— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: IVR-PA (NYSE) · $vol 1M · IVR-PC (NYSE) · $vol 0M · 0JD3.L (LSE) · $vol 0M · IVR-PB (NYSE) · $vol 0M

IVR NYSE

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
1W: -2.0% 1M: -3.8% 3M: -7.3% YTD: -4.0% 1Y: +12.3% 3Y: +24.1% 5Y: -47.6%
$7.87
-0.04 (-0.51%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.1%
$7 $8 $8 $8 $8
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 41 · $563.8M mcap · 71M float · 3.14% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 4.4%  ·  5Y Avg: -0.1%
Cost Advantage ★
64
Intangibles
39
Switching Cost
60
Network Effect
24
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. IVR shows a Weak competitive edge (46.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 4.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$9
Avg Target
$9
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 10Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$9.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-12-15 Compass Point Jason Stewart Initiated $9 +11.5% $8.07
2024-09-19 JMP Securities Trevor Cranston Initiated $8 -13.7% $9.27
2023-09-26 Credit Suisse Douglas Harter Initiated $10 +6.0% $9.91
2022-04-27 Barclays Initiated $2 +14.9% $1.74

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. IVR receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-12 A- B+
2026-05-04 B A-
2026-04-30 A B
2026-04-01 A- A
2026-03-30 A A-
2026-03-18 A- A
2026-03-16 A A-
2026-02-24 A- A
2026-02-09 B- A-
2026-02-02 C B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

56 Grade D
Profitability
47
Balance Sheet
13
Earnings Quality
85
Growth
74
Value
84
Momentum
99
Safety
0
Cash Flow
79
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. IVR scores highest in Momentum (99/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-1.52
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.39
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-2.02
Bankruptcy prob: 11.7%
Moderate
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 13.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.66x
Accruals: -1.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. IVR scores -1.52, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. IVR scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. IVR's score of -2.39 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. IVR's implied 11.7% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. IVR receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 13.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). IVR's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.15x
PEG
0.11x
P/S
2.01x
P/B
0.79x
P/FCF
4.30x
P/OCF
4.30x
EV/EBITDA
22.45x
EV/Revenue
26.06x
EV/EBIT
22.46x
EV/FCF
38.13x
Earnings Yield
8.74%
FCF Yield
23.26%
Shareholder Yield
18.83%
Graham Number
$12.04
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.1x earnings, IVR trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $12.04 per share, suggesting a potential 53% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.001
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.221
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
1.160
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.040
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.959
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
8.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. IVR's ROE of 8.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.96x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$6.01
Price/Value
1.35x
Margin of Safety
-34.54%
Premium
