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Not Investment Advice

HCI NYSE

HCI Group, Inc.
1W: +1.6% 1M: +3.0% 3M: +1.6% YTD: -13.5% 1Y: -4.4% 3Y: +194.0% 5Y: +127.6%
$157.79
-0.68 (-0.43%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.9%
$144 $150 $156 $162 $168
NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 62 · $2.0B mcap · 11M float · 1.61% daily turnover · Short 47% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
57.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -249.0%
Cost Advantage
58
Intangibles
76
Switching Cost
57
Network Effect
58
Scale
28
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HCI has a Narrow competitive edge (57.8/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -249.0% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-02-28 JMP Securities $145 $165 +20 +25.3% $131.66
2024-12-02 Compass Point Casey Alexander Initiated $126 +7.3% $117.47
2024-10-17 Oppenheimer Mike Phillips Initiated $140 +20.7% $116.01
2024-08-09 JMP Securities Matthew Carletti Initiated $145 +60.8% $90.16
2022-08-18 Truist Financial Initiated $75 +29.8% $57.77

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A+
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
3
P/E
4
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HCI receives an overall rating of A+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-08 C A+
2026-05-06 A C
2026-03-23 A+ A
2026-02-26 A A+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

92 Grade A+
Profitability
93
Balance Sheet
87
Earnings Quality
83
Growth
78
Value
86
Momentum
98
Safety
100
Cash Flow
100
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HCI scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (78/100). An overall grade of A+ places HCI among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score
13.09
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.81
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.85
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 93.6/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.43x
Accruals: -5.4%
The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. HCI scores 13.09, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HCI scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HCI's score of -3.81 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HCI's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HCI receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 93.6/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HCI's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
5.94x
PEG
0.06x
P/S
2.17x
P/B
1.65x
P/FCF
4.63x
P/OCF
4.61x
EV/EBITDA
1.77x
EV/Revenue
0.88x
EV/EBIT
1.81x
EV/FCF
1.90x
Earnings Yield
15.20%
FCF Yield
21.61%
Shareholder Yield
0.90%
Graham Number
$206.70
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 5.9x earnings, HCI trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 15.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $206.70 per share, suggesting a potential 31% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.681
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.985
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.486
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.390
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.185
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
40.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HCI's ROE of 40.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.18x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
125.79%
Fair P/E
260.08x
Intrinsic Value
$6111.33
Price/Value
0.03x
Margin of Safety
97.47%
Premium
-97.47%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HCI's realized 125.8% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $6111.33, HCI appears undervalued with a 97% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 260.1x compares to the current market P/E of 5.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$158.06
Median 1Y
$177.56
5th Pctile
$84.69
95th Pctile
$371.35
Ann. Volatility
42.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Paresh Patel
Chief Executive Officer
$950,000 $— $8,236,000
Karin Coleman Operating
rating Officer; President of HCPCI President of TypTap
$500,000 $237,615 $1,056,315
Mark Harmsworth Financial
ancial Officer
$450,000 $237,615 $1,004,777
Andrew L. Graham
Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary
$400,000 $237,615 $956,315
Anthony Saravanos President,
Greenleaf Capital, LLC.
