$83.93

-1.52 (-1.78%)

Weekly Expected Move ±4.7%

$77 $81 $85 $89 $93

NYSE · Energy · Coal · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 39 · $4.4B mcap · 52M float · 1.70% daily turnover · Short 84% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE

62.9 / 100

NoneWeakNarrowWide

Primary source: Efficient Scale · ROIC: 6.4% · 5Y Avg: 22.6%

Cost Advantage

Intangibles

Switching Cost

Network Effect

Scale ★

The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HCC has a Narrow competitive edge (62.9/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 6.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets

Low

$105

Avg Target

$105

High

Based on 7 analyst ratings (12 mo)

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 15Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0

Rating Summary

ConsensusHold

Avg Target$105.00

Analysts1

Price Target Change History

Date	Firm	Analyst	Old	New	Change	Upside @ Call	Stock@Call
2026-03-27	UBS	George Eadie	$108	$105	-3	+5.9%	$99.16
2026-01-29	UBS	—	$86	$108	+22	+19.9%	$90.09
2026-01-20	Jefferies	—	Initiated	$120	—	+20.9%	$99.27
2025-12-12	UBS	George Eadie	$80	$86	+6	+4.3%	$82.46
2025-11-24	UBS	—	$68	$80	+12	+6.6%	$75.07
2025-10-08	UBS	—	Initiated	$68	—	+6.4%	$63.88
2025-08-07	BMO Capital	Katja Jancic	$37	$55	+18	-6.4%	$58.73
2022-08-03	BMO Capital	David Gagliano	Initiated	$37	—	+17.4%	$31.52

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

May 22, 2026

DCF

ROE

ROA

D/E

P/E

P/B

The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HCC receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5), D/E (4/5). Areas of concern: P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).

Rating Change History

Date	From	To
2026-04-30	B-	B
2026-04-24	B	B-
2026-04-01	B-	B
2026-02-17	B	B-
2026-02-13	B+	B
2026-02-13	B	B+
2026-02-09	B+	B
2026-01-03	B	B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 62 Grade A+

Profitability

Balance Sheet

Earnings Quality

Growth

Value

Momentum

Safety

100

Cash Flow

The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HCC scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (35/100). An overall grade of A+ places HCC among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score

6.49

Safe Zone

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓

Beneish M-Score

-2.30

Unlikely Manipulator

Ohlson O-Score

-9.82

Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%

Low Risk

Credit Rating

AA+

Score: 92.1/100

Trend: Deteriorating

Earnings Quality

100/100

OCF/NI: 1.50x

Accruals: -2.6%

The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HCC scores 6.49, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HCC scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HCC's score of -2.30 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HCC's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HCC receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 92.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HCC's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E

32.18x

PEG

1.06x

P/S

3.02x

P/B

2.01x

P/FCF

-36.50x

P/OCF

23.79x

EV/EBITDA

13.74x

EV/Revenue

3.29x

EV/EBIT

31.24x

EV/FCF

-35.89x

Earnings Yield

2.80%

FCF Yield

-2.74%

Shareholder Yield

0.65%

Graham Number

$48.79

Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 32.2x earnings, HCC commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $48.79 per share, 72% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden

0.933

NI / EBT

Interest Burden

0.953

EBT / EBIT

EBIT Margin

0.105

EBIT / Rev

Asset Turnover

0.546

Rev / Assets

Equity Multiplier

1.270

Assets / Equity

ROE

6.5%

The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HCC's ROE of 6.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.546), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.93 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate

29.67%

Fair P/E

67.85x

Intrinsic Value

$176.83

Price/Value

0.53x

Margin of Safety

47.32%

Premium

-47.32%

Assessment

Undervalued

Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HCC's realized 29.7% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $176.83, HCC appears undervalued with a 47% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 67.8x compares to the current market P/E of 32.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price

$83.95

Median 1Y

$86.84

5th Pctile

$33.78

95th Pctile

$224.13

Ann. Volatility

54.5%

Analyst Target

$105.00

25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

Executive	Salary	Stock	Total
Walter J. Scheller, III Chief Executive Officer	$900,000	$4,121,831	$7,336,513
Jack K. Richardson Chief Operating Officer	$575,900	$1,470,322	$3,200,845
Dale W. Boyles Chief Financial Officer	$495,957	$1,228,539	$2,743,091
Kelli K. Gant Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary	$438,900	$989,297	$2,217,622
Charles Lussier Chief Commercial Officer	$398,303	$772,723	$1,831,766

