— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: HTZWW (NASDAQ) · $vol 0M

HTZ NASDAQ

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
1W: -13.2% 1M: -23.3% 3M: +8.3% YTD: -3.1% 1Y: -21.8% 3Y: -67.6%
$5.30
+0.24 (+4.74%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±13.3%
$4 $5 $6 $6 $7
NASDAQ · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 30 · $1.7B mcap · 305M float · 3.48% daily turnover · Short 65% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
28.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 0.6%  ·  5Y Avg: -0.7%
Cost Advantage
27
Intangibles
36
Switching Cost
17
Network Effect
19
Scale ★
47
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HTZ has No discernible competitive edge (28.6/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 0.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$6
Low
$6
Avg Target
$6
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 7, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 9Sell: 4Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$5.25
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-08 Susquehanna $7 $6 -2 -10.6% $6.16
2026-04-30 Northcoast Research Initiated $5 -10.7% $5.60
2025-12-08 Morgan Stanley Andrew Percoco $7 $6 -2 +8.4% $5.08
2025-11-12 Susquehanna Christopher Stathoulopoulos $5 $7 +2 +5.5% $6.64
2025-08-13 Deutsche Bank Chris Woronka $5 $4 -1 -23.0% $5.19
2025-07-10 Deutsche Bank Chris Woronka $5 $5 +0 -33.5% $7.90
2025-05-15 Susquehanna Christopher Stathoulopoulos $18 $5 -13 -20.8% $6.31
2025-05-14 Jefferies Stephanie Moore $4 $6 +2 +2.6% $5.85
2024-08-06 Morgan Stanley Adam Jonas $9 $7 -2 +88.9% $3.71
2024-07-30 Jefferies Stephanie Moore Initiated $4 +5.0% $3.81
2024-04-29 Deutsche Bank Chris Woronka $6 $5 -1 +2.3% $4.69
2024-04-18 Deutsche Bank Chris Woronka $27 $6 -21 -2.5% $6.16
2024-04-10 Morgan Stanley Adam Jonas $15 $9 -6 +15.4% $7.80
2024-04-03 Goldman Sachs Lizzie Dove Initiated $7 -8.3% $7.63
2024-01-17 Morgan Stanley Adam Jonas $18 $15 -3 +79.4% $8.36
2023-02-08 Deutsche Bank $38 $27 -11 +42.1% $19.00
2022-12-06 Susquehanna Initiated $18 +11.2% $16.18
2022-08-11 Tigress Financial $32 $34 +2 +55.3% $21.90
2022-08-01 Morgan Stanley $16 $18 +2 -17.8% $21.90
2022-07-29 Deutsche Bank $29 $38 +9 +84.3% $20.62
2022-07-14 Morgan Stanley $23 $16 -7 -5.5% $16.93
2022-07-13 Barclays Brian Johnson $25 $21 -4 +21.2% $17.32
2022-07-13 Deutsche Bank Initiated $29 +68.7% $17.19
2022-06-07 Morgan Stanley Initiated $23 +28.9% $17.84
2022-04-24 Barclays Brian Johnson Initiated $25 +10.9% $22.55
2022-04-01 Tigress Financial Ivan Feinseth Initiated $32 +51.5% $21.12

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HTZ receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5). Areas of concern: ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

23 Grade D
Profitability
3
Balance Sheet
17
Earnings Quality
51
Growth
67
Value
23
Momentum
64
Safety
15
Cash Flow
22
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HTZ scores highest in Growth (67/100) and lowest in Profitability (3/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.15
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.39
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 13.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -2.19x
Accruals: -9.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HTZ scores 0.15, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HTZ scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HTZ's score of -3.45 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HTZ's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HTZ receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 13.8/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.61x
