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HRTG NYSE

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.
1W: +4.3% 1M: -14.9% 3M: -2.7% YTD: -14.0% 1Y: -5.2% 3Y: +362.7% 5Y: +187.2%
$22.88
-0.57 (-2.43%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±11.6%
$18 $21 $23 $26 $29
NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · Alpha Radar Strong Sell · Power 37 · $694.4M mcap · 23M float · 1.69% daily turnover · Short 34% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.4 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 440.3%  ·  5Y Avg: 101.9%
Cost Advantage
48
Intangibles
69
Switching Cost
40
Network Effect
24
Scale
53
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HRTG shows a Weak competitive edge (48.4/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 440.3% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$36
Low
$36
Avg Target
$36
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 7, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$37.50
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-11 Truist Financial Mark Hughes $39 $36 -3 +61.5% $22.30
2026-03-09 Truist Financial Mark Hughes $35 $39 +4 +44.0% $27.09
2025-09-19 Truist Financial Mark Hughes $12 $35 +23 +37.6% $25.43
2024-08-08 Piper Sandler Paul Newsome Initiated $13 +59.3% $8.16
2024-08-07 Truist Financial Mark Hughes Initiated $12 +62.2% $7.40

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
3
P/E
4
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HRTG receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-11 A- A
2026-05-08 A A-
2026-03-12 A- A
2026-03-09 A A-
2026-03-09 A+ A

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

60 Grade A
Profitability
73
Balance Sheet
78
Earnings Quality
81
Growth
55
Value
79
Momentum
73
Safety
100
Cash Flow
87
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HRTG scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (55/100). An overall grade of A places HRTG among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score
8.52
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.53
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 93.6/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.02x
Accruals: -0.2%
The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. HRTG scores 8.52, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HRTG scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HRTG's score of -3.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HRTG's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HRTG receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 93.6/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HRTG's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
3.48x
PEG
0.02x
P/S
0.90x
P/B
1.35x
P/FCF
4.02x
P/OCF
3.91x
EV/EBITDA
1.20x
EV/Revenue
0.45x
EV/EBIT
1.26x
EV/FCF
1.73x
Earnings Yield
24.98%
FCF Yield
24.89%
Shareholder Yield
1.52%
Graham Number
$49.25
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 3.5x earnings, HRTG trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 25.0% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $49.25 per share, suggesting a potential 115% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.751
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.974
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.355
