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Also trades as: 0J38.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

HLIT NASDAQ

Harmonic Inc.
1W: -4.8% 1M: +19.4% 3M: +16.5% YTD: +26.8% 1Y: +36.0% 3Y: -22.5% 5Y: +82.0%
$15.20
+2.50 (+19.69%)
After Hours: $16.94 (+1.74, +11.41%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.4%
$11 $12 $13 $13 $14
NASDAQ · Technology · Communication Equipment · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 65 · $1.6B mcap · 107M float · 1.36% daily turnover · Short 39% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 4.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 8.7%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
19
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
50
Scale ★
85
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HLIT has No discernible competitive edge (34.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 4.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$15
Low
$16
Avg Target
$18
High
Based on 4 analysts since May 11, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 9Hold: 10Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$15.75
Analysts4
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-12 Northland Securities Tim Savageaux $14 $15 +1 +15.3% $13.01
2026-05-12 Needham $20 $18 -2 +38.2% $13.02
2026-05-12 Jefferies Blayne Curtis $12 $15 +2 +16.9% $12.83
2026-05-12 Barclays $11 $15 +4 +16.9% $12.83
2026-02-20 Northland Securities Initiated $14 +23.2% $11.36
2025-11-05 Barclays Tim Long $8 $11 +3 +5.5% $10.43
2025-07-29 Barclays Tim Long $13 $8 -5 -12.5% $9.14
2024-10-29 Jefferies George Notter Initiated $12 +14.1% $10.96
2024-10-29 Rosenblatt Securities Steve Frankel $18 $16 -2 +8.0% $14.82
2024-04-30 Rosenblatt Securities Steve Frankel $17 $18 +1 +67.6% $10.74
2023-08-01 Needham Ryan Koontz $19 $20 +1 +72.0% $11.63
2023-01-31 Needham Ryan Koontz $17 $19 +2 +44.3% $13.17
2022-09-16 Needham Ryan Koontz $17 $17 0 +43.8% $11.82
2022-09-16 Needham $15 $17 +2 +51.8% $11.20
2022-08-02 Rosenblatt Securities Initiated $17 +56.7% $10.85
2022-08-02 Needham Initiated $15 +38.2% $10.85
2022-05-03 Barclays Initiated $13 +33.5% $9.74

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HLIT receives an overall rating of C. Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-02-20 B+ C
2026-02-09 B B+
2026-01-03 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

16 Grade D
Profitability
31
Balance Sheet
87
Earnings Quality
39
Growth
12
Value
38
Momentum
20
Safety
0
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HLIT scores highest in Balance Sheet (87/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.86
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.74
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.01
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 39.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -1.34x
Accruals: -12.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HLIT scores -0.86, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HLIT scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HLIT's score of -3.74 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HLIT's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HLIT receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 39.2/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-39.32x
PEG
0.21x
P/S
3.26x
P/B
4.64x
P/FCF
22.39x
P/OCF
18.16x
EV/EBITDA
21.26x
EV/Revenue
2.08x
EV/EBIT
27.14x
EV/FCF
22.92x
Earnings Yield
-4.12%