PEG
-0.01x
P/S
0.19x
P/B
-2.12x
P/FCF
-0.30x
P/OCF
1.04x
EV/EBITDA
7.64x
EV/Revenue
2.24x
EV/EBIT
51.66x
EV/FCF
-4.01x
Earnings Yield
-44.01%
FCF Yield
-335.53%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. HTZ currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.046
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-1.615
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.043
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.394
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-144.160
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
416.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HTZ's ROE of 416.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.394), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.05 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1229 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.30
Median 1Y
$2.85
5th Pctile
$0.88
95th Pctile
$9.26
Ann. Volatility
75.9%
Analyst Target
$5.25
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
26,000
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$327,077
Rev: $8,504,000,000
Profit / Employee
$-28,731
NI: $-747,000,000
SGA / Employee
$36,346
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 10.8% 11.6% 25.9% 57.5% 1.1% 73.2% 65.1% 36.6% 38.4% 21.5% 8.2% -26.8% -95.2% -1.8% -1.9% -1.6% -63.6% 4.9% 4.2% 4.16%
ROA 3.6% 1.7% 3.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.7% 8.7% 4.9% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% -3.3% -11.6% -12.3% -13.4% -11.0% -4.4% -3.4% -2.9% -2.89%
ROIC 12.5% 14.7% 24.3% 38.3% 36.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 1.5% -1.1% -2.7% -2.5% -2.5% -1.2% -0.1% 0.0% 0.6% 0.61%
ROCE 6.1% 4.2% 7.7% 14.5% 14.1% 14.7% 12.6% 8.2% 8.2% 5.0% 2.2% -0.5% -10.5% -12.2% -11.7% -10.6% -0.4% 1.0% 2.2% 2.25%
Gross Margin 44.3% 39.5% 43.3% 42.8% 35.4% 17.9% 20.0% 29.9% 24.8% -3.7% -0.5% 0.8% 9.0% 2.1% 1.8% 14.1% 21.9% 4.3% 8.8% 8.78%
Operating Margin 37.4% 29.0% 30.3% 31.8% 25.6% 7.0% 9.2% 18.2% 16.8% -14.7% -8.8% -9.4% 1.8% -10.0% -10.5% 3.0% 11.9% -8.1% -2.9% -2.94%
Net Margin 27.2% -13.3% 23.5% 40.1% 23.1% 5.7% 9.6% 5.7% 23.3% -15.9% -8.9% -36.8% -51.7% -23.5% -24.4% -13.5% 7.4% -9.6% -16.6% -16.62%
EBITDA Margin 43.4% 3.5% 55.2% 72.3% 50.6% 32.4% 33.5% 33.5% 52.4% 31.9% 35.4% 39.4% -12.3% 24.5% 21.5% 20.5% 42.4% 27.0% 25.1% 25.15%
FCF Margin 18.2% -2.7% -17.3% -24.5% -20.3% -43.0% -43.9% -68.9% -85.2% -64.3% -55.9% -55.3% -41.5% -26.5% -20.6% 20.2% 23.1% -11.7% -55.9% -55.86%
OCF Margin 33.4% 32.1% 32.8% 32.1% 33.2% 29.2% 27.8% 25.2% 23.7% 26.4% 24.3% 25.0% 25.8% 24.6% 24.0% 22.1% 21.7% 19.1% 16.0% 16.03%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -5.40%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.23%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.58%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.25%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.93%
CROIC snapshot only -27.64%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.24%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -7.00%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.25%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.35%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 15.83 33.90 13.24 3.93 3.67 2.59 2.88 5.64 3.71 5.16 10.21 -1.40 -0.37 -0.39 -0.39 -0.83 -2.40 -2.22 -2.27 -2.613
