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HIPO NYSE

Hippo Holdings Inc.
1W: -2.9% 1M: -9.9% 3M: -8.6% YTD: -13.4% 1Y: +13.0% 3Y: +39.0% 5Y: -89.5%
$26.20
+0.25 (+0.96%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.4%
$23 $25 $26 $27 $29
NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 34 · $682.1M mcap · 22M float · 0.547% daily turnover · Short 53% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 48.3%  ·  5Y Avg: -27.3%
Cost Advantage
35
Intangibles
36
Switching Cost
66
Network Effect
54
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HIPO shows a Weak competitive edge (46.6/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 48.3% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$45
Avg Target
$45
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$45.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-10-14 JMP Securities $4 $45 +41 +31.8% $34.14
2024-10-09 Jefferies Yaron Kinar Initiated $28 +61.3% $17.36
2023-01-09 Goldman Sachs Initiated $23 +42.0% $16.20
2022-11-22 Morgan Stanley $2 $18 +15 +33.3% $13.13
2022-08-19 Morgan Stanley Initiated $2 -90.9% $22.54
2022-02-09 JMP Securities Matthew Carletti Initiated $4 -92.0% $49.75

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
3
P/E
4
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HIPO receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-01 B A-
2026-03-06 B- B
2026-02-26 B+ B-
2026-01-30 B B+
2026-01-26 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

47 Grade B
Profitability
44
Balance Sheet
69
Earnings Quality
51
Growth
75
Value
70
Momentum
73
Safety
15
Cash Flow
52
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HIPO scores highest in Growth (75/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score
0.53
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.28
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.21
Bankruptcy prob: 0.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 59.7/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.47x
Accruals: 3.4%
The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. HIPO scores 0.53, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HIPO scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HIPO's score of -3.28 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HIPO's implied 0.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HIPO receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 59.7/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HIPO's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
6.02x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
1.42x
P/B
1.51x
P/FCF
13.71x
P/OCF
12.89x
EV/EBITDA
4.21x
EV/Revenue
1.02x
EV/EBIT
4.21x
EV/FCF
9.76x
Earnings Yield
16.38%
FCF Yield
7.29%
Shareholder Yield
2.11%
Graham Number
$39.87
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 6.0x earnings, HIPO trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 16.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $39.87 per share, suggesting a potential 52% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.969
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.242
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.278
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.321
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
28.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HIPO's ROE of 28.2% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.32x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$36.28
Price/Value
0.72x
Margin of Safety
28.18%
Premium
-28.18%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HIPO's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $36.28, HIPO appears undervalued with a 28% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 6.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1348 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$26.14
Median 1Y
$13.25
5th Pctile
$4.21
95th Pctile
$41.77
Ann. Volatility
68.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Stewart Ellis, Financial
ancial Officer
$391,667 $1,388,781 $4,056,632
Richard McCathron,
President
$383,333 $1,388,781 $2,878,441
Assaf Wand, Co-Founder
and Chief Executive Officer
$368,216 $— $1,572,269

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
