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MDV NYSE

Modiv Industrial, Inc.
1W: +2.2% 1M: +15.8% 3M: +19.5% YTD: +28.6% 1Y: +28.9% 3Y: +80.2%
$18.24
-0.03 (-0.16%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.0%
$16 $17 $18 $19 $20
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Industrial · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 72 · $188.3M mcap · 9M float · 0.845% daily turnover · Short 34% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 2.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.4%
Cost Advantage
28
Intangibles
47
Switching Cost
31
Network Effect
24
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MDV has No discernible competitive edge (34.7/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 2.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$18
Low
$19
Avg Target
$19
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$19.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-04 Cantor Fitzgerald Jay Kornreich $18 $19 +1 +6.2% $17.89
2026-02-03 Cantor Fitzgerald Initiated $18 +18.4% $15.20

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
2
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MDV receives an overall rating of C+. Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), ROA (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-13 C C+
2026-05-11 C+ C
2026-04-29 B- C+
2026-04-24 B B-
2026-04-01 C+ B
2026-03-30 B- C+
2026-03-20 C+ B-
2026-03-19 B- C+
2026-02-24 C+ B-
2026-01-14 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

36 Grade B
Profitability
40
Balance Sheet
32
Earnings Quality
69
Growth
20
Value
53
Momentum
55
Safety
15
Cash Flow
72
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MDV scores highest in Cash Flow (72/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.13
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.30
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.66
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 34.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 105.40x
Accruals: -3.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MDV scores 0.13, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MDV scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MDV's score of -2.30 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MDV's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MDV receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 34.4/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MDV's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
1237.58x
PEG
-4.83x
P/S
4.07x
P/B
1.18x
P/FCF
10.74x
P/OCF
10.64x
EV/EBITDA
13.16x
EV/Revenue
9.17x
EV/EBIT
24.57x
EV/FCF
26.75x
Earnings Yield
0.09%
FCF Yield
9.31%
Shareholder Yield
9.22%
Graham Number
$1.98
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 1237.6x earnings, MDV is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1.98 per share, 821% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-0.267
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.033
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.373
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.094
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.789
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MDV's ROE of 0.1% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage. A tax burden ratio of -0.27 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.11
Price/Value
131.97x
Margin of Safety
-13096.61%
Premium
13096.61%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MDV's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. MDV trades at a 13097% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.11, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 1237.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1073 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$18.24
Median 1Y
$12.45
5th Pctile
$4.65
95th Pctile
$33.95
Ann. Volatility
57.1%
Analyst Target
$19.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Raymond J. Pacini
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary and Treasurer
$275,000 $— $545,700
Aaron S. Halfacre
Chief Executive Officer and President
$250,000 $— $370,700

CEO Pay Ratio

1:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $370,700
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $484,250
Employees: 12