FCF Yield
4.47%
Shareholder Yield
8.44%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. HLIT currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-1.220
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.896
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.077
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.661
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.785
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-9.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HLIT's ROE of -9.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.661), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of -1.22 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$15.20
Median 1Y
$15.54
5th Pctile
$7.02
95th Pctile
$34.35
Ann. Volatility
48.9%
Analyst Target
$15.75
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Anthony J. Ley
Chairman, Former President Chief Executive Officer
$338,060 $— $1,202,038
Patrick J. Harshman
President Chief Executive Officer
$374,616 $— $842,515
Robin N. Dickson
Chief Financial Officer
$330,000 $— $626,146
Israel Levi President,
e President, Operations Quality
$275,000 $— $542,937
Neven Haltmayer President,
dent, Research Development
$210,000 $— $322,758
Charles Bonasera President,
dent, Operations
$32,308 $— $66,524

CEO Pay Ratio

8:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,202,038
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $154,972
Employees: 534

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
534
-56.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$675,137
Rev: $360,523,000
Profit / Employee
$-81,105
NI: $-43,310,000
SGA / Employee
$154,972
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$140,371
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -0.0% 2.7% 4.8% 6.4% 12.5% 15.1% 9.1% 11.2% 6.9% 2.0% 22.1% 18.6% 14.9% 22.3% 8.7% 11.8% 15.2% 11.0% -10.2% -9.9% -9.89%
ROA -0.0% 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 5.4% 6.5% 4.0% 5.0% 3.1% 0.9% 11.4% 9.6% 7.7% 11.5% 5.0% 6.8% 8.8% 6.3% -5.7% -5.5% -5.54%
ROIC -0.1% 4.1% 7.9% 8.2% 11.0% 12.6% 7.3% 8.9% 6.0% 1.8% 19.1% 0.2% -3.7% 31.2% 8.3% 11.2% 14.2% 9.7% 3.4% 4.6% 4.61%
ROCE 3.0% 4.6% 4.2% 5.3% 9.0% 10.3% 12.8% 14.9% 12.4% 7.4% 4.4% 0.2% -4.8% 3.2% 10.4% 13.5% 16.6% 13.2% 5.4% 7.4% 7.37%
Gross Margin 53.3% 52.4% 50.0% 46.9% 52.3% 50.5% 52.1% 53.3% 54.5% 48.5% 49.0% 51.7% 52.9% 53.5% 56.1% 59.0% 53.5% 54.2% 44.4% 52.3% 52.27%
Operating Margin 1.9% 4.3% 9.7% 1.7% 9.6% 7.3% 10.0% 7.1% 6.4% -6.8% 5.8% -7.8% -11.3% 18.1% 23.8% 7.6% 2.8% 6.9% 3.8% 16.8% 16.80%
Net Margin -1.8% 1.2% 12.7% -1.0% 9.4% 5.6% 3.7% 3.2% 1.0% -5.1% 50.2% -6.6% -9.0% 11.1% 17.2% 4.5% 2.1% 1.9% -55.8% 6.0% 6.01%
EBITDA Margin 4.5% 6.6% 11.8% 3.9% 14.2% 9.2% 11.7% 8.8% 8.3% -4.1% 7.5% -5.5% -8.5% 17.5% 27.7% 9.5% 5.0% 9.0% 6.5% 18.9% 18.88%
FCF Margin 8.3% 12.1% 5.5% 0.0% 1.0% -2.6% -0.6% 4.7% -1.1% 2.1% -0.2% 3.4% 2.4% 1.6% 7.8% 15.9% 17.1% 21.0% 18.9% 9.1% 9.08%
OCF Margin 12.6% 15.6% 8.1% 2.2% 2.9% -1.1% 0.9% 6.2% 0.1% 3.3% 1.2% 4.8% 4.0% 3.2% 9.1% 17.2% 18.7% 22.7% 21.1% 11.2% 11.20%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.57%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 6.69%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.36%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.68%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.60%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.80%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 13.77%