-100.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
Rev: $468,600,000
Profit / Employee
NI: $57,700,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 1.4% 1.6% -43.2% -73.8% -70.5% -1.0% -46.0% -46.3% -51.0% -40.5% -56.4% -49.4% -35.5% -26.2% -10.9% -14.2% -2.9% 25.9% 14.5% 28.2% 28.19%
ROA -28.6% -31.7% -22.6% -18.6% -17.7% -25.2% -20.8% -20.9% -23.0% -18.3% -17.6% -15.4% -11.1% -8.2% -2.6% -3.4% -0.7% 6.3% 3.3% 6.5% 6.52%
ROIC 58.0% 64.2% -3.9% -2.5% -2.4% -3.4% 11.9% 11.9% 13.2% 10.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.3% 91.4% -12.4% -18.2% 0.1% 59.3% 26.3% 48.3% 48.28%
ROCE -28.4% -31.5% -25.1% -16.3% -15.5% -22.2% -20.7% -20.8% -22.9% -18.1% -17.2% -14.9% -10.4% -7.5% -2.2% -3.2% 0.0% 8.1% 11.4% 20.9% 20.94%
Gross Margin -43.1% -34.7% 88.2% -18.8% -36.9% -3.6% 11.2% -15.1% -82.0% 17.0% 25.3% 0.2% -8.8% 31.7% -24.3% -11.2% 34.1% 33.3% 62.2% 32.2% 32.18%
Operating Margin -4.0% -1.4% -1.8% -2.7% -2.5% -4.1% -1.7% -1.7% -2.2% -87.7% -60.5% -38.7% -40.7% -5.4% 46.2% -41.3% 3.4% 81.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.93%
Net Margin -4.0% -1.5% -1.9% -2.8% -2.6% -4.2% -1.8% -1.8% -2.3% -92.0% -65.6% -42.0% -45.2% -8.9% 43.4% -43.2% 1.1% 81.3% 5.0% 5.8% 5.84%
EBITDA Margin -3.9% -1.3% -1.7% -2.5% -2.4% -4.0% -1.6% -1.6% -2.1% -79.2% -52.1% -32.1% -36.2% -0.9% 51.9% -41.3% 3.4% 81.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.93%
FCF Margin -2.1% -2.2% -1.6% -1.9% -1.5% -1.4% -1.5% -1.2% -1.1% -66.1% -66.3% -33.4% -19.1% 0.2% 12.3% -1.0% 8.3% -0.4% 1.9% 10.4% 10.44%
OCF Margin -1.8% -2.0% -1.3% -1.6% -1.3% -1.1% -1.3% -1.0% -76.7% -40.9% -44.1% -15.3% -13.6% 1.6% 12.8% -1.5% 6.9% -0.1% 2.0% 11.1% 11.11%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -17.31%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -27.43%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.39%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -17.82%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 24.03%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.80%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 22.36%
CROIC snapshot only 21.02%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 23.99%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 24.20%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 20.36%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -13.74 -5.83 -4.31 -4.59 -2.14 -1.28 -0.94 -1.12 -1.05 -0.64 -0.81 -1.85 -2.47 -3.33 -16.44 -12.16 -67.93 9.81 13.68 6.10 6.018
P/S Ratio 101.37 30.58 17.51 11.31 4.67 3.65 2.62 2.79 2.51 1.04 1.05 1.74 1.43 1.26 1.79 1.61 1.71 2.09 1.68 1.43 1.422
P/B Ratio -19.25 -9.07 1.86 1.30 0.58 0.49 0.53 0.64 0.66 0.32 0.58 1.17 1.12 1.12 1.84 1.76 2.01 2.60 1.81 1.57 1.509
P/FCF -49.25 -13.73 -11.27 -6.03 -3.05 -2.69 -1.73 -2.41 -2.35 -1.58 -1.58 -5.19 -7.47 604.50 14.50 -155.72 20.71 -495.30 86.76 13.71 13.708
P/OCF 78.36 14.01 24.64 85.81 12.89 12.885
EV/EBITDA -13.40 -5.43 -2.29 -1.47 1.35 1.17 0.96 0.76 0.66 1.59 1.05 0.16 0.38 0.56 -62.09 -17.34 51.85 6.89 9.35 4.21 4.213
EV/Revenue 96.63 27.56 8.92 3.37 -2.69 -3.12 -2.49 -1.74 -1.46 -2.33 -1.22 -0.13 -0.18 -0.16 1.28 1.13 1.27 1.67 1.26 1.02 1.019
EV/EBIT -13.16 -5.29 -2.22 -1.40 1.27 1.11 0.92 0.72 0.62 1.49 0.98 0.15 0.33 0.47 -17.39 -11.22 1797.48 7.27 9.35 4.21 4.213
EV/FCF -46.95 -12.37 -5.74 -1.80 1.76 2.29 1.65 1.51 1.37 3.53 1.84 0.39 0.93 -75.65 10.42 -109.97 15.36 -396.56 65.03 9.76 9.762
Earnings Yield -7.3% -17.2% -23.2% -21.8% -46.8% -78.2% -1.1% -89.1% -95.7% -1.6% -1.2% -54.0% -40.5% -30.0% -6.1% -8.2% -1.5% 10.2% 7.3% 16.4% 16.38%
FCF Yield -2.0% -7.3% -8.9% -16.6% -32.8% -37.2% -57.8% -41.4% -42.6% -63.3% -63.2% -19.2% -13.4% 0.2% 6.9% -0.6% 4.8% -0.2% 1.2% 7.3% 7.29%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.003
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.626
EV/OCF snapshot only 9.176
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.518
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 4.213
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.11%
Graham Number snapshot only $39.87
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 6.30 6.30 6.30 6.30 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 0.35 0.35 0.347