34.54%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with IVR's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. IVR trades at a 35% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $6.01, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 11.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.88
Median 1Y
$4.84
5th Pctile
$1.51
95th Pctile
$15.46
Ann. Volatility
65.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Donald R. Ramon
Chief Financial Officer
$— $— $—
John M. Anzalone
Chief Investment Officer
$— $— $—
Richard J. King
President and Chief Executive Officer
$— $— $—

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
Revenue / Employee
Rev: $339,699,000
Profit / Employee
NI: $101,293,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 6.9% 4.5% -6.5% -22.3% -24.9% -36.4% -36.5% -13.9% -3.6% -0.6% -2.0% -1.0% -3.2% 10.5% 7.9% 6.7% 5.4% 7.0% 13.3% 8.1% 8.09%
ROA 1.0% 0.6% -1.1% -3.6% -4.0% -5.9% -6.0% -2.3% -0.6% -0.1% -0.3% -0.2% -0.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.02%
ROIC 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 9.2% 7.7% 24.9% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.4% 4.39%
ROCE 0.2% 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 3.6% 23.5% 33.7% 37.7% 38.0% 37.5% 32.6% 32.59%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 100.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 94.7% 95.1% 97.4% 88.0% 87.96%
Operating Margin -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 2.6% 0.0% 1.6% 2.4% 7.7% 3.1% 55.3% 2.0% 99.8% 1.3% 1.32%
Net Margin 1.1% 88.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 87.6% 80.9% 43.5% 1.1% 84.8% 85.6% 1.6% 89.8% 41.1% 80.8% -43.5% 98.9% 47.5% -80.4% -80.36%
EBITDA Margin -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 2.8% 0.0% -0.0% 2.4% -28.7% 3.1% 55.6% 2.0% 99.8% 1.3% 1.32%
FCF Margin 71.7% 1.1% -2.4% -56.1% -50.5% -35.4% -52.0% -1.7% -14.9% 20.0% 56.7% 19.5% -29.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 1.1% 65.4% 68.3% 68.34%
OCF Margin 71.7% 1.1% -2.4% -56.1% -50.5% -35.4% -52.0% -1.7% -14.9% 20.0% 56.7% 19.5% -29.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 1.1% 65.4% 68.3% 68.34%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.53%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -5.50%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.56%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.73%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.35%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.54%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.58%
CROIC snapshot only 2.58%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.16%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 25.66%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.90%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 2.94 4.21 -4.42 -1.13 -0.68 -0.39 -0.63 -1.67 -7.71 -43.41 -18.57 -39.22 -12.89 4.72 7.14 8.56 11.73 8.99 5.50 11.44 11.149
P/S Ratio 2.74 3.28 -6.28 -1.25 -0.75 -0.41 -0.68 -1.97 -16.84 20.83 70.25 27.55 -55.11 3.83 5.37 6.18 3.62 3.41 2.32 2.94 2.008
P/B Ratio 0.32 0.30 0.28 0.25 0.17 0.14 0.32 0.32 0.38 0.36 0.38 0.41 0.42 0.50 0.58 0.59 0.65 0.66 0.70 0.89 0.786
P/FCF 3.82 2.99 2.61 2.22 1.48 1.16 1.30 1.14 1.13 1.04 1.24 1.41 1.90 2.58 2.33 2.98 3.12 3.01 3.55 4.30 4.299
P/OCF 3.82 2.99 2.61 2.22 1.48 1.16 1.30 1.14 1.13 1.04 1.24 1.41 1.90 2.58 2.33 2.98 3.12 3.01 3.55 4.30 4.299
EV/EBITDA 2.39 2.69 2.80 1.60 -38.29 -84.40 -163.00 -171.44 19.04 22.45 22.446
EV/Revenue 46.01 57.88 -111.08 -24.86 -21.77 -14.35 -11.44 -33.33 -241.86 316.27 51.89 20.95 -42.33 3.08 65.98 75.21 40.24 37.76 25.48 26.06 26.059
EV/EBIT 536.89 455.57 329.37 329.93 333.08 344.16 226.05 234.95 260.03 315.81 2.39 2.83 3.05 1.68 30.37 21.21 19.11 19.00 19.06 22.46 22.460
EV/FCF 64.15 52.81 46.25 44.29 43.11 40.57 22.01 19.34 16.22 15.78 0.91 1.07 1.46 2.08 28.66 36.22 34.70 33.31 38.97 38.13 38.134
