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Not Investment Advice

MBI NYSE

MBIA Inc.
1W: +4.5% 1M: +4.7% 3M: +1.4% YTD: -9.0% 1Y: +39.1% 3Y: +83.7% 5Y: +60.3%
$6.12
-0.18 (-2.86%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.2%
$5 $5 $6 $6 $7
NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 62 · $311.7M mcap · 45M float · 0.760% daily turnover · Short 57% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
37.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 25.0%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
66
Switching Cost
30
Network Effect
14
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MBI has No discernible competitive edge (37.1/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 25.0% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-11-28 Compass Point Initiated $14 +16.7% $12.00

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MBI receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-18 C C+
2026-05-08 C+ C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

42 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
34
Earnings Quality
38
Growth
88
Value
23
Momentum
80
Safety
0
Cash Flow
63
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MBI scores highest in Growth (88/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score
-18.80
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.66
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
0.41
Bankruptcy prob: 60.2%
High Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 18.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.31x
Accruals: -9.7%
The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. MBI scores -18.80, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MBI scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MBI's score of -3.66 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MBI's implied 60.2% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MBI receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 18.8/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.00x
PEG
-0.02x
P/S
3.53x
P/B
-0.14x
P/FCF
6.13x
P/OCF
6.13x
EV/EBITDA
59.60x
EV/Revenue
22.51x
EV/EBIT
59.60x
EV/FCF
42.21x
Earnings Yield
-52.67%
FCF Yield
16.31%
Shareholder Yield
0.34%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. MBI currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.969
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-4.706
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.378
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.043
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-0.966
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MBI's ROE of 7.2% is driven by EBIT Margin (0.378) as the dominant factor. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$6.14
Median 1Y
$5.42
5th Pctile
$1.99
95th Pctile
$14.91
Ann. Volatility
59.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
57
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,403,509
Rev: $80,000,000
Profit / Employee
$-3,105,263
NI: $-177,000,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -63.6% -77.1% 5.0% 4.7% 4.4% 3.4% 32.6% 34.8% 41.3% 66.6% 37.8% 37.8% 52.0% 41.8% 23.8% 22.5% 11.9% 9.3% 8.2% 7.2% 7.17%
ROA -4.7% -5.7% -8.5% -7.9% -7.4% -5.7% -4.8% -5.2% -6.1% -9.9% -16.1% -16.1% -22.1% -17.8% -18.6% -17.6% -9.3% -7.3% -8.5% -7.4% -7.41%
