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JAKK NASDAQ

JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
1W: +2.8% 1M: -2.5% 3M: -0.3% YTD: +30.1% 1Y: +10.9% 3Y: -0.6% 5Y: +176.0%
$22.18
+0.02 (+0.09%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.7%
$18 $20 $21 $23 $24
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 47 · $253.8M mcap · 9M float · 0.927% daily turnover · Short 65% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
36.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 2.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 14.2%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
31
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
45
Scale ★
85
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. JAKK has No discernible competitive edge (36.3/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 2.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 9Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-04-27 consensus Buy Hold
2026-04-22 consensus Hold Buy
2026-04-03 consensus Buy Hold
2026-02-27 consensus Hold Buy
2026-02-22 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-11-29 B.Riley Financial Eric Wold $37 $41 +4 +47.5% $27.80
2024-09-16 B.Riley Financial Eric Wold Initiated $37 +50.5% $24.58
2024-08-26 Maxim Group Tom Forte Initiated $46 +83.0% $25.14
2024-03-31 Ascendiant Edward Woo Initiated $38 +53.8% $24.70

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
3
D/E
3
P/E
2
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. JAKK receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-18 B+ B
2026-05-11 B B+
2026-05-04 B+ B
2026-02-23 B- B+
2026-02-20 B+ B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

30 Grade C
Profitability
14
Balance Sheet
78
Earnings Quality
65
Growth
4
Value
55
Momentum
42
Safety
50
Cash Flow
39
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. JAKK scores highest in Balance Sheet (78/100) and lowest in Growth (4/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.19
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.73
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.12
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 69.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 3.99x
Accruals: -5.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. JAKK scores 2.19, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. JAKK scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. JAKK's score of -2.73 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. JAKK's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. JAKK receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 69.6/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). JAKK's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
31.74x
PEG
-0.38x
P/S
0.45x
P/B
1.05x
P/FCF
10.69x
P/OCF
6.30x
EV/EBITDA
10.04x
EV/Revenue
0.42x
EV/EBIT
18.35x
EV/FCF
12.77x
Earnings Yield
3.97%
FCF Yield
9.35%
Shareholder Yield
1.31%
Graham Number
$18.47
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 31.7x earnings, JAKK commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $18.47 per share, 20% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.605
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.010
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.023
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.272
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.812
