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Also trades as: MFA-PC (NYSE) · $vol 0M · MFA-PB (NYSE) · $vol 0M

MFA NYSE

MFA Financial, Inc.
1W: -0.4% 1M: -7.0% 3M: -5.6% YTD: -0.3% 1Y: +3.4% 3Y: +29.8% 5Y: -2.4%
$9.45
-0.05 (-0.53%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$9 $9 $9 $10 $10
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 36 · $964.8M mcap · 99M float · 1.43% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
61.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 3.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 1.4%
Cost Advantage
50
Intangibles
85
Switching Cost
49
Network Effect
78
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MFA has a Narrow competitive edge (61.2/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 3.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$10
Avg Target
$10
High
Based on 3 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 9Hold: 14Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$10.25
Analysts3
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-11-18 UBS Doug Harter $10 $10 -0 +13.8% $9.01
2025-09-03 UBS Doug Harter Initiated $10 +4.2% $10.07
2025-05-28 RBC Capital Kenneth Lee Initiated $10 +6.3% $9.41
2025-05-21 J.P. Morgan Richard Shane Initiated $19 +103.2% $9.35
2024-09-19 Raymond James Stephen Laws Initiated $14 +10.3% $13.15
2024-08-09 Wedbush Jay McCanless Initiated $14 +19.7% $11.70
2023-01-09 Credit Suisse Douglas Harter Initiated $12 +22.0% $10.25
2022-04-26 JMP Securities Initiated $18 +32.5% $13.59

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
4
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MFA receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-08 C+ B+
2026-05-05 A- C+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-02-20 C+ B+
2026-02-18 B C+
2026-02-09 B+ B
2026-02-06 B B+
2026-01-30 B+ B
2026-01-26 B B+
2026-01-22 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

52 Grade C
Profitability
47
Balance Sheet
24
Earnings Quality
77
Growth
57
Value
96
Momentum
82
Safety
15
Cash Flow
74
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MFA scores highest in Value (96/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.04
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
0.68
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.66
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 33.8/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.20x
Accruals: -0.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MFA scores 0.04, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MFA scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MFA's score of 0.68 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MFA's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MFA receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 33.8/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MFA's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
7.28x
PEG
0.81x
P/S
1.35x
P/B
0.55x
P/FCF
6.23x
P/OCF
6.23x
EV/EBITDA
24.91x
EV/Revenue
20.58x
EV/EBIT
24.97x
EV/FCF
72.83x
Earnings Yield
13.32%
FCF Yield
16.05%
Shareholder Yield
19.58%
Graham Number
$22.33
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 7.3x earnings, MFA trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 13.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $22.33 per share, suggesting a potential 136% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
3.469
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.082
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.824
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.047
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
6.665