ROIC -24.4% -29.5% -1.7% -1.6% -1.5% -1.1% 11.7% 12.5% 15.8% 27.6% -27.3% -27.6% -37.4% -29.9% 94.4% 89.1% 46.9% 37.5% 28.3% 25.0% 25.03%
ROCE -1.8% -3.1% -5.6% -5.1% -4.6% -2.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% -4.9% -12.8% -12.9% -21.1% -14.8% -13.1% -12.0% -3.1% -1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.85%
Gross Margin -2.0% -1.2% -3.4% -27.5% 41.7% 1.6% 1.3% -3.0% -3.6% -14.5% 1.7% -46.2% 4.9% 58.6% 62.2% 35.7% 60.9% 4.3% -2.5% 1.1% 1.12%
Operating Margin -15.2% -2.2% -5.7% -1.8% -1.0% -2.1% -7.0% -41.5% -2.8% -23.1% 4.5% -6.7% 6.8% -1.8% -1.4% -4.4% -2.4% -46.7% -2.0% -1.7% -1.71%
Net Margin -15.2% -2.2% -5.7% -1.8% -1.0% -2.0% -91.2% -43.0% -2.7% -23.1% 4.3% -6.6% 6.9% -1.9% -1.3% -4.4% -2.4% -53.3% -1.8% -1.7% -1.67%
EBITDA Margin -4.0% -1.4% -4.2% -80.0% 19.4% 64.7% 80.7% -16.0% -89.3% -16.5% 2.7% -2.7% 5.4% 6.9% -1.4% -85.7% -30.4% 2.9% -28.6% 25.0% 25.00%
FCF Margin 97.6% 1.5% 3.2% 2.0% 1.2% 2.4% -2.8% -6.5% -7.0% -7.9% -27.9% -10.5% 3.3% 7.0% -4.2% -4.4% -1.7% 57.3% 47.5% 53.3% 53.33%
OCF Margin 97.6% 1.5% 3.2% 2.0% 1.2% 2.4% -2.8% -6.5% -7.0% -7.9% -27.9% -10.5% 3.3% 7.0% -4.2% -4.4% -1.7% 57.3% 47.5% 53.3% 53.33%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -15.18%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -20.92%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.38%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -1.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.78%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -0.78 -0.75 -0.77 -0.81 -0.69 -0.67 -1.43 -0.97 -0.75 -0.37 -0.65 -0.66 -0.40 -0.32 -0.69 -0.57 -0.97 -2.12 -1.99 -1.90 -2.001
P/S Ratio 0.95 1.18 2.15 2.62 1.69 1.67 1.87 1.80 1.78 1.56 44.47 17.58 -5.55 -6.55 7.34 5.60 2.09 4.15 4.41 3.27 3.526
P/B Ratio 1.75 2.04 -1.09 -1.06 -0.86 -0.64 -0.32 -0.23 -0.21 -0.17 -0.19 -0.19 -0.16 -0.10 -0.15 -0.12 -0.10 -0.18 -0.16 -0.13 -0.136
P/FCF 0.97 0.78 0.67 1.31 1.36 0.69 -0.67 -0.28 -0.25 -0.20 -1.60 -1.67 -1.66 -0.94 -1.75 -1.27 -1.21 7.25 9.29 6.13 6.131
P/OCF 0.97 0.78 0.67 1.31 1.36 0.68 7.25 9.29 6.13 6.131
EV/EBITDA -10.62 -6.30 -3.27 -3.56 -3.64 -5.63 35.99 33.56 -7.13 -12.33 -12.22 -7.35 -10.18 -7.17 -7.54 -28.88 -80.37 130.30 59.60 59.597
EV/Revenue 4.37 4.83 5.43 6.72 4.97 6.01 7.68 9.59 10.16 10.74 481.04 187.36 -70.57 -124.08 48.30 45.60 18.79 23.48 26.06 22.51 22.514
EV/EBIT -10.62 -6.30 -3.27 -3.56 -3.64 -5.63 35.99 33.56 -7.13 -12.33 -12.22 -7.35 -10.18 -7.17 -7.54 -28.88 -80.37 130.30 59.60 59.597
EV/FCF 4.48 3.18 1.69 3.36 4.01 2.48 -2.76 -1.48 -1.45 -1.36 -17.27 -17.84 -21.13 -17.82 -11.53 -10.37 -10.87 40.97 54.86 42.21 42.214
Earnings Yield -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.2% -1.4% -1.5% -69.7% -1.0% -1.3% -2.7% -1.5% -1.5% -2.5% -3.1% -1.4% -1.7% -1.0% -47.1% -50.2% -52.7% -52.67%
FCF Yield 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 76.3% 73.4% 1.5% -1.5% -3.6% -3.9% -5.1% -62.6% -59.7% -60.2% -1.1% -57.1% -78.5% -82.8% 13.8% 10.8% 16.3% 16.31%
EV/OCF snapshot only 42.214
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 59.597
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.34%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 383.25 383.25 1388.33 1388.33 1388.33 1388.33 5.82 5.82 5.82 5.82 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 7.16 7.16 7.163
