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HTH NYSE

Hilltop Holdings Inc.
1W: +1.3% 1M: -0.7% 3M: -3.8% YTD: +10.6% 1Y: +23.0% 3Y: +27.3% 5Y: +11.3%
$37.22
-0.10 (-0.27%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.2%
$34 $35 $36 $37 $39
NYSE · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 54 · $2.2B mcap · 39M float · 0.892% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
53.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -170.8%
Cost Advantage
48
Intangibles
73
Switching Cost
47
Network Effect
58
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HTH shows a Weak competitive edge (53.6/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -170.8% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$36
Avg Target
$36
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 7Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$36.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-10-27 Stephens $34 $36 +2 +8.6% $33.15
2024-07-30 Stephens Matt Olney Initiated $34 +1.3% $33.57

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
3
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HTH receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-23 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-02-20 B B+
2026-02-11 B+ B
2026-02-04 B B+
2026-01-30 B+ B
2026-01-20 A- B+
2026-01-03 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

20 Grade D
Profitability
43
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
61
Growth
58
Value
81
Momentum
22
Safety
80
Cash Flow
8
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HTH scores highest in Value (81/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (8/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
3.48
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.15
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.10
Bankruptcy prob: 0.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 54.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -0.77x
Accruals: 1.8%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. HTH scores 3.48, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HTH scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HTH's score of -3.15 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HTH's implied 0.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HTH receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 54.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HTH's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
13.64x
PEG
0.40x
P/S
1.37x
P/B
1.03x
P/FCF
-14.45x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
-0.65x
EV/Revenue
-0.09x
EV/EBIT
-0.68x
EV/FCF
0.99x
Earnings Yield
7.61%
FCF Yield
-6.92%
Shareholder Yield
11.50%
Graham Number
$47.38
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 13.6x earnings, HTH trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $47.38 per share, suggesting a potential 27% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.754
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.134
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.099
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.368
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HTH's ROE of 7.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.37x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
14.86%
Fair P/E
38.22x
Intrinsic Value
$104.14
Price/Value
0.34x
Margin of Safety
65.61%
Premium