$350,000 $117,953 $722,653

CEO Pay Ratio

68:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $8,236,000
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $121,423
Employees: 594

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
594
+7.6% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,516,744
Rev: $900,946,000
Profit / Employee
$503,375
NI: $299,005,000
SGA / Employee
$121,423
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 13.5% 2.3% 0.7% -1.3% -5.8% -22.9% -24.1% -18.1% -8.9% 17.5% 32.4% 45.7% 62.8% 59.7% 28.3% 33.9% 37.0% 52.4% 40.0% 40.5% 40.51%
ROA 3.0% 0.5% 0.2% -0.3% -1.4% -5.7% -3.9% -3.0% -1.5% 2.8% 4.4% 6.2% 8.5% 8.0% 5.4% 6.5% 7.1% 10.1% 12.6% 12.7% 12.72%
ROIC -24.5% -7.2% -2.5% -1.1% 3.2% 19.0% 43.2% 31.1% 11.0% -40.7% -37.9% -54.5% -72.4% -69.7% -30.8% -35.0% -38.2% -52.3% -2.4% -2.5% -2.49%
ROCE 5.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% -0.6% -5.4% -3.4% -2.2% -0.4% 4.3% 8.5% 12.1% 15.8% 15.5% 8.4% 9.4% 10.2% 13.6% 17.4% 17.9% 17.93%
Gross Margin 20.9% 11.9% 21.2% 18.5% 9.3% -31.2% 17.0% 35.2% 33.6% 32.0% 45.8% 50.6% 50.7% 24.8% 14.3% 60.1% 57.2% 54.8% 78.9% 73.0% 72.99%
Operating Margin 5.1% -6.7% 2.3% 3.2% -9.2% -50.7% 2.4% 18.0% 15.9% 15.3% 33.3% 37.5% 36.8% 8.0% 3.6% 46.2% 42.5% 41.9% 58.5% 47.5% 47.51%
Net Margin 1.9% -6.5% 0.0% 0.7% -8.0% -40.6% 1.3% 11.9% 9.8% 10.0% 23.4% 23.1% 26.2% 3.2% 1.6% 32.1% 29.8% 30.3% 39.7% 30.2% 30.22%
EBITDA Margin 8.7% -3.6% 3.9% 4.9% -6.4% -46.8% 6.7% 21.9% 19.6% 18.9% 36.2% 39.5% 38.0% 11.2% 7.0% 48.7% 46.3% 43.4% 59.8% 48.8% 48.81%
FCF Margin 18.3% 12.5% 23.1% 25.2% 2.7% 4.0% -2.1% 7.2% -4.1% 17.4% 40.4% 48.7% 52.7% 54.4% 44.0% 40.7% 62.1% 49.6% 49.0% 46.4% 46.41%
OCF Margin 19.0% 13.4% 24.0% 27.1% 4.9% 6.1% -0.0% 8.4% -3.2% 19.0% 41.9% 50.0% 53.8% 55.0% 44.6% 41.3% 62.6% 50.0% 49.4% 46.6% 46.60%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 30.82%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 12.86%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.01%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 30.39%
Cash ROA snapshot only 17.09%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 35.71%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 47.91%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.98%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.86%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 27.63 182.24 426.26 -179.17 -37.14 -5.17 -5.36 -12.62 -29.99 13.59 12.33 12.87 7.51 7.63 13.30 14.23 13.54 12.10 8.26 6.58 5.942
P/S Ratio 2.18 2.25 1.91 1.42 1.24 0.64 0.64 1.12 1.31 1.15 1.77 2.28 1.62 1.48 1.95 2.47 2.52 3.02 2.74 2.15 2.172
P/B Ratio 3.59 4.06 2.38 1.91 1.76 0.96 1.93 3.42 3.99 3.55 3.00 4.41 3.54 3.42 3.23 4.15 4.30 5.44 2.37 1.91 1.652
P/FCF 11.93 17.98 8.24 5.64 45.90 15.81 -30.89 15.54 -31.56 6.58 4.38 4.68 3.08 2.72 4.43 6.08 4.05 6.09 5.59 4.63 4.627
P/OCF 11.48 16.84 7.96 5.24 25.34 10.48 13.32 6.04 4.23 4.57 3.02 2.69 4.38 5.99 4.02 6.04 5.55 4.61 4.609
EV/EBITDA 7.13 18.68 6.90 0.52 36.52 5.32 -0.49 -8.74 158.39 3.37 3.03 4.58 2.41 2.30 3.12 4.70 4.53 5.10 2.88 1.77 1.768
EV/Revenue 1.22 1.37 0.40 0.02 -0.09 -0.61 0.05 0.54 0.73 0.58 0.75 1.39 0.83 0.73 0.79 1.33 1.40 1.96 1.44 0.88 0.882
EV/EBIT 8.19 24.75 9.08 0.81 5.44 4.73 -0.42 -6.80 -55.93 3.75 3.22 4.75 2.45 2.34 3.19 4.82 4.74 5.29 2.95 1.81 1.813
EV/FCF 6.67 10.95 1.71 0.07 -3.15 -15.24 -2.54 7.50 -17.57 3.30 1.86 2.85 1.58 1.34 1.80 3.27 2.25 3.95 2.93 1.90 1.900