Quick Ratio 383.25 383.25 2057.67 2057.67 2057.67 2057.67 7.47 7.47 7.47 7.47 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 7.16 7.16 7.163
Debt/Equity 26.19 26.19 -10.26 -10.26 -10.26 -10.26 -3.52 -3.52 -3.52 -3.52 -1.91 -1.91 -1.91 -1.91 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 -1.27 -1.27 -1.271
Net Debt/Equity 6.29 6.29
Debt/Assets 0.62 0.62 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.41 1.41 1.412
Debt/EBITDA -34.58 -19.79 -12.17 -13.38 -14.80 -25.09 96.97 96.97 -21.70 -11.59 -11.46 -7.01 -9.98 -11.39 -12.40 -48.12 -124.00 177.69 83.62 83.618
Net Debt/EBITDA -8.31 -4.76 -1.97 -2.17 -2.40 -4.07 27.25 27.25 -6.10 -11.19 -11.07 -6.78 -9.64 -6.08 -6.62 -25.67 -66.15 108.25 50.94 50.941
Interest Coverage -0.51 -0.94 -1.46 -1.40 -1.28 -0.75 0.18 0.17 0.00 -0.69 -1.29 -1.30 -2.13 -1.50 -1.36 -1.26 -0.33 -0.13 0.05 0.12 0.115
Equity Multiplier 42.29 42.29 -15.00 -15.00 -15.00 -15.00 -3.83 -3.83 -3.83 -3.83 -1.57 -1.57 -1.57 -1.57 -1.04 -1.04 -1.04 -1.04 -0.90 -0.90 -0.900
Cash Ratio snapshot only 6.459
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.115
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.391
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.017
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2317.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.043
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover (trade) 0.13 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.17 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.02 0.06 -0.15 -0.08 0.13 0.13 0.32 0.28 0.36 0.41 0.410
Payables Turnover 0.28 0.36 0.21 0.18 0.19 0.11 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.16 1.21 1.28 2.03 1.29 75.20 71.20 17.60 -6.80
DSO (trade) 2800 2979 3865 4838 3865 5121 2155 2886 3108 3402 16321 6347 -2431 -4394 2811 2746 1146 1327 1001 890 890.2 days
DIO -1668 -1303 -1029 -1194 -1160 -2025 -10807 -165710 -45194 -3428 -2751 -2594 -1631 -2567 -1968 -2078 -8407 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 1289 1007 1726 2002 1945 3395 7026 107736 29382 2229 303 286 180 283 5 5 21 0 0
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) -156 669 1109 1643 760 -299 -15679 -270560 -71468 -2255 13267 3468 839 663 -7282 1001 890
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.081
Capital Intensity snapshot only 22.367
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -19.1% 13.5% -43.6% -64.7% -36.4% -48.9% -5.7% -11.8% -34.6% -20.8% -95.3% -83.9% -1.5% -1.3% 5.0% 1.4% 3.2% 4.4% 90.5% 1.1% 1.09%
Net Income 48.9% 49.9% 23.0% -17.4% -26.5% 19.7% 56.2% 49.5% 36.2% -33.6% -1.5% -1.3% -1.7% -33.4% 7.3% 12.3% 66.4% 67.2% 60.2% 63.2% 63.18%
EPS 35.4% 46.8% 23.6% -16.5% -25.6% 20.2% 56.4% 49.8% 35.2% -41.7% -1.4% -1.5% -1.8% -31.6% 1.2% 15.1% 67.8% 68.5% 61.5% 64.2% 64.25%
FCF 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 14.9% -19.3% -18.5% -1.8% -3.9% -4.7% -3.6% 53.3% 74.0% 78.4% 75.9% 9.7% 0.0% -13.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.25%
EBITDA 67.4% 62.0% 24.6% -77.8% -1.1% 28.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% -11.7% -9.5% -9.6% -1.2% -3.7% 5.8% 85.1% 91.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.13%
