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HNVR NASDAQ

Hanover Bancorp, Inc.
1W: +1.5% 1M: +3.8% 3M: +5.9% YTD: +2.2% 1Y: -1.1% 3Y: +37.0%
$23.39
+0.23 (+0.99%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.7%
$21 $22 $23 $23 $24
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 56 · $167.4M mcap · 4M float · 0.328% daily turnover · Short 8% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
30.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 4.5%
Cost Advantage
28
Intangibles
19
Switching Cost
38
Network Effect
29
Scale ★
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HNVR has No discernible competitive edge (30.2/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 4.5% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$27
Avg Target
$27
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$26.75
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-01-30 Piper Sandler $27 $26 -0 +10.6% $23.95
2025-12-10 Piper Sandler $22 $27 +5 +16.8% $23.11
2024-10-24 Piper Sandler Mark Fitzgibbon $20 $22 +2 +14.5% $19.22
2024-07-25 Piper Sandler Mark Fitzgibbon Initiated $20 +13.3% $17.65

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
2
ROA
2
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HNVR receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), ROA (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-18 B- B
2026-04-27 B B-
2026-04-22 B+ B
2026-04-01 B- B+
2026-03-16 C+ B-
2026-02-04 C- C+
2026-02-02 B+ C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

35 Grade B
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
43
Earnings Quality
91
Growth
19
Value
58
Momentum
54
Safety
30
Cash Flow
67
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HNVR scores highest in Earnings Quality (91/100) and lowest in Growth (19/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.67
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.72
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.26
Bankruptcy prob: 3.7%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 30.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.56x
Accruals: -0.2%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. HNVR scores 1.67, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HNVR scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HNVR's score of -2.72 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HNVR's implied 3.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HNVR receives an estimated rating of B (score: 30.0/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HNVR's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
22.18x
PEG
-1.12x
P/S
1.20x
P/B
0.86x
P/FCF
13.89x
P/OCF
13.16x
EV/EBITDA
8.60x
EV/Revenue
0.65x
EV/EBIT
10.78x
EV/FCF
7.85x
Earnings Yield
4.88%
FCF Yield
7.20%
Shareholder Yield
2.55%
Graham Number
$25.27
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 22.2x earnings, HNVR commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $25.27 per share, suggesting a potential 8% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.703
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.326
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.061
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.059
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
11.830
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
4.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HNVR's ROE of 4.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 11.83x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$8.96
Price/Value
2.41x
Margin of Safety
-140.98%
Premium
140.98%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HNVR's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. HNVR trades at a 141% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $8.96, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 22.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1012 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$23.39
Median 1Y
$23.62
5th Pctile
$14.84
95th Pctile
$37.63
Ann. Volatility
26.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Michael P. Puorro,
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
$625,000 $187,483 $1,140,445
McClelland Wilcox,
President
$525,000 $131,248 $838,752
Kevin Corbett, Credit
ive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer
$315,000 $47,243 $450,201

CEO Pay Ratio

6:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,140,445
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $183,649
Employees: 194