Earnings Yield 3.6% 0.5% 0.2% -0.6% -2.7% -19.4% -18.7% -7.9% -3.3% 7.4% 8.1% 7.8% 13.3% 13.1% 7.5% 7.0% 7.4% 8.3% 12.1% 15.2% 15.20%
FCF Yield 8.4% 5.6% 12.1% 17.7% 2.2% 6.3% -3.2% 6.4% -3.2% 15.2% 22.8% 21.4% 32.4% 36.8% 22.6% 16.4% 24.7% 16.4% 17.9% 21.6% 21.61%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.055
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.918
EV/OCF snapshot only 1.892
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.325
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 1.840
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.90%
Graham Number snapshot only $206.70
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 54.45 54.45 54.45 54.45 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 145.90 145.90 145.904
Quick Ratio 74.37 74.37 74.37 74.37 7.35 7.35 7.35 7.35 145.90 145.90 145.904
Debt/Equity 0.92 0.92 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.06 0.06 0.065
Net Debt/Equity -1.58 -1.58 -1.88 -1.88 -1.88 -1.88 -1.77 -1.77 -1.77 -1.77 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 -1.91 -1.91 -1.91 -1.91 -1.13 -1.13 -1.128
Debt/Assets 0.20 0.20 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.03 0.03 0.027
Debt/EBITDA 3.25 6.93 2.72 4.00 -58.60 -1.12 -4.03 -6.92 93.08 2.48 1.53 1.10 0.86 0.88 0.98 0.87 0.78 0.59 0.15 0.15 0.146
Net Debt/EBITDA -5.63 -11.98 -26.37 -38.88 568.99 10.83 5.45 9.37 -126.12 -3.35 -4.10 -2.95 -2.30 -2.35 -4.54 -4.03 -3.62 -2.76 -2.61 -2.54 -2.538
Interest Coverage 5.02 2.33 2.74 2.02 -1.62 -11.30 -7.95 -4.01 -0.59 7.02 11.58 15.99 19.58 18.25 14.05 15.52 16.54 26.52 47.89 67.37 67.374
Equity Multiplier 4.68 4.68 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 11.09 11.09 11.09 11.09 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 2.43 2.43 2.429
Cash Ratio snapshot only 97.121
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 69.083
Cash to Debt snapshot only 18.440
FCF to Debt snapshot only 6.395
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2744.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.38 0.42 0.38 0.41 0.43 0.46 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.30 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.38 0.39 0.390
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 2.02 2.22 2.58 2.78 2.94 3.12 1.11 1.12 1.12 1.13 0.92 1.05 1.19 1.26 1.41 1.43 1.46 1.54 2.71 2.78 2.783
Payables Turnover 3301.34 3547.36 27.43 30.28 33.23 39.93 19.22 18.46 17.28 14.26 17.64 18.60 19.48 21.64 26.41 25.55 25.17 23.28 12.67 11.86 11.863
DSO 180 165 142 131 124 117 329 327 326 322 396 346 308 290 259 255 250 237 135 131 131.2 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 -206 -214 -229 -277 -981 -930 -888 -799 -507 -525 -532 -576 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 13 12 11 9 19 20 21 26 21 20 19 17 14 14 14 16 29 31 30.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 180 165 128 119 113 108 104 93 76 19 -606 -603 -599 -526 -263 -284 -297 -354 106 100 100.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 32.049
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.747
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.727
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 26.0% 34.5% 45.8% 39.2% 38.8% 34.5% 22.2% 14.2% 8.3% 3.4% 11.8% 26.8% 42.2% 49.2% 36.3% 21.0% 9.7% 8.8% 20.3% 22.0% 22.02%
Net Income 20.2% -85.7% -93.5% -1.1% -1.6% -14.4% -33.5% -11.8% -41.1% 1.7% 2.4% 3.5% 8.1% 2.4% 39.1% 18.6% -5.8% 40.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29%
