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Also trades as: 0HVP.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

LUMN NYSE

Lumen Technologies, Inc.
1W: -8.7% 1M: +1.9% 3M: +20.6% YTD: +22.8% 1Y: +136.6% 3Y: +273.1% 5Y: -25.9%
$9.41
-0.03 (-0.32%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±11.5%
$8 $9 $10 $11 $12
NYSE · Communication Services · Telecommunications Services · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 63 · $9.7B mcap · 947M float · 1.65% daily turnover · Short 51% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
40.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -4.6%  ·  5Y Avg: -7.6%
Cost Advantage
42
Intangibles
51
Switching Cost
41
Network Effect
28
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. LUMN shows a Weak competitive edge (40.9/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -4.6% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$8
Low
$8
Avg Target
$8
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 5, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 17Sell: 7Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$8.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-06 UBS $6 $8 +2 -13.4% $9.23
2026-02-05 UBS Initiated $6 -9.5% $6.63
2026-02-04 Goldman Sachs $4 $7 +3 -14.3% $8.46
2025-11-25 RBC Capital $10 $8 -2 +1.2% $7.91
2025-09-02 Goldman Sachs $4 $4 +0 -14.4% $4.79
2024-08-16 Wells Fargo Eric Luebchow Initiated $4 -29.9% $5.71
2024-08-07 Williams Trading Gregory Williams $12 $7 -5 +5.6% $6.63
2024-08-06 Goldman Sachs James Schneider $1 $4 +3 -39.7% $6.63
2024-08-06 Citigroup Michael Rollins $4 $3 -0 +21.6% $2.59
2024-07-01 Goldman Sachs James Schneider $4 $1 -3 -9.1% $1.10
2023-02-08 Goldman Sachs $6 $4 -2 +3.0% $3.88
2023-02-08 Citigroup $6 $4 -3 -29.9% $4.99
2023-02-01 Citigroup Initiated $6 +15.4% $5.42
2022-12-05 Goldman Sachs Brett Feldman Initiated $6 +15.4% $5.20
2022-05-05 Williams Trading Gregory Williams Initiated $12 +12.2% $10.70
2022-02-15 RBC Capital Jonathan Atkin Initiated $10 +1.4% $9.86

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. LUMN receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-18 C- C
2026-05-05 C C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

11 Grade D
Profitability
15
Balance Sheet
18
Earnings Quality
32
Growth
27
Value
32
Momentum
31
Safety
0
Cash Flow
17
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. LUMN scores highest in Earnings Quality (32/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.32
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.80
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.28
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 17.9/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -2.86x
Accruals: -19.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. LUMN scores -0.32, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. LUMN scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. LUMN's score of -3.80 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. LUMN's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. LUMN receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 17.9/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-5.41x
PEG
0.03x
P/S
0.80x
P/B
0.81x
P/FCF
15.53x
P/OCF
1.40x
EV/EBITDA
15.08x
EV/Revenue
1.95x
EV/EBIT
-20.89x
EV/FCF
52.90x
Earnings Yield
-25.03%
FCF Yield
6.44%
Shareholder Yield
0.01%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. LUMN currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.758
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