P/S Ratio 4.30 2.80 1.71 0.81 0.72 0.61 0.59 0.64 0.43 0.34 0.25 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.25 0.29 0.19 0.17 0.192
P/B Ratio 171.06 3.93 3.43 2.26 2.07 2.02 1.99 2.19 1.51 1.03 0.77 0.35 0.33 7.34 7.91 13.79 16.18 -3.61 -3.15 -2.117
P/FCF 23.65 -104.42 -9.87 -3.29 -3.54 -1.43 -1.34 -0.93 -0.51 -0.53 -0.45 -0.21 -0.27 -0.47 -0.67 1.21 1.26 -1.66 -0.30 -0.298
P/OCF 12.89 8.72 5.20 2.52 2.16 2.10 2.12 2.55 1.83 1.29 1.05 0.46 0.43 0.51 0.57 1.11 1.34 1.02 1.04 1.038
EV/EBITDA 15.33 13.46 6.12 2.40 2.09 4.35 4.65 5.99 5.23 5.60 5.31 4.81 8.86 10.27 12.71 19.54 8.50 8.08 7.64 7.635
EV/Revenue 6.65 3.34 2.08 1.08 0.98 2.31 2.24 2.28 2.03 2.16 2.07 1.95 1.97 2.09 2.17 2.31 2.38 2.31 2.24 2.240
EV/EBIT 17.82 18.26 8.85 3.40 3.27 6.91 8.03 12.70 11.55 18.87 40.54 -162.05 -7.98 -8.32 -8.74 -10.08 -250.51 115.12 51.66 51.665
EV/FCF 36.56 -124.40 -12.03 -4.38 -4.82 -5.37 -5.10 -3.31 -2.38 -3.36 -3.70 -3.52 -4.74 -7.90 -10.51 11.47 10.31 -19.78 -4.01 -4.010
Earnings Yield 6.3% 2.9% 7.6% 25.5% 27.3% 38.6% 34.8% 17.7% 27.0% 19.4% 9.8% -71.3% -2.7% -2.5% -2.6% -1.2% -41.7% -45.1% -44.0% -44.01%
FCF Yield 4.2% -1.0% -10.1% -30.4% -28.2% -70.0% -74.4% -1.1% -2.0% -1.9% -2.2% -4.8% -3.8% -2.1% -1.5% 82.4% 79.5% -60.1% -3.4% -3.36%
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.972
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 17.484
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 143.217
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.33 2.76 2.76 2.76 2.76 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.55 0.55 0.553
Quick Ratio 1.33 2.76 2.76 2.76 2.76 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.55 0.55 0.553
Debt/Equity 112.89 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 5.92 5.92 5.92 5.92 5.77 5.77 5.77 5.77 120.31 120.31 120.31 120.31 -41.82 -41.82 -41.824
Net Debt/Equity 93.32 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 5.57 5.57 5.57 5.57 5.52 5.52 5.52 5.52 116.44 116.44 116.44 116.44
Debt/Assets 0.37 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.860
Debt/EBITDA 6.54 4.34 2.21 1.21 1.12 3.39 3.64 4.57 4.38 4.93 4.86 4.72 8.74 9.98 12.30 18.05 7.71 7.88 7.53 7.525
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.41 2.16 1.10 0.60 0.56 3.19 3.42 4.30 4.11 4.72 4.66 4.52 8.36 9.66 11.90 17.47 7.46 7.40 7.07 7.068
Interest Coverage 13.19 5.78 6.40 8.05 6.63 6.38 4.67 2.60 2.27 1.36 0.57 -0.13 -2.51 -2.37 -2.17 -1.89 -0.07 0.17 0.37 0.370
Equity Multiplier 301.93 6.65 6.65 6.65 6.65 8.51 8.51 8.51 8.51 7.96 7.96 7.96 7.96 142.50 142.50 142.50 142.50 -48.61 -48.61 -48.608
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.211
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.506
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.061
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.253
Defensive Interval snapshot only 849.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.21 0.30 0.42 0.47 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.394
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 2.86 5.51 7.90 10.99 11.20 10.03 10.30 10.41 10.65 8.66 8.69 8.61 8.49 7.55 7.33 7.19 7.11 7.35 7.51 7.512
Payables Turnover 1.81 4.23 6.02 8.37 8.21 9.20 10.19 10.79 11.47 11.26 11.92 12.85 13.30 13.05 12.59 11.91 11.30 10.04 10.10 10.101
DSO 127 66 46 33 33 36 35 35 34 42 42 42 43 48 50 51 51 50 49 48.6 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 202 86 61 44 44 40 36 34 32 32 31 28 27 28 29 31 32 36 36 36.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -74 -20 -14 -10 -12 -3 -0 1 2 10 11 14 16 20 21 20 19 13 12 12.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.566