Earnings Yield 34.1% 23.7% -22.6% -88.3% -1.5% -2.6% -1.6% -60.0% -13.0% -2.3% -5.4% -2.6% -7.8% 21.2% 14.0% 11.7% 8.5% 11.1% 18.2% 8.7% 8.74%
FCF Yield 26.1% 33.5% 38.2% 45.1% 67.7% 86.1% 76.7% 87.5% 88.5% 96.2% 80.7% 70.9% 52.6% 38.8% 42.9% 33.6% 32.1% 33.2% 28.2% 23.3% 23.26%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.106
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.886
EV/OCF snapshot only 38.134
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 27.340
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 22.460
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 18.83%
Graham Number snapshot only $12.04
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.035
Quick Ratio 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.035
Debt/Equity 5.29 5.29 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.70 6.70 6.70 6.70 7.05 7.05 7.046
Net Debt/Equity 5.00 5.00 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.05 -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.98 6.98 6.975
Debt/Assets 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.868
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -35.71 -78.64 -150.61 -158.31 17.48 20.12 20.116
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.85 -0.85 -0.85 -0.39 -35.17 -77.46 -148.35 -155.93 17.30 19.92 19.916
Interest Coverage 5.98 0.93 0.36 0.18 0.11 0.07 0.40 0.36 0.35 0.78 0.69 1.02 1.17 1.24 1.46 1.28 1.284
Equity Multiplier 6.31 6.31 6.02 6.02 6.02 6.02 6.34 6.34 6.34 6.34 6.75 6.75 6.75 6.75 7.78 7.78 7.78 7.78 8.12 8.12 8.120
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.010
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.285
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.010
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.029
Defensive Interval snapshot only 659.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.040
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 2.69 2.13 -3.14 -13.92 -15.64 -23.57 -32.08 -11.01 -1.53 1.17 0.32 0.88 -0.45 7.75 3.06 2.68 5.06 5.39 9.01 9.03 9.029
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.21 0.46 0.63 0.628
DSO 136 171 -116 -26 -23 -15 -11 -33 -238 312 1158 416 -807 47 119 136 72 68 40 40 40.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 673352 673352 673352 673352 3314 1708 790 581 581.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -672194 -672936 -673305 -3242 -1640 -749 -541 -540.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.294
Capital Intensity snapshot only 26.914
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 1.1% 1.1% 96.2% -4.2% -3.0% -4.8% -4.9% 54.0% 94.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 66.6% 6.5% 18.0% 5.0% 22.9% 36.2% 2.0% 2.4% 2.45%
Net Income 1.1% 1.1% 94.6% -3.6% -3.3% -6.2% -3.5% 50.5% 88.6% 98.7% 96.1% 94.6% 34.7% 13.7% 4.8% 7.1% 2.6% -36.2% 69.2% 22.6% 22.64%
EPS 1.1% 1.0% 96.6% -2.1% -2.8% -5.5% -2.9% 58.8% 91.1% 99.0% 97.0% 95.6% 43.9% 11.4% 4.0% 5.8% 2.2% -46.1% 55.1% -12.2% -12.17%
FCF -64.2% -49.0% -10.7% 66.4% 40.8% 22.9% 28.8% 41.3% 68.6% 63.3% 21.3% 2.2% -35.1% -44.5% -23.0% -36.4% -12.5% 4.0% -14.2% 13.4% 13.39%
EBITDA -1.0% -2.5% -1.7% -1.4% -1.2% 3.3% 5.5% 5.49%
Op. Income 39.9% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% 95.1% 1.9% 3.0% 58.7% 1.0% 19.1% 19.08%
OCF Growth snapshot only 13.39%
Asset Growth snapshot only 13.85%
Equity Growth snapshot only 9.14%
Debt Growth snapshot only 14.81%
Shares Change snapshot only 39.64%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 17.43%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -39.8% -38.3% -6.3%
Revenue 5Y 5.9% -51.9% -55.3% -38.7% -4.4% -27.9%
EPS 3Y -43.0% -45.7% -23.0%