CROIC snapshot only 11.17%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.75%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.87%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 19.40%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 24.33%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -16979.84 136.63 98.02 54.42 27.01 35.30 54.53 49.36 89.61 171.68 17.96 21.32 23.87 20.02 39.71 21.34 15.69 23.00 -25.80 -24.26 -39.315
P/S Ratio 1.84 1.94 2.56 1.79 1.60 2.40 2.46 2.70 3.04 1.78 2.48 2.64 2.44 2.73 2.29 1.65 1.56 1.80 2.18 2.03 3.259
P/B Ratio 3.22 3.63 4.38 3.27 3.16 4.98 4.74 5.29 5.94 3.32 3.45 3.46 3.10 3.89 3.35 2.44 2.31 2.45 2.92 2.66 4.643
P/FCF 22.14 15.99 46.33 10913.53 152.95 -90.71 -407.17 57.11 -287.86 86.08 -1065.40 77.22 100.48 168.67 29.53 10.37 9.12 8.55 11.53 22.39 22.394
P/OCF 14.67 12.46 31.67 81.92 55.39 280.61 43.80 2191.31 53.56 213.71 54.69 61.62 86.55 25.15 9.57 8.34 7.91 10.35 18.16 18.156
EV/EBITDA 32.89 29.94 41.66 27.40 18.14 25.26 26.02 25.56 33.05 28.10 46.36 117.65 -127.01 62.63 20.72 12.22 9.73 12.65 29.49 21.26 21.256
EV/Revenue 2.03 2.12 2.67 1.89 1.69 2.49 2.57 2.82 3.16 1.90 2.60 2.76 2.57 2.84 2.36 1.72 1.63 1.87 2.23 2.08 2.081
EV/EBIT 67.82 49.97 69.55 41.26 23.51 31.72 32.47 30.95 41.41 40.05 72.37 1393.63 -60.15 110.42 24.58 13.91 10.78 14.36 40.93 27.14 27.136
EV/FCF 24.44 17.46 48.35 11551.52 162.21 -94.19 -426.03 59.47 -298.48 91.76 -1116.10 80.89 105.81 175.79 30.42 10.80 9.51 8.90 11.78 22.92 22.916
Earnings Yield -0.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 3.7% 2.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 5.6% 4.7% 4.2% 5.0% 2.5% 4.7% 6.4% 4.3% -3.9% -4.1% -4.12%
FCF Yield 4.5% 6.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.7% -1.1% -0.2% 1.8% -0.3% 1.2% -0.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 3.4% 9.6% 11.0% 11.7% 8.7% 4.5% 4.47%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.208
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.157
EV/OCF snapshot only 18.580
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.035
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 27.474
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 8.44%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.62 1.62 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.50 2.50 2.497
Quick Ratio 1.38 1.38 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 2.26 2.26 2.256
Debt/Equity 0.72 0.72 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.39 0.39 0.386
Net Debt/Equity 0.33 0.33 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.062
Debt/Assets 0.31 0.31 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.206
Debt/EBITDA 6.62 5.40 5.84 5.07 3.47 3.13 2.60 2.30 2.66 3.93 4.58 11.61 -13.90 5.51 1.92 1.53 1.28 1.58 3.82 3.02 3.018
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.09 2.52 1.74 1.51 1.04 0.93 1.15 1.02 1.18 1.74 2.11 5.34 -6.39 2.54 0.61 0.48 0.41 0.50 0.61 0.48 0.485
Interest Coverage 1.26 1.92 1.83 2.64 5.14 7.10 9.83 13.40 12.98 9.40 8.10 0.42 -7.10 2.97 8.91 10.53 13.19 12.92 6.47 9.81 9.808
Equity Multiplier 2.29 2.29 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.19 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.87 1.87 1.875
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.627
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 12.521
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.839
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.307