CEO Pay Ratio

166:1

CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio

CEO Total Comp: $7,336,513

Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $44,230

Employees: 1,485

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees

1,485

+11.2% YoY

Revenue / Employee

$882,184

Rev: $1,310,043,000

Profit / Employee

$38,382

NI: $56,998,000

SGA / Employee

$44,230

Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
ROE	-10.0%	-2.9%	18.9%	39.9%	77.7%	85.2%	55.3%	58.4%	39.9%	38.8%	28.8%	26.1%	25.4%	22.8%	12.6%	5.3%	2.0%	1.8%	2.7%	6.5%	6.50%
ROA	-5.4%	-1.6%	10.6%	22.3%	43.4%	47.6%	36.7%	38.8%	26.5%	25.7%	21.8%	19.8%	19.2%	17.3%	10.1%	4.3%	1.6%	1.4%	2.1%	5.1%	5.12%
ROIC	-3.8%	1.9%	21.4%	41.2%	76.1%	82.9%	69.4%	72.5%	48.6%	47.2%	36.1%	32.3%	31.3%	27.0%	12.8%	4.7%	1.3%	0.6%	2.3%	6.4%	6.43%
ROCE	-3.5%	2.0%	17.5%	31.4%	59.9%	66.2%	44.4%	45.5%	30.7%	29.2%	26.4%	23.6%	22.6%	19.9%	11.9%	4.7%	1.9%	1.0%	2.2%	6.1%	6.12%
Gross Margin	11.5%	37.0%	51.7%	55.6%	62.9%	37.8%	39.1%	44.8%	28.2%	28.2%	40.3%	33.4%	21.8%	15.4%	4.5%	97.4%	6.6%	11.3%	13.8%	98.2%	98.18%
Operating Margin	-1.2%	25.3%	44.3%	49.3%	59.6%	31.9%	34.1%	41.1%	23.8%	25.4%	36.7%	29.6%	17.9%	11.9%	-1.4%	-5.8%	2.6%	6.1%	9.1%	17.3%	17.31%
Net Margin	-2.1%	19.0%	33.3%	38.6%	47.5%	25.2%	28.9%	35.8%	21.6%	20.2%	35.4%	27.2%	17.8%	12.7%	0.4%	-2.7%	1.9%	11.2%	6.0%	15.8%	15.77%
EBITDA Margin	16.4%	40.3%	51.5%	58.7%	65.7%	43.0%	42.3%	50.2%	34.9%	33.6%	49.2%	39.2%	29.8%	25.8%	14.1%	-5.8%	18.8%	21.4%	23.7%	29.3%	29.27%
FCF Margin	13.3%	18.4%	27.7%	25.9%	32.1%	37.3%	36.4%	37.3%	26.4%	15.4%	12.5%	5.3%	8.1%	3.2%	-5.9%	-12.3%	-19.3%	-13.9%	-8.5%	-9.2%	-9.17%
OCF Margin	20.8%	24.2%	33.2%	30.8%	39.3%	45.4%	48.4%	51.6%	46.8%	39.3%	41.8%	36.7%	37.6%	35.1%	24.1%	20.8%	13.5%	17.0%	17.5%	14.1%	14.07%
ROE 3Y Avg	snapshot only																				11.53%
ROE 5Y Avg	snapshot only																				23.58%
ROA 3Y Avg	snapshot only																				9.13%
ROIC 3Y Avg	snapshot only																				10.80%
ROIC Economic	snapshot only																				5.55%
Cash ROA	snapshot only																				7.42%
Cash ROIC	snapshot only																				10.03%
CROIC	snapshot only																				-6.54%
NOPAT Margin	snapshot only																				9.01%
Pretax Margin	snapshot only																				10.04%
R&D / Revenue	snapshot only																				0.00%
SGA / Revenue	snapshot only																				5.14%
SBC / Revenue	snapshot only																				2.05%

