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HFFG NASDAQ

HF Foods Group Inc.
1W: +1.1% 1M: -5.4% 3M: +29.5% YTD: -11.5% 1Y: -54.3% 3Y: -46.5% 5Y: -68.6%
$2.01
+0.08 (+4.15%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.9%
$2 $2 $2 $2 $2
NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 49 · $107.5M mcap · 40M float · 0.503% daily turnover · Short 61% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
55.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 1.1%  ·  5Y Avg: -1.2%
Cost Advantage
45
Intangibles
67
Switching Cost
56
Network Effect
45
Scale
60
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HFFG has a Narrow competitive edge (55.5/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 1.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$5
Avg Target
$5
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$5.00
Analysts1
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-03-18 _new_coverage None ADDED
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-04-16 Industrial Alliance Securities Initiated $5 +140.4% $2.08

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HFFG receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-01 C+ B-
2026-04-01 B- C+
2026-03-20 C+ B-
2026-03-17 B- C+
2026-02-02 C+ B-
2026-01-30 B- C+
2026-01-14 C+ B-
2026-01-03 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

24 Grade D
Profitability
5
Balance Sheet
35
Earnings Quality
52
Growth
70
Value
33
Momentum
67
Safety
30
Cash Flow
14
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HFFG scores highest in Growth (70/100) and lowest in Profitability (5/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.54
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.95
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.58
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 21.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.94x
Accruals: -12.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HFFG scores 1.54, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HFFG scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HFFG's score of -2.95 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HFFG's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HFFG receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 21.9/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.96x
PEG
-0.09x
P/S
0.09x
P/B
0.52x
P/FCF
31.75x
P/OCF
2.95x
EV/EBITDA
11.52x
EV/Revenue
0.25x
EV/EBIT
55.90x
EV/FCF
99.83x
Earnings Yield
-36.05%
FCF Yield
3.15%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. HFFG currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.859
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-7.458
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.005
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
2.273
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.473
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-16.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HFFG's ROE of -16.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (2.273), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.01
Median 1Y
$1.21
5th Pctile
$0.39
95th Pctile
$3.75
Ann. Volatility
69.6%
Analyst Target
$5.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,000
-1.5% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,228,282
Rev: $1,228,282,000
Profit / Employee
$-38,843
NI: $-38,843,000
SGA / Employee
$201,762
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 1.3% 3.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.0% 4.7% 0.2% -2.9% -4.8% -2.8% -0.8% 1.1% 1.4% -0.7% -18.4% -18.8% -18.4% -17.3% -17.6% -16.3% -16.30%
ROA 0.9% 2.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 2.4% 0.1% -1.4% -2.3% -1.3% -0.4% 0.5% 0.6% -0.3% -8.5% -8.6% -8.4% -7.9% -7.1% -6.6% -6.59%