Quick Ratio 6.30 6.30 6.30 6.30 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 0.35 0.35 0.347
Debt/Equity -1.37 -1.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.12 0.12 0.120
Net Debt/Equity -0.91 -0.91 -0.91 -0.91 -1.04 -1.04 -1.04 -1.04 -1.26 -1.26 -1.26 -1.26 -0.52 -0.52 -0.52 -0.52 -0.45 -0.45 -0.453
Debt/Assets 0.28 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.027
Debt/EBITDA -1.00 -0.91 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.11 -0.06 -0.07 -0.11 -0.16 -1.30 -0.38 0.96 0.09 0.83 0.45 0.451
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.66 0.60 2.20 3.47 3.68 2.53 1.97 1.97 1.78 2.31 1.96 2.31 3.43 5.05 24.36 7.22 -18.04 -1.71 -3.12 -1.70 -1.703
Interest Coverage -2.50 -2.77 -5.34 -3.01 -5.23 -7.47 -325.20
Equity Multiplier -4.91 -4.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.26 4.26 4.26 4.26 4.37 4.37 4.369
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.185
Cash to Debt snapshot only 4.773
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.956
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1630.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.27 0.28 0.278
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 0.22 0.35 0.28 0.40 0.43 0.47 0.33 0.37 0.42 0.50 0.50 0.61 0.71 0.80 1.43 1.53 1.64 1.73 5.03 5.15 5.154
Payables Turnover 0.53 0.83 0.46 0.66 0.72 0.75 0.63 0.71 0.94 1.02 0.88 1.03 1.07 1.14 1.35 1.49 1.41 1.47 1.11 0.97 0.973
DSO 1649 1056 1293 914 847 778 1107 981 860 732 726 597 513 455 255 239 223 211 73 71 70.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 690 441 800 556 504 489 577 512 388 359 416 355 342 322 270 246 258 249 329 375 375.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 959 615 493 358 343 289 530 469 472 373 310 242 171 134 -15 -7 -35 -38 -256 -304 -304.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.918
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.971
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 4.8% 1.8% 95.9% 31.1% 36.6% 44.5% 56.0% 75.2% 88.9% 92.8% 84.9% 77.4% 55.8% 43.1% 34.5% 25.9% 20.8% 20.77%
Net Income -24.8% 16.8% -6.6% 10.2% -37.7% -59.0% 11.2% 18.1% 28.8% 53.6% 56.8% 85.2% 78.0% 93.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 3.14%
EPS 14.0% 43.1% 27.8% 11.9% -33.4% -53.9% 14.6% 21.9% 31.8% 56.0% 59.1% 85.6% 78.7% 94.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.03%
FCF -7.6% -1.1% -19.5% -27.7% 15.8% -1.0% 24.0% 23.2% 45.4% 65.6% 1.0% 1.3% 95.2% 1.6% -3.7% -80.2% 13.2% 13.22%
EBITDA -17.6% 21.9% -3.1% 12.9% -37.5% -60.6% 14.4% 21.7% 33.7% 59.4% 64.5% 96.8% 87.4% 1.1% 2.2% 9.2% 5.5% 5.47%
Op. Income -22.5% 18.5% -5.2% 11.4% -36.9% -58.7% 12.6% 19.3% 30.4% 55.8% 59.9% 89.5% 82.3% 1.0% 1.9% 3.3% 3.9% 3.89%
OCF Growth snapshot only 10.19%
Asset Growth snapshot only 23.46%
Equity Growth snapshot only 20.44%
Debt Growth snapshot only 4.24%
Shares Change snapshot only 5.51%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.5% 98.6% 78.1% 59.7% 59.0% 58.6% 57.1% 57.6% 52.6% 52.61%
Revenue 5Y 95.0% 95.04%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 79.9% 53.1%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 15.9% 15.9% 15.9% -2.1% -2.1% -2.1% -2.1% 6.7% 6.7% 6.69%
Assets 5Y 14.2% 14.24%
Equity 3Y -25.0% -25.0% -25.0% -25.0% -9.6% -9.6% -9.58%
Book Value 3Y -27.4% -27.6% -28.4% -28.2% -13.4% -13.3% -13.34%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.95 0.99 1.00 0.92 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.97 0.971
Earnings Stability 0.97 0.42 0.20 0.98 0.24 0.08 0.66 0.84 0.20 0.50 0.79 0.92 0.53 0.532
Margin Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.85 0.50 0.96 0.93 0.88 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend -0.22 -0.21 -0.01 0.11 0.53 0.46 0.51 0.68 0.55 0.65 0.647
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.13 -0.05 -0.08 -0.04 0.17 0.15 0.09 0.04 0.18 0.12 0.35 0.45 0.448
FCF Margin Trend 0.41 0.72 1.13 0.87 1.18 1.11 1.01 1.21 0.73 0.71 0.33 0.29 0.28 0.277
Sustainable Growth Rate 25.9% 14.5% 28.2% 28.19%
Internal Growth Rate 6.7% 3.5% 7.0% 6.98%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.25 0.38 0.31 0.66 0.58 0.39 0.48 0.41 0.32 0.25 0.34 0.16 0.23 -0.04 -1.17 0.11 -2.76 -0.00 0.16 0.47 0.474
FCF/OCF 1.13 1.11 1.22 1.16 1.20 1.22 1.12 1.13 1.39 1.62 1.51 2.18 1.41 0.13 0.97 0.71 1.19 4.75 0.99 0.94 0.940