-65.61%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HTH's realized 14.9% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $104.14, HTH appears undervalued with a 66% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.2x compares to the current market P/E of 13.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$37.20
Median 1Y
$39.23
5th Pctile
$21.16
95th Pctile
$72.72
Ann. Volatility
36.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
M. Bradley Winges
President and Chief Executive Officer of Hilltop Securities
$500,000 $1,300,222 $4,074,910
Jeremy B. Ford
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer and Chief Executive Officer of the Bank
$800,000 $2,610,436 $3,527,281
Stephen Thompson PrimeLending
d Chief Executive Officer of PrimeLending
$800,000 $750,142 $2,167,138
William B. Furr
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
$575,000 $660,131 $1,931,303
Corey G. Prestidge
Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
$455,000 $455,089 $1,491,329

CEO Pay Ratio

18:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $4,074,910
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $232,066
Employees: 3,500

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
3,500
-3.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$464,340
Rev: $1,625,191,000
Profit / Employee
$47,312
NI: $165,591,000
SGA / Employee
$232,066
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 22.1% 19.4% 15.5% 11.4% 8.7% 6.2% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 7.6% 7.4% 7.40%
ROA 3.0% 2.7% 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
ROIC 43.7% 38.2% -40.4% -29.9% -23.0% -16.5% 39.3% 40.5% 35.4% 37.4% 79.9% 81.0% 83.1% 78.7% -78.2% -87.7% -97.3% -1.1% -1.8% -1.7% -1.71%
ROCE 18.7% 16.3% 14.8% 11.0% 8.4% 6.0% 5.3% 5.3% 4.6% 5.0% 4.9% 5.1% 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 7.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.98%
Gross Margin 1.0% 97.1% 99.9% 94.1% 92.4% 91.1% 78.4% 79.6% 72.8% 75.6% 67.8% 73.6% 71.4% 74.5% 71.2% 76.1% 79.7% 79.6% 78.3% 80.2% 80.16%
Operating Margin 28.1% 25.1% 26.6% 8.9% 12.7% 11.7% 13.0% 8.9% 6.7% 12.7% 11.5% 9.7% 7.4% 10.3% 13.1% 14.2% 12.7% 14.5% 12.9% 13.5% 13.53%
Net Margin 20.9% 18.8% 19.3% 6.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.2% 7.3% 4.5% 9.0% 8.6% 7.1% 5.1% 7.2% 10.5% 10.4% 9.3% 11.0% 10.1% 10.2% 10.15%
EBITDA Margin 29.0% 26.7% 28.5% 11.2% 14.4% 13.4% 17.4% 10.5% 7.8% 13.9% 12.8% 11.0% 8.5% 11.7% 14.5% 15.3% 13.8% 15.4% 12.9% 13.5% 13.53%
FCF Margin 2.4% 51.2% 40.0% 50.6% 1.2% 80.1% 87.2% 49.8% 8.0% 8.6% 28.9% 39.8% 25.6% 26.4% 17.3% 13.1% 26.3% 10.5% -0.5% -9.2% -9.22%
OCF Margin 3.9% 52.9% 41.3% 51.7% 1.2% 80.8% 87.9% 50.5% 8.6% 9.2% 29.5% 40.4% 26.2% 27.0% 17.8% 13.4% 26.5% 10.8% 0.6% -7.8% -7.80%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.17%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.04%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.83%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.44%
Cash ROA snapshot only -0.78%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 10.46%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 13.44%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 38.46%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 5.58 5.62 6.84 7.79 8.67 10.00 16.10 15.53 19.06 16.48 20.00 17.61 17.31 19.09 16.08 15.15 13.32 12.95 12.40 13.15 13.642
P/S Ratio 1.25 1.18 1.38 1.32 1.20 1.07 1.35 1.32 1.38 1.21 1.46 1.27 1.28 1.32 1.18 1.24 1.24 1.33 1.26 1.33 1.369
P/B Ratio 1.17 1.04 1.02 0.85 0.72 0.59 0.89 0.89 0.95 0.86 1.03 0.92 0.93 0.96 0.83 0.88 0.87 0.94 0.95 0.98 1.026