ROIC 1.7% 3.7% 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 5.0% 1.3% -0.4% -1.7% -0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% -5.3% -7.1% -6.9% -6.6% -6.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.08%
ROCE 2.2% 4.9% 7.1% 7.7% 8.0% 4.9% 1.6% -0.7% -1.9% -0.4% 2.0% 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% -9.1% -9.1% -9.3% -8.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.49%
Gross Margin 18.2% 19.4% 19.7% 18.2% 17.5% 17.1% 17.4% 17.1% 17.3% 18.1% 18.6% 17.1% 17.4% 16.9% 17.1% 17.1% 17.5% 16.5% 14.3% 16.2% 16.19%
Operating Margin 2.8% 5.1% 5.3% 3.7% 2.2% -1.0% -1.2% -0.9% -0.5% 0.7% 4.0% -0.0% 0.9% 0.2% -13.8% 0.4% 1.3% 0.4% -0.2% 0.3% 0.33%
Net Margin 1.8% 3.6% 4.0% 1.1% 1.5% -1.3% -1.1% -2.0% -0.3% 0.7% 1.0% -0.2% 0.0% -1.3% -14.4% -0.6% 0.4% -0.4% -12.1% 0.4% 0.39%
EBITDA Margin 5.4% 7.3% 11.0% 4.1% 4.4% 1.4% 1.3% 0.5% 2.7% 4.2% 5.1% 2.2% 3.8% 1.4% -10.7% 2.3% 3.5% 2.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.33%
FCF Margin 4.1% 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 2.1% 2.5% 1.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% -1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 1.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.25%
OCF Margin 4.3% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.2% 3.9% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% -0.7% 1.9% 1.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.73%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.47%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -6.45%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -5.04%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.40%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.08%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.25%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.13%
CROIC snapshot only 0.76%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.36%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -3.37%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 15.66%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.06%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 47.90 22.11 20.92 15.24 11.39 16.03 474.97 -24.57 -18.10 -26.22 -132.55 59.56 40.18 -99.49 -3.48 -5.22 -3.52 -3.22 -2.94 -2.77 -2.964
P/S Ratio 0.43 0.44 0.57 0.39 0.28 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.22 0.19 0.25 0.16 0.14 0.16 0.14 0.21 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.087
P/B Ratio 1.06 1.21 1.57 1.23 0.97 0.72 0.75 0.72 0.87 0.74 1.01 0.64 0.55 0.66 0.70 1.08 0.71 0.61 0.56 0.49 0.524
P/FCF 10.44 28.72 27.66 26.85 22.31 26.51 8.74 7.15 11.23 5.29 23.45 20.31 228.96 -10.71 16.72 53.57 9.32 8.46 17.38 31.75 31.746
P/OCF 10.01 24.71 24.40 20.17 15.47 14.58 6.98 6.25 9.62 4.81 18.23 12.63 17.53 7.45 14.07 5.45 4.81 4.48 2.95 2.950
EV/EBITDA 14.90 11.66 10.66 8.54 6.99 7.16 12.93 18.18 26.17 16.62 13.41 9.13 7.83 10.29 -35.65 -45.85 -35.35 -57.01 9.91 11.52 11.519
EV/Revenue 0.64 0.62 0.79 0.58 0.45 0.35 0.36 0.35 0.39 0.36 0.41 0.32 0.30 0.32 0.30 0.38 0.30 0.28 0.27 0.25 0.253
EV/EBIT 45.40 22.17 20.04 15.81 12.95 17.89 56.14 -127.91 -51.23 -217.65 53.77 26.61 19.91 36.59 -9.87 -12.38 -9.67 -10.05 69.45 55.90 55.898
EV/FCF 15.48 40.85 38.34 40.01 36.25 48.91 16.76 13.95 20.10 10.18 38.75 41.24 501.55 -21.41 36.09 94.09 20.06 19.77 49.99 99.83 99.827
Earnings Yield 2.1% 4.5% 4.8% 6.6% 8.8% 6.2% 0.2% -4.1% -5.5% -3.8% -0.8% 1.7% 2.5% -1.0% -28.8% -19.1% -28.4% -31.0% -34.1% -36.1% -36.05%
FCF Yield 9.6% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 4.5% 3.8% 11.4% 14.0% 8.9% 18.9% 4.3% 4.9% 0.4% -9.3% 6.0% 1.9% 10.7% 11.8% 5.8% 3.2% 3.15%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.565
EV/OCF snapshot only 9.277
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.569
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 55.074