EPS 5Y -13.9% -24.9% -47.9%
Net Income 3Y -24.8% -25.0% -5.0%
Net Income 5Y 1.6% -0.3% -30.3%
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y -4.4% -18.1% -10.5% -3.9%
Gross Profit 3Y -40.5% -37.8% -6.3%
Gross Profit 5Y 7.5% -51.7% -54.6% -37.9% -4.6% -28.0%
Op. Income 3Y -29.3% -19.0% -13.0% -13.0% -18.0% 12.2%
Op. Income 5Y -3.6% 40.4% 15.9% -8.3% 16.9% 25.5% 20.9% 17.5% 17.53%
FCF 3Y -28.1% -24.1% -20.6% -18.9% -20.2% -17.5% -17.0% -16.6% -5.3% 0.8% 11.7% 33.9% 15.5% 3.7% 6.3% -2.8% -1.5% -1.9% -7.1% -9.7% -9.67%
FCF 5Y -19.4% -16.3% -14.3% -13.3% -12.7% -10.3% -8.4% -6.4% -2.5% -2.6% -4.8% -5.1% -11.1% -12.6% -11.8% -17.7% -13.6% -10.0% -1.6% 11.6% 11.61%
OCF 3Y -28.1% -24.1% -20.6% -18.9% -20.2% -17.5% -17.0% -16.6% -5.3% 0.8% 11.7% 33.9% 15.5% 3.7% 6.3% -2.8% -1.5% -1.9% -7.1% -9.7% -9.67%
OCF 5Y -19.4% -16.3% -14.3% -12.8% -12.3% -9.8% -7.9% -6.4% -2.5% -2.6% -4.8% -5.1% -11.1% -12.6% -11.8% -17.7% -13.6% -10.0% -1.6% 11.6% 11.61%
Assets 3Y -22.7% -22.7% -22.0% -22.0% -22.0% -22.0% -38.9% -38.9% -38.9% -38.9% -15.1% -15.1% -15.1% -15.1% -12.3% -12.3% -12.3% -12.3% 8.3% 8.3% 8.31%
Assets 5Y -12.4% -12.4% -11.7% -11.7% -11.7% -11.7% -22.9% -22.9% -22.9% -22.9% -21.6% -21.6% -21.6% -21.6% -23.9% -23.9% -23.9% -23.9% -5.6% -5.6% -5.59%
Equity 3Y -19.6% -19.6% -15.0% -15.0% -15.0% -15.0% -35.0% -35.0% -35.0% -35.0% -17.0% -17.0% -17.0% -17.0% -19.5% -19.5% -19.5% -19.5% -0.3% -0.3% -0.27%
Book Value 3Y -39.1% -41.7% -40.0% -39.2% -37.9% -37.5% -52.5% -52.3% -52.4% -52.3% -38.3% -35.8% -32.9% -32.8% -35.2% -35.0% -36.2% -35.6% -18.3% -23.4% -23.42%
Dividend 3Y -44.5% -38.7% -30.2% -16.3% -16.1% -20.4% -25.6% -28.4% -31.9% -34.3% -33.1% -30.6% -23.9% -20.4% -18.6% -15.9% -18.0% -17.7% -17.7% -19.0% -18.99%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.07 0.13 0.20 0.21 0.14 0.21 0.19 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.19 0.02 0.02 0.21 0.86 0.83 0.88 0.89 0.65 0.649
Earnings Stability 0.13 0.20 0.26 0.28 0.20 0.23 0.17 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.05 0.55 0.43 0.48 0.58 0.50 0.501
Margin Stability 0.96 0.96 0.87 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.973
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.56 0.49 0.80 0.797
ROE Trend 0.41 0.34 0.49 0.04 -0.01 -0.11 0.14 -0.06 0.02 0.14 0.26 0.19 0.11 0.29 0.34 0.17 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.05 0.048
Gross Margin Trend -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.047
FCF Margin Trend -9.63 -28.86 -10.13 -10.125
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.4% -0.9% -2.2% -6.0% -7.7% -9.1% -7.4% -0.7% -8.6% -8.59%
Internal Growth Rate 0.3%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.77 1.41 -1.69 -0.51 -0.46 -0.33 -0.49 -1.46 -6.82 -41.75 -14.99 -27.82 -6.78 1.83 3.06 2.88 3.76 2.98 1.55 2.66 2.660
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.660
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.589
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -0.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.09 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.017
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.077
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.290
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 22.4% 28.5% 33.4% 41.0% 62.2% 75.5% 54.9% 52.2% 38.8% 37.0% 34.7% 29.9% 29.7% 25.5% 24.7% 25.1% 22.9% 22.8% 19.2% 18.0% 19.31%
Dividend/Share $3.73 $3.93 $4.19 $4.36 $4.45 $4.34 $3.85 $3.36 $2.78 $2.32 $2.11 $1.99 $2.00 $1.80 $1.73 $1.73 $1.65 $1.65 $1.61 $1.46 $1.52
Payout Ratio 65.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 2.1% 2.06%
FCF Payout Ratio 85.7% 85.1% 87.4% 91.0% 92.0% 87.7% 71.6% 59.7% 43.8% 38.5% 43.0% 42.1% 56.5% 65.9% 57.6% 74.8% 71.5% 68.7% 68.1% 77.5% 77.52%