2.027
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.093
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.357
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-103.887
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
532.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. LUMN's ROE of 532.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.357), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$9.40
Median 1Y
$7.29
5th Pctile
$2.15
95th Pctile
$24.94
Ann. Volatility
72.1%
Analyst Target
$8.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Kate Johnson
President and CEO
$1,354,493 $18,590,663 $24,936,641
Chris D. Stansbury
EVP and CFO
$850,000 $10,198,792 $13,082,720
David Ward EVP,
er EVP, Chief Technology & Product Officer
$770,959 $4,098,262 $6,247,310
Mark Hacker EVP,
Chief Legal Officer & Public Sector Former Executive Officers
$486,164 $2,641,607 $4,338,060
Ashley Haynes-Gaspar EVP,
er EVP, Chief Revenue Officer
$645,962 $2,791,565 $4,250,949

CEO Pay Ratio

187:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $24,936,641
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $133,292
Employees: 24,000

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
24,000
-4.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$516,750
Rev: $12,402,000,000
Profit / Employee
$-72,458
NI: $-1,739,000,000
SGA / Employee
$133,292
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -7.6% -6.2% 17.7% 18.8% 17.3% 17.6% -13.9% -14.7% -96.5% -1.0% -1.9% -2.0% -38.3% -39.6% -12.5% -71.1% -2.7% -3.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.32%
ROA -1.5% -1.2% 3.5% 3.7% 3.4% 3.5% -3.0% -3.2% -20.7% -22.0% -25.9% -27.0% -5.2% -5.4% -0.2% -0.9% -3.5% -4.9% -5.1% -5.1% -5.12%
ROIC 1.9% 2.3% 7.6% 7.7% 7.6% 6.5% -1.3% -3.0% -26.7% -28.2% -31.1% -32.5% 2.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% -1.0% -2.0% -4.1% -4.6% -4.63%
ROCE 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 8.8% -13.8% -16.5% -29.8% -31.6% -3.0% -3.1% 3.8% 2.9% -1.0% -3.2% -4.8% -3.8% -3.78%
Gross Margin 35.2% 35.8% 57.0% 57.5% 36.6% 35.3% 51.9% 51.4% 52.5% 49.2% 29.3% 49.8% 26.7% 47.5% 48.8% 47.0% 47.5% 44.9% 46.5% 50.5% 50.50%
Operating Margin 20.4% 23.1% 24.0% 23.2% 19.8% 18.0% -86.4% 10.4% -2.3% 6.1% 3.8% 1.4% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 3.4% -19.5% -3.8% -6.6% 0.2% 0.21%
Net Margin 10.3% 11.1% 10.5% 12.8% 7.5% 13.2% -80.8% 13.7% -2.4% -2.1% -56.7% 1.7% -1.5% -4.6% 2.6% -6.3% -29.6% -20.1% -0.1% -6.9% -6.90%
EBITDA Margin 44.0% 43.2% 35.8% 43.4% 37.0% 49.9% 34.8% 45.3% -2.1% 26.5% -31.3% 34.7% 32.9% 27.5% 29.9% 25.6% -4.0% 5.8% 14.6% 36.8% 36.77%
FCF Margin 17.4% 18.9% 18.3% 18.6% 17.0% 13.3% 9.8% 5.3% -4.2% -6.0% -6.5% -3.6% 1.1% 9.7% 8.4% 7.8% 7.3% 9.7% 3.0% 3.7% 3.69%
OCF Margin 32.8% 32.9% 33.0% 32.8% 32.1% 29.7% 27.1% 23.9% 15.8% 14.9% 14.8% 18.9% 23.9% 33.3% 33.1% 33.3% 34.2% 38.3% 38.2% 41.0% 40.98%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.53%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -10.56%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -4.41%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.46%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 31.86%
CROIC snapshot only 2.87%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -5.95%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -18.93%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 27.38%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.31%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -14.17 -15.91 5.85 5.07 5.43 3.65 -3.36 -1.59 -0.21 -0.12 -0.17 -0.14 -0.53 -3.29 -95.36 -12.41 -3.68 -3.69 -4.45 -3.99 -5.408