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
12
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$3,865,583
Rev: $46,387,000
Profit / Employee
$89,000
NI: $1,068,000
SGA / Employee
$484,250
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -5.9% -4.6% -2.4% -2.1% 1.9% 3.0% -2.7% -4.3% 0.6% -1.2% 2.1% 3.6% 1.9% -0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.09%
ROA -2.4% -1.9% -0.9% -0.7% 0.7% 1.1% -1.0% -1.3% 0.2% -0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 0.6% -0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.03%
ROIC -2.8% -1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 5.0% 4.3% 0.8% 0.5% 2.4% 2.0% 4.9% 4.8% 4.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% 2.9% 2.92%
ROCE 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 4.2% 4.6% 5.1% 3.1% 3.4% 5.9% 6.6% 9.2% 10.2% 8.4% 8.1% 8.6% 3.8% 3.6% 3.63%
Gross Margin 77.7% 86.0% 86.3% 88.9% 83.6% 87.2% 90.5% 94.1% 91.8% 93.9% 91.2% 92.2% 92.8% 93.1% 92.3% -1.9% 92.3% 92.27%
Operating Margin -1.1% 63.5% 63.3% 35.6% -6.4% 34.7% -37.3% 30.8% 55.6% 44.6% 42.0% 45.4% 40.2% 9.7% 40.6% 48.7% 35.9% 35.92%
Net Margin -1.0% 21.3% 37.8% 5.5% -36.1% 33.2% -43.8% -10.4% 31.1% 11.6% -5.0% 13.3% 7.0% -16.8% 8.8% 11.4% -0.7% -0.74%
EBITDA Margin 47.1% 60.4% 61.2% 66.9% 57.1% 66.8% 8.2% 70.1% 1.1% 90.0% 69.8% 88.2% 75.2% 74.6% 72.6% 62.8% 68.0% 68.02%
FCF Margin -11.2% 25.5% 25.8% 34.3% 41.6% 36.5% 34.6% 25.1% 25.2% 25.7% 31.5% 38.6% 39.0% 37.1% 34.8% 32.3% 34.3% 34.29%
OCF Margin -11.2% 25.5% 33.4% 39.5% 47.5% 42.1% 37.9% 34.9% 34.2% 35.0% 38.3% 39.0% 39.3% 37.1% 34.8% 32.3% 34.6% 34.60%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.78%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -0.33%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.27%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.21%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.83%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.36%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 3.84%
CROIC snapshot only 3.81%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 26.27%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.23%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 15.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 6.99%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -9.18 -15.87 -26.18 -19.99 19.38 17.67 -21.59 -13.67 191.98 -81.16 53.04 25.31 55.13 -710.73 120.75 159.99 1121.71 1237.575
P/S Ratio 9.63 6.37 3.51 1.49 1.34 1.86 2.01 1.90 3.42 2.98 3.54 3.26 3.70 3.38 3.59 3.68 3.68 4.067
P/B Ratio 0.54 0.74 0.62 0.41 0.38 0.54 0.62 0.63 1.16 1.00 1.16 0.80 0.91 0.84 0.90 1.05 1.05 1.181
P/FCF -85.95 24.93 13.59 4.35 3.21 5.09 5.82 7.57 13.55 11.62 11.21 8.45 9.46 9.10 10.30 11.42 10.74 10.740
P/OCF 24.93 10.49 3.77 2.81 4.41 5.31 5.45 9.98 8.52 9.23 8.35 9.40 9.10 10.30 11.42 10.64 10.642
EV/EBITDA 48.55 23.75 13.72 9.61 8.92 9.27 11.78 15.46 14.10 12.48 10.88 9.90 11.71 11.78 11.90 12.81 13.16 13.159
EV/Revenue 22.89 12.81 7.74 5.74 5.51 5.88 5.84 7.72 9.06 8.69 9.36 9.00 9.46 9.07 9.24 9.16 9.17 9.173
EV/EBIT 139.43 58.06 31.85 20.40 18.04 18.10 30.90 40.83 28.31 23.95 18.16 16.26 20.64 20.81 20.19 23.48 24.57 24.569
EV/FCF -204.21 50.16 30.01 16.73 13.24 16.10 16.91 30.73 35.93 33.82 29.67 23.34 24.22 24.40 26.53 28.40 26.75 26.749
Earnings Yield -10.9% -6.3% -3.8% -5.0% 5.2% 5.7% -4.6% -7.3% 0.5% -1.2% 1.9% 4.0% 1.8% -0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.09%
FCF Yield -1.2% 4.0% 7.4% 23.0% 31.1% 19.6% 17.2% 13.2% 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 11.8% 10.6% 11.0% 9.7% 8.8% 9.3% 9.31%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.055
EV/OCF snapshot only 26.507
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 33.693
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 27.581
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 9.22%
Graham Number snapshot only $1.98
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 5.44 5.44 5.44 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 53.46 53.46 53.461
Quick Ratio 3.66 3.66 3.66 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 53.46 53.46 53.461
Debt/Equity 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.65 1.65 1.650
Net Debt/Equity 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.56 1.56 1.562
Debt/Assets 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.564
Debt/EBITDA 40.40 17.17 10.78 7.44 7.07 6.63 8.08 11.79 8.88 8.28 6.85 6.59 7.44 7.71 7.59 8.09 8.32 8.321