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MFA's ROE of 7.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 6.66x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 3.47 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$10.85
Price/Value
0.88x
Margin of Safety
11.71%
Premium
-11.71%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MFA's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $10.85, MFA appears undervalued with a 12% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 7.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$9.45
Median 1Y
$5.62
5th Pctile
$1.01
95th Pctile
$31.25
Ann. Volatility
98.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
W. S. Gorin
Chief Executive Officer
$800,000 $2,860,720 $5,746,446
C. L. Knutson
President and Chief Operating Officer
$700,000 $1,904,609 $4,305,270
S. Yadav
Senior Vice President
$300,000 $469,180 $1,340,964
G. Kristjansson
Senior Vice President
$280,000 $414,005 $1,137,046
S. D. Yarad
Chief Financial Officer
$450,000 $186,624 $871,024

CEO Pay Ratio

42:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $5,746,446
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $135,961
Employees: 307

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
307
-11.8% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$2,850,932
Rev: $875,236,000
Profit / Employee
$575,840
NI: $176,783,000
SGA / Employee
$135,961
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 9.7% 11.2% 13.0% 6.3% -0.3% -7.7% -10.2% -3.3% -0.1% -0.1% 4.1% 1.6% 5.1% 10.4% 6.4% 7.3% 6.9% 6.9% 9.6% 7.3% 7.33%
ROA 2.8% 3.2% 4.1% 2.0% -0.1% -2.4% -2.5% -0.8% -0.0% -0.0% 0.8% 0.3% 1.0% 2.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 1.10%
ROIC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 3.14%
ROCE 0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 1.5% 3.1% 2.7% 3.7% 3.68%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 73.5% 1.0% 94.5% 2.0% 91.6% 95.4% 95.41%
Operating Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 0.0% 95.9% 56.5% 60.8% 58.7% 58.74%
Net Margin 89.4% 1.2% 60.8% 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 21.4% 69.4% -3.0% 2.5% 78.7% 36.7% 56.2% 58.5% 14.2% 55.1% 19.4% 56.6% 61.7% -0.4% -0.43%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 96.4% 2.1% 0.0% 57.4% 57.44%
FCF Margin 26.4% 24.8% 31.8% 1.1% 2.8% -9.6% -4.4% 2.9% 1.8% 90.6% 53.1% 1.1% 62.7% 27.7% 76.4% 48.3% 33.6% 40.4% 18.2% 28.3% 28.26%
OCF Margin 29.0% 43.0% 35.7% 1.1% 2.5% -8.7% -4.4% 2.9% 1.8% 89.6% 53.1% 1.1% 62.7% 27.7% 76.4% 48.3% 33.6% 40.4% 18.2% 28.3% 28.26%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.47%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.78%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.84%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.75%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.09%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.24%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.28%
CROIC snapshot only 1.28%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 69.16%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.77%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.07%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 13.74%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 4.05 3.79 3.91 6.53 -105.16 -2.72 -2.99 -10.28 -581.87 -260.82 11.93 31.93 9.55 5.76 7.93 7.30 7.47 7.55 5.55 7.50 7.278
P/S Ratio 4.28 4.13 3.81 5.13 7.54 -12.36 -8.25 10.28 6.95 6.13 4.67 5.99 4.10 3.50 3.61 3.66 2.60 2.60 2.34 1.76 1.347
P/B Ratio 0.46 0.50 0.51 0.41 0.27 0.21 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.38 0.50 0.51 0.49 0.62 0.51 0.54 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.551