EPS 46.5% -82.8% -95.2% -1.1% -1.5% -13.8% -39.8% -10.5% -16.6% 1.5% 2.0% 3.2% 7.1% 2.6% 25.6% 18.0% -7.1% 14.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.26%
FCF -52.8% -47.8% 31.5% 1.1% -79.5% -56.8% -1.1% -67.3% -2.7% 3.5% 22.9% 7.5% 19.1% 3.7% 48.4% 1.0% 29.4% -0.9% 33.9% 39.3% 39.26%
EBITDA 14.7% -58.0% -59.7% -75.9% -1.0% -3.1% -3.3% -3.0% 3.1% 2.5% 3.6% 7.2% 105.8% 1.8% 39.6% 13.1% -1.8% 31.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.15%
Op. Income 36.8% -72.9% -69.6% -88.9% -1.3% -6.9% -7.1% -10.6% -51.5% 2.0% 2.7% 4.5% 14.0% 2.3% 47.4% 14.2% -5.7% 31.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.26%
OCF Growth snapshot only 37.66%
Asset Growth snapshot only 13.39%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.30%
Debt Growth snapshot only -63.89%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.55%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -94.74%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 13.6% 14.7% 20.3% 22.8% 25.2% 28.0% 26.6% 27.2% 23.7% 23.2% 25.8% 26.3% 28.8% 27.5% 23.0% 20.6% 19.1% 18.8% 22.4% 23.3% 23.27%
Revenue 5Y 6.0% 7.4% 9.3% 10.3% 11.1% 14.2% 15.0% 16.1% 17.1% 16.0% 18.9% 21.8% 24.7% 26.4% 25.3% 25.9% 24.2% 24.9% 26.7% 24.4% 24.38%
EPS 3Y -44.7% -57.2% 6.1% 22.8% 38.2% 54.1% 1.9% 2.6%
EPS 5Y 2.6% -30.0% -42.9% 3.3% 24.6% 38.0% 52.1% 55.0% 26.0% 30.4% 37.8% 37.4% 44.1% 47.7% 47.71%
Net Income 3Y -51.1% -53.3% 10.7% 42.0% 49.7% 80.1% 2.2% 2.9%
Net Income 5Y -3.7% -33.9% -42.6% 2.1% 34.8% 52.1% 59.5% 65.6% 32.8% 45.3% 45.9% 45.5% 61.1% 55.6% 55.61%
EBITDA 3Y 1.1% -31.8% -25.6% -32.2% -64.1% 10.7% 33.7% 43.1% 62.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4%
EBITDA 5Y -3.2% -18.7% -18.3% -26.7% -16.8% 0.4% 19.6% 30.5% 39.1% 42.8% 26.9% 35.3% 37.1% 37.7% 51.0% 48.1% 48.07%
Gross Profit 3Y 23.9% -12.9% -0.7% 0.4% -2.5% -35.2% -44.8% -24.5% -8.9% 29.0% 48.7% 56.6% 74.0% 64.9% 50.2% 56.2% 66.6% 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 1.54%
Gross Profit 5Y -9.6% -7.7% -2.2% -4.8% -8.1% -3.9% -16.8% 1.3% 16.1% 6.3% 19.8% 27.5% 34.0% 35.7% 24.4% 28.1% 28.9% 41.7% 55.7% 55.1% 55.12%
Op. Income 3Y -40.5% -25.3% -37.9% 15.7% 47.1% 54.8% 79.1% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4%
Op. Income 5Y -4.7% -27.7% -24.8% -38.1% 3.7% 34.3% 51.7% 62.4% 69.2% 36.9% 48.2% 49.3% 46.7% 63.3% 57.1% 57.14%
FCF 3Y 85.4% 53.0% 29.0% -23.2% -17.2% -28.1% 0.3% 46.4% 81.4% 83.2% 1.1% 52.4% 41.4% 2.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29%
FCF 5Y 10.4% 8.9% 1.4% 5.5% -23.5% -15.6% 53.6% 43.1% 68.5% 63.9% 45.2% 26.3% 30.3% 36.1% 44.2% 53.0% 53.05%
OCF 3Y 70.7% 50.0% 29.8% -9.0% -7.4% -25.0% 0.7% 44.0% 75.5% 82.1% 1.0% 51.3% 38.7% 1.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.18%
OCF 5Y 10.7% 9.8% 1.9% 6.7% -14.4% -9.2% 51.8% 42.3% 66.3% 61.8% 44.0% 26.0% 29.2% 34.3% 41.9% 49.4% 49.41%
Assets 3Y 3.8% 3.8% 12.2% 12.2% 12.2% 12.2% 31.0% 31.0% 31.0% 31.0% 24.4% 24.4% 24.4% 24.4% 23.7% 23.7% 23.7% 23.7% 11.9% 11.9% 11.93%
Assets 5Y 8.1% 8.1% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 16.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.8% 16.8% 16.8% 16.8% 22.7% 22.7% 22.7% 22.7% 21.9% 21.9% 21.85%
Equity 3Y 1.2% 1.2% 21.2% 21.2% 21.2% 21.2% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% 17.3% 17.3% 17.3% 17.3% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 85.7% 85.7% 85.69%
Book Value 3Y 15.3% 14.5% 11.3% 12.3% 25.6% 16.8% 0.7% -15.9% -8.1% -8.2% 1.4% 8.3% 0.4% 7.2% 3.3% 2.6% -0.6% -2.8% 60.7% 75.4% 75.41%