Op. Income 46.3% 48.3% 23.0% -17.4% -26.5% 19.4% 66.7% 61.7% 48.3% -17.1% -2.3% -2.1% -2.3% -51.1% 8.9% 14.8% 67.0% 66.9% 59.0% 61.5% 61.54%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.25%
Asset Growth snapshot only -7.15%
Debt Growth snapshot only -11.82%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.98%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -10.5% -17.5% 0.0% -2.3% 1.1% -18.9% -18.9% -20.7% -30.4% -22.9% -70.8% -63.2% -35.8% -30.3% -13.5% -9.5% -18.9% -7.0% -7.03%
Revenue 5Y -14.1% -18.3% -11.3% -17.3% -11.0% 1.0% -18.0% -22.8% -21.5% -25.7% -46.5% -33.3% -31.6% -28.2% -19.7% -15.5% -22.3% -24.2% -24.21%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y -20.6% 2.0% 2.04%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 54.9% -51.3% -32.2% -32.18%
Gross Profit 5Y 11.5%
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y 53.0% -44.0%
FCF 5Y 20.0% 57.9% -26.3% -26.32%
OCF 3Y -44.1%
OCF 5Y -26.3% -26.32%
Assets 3Y -14.2% -14.2% -16.5% -16.5% -16.5% -16.5% -22.6% -22.6% -22.6% -22.6% -23.2% -23.2% -23.2% -23.2% -22.7% -22.7% -22.7% -22.7% -15.8% -15.8% -15.82%
Assets 5Y -17.3% -17.3% -15.9% -15.9% -15.9% -15.9% -18.0% -18.0% -18.0% -18.0% -20.2% -20.2% -20.2% -20.2% -21.5% -21.5% -21.5% -21.5% -18.9% -18.9% -18.94%
Equity 3Y -54.2% -54.2%
Book Value 3Y -44.2% -44.2%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.58 0.85 0.13 0.11 0.14 0.04 0.94 0.68 0.92 0.91 0.35 0.23 0.47 0.80 0.88 0.90 0.66 0.59 0.66 0.64 0.644
Earnings Stability 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.09 0.49 0.35 0.44 0.46 0.29 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.04 0.01 0.16 0.08 0.37 0.32 0.08 0.080
Margin Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.80 0.80 0.91 0.93 0.89 0.92 0.50 0.80 0.86 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.87 0.97 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend -1.76 -2.21
Gross Margin Trend -0.05 -0.07 -0.83 -0.69 -0.60 0.64 1.77 1.73 1.42 -0.04 -24.73 -9.50 8.68 1.23 14.39 6.81 6.809
FCF Margin Trend 1.44 2.58 4.44 2.41 1.40 2.49 -3.70 -7.80 -8.11 -9.88 -28.07 -8.25 11.13 4.10 16.50 7.98 7.981
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.80 -0.96 -1.15 -0.62 -0.51 -0.98 2.14 3.50 2.95 1.89 0.41 0.39 0.24 0.34 0.40 0.45 0.80 -0.29 -0.21 -0.31 -0.310
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.310
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.412
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.11 -0.18 -0.13 -0.11 -0.11 0.06 0.13 0.12 0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.17 -0.12 -0.11 -0.10 -0.02 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.097
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.507
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $8.04 $8.74 $8.61 $8.58 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 28.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 15.7% 23.6% 12.2% 11.4% 5.4% 4.1% 1.3% 3.7% 3.3% 1.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.34%
Net Buyback Yield 28.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 15.7% 23.6% 12.2% 11.4% 5.4% 4.1% 1.3% 3.7% 3.3% 1.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.34%