Valuation

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
P/E Ratio	-10.78	-51.00	7.98	5.47	2.36	2.05	2.66	2.75	4.29	5.80	6.51	7.24	7.73	8.79	11.28	23.65	59.63	95.17	81.07	35.74	32.181
P/S Ratio	0.96	1.27	1.14	1.42	0.90	0.77	0.98	0.99	1.22	1.57	1.86	1.88	1.93	2.09	1.85	1.89	1.97	2.74	3.53	3.35	3.016
P/B Ratio	1.10	1.50	1.38	2.00	1.68	1.60	1.18	1.28	1.37	1.80	1.66	1.67	1.74	1.77	1.35	1.19	1.15	1.60	2.16	2.30	2.007
P/FCF	7.19	6.89	4.10	5.49	2.81	2.07	2.69	2.66	4.62	10.22	14.88	35.26	23.86	65.28	-31.48	-15.34	-10.19	-19.74	-41.55	-36.50	-36.502
P/OCF	4.61	5.25	3.42	4.63	2.30	1.70	2.02	1.93	2.61	4.00	4.44	5.13	5.14	5.96	7.69	9.09	14.59	16.14	20.16	23.79	23.788
EV/EBITDA	10.19	7.74	3.16	3.12	1.56	1.36	1.27	1.38	2.11	3.11	3.58	3.94	4.22	4.75	5.64	9.51	12.56	20.00	22.70	13.74	13.745
EV/Revenue	1.20	1.50	1.12	1.41	0.90	0.76	0.69	0.73	0.91	1.27	1.52	1.54	1.59	1.73	1.63	1.63	1.70	2.47	3.47	3.29	3.292
EV/EBIT	-23.50	51.98	5.06	4.11	1.81	1.56	1.44	1.59	2.57	3.85	4.36	4.93	5.38	6.27	8.66	18.89	44.04	123.42	80.43	31.24	31.239
EV/FCF	8.97	8.15	4.06	5.45	2.79	2.05	1.90	1.94	3.45	8.25	12.14	28.81	19.66	54.01	-27.77	-13.29	-8.78	-17.78	-40.81	-35.89	-35.891
Earnings Yield	-9.3%	-2.0%	12.5%	18.3%	42.3%	48.7%	37.6%	36.4%	23.3%	17.2%	15.4%	13.8%	12.9%	11.4%	8.9%	4.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.2%	2.8%	2.80%
FCF Yield	13.9%	14.5%	24.4%	18.2%	35.6%	48.3%	37.2%	37.5%	21.6%	9.8%	6.7%	2.8%	4.2%	1.5%	-3.2%	-6.5%	-9.8%	-5.1%	-2.4%	-2.7%	-2.74%
PEG Ratio	snapshot only																				1.060
Price/Tangible Book	snapshot only																				2.295
EV/OCF	snapshot only																				23.389
EV/Gross Profit	snapshot only																				8.629
Acquirers Multiple	snapshot only																				34.062
Shareholder Yield	snapshot only																				0.65%
Graham Number	snapshot only																				$48.79

Leverage & Solvency

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Current Ratio	2.74	2.74	5.14	5.14	5.14	5.14	7.66	7.66	7.66	7.66	7.24	7.24	7.24	7.24	5.20	5.20	5.20	5.20	3.19	3.19	3.191
Quick Ratio	2.05	2.05	4.65	4.65	4.65	4.65	6.66	6.66	6.66	6.66	5.99	5.99	5.99	5.99	3.99	3.99	3.99	3.99	2.27	2.27	2.273
Debt/Equity	0.58	0.58	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.23	0.23	0.23	0.23	0.09	0.09	0.09	0.09	0.08	0.08	0.08	0.08	0.13	0.13	0.127
Net Debt/Equity	0.27	0.27	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.35	-0.35	-0.35	-0.35	-0.31	-0.31	-0.31	-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.04	-0.038
Debt/Assets	0.30	0.30	0.27	0.27	0.27	0.27	0.17	0.17	0.17	0.17	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.10	0.10	0.097
Debt/EBITDA	4.28	2.52	1.04	0.71	0.42	0.39	0.35	0.34	0.48	0.50	0.24	0.27	0.27	0.30	0.39	0.76	1.05	1.15	1.35	0.77	0.771
Net Debt/EBITDA	2.02	1.19	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.53	-0.51	-0.72	-0.74	-0.81	-0.88	-0.90	-0.99	-0.75	-1.47	-2.02	-2.21	-0.41	-0.23	-0.234
Interest Coverage	-1.26	0.72	6.65	12.19	24.21	29.48	40.16	42.01	30.94	42.39	45.16	79.24	245.04	126.84	67.42	21.76	6.51	3.01	5.79	14.31	14.315
Equity Multiplier	1.92	1.92	1.68	1.68	1.68	1.68	1.40	1.40	1.40	1.40	1.26	1.26	1.26	1.26	1.24	1.24	1.24	1.24	1.30	1.30	1.300
Cash Ratio	snapshot only																				1.374
Debt Service Coverage	snapshot only																				32.536
Cash to Debt	snapshot only																				1.304
FCF to Debt	snapshot only																				-0.497
Defensive Interval	snapshot only																				467.4 days