Net Debt/EBITDA 28.12 11.95 7.50 7.12 6.76 6.34 7.73 11.66 8.78 8.19 6.77 6.32 7.13 7.39 7.28 7.66 7.88 7.876
Interest Coverage 3.61 2.48 1.79 1.14 1.49 1.69 1.45 1.34 1.345
Equity Multiplier 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.68 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.93 2.93 2.928
Cash Ratio snapshot only 53.461
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.511
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.054
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.059
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.094
Inventory Turnover 0.07 0.11 0.16 1.24 0.32 0.33 0.32 0.61 0.52 0.43 0.41 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.21 3.01 3.01 3.012
Receivables Turnover 1.23 2.54 3.86 6.07 5.94 6.18 6.48 4.74 4.89 4.83 4.74 2.99 2.98 3.02 3.04 2.21 2.21 2.210
Payables Turnover 1.22 2.03 2.83 6.54 4.40 4.47 4.31 6.61 5.68 4.61 4.40 7.80 7.51 7.79 7.56 184.30 184.62 184.619
DSO 296 144 95 60 61 59 56 77 75 76 77 122 122 121 120 165 165 165.2 days
DIO 5458 3280 2353 294 1125 1108 1149 599 696 857 900 1719 1787 1721 1775 121 121 121.2 days
DPO 299 180 129 56 83 82 85 55 64 79 83 47 49 47 48 2 2 2.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 5455 3244 2319 298 1103 1085 1121 620 707 854 894 1794 1861 1795 1846 284 284 284.4 days
Operating Cycle snapshot only 286.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.219
Capital Intensity snapshot only 10.291
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3.6% 1.3% 61.7% 7.7% 9.3% 4.0% -2.9% -1.6% -5.0% -2.7% -0.0% -0.8% -0.6% -0.62%
Net Income 1.3% 1.6% -12.4% -1.0% -71.8% -1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 87.4% -55.5% -82.3% -95.1% -95.13%
EPS 1.3% 1.8% -51.6% -97.6% -81.3% -1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 87.7% -58.6% -83.5% -95.4% -95.37%
FCF 18.2% 2.4% 1.2% -21.1% -33.8% -26.8% -11.3% 51.0% 47.2% 40.8% 10.3% -17.0% -12.7% -12.73%
EBITDA 5.1% 1.8% 42.1% -9.9% 13.5% 14.2% 68.4% 79.0% 19.5% 7.6% -9.8% -21.9% -14.2% -14.23%
Op. Income 2.6% 4.7% 46.6% -65.0% -42.6% -27.4% 4.5% 7.4% 1.0% 48.4% -21.5% -27.5% -23.2% -23.24%
OCF Growth snapshot only -12.47%
Asset Growth snapshot only -6.18%
Equity Growth snapshot only -14.41%
Debt Growth snapshot only -4.06%
Shares Change snapshot only 5.20%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -11.51%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 68.9% 33.4% 16.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.05%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y -68.6% -68.56%
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y -63.4% -63.37%
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 1.0% 50.2% 29.2% 8.0% 5.2% 5.17%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 79.1% 38.9% 20.3% -30.2% -31.2% -31.24%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y 85.4% 28.8% -3.8% -3.82%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y 51.2% 28.4% -0.4% -5.3% -5.27%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 51.2% 17.8% -5.0% -9.1% -9.06%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.59%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.62%
Book Value 3Y -9.7% -1.2% -1.5% -13.7% -13.6% -13.62%
Dividend 3Y -7.4% 0.3% -0.7% -10.8% -17.6% -17.58%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.83 0.80 0.69 0.55 0.63 0.61 0.53 0.29 0.02 0.018
Earnings Stability 0.60 0.23 0.70 0.51 0.59 0.16 0.64 0.37 0.35 0.350
Margin Stability 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.58 0.58 0.576
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.03 -0.00 0.05 0.06 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.010
Gross Margin Trend 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 -0.63 -0.65 -0.645
FCF Margin Trend 0.10 -0.05 0.01 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.022
Sustainable Growth Rate -4.4% -3.3% -7.5% -6.8% -4.8% -6.9% -8.4% -8.4% -7.2% -7.24%
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.11 -0.64 -2.50 -5.30 6.89 4.01 -4.07 -2.51 19.23 -9.53 5.75 3.03 5.86 -78.14 11.72 14.01 105.40 105.401
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 0.77 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.91 0.72 0.74 0.73 0.82 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.991
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 104.447
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.496