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.445
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.459
CapEx/Revenue 23.2% 21.5% 27.7% 25.8% 25.5% 24.8% 16.5% 12.9% 30.2% 25.2% 22.3% 18.1% 5.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.67%
Accruals Ratio -0.21 -0.20 -0.16 -0.06 -0.07 -0.15 -0.11 -0.12 -0.16 -0.14 -0.12 -0.13 -0.08 -0.09 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.034
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.568
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 16.656
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 31.4% 25.1% 12.9% 12.89%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.1% 3.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.11%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.5% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.3% -0.5% -0.5% -0.7% -0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.56%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.5% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.3% -0.5% -0.5% -0.7% -0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.56%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.08 1.12 1.47 1.31 -35.67 0.93 0.91 0.97 0.969
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin -7.34 -5.20 -4.02 -2.41 -2.13 -2.79 -2.72 -2.42 -2.34 -1.57 -1.25 -0.89 -0.54 -0.34 -0.07 -0.10 0.00 0.23 0.14 0.24 0.242
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.27 0.28 0.278
Equity Multiplier -4.91 -4.91 1.91 3.97 3.97 3.97 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.22 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 4.15 4.15 4.15 4.15 4.32 4.32 4.321
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-18.07 $-20.07 $-16.43 $-10.85 $-10.28 $-14.49 $-14.47 $-14.47 $-15.82 $-12.38 $-11.31 $-9.86 $-6.97 $-5.07 $-1.63 $-2.10 $-0.41 $3.68 $2.20 $4.27 $4.27
Book Value/Share $-12.90 $-12.90 $38.03 $38.26 $37.96 $37.64 $25.61 $25.43 $25.22 $24.86 $15.65 $15.60 $15.34 $15.07 $14.56 $14.50 $13.91 $13.91 $16.62 $16.55 $17.36
Tangible Book/Share $-19.13 $-19.13 $33.10 $33.30 $33.03 $32.75 $22.76 $22.60 $22.41 $22.09 $12.51 $12.47 $12.27 $12.06 $11.94 $11.89 $11.41 $11.41 $16.09 $16.02 $16.02
Revenue/Share $2.45 $3.83 $4.04 $4.40 $4.71 $5.08 $5.20 $5.82 $6.58 $7.63 $8.68 $10.53 $12.05 $13.35 $14.96 $15.91 $16.33 $17.29 $17.85 $18.21 $18.57
FCF/Share $-5.04 $-8.52 $-6.28 $-8.24 $-7.20 $-6.90 $-7.87 $-6.72 $-7.04 $-5.04 $-5.76 $-3.52 $-2.30 $0.03 $1.85 $-0.16 $1.35 $-0.07 $0.35 $1.90 $1.94
OCF/Share $-4.47 $-7.70 $-5.16 $-7.11 $-6.00 $-5.64 $-7.01 $-5.97 $-5.05 $-3.12 $-3.83 $-1.61 $-1.64 $0.22 $1.91 $-0.23 $1.13 $-0.02 $0.35 $2.02 $2.06
Cash/Share $29.23 $29.23 $34.72 $34.93 $34.65 $34.36 $27.80 $27.61 $27.38 $26.99 $20.33 $20.26 $19.93 $19.58 $7.95 $7.91 $7.59 $7.59 $9.53 $9.49 $20.12
EBITDA/Share $-17.66 $-19.41 $-15.76 $-10.07 $-9.42 $-13.56 $-13.46 $-13.41 $-14.65 $-11.17 $-10.05 $-8.52 $-5.64 $-3.76 $-0.31 $-1.04 $0.40 $4.20 $2.41 $4.41 $4.41
Debt/Share $17.64 $17.64 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.25 $1.25 $1.24 $1.22 $0.61 $0.61 $0.60 $0.59 $0.40 $0.40 $0.38 $0.38 $2.00 $1.99 $1.99
Net Debt/Share $-11.59 $-11.59 $-34.72 $-34.93 $-34.65 $-34.36 $-26.55 $-26.36 $-26.15 $-25.77 $-19.72 $-19.65 $-19.33 $-18.99 $-7.54 $-7.51 $-7.21 $-7.21 $-7.53 $-7.50 $-7.50
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-I Score 0.527
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -4.221
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 4 4 4 3 3 2 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.05 -2.13 2.08 1.77 -1.64 -2.22 -2.31 -2.88 -36.81 2.01 -2.76 -4.01 -3.61 -3.70 -2.69 -3.33 -3.28 -3.277
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.213
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-37.98
EVA snapshot only $91260000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 60.77 44.97 46.71 30.70 21.85 30.58 30.78 28.68 29.89 30.17 29.90 33.41 43.79 33.16 55.31 43.44 40.20 59.71 59.706
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 26.550
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 26
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 54

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