P/FCF 16.21 16.60 12.00 4.76 2.66 1.29 1.89 3.56 3.80 6.77 8.80 5.54 6.55 12.64 4.72 7.58 7.72 6.45 12.86 6.23 6.232
P/OCF 14.74 9.58 10.69 4.56 2.99 1.41 1.89 3.55 3.82 6.85 8.80 5.59 6.55 12.64 4.72 7.58 7.72 6.45 12.86 6.23 6.232
EV/EBITDA 59.78 28.77 34.44 24.91 24.911
EV/Revenue 8.08 7.50 12.24 19.04 38.24 -79.02 -85.99 96.24 60.59 59.52 27.54 34.72 24.55 17.52 37.43 36.04 26.58 26.42 28.12 20.58 20.581
EV/EBIT -690.33 -625.62 -393.06 -268.32 -300.98 -784.29 -1014.41 -1416.94 -1547.30 -1343.27 -1530.29 -1758.01 -1829.56 -4084.62 -4107.78 60.67 28.93 34.63 24.97 24.969
EV/FCF 30.61 30.19 38.53 17.69 13.47 8.22 19.73 33.34 33.16 65.72 51.88 32.11 39.19 63.30 48.99 74.64 79.12 65.47 154.25 72.83 72.826
Earnings Yield 24.7% 26.4% 25.6% 15.3% -1.0% -36.8% -33.5% -9.7% -0.2% -0.4% 8.4% 3.1% 10.5% 17.4% 12.6% 13.7% 13.4% 13.2% 18.0% 13.3% 13.32%
FCF Yield 6.2% 6.0% 8.3% 21.0% 37.7% 77.7% 52.8% 28.1% 26.3% 14.8% 11.4% 18.1% 15.3% 7.9% 21.2% 13.2% 12.9% 15.5% 7.8% 16.0% 16.05%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.809
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.572
EV/OCF snapshot only 72.826
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 18.647
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 29.498
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 19.58%
Graham Number snapshot only $22.33
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.61 3.61 62.94 62.94 62.94 62.94 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 30.45 30.45 30.45 30.45 2.18 2.18 2.177
Quick Ratio 3.61 3.61 62.94 62.94 62.94 62.94 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 30.45 30.45 30.45 30.45 2.18 2.18 2.177
Debt/Equity 0.73 0.73 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 6.01 6.01 6.015
Net Debt/Equity 0.41 0.41 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 3.28 3.28 3.28 3.28 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 4.81 4.81 4.81 4.81 5.90 5.90 5.898
Debt/Assets 0.27 0.27 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.84 0.84 0.843
Debt/EBITDA 56.01 26.93 32.19 23.23 23.229
Net Debt/EBITDA 53.94 25.94 31.57 22.78 22.779
Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.08 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.32 0.67 0.66 0.90 0.901
Equity Multiplier 2.75 2.75 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 4.58 4.58 4.58 4.58 5.67 5.67 5.67 5.67 6.19 6.19 6.19 6.19 7.14 7.14 7.138
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.916
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.904
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.019
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.015
Defensive Interval snapshot only 712.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.047
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 0.07 0.08 5.47 3.32 1.50 -0.69 -0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.13 0.128
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.72 1.33 -4.30 -3.85 -3.27
DSO 5063 4499 67 110 243 -527 -17270 19095 11917 11861 7108 8928 6355 4357 6231 5966 4419 4389 3901 2848 2847.9 days
DIO 0 0 0
DPO 510 510 275
Cash Conversion Cycle 5721 5457 4144
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.687
Capital Intensity snapshot only 22.777
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% -22.2% -65.7% -1.1% -1.2% -62.9% 31.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.1% 88.4% 1.7% 27.8% 67.7% 61.2% 11.3% 59.7% 1.1% 1.09%
Net Income 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% -49.1% -1.0% -1.6% -1.7% -1.5% 78.1% 98.5% 1.3% 1.4% 68.8% 71.7% 48.8% 3.5% 30.2% -36.9% 48.1% -2.0% -2.03%