P/S Ratio 0.66 0.61 0.60 0.57 0.57 0.40 0.30 0.16 0.14 0.09 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.53 0.40 0.30 0.34 0.48 0.62 0.57 0.800
P/B Ratio 1.20 1.09 1.01 0.92 0.92 0.63 0.50 0.25 0.21 0.13 4.32 3.69 2.60 16.84 11.30 8.37 9.36 13.14 -6.93 -6.22 0.808
P/FCF 3.78 3.23 3.31 3.05 3.35 3.00 3.02 2.97 -3.39 -1.56 -1.92 -3.04 7.34 5.43 4.76 3.82 4.63 4.97 20.87 15.53 15.531
P/OCF 2.01 1.85 1.83 1.72 1.77 1.35 1.10 0.66 0.90 0.63 0.83 0.58 0.33 1.59 1.21 0.90 0.99 1.25 1.63 1.40 1.398
EV/EBITDA 5.33 5.21 5.18 5.19 5.50 4.99 3.58 3.38 -9.40 -6.03 -3.42 -3.10 9.69 13.03 5.48 5.60 8.38 12.49 18.56 15.08 15.081
EV/Revenue 2.30 2.27 2.17 2.16 2.19 2.06 1.48 1.41 1.47 1.49 1.43 1.46 1.47 1.96 1.71 1.62 1.68 1.84 1.97 1.95 1.951
EV/EBIT 11.96 11.08 10.77 10.20 10.82 9.38 6.93 6.53 -4.09 -3.31 -2.30 -2.14 -21.97 -27.51 19.68 24.81 -73.87 -24.17 -17.07 -20.89 -20.889
EV/FCF 13.18 12.05 11.86 11.63 12.89 15.48 15.10 26.66 -35.08 -24.75 -22.19 -40.71 136.13 20.19 20.39 20.76 23.00 19.02 65.89 52.90 52.900
Earnings Yield -7.1% -6.3% 17.1% 19.7% 18.4% 27.4% -29.8% -62.8% -4.8% -8.1% -5.7% -7.0% -1.9% -30.4% -1.0% -8.1% -27.2% -27.1% -22.5% -25.0% -25.03%
FCF Yield 26.5% 31.0% 30.3% 32.8% 29.8% 33.4% 33.1% 33.7% -29.5% -64.1% -52.2% -32.9% 13.6% 18.4% 21.0% 26.2% 21.6% 20.1% 4.8% 6.4% 6.44%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.027
EV/OCF snapshot only 4.762
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.125
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.01%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.44 0.44 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.80 1.80 1.802
Quick Ratio 0.42 0.42 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.80 1.80 1.802
Debt/Equity 3.01 3.01 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 51.07 51.07 51.07 51.07 41.20 41.20 41.20 41.20 -15.85 -15.85 -15.852
Net Debt/Equity 2.98 2.98 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 45.71 45.71 45.71 45.71 37.13 37.13 37.13 37.13
Debt/Assets 0.57 0.57 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.52 0.52 0.516
Debt/EBITDA 3.85 3.86 3.78 3.88 4.11 4.07 3.04 3.18 -9.00 -5.99 -3.49 -3.20 10.24 10.64 4.67 5.07 7.43 10.23 13.44 11.29 11.293
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.80 3.82 3.73 3.83 4.07 4.02 2.86 3.00 -8.49 -5.65 -3.13 -2.87 9.16 9.53 4.20 4.57 6.69 9.22 12.68 10.65 10.653
Interest Coverage 2.47 2.65 2.61 2.76 2.68 2.86 2.81 2.84 -4.61 -5.84 -7.84 -8.24 -0.73 -0.73 0.83 0.60 -0.21 -0.71 -1.12 -0.97 -0.974
Equity Multiplier 5.32 5.32 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.40 4.40 4.40 4.40 81.58 81.58 81.58 81.58 72.19 72.19 72.19 72.19 -30.74 -30.74 -30.745
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.228
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.349
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.057
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.025
Defensive Interval snapshot only 127.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.33 0.32 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.357
Inventory Turnover 116.47 113.20 116.83 103.51 100.84 97.88 57.69 56.68 49.55 43.57 35.48 34.74 37.69 36.98 41.95 42.15 37.80 37.84 90.93 87.48 87.479
Receivables Turnover 9.60 9.47 11.19 10.99 10.81 10.53 11.55 10.93 10.30 9.81 10.70 10.37 10.08 9.77 10.57 10.48 10.34 10.23 9.86 9.64 9.637