Defensive Interval snapshot only 348.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.77 0.82 0.79 0.85 0.91 0.96 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.86 0.82 0.77 0.75 0.84 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.81 0.68 0.66 0.661
Inventory Turnover 6.72 7.16 4.66 5.07 5.49 5.80 3.22 3.17 3.13 3.01 2.88 2.74 2.68 2.93 4.23 4.17 4.15 3.81 4.27 4.33 4.331
Receivables Turnover 5.06 5.41 6.16 6.60 7.13 7.49 6.17 6.27 6.26 5.98 4.76 4.48 4.34 4.88 4.25 4.32 4.31 3.98 3.88 3.79 3.791
Payables Turnover 6.68 7.12 5.62 6.12 6.62 7.01 4.69 4.62 4.56 4.38 5.57 5.30 5.19 5.67 8.48 8.36 8.33 7.63 8.18 8.30 8.303
DSO 72 67 59 55 51 49 59 58 58 61 77 81 84 75 86 85 85 92 94 96 96.3 days
DIO 54 51 78 72 67 63 113 115 117 121 127 133 136 124 86 88 88 96 86 84 84.3 days
DPO 55 51 65 60 55 52 78 79 80 83 66 69 70 64 43 44 44 48 45 44 44.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 72 67 73 68 63 60 95 94 95 99 138 146 150 135 129 128 129 140 135 137 136.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 12.720
Operating Cycle snapshot only 180.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.032
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.436
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 15.7% 30.7% 33.9% 31.8% 30.0% 27.7% 23.2% 17.0% 8.0% -1.8% -2.7% -9.9% -12.4% 3.1% 11.6% 20.5% 24.1% 1.9% -24.6% -27.5% -27.47%
Net Income 99.8% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 709.1% 5.1% 1.1% 95.0% -38.0% -85.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.6% 12.5% -53.3% -24.8% 21.0% -41.6% -2.1% -1.8% -1.79%
EPS 99.8% 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 658.7% 4.7% 1.0% 72.2% -43.3% -84.9% 2.0% 1.1% 1.7% 11.9% -54.1% -27.8% 22.7% -39.5% -2.2% -1.8% -1.83%
FCF 3.3% 16.4% 3.0% -99.7% -83.7% -1.3% -1.1% 337.0% -2.1% 1.8% 62.5% -35.0% 3.0% -19.6% 38.2% 4.6% 7.8% 12.2% 83.8% -58.5% -58.52%
EBITDA 46.3% 5.6% 31.6% 1.4% 96.3% 77.8% 89.8% 86.6% 10.4% -32.7% -44.8% -80.8% -1.2% -30.9% 1.3% 6.2% 11.3% 2.3% -50.0% -49.4% -49.39%
Op. Income 7.1% 1.9% 2.5% 13.3% 1.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 28.6% -34.3% -51.3% -97.3% -1.5% -31.4% 1.8% 55.5% 5.2% 2.9% -56.3% -54.2% -54.21%
OCF Growth snapshot only -52.78%
Asset Growth snapshot only -9.80%
Equity Growth snapshot only -17.63%
Debt Growth snapshot only -0.32%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.47%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 5.7% 7.3% 7.9% 11.3% 15.7% 16.1% 15.8% 16.6% 17.5% 17.9% 17.1% 11.6% 7.1% 8.9% 10.2% 8.3% 5.5% 1.0% -6.4% -7.6% -7.65%
Revenue 5Y 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 5.9% 9.1% 10.7% 11.8% 11.7% 10.6% 9.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.9% 9.6% 11.0% 11.4% 12.0% 11.5% 6.2% 4.0% 3.96%
EPS 3Y 1.2% 40.6% 38.4% 23.9% 5.8%
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y 1.3% 43.6% 44.0% 25.5% 5.8%
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 3.7% 25.8% 30.5% 1.0% 21.1% 23.1% 44.7% 46.9% 2.2% -4.8% -6.1% 33.5% 37.2% 28.2% 15.6% -14.4% -11.2% -11.21%
EBITDA 5Y 1.6% 15.8% -4.4% -3.7% 18.5% 33.2% 43.3% 1.1% 25.8% 25.78%
Gross Profit 3Y 6.7% 8.7% 7.5% 10.3% 14.6% 11.6% 12.3% 14.9% 16.3% 19.6% 17.0% 11.0% 5.9% 8.4% 12.1% 11.7% 8.9% 4.7% -4.7% -7.9% -7.93%
Gross Profit 5Y 5.0% 5.9% 5.3% 6.4% 10.0% 11.5% 13.2% 13.4% 11.4% 9.9% 8.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.8% 10.4% 11.8% 12.5% 13.9% 7.0% 3.9% 3.88%
Op. Income 3Y 47.7% 51.5% 1.5% 2.1% -5.8% -0.9% 49.7% 48.7% 38.9% 20.2% -15.4% -11.2% -11.22%
Op. Income 5Y 7.8% 37.0% 88.9% 1.3% 84.9% 84.86%