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. JAKK's ROE of 3.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.272), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$5.92
Price/Value
2.96x
Margin of Safety
-196.02%
Premium
196.02%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with JAKK's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. JAKK trades at a 196% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $5.92, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 31.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$22.18
Median 1Y
$17.35
5th Pctile
$3.93
95th Pctile
$76.04
Ann. Volatility
84.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Stephen G. Berman
Chief Executive Officer, President and Secretary
$1,850,000 $5,233,075 $9,958,012
John L. Kimble
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
$608,326 $1,518,941 $3,049,694

CEO Pay Ratio

38:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $9,958,012
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $262,058
Employees: 652

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
652
-4.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$875,262
Rev: $570,671,000
Profit / Employee
$15,140
NI: $9,871,000
SGA / Employee
$262,058
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -2.1% -1.7% -17.2% 40.7% 1.6% 1.4% 90.4% 88.9% 69.0% 86.3% 22.5% 17.1% 16.4% 18.9% 15.6% 21.1% 17.7% 2.8% 4.0% 3.3% 3.26%
ROA -5.2% -4.1% -1.8% 4.2% 16.3% 14.6% 24.0% 23.6% 18.3% 22.9% 9.5% 7.3% 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 10.9% 9.1% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.80%
ROIC 25.9% 25.3% 22.0% 28.3% 47.9% 49.9% 76.8% 76.1% 91.6% 78.6% 34.1% 27.3% 21.0% 22.8% 15.1% 20.3% 17.0% 2.5% 3.3% 2.6% 2.60%
ROCE 1.0% 1.8% 4.6% 14.3% 36.4% 44.2% 30.1% 29.0% 23.1% 26.9% 23.8% 16.9% 13.5% 15.8% 13.8% 19.7% 16.1% 3.1% 5.2% 4.4% 4.44%
Gross Margin 28.4% 31.6% 26.6% 24.7% 27.6% 28.5% 21.7% 29.2% 30.7% 34.5% 26.5% 23.3% 32.0% 33.8% 27.2% 34.4% 32.7% 32.0% 31.0% 33.2% 33.24%
Operating Margin -1.6% 15.5% 1.6% -0.6% 10.7% 16.6% -11.9% -4.1% 9.9% 20.1% -12.0% -23.7% 5.1% 21.2% -11.3% -3.3% -2.3% 13.9% -6.8% -5.2% -5.23%
Net Margin -13.4% 15.3% -1.7% -3.2% 12.0% 9.5% 28.8% -4.9% 3.9% 15.5% -8.5% -16.1% 3.5% 16.3% -7.0% -2.1% -1.9% 9.4% -4.2% -4.0% -4.01%
EBITDA Margin -7.1% 18.4% 0.2% 0.4% 14.7% 18.0% -9.1% -2.3% 11.3% 21.0% -10.6% -21.4% 6.7% 22.5% -9.2% -1.6% -0.7% 16.4% -5.0% -3.2% -3.24%
FCF Margin 5.2% -1.4% -2.3% -1.6% 5.1% 10.1% 9.5% 9.3% 8.3% 12.6% 8.1% 7.2% 1.4% -6.8% 4.0% 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% -0.2% 3.3% 3.33%
OCF Margin 6.5% 0.1% -0.9% -0.3% 6.4% 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 9.6% 13.8% 9.3% 8.3% 2.7% -5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 5.1% 1.5% 5.6% 5.64%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.44%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 24.85%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.49%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.51%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.27%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.20%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 11.06%
CROIC snapshot only 6.51%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.33%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 2.34%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 29.93%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only -0.45%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -3.59 -7.22 -15.29 8.96 2.16 3.75 1.87 1.81 2.68 2.03 8.87 8.32 6.56 8.50 8.68 5.73 5.85 34.67 19.53 25.16 31.735