Efficiency & Turnover

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Asset Turnover	0.61	0.63	0.74	0.86	1.13	1.27	1.00	1.07	0.93	0.95	0.76	0.76	0.77	0.73	0.62	0.53	0.49	0.49	0.49	0.55	0.546
Inventory Turnover	7.36	7.07	8.13	7.83	8.17	9.46	7.98	9.04	9.42	10.00	6.36	6.68	6.91	6.74	6.16	4.49	4.33	4.39	4.09	4.09	4.095
Receivables Turnover	9.12	9.37	10.31	11.92	15.79	17.62	12.69	13.65	11.86	12.10	13.41	13.36	13.50	12.73	12.76	11.06	10.23	10.23	8.12	9.11	9.106
Payables Turnover	15.10	14.52	15.59	15.01	15.68	18.16	23.41	26.52	27.63	29.32	28.57	30.01	31.01	30.29	31.58	23.00	22.16	22.52	17.08	17.09	17.092
DSO	40	39	35	31	23	21	29	27	31	30	27	27	27	29	29	33	36	36	45	40	40.1 days
DIO	50	52	45	47	45	39	46	40	39	37	57	55	53	54	59	81	84	83	89	89	89.1 days
DPO	24	25	23	24	23	20	16	14	13	12	13	12	12	12	12	16	16	16	21	21	21.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle	65	65	57	53	45	39	59	53	56	54	72	70	68	71	76	98	104	103	113	108	107.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover	snapshot only																				0.808
Operating Cycle	snapshot only																				129.2 days
Cash Velocity	snapshot only																				4.156
Capital Intensity	snapshot only																				1.896

Growth (YoY)

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Revenue	-5.6%	10.4%	35.3%	59.0%	94.6%	1.1%	64.2%	52.7%	0.2%	-8.4%	-3.6%	-10.7%	3.9%	-4.0%	-9.0%	-20.9%	-27.5%	-23.2%	-14.1%	11.1%	11.08%
Net Income	-1.9%	-2.1%	5.2%	5.0%	9.4%	32.9%	3.3%	1.1%	-25.4%	-33.9%	-25.4%	-36.0%	-8.8%	-15.8%	-47.6%	-75.7%	-90.4%	-90.7%	-77.3%	30.4%	30.41%
EPS	-1.9%	-2.1%	5.2%	5.0%	9.3%	32.8%	3.2%	1.1%	-25.9%	-34.4%	-25.9%	-36.3%	-9.3%	-16.3%	-47.9%	-75.8%	-90.5%	-90.7%	-77.3%	29.7%	29.67%
FCF	-10.4%	26.5%	10.7%	4.1%	3.7%	3.3%	1.2%	1.2%	-17.7%	-62.2%	-66.9%	-87.2%	-68.1%	-80.0%	-1.4%	-2.8%	-2.7%	-4.3%	-23.9%	17.2%	17.17%
EBITDA	-52.5%	19.4%	3.0%	6.2%	8.5%	5.1%	1.5%	76.6%	-24.4%	-33.3%	-25.0%	-33.6%	-9.3%	-14.4%	-37.7%	-65.1%	-74.1%	-74.0%	-54.8%	54.7%	54.69%
Op. Income	-1.4%	-37.4%	10.0%	10.0%	19.0%	39.0%	2.3%	96.5%	-31.8%	-39.5%	-32.4%	-41.7%	-14.9%	-25.3%	-52.9%	-81.6%	-94.5%	-98.4%	-82.3%	60.4%	60.44%
OCF Growth	snapshot only																				-24.68%
Asset Growth	snapshot only																				7.42%
Equity Growth	snapshot only																				2.42%
Debt Growth	snapshot only																				56.58%
Shares Change	snapshot only																				0.56%
Dividend Growth	snapshot only																				-5.39%