Payables Turnover 11.87 11.54 15.02 13.31 12.97 12.59 10.63 10.44 9.13 8.03 7.25 7.10 7.70 7.56 7.91 7.95 7.13 7.13 5.88 5.66 5.659
DSO 38 39 33 33 34 35 32 33 35 37 34 35 36 37 35 35 35 36 37 38 37.9 days
DIO 3 3 3 4 4 4 6 6 7 8 10 11 10 10 9 9 10 10 4 4 4.2 days
DPO 31 32 24 27 28 29 34 35 40 45 50 51 47 48 46 46 51 51 62 65 64.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 10 10 11 9 9 9 4 5 3 0 -6 -6 -1 -1 -3 -2 -6 -6 -21 -22 -22.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.619
Operating Cycle snapshot only 42.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 12.083
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.834
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -6.3% -5.6% -4.9% -5.7% -6.0% -7.2% -11.2% -14.5% -18.0% -19.9% -16.7% -14.7% -12.0% -10.4% -10.0% -7.9% -6.5% -4.6% -5.4% -6.8% -6.78%
Net Income -1.8% -1.6% 2.7% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% -1.8% -1.8% -6.4% -6.6% -5.7% -5.6% 80.7% 81.2% 99.5% 97.1% 42.9% 22.6% -30.6% -4.6% -4.55%
EPS -1.8% -1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% -1.8% -1.8% -6.6% -6.8% -5.7% -5.5% 80.8% 81.3% 99.5% 97.1% 43.1% 23.2% -30.3% -4.5% -4.51%
FCF 19.1% 32.6% 28.8% 9.5% -8.5% -34.4% -52.3% -75.6% -1.2% -1.4% -1.5% -1.6% 1.2% 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 5.3% -5.1% -66.3% -56.0% -56.05%
EBITDA 5.1% 4.5% -2.5% -7.2% -13.3% -12.0% -12.2% -14.1% -1.3% -1.5% -1.8% -2.0% 1.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 23.8% -6.6% -67.9% -58.4% -58.43%
Op. Income -70.9% -63.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 2.0% -1.1% -1.3% -3.5% -3.8% -14.4% -5.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% -1.4% -2.1% -2.8% -2.8% -2.77%
OCF Growth snapshot only 14.79%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.53%
Equity Growth snapshot only -3.41%
Debt Growth snapshot only -7.38%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.77%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -75.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -1.5% -4.6% -5.7% -5.8% -5.9% -6.4% -7.9% -9.0% -10.3% -11.1% -11.1% -11.7% -12.2% -12.7% -12.7% -12.4% -12.3% -11.8% -10.8% -9.8% -9.85%
Revenue 5Y 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% -0.2% -3.1% -6.0% -8.4% -9.1% -9.4% -9.7% -10.1% -10.2% -10.0% -9.9% -9.7% -9.7% -10.0% -9.99%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y 11.6% 15.8% 23.3% 28.1%
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y 26.6% 31.3% 39.8% 45.2%
EBITDA 3Y 6.3% 2.7% 12.9% 51.5% -6.5% -38.0% -38.7% -20.8% -22.3% -30.2% -37.5% -43.4% -39.0% -39.01%
EBITDA 5Y 5.1% 5.4% 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 6.6% 4.0% 1.2% 14.5% -14.9% -20.9% -25.8% -31.1% -29.0% -28.96%
Gross Profit 3Y -10.7% -13.0% -14.2% -10.8% -10.8% -11.2% -13.8% -16.4% -15.1% -10.7% -14.2% -11.6% -12.7% -14.4% -10.7% -14.8% -11.7% -11.7% -10.0% -7.0% -7.02%
Gross Profit 5Y -4.5% -4.0% -3.9% -1.3% -0.8% -0.7% -3.5% -7.0% -8.1% -9.1% -11.9% -12.7% -15.7% -16.4% -14.4% -14.7% -12.6% -11.0% -11.4% -9.1% -9.11%
Op. Income 3Y -24.9% -23.5% 95.9% -20.9% -30.9% -52.6% -50.9%
Op. Income 5Y -17.2% -13.3% 12.9% 14.1% 16.6% 16.0% -32.7%
FCF 3Y 15.2% 5.5% -2.3% 3.4% -1.1% -7.9% -17.4% -34.6% -65.3% -30.0% -32.6% -34.3% -33.8% -20.8% -40.0% -20.1% -20.09%
FCF 5Y 8.0% 15.1% 17.2% 26.9% 50.3% 39.8% 17.4% -8.4% -46.4% -16.4% -18.4% -20.1% -20.6% -15.5% -33.2% -32.9% -32.87%
OCF 3Y 7.2% 1.9% -2.6% -1.0% -2.9% -6.7% -10.8% -16.5% -28.9% -31.0% -30.8% -26.6% -21.0% -12.3% -12.6% -12.0% -10.5% -4.0% 0.0% 7.9% 7.88%