P/S Ratio 0.11 0.18 0.15 0.19 0.16 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.26 0.25 0.48 0.35 0.27 0.40 0.43 0.37 0.33 0.37 0.34 0.36 0.449
P/B Ratio 4.83 7.61 1.62 2.26 2.13 3.33 1.17 1.11 1.29 1.22 1.74 1.24 0.94 1.40 1.23 1.10 0.94 0.88 0.77 0.81 1.046
P/FCF 2.22 -13.14 -6.52 -12.52 3.06 2.18 2.25 2.23 3.11 1.96 5.93 4.86 19.73 -5.82 10.63 6.76 5.68 11.96 -180.04 10.69 10.694
P/OCF 1.76 150.86 2.45 1.96 1.98 1.92 2.66 1.80 5.13 4.22 10.25 7.56 5.26 4.44 7.17 22.71 6.30 6.300
EV/EBITDA 13.40 14.87 8.63 5.41 2.47 2.82 2.19 2.17 3.04 2.59 4.30 3.81 3.20 4.54 5.53 3.66 3.68 9.97 9.10 10.04 10.042
EV/Revenue 0.27 0.34 0.26 0.30 0.25 0.30 0.22 0.21 0.26 0.25 0.41 0.28 0.20 0.33 0.41 0.35 0.31 0.34 0.41 0.42 0.425
EV/EBIT 81.73 55.04 19.12 7.52 2.84 3.17 2.53 2.50 3.61 2.93 4.92 4.61 4.03 5.71 6.89 4.30 4.44 21.33 15.21 18.35 18.349
EV/FCF 5.31 -24.75 -11.45 -19.32 4.83 2.99 2.29 2.27 3.15 1.98 5.08 3.89 14.52 -4.79 10.15 6.42 5.34 11.20 -216.33 12.77 12.767
Earnings Yield -27.9% -13.8% -6.5% 11.2% 46.3% 26.7% 53.6% 55.4% 37.3% 49.3% 11.3% 12.0% 15.2% 11.8% 11.5% 17.5% 17.1% 2.9% 5.1% 4.0% 3.97%
FCF Yield 45.0% -7.6% -15.3% -8.0% 32.7% 45.8% 44.4% 44.8% 32.2% 51.1% 16.9% 20.6% 5.1% -17.2% 9.4% 14.8% 17.6% 8.4% -0.6% 9.4% 9.35%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.937
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.521
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.320
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 19.312
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.31%
Graham Number snapshot only $18.47
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.81 1.81 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.82 1.82 1.817
Quick Ratio 1.53 1.53 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.41 1.41 1.413
Debt/Equity 13.60 13.60 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.37 0.37 0.373
Net Debt/Equity 6.72 6.72 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.16 0.16 0.156
Debt/Assets 0.56 0.56 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.21 0.21 0.210
Debt/EBITDA 15.78 14.12 6.10 3.12 1.48 1.25 1.11 1.16 1.41 1.26 0.35 0.47 0.57 0.49 1.11 0.83 0.98 2.86 3.65 3.90 3.897
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.79 6.97 3.72 1.90 0.90 0.76 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 -0.71 -0.95 -1.15 -0.98 -0.26 -0.20 -0.23 -0.68 1.53 1.63 1.630
Interest Coverage 0.10 0.21 0.60 2.30 7.12 7.33 6.12 5.51 4.80 7.62 9.20 11.76 13.20 23.92 37.28 52.62 47.86 16.55 32.35 34.71 34.713
Equity Multiplier 24.46 24.46 6.31 6.31 6.31 6.31 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.78 1.78 1.775
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.365
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 63.426
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.582
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.202
Defensive Interval snapshot only 415.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.63 1.62 1.81 1.92 2.23 2.48 2.09 2.05 1.91 1.88 1.77 1.73 1.68 1.71 1.64 1.69 1.62 1.36 1.29 1.27 1.272
Inventory Turnover 8.44 8.32 7.15 7.69 8.98 10.11 7.11 6.93 6.39 6.05 7.33 7.22 7.00 7.15 9.07 9.17 8.77 7.46 6.85 6.80 6.798
Receivables Turnover 5.15 5.10 4.98 5.27 6.14 6.83 6.37 6.26 5.83 5.72 6.28 6.13 5.97 6.07 5.41 5.59 5.36 4.50 4.23 4.18 4.179