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 5.2% 5.9% 5.6% 3.3% 9.8% 9.0% 9.3% 6.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.35%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.011
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.032
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.410
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.223
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.7% 4.3% 6.8% 15.3% 17.4% 12.0% 11.8% 13.1% 7.3% 9.0% 8.1% 9.3% 8.5% 9.4% 9.0% 9.3% 7.6% 6.47%
Dividend/Share $0.33 $0.54 $0.71 $1.34 $1.39 $1.38 $1.54 $1.55 $1.08 $1.14 $1.24 $1.28 $1.29 $1.28 $1.30 $1.34 $1.09 $1.18
Payout Ratio 3.4% 2.1% 14.0% 4.3% 2.3% 4.7% 10.9% 14.9% 85.1% 85.08%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.1% 92.9% 66.5% 55.9% 61.2% 68.9% 99.2% 99.2% 1.0% 90.6% 78.4% 80.3% 85.4% 93.0% 1.1% 81.5% 81.46%
Total Payout Ratio 4.5% 2.5% 15.3% 7.9% 4.3% 8.4% 12.1% 17.0% 103.4% 103.41%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number 3.38 1.02 0.72 0.31 0.25 0.33 0.25 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.22 0.22 -0.04 -0.039
Buyback Yield 0.9% 2.6% 3.7% 6.3% 5.6% 2.4% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 6.9% 7.6% 6.7% 8.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.63%
Net Buyback Yield 0.8% 2.5% 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.3% -0.4% -1.2% 4.4% 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% -3.2% -0.3% 0.8% 0.76%
Total Shareholder Return 3.5% 6.8% 10.5% 21.6% 22.8% 14.2% 13.2% 13.4% 6.9% 7.8% 12.5% 11.8% 10.5% 12.3% 5.8% 9.0% 8.3% 8.35%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.84 0.82 0.77 0.73 1.04 0.94 0.74 0.76 1.68 0.63 1.05 0.93 1.16 0.19 1.54 1.93 -0.27 -0.267
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -7.61 -2.21 -0.71 -0.36 0.22 0.34 -0.66 -0.97 0.03 -0.16 0.12 0.25 0.13 -0.06 0.04 0.03 -0.03 -0.033
EBIT Margin 0.16 0.22 0.24 0.28 0.31 0.32 0.19 0.19 0.32 0.36 0.52 0.55 0.46 0.44 0.46 0.39 0.37 0.373
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.094
Equity Multiplier 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.84 2.66 2.66 2.66 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 2.79 2.79 2.789
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-1.35 $-0.78 $-0.40 $-0.44 $0.41 $0.65 $-0.60 $-0.87 $0.08 $-0.16 $0.29 $0.55 $0.28 $-0.02 $0.12 $0.09 $0.01 $0.01
Book Value/Share $22.81 $16.81 $16.88 $21.34 $21.21 $21.19 $21.16 $18.95 $12.72 $12.65 $13.18 $17.25 $16.80 $16.23 $16.13 $13.71 $13.67 $19.17
Tangible Book/Share $20.42 $15.05 $15.11 $21.09 $20.96 $20.94 $20.92 $18.78 $12.60 $12.53 $13.06 $17.14 $16.69 $16.12 $16.02 $13.61 $13.57 $13.57
Revenue/Share $1.28 $1.94 $2.97 $5.89 $5.96 $6.18 $6.48 $6.23 $4.32 $4.25 $4.33 $4.24 $4.12 $4.03 $4.03 $3.91 $3.89 $4.49
FCF/Share $-0.14 $0.50 $0.77 $2.02 $2.48 $2.26 $2.24 $1.57 $1.09 $1.09 $1.37 $1.64 $1.61 $1.50 $1.40 $1.26 $1.33 $1.54
OCF/Share $-0.14 $0.50 $0.99 $2.33 $2.83 $2.61 $2.46 $2.18 $1.48 $1.49 $1.66 $1.65 $1.62 $1.50 $1.40 $1.26 $1.35 $1.55
Cash/Share $7.43 $5.48 $5.50 $1.15 $1.14 $1.14 $1.14 $0.41 $0.28 $0.27 $0.29 $1.05 $1.02 $0.98 $0.98 $1.21 $1.21 $0.43
EBITDA/Share $0.60 $1.05 $1.68 $3.52 $3.68 $3.92 $3.21 $3.11 $2.77 $2.96 $3.73 $3.85 $3.32 $3.10 $3.13 $2.79 $2.71 $2.71
Debt/Share $24.44 $18.01 $18.08 $26.18 $26.02 $26.00 $25.97 $36.70 $24.63 $24.50 $25.52 $25.40 $24.73 $23.89 $23.74 $22.62 $22.55 $22.55
Net Debt/Share $17.01 $12.53 $12.58 $25.03 $24.88 $24.85 $24.83 $36.29 $24.35 $24.22 $25.24 $24.35 $23.71 $22.90 $22.76 $21.41 $21.35 $21.35
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.131
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.060
Piotroski F-Score 2 3 3 3 8 8 6 4 6 4 6 6 7 4 6 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.43 -2.35 -2.90 -2.26 -2.31 -2.19 -2.02 -2.09 -2.20 -2.34 -2.30 -3.11 -2.30 -2.304
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.656
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.22%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-21.84
EVA snapshot only $-29528070.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 32.71 34.39 51.20 32.37 32.34 33.80 32.32 29.78 30.66 20.10 18.74 16.11 13.61 13.51 16.72 32.53 34.41 34.414
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only 20.806
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 28
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 42

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