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
194
+4.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$738,773
Rev: $143,322,000
Profit / Employee
$38,598
NI: $7,488,000
SGA / Employee
$183,649
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 4.4% 6.5% 9.6% 11.4% 11.8% 8.5% 7.6% 8.1% 6.8% 6.6% 6.5% 5.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 4.0% 3.95%
ROA 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.33%
ROIC 3.6% 8.2% 12.1% 14.4% 12.8% 7.3% 6.5% 6.9% 5.8% 5.9% 8.6% 6.9% 8.0% 7.9% 5.7% 4.5% 4.53%
ROCE 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 4.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.91%
Gross Margin 86.5% 75.7% 63.3% 55.0% 49.2% 45.9% 45.7% 45.0% 34.6% 44.3% 47.2% 48.6% 44.9% 46.6% 35.3% 50.7% 50.67%
Operating Margin 38.2% 34.9% 28.8% 15.6% 14.5% 14.4% 14.7% 15.0% 3.1% 12.1% 13.9% 4.8% 9.5% 13.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.70%
Net Margin 29.5% 27.0% 22.3% 12.0% 10.2% 10.8% 10.9% 11.3% 2.3% 9.3% 10.5% 4.2% 6.9% 9.8% 0.1% 5.8% 5.80%
EBITDA Margin 40.7% 36.9% 30.6% 17.3% 16.0% 20.9% 17.5% 17.7% 5.0% 15.4% 16.5% 7.4% 12.6% 15.9% 0.4% 0.7% 0.70%
FCF Margin 39.9% 37.5% 31.6% 22.4% 19.5% 11.4% 9.3% 11.0% 3.4% 5.7% 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 4.3% 8.5% 8.3% 8.31%
OCF Margin 41.5% 38.7% 33.6% 25.2% 22.7% 14.4% 11.6% 12.4% 5.1% 6.0% 4.0% 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 9.1% 8.8% 8.77%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.56%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.47%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.03%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.83%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.51%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.36%
CROIC snapshot only 8.87%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.25%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 8.03%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 28.04%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.78%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 23.87 11.82 8.25 6.13 6.86 8.44 8.90 7.36 9.48 10.65 13.69 16.48 14.92 14.33 22.99 20.48 22.176
P/S Ratio 7.04 3.32 2.14 1.33 1.17 1.12 0.97 0.80 0.82 0.89 1.14 1.08 1.15 1.12 1.20 1.16 1.204
P/B Ratio 1.04 0.76 0.79 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.65 0.57 0.62 0.70 0.86 0.82 0.87 0.83 0.86 0.80 0.863
P/FCF 17.63 8.87 6.77 5.95 5.98 9.85 10.50 7.27 24.20 15.63 25.26 22.17 21.29 25.87 14.13 13.89 13.894
P/OCF 16.97 8.60 6.35 5.29 5.14 7.80 8.38 6.40 16.05 14.99 28.64 25.18 29.49 26.52 13.19 13.16 13.164
EV/EBITDA 20.71 6.26 4.42 3.11 3.38 6.37 6.43 5.35 6.56 7.59 5.70 6.52 6.07 5.73 7.84 8.60 8.600
EV/Revenue 8.43 2.42 1.57 0.94 0.82 1.32 1.16 0.97 0.99 1.05 0.78 0.73 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.65 0.653
EV/EBIT 22.04 6.64 4.69 3.32 3.65 7.47 7.84 6.60 8.49 9.42 7.05 8.49 7.80 7.28 10.27 10.78 10.782
EV/FCF 21.11 6.45 4.99 4.18 4.19 11.60 12.47 8.82 28.96 18.36 17.27 14.83 14.60 17.37 8.39 7.85 7.849
Earnings Yield 4.2% 8.5% 12.1% 16.3% 14.6% 11.8% 11.2% 13.6% 10.5% 9.4% 7.3% 6.1% 6.7% 7.0% 4.4% 4.9% 4.88%
FCF Yield 5.7% 11.3% 14.8% 16.8% 16.7% 10.2% 9.5% 13.8% 4.1% 6.4% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 3.9% 7.1% 7.2% 7.20%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.887
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.437
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.474
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.782
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.55%
Graham Number snapshot only $25.27
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 130.51 177.30 177.30 177.30 177.30 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.143
Quick Ratio 130.51 177.30 177.30 177.30 177.30 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.143
Debt/Equity 1.50 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.63 0.63 0.627
Net Debt/Equity 0.21 -0.21 -0.21 -0.21 -0.21 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 -0.27 -0.27 -0.27 -0.27 -0.35 -0.35 -0.349
Debt/Assets 0.12 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.053
Debt/EBITDA 25.01 8.24 5.57 4.63 5.09 9.10 9.63 8.93 10.21 10.70 6.99 8.54 7.37 7.43 9.62 11.89 11.893