Growth (CAGR)

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Revenue 3Y	-13.7%	-12.0%	-8.4%	-2.8%	4.8%	8.3%	11.1%	18.7%	22.5%	28.8%	28.9%	29.5%	26.5%	23.0%	12.9%	2.6%	-9.0%	-12.2%	-9.0%	-7.7%	-7.75%
Revenue 5Y	—	—	—	—	34.9%	21.8%	13.7%	6.9%	4.6%	5.7%	4.0%	4.6%	3.7%	2.3%	3.8%	3.4%	6.7%	9.5%	10.8%	13.8%	13.78%
EPS 3Y	—	—	-39.5%	-20.3%	-2.2%	1.1%	28.1%	46.5%	79.8%	1.9%	—	—	—	—	17.8%	-31.2%	-60.0%	-63.0%	-55.6%	-41.5%	-41.53%
EPS 5Y	—	—	—	—	37.2%	22.7%	13.6%	5.7%	-0.6%	1.6%	-7.1%	-7.4%	-8.9%	-10.7%	-4.1%	-13.5%	-12.9%	12.8%	—	—	—
Net Income 3Y	—	—	-40.0%	-20.3%	-2.2%	1.3%	28.6%	47.1%	80.9%	1.9%	—	—	—	—	18.4%	-30.8%	-59.8%	-62.7%	-55.4%	-41.2%	-41.23%
Net Income 5Y	—	—	—	—	36.7%	22.2%	13.1%	5.2%	-1.0%	1.4%	-7.2%	-7.2%	-8.6%	-10.4%	-3.6%	-13.1%	-12.4%	13.5%	—	—	—
EBITDA 3Y	-41.1%	-27.5%	-9.5%	3.6%	17.5%	19.8%	25.4%	39.3%	50.5%	69.5%	95.8%	1.0%	86.7%	51.6%	5.5%	-25.8%	-43.8%	-47.0%	-40.5%	-29.0%	-28.96%
EBITDA 5Y	—	—	—	—	38.4%	28.6%	20.5%	11.8%	8.0%	9.2%	6.9%	5.4%	2.1%	-0.4%	-1.7%	-8.9%	-4.3%	1.6%	16.2%	35.4%	35.36%
Gross Profit 3Y	-60.1%	-45.6%	-19.9%	-5.1%	10.4%	13.9%	21.5%	37.8%	49.2%	71.0%	1.2%	1.5%	1.4%	71.4%	-1.6%	-5.6%	-25.1%	-27.9%	-23.2%	-14.7%	-14.74%
Gross Profit 5Y	—	—	—	—	35.5%	25.5%	16.7%	7.4%	1.5%	1.1%	-1.6%	-2.6%	-4.7%	-7.1%	-8.4%	5.1%	15.1%	25.2%	48.4%	73.5%	73.50%
Op. Income 3Y	—	-62.7%	-21.7%	-4.2%	14.9%	18.9%	27.9%	47.4%	73.5%	1.5%	—	—	—	1.6%	1.5%	-40.5%	-68.3%	-80.8%	-61.7%	-44.4%	-44.37%
Op. Income 5Y	—	—	—	—	37.2%	28.7%	20.7%	10.5%	4.4%	4.7%	1.3%	0.1%	-2.5%	-5.3%	-7.8%	-19.2%	-24.6%	-29.3%	—	—	—
FCF 3Y	-35.5%	-27.3%	-13.7%	-6.4%	1.9%	7.8%	14.2%	29.5%	51.2%	2.5%	1.0%	12.4%	7.1%	-31.4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
FCF 5Y	—	—	—	—	29.2%	24.4%	17.1%	8.8%	0.7%	-9.1%	-14.4%	-25.5%	-22.6%	-37.6%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
OCF 3Y	-31.2%	-26.4%	-14.3%	-8.5%	2.6%	8.7%	16.5%	31.2%	49.4%	82.7%	84.0%	64.8%	54.1%	39.1%	1.5%	-10.0%	-36.3%	-36.8%	-35.2%	-40.2%	-40.17%
OCF 5Y	—	—	—	—	31.6%	24.2%	17.9%	11.4%	7.3%	4.6%	4.6%	4.5%	1.4%	-2.7%	-7.2%	-8.5%	-6.3%	14.2%	15.3%	8.6%	8.59%
Assets 3Y	12.0%	12.0%	1.6%	1.6%	1.6%	1.6%	14.7%	14.7%	14.7%	14.7%	19.1%	19.1%	19.1%	19.1%	21.0%	21.0%	21.0%	21.0%	11.1%	11.1%	11.13%
Assets 5Y	—	—	—	—	9.1%	9.1%	15.3%	15.3%	15.3%	15.3%	11.1%	11.1%	11.1%	11.1%	14.0%	14.0%	14.0%	14.0%	14.8%	14.8%	14.84%
Equity 3Y	20.6%	20.6%	7.0%	7.0%	7.0%	7.0%	23.7%	23.7%	23.7%	23.7%	37.2%	37.2%	37.2%	37.2%	33.8%	33.8%	33.8%	33.8%	13.9%	13.9%	13.94%
Book Value 3Y	21.9%	21.5%	7.7%	7.0%	6.9%	6.8%	23.2%	23.1%	22.9%	22.9%	36.4%	36.4%	36.4%	36.5%	33.1%	33.1%	33.1%	33.1%	13.5%	13.4%	13.36%
Dividend 3Y	1.2%	0.9%	0.9%	1.8%	52.9%	96.1%	96.1%	1.2%	38.7%	-9.1%	-9.0%	-31.3%	-24.9%	-10.4%	-10.9%	-24.3%	-27.4%	-27.7%	-26.2%	-2.3%	-2.33%