Total Payout Ratio 65.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 2.2% 2.15%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number -0.38 -0.11 0.30 1.01 1.13 1.02 0.60 0.45 0.19 0.09 0.08 0.02 0.13 0.21 0.28 0.38 0.34 0.31 0.21 0.35 0.355
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.80%
Net Buyback Yield -88.0% -1.1% -1.1% -76.8% -52.1% -48.0% -32.0% -46.1% -48.9% -53.2% -37.0% -23.8% -18.6% -27.4% -27.2% -34.6% -28.4% -16.8% -13.9% -24.6% -24.55%
Total Shareholder Return -65.6% -81.0% -74.7% -35.8% 10.1% 27.6% 22.8% 6.1% -10.1% -16.2% -2.3% 6.1% 11.1% -1.8% -2.6% -9.4% -5.5% 6.0% 5.3% -6.5% -6.52%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.001
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 10.90 6.12 -4.21 -14.58 -16.70 -25.36 -21.10 -8.33 -2.35 -0.48 -0.17 -0.09 -0.31 0.44 0.35 0.20 0.15 0.19 0.32 0.22 0.221
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.13 -0.34 -0.08 -0.07 -0.04 -0.05 -0.14 -0.93 1.00 21.70 7.41 -13.86 1.83 2.17 3.55 2.11 1.99 1.34 1.16 1.160
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.040
Equity Multiplier 7.21 7.21 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.14 6.14 6.14 6.14 6.54 6.54 6.54 6.54 7.25 7.25 7.25 7.25 7.96 7.96 7.959
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $5.68 $3.28 $-2.83 $-9.37 $-10.46 $-14.80 $-11.06 $-3.86 $-0.93 $-0.14 $-0.33 $-0.17 $-0.52 $1.49 $0.98 $0.80 $0.61 $0.80 $1.53 $0.71 $0.71
Book Value/Share $52.55 $46.00 $44.15 $42.51 $42.50 $41.18 $22.07 $20.30 $18.97 $17.58 $16.16 $16.16 $15.85 $13.98 $12.02 $11.66 $11.02 $11.02 $12.03 $9.12 $10.02
Tangible Book/Share $52.55 $46.00 $44.15 $42.51 $42.50 $41.18 $22.07 $20.30 $18.97 $17.58 $16.16 $16.16 $15.85 $13.98 $12.02 $11.66 $11.02 $11.02 $12.03 $9.12 $9.12
Revenue/Share $6.07 $4.21 $-2.00 $-8.53 $-9.58 $-14.00 $-10.35 $-3.27 $-0.43 $0.30 $0.09 $0.24 $-0.12 $1.84 $1.31 $1.11 $1.99 $2.12 $3.62 $2.75 $3.21
FCF/Share $4.36 $4.62 $4.80 $4.79 $4.84 $4.95 $5.38 $5.63 $6.35 $6.02 $4.91 $4.71 $3.54 $2.73 $3.01 $2.31 $2.30 $2.40 $2.37 $1.88 $1.88
OCF/Share $4.36 $4.62 $4.80 $4.79 $4.84 $4.95 $5.38 $5.63 $6.35 $6.02 $4.91 $4.71 $3.54 $2.73 $3.01 $2.31 $2.30 $2.40 $2.37 $1.88 $1.88
Cash/Share $15.09 $13.21 $11.25 $10.84 $10.83 $10.50 $4.84 $4.45 $4.16 $3.85 $1.59 $1.59 $1.56 $1.37 $1.21 $1.17 $1.11 $1.11 $0.85 $0.64 $0.60
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.88 $1.88 $1.84 $3.54 $-2.25 $-0.99 $-0.49 $-0.47 $4.85 $3.19 $3.19
Debt/Share $277.88 $243.22 $220.49 $212.28 $212.25 $205.64 $116.31 $106.97 $99.95 $92.62 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $80.50 $78.13 $73.82 $73.82 $84.75 $64.23 $64.23
Net Debt/Share $262.79 $230.01 $209.24 $201.45 $201.42 $195.14 $111.47 $102.52 $95.79 $88.76 $-1.59 $-1.59 $-1.56 $-1.37 $79.30 $76.95 $72.71 $72.71 $83.90 $63.59 $63.59
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -1.524
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -6.872
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 4 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 7 6 6 5 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -4.16 -2.67 -2.28 -1.26 -2.53 -2.50 7.29 -2.39 -2.392
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -2.018
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-62.63
EVA snapshot only $-356908900.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 44.13 43.99 17.66 18.59 31.11 11.56 10.73 11.46 11.00 12.03 42.45 43.13 42.61 42.95 15.23 20.01 19.90 20.05 13.04 13.44 13.443
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.570
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 26
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 2

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