Dividend 3Y 14.6% 14.4% -5.0% -0.6% 10.2% 2.7% 8.1% -13.6% -7.5% -8.6% -16.5% -8.2% -12.3% -4.3% -1.6% -3.0% -6.8% -8.7% -64.6% -64.61%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.46 0.43 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.68 0.75 0.84 0.90 0.89 0.93 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.96 0.99 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.98 0.984
Earnings Stability 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.13 0.21 0.25 0.18 0.13 0.10 0.00 0.07 0.19 0.26 0.21 0.35 0.46 0.59 0.62 0.67 0.673
Margin Stability 0.60 0.67 0.73 0.70 0.63 0.38 0.37 0.46 0.55 0.39 0.42 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.43 0.48 0.51 0.42 0.32 0.37 0.374
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.83 0.94 0.67 0.08 0.21 0.215
ROE Trend 0.03 -0.09 -0.13 -0.15 -0.17 -0.28 -0.43 -0.35 -0.17 0.34 0.42 0.48 0.56 0.41 0.30 0.26 0.15 0.10 0.04 -0.03 -0.026
Gross Margin Trend -0.15 -0.08 -0.10 -0.11 -0.11 -0.19 -0.18 -0.13 -0.03 0.18 0.26 0.29 0.32 0.27 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.26 0.26 0.257
FCF Margin Trend -0.12 -0.11 -0.00 -0.03 -0.31 -0.18 -0.26 -0.14 -0.15 0.09 0.30 0.32 0.53 0.44 0.25 0.13 0.38 0.14 0.07 0.02 0.017
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.8% -4.5% -4.7% 11.8% 26.8% 39.8% 56.6% 53.2% 24.0% 29.6% 32.6% 47.7% 40.0% 40.4% 40.40%
Internal Growth Rate 1.5% 2.0% 3.7% 5.7% 8.3% 7.7% 4.8% 6.0% 6.7% 10.1% 14.4% 14.5% 14.53%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.41 10.82 53.55 -34.19 -1.47 -0.49 0.00 -0.95 0.72 2.25 2.92 2.82 2.48 2.84 3.04 2.38 3.37 2.00 1.49 1.43 1.428
FCF/OCF 0.96 0.94 0.97 0.93 0.55 0.66 846.08 0.86 1.31 0.92 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.996
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.422
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.934
CapEx/Revenue 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.24%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.195
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.05 -0.09 -0.11 -0.04 -0.08 -0.04 -0.06 -0.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.11 -0.13 -0.15 -0.11 -0.09 -0.17 -0.10 -0.06 -0.05 -0.054
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.774
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 138.302
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 5.1% 4.9% 2.6% 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 1.01%
Dividend/Share $1.63 $1.64 $1.41 $1.57 $1.73 $1.89 $1.82 $1.34 $1.28 $1.25 $1.20 $1.13 $1.18 $1.50 $1.31 $1.33 $1.35 $1.42 $0.00 $0.07 $1.60
Payout Ratio 49.6% 2.9% 7.8% 32.4% 17.4% 12.8% 9.8% 10.8% 15.1% 12.8% 12.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.29%
FCF Payout Ratio 21.4% 28.9% 15.1% 14.0% 1.3% 81.1% 40.6% 15.7% 6.2% 4.7% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 5.5% 3.6% 4.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.21%
Total Payout Ratio 55.6% 3.3% 8.5% 62.8% 18.4% 13.8% 10.5% 11.6% 16.0% 13.7% 12.5% 9.4% 0.0% 5.9% 5.89%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number 0.04 0.05 0.13 0.26 0.23 0.26 0.13 -0.02 -0.09 -0.11 -0.09 -0.01 0.09 0.16 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.17 -0.95 -0.947
Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 12.3% 24.6% 28.2% 15.9% 2.9% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.85%
Net Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 12.3% 24.6% 28.2% 15.9% 2.9% 2.2% -8.6% -5.8% -7.3% -7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.81%