Growth Quality

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Revenue Stability	0.73	0.59	0.50	0.13	0.46	0.32	0.34	0.13	0.21	0.27	0.23	0.31	0.26	0.17	0.36	0.23	0.23	0.17	0.24	0.22	0.217
Earnings Stability	0.18	0.28	0.43	0.41	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.16	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.002
Margin Stability	0.31	0.35	0.45	0.39	0.38	0.42	0.51	0.48	0.39	0.42	0.50	0.48	0.45	0.52	0.69	0.80	0.64	0.57	0.44	0.48	0.483
Rev. Growth Consistency	0.00	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50	0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50	0.500
FCF Positive Streak	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Earnings Persistence	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.90	0.86	0.96	0.94	0.81	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.88	0.878
Earnings Smoothness	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.00	0.28	0.71	0.59	0.71	0.56	0.91	0.83	0.37	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.74	0.736
ROE Trend	-0.62	-0.50	0.00	0.28	0.71	0.78	0.38	0.34	0.02	-0.06	-0.05	-0.19	-0.29	-0.34	-0.23	-0.30	-0.25	-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.077
Gross Margin Trend	-0.30	-0.20	0.09	0.25	0.42	0.41	0.32	0.25	0.08	0.04	-0.05	-0.13	-0.16	-0.16	-0.23	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	0.05	0.052
FCF Margin Trend	-0.11	-0.01	0.09	0.07	0.18	0.28	0.21	0.20	0.04	-0.12	-0.20	-0.26	-0.21	-0.23	-0.30	-0.34	-0.37	-0.23	-0.12	-0.06	-0.057
Sustainable Growth Rate	—	—	17.6%	38.5%	73.0%	75.3%	48.4%	47.5%	31.1%	33.5%	25.1%	23.6%	22.8%	20.1%	10.4%	4.4%	1.2%	0.9%	1.9%	5.7%	5.68%
Internal Growth Rate	—	—	10.9%	27.4%	68.9%	72.6%	47.4%	46.1%	26.1%	28.7%	23.5%	21.7%	20.9%	18.0%	9.1%	3.6%	1.0%	0.7%	1.5%	4.7%	4.68%