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.42 -2.34 -1.58 -1.31 -1.45 0.96 1.02 0.94 1.08 1.13 -2.64 -3.23 -2.78 -2.81 -5.36 -6.62 -6.623
Interest Coverage 4.81 3.12 1.79 1.11 0.63 0.40 0.30 0.28 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.16 0.20 0.21 0.14 0.12 0.124
Equity Multiplier 12.12 10.66 10.66 10.66 10.66 11.56 11.56 11.56 11.56 11.56 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.90 11.90 11.900
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.134
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.156
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.557
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.092
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1423.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.059
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 1.93 4.64 7.45 10.59 11.48 11.87 12.96 13.92 14.61 13.68 13.20 13.25 13.12 12.92 12.13 11.77 11.769
Payables Turnover 1.89 8.39 18.02 31.21 37.71 39.46 46.69 52.34 58.74 46.08 50.62 50.03 47.29 46.03 104.94 101.18 101.183
DSO 189 79 49 34 32 31 28 26 25 27 28 28 28 28 30 31 31.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 193 43 20 12 10 9 8 7 6 8 7 7 8 8 3 4 3.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -4 35 29 23 22 21 20 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 27 27 27.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.753
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.712
Capital Intensity snapshot only 17.139
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 4.7% 1.9% 95.2% 47.5% 36.2% 27.8% 19.3% 11.5% 5.3% -0.2% -3.4% -6.6% -6.63%
Net Income 2.3% 35.9% -17.6% -26.7% -30.2% -19.5% -9.1% -32.1% -6.4% -7.0% -39.3% -20.0% -20.04%
EPS 2.1% 35.4% -18.0% -29.9% -30.8% -19.8% -13.0% -32.5% -10.2% -5.0% -39.3% -19.7% -19.71%
FCF 1.8% -12.6% -42.7% -27.9% -76.2% -35.9% -42.0% -50.2% 67.4% -24.4% 82.1% 58.7% 58.66%
EBITDA 2.4% 54.4% -1.4% -11.7% -15.0% -15.0% -9.4% -31.3% -8.9% -5.4% -35.6% -36.4% -36.35%
Op. Income 2.3% 39.6% -14.2% -23.4% -29.2% -19.6% -10.6% -34.9% -8.2% -7.5% -39.2% -33.9% -33.93%
OCF Growth snapshot only 90.13%
Asset Growth snapshot only 3.07%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.85%
Debt Growth snapshot only -11.34%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.41%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -23.96%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.0% 54.1% 31.1% 15.4% 15.39%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y 24.0% 1.0% -24.3% -27.6% -27.57%
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y 28.8% 0.6% -23.1% -26.4% -26.45%
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 37.7% 7.5% -16.9% -27.2% -27.17%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 63.4% 28.6% 10.1% -0.2% -0.22%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y 29.3% 1.3% -22.5% -30.9% -30.93%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y 3.5% -24.9% -15.4% -17.1% -17.09%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y -8.4% -26.3% -15.2% -18.9% -18.86%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 15.9% 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.00%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y 17.1% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 5.08%
Book Value 3Y 12.7% 4.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.48%
Dividend 3Y -3.3% 0.9% -1.0% -10.1% -10.12%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.86 0.81 0.76 0.65 0.650
Earnings Stability 0.32 0.06 0.95 1.00 0.11 0.03 0.94 0.97 0.965
Margin Stability 0.65 0.66 0.70 0.74 0.66 0.69 0.72 0.77 0.765
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.88 0.92 0.96 0.87 0.97 0.97 0.84 0.92 0.920
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.70 0.81 0.69 0.64 0.78 0.90 0.62 0.93 0.93 0.51 0.78 0.777
ROE Trend -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.025
Gross Margin Trend -0.30 -0.24 -0.19 -0.14 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.008
FCF Margin Trend -0.26 -0.19 -0.16 -0.12 -0.06 -0.04 0.02 0.00 0.004
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.8% 5.3% 7.9% 9.4% 9.5% 6.8% 5.9% 6.4% 5.2% 5.0% 4.9% 3.6% 4.4% 4.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.81%
Internal Growth Rate 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.24%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.41 1.37 1.30 1.16 1.34 1.08 1.06 1.15 0.59 0.71 0.48 0.65 0.51 0.54 1.74 1.56 1.556