P/FCF 52.72 2.30 3.46 2.62 1.00 1.34 1.54 2.65 17.38 14.04 5.05 3.21 5.01 5.01 6.82 9.51 4.70 12.65 -262.94 -14.45 -14.452
P/OCF 32.03 2.23 3.35 2.56 0.99 1.33 1.53 2.62 16.11 13.14 4.95 3.16 4.89 4.90 6.64 9.26 4.66 12.37 227.51
EV/EBITDA 2.28 2.06 -1.73 -3.33 -5.25 -8.55 0.42 0.37 1.17 0.08 1.29 -0.07 -0.04 0.33 -3.03 -2.14 -2.05 -1.22 -0.91 -0.65 -0.654
EV/Revenue 0.71 0.60 -0.49 -0.82 -1.08 -1.42 0.06 0.05 0.14 0.01 0.14 -0.01 -0.00 0.04 -0.34 -0.27 -0.28 -0.18 -0.13 -0.09 -0.091
EV/EBIT 2.37 2.15 -1.82 -3.56 -5.77 -9.65 0.51 0.45 1.42 0.09 1.46 -0.07 -0.04 0.37 -3.42 -2.38 -2.26 -1.33 -0.96 -0.68 -0.678
EV/FCF 30.02 1.18 -1.24 -1.61 -0.91 -1.77 0.07 0.10 1.74 0.11 0.50 -0.02 -0.02 0.14 -1.98 -2.03 -1.08 -1.72 27.22 0.99 0.989
Earnings Yield 17.9% 17.8% 14.6% 12.8% 11.5% 10.0% 6.2% 6.4% 5.2% 6.1% 5.0% 5.7% 5.8% 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.7% 8.1% 7.6% 7.61%
FCF Yield 1.9% 43.4% 28.9% 38.2% 100.0% 74.7% 64.8% 37.7% 5.8% 7.1% 19.8% 31.2% 20.0% 20.0% 14.7% 10.5% 21.3% 7.9% -0.4% -6.9% -6.92%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.401
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.119
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -0.115
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -0.678
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 11.50%
Graham Number snapshot only $47.38
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.29 0.29 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.24 0.24 0.243
Quick Ratio 0.29 0.29 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.24 0.24 0.243
Debt/Equity 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.43 0.43 0.427
Net Debt/Equity -0.51 -0.51 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -0.85 -0.85 -0.85 -0.85 -0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 -1.04 -1.04 -1.045
Debt/Assets 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.058
Debt/EBITDA 1.98 2.25 2.79 3.70 4.68 6.36 7.93 7.95 9.02 8.55 8.24 7.97 7.86 8.30 7.74 6.97 6.32 5.87 3.96 4.17 4.175
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.72 -1.96 -6.58 -8.72 -11.05 -15.00 -9.23 -9.25 -10.50 -9.96 -11.71 -11.31 -11.16 -11.78 -13.48 -12.14 -11.00 -10.22 -9.69 -10.21 -10.207
Interest Coverage 5.23 4.88 4.71 4.36 3.52 2.18 1.18 0.86 0.54 0.46 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.35 0.37 0.43 0.51 0.58 0.64 0.65 0.652
Equity Multiplier 7.29 7.29 7.41 7.41 7.41 7.41 7.95 7.95 7.95 7.95 7.76 7.76 7.76 7.76 7.43 7.43 7.43 7.43 7.31 7.31 7.307
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.630
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.677
Cash to Debt snapshot only 3.445
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.158
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1109.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.099
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 1.37 1.28 1.20 1.06 0.99 0.91 1.00 1.01 1.03 1.07 1.15 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.03 2.24 2.19 2.192
Payables Turnover 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.11 0.16 0.22 0.28 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.230
DSO 267 285 303 346 368 403 366 361 353 341 317 309 310 311 358 355 357 356 163 167 166.5 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 6192 7276 10647 16075 8304 6453 3175 2313 1625 1299 1122 1039 1028 1020 1202 1220 1333 1405 1484 1588 1587.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -5925 -6991 -10344 -15729 -7936 -6051 -2810 -1952 -1272 -958 -805 -730 -718 -709 -843 -865 -976 -1049 -1320 -1421 -1421.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.026