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.333
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.860
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
50.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HRTG's ROE of 50.7% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.86x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
159.31%
Fair P/E
327.12x
Intrinsic Value
$2145.37
Price/Value
0.01x
Margin of Safety
98.78%
Premium
-98.78%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HRTG's realized 159.3% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $2145.37, HRTG appears undervalued with a 99% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 327.1x compares to the current market P/E of 3.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$22.88
Median 1Y
$20.26
5th Pctile
$6.87
95th Pctile
$59.84
Ann. Volatility
62.6%
Analyst Target
$37.50
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Ernie Garateix
CEO
$875,500 $2,757,824 $5,341,897
Kirk Lusk
CFO
$824,000 $947,598 $2,609,930
Tim Moura President,
NBIC
$650,000 $409,504 $1,313,743

CEO Pay Ratio

31:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $5,341,897
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $171,535
Employees: 542

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
542
+0.4% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,563,339
Rev: $847,330,000
Profit / Employee
$360,875
NI: $195,594,000
SGA / Employee
$171,535
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -2.6% -5.1% -19.0% -25.6% -46.9% -55.0% -65.1% -46.2% -5.9% 11.3% 25.8% 25.9% 32.2% 41.1% 24.1% 30.4% 41.8% 58.4% 49.1% 50.7% 50.65%
ROA -0.6% -1.1% -3.7% -4.9% -9.1% -10.6% -7.1% -5.0% -0.6% 1.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 3.4% 4.7% 6.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.64%
ROIC 5.0% 7.0% 11.3% 16.2% 28.3% 33.0% 1.3% 95.4% 18.2% -11.4% -16.4% -24.6% -30.7% -39.1% -55.0% -75.9% -1.0% -1.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.40%
ROCE -0.9% -1.4% -3.4% -5.1% -9.2% -10.9% -6.6% -4.1% 0.2% 1.8% 3.0% 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 3.8% 4.6% 6.1% 8.5% 12.2% 12.6% 12.57%
Gross Margin 7.7% 1.1% 18.6% -12.4% 14.6% -17.9% 17.4% 1.0% 20.1% 6.7% 28.3% 22.3% 24.8% 15.7% 25.0% 31.3% 42.9% 43.5% 66.0% 56.9% 56.93%
Operating Margin -3.9% -10.5% -26.9% -26.1% -53.3% -29.8% 6.8% 0.0% 7.4% -6.5% 17.7% 9.8% 12.2% 4.2% 13.8% 23.3% 30.3% 32.2% 61.8% 23.1% 23.06%
Net Margin -2.6% -9.8% -29.5% -19.4% -53.7% -29.1% 7.2% 7.9% 4.2% -4.0% 16.6% 7.0% 9.3% 3.8% 9.7% 14.4% 23.1% 23.7% 46.8% 17.2% 17.16%
EBITDA Margin -1.3% -7.8% -24.4% -23.6% -51.0% -27.3% 9.8% 12.6% 10.0% -3.9% 20.5% 12.2% 14.7% 6.6% 16.3% 21.5% 32.6% 34.6% 65.5% 25.4% 25.38%
FCF Margin 22.5% 19.3% 9.4% -3.0% -14.5% -5.2% -7.0% 0.8% 3.4% -8.4% 8.2% 6.8% 25.2% 29.3% 9.5% 8.8% -4.1% 13.0% 22.8% 25.9% 25.89%
OCF Margin 23.0% 19.9% 9.9% -2.4% -13.6% -3.9% -5.2% 2.9% 5.3% -6.7% 9.6% 7.8% 26.0% 30.1% 10.5% 10.0% -3.0% 13.3% 23.5% 26.6% 26.60%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 29.11%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -5.11%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.83%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 34.20%
Cash ROA snapshot only 9.39%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 4.50%