FCF 3Y 97.0% 74.9% -82.3% -10.5% -29.0% -44.4% 23.4% 9.7% 1.7% 14.7% 14.74%
FCF 5Y 10.3% 3.9% 86.7% 20.3% 68.5% 69.3% 10.8% 10.77%
OCF 3Y 1.5% 72.3% 49.5% -20.0% 56.8% -44.1% 34.7% -71.2% -10.1% -43.5% -19.0% -27.1% -36.1% 14.7% 1.2% 96.9% 1.7% 12.6% 12.63%
OCF 5Y 1.5% 33.9% 8.3% 12.3% -25.0% 6.5% -10.5% 3.6% 38.0% 20.4% 14.6% 49.2% 28.5% 39.1% 22.5% 1.6% 1.56%
Assets 3Y 5.2% 5.2% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.40%
Assets 5Y 2.4% 2.4% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 4.0% 4.0% 3.97%
Equity 3Y 5.8% 5.8% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 19.1% 19.1% 19.1% 19.1% 16.2% 16.2% 16.2% 16.2% 5.7% 5.7% 5.70%
Book Value 3Y -0.1% -1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 2.0% 3.9% 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 3.8% 13.6% 14.6% 14.2% 15.3% 13.7% 11.7% 14.6% 16.1% 7.0% 7.9% 7.93%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.69 0.36 0.25 0.42 0.64 0.65 0.74 0.81 0.83 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.72 0.87 0.93 0.85 0.74 0.73 0.30 0.20 0.204
Earnings Stability 0.81 0.72 0.74 0.87 0.96 0.81 0.76 0.88 0.90 0.53 0.75 0.89 0.90 0.63 0.63 0.88 0.91 0.63 0.01 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.97 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.967
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.92 0.83 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.28 0.36 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.10 0.00 0.27 0.72 0.81 0.48
ROE Trend 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.16 0.20 0.12 0.10 0.01 -0.06 0.13 0.08 0.04 0.11 -0.06 -0.02 0.05 -0.00 -0.25 -0.25 -0.248
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.015
FCF Margin Trend 0.08 0.13 0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.08 -0.04 0.01 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.08 0.12 0.16 0.19 0.15 -0.01 -0.006
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.7% 4.8% 6.4% 12.5% 15.1% 9.1% 11.2% 6.9% 2.0% 22.1% 18.6% 14.9% 22.3% 8.7% 11.8% 15.2% 11.0%
Internal Growth Rate 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 5.7% 7.0% 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 0.9% 12.8% 10.6% 8.3% 13.0% 5.3% 7.3% 9.6% 6.8%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -1157.39 10.96 3.09 0.66 0.49 -0.16 0.19 1.13 0.04 3.21 0.08 0.39 0.39 0.23 1.58 2.23 1.88 2.91 -2.49 -1.34 -1.336
FCF/OCF 0.66 0.78 0.68 0.01 0.36 2.50 -0.69 0.77 -7.61 0.62 -0.20 0.71 0.61 0.51 0.85 0.92 0.91 0.93 0.90 0.81 0.811
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.084
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.144
CapEx/Revenue 4.2% 3.4% 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.12%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.999
Accruals Ratio -0.10 -0.12 -0.04 0.01 0.03 0.08 0.03 -0.01 0.03 -0.02 0.10 0.06 0.05 0.09 -0.03 -0.08 -0.08 -0.12 -0.20 -0.13 -0.129
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.115
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 5.284
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 14.4% 12.2% 18.2% 8.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 30.6% 53.0% 35.4% 78.2% 84.7% 73.9% 1.3%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 2.0% 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 7.1% 8.4% 8.44%
Net Buyback Yield -1.4% -1.2% -0.9% -0.8% -0.5% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.7% -0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 4.1% 5.3% 6.5% 7.8% 7.85%
