— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

MEG NYSE

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.
1W: -3.5% 1M: -28.9% 3M: -28.2% YTD: -38.2% 1Y: -20.2% 3Y: -57.1% 5Y: -72.1%
$15.64
+1.14 (+7.86%)
 
NYSE · Industrials · Waste Management · Alpha Radar Strong Sell · Power 33 · $565.7M mcap · 33M float · 1.01% daily turnover · Short 57% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
55.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 0.7%  ·  5Y Avg: -5.4%
Cost Advantage
35
Intangibles
63
Switching Cost
69
Network Effect
58
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MEG has a Narrow competitive edge (55.5/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 0.7% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 5Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-10-17 Evercore ISI Durgesh Chopra Initiated $43 +62.6% $26.45
2024-04-04 Needham James Ricchiuti Initiated $54 +22.8% $43.96
2024-04-03 Stifel Nicolaus Michael Hoffman Initiated $51 +15.5% $44.14

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

46 Grade C
Profitability
14
Balance Sheet
42
Earnings Quality
58
Growth
67
Value
44
Momentum
94
Safety
30
Cash Flow
66
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MEG scores highest in Momentum (94/100) and lowest in Profitability (14/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.57
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.89
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.39
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 47.2/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 15.51x
Accruals: -8.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MEG scores 1.57, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MEG scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MEG's score of -2.89 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MEG's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MEG receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 47.2/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MEG's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
102.89x
PEG
0.11x
P/S
0.73x
P/B
1.36x
P/FCF
11.03x
P/OCF
8.73x
EV/EBITDA
14.78x
EV/Revenue
1.38x
EV/EBIT
26.73x
EV/FCF
15.90x
Earnings Yield
0.74%
FCF Yield
9.06%
Shareholder Yield
16.94%
Graham Number
$6.75
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 102.9x earnings, MEG is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $6.75 per share, 132% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.336
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.407
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.052
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.833
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.197
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MEG's ROE of 1.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.833), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.34 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1.37
Price/Value
15.93x
Margin of Safety
-1493.31%
Premium
1493.31%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MEG's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. MEG trades at a 1493% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1.37, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 102.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1461 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$15.37
Median 1Y
$11.83
5th Pctile
$3.92
95th Pctile
$35.49
Ann. Volatility
63.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Vijay Manthripragada
President and Chief Executive Officer
$950,000 $— $3,149,000
Jose M. Revuelta
Chief Strategy Officer
$525,000 $— $1,274,000
Allan Dicks Financial
ancial Officer
$525,000 $— $1,274,000
Nasym Afsari Counsel
Counsel and Secretary
$525,000 $— $1,221,500

CEO Pay Ratio

41:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $3,149,000
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $77,373
Employees: 3,500