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.499
Capital Intensity snapshot only 9.954
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 16.1% -0.2% -14.1% -29.5% -30.0% -31.6% -27.0% -15.7% -8.2% 4.0% 11.1% 12.4% 9.8% 5.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.1% 5.5% 2.3% 2.29%
Net Income 59.4% 12.6% -16.4% -46.7% -56.9% -65.1% -69.8% -57.8% -51.8% -28.9% -3.1% -4.4% 12.0% -0.2% 3.3% 14.5% 26.1% 50.0% 46.3% 26.4% 26.36%
EPS 74.9% 26.1% -9.0% -44.5% -52.1% -56.5% -63.0% -48.4% -45.3% -29.3% -3.6% -4.9% 11.9% 0.1% 3.4% 15.5% 29.0% 56.7% 57.3% 37.9% 37.90%
FCF 1.1% 11.2% 2.1% -28.4% 34.2% 7.0% 59.2% -17.0% -93.9% -88.8% -63.2% -10.3% 2.5% 2.2% -38.6% -66.8% 3.4% -59.7% -1.0% -1.7% -1.72%
EBITDA 81.5% 22.2% -9.8% -41.9% -53.8% -61.4% -64.3% -52.8% -47.3% -24.6% -10.6% -7.3% 6.7% -4.2% 3.2% 10.7% 20.6% 37.0% 34.2% 14.8% 14.81%
Op. Income 79.2% 21.1% -10.7% -43.6% -56.4% -64.3% -69.0% -57.7% -52.1% -28.3% -4.5% -1.1% 15.3% 0.6% 3.4% 11.6% 22.4% 43.1% 43.3% 23.0% 23.04%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.59%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.60%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.98%
Debt Growth snapshot only -31.25%
Shares Change snapshot only -8.37%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.64%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 11.1% 8.9% 6.4% 1.9% -0.4% -4.3% -6.4% -6.9% -9.3% -10.8% -11.4% -12.6% -11.0% -9.0% -6.0% -1.4% 0.4% 3.6% 6.3% 5.1% 5.11%
Revenue 5Y 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% -0.4% -2.0% -3.4% -4.0% -3.6% -2.5% -1.7% -0.5% 0.1% -0.1% -0.7% -1.3% -1.8% -3.8% -5.3% -5.5% -7.2% -7.15%
EPS 3Y 77.7% 67.7% 54.0% 33.9% 18.4% 1.4% -11.1% -11.7% -22.9% -27.1% -31.3% -35.2% -33.5% -32.5% -28.3% -17.2% -7.6% 3.5% 16.2% 14.9% 14.86%
EPS 5Y 36.0% 31.9% 26.1% 18.9% 9.8% 7.6% 4.8% 5.8% 8.0% 7.7% 5.5% 3.4% 0.3% -5.9% -6.9% -5.4% -7.9% -9.5% -12.0% -15.4% -15.36%
Net Income 3Y 69.1% 59.0% 45.6% 26.7% 9.5% -9.8% -20.5% -20.9% -30.8% -34.6% -37.4% -40.1% -38.5% -37.2% -32.9% -22.7% -12.0% 2.1% 13.5% 11.4% 11.40%
Net Income 5Y 31.1% 26.7% 20.7% 13.8% 3.6% -0.6% -3.1% -2.2% 0.1% -0.0% -2.0% -3.9% -6.7% -12.2% -12.9% -11.6% -14.1% -16.0% -18.0% -20.8% -20.83%
EBITDA 3Y 51.8% 47.2% 49.4% 33.7% 16.1% -2.9% -13.2% -15.7% -23.8% -29.1% -34.0% -36.6% -36.2% -34.6% -30.9% -21.4% -12.2% -0.3% 7.4% 5.6% 5.63%
EBITDA 5Y 40.4% 30.6% 23.8% 15.8% 6.4% 2.2% -3.8% -3.3% -3.2% -1.5% 1.3% 0.9% -2.5% -7.9% -9.6% -9.3% -10.7% -14.1% -16.8% -20.2% -20.21%
Gross Profit 3Y 12.5% 10.8% 9.1% 5.0% 2.1% -2.4% -6.2% -7.6% -11.3% -15.0% -16.9% -19.2% -19.0% -17.4% -14.7% -10.5% -7.2% -3.2% 1.7% 2.4% 2.38%
Gross Profit 5Y 7.1% 5.2% 3.1% 0.5% -1.8% -3.5% -4.9% -5.2% -5.2% -5.2% -4.4% -4.0% -4.2% -4.8% -5.2% -5.2% -6.3% -7.9% -8.1% -9.8% -9.83%
Op. Income 3Y 51.0% 45.3% 46.4% 29.1% 11.2% -7.7% -18.6% -20.3% -27.9% -32.3% -35.8% -38.2% -37.8% -36.4% -32.6% -22.4% -12.2% 1.1% 12.3% 10.7% 10.72%
Op. Income 5Y 27.0% 22.1% 16.8% 10.1% 1.3% -2.4% -8.5% -7.6% -6.4% -4.7% -1.5% -2.1% -5.3% -10.7% -11.8% -11.0% -12.0% -14.9% -17.1% -20.2% -20.19%
FCF 3Y 34.5% 32.1% 21.6% 53.2% 13.4% 21.4% -18.9% 96.5% -27.1% -28.9% -37.2% -39.4% -47.3%
FCF 5Y 47.2% -21.9% 6.2% 6.0% -5.0% 13.8%
OCF 3Y 29.2% 25.3% 16.6% 47.0% 1.9% 16.5% -19.1% 67.7% -27.3% -29.0% -37.1% -39.4% -47.1% -80.3%
OCF 5Y 40.0% -23.2% 2.6% 3.3% -7.0% 5.8% -49.7%
Assets 3Y 8.2% 8.2% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -4.5% -4.5% -4.5% -4.5% -0.9% -0.9% -0.87%