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.451
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.566
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 2.9% 1.1% 49.1% 8.2% 7.2% 7.9% 5.4% 3.4% -0.3% -3.4% -6.6% -7.6% -7.4% -6.0% -1.0% -0.99%
Net Income 1.8% 5.0% 1.4% -39.9% -35.8% -70.1% -87.2% -1.7% -3.5% -5.6% -14.3% -2.3% 62.2% 73.9% 79.6% 79.58%
EPS 2.6% 7.0% 2.4% -19.1% -25.6% -66.1% -86.5% -1.8% -3.7% -5.6% -14.2% -2.3% 68.1% 75.1% 80.0% 80.03%
FCF -5.3% -32.4% -2.8% -2.0% -3.5% -61.1% -34.2% 16.9% 51.4% 60.2% 65.5% 1.3% 1.5% 58.5% -1.7% -1.68%
EBITDA 3.2% 3.5% 1.1% -8.1% -11.1% -21.7% -14.8% 10.2% -43.0% -48.9% -59.2% -73.0% 17.0% 32.0% 70.4% 70.41%
Op. Income 2.0% 48.4% -11.8% -47.5% -50.8% -63.2% -77.2% -1.2% -1.6% -1.7% -2.5% -2.6% 95.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.24%
OCF Growth snapshot only -33.78%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.33%
Equity Growth snapshot only -4.00%
Debt Growth snapshot only 4.29%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.28%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 60.4% 29.4% 13.6% 1.1% -0.3% -0.7% -0.9% -0.86%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 28.3% 21.3% -9.7% -35.1% -16.0% -19.2% -16.0% -15.99%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y -45.6% -45.6% -49.5% -44.2% -35.4% -31.6% -25.2% -25.19%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y -86.6% -57.0% -57.05%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 47.3% 18.4% 2.4% -10.6% -13.6% -13.8% -17.5% -17.46%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 13.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.28%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y 2.8% -62.8% -62.8% -62.8% -62.8%
Book Value 3Y 3.5% -57.2% -57.4% -58.7% -62.3%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.95 0.67 0.65 0.55 0.12 0.01 0.08 0.28 0.283
Earnings Stability 0.19 0.02 0.11 0.94 0.48 0.47 0.64 0.97 0.46 0.38 0.43 0.432
Margin Stability 0.70 0.62 0.50 0.28 0.30 0.29 0.24 0.16 0.13 0.20 0.28 0.280
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.06 0.00 0.19 0.50 0.56 0.00 0.00
ROE Trend -5.28 -0.25 -0.40 -0.73 -1.37 -19.19 -20.77 -16.72 -6.51
Gross Margin Trend -0.19 -0.20 -0.22 -0.28 -0.30 -0.24 -0.18 -0.09 -0.02 0.01 0.04 0.040
FCF Margin Trend -0.84 -0.41 -0.25 -0.09 0.11 0.27 0.29 0.82 0.86 0.34 -0.18 -0.176
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.8% 11.6% 25.9% 57.5% 1.1% 73.2% 65.1% 36.6% 38.4% 21.5% 8.2%
Internal Growth Rate 3.7% 1.8% 4.1% 9.5% 10.1% 10.8% 9.5% 5.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.23 3.89 2.54 1.56 1.70 1.23 1.36 2.21 2.02 4.02 9.75 -3.03 -0.87 -0.78 -0.67 -0.75 -1.79 -2.18 -2.19 -2.188
FCF/OCF 0.55 -0.08 -0.53 -0.77 -0.61 -1.47 -1.58 -2.74 -3.59 -2.43 -2.30 -2.21 -1.61 -1.08 -0.86 0.91 1.07 -0.61 -3.48 -3.484
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 7.625
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.546
CapEx/Revenue 15.2% 34.8% 50.1% 56.6% 53.5% 72.3% 71.7% 94.0% 1.1% 90.7% 80.1% 80.4% 67.3% 51.1% 44.6% 1.9% 1.4% 30.8% 71.9% 71.89%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.875
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.05 -0.08 -0.09 -0.13 -0.22 -0.22 -0.23 -0.19 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.092
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.173
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.223