Total Shareholder Return -1.4% -1.2% -0.9% -0.8% -0.5% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.7% -0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 4.1% 5.3% 6.5% 7.8% 7.85%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -0.02 0.70 1.49 1.15 1.02 1.01 0.63 0.65 0.48 0.24 4.39 -44.87 -2.10 7.98 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.65 -1.84 -1.22 -1.220
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.20 0.48 0.46 0.62 0.81 0.86 0.90 0.93 0.92 0.89 0.88 -1.39 1.14 0.66 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.84 0.90 0.896
EBIT Margin 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.00 -0.04 0.03 0.10 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.05 0.08 0.077
Asset Turnover 0.77 0.82 0.79 0.85 0.91 0.96 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.86 0.82 0.77 0.75 0.84 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.81 0.68 0.66 0.661
Equity Multiplier 2.31 2.31 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.26 2.26 2.26 2.26 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.79 1.79 1.785
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.00 $0.06 $0.12 $0.17 $0.32 $0.37 $0.24 $0.30 $0.18 $0.06 $0.73 $0.63 $0.49 $0.72 $0.33 $0.46 $0.60 $0.44 $-0.38 $-0.38 $-0.38
Book Value/Share $2.55 $2.43 $2.69 $2.85 $2.72 $2.62 $2.77 $2.76 $2.72 $2.90 $3.78 $3.89 $3.80 $3.72 $3.95 $3.98 $4.10 $4.11 $3.39 $3.46 $3.24
Tangible Book/Share $0.14 $0.14 $0.51 $0.54 $0.52 $0.50 $0.74 $0.74 $0.73 $0.77 $1.71 $1.76 $1.72 $1.68 $1.94 $1.95 $2.01 $2.02 $2.85 $2.91 $2.91
Revenue/Share $4.46 $4.54 $4.59 $5.22 $5.39 $5.45 $5.33 $5.39 $5.31 $5.40 $5.25 $5.09 $4.83 $5.31 $5.77 $5.89 $6.07 $5.61 $4.53 $4.52 $4.56
FCF/Share $0.37 $0.55 $0.25 $0.00 $0.06 $-0.14 $-0.03 $0.26 $-0.06 $0.11 $-0.01 $0.17 $0.12 $0.09 $0.45 $0.94 $1.04 $1.18 $0.86 $0.41 $0.41
OCF/Share $0.56 $0.71 $0.37 $0.11 $0.16 $-0.06 $0.05 $0.33 $0.01 $0.18 $0.06 $0.25 $0.19 $0.17 $0.53 $1.01 $1.14 $1.27 $0.96 $0.51 $0.51
Cash/Share $0.97 $0.93 $1.21 $1.28 $1.22 $1.18 $0.76 $0.76 $0.75 $0.80 $0.73 $0.75 $0.73 $0.72 $0.86 $0.87 $0.89 $0.90 $1.10 $1.12 $0.99
EBITDA/Share $0.28 $0.32 $0.29 $0.36 $0.50 $0.54 $0.53 $0.59 $0.51 $0.37 $0.29 $0.12 $-0.10 $0.24 $0.66 $0.83 $1.02 $0.83 $0.34 $0.44 $0.44
Debt/Share $1.83 $1.74 $1.72 $1.83 $1.75 $1.68 $1.37 $1.37 $1.35 $1.44 $1.35 $1.39 $1.36 $1.33 $1.26 $1.27 $1.31 $1.31 $1.31 $1.34 $1.34
Net Debt/Share $0.85 $0.81 $0.51 $0.55 $0.52 $0.50 $0.61 $0.60 $0.60 $0.64 $0.62 $0.64 $0.62 $0.61 $0.40 $0.40 $0.41 $0.41 $0.21 $0.21 $0.21
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -0.857
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.168
Piotroski F-Score 7 8 6 5 5 4 6 7 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 9 8 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.92 -3.13 -2.37 -2.12 -2.04 -1.87 -2.19 -2.41 -2.23 -2.36 -1.65 -1.75 -1.86 -1.64 -2.38 -2.69 -2.60 -2.70 -4.05 -3.74 -3.741
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.013
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.43%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.44
EVA snapshot only $-21942981.14
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 26.48 31.03 26.90 26.49 36.92 37.95 38.04 44.07 44.48 38.36 41.52 20.95 25.53 33.31 58.45 62.39 62.69 61.88 49.24 39.23 39.235
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -23.150
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 0

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