10 $1.12 $1.11 $0.99 $0.95 $0.92 $0.84 $0.84
Debt/Share $5.01 $5.00 $4.92 $4.93 $4.94 $4.79 $5.03 $4.62 $4.61 $4.58 $4.52 $4.51 $4.50 $4.50 $5.15 $5.11 $4.54 $4.54 $5.11 $4.81 $4.81
Net Debt/Share $4.22 $4.21 $4.37 $4.38 $4.38 $4.25 $4.73 $4.34 $4.34 $4.31 $4.39 $4.38 $4.38 $4.38 $4.78 $4.74 $4.21 $4.21 $4.96 $4.67 $4.67
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.489
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.622
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.56 -2.63 -2.77 -2.79 -2.82 -2.83 -2.25 -2.24 -2.22 -2.22 -2.66 -2.72 -2.72 -2.64 -2.40 -2.40 -2.10 -2.47 3.43 3.92 3.918
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.236
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-13.27
EVA snapshot only $-17487905.41
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 28.95 34.89 24.98 28.11 26.49 27.32 26.38 27.41 28.46 33.41 34.13 29.92 30.09 27.72 28.77 29.31 27.95 24.75 20.92 18.39 18.394
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -10.920
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 8
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 8

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