Payables Turnover 7.71 7.60 8.22 8.84 10.32 11.62 10.67 10.40 9.60 9.08 10.28 10.14 9.83 10.04 8.90 9.00 8.61 7.32 6.91 6.86 6.860
DSO 71 72 73 69 59 53 57 58 63 64 58 60 61 60 67 65 68 81 86 87 87.3 days
DIO 43 44 51 47 41 36 51 53 57 60 50 51 52 51 40 40 42 49 53 54 53.7 days
DPO 47 48 44 41 35 31 34 35 38 40 35 36 37 36 41 41 42 50 53 53 53.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 67 67 80 75 65 58 74 76 82 84 72 74 76 75 67 65 67 80 87 88 87.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 8.575
Operating Cycle snapshot only 141.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 10.433
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.784
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -1.9% 3.9% 20.4% 23.4% 35.2% 51.8% 28.2% 18.9% -4.8% -16.0% -10.6% -11.3% -7.3% -4.0% -2.9% 2.9% 1.3% -16.5% -17.4% -21.0% -21.02%
Net Income 53.7% 39.0% 57.9% 1.5% 4.1% 4.5% 16.2% 5.3% 24.8% 73.5% -58.0% -67.5% -59.8% -63.1% -11.7% 57.6% 37.2% -81.1% -70.9% -82.7% -82.68%
EPS 77.2% 74.3% 79.8% 1.3% 2.9% 4.1% 15.1% 5.1% 26.9% 77.7% -57.2% -69.0% -63.3% -67.2% -19.1% 46.4% 33.0% -81.3% -72.0% -83.1% -83.13%
FCF 1.9% -3.1% -1.4% -1.2% 34.7% 12.1% 6.4% 8.1% 53.0% 4.8% -24.1% -31.2% -84.6% -1.5% -51.8% -22.0% 3.2% 1.4% -1.0% -51.9% -51.93%
EBITDA 75.7% 18.1% 11.8% 6.7% 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% -19.0% -24.0% -14.0% -32.7% -32.3% -28.7% -25.1% 33.6% 36.2% -60.0% -49.9% -65.1% -65.10%
Op. Income 42.0% 31.7% 1.7% 41.8% 83.6% 1.4% 73.6% 54.4% -20.0% -26.2% -3.1% -26.4% -33.4% -33.5% -32.9% 35.7% 40.3% -79.3% -64.2% -78.3% -78.34%
OCF Growth snapshot only -36.46%
Asset Growth snapshot only -0.60%
Equity Growth snapshot only 3.65%
Debt Growth snapshot only 64.43%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.67%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -97.64%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -1.8% -0.6% 3.0% 6.4% 12.7% 13.8% 10.0% 9.6% 8.1% 9.9% 11.3% 9.2% 6.0% 7.0% 3.6% 2.8% -3.7% -12.3% -10.5% -10.3% -10.35%
Revenue 5Y -5.1% -4.4% -2.5% -1.4% 2.3% 5.8% 5.4% 5.1% 4.1% 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 4.8% 3.5% 2.9% 3.7% 3.4% 1.2% 2.0% 1.1% 1.13%
EPS 3Y 40.5% -14.8% -52.3% -54.1% -57.6% -57.55%
EPS 5Y 51.1%
Net Income 3Y 47.8% -11.7% -50.6% -52.4% -55.4% -55.41%
Net Income 5Y 1.1%
EBITDA 3Y 3.5% 1.2% 1.1% 84.9% 59.6% 1.2% 53.8% 56.3% 39.6% 23.2% -9.2% -39.9% -31.4% -32.0% -32.03%
EBITDA 5Y -21.9% -15.7% -13.1% -0.5% 23.4% 1.2% 58.9% 54.2% 12.5% 8.8% 38.1% 38.12%
Gross Profit 3Y 6.9% 6.4% 5.5% 8.3% 16.4% 14.9% 9.9% 9.7% 8.2% 12.3% 14.3% 10.1% 6.2% 6.4% 5.2% 7.3% 1.0% -8.0% -4.3% -5.2% -5.18%
Gross Profit 5Y -5.3% -4.5% -3.9% -3.4% 0.5% 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 7.3% 8.5% 7.5% 7.7% 8.8% 6.6% 6.0% 7.4% 6.7% 3.3% 4.3% 2.6% 2.61%
Op. Income 3Y 2.9% 66.1% 17.2% -0.7% 5.4% 4.2% 15.5% -9.2% -53.3% -38.4% -40.0% -39.96%
Op. Income 5Y 8.4% 21.5% 15.5% 19.6% 95.5% 51.4% 2.0% -13.9% -13.88%
FCF 3Y 87.9% 82.7% 80.6% 1.9% 17.7% 1.9% -31.7% 0.1% -41.1% -36.3% -36.32%
FCF 5Y 6.4% 38.6% 70.9% 17.4% 31.0% 36.6% -16.9% -16.89%
OCF 3Y -67.7% 61.5% 58.0% 1.6% 55.3% 1.0% 15.1% 1.3% -21.4% 1.0% -32.7% -53.8% -27.8% -27.83%
OCF 5Y -0.8% -54.7% 45.6% 25.3% 49.9% 37.3% 45.4% 12.3% 59.5% 22.0% 20.3% -27.9% -10.5% -10.51%
Assets 3Y -3.8% -3.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.94%
Assets 5Y -8.2% -8.2% -5.1% -5.1% -5.1% -5.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.07%