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.24 1.24 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.18 1.18 1.177
Quick Ratio 0.51 0.51 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.53 0.530
Debt/Equity 0.55 0.55 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 1.10 1.10 1.102
Net Debt/Equity 0.51 0.51 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 1.06 1.06 1.059
Debt/Assets 0.29 0.29 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.41 0.41 0.411
Debt/EBITDA 5.20 3.71 3.22 3.05 2.91 3.55 6.93 9.93 12.95 8.96 5.72 5.01 4.60 5.56 -20.55 -21.21 -20.31 -35.01 6.72 8.17 8.173
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.85 3.46 2.97 2.81 2.69 3.28 6.19 8.85 11.55 7.99 5.29 4.63 4.26 5.14 -19.14 -19.74 -18.91 -32.60 6.46 7.86 7.856
Interest Coverage 2.58 5.70 6.75 6.71 6.23 3.05 1.00 -0.36 -0.86 -0.18 0.77 1.22 1.48 0.88 -3.23 -3.27 -3.47 -3.04 0.41 0.48 0.481
Equity Multiplier 1.89 1.89 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.68 2.68 2.680
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.052
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.334
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.039
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.014
Defensive Interval snapshot only 140.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.99 1.11 1.47 1.68 1.88 2.04 1.90 1.92 1.91 1.88 1.86 1.86 1.88 1.91 2.09 2.10 2.12 2.13 2.25 2.27 2.273
Inventory Turnover 7.70 8.57 8.01 9.22 10.32 11.25 8.66 8.80 8.75 8.58 8.35 8.37 8.44 8.60 9.79 9.80 9.90 9.98 10.04 10.18 10.181
Receivables Turnover 15.92 17.80 25.54 29.35 32.75 35.48 29.09 29.48 29.30 28.80 25.03 25.07 25.29 25.66 23.63 23.67 23.91 24.07 20.38 20.62 20.618
Payables Turnover 14.19 15.79 14.77 17.00 19.03 20.76 17.04 17.33 17.23 16.89 17.62 17.65 17.80 18.13 19.48 19.51 19.70 19.86 16.35 16.59 16.590
DSO 23 21 14 12 11 10 13 12 12 13 15 15 14 14 15 15 15 15 18 18 17.7 days
DIO 47 43 46 40 35 32 42 41 42 43 44 44 43 42 37 37 37 37 36 36 35.8 days
DPO 26 23 25 21 19 18 21 21 21 22 21 21 21 20 19 19 19 18 22 22 22.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 45 40 35 31 27 25 33 33 33 34 38 37 37 37 34 34 34 33 32 32 31.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 6.549
Operating Cycle snapshot only 53.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 143.576
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.436
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 23.2% 22.6% 40.6% 66.4% 59.8% 54.8% 46.9% 29.5% 15.4% 4.7% -1.9% -3.1% -1.6% 1.5% 4.6% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0% 2.1% 3.2% 3.15%
Net Income 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 14.6% 3.3% -8.6% -97.9% -1.4% -1.6% -1.6% -5.7% 1.4% 1.3% 77.1% -21.3% -17.1% -13.3% -23.0% 19.9% 27.3% 27.27%
EPS 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 14.1% 3.1% -11.8% -97.9% -1.4% -1.6% -1.6% -5.7% 1.4% 1.3% 76.3% -21.9% -17.0% -13.1% -22.9% 20.7% 28.9% 28.88%
FCF -25.1% -77.5% -63.4% -64.0% -52.1% -28.2% 51.7% 1.2% 79.0% 4.2% -50.8% -69.5% -96.9% -1.4% -17.9% -46.3% 25.4% 2.0% -35.0% -34.8% -34.85%
EBITDA 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 2.9% 1.4% 40.1% -45.3% -63.9% -73.5% -53.3% 9.7% 79.3% 1.5% 45.9% -1.3% -1.2% -1.2% -1.2% 4.2% 3.8% 3.75%
Op. Income 15.6% 7.6% 6.1% 10.5% 5.9% 56.5% -64.4% -1.1% -1.3% -1.2% -15.1% 5.6% 2.5% 3.5% -5.4% -4.3% -3.3% -3.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.15%
OCF Growth snapshot only 84.20%
Asset Growth snapshot only -1.54%
Equity Growth snapshot only -15.56%
Debt Growth snapshot only 6.04%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.27%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 29.8% 35.6% 39.9% 46.5% 51.5% 54.7% 44.5% 34.3% 31.4% 25.7% 26.5% 27.8% 21.9% 18.1% 14.6% 9.5% 5.9% 3.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.51%