CROIC snapshot only 4.39%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 25.99%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 34.59%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.58%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.66%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -19.86 -8.09 -2.11 -1.87 -0.38 -0.28 -0.30 -0.72 -7.07 6.45 3.87 7.12 3.84 5.21 6.03 5.70 7.21 5.22 4.63 4.00 3.482
P/S Ratio 0.37 0.29 0.25 0.29 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.12 0.14 0.24 0.24 0.43 0.28 0.47 0.45 0.53 0.92 0.93 1.17 1.04 0.895
P/B Ratio 0.52 0.41 0.46 0.55 0.20 0.17 0.36 0.60 0.75 1.32 0.80 1.47 0.99 1.71 1.28 1.53 2.65 2.68 1.79 1.60 1.349
P/FCF 1.63 1.52 2.67 -9.86 -0.73 -1.75 -1.00 14.96 4.17 -2.86 2.90 6.23 1.11 1.60 4.70 6.03 -22.36 7.10 5.13 4.02 4.018
P/OCF 1.60 1.48 2.52 3.97 2.64 2.49 5.42 1.07 1.55 4.26 5.30 6.94 4.97 3.91 3.912
EV/EBITDA 57.21 31.39 12.06 7.39 4.62 3.95 1.26 1.74 -10.76 -1.21 -3.19 -1.08 -2.18 -0.27 -0.31 0.33 2.28 1.70 1.59 1.20 1.204
EV/Revenue -1.04 -1.10 -1.14 -1.07 -1.23 -1.25 -0.28 -0.23 -0.19 -0.08 -0.31 -0.11 -0.24 -0.04 -0.04 0.05 0.44 0.45 0.58 0.45 0.448
EV/EBIT 33.26 22.78 10.56 6.78 4.40 3.80 1.19 1.59 -33.25 -1.46 -3.63 -1.23 -2.43 -0.29 -0.34 0.36 2.45 1.80 1.67 1.26 1.261
EV/FCF -4.60 -5.71 -12.16 36.12 8.46 23.99 4.03 -29.48 -5.74 1.01 -3.80 -1.55 -0.96 -0.12 -0.40 0.56 -10.68 3.43 2.53 1.73 1.730
Earnings Yield -5.0% -12.4% -47.3% -53.4% -2.6% -3.6% -3.3% -1.4% -14.1% 15.5% 25.8% 14.0% 26.0% 19.2% 16.6% 17.5% 13.9% 19.1% 21.6% 25.0% 24.98%
FCF Yield 61.2% 65.8% 37.5% -10.1% -1.4% -57.2% -1.0% 6.7% 24.0% -34.9% 34.5% 16.1% 90.3% 62.7% 21.3% 16.6% -4.5% 14.1% 19.5% 24.9% 24.89%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.022
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.699
EV/OCF snapshot only 1.685
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.876
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 1.295
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.52%
Graham Number snapshot only $49.25
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 152.87 152.87 152.874
Quick Ratio 152.87 152.87 152.874
Debt/Equity 0.29 0.29 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.20 0.20 0.198
Net Debt/Equity -1.97 -1.97 -2.56 -2.56 -2.56 -2.56 -1.79 -1.79 -1.79 -1.79 -1.84 -1.84 -1.84 -1.84 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -0.91 -0.91 -0.909
Debt/Assets 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.045
Debt/EBITDA -11.47 -5.88 -2.55 -1.63 -0.87 -0.73 -1.08 -1.79 12.71 3.17 2.06 1.99 1.72 1.38 1.37 1.14 0.87 0.64 0.36 0.35 0.346
Net Debt/EBITDA 77.54 39.75 14.71 9.41 5.02 4.24 1.57 2.62 -18.59 -4.64 -5.63 -5.43 -4.71 -3.78 -3.90 -3.26 -2.49 -1.82 -1.64 -1.59 -1.593
Interest Coverage -2.39 -3.79 -8.54 -12.60 -23.22 -27.70 -17.86 -10.07 0.38 3.72 5.64 5.90 6.88 8.65 8.56 10.76 15.64 23.95 33.88 38.06 38.062
Equity Multiplier 4.72 4.72 5.77 5.77 5.77 5.77 18.26 18.26 18.26 18.26 9.62 9.62 9.62 9.62 8.49 8.49 8.49 8.49 4.35 4.35 4.346
Cash Ratio snapshot only 130.610
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 39.854
Cash to Debt snapshot only 5.603
FCF to Debt snapshot only 2.012
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1859.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.33 0.33 0.333
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 1.34 1.35 1.63 1.66 1.70 1.69 1.07 1.10 1.13 1.17 1.00 1.04 1.06 1.10 1.17 1.18 1.19 1.19 1.65 1.65 1.654