Total Shareholder Return 28.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 15.7% 23.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 1.3% 3.7% 3.3% 1.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.34%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.32 1.32 1.24 1.14 0.99 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.969
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.97 2.06 1.69 1.72 1.78 2.34 -4.62 -4.94 2.45 1.77 1.77 1.47 1.67 1.56 1.60 3.27 6.73 -11.31 -4.71 -4.706
EBIT Margin -0.41 -0.77 -1.66 -1.89 -1.36 -1.07 0.21 0.29 0.00 -1.51 -39.00 -15.33 9.60 12.19 -6.74 -6.05 -0.65 -0.29 0.20 0.38 0.378
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.043
Equity Multiplier 13.55 13.55 -59.02 -59.02 -59.02 -59.02 -6.75 -6.75 -6.75 -6.75 -2.36 -2.36 -2.36 -2.36 -1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -0.97 -0.97 -0.966
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-6.18 $-7.49 $-8.97 $-8.30 $-7.77 $-5.97 $-3.91 $-4.16 $-5.04 $-8.47 $-9.44 $-10.25 $-13.89 $-11.14 $-9.32 $-8.71 $-4.48 $-3.51 $-3.59 $-3.11 $-3.11
Book Value/Share $2.75 $2.74 $-6.31 $-6.31 $-6.28 $-6.28 $-17.68 $-17.66 $-17.99 $-18.76 $-32.58 $-35.39 $-34.88 $-34.76 $-43.75 $-43.20 $-42.17 $-42.12 $-45.40 $-44.92 $-45.75
Tangible Book/Share $1.74 $1.74 $-7.16 $-7.15 $-7.12 $-7.12 $-18.39 $-18.36 $-18.70 $-19.51 $-33.19 $-36.05 $-35.54 $-35.41 $-43.75 $-43.20 $-42.17 $-42.12 $-45.88 $-45.41 $-45.41
Revenue/Share $5.05 $4.74 $3.21 $2.56 $3.19 $2.41 $3.01 $2.24 $2.12 $2.02 $0.14 $0.38 $-0.99 $-0.55 $0.88 $0.89 $2.08 $1.79 $1.62 $1.81 $1.81
FCF/Share $4.93 $7.20 $10.29 $5.12 $3.95 $5.83 $-8.38 $-14.56 $-14.84 $-15.98 $-3.83 $-4.04 $-3.31 $-3.80 $-3.69 $-3.91 $-3.59 $1.03 $0.77 $0.96 $0.96
OCF/Share $4.93 $7.20 $10.31 $5.14 $3.97 $5.85 $-8.38 $-14.56 $-14.84 $-15.98 $-3.83 $-4.04 $-3.31 $-3.80 $-3.69 $-3.91 $-3.59 $1.03 $0.77 $0.96 $0.96
Cash/Share $54.68 $54.61 $54.27 $54.22 $54.01 $53.95 $44.73 $44.67 $45.49 $47.46 $2.10 $2.29 $2.25 $2.24 $31.50 $31.10 $30.36 $30.32 $22.55 $22.31 $22.69
EBITDA/Share $-2.08 $-3.63 $-5.32 $-4.84 $-4.36 $-2.57 $0.64 $0.64 $0.00 $-3.04 $-5.37 $-5.89 $-9.49 $-6.65 $-5.93 $-5.38 $-1.35 $-0.52 $0.32 $0.68 $0.68
Debt/Share $71.98 $71.88 $64.78 $64.72 $64.46 $64.40 $62.22 $62.13 $63.27 $66.01 $62.19 $67.56 $66.59 $66.35 $67.52 $66.67 $65.07 $65.00 $57.69 $57.09 $57.09
Net Debt/Share $17.30 $17.27 $10.51 $10.50 $10.46 $10.45 $17.48 $17.46 $17.78 $18.55 $60.08 $65.27 $64.34 $64.11 $36.02 $35.57 $34.72 $34.68 $35.15 $34.78 $34.78
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-I Score -18.802
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.777
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 4 4 4 5 3 2 2 1 1 3 2 2 3 4 3 5 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score 15.65 -3.73 -2.88 -3.03 0.09 -3.44 -3.57 0.08 -9.00 -3.20 4.90 -14.14 -4.20 -3.03 -4.58 -3.66 -3.663
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 0.415
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-60.47
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 22.43 24.34 50.77 20.00 20.00 20.00 18.25 17.77 20.00 20.00 18.22 18.31 18.21 18.30 17.02 17.04 16.95 18.14 19.45 18.80 18.798
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only 1.758
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 5

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