Equity 3Y -47.6% -47.6% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% 19.6% 19.6% 19.58%
Book Value 3Y -62.3% -66.8% -35.3% -35.1% -36.0% -33.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 87.4% 96.1% 1.0% 1.3% 54.3% 54.0% 56.4% 56.3% 15.4% 13.8% 13.83%
Dividend 3Y -11.7% 1.3% 1.7% -72.7% -72.69%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.67 0.75 0.36 0.13 0.03 0.16 0.26 0.36 0.49 0.43 0.55 0.64 0.53 0.27 0.36 0.48 0.18 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.021
Earnings Stability 0.06 0.02 0.07 0.15 0.38 0.84 0.81 0.87 0.93 0.93 0.70 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.54 0.56 0.46 0.17 0.07 0.08 0.079
Margin Stability 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.931
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.84 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.50 0.85 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.78 0.46 0.18 0.00 0.15 0.08 0.88 0.55 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 4.76 2.72 8.54 6.84 7.38 4.81 1.21 1.47 0.66 0.68 -0.06 -0.29 -0.59 -0.58 -0.27 -0.19 -0.15 -0.36 -0.13 -0.14 -0.139
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.007
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 -0.03 -0.07 -0.06 0.02 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.08 0.04 0.03 -0.05 -0.18 -0.05 -0.03 0.01 0.00 -0.06 -0.03 -0.030
Sustainable Growth Rate 40.7% 1.6% 1.4% 90.1% 88.6% 68.7% 86.3% 22.5% 17.1% 16.2% 18.6% 15.4% 19.7% 15.1% -1.1% 4.0% 3.2% 3.23%
Internal Growth Rate 4.3% 19.5% 17.0% 31.4% 30.7% 22.3% 29.7% 10.6% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 11.3% 8.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.81%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -2.04 -0.05 0.98 -0.12 0.88 1.92 0.94 0.94 1.01 1.13 1.73 1.97 0.64 -1.13 1.15 1.09 1.32 4.83 0.86 3.99 3.994
FCF/OCF 0.79 -11.48 2.40 6.18 0.80 0.90 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.92 0.87 0.87 0.52 1.29 0.71 0.78 0.78 0.60 -0.13 0.59 0.589
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.353
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.335
CapEx/Revenue 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 2.32%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.212
Accruals Ratio -0.16 -0.04 -0.00 0.05 0.02 -0.13 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.03 -0.07 -0.07 0.03 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.06 0.00 -0.05 -0.054
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.020
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.420
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 1.2% 2.5% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.52%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.04 $0.03 $0.04 $0.28 $0.50 $0.73 $0.00 $0.01 $1.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 6.9% 14.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.9% 0.94%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 1.4% 8.1% 14.1% 47.5% 0.4% 0.40%
Total Payout Ratio 4.5% 1.2% 3.2% 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 3.0% 8.0% 74.8% 97.7% 85.3% 80.5% 30.2% 29.1% 2.1% 0.0% 33.0% 33.04%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number 0.20 13.31 20.51 -0.98 -0.976
Buyback Yield 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 0.9% 9.0% 14.7% 9.9% 9.1% 4.1% 2.5% 2.2% 0.0% 1.3% 1.28%
Net Buyback Yield 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 0.9% 9.0% 14.7% 9.9% 9.1% 4.1% 2.5% 2.2% 0.0% 1.3% 1.28%
Total Shareholder Return 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 9.0% 14.9% 10.0% 9.3% 5.3% 5.0% 6.2% 0.0% 1.3% 1.31%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.02 1.07 1.06 0.96 0.97 0.80 1.87 1.97 2.72 1.98 0.85 0.95 0.92 0.85 0.85 0.81 0.82 0.70 0.67 0.60 0.605
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -9.36 -3.80 -0.67 0.56 0.86 0.78 0.71 0.69 0.49 0.72 0.76 0.73 0.91 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.94 0.97 1.01 1.010
EBIT Margin 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.023
Asset Turnover 1.63 1.62 1.81 1.92 2.23 2.48 2.09 2.05 1.91 1.88 1.77 1.73 1.68 1.71 1.64 1.69 1.62 1.36 1.29 1.27 1.272
Equity Multiplier 41.12 41.12 9.80 9.80 9.80 9.80 3.77 3.77 3.77 3.77 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.81 1.81 1.812
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-2.91 $-1.56 $-0.63 $1.49 $5.57 $4.90 $8.91 $9.11 $7.07 $8.71 $3.81 $2.82 $2.59 $2.85 $3.08 $4.13 $3.45 $0.53 $0.86 $0.70 $0.70
Book Value/Share $2.17 $1.48 $5.95 $5.90 $5.64 $5.51 $14.20 $14.76 $14.76 $14.54 $19.38 $18.87 $18.09 $17.33 $21.83 $21.56 $21.56 $21.04 $21.81 $21.77 $21.15
Tangible Book/Share $-3.85 $-2.64 $1.81 $1.79 $1.71 $1.67 $10.78 $11.21 $11.21 $11.04 $15.90 $15.48 $14.84 $14.22 $18.64 $18.41 $18.41 $17.97 $18.74 $18.70 $18.70
Revenue/Share $91.12 $61.88 $65.31 $68.64 $76.34 $83.07 $77.58 $79.30 $73.88 $71.45 $70.56 $67.04 $62.57 $60.99 $62.78 $64.08 $61.43 $50.28 $49.96 $49.29 $49.29
FCF/Share $4.71 $-0.86 $-1.48 $-1.07 $3.93 $8.42 $7.38 $7.36 $6.11 $9.03 $5.70 $4.83 $0.86 $-4.17 $2.52 $3.50 $3.55 $1.54 $-0.09 $1.64 $1.64
OCF/Share $5.94 $0.07 $-0.62 $-0.17 $4.90 $9.39 $8.39 $8.58 $7.13 $9.83 $6.59 $5.57 $1.66 $-3.23 $3.54 $4.50 $4.55 $2.57 $0.74 $2.78 $2.78
Cash/Share $14.90 $10.22 $4.68 $4.64 $4.44 $4.34 $8.31 $8.64 $8.64 $8.51 $7.19 $7.01 $6.72 $6.43 $6.35 $6.27 $6.27 $6.12 $4.73 $4.72 $5.59
EBITDA/Share $1.87 $1.43 $1.97 $3.81 $7.67 $8.90 $7.70 $7.69 $6.32 $6.93 $6.74 $4.94 $3.91 $4.39 $4.62 $6.13 $5.16 $1.73 $2.23 $2.08 $2.08
Debt/Share $29.45 $20.19 $11.99 $11.89 $11.36 $11.11 $8.55 $8.89 $8.89 $8.76 $2.38 $2.32 $2.23 $2.13 $5.13 $5.07 $5.07 $4.95 $8.14 $8.12 $8.12
Net Debt/Share $14.55 $9.97 $7.31 $7.25 $6.93 $6.78 $0.24 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $-4.81 $-4.68 $-4.49 $-4.30 $-1.22 $-1.20 $-1.20 $-1.17 $3.40 $3.40 $3.40
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 2.195
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.782
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 4 4 5 6 5 6 7 7 6 4 4 2 6 7 7 5 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -3.47 -2.96 -1.93 -1.71 -1.72 -2.62 -2.12 -2.34 -2.36 -2.52 -2.69 -2.44 -2.16 -1.42 -2.45 -2.54 -2.50 -2.44 -2.54 -2.73 -2.726
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.116
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.99%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $6.64
EVA snapshot only $-21296710.94
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 26.66 22.95 27.12 42.15 68.79 75.75 73.18 71.81 68.54 73.60 82.82 80.02 78.35 70.95 79.00 88.12 83.80 71.80 64.93 69.57 69.572
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -18.545
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 62
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 64

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