Payables Turnover 3.38 3.47 3.07 3.32 3.32 3.48 3.14 2.29 2.32 2.22 2.32 3.12 3.15 3.17 3.05 2.99 2.83 2.55 3.48 3.05 3.052
DSO 271 270 224 220 215 216 341 332 322 313 365 352 344 333 311 308 307 306 221 221 220.6 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 108 105 119 110 110 105 116 160 157 164 157 117 116 115 120 122 129 143 105 120 119.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 164 165 105 110 105 111 225 172 165 149 207 235 228 218 192 186 178 163 116 101 101.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 16.960
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.387
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.831
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 15.4% 9.1% 6.4% 5.8% 5.5% 4.8% 4.9% 5.9% 7.0% 10.5% 11.0% 12.0% 11.1% 11.5% 12.8% 9.8% 7.8% 4.5% -6.6% -7.4% -7.36%
Net Income -1.4% -2.2% -9.0% -28.2% -15.0% -8.5% -1.1% -9.2% 92.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 5.1% 1.7% 35.8% 70.9% 88.9% 1.1% 2.2% 1.6% 1.59%
EPS -1.4% -2.2% -9.1% -29.3% -15.9% -9.1% -1.2% -14.2% 92.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 4.4% 1.3% 19.1% 69.1% 87.7% 1.1% 2.1% 1.6% 1.59%
FCF -19.8% -0.5% -65.1% -1.2% -1.7% -1.3% -1.8% 1.3% 1.2% -77.6% 2.3% 8.9% 7.3% 4.9% 30.3% 41.2% -1.2% -53.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.73%
EBITDA -1.2% -1.5% -4.3% -298.6% -14.5% -8.4% -1.5% 4.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 5.8% 1.1% 43.5% 65.8% 88.0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.33%
Op. Income -1.6% -2.3% -35.4% -5.7% -6.0% -4.8% -1.2% -13.7% 87.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 3.8% 5.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 1.4% 1.39%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.47%
Asset Growth snapshot only -11.06%
Equity Growth snapshot only 73.75%
Debt Growth snapshot only -29.38%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.05%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 12.2% 10.4% 9.6% 9.7% 10.1% 9.6% 9.0% 9.0% 9.2% 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.9% 9.5% 9.2% 8.6% 8.8% 5.3% 4.4% 4.44%
Revenue 5Y 8.3% 7.4% 7.5% 8.5% 10.0% 10.3% 10.3% 10.2% 9.8% 9.3% 8.9% 9.4% 9.7% 10.1% 10.2% 9.8% 9.3% 8.0% 5.5% 5.0% 4.99%
EPS 3Y 13.0% 71.2%
EPS 5Y 7.6% 10.3% 18.0% 25.2% 28.2% 15.1% 19.8% 24.2% 47.2% 79.8%
Net Income 3Y 11.6% 69.4%
Net Income 5Y 8.1% 10.8% 18.7% 26.3% 29.6% 16.5% 21.6% 26.7% 50.5% 83.8%
EBITDA 3Y -41.7% 3.9% 57.8%
EBITDA 5Y -18.5% -3.4% -3.5% 1.8% 8.0% 15.0% 11.5% 15.3% 20.5% 37.5% 72.6%
Gross Profit 3Y -26.8% -35.6% -28.3% -44.2% -34.3% -64.6% -66.3% 14.4% 15.4% 29.5% 45.0% 27.6% 42.4% 60.3% 46.1% 1.0% 87.0% 2.8% 3.1% 25.3% 25.32%
Gross Profit 5Y -18.6% -21.8% -12.8% -27.0% -18.4% -42.1% -47.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 12.1% 0.9% 4.3% 7.8% 6.9% 8.6% 11.5% 20.5% 30.1% 41.0% 40.99%
Op. Income 3Y -22.4% 1.5%
Op. Income 5Y -2.2% -2.3% 14.1% 20.3% 25.2% 15.1% 21.5% 26.4% 48.7% 1.6%
FCF 3Y 91.9% -14.1% -64.6% -48.6% -29.0% -24.8% 11.9% 25.0% 10.1% 2.4% 2.36%
FCF 5Y -3.9% -2.1% -4.3% 3.6% -8.3% -22.5% 10.9% 10.1% -7.2% -9.2% -2.0% 0.8% 10.4% 10.37%
OCF 3Y 91.3% -13.0% -45.1% -40.2% -25.5% -21.5% 12.4% 25.0% 11.5% 1.2% 1.18%
OCF 5Y -3.8% -1.8% -3.5% 12.9% -5.9% -20.9% 10.4% 9.9% -6.2% -7.0% -1.6% 1.4% 10.8% 10.76%