EPS 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% -42.7% -1.0% -1.7% -1.8% -1.5% 78.0% 98.5% 1.3% 1.4% 66.7% 68.7% 54.5% 3.5% 30.1% -36.2% 45.8% -2.0% -1.97%
FCF -61.6% -36.2% 43.2% 1.7% 2.7% 4.4% 2.4% -0.4% -15.5% -73.0% -70.3% -19.5% -35.4% -16.4% 84.0% -25.1% -13.6% 62.3% -61.9% 22.6% 22.55%
EBITDA -1.0%
Op. Income -1.0% 107.6% 162.9% 162.86%
OCF Growth snapshot only 22.55%
Asset Growth snapshot only 14.35%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.77%
Debt Growth snapshot only 19.54%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.07%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 9.53%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -9.6% -7.6% -1.0% -16.9% -37.5% -14.7% -5.3% 3.2% -8.1% 10.2% 58.6% 96.2% 96.16%
Revenue 5Y -5.3% -3.3% -1.2% -10.7% -23.9% -27.4% -19.8% -20.5% -10.0% -14.5% -9.6% -3.0% -9.5% 16.9% 16.88%
EPS 3Y -6.9% -4.3% 0.3% -18.0% -52.0% -28.6% -11.9% -25.4% -4.7%
EPS 5Y -5.0% -3.6% -3.8% -14.8% -23.0% -36.1% -20.1% -7.5% -19.2% -13.4% -13.43%
Net Income 3Y -3.6% -1.1% 2.9% -19.5% -54.0% -29.9% -15.0% -28.7% -5.1%
Net Income 5Y -1.6% 1.1% 1.0% -12.5% -23.3% -37.0% -21.5% -9.7% -20.6% -15.7% -15.67%
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y 11.7%
Gross Profit 3Y -1.0% 0.8% 9.5% -6.9% -30.2% -14.7% -5.3% 3.2% -9.4% 8.7% 55.6% 1.0% 1.03%
Gross Profit 5Y -2.0% 0.2% 2.4% -7.3% -20.8% -23.8% -15.2% -16.2% -4.4% -8.5% -3.4% 3.8% -5.2% 19.2% 19.20%
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y -54.0% -50.2% 28.0%
FCF 3Y -16.6% -19.8% -9.9% 7.4% 11.7% 25.0% 19.6% 4.8% 6.2% -2.2% 13.3% 29.3% 26.3% 7.0% 23.1% -15.6% -22.1% -28.5% -40.7% -9.6% -9.59%
FCF 5Y -18.2% -19.3% 4.8% 19.8% 12.7% 31.4% 15.9% 9.7% 12.6% -5.4% -5.8% -0.2% -5.3% -15.1% -1.3% -7.0% -7.7% 4.9% 0.4% 14.7% 14.69%
OCF 3Y -14.1% -3.9% -6.7% 8.7% 7.1% 20.8% 19.3% 4.6% 5.9% 11.5% 41.5% 52.5% 22.4% -10.9% 18.5% -16.8% -19.0% -26.2% -40.7% -9.7% -9.70%
OCF 5Y -16.7% -10.0% 7.1% 20.6% 9.9% 28.7% 15.8% 9.7% 12.3% -5.8% -6.0% -0.5% -5.5% -15.2% -1.5% -7.2% -7.8% 13.7% 14.7% 26.8% 26.82%
Assets 3Y -14.1% -14.1% -9.7% -9.7% -9.7% -9.7% -12.4% -12.4% -12.4% -12.4% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 12.7% 12.7% 12.71%
Assets 5Y -12.0% -12.0% -6.0% -6.0% -6.0% -6.0% -3.6% -3.6% -3.6% -3.6% -2.8% -2.8% -2.8% -2.8% -3.4% -3.4% -3.4% -3.4% 13.5% 13.5% 13.48%
Equity 3Y -8.2% -8.2% -9.4% -9.4% -9.4% -9.4% -16.2% -16.2% -16.2% -16.2% -9.0% -9.0% -9.0% -9.0% -10.2% -10.2% -10.2% -10.2% -2.8% -2.8% -2.78%
Book Value 3Y -11.4% -11.2% -11.7% -7.7% -5.9% -4.3% -13.3% -15.5% -11.4% -10.7% -7.6% -5.0% -7.4% -5.8% -6.1% -9.9% -11.0% -11.2% -3.9% -1.3% -1.33%
Dividend 3Y -23.9% -9.8% 6.9% 31.1% 20.9% 15.0% 8.4% 1.5% 2.2% 1.2% -5.2% -0.8% -1.5% 2.0% 4.8% 0.5% -0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 4.6% 4.62%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.06 0.11 0.15 0.16 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.78 0.47 0.11 0.20 0.73 0.92 0.97 0.96 0.33 0.326
Earnings Stability 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.06 0.14 0.21 0.22 0.05 0.06 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.19 0.30 0.31 0.34 0.12 0.124
Margin Stability 0.85 0.85 0.86 0.84 0.84 0.82 0.85 0.89 0.87 0.86 0.83 0.86 0.87 0.84 0.88 0.98 0.97 0.90 0.89 0.95 0.947
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.99 0.992
Earnings Smoothness 0.35 0.61 0.00 0.74 0.55 0.61 0.98 0.979
ROE Trend 0.16 0.17 0.21 0.09 0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.13 -0.06 -0.03 0.04 0.00 0.05 0.15 0.10 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.028
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.06 0.18 0.19 0.12 0.124
FCF Margin Trend 2.19 0.28 -0.90 -1.71 -1.50 -0.89 -0.19 -0.47 -0.50 -0.499