OCF 5Y 4.7% 6.9% 7.1% 8.4% 10.3% 7.7% 4.1% -2.5% -14.5% -18.6% -21.0% -16.4% -13.2% -8.1% -8.3% -8.6% -8.5% -6.3% -6.2% -6.0% -5.95%
Assets 3Y -7.7% -7.7% -6.2% -6.2% -6.2% -6.2% -11.0% -11.0% -11.0% -11.0% -17.0% -17.0% -17.0% -17.0% -16.7% -16.7% -16.7% -16.7% -9.0% -9.0% -9.03%
Assets 5Y 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% -9.6% -9.6% -9.6% -9.6% -13.5% -13.5% -13.5% -13.5% -12.3% -12.3% -12.3% -12.3% -10.4% -10.4% -10.38%
Equity 3Y -21.9% -21.9% -15.8% -15.8% -15.8% -15.8% -8.3% -8.3% -8.3% -8.3% -66.6% -66.6% -66.6% -66.6% -66.0% -66.0% -66.0% -66.0%
Book Value 3Y -22.5% -21.8% -14.4% -14.3% -14.3% -14.2% -5.9% -5.3% -5.4% -5.3% -65.5% -65.4% -65.4% -65.7% -65.7% -65.8% -65.7% -65.8%
Dividend 3Y -0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 0.2% -0.4% -0.4% -8.1% -18.8% -34.7% -78.0% -75.1% -76.6% -72.4% -24.4% -17.5% -11.9% -14.9% -8.5% -37.4% -37.36%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.32 0.13 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.01 0.28 0.69 0.90 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.971
Earnings Stability 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.04 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.11 0.13 0.05 0.06 0.058
Margin Stability 0.86 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.86 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.87 0.90 0.89 0.91 0.86 0.85 0.88 0.89 0.87 0.89 0.94 0.96 0.957
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend 0.07 0.08 0.42 0.19 0.17 0.16 -0.18 -0.20 -1.08 -1.15 -24.71 -25.80 -4.52 -4.66 12.30 12.30 0.45 -0.45
Gross Margin Trend -0.16 -0.12 -0.13 -0.04 -0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.03 0.04 0.08 0.03 0.01 -0.08 -0.11 -0.02 -0.02 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.035
FCF Margin Trend 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.12 -0.21 -0.22 -0.21 -0.16 -0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.02 0.02 0.016
Sustainable Growth Rate 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 8.7%
Internal Growth Rate 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 1.7%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -7.05 -8.61 3.20 2.94 3.06 2.71 -3.06 -2.42 -0.23 -0.19 -0.21 -0.25 -1.59 -2.07 -78.78 -13.82 -3.72 -2.94 -2.72 -2.86 -2.857
FCF/OCF 0.53 0.57 0.55 0.57 0.53 0.45 0.36 0.22 -0.27 -0.40 -0.44 -0.19 0.05 0.29 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.25 0.08 0.09 0.090
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.257
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 3.167
CapEx/Revenue 15.4% 14.1% 14.7% 14.3% 15.1% 16.4% 17.3% 18.6% 20.0% 21.0% 21.3% 22.5% 22.8% 23.6% 24.6% 25.5% 26.9% 28.7% 35.2% 37.3% 37.29%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.674
Accruals Ratio -0.12 -0.12 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.12 -0.11 -0.25 -0.26 -0.31 -0.34 -0.13 -0.16 -0.13 -0.14 -0.16 -0.19 -0.19 -0.20 -0.198
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.002
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.099
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 8.4% 9.1% 9.1% 9.7% 9.6% 14.0% 15.0% 19.9% 11.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $1.02 $1.03 $1.07 $1.05 $1.03 $1.02 $0.78 $0.53 $0.27 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 53.5% 49.3% 52.3% 50.9%
FCF Payout Ratio 31.6% 29.4% 30.2% 29.6% 32.3% 41.8% 45.4% 59.0% 3.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.22%
Total Payout Ratio 1.0% 95.7% 1.0% 55.4%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.07 -0.13 -0.32 -0.63 -0.98 -0.98 -0.98 -0.98 -0.60 -0.45 -0.33 -0.40 -0.25 -0.75 -0.750