Assets 3Y 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% -2.8% -2.8% -2.82%
Assets 5Y 20.1% 20.1% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Equity 3Y 5.2% 5.2% -6.9% -6.9% -6.9% -6.9% -33.7% -33.7% -33.7% -33.7% -20.7% -20.7% -20.7% -20.7% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% 56.8% 56.8% 56.81%
Book Value 3Y 3.2% 2.8% -8.3% -3.8% -3.6% -3.7% -31.2% -31.2% -31.7% -32.8% -19.9% -23.1% -23.2% -23.2% -8.7% -9.6% -10.1% -10.3% 47.7% 47.6% 47.56%
Dividend 3Y -3.4% -3.4% -2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 2.1% -7.4% -19.3% -36.3% -88.3% -86.6%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.88 0.89 0.93 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 1.00 0.98 0.84 0.81 0.805
Earnings Stability 0.45 0.49 0.45 0.55 0.48 0.49 0.64 0.71 0.25 0.16 0.14 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.16 0.26 0.47 0.61 0.611
Margin Stability 0.59 0.53 0.57 0.43 0.44 0.30 0.27 0.40 0.40 0.20 0.18 0.40 0.41 0.23 0.24 0.51 0.55 0.38 0.27 0.45 0.452
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.08 0.70 0.48 0.38 0.30 0.00 0.11 0.114
ROE Trend -0.08 -0.10 -0.26 -0.32 -0.56 -0.63 -1.08 -0.69 0.18 0.55 0.90 0.77 0.58 0.54 0.70 0.58 0.29 0.25 0.18 0.16 0.162
Gross Margin Trend -0.17 -0.16 -0.11 -0.15 -0.12 -0.13 -0.12 0.22 0.23 0.32 0.33 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 -0.00 0.03 0.07 0.14 0.29 0.293
FCF Margin Trend -0.06 -0.06 -0.16 -0.24 -0.42 -0.25 -0.26 -0.08 -0.01 -0.15 0.07 0.08 0.31 0.36 0.09 0.05 -0.18 0.03 0.14 0.18 0.181
Sustainable Growth Rate 11.3% 25.8% 25.9% 32.2% 41.1% 24.1% 30.4% 41.8% 58.4% 49.1% 50.7% 50.65%
Internal Growth Rate 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 3.5% 4.9% 7.0% 9.2% 9.5% 9.46%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -12.39 -5.48 -0.84 0.16 0.48 0.12 0.22 -0.18 -2.68 -1.79 1.55 1.31 3.58 3.37 1.42 1.08 -0.24 0.75 0.93 1.02 1.023
FCF/OCF 0.98 0.97 0.94 1.22 1.07 1.34 1.36 0.27 0.63 1.26 0.86 0.87 0.97 0.97 0.91 0.88 1.36 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.974
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.996
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.715
CapEx/Revenue 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.70%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.420
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.04 -0.05 -0.09 -0.05 -0.06 -0.02 0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.08 -0.01 -0.00 0.06 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.002
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.273
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 37.868
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 3.5% 9.4% 10.8% 10.3% 4.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.24 $0.24 $0.24 $0.25 $0.25 $0.24 $0.18 $0.12 $0.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 4.8% 5.6% 11.3% 59.7% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.9% 2.2% 1.2% 6.1% 6.10%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.07 -0.19 -0.49 -0.75 -1.00 -1.00
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.5% 5.2% 7.0% 18.9% 23.4% 15.8% 3.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 1.5% 1.52%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.5% 5.2% 7.0% 18.9% 23.4% 15.8% 3.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 1.5% 1.52%