Assets 5Y 7.4% 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% -1.3% -1.3% -1.33%
Equity 3Y 6.7% 6.7% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -3.0% -3.0% -3.0% -3.0% -4.6% -4.6% -4.6% -4.6% 2.0% 2.0% 1.96%
Book Value 3Y 12.1% 12.6% 15.3% 15.2% 17.9% 22.5% 10.8% 10.7% 10.5% 10.5% 6.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.2% 2.0% 2.2% 0.2% -3.3% 4.3% 5.1% 5.13%
Dividend 3Y 10.5% 11.8% 12.4% 12.2% 14.7% 17.5% 15.6% 12.2% 8.8% 9.5% 8.7% 9.0% 10.8% 10.0% 9.1% 9.2% 6.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.7% 3.67%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.62 0.59 0.37 0.12 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.12 0.19 0.30 0.48 0.42 0.35 0.45 0.449
Earnings Stability 0.68 0.78 0.72 0.48 0.32 0.20 0.11 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.17 0.36 0.44 0.43 0.54 0.62 0.61 0.56 0.564
Margin Stability 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.898
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.95 0.93 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.88 0.99 0.98 0.95 1.00 0.99 0.94 0.90 0.80 0.81 0.89 0.895
Earnings Smoothness 0.54 0.88 0.82 0.39 0.20 0.04 0.00 0.19 0.30 0.66 0.97 0.95 0.89 1.00 0.97 0.86 0.77 0.60 0.62 0.77 0.767
ROE Trend 0.10 0.04 -0.00 -0.06 -0.09 -0.12 -0.12 -0.11 -0.10 -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.019
Gross Margin Trend 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.02 -0.04 -0.09 -0.16 -0.19 -0.19 -0.19 -0.16 -0.13 -0.09 -0.06 -0.01 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.064
FCF Margin Trend -0.01 0.63 0.49 0.67 1.31 0.52 0.62 -0.00 -0.53 -0.57 -0.35 -0.10 -0.38 -0.18 -0.41 -0.32 0.10 -0.07 -0.24 -0.36 -0.356
Sustainable Growth Rate 20.5% 17.7% 13.8% 9.7% 6.9% 4.4% 3.1% 3.3% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.6% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.31%
Internal Growth Rate 2.9% 2.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.73%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.17 2.52 2.04 3.04 8.72 7.53 10.51 5.93 1.18 1.25 4.04 5.58 3.54 3.89 2.42 1.64 2.86 1.05 0.05 -0.77 -0.769
FCF/OCF 0.61 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.93 0.94 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.98 -0.87 1.18 1.183
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.910
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.559
CapEx/Revenue 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.42%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.789
Accruals Ratio 0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.09 -0.05 -0.06 -0.03 -0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.018
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.268
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -1.819
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.04%
Dividend/Share $0.44 $0.47 $0.49 $0.52 $0.58 $0.66 $0.66 $0.64 $0.61 $0.62 $0.64 $0.65 $0.66 $0.67 $0.68 $0.69 $0.71 $0.73 $0.75 $0.77 $0.76
Payout Ratio 7.4% 8.8% 10.4% 14.8% 20.4% 28.7% 38.0% 35.5% 39.3% 38.2% 37.9% 38.0% 37.8% 41.0% 39.1% 35.1% 31.6% 28.5% 27.4% 28.2% 28.25%
FCF Payout Ratio 69.5% 3.6% 5.3% 5.0% 2.4% 3.8% 3.6% 6.1% 35.9% 32.5% 9.6% 6.9% 10.9% 10.8% 16.6% 22.0% 11.1% 27.8%
Total Payout Ratio 57.0% 82.7% 43.4% 57.8% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 43.8% 42.4% 42.6% 47.4% 55.8% 60.3% 56.6% 69.0% 79.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.51%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.17 0.13 0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 0.04 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.038