Revenue 5Y 71.1% 51.8% 40.1% 32.2% 32.2% 31.6% 31.6% 31.6% 31.5% 25.3% 19.7% 18.5% 16.0% 16.7% 17.7% 17.65%
EPS 3Y -30.3% -6.0% 12.6% 13.6% 15.4% -5.1% -66.0% -12.2%
EPS 5Y 22.5% -47.8% -27.7% -24.2%
Net Income 3Y -7.9% 26.4% 51.3% 52.7% 55.2% 27.3% -56.0% -11.8%
Net Income 5Y 45.7% -37.9% -14.3% -9.9%
EBITDA 3Y 32.7% 46.6% 68.7% 68.7% 67.2% 56.8% 25.2% 36.6% 17.4% -1.5% 0.7% 6.4% 6.37%
EBITDA 5Y 78.5% 35.1% 17.7% 8.2% 15.6% 23.5% 25.5% 25.9% 21.3% 11.4% 11.36%
Gross Profit 3Y 34.2% 39.0% 45.1% 51.0% 55.5% 58.5% 48.1% 37.1% 32.4% 26.3% 26.7% 26.6% 21.4% 15.9% 10.6% 6.0% 3.1% 1.5% -0.8% -0.8% -0.81%
Gross Profit 5Y 78.2% 54.3% 41.9% 33.6% 32.7% 32.7% 32.4% 32.4% 32.5% 26.6% 21.0% 18.9% 15.7% 14.9% 14.7% 14.70%
Op. Income 3Y -13.2% 24.9% 51.5% 63.5% 62.1% 40.1% 8.5% 40.1% -4.9% -18.0%
Op. Income 5Y 59.9% 12.2% 1.0% 5.7% 11.0% 8.6%
FCF 3Y 22.2% -3.8% 22.9% 19.6% 92.8% 19.9% -13.7% -5.6% -35.1% -37.7% -70.3% -15.1% -28.8% 13.0% 30.1% -36.0% -52.6% -52.59%
FCF 5Y 12.4% 19.2% 18.5% 9.4% 27.2% 6.7% 2.9% -17.1% -22.4% -12.3% -18.7% -32.0% -39.0% -38.97%
OCF 3Y 18.2% -4.6% 16.1% 17.8% 31.9% 54.0% 88.6% 17.5% -9.0% -2.5% -29.8% -27.6% -31.0% 6.6% 1.1% 19.7% 28.7% -6.6% 0.1% 0.08%
OCF 5Y 26.7% 24.3% 19.0% 9.6% 25.2% 5.7% 5.9% 2.6% 37.1% -2.4% -2.3% -8.9% -11.0% -2.3% -2.34%
Assets 3Y 82.5% 82.5% 93.4% 93.4% 93.4% 93.4% -7.4% -7.4% -7.4% -7.4% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -5.3% -5.3% -5.29%
Assets 5Y 52.4% 51.2% 51.2% 51.2% 51.2% 48.5% 48.5% 48.5% 48.5% -7.3% -7.3% -7.3% -7.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.00%
Equity 3Y 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% -21.5% -21.5% -21.5% -21.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% -6.3% -6.3% -6.3% -6.3% -11.5% -11.5% -11.53%
Book Value 3Y 63.4% 60.5% 53.1% 53.1% 53.1% 53.4% -39.5% -22.3% -22.4% -22.7% 2.2% 3.3% 2.9% 2.9% -5.5% -5.6% -6.0% -5.9% -11.1% -11.6% -11.59%
Dividend 3Y -36.3% -24.2% -7.4% 5.8% -8.6% -21.0% -36.7% -35.5% -86.3% 39.3% 65.9% 1.1% 8.6% -16.6% -16.7% -17.0%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.90 0.91 0.97 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.83 0.80 0.74 0.73 0.735
Earnings Stability 0.07 0.11 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.08 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.26 0.57 0.571
Margin Stability 0.96 0.96 0.93 0.93 0.96 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.953
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.92 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.91 0.00
ROE Trend 0.21 0.24 0.73 0.36 0.36 0.30 0.63 -0.07 -0.10 -0.08 -0.05 -0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.20 -0.20 -0.18 -0.17 -0.09 -0.08 -0.080
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.013
FCF Margin Trend 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.003
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.3% 3.2% 7.8% 8.4% 8.8% 4.6% 0.1% 0.8% 1.1%
Internal Growth Rate 0.9% 2.2% 4.1% 4.5% 4.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 4.78 0.89 0.86 0.76 0.74 1.10 68.01 -3.93 -1.88 -5.45 -7.27 4.72 2.29 4.29 -0.47 -0.37 -0.65 -0.67 -0.66 -0.94 -0.940
FCF/OCF 0.96 0.86 0.88 0.75 0.69 0.55 0.80 0.87 0.86 0.91 0.78 0.62 0.08 2.16 0.45 0.26 0.58 0.57 0.26 0.09 0.093
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.087
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.242
CapEx/Revenue 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 2.47%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.419
Accruals Ratio -0.03 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.09 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 -0.12 -0.12 -0.14 -0.13 -0.12 -0.13 -0.128
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.046
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.102