Buyback Yield 0.0% 7.5% 8.4% 9.1% 9.2% 1.2% 3.8% 7.7% 9.0% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 7.5% 8.4% 9.1% 9.2% 1.2% 3.8% 7.7% 9.0% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 8.4% 16.6% 17.5% 18.9% 18.9% 15.2% 18.9% 27.5% 20.9% 15.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 2.23 4.11 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.71 1.56 1.47 1.04 1.01 1.01 0.99 0.95 0.95 0.24 0.54 0.70 0.71 0.64 0.76 0.758
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.11 -0.05 0.68 0.70 0.69 0.70 -0.26 -0.31 1.83 1.68 1.13 1.12 2.36 2.38 -0.20 -0.68 5.77 2.41 1.90 2.03 2.027
EBIT Margin 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.21 0.22 -0.36 -0.45 -0.62 -0.68 -0.07 -0.07 0.09 0.07 -0.02 -0.08 -0.12 -0.09 -0.093
Asset Turnover 0.33 0.32 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.357
Equity Multiplier 5.04 5.04 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 4.66 4.66 4.66 4.66 7.38 7.38 7.38 7.38 76.63 76.63 76.63 76.63 -103.89 -103.89 -103.887
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.86 $-0.71 $2.00 $2.12 $1.96 $2.00 $-1.55 $-1.67 $-10.90 $-11.56 $-10.47 $-10.90 $-2.09 $-2.16 $-0.06 $-0.32 $-1.19 $-1.66 $-1.75 $-1.74 $-1.74
Book Value/Share $10.21 $10.44 $11.66 $11.66 $11.65 $11.64 $10.42 $10.56 $10.55 $10.55 $0.42 $0.42 $0.42 $0.42 $0.47 $0.47 $0.47 $0.47 $-1.12 $-1.12 $11.65
Tangible Book/Share $-14.57 $-14.90 $-10.95 $-10.95 $-10.93 $-10.93 $-8.49 $-8.60 $-8.59 $-8.59 $-7.13 $-7.11 $-7.11 $-7.10 $-6.38 $-6.36 $-6.36 $-6.33 $-12.48 $-12.45 $-12.45
Revenue/Share $18.52 $18.67 $19.39 $19.04 $18.71 $18.22 $17.56 $16.84 $15.85 $15.09 $14.80 $14.31 $13.89 $13.45 $13.27 $13.11 $12.94 $12.74 $12.45 $12.13 $12.13
FCF/Share $3.23 $3.52 $3.55 $3.54 $3.18 $2.43 $1.73 $0.89 $-0.67 $-0.91 $-0.96 $-0.51 $0.15 $1.31 $1.12 $1.03 $0.95 $1.23 $0.37 $0.45 $0.45
OCF/Share $6.07 $6.15 $6.40 $6.26 $6.01 $5.41 $4.76 $4.03 $2.50 $2.25 $2.20 $2.70 $3.32 $4.48 $4.39 $4.36 $4.42 $4.88 $4.76 $4.97 $4.97
Cash/Share $0.37 $0.38 $0.35 $0.35 $0.35 $0.35 $1.26 $1.27 $1.27 $1.27 $2.27 $2.27 $2.26 $2.26 $1.91 $1.91 $1.91 $1.90 $1.01 $1.00 $1.63
EBITDA/Share $8.00 $8.14 $8.13 $7.92 $7.46 $7.53 $7.28 $7.04 $-2.49 $-3.73 $-6.19 $-6.74 $2.11 $2.02 $4.15 $3.81 $2.60 $1.88 $1.32 $1.57 $1.57
Debt/Share $30.75 $31.45 $30.70 $30.71 $30.66 $30.65 $22.10 $22.40 $22.37 $22.37 $21.65 $21.59 $21.57 $21.54 $19.36 $19.29 $19.29 $19.19 $17.77 $17.73 $17.73
Net Debt/Share $30.37 $31.06 $30.35 $30.36 $30.32 $30.30 $20.85 $21.13 $21.10 $21.10 $19.38 $19.33 $19.31 $19.28 $17.44 $17.38 $17.38 $17.30 $16.76 $16.72 $16.72
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -0.319
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.214
Piotroski F-Score 2 4 7 7 7 6 3 3 4 4 4 3 5 5 4 3 4 3 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.89 -3.24 -3.12 -3.25 -3.04 -3.00 -3.18 -3.17 -4.19 -4.23 -4.08 -4.55 -2.91 -3.56 -3.23 -3.03 -3.46 -3.36 -3.73 -3.80 -3.797
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.281
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-27.58
EVA snapshot only $-2279970000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 25.48 27.45 37.45 38.13 38.12 37.88 35.64 34.66 21.97 22.10 19.81 19.41 11.52 12.42 18.51 17.43 12.66 12.76 18.12 17.90 17.897
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.466
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 7
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 10

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