Buyback Yield 8.9% 13.2% 4.8% 5.5% 28.3% 29.5% 24.3% 24.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 3.6% 6.0% 9.0% 9.3% 9.35%
Net Buyback Yield 8.9% 13.2% 4.8% 5.5% 28.3% 29.5% 24.3% 24.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 3.6% 6.0% 9.0% 9.3% 9.35%
Total Shareholder Return 10.2% 14.7% 6.3% 7.4% 30.7% 32.4% 26.7% 26.9% 2.3% 2.6% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 3.5% 4.6% 5.9% 8.2% 11.2% 11.5% 11.50%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.72 0.74 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.754
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.30 0.28 0.27 0.23 0.19 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.134
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.099
Equity Multiplier 7.26 7.26 7.35 7.35 7.35 7.35 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.85 7.85 7.85 7.85 7.59 7.59 7.59 7.59 7.37 7.37 7.368
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $5.95 $5.32 $4.71 $3.48 $2.85 $2.32 $1.75 $1.80 $1.56 $1.64 $1.68 $1.71 $1.75 $1.64 $1.74 $1.98 $2.25 $2.57 $2.74 $2.72 $2.72
Book Value/Share $28.27 $28.85 $31.76 $31.79 $34.16 $39.01 $31.58 $31.52 $31.44 $31.42 $32.59 $32.55 $32.62 $32.69 $33.67 $33.89 $34.41 $35.23 $35.84 $36.62 $36.77
Tangible Book/Share $23.02 $23.50 $27.11 $27.13 $29.16 $33.29 $25.72 $25.67 $25.61 $25.59 $26.87 $26.84 $26.89 $26.95 $29.37 $29.56 $30.02 $30.73 $31.33 $32.01 $32.01
Revenue/Share $26.50 $25.32 $23.34 $20.48 $20.65 $21.58 $20.88 $21.12 $21.53 $22.28 $23.08 $23.63 $23.62 $23.64 $23.69 $24.08 $24.28 $24.96 $26.86 $26.88 $26.92
FCF/Share $0.63 $12.97 $9.33 $10.37 $24.71 $17.29 $18.21 $10.52 $1.71 $1.92 $6.67 $9.39 $6.04 $6.25 $4.10 $3.15 $6.38 $2.63 $-0.13 $-2.48 $-2.48
OCF/Share $1.04 $13.40 $9.64 $10.59 $24.88 $17.44 $18.36 $10.67 $1.85 $2.05 $6.80 $9.54 $6.18 $6.38 $4.21 $3.23 $6.44 $2.69 $0.15 $-2.10 $-2.10
Cash/Share $30.72 $31.35 $62.37 $62.42 $67.09 $76.60 $49.99 $49.90 $49.78 $49.74 $51.68 $51.62 $51.72 $51.83 $56.81 $57.19 $58.07 $59.44 $52.77 $53.92 $48.69
EBITDA/Share $8.29 $7.45 $6.66 $5.02 $4.26 $3.59 $2.91 $2.90 $2.55 $2.69 $2.59 $2.68 $2.72 $2.58 $2.68 $2.99 $3.35 $3.69 $3.86 $3.75 $3.75
Debt/Share $16.42 $16.76 $18.57 $18.59 $19.97 $22.81 $23.10 $23.06 $23.00 $22.98 $21.36 $21.33 $21.37 $21.42 $20.72 $20.86 $21.18 $21.68 $15.32 $15.65 $15.65
Net Debt/Share $-14.29 $-14.59 $-43.80 $-43.84 $-47.11 $-53.79 $-26.89 $-26.84 $-26.77 $-26.75 $-30.32 $-30.29 $-30.35 $-30.41 $-36.09 $-36.33 $-36.89 $-37.76 $-37.45 $-38.27 $-38.27
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-B Score 3.476
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.071
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 7 7 6 6 4 4 4 4 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.64 -2.85 -2.22 -2.14 -2.60 -2.40 -2.95 -2.84 -2.62 -2.62 -2.05 -2.14 -2.08 -2.10 -2.65 -2.61 -2.71 -2.61 -3.07 -3.15 -3.151
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.096
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-209.70
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 71.37 93.51 96.49 89.97 85.81 80.89 74.95 73.29 52.41 52.70 73.40 74.30 62.08 61.99 60.48 60.40 75.31 63.84 56.15 54.11 54.108
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.291
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 35
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 42

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