Cash Flow Quality

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
OCF/Net Income	-2.34	-9.72	2.33	1.18	1.03	1.21	1.31	1.42	1.64	1.45	1.46	1.41	1.50	1.48	1.47	2.60	4.09	5.90	4.02	1.50	1.502
FCF/OCF	0.64	0.76	0.84	0.84	0.82	0.82	0.75	0.72	0.56	0.39	0.30	0.15	0.22	0.09	-0.24	-0.59	-1.43	-0.82	-0.49	-0.65	-0.652
FCF/Net Income	snapshot only																				-0.979
OCF/EBITDA	snapshot only																				0.588
CapEx/Revenue	7.5%	5.8%	5.5%	4.8%	7.2%	8.1%	12.0%	14.2%	20.4%	23.9%	29.3%	31.3%	29.5%	31.9%	30.0%	33.1%	32.8%	30.8%	26.0%	23.2%	23.24%
CapEx/Depreciation	snapshot only																				1.733
Accruals Ratio	-0.18	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	-0.10	-0.11	-0.16	-0.17	-0.12	-0.10	-0.08	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.07	-0.05	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.026
Sloan Accruals	snapshot only																				-0.130
Cash Flow Adequacy	snapshot only																				0.576
Earnings Quality Score	snapshot only																				1.000

Dividends & Buybacks

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Dividend Yield	1.3%	1.0%	0.9%	0.6%	2.5%	5.7%	4.7%	6.8%	5.1%	2.3%	2.0%	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%	1.6%	0.7%	0.7%	0.5%	0.4%	0.4%	0.38%
Dividend/Share	$0.20	$0.20	$0.20	$0.21	$0.72	$1.53	$1.54	$2.44	$1.94	$1.16	$1.17	$0.80	$0.83	$0.84	$0.84	$0.35	$0.32	$0.32	$0.34	$0.33	$0.32
Payout Ratio	—	—	6.9%	3.4%	6.0%	11.6%	12.4%	18.7%	21.9%	13.5%	12.8%	9.6%	10.3%	11.7%	17.5%	17.4%	42.1%	48.2%	31.3%	12.6%	12.64%
FCF Payout Ratio	9.4%	6.6%	3.6%	3.5%	7.2%	11.7%	12.6%	18.1%	23.6%	23.7%	29.2%	46.8%	31.9%	86.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total Payout Ratio	—	—	6.9%	3.4%	6.0%	11.6%	12.4%	20.0%	23.9%	15.5%	14.7%	9.6%	10.3%	11.7%	17.5%	17.4%	42.1%	48.2%	31.3%	23.4%	23.38%
Div. Increase Streak	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Chowder Number	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.06	2.61	6.64	6.67	10.61	1.76	-0.21	-0.21	-0.66	-0.56	-0.26	-0.27	-0.55	-0.60	-0.61	-0.59	-0.05	-0.050
Buyback Yield	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	0.30%
Net Buyback Yield	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-2.0%	-2.0%	-1.5%	-1.1%	0.3%	0.30%
Total Shareholder Return	1.3%	1.0%	0.9%	0.6%	2.5%	5.7%	4.7%	7.3%	5.6%	2.7%	2.3%	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%	1.6%	-1.2%	-1.3%	-1.0%	-0.7%	0.7%	0.65%

DuPont Factors

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT)	0.97	2.20	0.75	0.84	0.82	0.82	0.82	0.83	0.85	0.85	0.87	0.87	0.88	0.89	0.88	0.93	0.92	1.71	1.05	0.93	0.933
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT)	1.79	-0.39	0.85	0.90	0.94	0.93	0.94	0.95	0.95	0.97	0.95	0.95	0.96	0.96	0.99	0.99	0.94	0.84	0.96	0.95	0.953
EBIT Margin	-0.05	0.03	0.22	0.34	0.50	0.49	0.48	0.46	0.35	0.33	0.35	0.31	0.30	0.28	0.19	0.09	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.11	0.105
Asset Turnover	0.61	0.63	0.74	0.86	1.13	1.27	1.00	1.07	0.93	0.95	0.76	0.76	0.77	0.73	0.62	0.53	0.49	0.49	0.49	0.55	0.546
Equity Multiplier	1.84	1.84	1.79	1.79	1.79	1.79	1.51	1.51	1.51	1.51	1.32	1.32	1.32	1.32	1.25	1.25	1.25	1.25	1.27	1.27	1.270