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 3.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 40.7% 28.8% 22.5%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.8% 2.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 4.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 2.2% 7.2% 9.8% 1.3% 5.0% 10.4% 2.7% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 3.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 40.7% 28.8% 22.5%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.40 0.06 0.93 1.88 0.86 0.20 -0.45 -0.72 -1.00 1.83 3.73 8.03 883.01 -0.43 -0.43 -0.43
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.3% -0.28%
Total Shareholder Return 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% -0.3% -0.28%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.04 0.84 0.81 0.81 0.83 0.90 115.00 0.70 0.73 0.65 0.83 0.66 0.50 -2.31 1.05 1.03 0.99 1.01 0.86 0.86 0.859
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.61 0.83 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.67 0.00 3.81 2.17 6.63 -0.30 0.33 0.45 0.08 1.25 1.31 1.29 1.33 -9.59 -7.46 -7.458
EBIT Margin 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.005
Asset Turnover 0.99 1.11 1.47 1.68 1.88 2.04 1.90 1.92 1.91 1.88 1.86 1.86 1.88 1.91 2.09 2.10 2.12 2.13 2.25 2.27 2.273
Equity Multiplier 1.50 1.50 1.98 1.98 1.98 1.98 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.47 2.47 2.473
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.11 $0.27 $0.40 $0.44 $0.46 $0.24 $0.01 $-0.16 $-0.26 $-0.15 $-0.04 $0.06 $0.07 $-0.04 $-0.92 $-0.94 $-0.90 $-0.86 $-0.73 $-0.67 $-0.67
Book Value/Share $4.99 $4.99 $5.40 $5.40 $5.40 $5.41 $5.42 $5.42 $5.40 $5.35 $5.31 $5.50 $5.44 $5.44 $4.55 $4.54 $4.48 $4.51 $3.81 $3.75 $3.86
Tangible Book/Share $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.23 $0.23 $0.23 $0.23 $0.44 $0.46 $0.45 $0.45 $0.74 $0.74 $0.73 $0.73 $3.33 $3.27 $3.27
Revenue/Share $12.32 $13.77 $14.79 $16.99 $18.96 $20.58 $21.75 $22.04 $21.81 $21.26 $21.27 $22.04 $22.02 $22.31 $22.85 $22.81 $22.75 $23.07 $23.11 $23.00 $23.38
FCF/Share $0.51 $0.21 $0.31 $0.25 $0.23 $0.15 $0.46 $0.55 $0.42 $0.75 $0.23 $0.17 $0.01 $-0.33 $0.19 $0.09 $0.34 $0.33 $0.12 $0.06 $0.06
OCF/Share $0.53 $0.24 $0.35 $0.33 $0.34 $0.27 $0.58 $0.63 $0.49 $0.83 $0.29 $0.28 $0.17 $-0.15 $0.43 $0.35 $0.58 $0.57 $0.48 $0.63 $0.64
Cash/Share $0.18 $0.18 $0.27 $0.27 $0.27 $0.27 $0.45 $0.45 $0.45 $0.45 $0.28 $0.29 $0.29 $0.29 $0.28 $0.27 $0.27 $0.27 $0.16 $0.16 $0.21
EBITDA/Share $0.53 $0.74 $1.10 $1.16 $1.21 $1.00 $0.60 $0.42 $0.32 $0.46 $0.66 $0.78 $0.84 $0.69 $-0.19 $-0.19 $-0.19 $-0.11 $0.62 $0.51 $0.51
Debt/Share $2.74 $2.74 $3.54 $3.54 $3.54 $3.54 $4.18 $4.17 $4.16 $4.12 $3.77 $3.90 $3.86 $3.86 $3.99 $3.98 $3.93 $3.96 $4.20 $4.13 $4.13
Net Debt/Share $2.56 $2.55 $3.26 $3.26 $3.26 $3.27 $3.72 $3.72 $3.71 $3.68 $3.49 $3.61 $3.57 $3.57 $3.72 $3.71 $3.66 $3.69 $4.03 $3.97 $3.97
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.543
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.650
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 6 5 6 5 7 8 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.84 -2.96 -2.05 -1.91 -1.98 -2.08 -2.48 -2.58 -2.59 -2.67 -2.56 -2.50 -2.45 -2.33 -3.03 -3.03 -3.13 -3.08 -2.82 -2.95 -2.949
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.578
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 2.57%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.67
EVA snapshot only $-37102370.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 30.02 43.14 40.67 41.57 42.79 37.09 28.21 23.66 23.04 23.48 32.69 28.73 29.48 24.89 30.28 30.29 30.85 31.71 22.88 21.93 21.934
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.354
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 6
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 10

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