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
3,500
+2.6% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$237,297
Rev: $830,538,000
Profit / Employee
$-241
NI: $-843,000
SGA / Employee
$77,373
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -40.8% -19.2% -11.2% -8.8% -6.4% -9.9% -10.1% -12.4% -12.2% -12.8% -9.7% -9.3% -10.2% -11.2% -16.2% -17.8% -10.4% -5.4% -0.2% 1.3% 1.30%
ROA -9.3% -4.9% -3.5% -2.8% -2.0% -3.1% -3.9% -4.8% -4.7% -5.0% -3.8% -3.7% -4.0% -4.4% -6.9% -7.6% -4.4% -2.3% -0.1% 0.6% 0.59%
ROIC -6.0% -0.3% -2.0% -1.6% -1.6% -4.0% -5.2% -5.6% -5.7% -5.2% -4.4% -4.4% -3.9% -3.5% -4.1% -4.1% -2.2% -0.9% -0.1% 0.7% 0.69%
ROCE -7.1% -1.2% -1.8% -1.0% -0.8% -2.2% -3.6% -4.6% -4.5% -4.5% -3.5% -3.2% -2.9% -3.1% -4.6% -4.8% -1.5% 1.6% 3.8% 5.2% 5.23%
Gross Margin 32.4% 35.7% 33.0% 34.4% 35.4% 36.9% 34.9% 37.9% 38.3% 39.2% 38.5% 37.8% 39.9% 40.9% 40.8% 39.0% 43.4% 39.4% 32.4% 39.8% 39.79%
Operating Margin -4.5% 4.0% 0.4% -5.7% -4.1% -4.9% -5.9% -7.6% -3.8% -2.0% -5.4% -6.5% -1.5% -0.6% -12.1% -5.9% 6.4% 4.4% -1.3% -3.6% -3.60%
Net Margin -9.7% 1.7% -1.0% -5.6% -5.5% -4.4% -7.7% -11.2% -4.5% -4.5% -0.9% -8.6% -5.9% -5.9% -14.9% -10.9% 7.8% 3.7% -4.3% -7.5% -7.53%
EBITDA Margin 4.0% 13.8% 9.6% 6.9% 6.6% 7.2% 3.4% 0.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 1.3% 5.2% 9.3% -0.9% 1.1% 15.7% 15.1% 4.9% -1.9% -1.91%
FCF Margin -4.5% 2.3% 5.5% 4.8% 7.8% 4.4% 2.0% 5.1% 3.3% 3.7% 3.7% -0.7% -2.9% -3.2% -0.2% 4.2% 7.9% 8.9% 11.0% 8.7% 8.71%
OCF Margin -2.9% 3.8% 6.9% 6.1% 9.4% 5.8% 3.8% 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.0% 4.8% 1.6% 0.7% 3.2% 6.9% 9.1% 10.6% 12.9% 11.0% 11.00%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -7.73%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -8.39%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.31%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.52%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.69%
Cash ROA snapshot only 9.21%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 11.31%
CROIC snapshot only 8.95%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.67%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 2.11%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 32.28%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.64%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -24.97 -70.26 -82.14 -78.78 -68.94 -44.45 -41.46 -27.31 -32.94 -21.92 -31.46 -40.34 -45.69 -25.35 -10.21 -7.20 -23.91 -52.60 -1034.44 135.43 102.888
P/S Ratio 3.02 3.17 3.81 2.87 1.82 1.82 2.42 1.97 2.26 1.47 1.56 1.84 2.24 1.34 0.91 0.68 1.22 1.33 1.05 0.96 0.732
P/B Ratio 10.19 11.80 6.57 4.96 3.17 3.16 4.21 3.40 4.04 2.82 3.02 3.70 4.62 2.80 1.43 1.10 2.13 2.46 1.93 1.75 1.362
P/FCF -67.76 137.78 69.35 59.48 23.29 41.13 123.91 38.67 67.47 40.03 42.05 -266.52 -77.25 -41.87 -397.94 16.37 15.47 14.84 9.57 11.03 11.035
P/OCF 83.29 55.35 47.34 19.39 31.18 63.89 25.35 26.31 16.35 17.33 38.42 142.99 186.49 28.62 9.89 13.44 12.53 8.11 8.73 8.734
EV/EBITDA 145.46 40.53 52.23 34.83 20.99 25.42 44.13 48.18 57.30 39.62 36.27 42.00 50.77 27.78 34.95 29.63 22.75 19.26 14.87 14.78 14.779
EV/Revenue 3.32 3.44 3.92 2.98 1.93 1.93 2.63 2.18 2.46 1.66 1.86 2.12 2.52 1.62 1.30 1.06 1.56 1.65 1.47 1.38 1.384
EV/EBIT -43.94 -301.02 -178.26 -234.90 -185.13 -70.03 -58.84 -38.02 -44.87 -32.82 -48.16 -63.19 -82.67 -51.38 -23.52 -18.85 -96.50 102.44 39.22 26.73 26.734
EV/FCF -74.62 149.83 71.32 61.72 24.66 43.56 134.46 42.74 73.46 45.13 50.15 -308.43 -86.98 -50.57 -565.58 25.29 19.83 18.47 13.38 15.90 15.899
Earnings Yield -4.0% -1.4% -1.2% -1.3% -1.5% -2.2% -2.4% -3.7% -3.0% -4.6% -3.2% -2.5% -2.2% -3.9% -9.8% -13.9% -4.2% -1.9% -0.1% 0.7% 0.74%
FCF Yield -1.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 4.3% 2.4% 0.8% 2.6% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% -0.4% -1.3% -2.4% -0.3% 6.1% 6.5% 6.7% 10.5% 9.1% 9.06%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.108
EV/OCF snapshot only 12.585
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.552
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 69.625
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 16.94%
Graham Number snapshot only $6.75
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.20 1.20 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.22 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.43 1.43 1.431
Quick Ratio 1.18 1.18 1.97 1.97 1.97 1.97 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.19 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.42 1.42 1.415
Debt/Equity 1.28 1.28 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.80 0.80 0.796
Net Debt/Equity 1.03 1.03 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.77 0.77 0.771
Debt/Assets 0.29 0.29 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.37 0.37 0.366
Debt/EBITDA 16.62 4.05 5.02 4.40 4.07 4.94 6.23 8.27 8.41 8.05 6.59 6.42 6.39 5.37 10.86 10.95 5.24 3.97 4.38 4.67 4.668
Net Debt/EBITDA 13.37 3.26 1.44 1.26 1.17 1.42 3.46 4.60 4.67 4.47 5.86 5.71 5.68 4.78 10.36 10.45 5.00 3.78 4.24 4.52 4.522
Interest Coverage -2.27 -0.41 -1.03 -0.69 -1.21 -3.42 -4.64 -5.44 -5.08 -4.50 -3.09 -2.28 -1.73 -1.54 -2.42 -2.29 -0.69 0.68 1.57 4.60 4.604
Equity Multiplier 4.39 4.39 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.17 2.17 2.175
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.067
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 8.328
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.031
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.199
Defensive Interval snapshot only 281.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.77 1.09 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.76 0.67 0.67 0.69 0.74 0.78 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.77 0.80 0.86 0.91 0.84 0.83 0.833
Inventory Turnover 125.50 142.43 149.71 146.90 146.22 145.00 115.92 113.70 116.26 122.82 103.05 107.05 108.63 109.56 126.48 130.06 138.74 148.03 187.52 184.96 184.962
Receivables Turnover 8.57 9.05 7.16 7.17 7.22 7.19 5.64 5.60 5.80 6.19 6.03 6.26 6.40 6.50 5.13 5.30 5.75 6.09 5.29 5.23 5.226
Payables Turnover 20.19 22.68 18.62 18.27 18.18 18.03 14.21 13.94 14.25 15.06 13.61 14.14 14.35 14.47 12.97 13.34 14.23 15.18 14.89 14.69 14.690
DSO 43 40 51 51 51 51 65 65 63 59 61 58 57 56 71 69 63 60 69 70 69.8 days
DIO 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2.0 days
DPO 18 16 20 20 20 20 26 26 26 24 27 26 25 25 28 27 26 24 25 25 24.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 27 27 34 33 33 33 42 42 40 38 37 36 35 34 46 44 40 38 46 47 47.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.951
Operating Cycle snapshot only 71.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 73.173
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.195
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 5.0% 1.8% 67.2% 18.9% 7.3% -0.4% -1.1% 1.7% 9.0% 14.7% 19.8% 18.2% 12.6% 11.6% 10.9% 17.8% 22.8% 19.3% 14.2% 14.23%
Net Income 25.0% 15.4% 53.5% 74.1% 2.4% -25.6% -95.7% -1.6% -79.0% 3.0% 24.4% 15.4% 11.7% -1.0% -1.3% -22.5% 41.3% 98.6% 1.1% 1.09%
EPS 38.4% 28.5% 60.6% 77.2% 13.8% -24.7% -94.4% -1.6% -76.3% 4.6% 25.7% 23.7% 22.3% -77.9% -1.0% 6.1% 49.7% 98.7% 1.1% 1.08%
FCF 3.5% 30.2% 2.6% 3.1% 1.1% -64.5% 4.3% -56.4% -9.3% 1.2% -1.2% -2.0% -2.0% -1.1% 7.7% 4.2% 4.4% 58.0% 1.4% 1.38%
EBITDA 4.0% 22.6% 8.1% 3.8% -4.2% -20.8% -47.8% -52.4% -39.7% -1.6% 34.2% 36.9% 56.0% -19.0% -21.8% 62.8% 80.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.00%
Op. Income 91.8% -62.3% 49.1% 65.3% -14.8% -2.0% -2.9% -3.2% -45.6% -1.5% 6.1% 18.3% 18.0% -29.2% -30.6% 21.7% 62.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.44%
OCF Growth snapshot only 81.54%
Asset Growth snapshot only -0.91%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.10%
Debt Growth snapshot only 27.77%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.47%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -89.87%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 91.8% 47.8% 25.6% 12.6% 9.6% 8.4% 9.5% 12.3% 14.6% 15.1% 14.9% 14.92%
Revenue 5Y 57.7% 33.8% 20.2% 20.20%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 1.6% 85.2% 46.0% -3.4% -14.2% -18.1% 2.0% 19.4% 36.2% 46.6% 46.56%
EBITDA 5Y 1.2% 71.6% 71.64%
Gross Profit 3Y 89.9% 52.1% 32.7% 19.5% 17.0% 16.2% 16.0% 19.0% 20.8% 18.8% 17.8% 17.75%
Gross Profit 5Y 59.3% 36.4% 24.6% 24.56%
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y 4.4% 12.6% 44.9% 1.0% 37.4% 37.44%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 1.5% -37.1% -16.0% 14.5% 11.0% 39.8% 73.3% 29.1% 29.08%
OCF 5Y 99.1%
Assets 3Y 33.6% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 7.4% 7.4% 7.41%
Assets 5Y 24.4% 10.2% 10.2% 10.24%
Equity 3Y 45.1% 32.8% 32.8% 32.8% 32.8% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.9% 12.9% 12.94%
Book Value 3Y 29.7% 24.5% 24.6% 22.4% 21.5% 6.6% 6.6% -1.2% 1.6% 6.8% 6.1% 6.07%
Dividend 3Y -10.6% -6.2% -14.7% -13.1% -16.6% -16.6% -1.2% -25.7% -25.5% -31.8% -56.2% -56.21%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.81 0.75 0.73 0.82 0.74 0.75 0.84 0.92 0.98 0.89 0.88 0.91 0.93 0.97 1.00 0.996
Earnings Stability 0.80 0.08 0.02 0.18 0.19 0.17 0.07 0.12 0.30 0.56 0.28 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.054
Margin Stability 0.91 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.920
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.99 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.90 0.94 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.83 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend 0.16 0.05 0.06 0.10 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.14 0.135
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 -0.00 -0.00 -0.003
FCF Margin Trend 0.06 -0.01 0.05 0.02 0.00 -0.00 -0.06 -0.08 -0.07 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.070
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.0% 0.99%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.45%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.24 -0.84 -1.48 -1.66 -3.56 -1.43 -0.65 -1.08 -1.25 -1.34 -1.82 -1.05 -0.32 -0.14 -0.36 -0.73 -1.78 -4.20 -127.49 15.51 15.505
FCF/OCF 1.52 0.60 0.80 0.80 0.83 0.76 0.52 0.66 0.39 0.41 0.41 -0.14 -1.85 -4.45 -0.07 0.60 0.87 0.84 0.85 0.79 0.792
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 12.273
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.174
CapEx/Revenue 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 5.2% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 4.5% 3.9% 3.4% 2.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.29%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.375
Accruals Ratio -0.07 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.10 -0.11 -0.12 -0.11 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.09 -0.13 -0.12 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.086
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.058
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.465
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.58 $0.63 $0.56 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.54 $0.54 $0.40 $0.41 $0.36 $0.32 $0.40 $0.19 $0.17 $0.12 $0.04 $0.00
Payout Ratio 24.0% 24.03%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.4% 54.7% 62.1% 38.1% 67.5% 1.5% 59.5% 87.4% 74.4% 71.0% 46.0% 13.4% 9.3% 4.6% 2.0% 1.96%
Total Payout Ratio 22.9% 22.94%
Div. Increase Streak 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 4.72 1.36 0.49 0.10 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.24 -0.15 -0.23 -0.31 0.15 -0.39 -0.44 -0.62 -0.90 -0.897
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 5.1% 8.2% 13.5% 19.1% 36.9% 6.3% 11.1% 14.0% 16.8% 16.76%
Net Buyback Yield -11.6% -0.0% -7.9% -10.4% -16.3% -16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 8.2% 13.5% 19.0% 36.8% 6.2% 10.8% 13.4% 16.0% 16.03%
Total Shareholder Return -10.5% 1.0% -7.1% -9.4% -14.7% -14.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 6.1% 9.1% 14.8% 20.8% 39.6% 7.0% 11.4% 13.8% 16.2% 16.20%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.11 1.15 1.07 1.18 1.39 1.15 1.08 1.06 1.05 1.09 0.97 0.94 1.02 1.02 1.15 1.18 1.28 3.37 -0.08 0.34 0.336
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.44 3.42 1.97 2.44 1.83 1.29 1.22 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.32 1.44 1.58 1.65 1.41 1.44 2.46 -0.46 0.36 0.41 0.407
EBIT Margin -0.08 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.052
Asset Turnover 0.77 1.09 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.76 0.67 0.67 0.69 0.74 0.78 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.77 0.80 0.86 0.91 0.84 0.83 0.833
Equity Multiplier 4.39 3.90 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 2.58 2.58 2.58 2.58 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.20 2.20 2.197
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-2.15 $-0.88 $-0.86 $-0.67 $-0.49 $-0.76 $-1.07 $-1.31 $-1.28 $-1.33 $-1.02 $-0.97 $-0.98 $-1.04 $-1.82 $-1.98 $-0.92 $-0.52 $-0.02 $0.16 $0.16
Book Value/Share $5.26 $5.23 $10.73 $10.67 $10.66 $10.66 $10.54 $10.49 $10.42 $10.39 $10.63 $10.57 $9.64 $9.38 $13.01 $12.93 $10.27 $11.17 $12.85 $12.52 $12.21
Tangible Book/Share $-11.22 $-11.15 $-5.30 $-5.27 $-5.27 $-5.27 $-5.14 $-5.12 $-5.08 $-5.07 $-6.09 $-6.06 $-5.52 $-5.37 $-5.08 $-5.05 $-4.01 $-4.36 $-4.04 $-3.94 $-3.94
Revenue/Share $17.79 $19.50 $18.52 $18.45 $18.56 $18.48 $18.32 $18.13 $18.65 $19.84 $20.66 $21.33 $19.88 $19.66 $20.30 $20.84 $17.95 $20.69 $23.65 $22.78 $22.78
FCF/Share $-0.79 $0.45 $1.02 $0.89 $1.45 $0.82 $0.36 $0.92 $0.62 $0.73 $0.76 $-0.15 $-0.58 $-0.63 $-0.05 $0.87 $1.41 $1.85 $2.60 $1.98 $1.98
OCF/Share $-0.52 $0.74 $1.27 $1.12 $1.74 $1.08 $0.69 $1.41 $1.60 $1.79 $1.85 $1.02 $0.31 $0.14 $0.65 $1.44 $1.63 $2.19 $3.06 $2.51 $2.51
Cash/Share $1.32 $1.31 $4.97 $4.95 $4.94 $4.94 $3.02 $3.01 $2.99 $2.98 $0.77 $0.76 $0.70 $0.68 $0.38 $0.37 $0.30 $0.32 $0.32 $0.31 $0.28
EBITDA/Share $0.41 $1.66 $1.39 $1.58 $1.70 $1.40 $1.09 $0.82 $0.80 $0.83 $1.06 $1.08 $0.99 $1.14 $0.75 $0.74 $1.23 $1.77 $2.34 $2.13 $2.13
Debt/Share $6.75 $6.71 $6.97 $6.94 $6.93 $6.93 $6.80 $6.77 $6.73 $6.71 $6.96 $6.92 $6.31 $6.14 $8.19 $8.14 $6.47 $7.04 $10.22 $9.96 $9.96
Net Debt/Share $5.43 $5.40 $2.00 $1.99 $1.99 $1.99 $3.78 $3.76 $3.74 $3.73 $6.19 $6.16 $5.62 $5.46 $7.81 $7.77 $6.17 $6.71 $9.90 $9.65 $9.65
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.571
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.429
Piotroski F-Score 2 6 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.09 -2.47 -2.51 -2.55 -2.40 -2.82 -2.98 -2.98 -2.98 -2.91 -2.68 -2.62 -2.61 -2.64 -2.75 -2.70 -2.63 -2.82 -2.89 -2.886
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.389
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-8.04
EVA snapshot only $-74406217.28
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 28.03 38.66 43.47 39.56 35.22 34.16 38.88 34.47 38.24 33.89 32.75 35.17 33.29 27.86 21.09 25.73 33.09 39.41 41.89 47.22 47.218
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only 21.485
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 45
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 32

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