Per Share

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
EPS (Diluted TTM)	$-1.44	$-0.41	$2.93	$6.17	$11.99	$13.14	$12.39	$13.04	$8.88	$8.62	$9.18	$8.30	$8.06	$7.22	$4.78	$2.01	$0.77	$0.67	$1.09	$2.61	$2.61
Book Value/Share	$14.10	$14.06	$16.91	$16.89	$16.85	$16.85	$27.97	$27.86	$27.79	$27.78	$35.96	$35.90	$35.79	$35.78	$39.90	$39.85	$39.74	$39.71	$40.86	$40.59	$41.81
Tangible Book/Share	$14.10	$14.06	$16.91	$16.89	$16.85	$16.85	$27.97	$27.86	$27.79	$27.78	$35.96	$35.90	$35.79	$35.78	$39.90	$39.85	$39.74	$39.71	$40.86	$40.59	$40.59
Revenue/Share	$16.20	$16.59	$20.54	$23.71	$31.35	$34.97	$33.59	$35.99	$31.19	$31.81	$32.17	$31.99	$32.21	$30.38	$29.10	$25.19	$23.24	$23.23	$24.99	$27.83	$27.87
FCF/Share	$2.16	$3.06	$5.69	$6.15	$10.07	$13.03	$12.23	$13.44	$8.23	$4.89	$4.02	$1.71	$2.61	$0.97	$-1.71	$-3.10	$-4.49	$-3.22	$-2.12	$-2.55	$-2.55
OCF/Share	$3.37	$4.02	$6.82	$7.29	$12.32	$15.88	$16.27	$18.57	$14.59	$12.49	$13.45	$11.72	$12.12	$10.66	$7.01	$5.23	$3.13	$3.94	$4.37	$3.92	$3.92
Cash/Share	$4.28	$4.27	$7.84	$7.83	$7.81	$7.81	$16.19	$16.13	$16.09	$16.08	$14.34	$14.31	$14.27	$14.26	$9.66	$9.65	$9.62	$9.61	$6.74	$6.69	$4.42
EBITDA/Share	$1.90	$3.22	$7.30	$10.75	$17.95	$19.62	$18.29	$18.87	$13.48	$12.98	$13.62	$12.47	$12.16	$11.05	$8.43	$4.33	$3.14	$2.86	$3.82	$6.66	$6.66
Debt/Share	$8.13	$8.11	$7.60	$7.59	$7.57	$7.57	$6.49	$6.46	$6.45	$6.44	$3.32	$3.32	$3.31	$3.31	$3.30	$3.30	$3.29	$3.29	$5.17	$5.14	$5.14
Net Debt/Share	$3.85	$3.84	$-0.24	$-0.24	$-0.24	$-0.24	$-9.71	$-9.67	$-9.65	$-9.64	$-11.01	$-10.99	$-10.96	$-10.96	$-6.36	$-6.35	$-6.33	$-6.33	$-1.57	$-1.56	$-1.56

Academic Models

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Altman Z-Score	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.495
Altman Z-Prime	snapshot only																				11.948
Piotroski F-Score	3	5	8	8	8	8	7	7	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	5	4	4	6	7	7
Beneish M-Score	-3.17	-3.74	-3.20	-2.68	-1.83	-2.39	-2.86	-3.03	-2.36	-2.85	-3.20	-2.98	-3.03	-2.74	3.38	-0.87	0.61	-0.76	-2.86	-2.30	-2.301
Ohlson O-Score	snapshot only																				-9.819
ROIC (Greenblatt)	snapshot only																				6.50%
Net-Net WC	snapshot only																				$3.37
EVA	snapshot only																				$-73586718.30

Credit

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Credit Rating	snapshot only																				AA+
Credit Score	48.59	54.34	85.08	93.28	96.40	95.61	95.67	95.74	95.76	95.48	96.47	96.44	96.96	98.74	93.47	93.78	85.62	81.62	86.45	92.11	92.114
Credit Grade	snapshot only																				2
Credit Trend	snapshot only																				-1.667
Implied Spread (bps)	snapshot only																				65.000
Industry Credit Rank	snapshot only																				93
Sector Credit Rank	snapshot only																				90

HCC NYSE

Edge Score

Analyst Insights

Financial Rating

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Risk & Quality Signals

Valuation

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Profitability Trends

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Earnings Stability

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Executive Compensation

C-Suite Compensation

CEO Pay Ratio

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Scaling Efficiency

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