Total Shareholder Return 2.0% 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 15.0% 29.7% 33.0% 18.5% 5.1% 4.6% -7.2% -4.8% -6.0% -6.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.9% 0.86%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.66 0.39 0.16 -0.67 1.33 0.87 0.86 0.89 1.24 0.64 0.67 0.65 0.67 0.66 0.63 0.67 0.67 0.70 0.70 0.68 0.681
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.80 0.58 0.64 0.52 1.60 1.09 1.13 1.25 2.70 0.86 0.91 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.985
EBIT Margin 0.15 0.06 0.04 0.02 -0.02 -0.13 -0.12 -0.08 -0.01 0.15 0.23 0.29 0.34 0.31 0.25 0.28 0.29 0.37 0.49 0.49 0.486
Asset Turnover 0.38 0.42 0.38 0.41 0.43 0.46 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.30 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.38 0.39 0.390
Equity Multiplier 4.51 4.51 4.04 4.04 4.04 4.04 6.13 6.13 6.13 6.13 7.42 7.42 7.42 7.42 5.19 5.19 5.19 5.19 3.18 3.18 3.185
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.29 $0.56 $0.18 $-0.35 $-1.70 $-7.12 $-7.00 $-4.06 $-1.98 $3.87 $6.90 $8.82 $12.05 $13.84 $8.67 $10.41 $11.19 $15.83 $23.21 $23.50 $23.50
Book Value/Share $25.31 $25.07 $32.38 $33.11 $35.84 $38.37 $19.46 $14.97 $14.89 $14.82 $28.37 $25.74 $25.59 $30.91 $35.73 $35.73 $35.19 $35.19 $80.81 $80.81 $77.80
Tangible Book/Share $24.86 $24.63 $31.32 $32.02 $34.66 $37.11 $18.19 $14.00 $13.92 $13.85 $27.70 $25.14 $24.98 $30.18 $35.32 $35.32 $34.78 $34.78 $80.60 $80.60 $80.60
Revenue/Share $41.63 $45.12 $40.31 $44.41 $50.89 $57.78 $58.88 $45.60 $45.52 $45.86 $48.03 $49.77 $55.68 $71.42 $59.08 $59.92 $60.21 $63.41 $69.99 $71.99 $81.36
FCF/Share $7.63 $5.65 $9.33 $11.20 $1.38 $2.33 $-1.22 $3.30 $-1.88 $7.99 $19.42 $24.25 $29.34 $38.86 $26.02 $24.37 $37.42 $31.42 $34.32 $33.41 $37.76
OCF/Share $7.92 $6.04 $9.66 $12.05 $2.49 $3.51 $-0.00 $3.84 $-1.44 $8.71 $20.14 $24.86 $29.93 $39.27 $26.34 $24.75 $37.71 $31.70 $34.56 $33.55 $37.91
Cash/Share $63.29 $62.70 $67.25 $68.75 $74.43 $79.69 $59.86 $46.06 $45.80 $45.58 $67.28 $61.06 $60.69 $73.30 $83.07 $83.07 $81.80 $81.80 $96.36 $96.36 $92.84
EBITDA/Share $7.12 $3.32 $2.31 $1.60 $-0.12 $-6.67 $-6.31 $-2.83 $0.21 $7.82 $11.95 $15.08 $19.20 $22.70 $15.06 $16.96 $18.58 $24.35 $34.91 $35.90 $35.90
Debt/Share $23.19 $22.97 $6.28 $6.42 $6.95 $7.44 $25.42 $19.56 $19.45 $19.35 $18.33 $16.64 $16.53 $19.97 $14.70 $14.70 $14.47 $14.47 $5.23 $5.23 $5.23
Net Debt/Share $-40.11 $-39.73 $-60.97 $-62.33 $-67.48 $-72.25 $-34.44 $-26.50 $-26.35 $-26.22 $-48.95 $-44.43 $-44.16 $-53.33 $-68.37 $-68.37 $-67.32 $-67.32 $-91.13 $-91.13 $-91.13
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-I Score 13.086
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 8.270
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 5 5 4 4 3 4 3 6 7 7 7 7 6 7 5 6 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.19 -2.97 -2.73 -2.66 -1.96 -3.52 0.68 0.27 0.38 -0.50 -2.48 -2.31 -2.39 -2.37 -1.20 -2.43 -2.72 -2.61 -3.79 -3.81 -3.808
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.854
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 23.98%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $34.98
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 67.84 51.10 68.54 66.24 52.43 58.88 34.38 43.62 33.93 78.54 84.74 85.77 85.95 84.92 88.35 92.97 91.93 92.50 93.92 93.62 93.621
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.650
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 77
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 96

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms