— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: KREF-PA (NYSE) · $vol 0M

KREF NYSE

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.
1W: -1.1% 1M: -4.2% 3M: -5.7% YTD: -22.5% 1Y: -27.0% 3Y: -17.5% 5Y: -48.9%
$6.48
+0.07 (+1.09%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.6%
$6 $6 $6 $7 $7
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 52 · $416.7M mcap · 52M float · 2.97% daily turnover · Short 53% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 2.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 1.1%
Cost Advantage
60
Intangibles
33
Switching Cost
71
Network Effect
24
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. KREF shows a Weak competitive edge (46.6/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 2.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$7
Low
$7
Avg Target
$7
High
Based on 1 analyst since Apr 22, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 6Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$7.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-04-28 Wells Fargo $10 $7 -3 +19.0% $5.88
2025-10-27 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti Initiated $10 +14.8% $8.71
2024-07-30 BTIG Thomas Catherwood Initiated $13 +12.8% $11.52
2024-04-24 JMP Securities Steven DeLaney Initiated $12 +22.7% $9.78
2022-07-18 Raymond James Initiated $24 +30.8% $17.97

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. KREF receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-01 C C+
2026-02-23 C+ C
2026-02-02 B- C+
2026-01-30 C+ B-
2026-01-26 B- C+
2026-01-14 C+ B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

24 Grade D
Profitability
30
Balance Sheet
14
Earnings Quality
72
Growth
52
Value
42
Momentum
50
Safety
15
Cash Flow
37
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. KREF scores highest in Earnings Quality (72/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (14/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.07
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-0.90
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.80
Bankruptcy prob: 0.8%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 19.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.70x
Accruals: -2.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. KREF scores 0.07, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. KREF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. KREF's score of -0.90 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. KREF's implied 0.8% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. KREF receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 19.1/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-4.26x
PEG
-0.11x
P/S
0.94x
P/B
0.38x
P/FCF
6.36x
P/OCF
5.69x
EV/EBITDA
23.64x
EV/Revenue
11.33x
EV/EBIT
23.99x
EV/FCF
80.37x
Earnings Yield
-24.94%
FCF Yield
15.73%
Shareholder Yield
30.68%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. KREF currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.967
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.489
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.472
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.069
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.090
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-7.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. KREF's ROE of -7.8% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.09x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$6.47
Median 1Y
$5.73
5th Pctile
$3.24
95th Pctile
$10.12
Ann. Volatility
34.0%
Analyst Target
$7.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
Revenue / Employee
Rev: $457,959,000
Profit / Employee
NI: $-47,051,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 11.2% 11.6% 11.4% 11.8% 11.3% 4.8% 2.6% -1.5% -4.6% 0.1% -2.1% -0.6% 2.5% 0.1% 2.6% 2.5% -1.6% -0.1% -3.8% -7.8% -7.84%
ROA 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.5% -0.3% -0.9% 0.0% -0.4% -0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% -0.3% -0.0% -0.7% -1.5% -1.54%
ROIC 4.8% 5.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.6% 3.7% 3.0% 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 1.4% 4.0% 2.8% 5.6% 2.2% 0.8% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.89%
ROCE 4.1% 4.7% 3.7% 3.8% 4.0% 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 2.4% 3.2% 4.5% 5.3% 3.6% 2.3% 2.3% 3.2% 3.4% 3.41%
Gross Margin 79.6% 82.3% 79.5% 93.5% 94.4% 94.0% 78.1% 93.9% 93.9% 93.2% -1.5% 92.5% 91.8% 85.2% 83.7% 1.0% 89.5% 87.4% 86.9% 84.7% 84.68%
Operating Margin 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 55.9% 2.3% 1.7% -48.3% 65.5% -11.1% 89.3% 88.8% -35.9% 55.7% -32.5% 44.0% 83.9% 43.6% 17.0% 16.98%
Net Margin 87.6% 87.7% 94.5% 90.2% 59.1% -97.9% 41.2% -56.1% -45.9% 65.8% -11.1% -2.2% 16.6% -20.0% 57.5% -16.4% -25.4% 12.1% -24.4% -55.2% -55.18%
EBITDA Margin 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.6% 56.2% 2.2% 0.0% -61.4% 0.0% 0.0% 70.5% 88.8% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 44.4% 84.5% 45.9% 13.3% 13.30%
FCF Margin 89.9% 86.4% 82.1% 80.7% 81.8% 78.2% 80.5% 82.2% 81.5% 86.2% 1.2% 59.7% 38.2% 40.6% 32.2% 41.9% 46.8% 24.3% 18.4% 14.1% 14.10%
OCF Margin 89.9% 86.4% 82.1% 80.7% 81.8% 78.5% 80.8% 82.9% 82.4% 87.0% 1.2% 60.7% 40.3% 42.9% 34.3% 44.2% 47.4% 24.9% 19.6% 15.7% 15.74%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.19%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 0.49%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.37%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.09%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.86%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.08%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.20%
CROIC snapshot only 1.08%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 37.88%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -23.11%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.51%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.72%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 6.29 6.05 5.93 6.72 6.01 13.66 18.39 -26.27 -9.69 318.34 -24.68 -64.58 15.13 360.45 18.35 20.75 -25.94 -639.58 -11.34 -4.01 -4.262
P/S Ratio 5.71 5.45 5.35 6.06 4.97 4.72 4.01 3.29 3.62 3.71 5.85 2.45 1.56 2.19 1.68 2.72 2.60 1.99 1.46 0.90 0.943
P/B Ratio 0.73 0.73 0.60 0.70 0.60 0.58 0.45 0.38 0.42 0.42 0.55 0.43 0.39 0.55 0.48 0.52 0.43 0.44 0.46 0.34 0.382
P/FCF 6.35 6.31 6.52 7.51 6.08 6.04 4.98 4.01 4.44 4.30 4.98 4.11 4.07 5.40 5.20 6.50 5.56 8.21 7.91 6.36 6.356
P/OCF 6.35 6.31 6.52 7.51 6.08 6.02 4.97 3.97 4.39 4.27 4.93 4.04 3.86 5.12 4.88 6.16 5.49 8.03 7.44 5.69 5.694
EV/EBITDA 19.40 18.94 21.78 21.48 20.15 23.36 24.28 31.80 60.78 78.71 -248.60 77.01 25.92 19.34 12.73 19.02 29.11 29.25 25.98 23.64 23.644
EV/Revenue 33.93 32.48 38.41 37.84 35.41 34.61 37.92 36.13 36.21 36.74 51.00 26.67 18.17 19.00 11.40 17.31 19.66 14.64 13.93 11.33 11.332
EV/EBIT 22.62 19.40 23.73 23.41 21.87 32.71 30.17 20.65 20.85 19.28 29.00 36.87 26.77 19.83 13.04 19.48 29.40 29.59 26.32 23.99 23.995
EV/FCF 37.72 37.59 46.77 46.86 43.27 44.28 47.12 43.97 44.43 42.61 43.36 44.70 47.59 46.83 35.41 41.31 42.00 60.23 75.71 80.37 80.371
Earnings Yield 15.9% 16.5% 16.9% 14.9% 16.6% 7.3% 5.4% -3.8% -10.3% 0.3% -4.1% -1.5% 6.6% 0.3% 5.4% 4.8% -3.9% -0.2% -8.8% -24.9% -24.94%
FCF Yield 15.8% 15.8% 15.3% 13.3% 16.4% 16.6% 20.1% 24.9% 22.5% 23.2% 20.1% 24.3% 24.5% 18.5% 19.2% 15.4% 18.0% 12.2% 12.6% 15.7% 15.73%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.338
EV/OCF snapshot only 71.999
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 12.991
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 23.630
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 30.68%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 126.31 126.31 141.07 141.07 141.07 141.07 9.92 9.92 9.92 9.92 3.04 3.04 3.04 3.04 0.32 0.32 0.319
Quick Ratio 126.31 126.31 141.07 141.07 141.07 141.07 9.92 9.92 9.92 9.92 3.04 3.04 3.04 3.04 0.32 0.32 0.319
Debt/Equity 3.71 3.71 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.92 3.92 3.92 3.92 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 2.87 2.87 2.87 2.87 4.00 4.00 4.003
Net Debt/Equity 3.60 3.60 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.77 3.77 3.77 3.77 4.22 4.22 4.22 4.22 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79 3.93 3.93 3.931
Debt/Assets 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.73 0.73 0.726
Debt/EBITDA 16.61 16.22 19.75 19.02 18.25 21.26 22.59 30.07 56.93 73.62 -225.12 71.54 24.24 17.50 11.16 16.47 25.96 25.97 23.69 22.17 22.174
Net Debt/EBITDA 16.13 15.76 18.74 18.04 17.32 20.17 21.71 28.90 54.71 70.76 -220.07 69.93 23.70 17.11 10.86 16.02 25.26 25.26 23.26 21.77 21.774
Interest Coverage 1.79 2.07 2.15 2.14 1.95 1.02 0.93 1.02 0.83 0.79 0.50 0.38 0.53 0.76 0.82 0.60 0.41 0.44 0.61 0.67 0.673
Equity Multiplier 4.75 4.75 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.96 4.96 4.96 4.96 5.37 5.37 5.37 5.37 4.72 4.72 4.72 4.72 5.51 5.51 5.513
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.246
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.683
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.018
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.013
Defensive Interval snapshot only 308.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.069
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3.28 6.11 8.92 8.81 11.08 7.39 6.32 8.52 13.70 16.37 16.372
Payables Turnover 7.88 6.84 5.55 4.33 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.50 0.59 1.07 1.60 1.74 1.78 1.19 1.18 1.62 4.09 5.66 5.658
DSO 13299 12734 13326 12808 12267 12047 6615 6407 6358 6444 111 60 41 41 33 49 58 43 27 22 22.3 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 46 53 66 84 253 250 246 243 621 342 229 210 205 306 310 225 89 65 64.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 13299 12734 13280 12755 12201 11963 6362 6157 6112 6201 -510 -282 -188 -169 -172 -257 -252 -183 -63 -42 -42.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.220
Capital Intensity snapshot only 14.637
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 17.8% 13.6% 20.9% 20.9% 23.6% 20.5% 15.0% 14.1% 10.1% 6.7% -24.9% 35.6% 96.2% 96.5% 1.9% 5.3% -38.2% -15.7% -4.4% 71.4% 71.40%
Net Income 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 19.7% 12.6% -53.8% -72.2% -1.2% -1.5% -96.4% -1.8% 59.0% 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 4.6% -1.6% -1.4% -2.3% -3.9% -3.92%
EPS 1.8% 1.5% 1.4% -3.9% -8.1% -62.7% -76.1% -1.2% -1.5% -96.4% -1.8% 59.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 4.7% -1.6% -1.5% -2.4% -4.1% -4.10%
FCF 14.9% 4.9% 8.5% 8.2% 12.4% 9.0% 12.7% 16.1% 9.7% 17.7% 9.8% -1.6% -8.1% -7.5% -19.4% -26.0% -24.2% -49.5% -45.4% -42.3% -42.34%
EBITDA 17.0% 25.6% 47.2% 18.5% 24.2% 4.2% 1.8% -26.4% -62.7% -66.4% -1.1% -58.7% 1.3% 3.1% 13.9% 1.8% -40.5% -57.0% -42.8% -9.8% -9.77%
Op. Income 17.0% 25.6% 38.5% 11.7% 17.4% -2.5% 8.7% 7.2% -30.5% -17.1% -75.2% -52.3% 54.2% 31.3% 3.2% 0.5% -83.4% -37.8% -35.4% 56.9% 56.86%
OCF Growth snapshot only -39.02%
Asset Growth snapshot only 1.80%
Equity Growth snapshot only -12.82%
Debt Growth snapshot only 21.47%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.95%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -3.76%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 14.5% 13.7% 15.3% 16.5% 19.9% 20.6% 20.5% 21.2% 17.1% 13.5% 1.5% 23.2% 38.7% 36.2% 36.5% 17.7% 10.1% 20.9% 28.4% 34.8% 34.77%
Revenue 5Y 61.2% 37.3% 26.7% 17.9% 15.4% 13.6% 5.7% 19.6% 30.1% 29.7% 31.1% 20.5% 14.2% 19.3% 24.1% 27.6% 27.57%
EPS 3Y 12.0% 13.7% 14.4% 9.2% 10.9% -17.8% -29.3% -67.7% -37.5% -76.0% -39.6% -37.9%
EPS 5Y 45.7% 7.3% -9.5% -54.4% -18.4% -54.1% -20.1% -2.0%
Net Income 3Y 14.0% 13.7% 15.2% 16.3% 17.6% -12.5% -24.9% -65.3% -32.9% -74.3% -36.4% -38.1%
Net Income 5Y 57.3% 13.0% -4.8% -52.4% -15.3% -52.3% -17.1% 1.7%
EBITDA 3Y 22.7% 17.4% 15.3% 11.7% 11.1% 1.7% 3.0% 1.7% -18.5% -23.9% -28.8% 2.3% 13.1% 8.9% -5.6% -19.9% -15.8% -10.1% 1.1% 1.07%
EBITDA 5Y 75.3% 43.8% 32.5% 15.2% -3.0% -10.7% -15.7% 3.4% 7.9% 6.8% 3.8% -5.7% -4.8% 1.7% -2.1% -2.07%
Gross Profit 3Y 4.6% 2.2% 1.9% 4.3% 8.5% 10.3% 10.2% 10.9% 8.9% 6.9% -2.6% 21.8% 39.6% 39.1% 42.1% 20.9% 10.9% 20.4% 28.1% 33.5% 33.51%
Gross Profit 5Y 50.5% 29.4% 19.2% 11.3% 9.2% 7.6% 0.8% 14.0% 23.6% 23.1% 24.6% 14.5% 9.3% 15.0% 20.4% 25.4% 25.40%
Op. Income 3Y 22.7% 17.4% 13.0% 9.6% 9.0% -0.5% 3.2% 13.0% -1.5% 0.5% -28.0% -17.0% 8.0% 2.0% 4.3% -19.9% -43.8% -12.2% -12.3% -9.1% -9.05%
Op. Income 5Y 73.3% 41.9% 32.6% 22.7% 8.6% 5.5% -17.2% -7.6% 6.8% 1.4% 2.8% -7.1% -24.6% -3.7% 0.3% -2.1% -2.06%
FCF 3Y 22.6% -8.1% 17.5% 14.8% 17.6% 14.4% 15.3% 16.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.3% 7.4% 4.3% 5.9% -0.1% -5.4% -8.6% -18.1% -21.5% -25.1% -25.11%
FCF 5Y 55.3% 25.0% 18.2% 17.8% -0.1% 15.0% 11.6% 10.4% 10.3% 6.3% 2.9% -0.3% -8.9% -10.0% -12.0% -11.99%
OCF 3Y 22.6% -8.1% 17.5% 14.8% 17.6% 14.6% 15.4% 17.0% 12.7% 10.7% 10.6% 8.0% 6.2% 7.8% 2.0% -3.7% -8.2% -17.6% -20.0% -22.6% -22.55%
OCF 5Y 55.3% 25.1% 18.4% 18.1% 0.1% 15.2% 12.0% 11.6% 11.5% 7.6% 4.0% -0.0% -8.5% -8.9% -10.0% -10.04%
Assets 3Y -12.4% -12.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 15.6% 15.6% 15.6% 15.6% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% -6.1% -6.1% -6.08%
Assets 5Y 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 5.42%
Equity 3Y -0.5% -0.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% -0.4% -0.4% -0.4% -0.4% -9.3% -9.3% -9.30%
Book Value 3Y -2.2% -0.5% 5.5% -0.2% 0.2% -0.2% 5.2% 5.1% 3.9% 4.0% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% -5.4% -0.1% 0.3% 1.3% -7.6% -7.3% -7.28%
Dividend 3Y -2.0% 1.1% 1.6% -1.4% 1.0% 1.6% 3.2% 1.5% -2.1% -4.2% -6.3% -7.0% -9.8% -12.7% -14.3% -13.3% -10.4% -6.7% -3.3% 0.9% 0.93%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.96 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.97 0.99 1.00 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.47 0.91 0.73 0.73 0.54 0.97 0.50 0.73 0.66 0.81 0.812
Earnings Stability 0.45 0.44 0.40 0.39 0.64 0.12 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.30 0.40 0.24 0.16 0.50 0.35 0.18 0.28 0.54 0.51 0.68 0.677
Margin Stability 0.88 0.86 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.94 0.97 0.969
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.99 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.04 0.14 0.14 0.82 0.88 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.97
ROE Trend 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.12 -0.15 -0.08 -0.08 -0.05 -0.00 -0.02 0.03 0.04 -0.01 -0.00 -0.04 -0.09 -0.093
Gross Margin Trend -0.25 -0.27 -0.30 -0.22 -0.13 -0.06 -0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.040
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.06 -0.10 -0.10 -0.09 -0.12 -0.06 -0.03 -0.04 0.04 0.36 -0.22 -0.43 -0.42 -0.67 -0.29 -0.13 -0.39 -0.57 -0.37 -0.367
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 1.3% -5.8% -6.7% -9.4% -6.1% -7.6% -4.9% -4.1%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.99 0.96 0.91 0.90 0.99 2.27 3.70 -6.62 -2.21 74.63 -5.00 -16.00 3.92 70.47 3.76 3.37 -4.73 -79.69 -1.52 -0.70 -0.704
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.99 0.98 0.94 0.90 0.896
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.631
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.328
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.64%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.341
Accruals Ratio 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.026
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.037
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.737
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 12.8% 13.3% 12.8% 11.6% 14.7% 16.2% 19.5% 23.6% 21.4% 21.1% 18.2% 23.4% 23.1% 14.9% 15.9% 12.9% 15.7% 15.0% 16.4% 22.0% 15.43%
Dividend/Share $1.75 $1.81 $1.75 $1.60 $1.76 $1.85 $1.98 $2.03 $2.03 $2.03 $2.02 $2.02 $1.84 $1.66 $1.49 $1.32 $1.34 $1.35 $1.35 $1.35 $1.00
Payout Ratio 80.8% 80.7% 75.8% 78.1% 88.2% 2.2% 3.6% 67.1% 3.5% 53.9% 2.9% 2.7%
FCF Payout Ratio 81.5% 84.1% 83.3% 87.3% 89.1% 97.6% 97.4% 94.6% 94.8% 90.7% 90.8% 96.1% 93.9% 80.8% 82.8% 83.8% 87.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.40%
Total Payout Ratio 82.2% 82.0% 77.0% 78.1% 1.0% 2.7% 4.5% 70.6% 3.5% 54.8% 2.9% 3.0%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.12 0.17 0.20 0.27 0.38 0.43 0.51 0.50 0.38 0.30 0.21 0.23 0.14 -0.03 -0.11 -0.23 -0.14 -0.08 0.02 0.18 0.182
Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 2.2% 3.6% 5.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 1.4% 5.2% 5.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.68%
Net Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.2% -14.6% -26.7% -35.5% -36.1% -22.6% -3.9% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 1.4% 5.2% 5.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.68%
Total Shareholder Return 13.1% 13.6% -1.8% -15.1% -20.8% -19.9% -3.1% 19.7% 23.3% 22.2% 18.5% 23.7% 23.4% 15.2% 15.9% 14.3% 20.9% 20.8% 24.5% 30.7% 30.68%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 0.99 1.00 0.98 1.01 1.00 1.01 1.04 1.02 1.05 0.92 0.23 0.94 0.97 0.967
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.61 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.51 0.33 0.17 -0.07 -0.21 0.01 -0.13 -0.05 0.15 0.01 0.10 0.14 -0.16 -0.03 -0.26 -0.49 -0.489
EBIT Margin 1.50 1.67 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.06 1.26 1.75 1.74 1.91 1.76 0.72 0.68 0.96 0.87 0.89 0.67 0.49 0.53 0.47 0.472
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.069
Equity Multiplier 4.62 4.62 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.95 4.95 4.95 4.95 5.16 5.16 5.16 5.16 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.09 5.09 5.090
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.17 $2.24 $2.31 $2.05 $1.99 $0.84 $0.55 $-0.33 $-0.98 $0.03 $-0.45 $-0.13 $0.53 $0.03 $0.51 $0.49 $-0.33 $-0.01 $-0.72 $-1.53 $-1.53
Book Value/Share $18.70 $18.66 $22.90 $19.62 $19.86 $19.62 $22.74 $22.74 $22.74 $22.74 $20.25 $20.25 $20.23 $20.23 $19.38 $19.56 $20.02 $20.42 $17.92 $18.13 $17.83
Tangible Book/Share $18.70 $18.66 $22.90 $19.62 $19.86 $19.62 $22.74 $22.74 $22.74 $22.74 $20.25 $20.25 $20.23 $20.23 $19.38 $19.56 $20.02 $20.42 $17.92 $18.13 $18.13
Revenue/Share $2.39 $2.49 $2.56 $2.28 $2.41 $2.42 $2.53 $2.61 $2.63 $2.60 $1.89 $3.53 $5.14 $5.08 $5.57 $3.75 $3.28 $4.51 $5.65 $6.83 $6.83
FCF/Share $2.15 $2.15 $2.10 $1.84 $1.97 $1.89 $2.03 $2.15 $2.14 $2.24 $2.22 $2.10 $1.96 $2.06 $1.79 $1.57 $1.54 $1.10 $1.04 $0.96 $0.96
OCF/Share $2.15 $2.15 $2.10 $1.84 $1.97 $1.90 $2.04 $2.17 $2.17 $2.26 $2.24 $2.14 $2.07 $2.18 $1.91 $1.66 $1.55 $1.12 $1.10 $1.07 $1.07
Cash/Share $1.98 $1.98 $4.57 $3.91 $3.96 $3.91 $3.47 $3.47 $3.47 $3.47 $1.96 $1.96 $1.96 $1.96 $1.51 $1.53 $1.56 $1.59 $1.29 $1.31 $2.09
EBITDA/Share $4.18 $4.27 $4.51 $4.01 $4.23 $3.59 $3.95 $2.97 $1.57 $1.21 $-0.39 $1.22 $3.60 $4.99 $4.99 $3.41 $2.22 $2.26 $3.03 $3.27 $3.27
Debt/Share $69.39 $69.26 $89.06 $76.29 $77.24 $76.32 $89.20 $89.22 $89.19 $89.18 $87.34 $87.34 $87.29 $87.27 $55.68 $56.19 $57.51 $58.65 $71.72 $72.57 $72.57
Net Debt/Share $67.41 $67.28 $84.49 $72.38 $73.28 $72.40 $85.73 $85.75 $85.72 $85.71 $85.38 $85.38 $85.33 $85.32 $54.17 $54.66 $55.94 $57.06 $70.43 $71.26 $71.26
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.067
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.197
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 6 7 6 7 5 6 4 5 2 4 5 5 6 7 3 4 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.37 -2.37 -1.41 -1.73 -1.73 -1.79 18.64 18.62 18.47 18.13 18.21 -0.85 -0.85 -2.37 21.20 -1.54 -2.94 -1.29 -1.29 -0.90 -0.896
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.805
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-79.32
EVA snapshot only $-410827370.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 40.87 45.34 45.49 47.14 43.39 41.41 29.44 37.12 30.47 31.37 44.66 31.16 31.94 32.21 21.05 21.42 21.76 22.37 18.24 19.09 19.085
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -2.338
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 42
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 5

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