Total Shareholder Return 2.9% 4.2% 9.4% 10.6% 28.3% 34.2% 26.0% 7.0% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 1.5% 1.52%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.42 0.59 0.98 0.91 0.96 0.97 0.93 1.02 2.11 0.88 0.87 0.83 0.86 0.83 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.751
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.42 1.26 1.12 1.08 1.04 1.04 1.06 1.10 -1.62 0.73 0.82 0.83 0.85 0.88 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.974
EBIT Margin -0.03 -0.05 -0.11 -0.16 -0.28 -0.33 -0.24 -0.14 0.01 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.25 0.34 0.36 0.355
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.33 0.33 0.333
Equity Multiplier 4.52 4.52 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 9.22 9.22 9.22 9.22 12.84 12.84 12.84 12.84 8.98 8.98 8.98 8.98 5.86 5.86 5.860
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.41 $-0.81 $-2.71 $-3.75 $-6.97 $-8.19 $-5.97 $-4.28 $-0.54 $1.01 $1.69 $1.50 $1.84 $2.35 $2.01 $2.53 $3.46 $4.82 $6.32 $6.56 $6.56
Book Value/Share $15.85 $15.83 $12.45 $12.81 $12.97 $13.01 $5.07 $5.12 $5.11 $4.91 $8.19 $7.24 $7.17 $7.17 $9.49 $9.45 $9.41 $9.40 $16.32 $16.44 $16.96
Tangible Book/Share $8.16 $8.15 $7.08 $7.29 $7.38 $7.40 $3.15 $3.18 $3.18 $3.05 $6.61 $5.84 $5.79 $5.78 $8.30 $8.27 $8.23 $8.22 $15.35 $15.45 $15.45
Revenue/Share $22.29 $22.35 $22.93 $24.00 $24.82 $24.82 $25.63 $26.57 $27.41 $27.08 $27.36 $25.04 $25.41 $26.22 $27.05 $27.22 $27.23 $27.22 $25.02 $25.23 $25.28
FCF/Share $5.02 $4.32 $2.15 $-0.71 $-3.60 $-1.29 $-1.80 $0.21 $0.92 $-2.27 $2.25 $1.71 $6.39 $7.67 $2.57 $2.39 $-1.12 $3.55 $5.70 $6.53 $6.55
OCF/Share $5.12 $4.45 $2.28 $-0.59 $-3.37 $-0.97 $-1.33 $0.78 $1.46 $-1.80 $2.62 $1.96 $6.61 $7.90 $2.84 $2.72 $-0.82 $3.63 $5.89 $6.71 $6.72
Cash/Share $35.91 $35.86 $37.34 $38.40 $38.89 $39.01 $15.26 $15.40 $15.40 $14.78 $20.58 $18.17 $18.01 $17.99 $17.75 $17.69 $17.60 $17.58 $18.07 $18.19 $20.37
EBITDA/Share $-0.40 $-0.79 $-2.16 $-3.48 $-6.60 $-7.84 $-5.76 $-3.49 $0.49 $1.89 $2.67 $2.45 $2.80 $3.49 $3.37 $4.02 $5.23 $7.14 $9.04 $9.39 $9.39
Debt/Share $4.63 $4.62 $5.52 $5.67 $5.74 $5.76 $6.20 $6.25 $6.25 $6.00 $5.51 $4.87 $4.83 $4.82 $4.61 $4.60 $4.57 $4.57 $3.22 $3.25 $3.25
Net Debt/Share $-31.28 $-31.24 $-31.83 $-32.73 $-33.14 $-33.25 $-9.07 $-9.15 $-9.15 $-8.78 $-15.06 $-13.31 $-13.19 $-13.17 $-13.14 $-13.09 $-13.03 $-13.01 $-14.84 $-14.95 $-14.95
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-I Score 8.517
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.708
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 5 3 4 3 3 6 6 5 6 5 6 6 6 7 4 5 4 6 6
Beneish M-Score -1.97 0.65 -3.19 -3.82 -3.18 -3.74 -1.26 -1.94 -1.38 -2.93 -3.09 -0.99 -3.24 -3.46 -2.06 -2.21 -2.02 -2.30 -3.88 -3.53 -3.530
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.527
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 39.58%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-33.70
EVA snapshot only $197024551.43
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 59.89 59.64 52.74 41.20 32.90 28.21 18.08 20.16 20.22 39.25 69.78 71.07 73.98 76.74 80.08 82.64 69.17 92.50 93.92 93.62 93.621
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only 10.985
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 77
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 96

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