FCF/OCF 0.96 0.97 0.94 0.89 0.86 0.79 0.80 0.88 0.66 0.96 1.13 1.14 1.39 1.03 0.93 0.95 0.947
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.474
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.156
CapEx/Revenue 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.0% 2.3% 1.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.46%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.300
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.002
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.210
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.206
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.71%
Dividend/Share $0.11 $0.28 $0.39 $0.50 $0.49 $0.40 $0.41 $0.40 $0.41 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.41 $0.40 $0.30 $0.40
Payout Ratio 13.8% 18.4% 16.9% 17.9% 20.1% 19.3% 21.6% 20.3% 24.1% 24.2% 24.0% 30.3% 26.1% 26.3% 40.2% 28.8% 28.82%
FCF Payout Ratio 10.2% 13.8% 13.9% 17.3% 17.5% 22.5% 25.4% 20.1% 61.6% 35.4% 44.3% 40.8% 37.3% 47.5% 24.7% 19.6% 19.55%
Total Payout Ratio 13.8% 36.8% 29.3% 27.5% 31.0% 20.4% 22.8% 21.5% 25.5% 25.4% 25.2% 30.4% 26.2% 31.2% 64.8% 52.3% 52.29%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number 3.82 0.45 0.08 -0.14 -0.14 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.23 -0.225
Buyback Yield 0.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.15%
Net Buyback Yield -21.8% -17.9% -17.4% -19.8% -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -0.4% -0.4% -0.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.15%
Total Shareholder Return -21.2% -16.4% -15.4% -16.9% 2.9% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 2.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.55%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.70 0.703
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.33 1.326
EBIT Margin 0.38 0.36 0.34 0.28 0.22 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.061
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.059
Equity Multiplier 12.12 10.66 10.66 10.66 11.27 11.13 11.13 11.13 11.13 11.56 11.66 11.66 11.66 11.66 11.83 11.83 11.830
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.80 $1.51 $2.32 $2.77 $2.44 $2.05 $1.90 $1.95 $1.69 $1.64 $1.66 $1.31 $1.52 $1.56 $1.01 $1.05 $1.05
Book Value/Share $18.30 $23.38 $24.29 $24.30 $24.15 $25.10 $26.05 $25.05 $25.80 $25.00 $26.37 $26.33 $26.20 $27.01 $26.89 $26.92 $27.10
Tangible Book/Share $14.81 $20.14 $20.93 $20.93 $20.81 $21.86 $22.69 $21.82 $22.48 $21.78 $22.96 $22.92 $22.81 $23.52 $24.32 $24.34 $24.34
Revenue/Share $2.70 $5.38 $8.96 $12.74 $14.39 $15.38 $17.42 $17.99 $19.45 $19.57 $19.90 $19.94 $19.65 $19.94 $19.24 $18.69 $18.70
FCF/Share $1.08 $2.01 $2.83 $2.86 $2.81 $1.75 $1.61 $1.97 $0.66 $1.12 $0.90 $0.98 $1.06 $0.86 $1.64 $1.55 $1.12
OCF/Share $1.12 $2.08 $3.01 $3.22 $3.27 $2.21 $2.02 $2.24 $1.00 $1.17 $0.79 $0.86 $0.77 $0.84 $1.75 $1.64 $1.20
Cash/Share $23.75 $21.98 $22.84 $22.84 $22.70 $26.00 $26.99 $25.96 $26.74 $25.90 $26.15 $26.11 $25.98 $26.79 $26.23 $26.26 $26.16
EBITDA/Share $1.10 $2.08 $3.19 $3.85 $3.47 $3.20 $3.13 $3.25 $2.93 $2.71 $2.72 $2.22 $2.56 $2.62 $1.75 $1.42 $1.42
Debt/Share $27.50 $17.12 $17.78 $17.78 $17.68 $29.07 $30.17 $29.02 $29.89 $28.96 $18.98 $18.95 $18.85 $19.44 $16.85 $16.87 $16.87
Net Debt/Share $3.76 $-4.87 $-5.06 $-5.06 $-5.03 $3.07 $3.19 $3.06 $3.16 $3.06 $-7.17 $-7.16 $-7.13 $-7.35 $-9.38 $-9.39 $-9.39
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-B Score 1.667
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.244
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 4 7 6 5 5 4 3 5 5 5 5 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -1.78 -1.80 -1.99 -2.09 -2.02 -2.47 -2.34 -2.38 -2.42 -2.31 -2.36 -2.72 -2.719
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.265
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-265.35
EVA snapshot only $-7126203.24
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 40.56 55.86 64.43 69.33 69.27 42.17 34.39 37.36 33.82 33.76 35.10 34.45 36.04 33.77 31.31 29.96 29.958
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -4.492
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 6
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 16

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