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 99.1% 1.0% 53.8% 51.1% 84.2%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 5.6% 13.9% 34.3% 45.5% 46.1% 34.5% 17.9% 14.5% 9.9% 8.2% 8.6% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 5.6% 13.9% 34.3% 45.5% 46.1% 34.5% 17.9% 14.5% 9.9% 8.2% 8.6% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 5.6% 13.9% 34.3% 45.5% 46.1% 34.5% 17.9% 14.5% 9.9% 8.2% 8.6% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.55 0.65 0.74 0.77 0.84 0.94 1.03 1.19 2.15 -0.66 0.78 0.86 0.88 0.98 0.84 0.88 0.90 1.05 1.046
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.92 0.83 0.84 0.88 0.85 0.84 0.79 0.62 0.56 0.27 -0.74 8.82 1.40 1.42 1.46 1.53 14.44 -4.85 -1.62 -1.615
EBIT Margin 0.37 0.18 0.24 0.32 0.30 0.33 0.28 0.18 0.18 0.11 0.05 -0.01 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.23 -0.01 0.02 0.04 0.043
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.21 0.30 0.42 0.47 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.394
Equity Multiplier 301.93 6.65 6.65 6.65 12.10 7.52 7.52 7.52 7.52 8.21 8.21 8.21 8.21 14.30 14.30 14.30 14.30 -144.16 -144.16 -144.160
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.23 $0.74 $1.67 $4.04 $4.44 $5.93 $5.66 $3.26 $3.30 $2.01 $0.77 $-2.52 $-8.90 $-9.32 $-10.16 $-8.25 $-2.84 $-2.32 $-2.03 $-2.03
Book Value/Share $0.11 $6.36 $6.46 $7.02 $7.85 $7.62 $8.19 $8.40 $8.09 $10.10 $10.14 $10.10 $10.07 $0.50 $0.50 $0.50 $0.42 $-1.43 $-1.46 $-2.50
Tangible Book/Share $-8.12 $-2.09 $-2.13 $-2.31 $-2.59 $-3.71 $-3.98 $-4.08 $-3.93 $-2.66 $-2.67 $-2.66 $-2.65 $-12.19 $-12.19 $-12.11 $-10.28 $-13.55 $-13.89 $-13.89
Revenue/Share $4.54 $8.92 $12.98 $19.64 $22.69 $25.03 $27.62 $28.62 $28.20 $30.62 $30.83 $30.46 $29.94 $29.48 $28.61 $27.88 $23.40 $26.41 $27.69 $27.69
FCF/Share $0.83 $-0.24 $-2.25 $-4.82 $-4.60 $-10.77 $-12.12 $-19.70 $-24.03 $-19.68 $-17.23 $-16.86 $-12.43 $-7.80 $-5.90 $5.62 $5.41 $-3.09 $-15.47 $-15.47
OCF/Share $1.52 $2.87 $4.26 $6.30 $7.54 $7.31 $7.67 $7.20 $6.69 $8.08 $7.48 $7.62 $7.73 $7.24 $6.86 $6.17 $5.07 $5.05 $4.44 $4.44
Cash/Share $2.24 $4.82 $4.90 $5.33 $5.96 $2.72 $2.92 $2.99 $2.88 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.49 $1.93 $1.93 $1.92 $1.63 $3.62 $3.72 $3.88
EBITDA/Share $1.97 $2.21 $4.41 $8.79 $10.62 $13.30 $13.32 $10.87 $10.94 $11.81 $12.02 $12.34 $6.65 $6.01 $4.88 $3.30 $6.56 $7.57 $8.12 $8.12
Debt/Share $12.90 $9.61 $9.75 $10.60 $11.86 $45.14 $48.50 $49.73 $47.91 $58.28 $58.47 $58.28 $58.09 $59.96 $59.96 $59.57 $50.57 $59.62 $61.14 $61.14
Net Debt/Share $10.67 $4.78 $4.85 $5.28 $5.91 $42.43 $45.58 $46.74 $45.02 $55.78 $55.96 $55.78 $55.60 $58.03 $58.03 $57.66 $48.95 $55.99 $57.42 $57.42
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.147
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.021
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 4 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 4 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.61 -1.92 -1.96 -2.50 -2.43 -5.76 -23.19 16.16 -2.33 -5.00 -4.31 -3.91 -3.44 -3.40 -3.45 -3.451
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.392
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-62.77
EVA snapshot only $-1649660000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 40.69 48.64 50.42 55.88 52.95 33.83 29.91 23.63 21.92 15.11 13.35 10.74 8.22 5.04 5.04 6.31 11.21 14.17 13.81 13.806
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only 8.764
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 2
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 2

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