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% -1.6% -4.9% -7.5% -4.0% 1.4% -3.1% -2.1% -2.8% -3.0% -0.6% -3.2% -3.23%
Internal Growth Rate 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.27 0.40 0.37 1.43 -35.19 -1.92 -1.58 -2.90 -152.40 -38.10 1.36 5.72 1.46 0.46 1.68 0.96 0.97 1.17 0.43 1.20 1.204
FCF/OCF 0.91 0.58 0.89 0.96 1.13 1.10 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.204
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.342
CapEx/Revenue 2.6% 18.2% 3.9% 4.7% 31.6% -87.1% -0.4% 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.02 0.02 0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.07 -0.07 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.002
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.733
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.836
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 11.8% 13.4% 14.7% 19.3% 30.9% 41.0% 31.3% 26.3% 23.0% 24.7% 18.4% 18.0% 18.7% 15.1% 18.7% 17.7% 18.8% 19.1% 19.2% 19.2% 15.24%
Dividend/Share $1.23 $1.42 $1.59 $1.90 $2.10 $2.12 $2.13 $1.87 $1.91 $1.82 $1.63 $1.67 $1.68 $1.66 $1.70 $1.68 $1.71 $1.75 $1.79 $1.84 $1.44
Payout Ratio 47.9% 50.7% 57.5% 1.3% 2.2% 5.8% 1.8% 86.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.44%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.9% 2.2% 1.8% 91.9% 82.0% 52.7% 59.3% 93.8% 87.5% 1.7% 1.6% 99.8% 1.2% 1.9% 88.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 2.5% 1.2% 1.20%
Total Payout Ratio 97.5% 93.5% 83.5% 2.0% 2.2% 5.8% 1.8% 87.7% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.47%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number -0.39 -0.06 0.47 1.33 0.89 0.70 0.46 0.28 0.13 0.10 -0.00 0.04 0.09 0.10 0.19 0.18 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.287
Buyback Yield 12.3% 11.3% 6.7% 11.4% 20.0% 26.5% 14.8% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.38%
Net Buyback Yield 11.6% 10.7% 6.6% 11.3% 19.8% 26.3% 14.6% 6.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.04%
Total Shareholder Return 23.4% 24.0% 21.3% 30.6% 50.7% 67.3% 45.9% 32.3% 23.0% 24.7% 18.4% 18.2% 18.9% 15.2% 18.9% 18.2% 19.4% 20.2% 19.2% 19.2% 19.24%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.80 0.92 1.00 0.97 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.01 4.40 2.21 3.47 3.469
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -100.17 -49.83 -16.21 0.50 17.34 25.17 10.54 0.35 0.67 -19.02 -8.48 -31.24 -64.38 -49.87 -56.56 0.78 0.09 0.24 0.08 0.082
EBIT Margin 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.14 0.26 0.11 -0.09 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.44 0.91 0.81 0.82 0.824
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.047
Equity Multiplier 3.47 3.47 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.93 5.93 5.93 5.93 6.66 6.66 6.665
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.57 $2.79 $2.77 $1.51 $-0.06 $-1.91 $-2.27 $-0.69 $-0.01 $-0.03 $0.74 $0.29 $0.94 $1.91 $1.15 $1.30 $1.22 $1.22 $1.68 $1.28 $1.28
Book Value/Share $22.78 $21.34 $21.42 $23.86 $24.80 $24.98 $19.54 $18.07 $19.51 $19.51 $17.64 $18.05 $18.06 $17.86 $17.77 $17.48 $17.49 $17.49 $17.36 $17.36 $17.16
Tangible Book/Share $20.63 $19.32 $20.73 $23.09 $24.00 $24.17 $18.82 $17.40 $18.80 $18.80 $17.00 $17.40 $17.41 $17.21 $17.13 $16.85 $16.86 $16.86 $16.75 $16.75 $16.75
Revenue/Share $2.44 $2.57 $2.84 $1.92 $0.90 $-0.42 $-0.82 $0.69 $1.19 $1.20 $1.90 $1.55 $2.18 $3.14 $2.53 $2.60 $3.51 $3.53 $3.97 $5.44 $6.91
FCF/Share $0.64 $0.64 $0.90 $2.06 $2.56 $4.03 $3.59 $1.99 $2.18 $1.09 $1.01 $1.68 $1.36 $0.87 $1.93 $1.25 $1.18 $1.43 $0.72 $1.54 $1.56
OCF/Share $0.71 $1.10 $1.01 $2.16 $2.28 $3.66 $3.60 $2.00 $2.17 $1.07 $1.01 $1.66 $1.36 $0.87 $1.93 $1.25 $1.18 $1.43 $0.72 $1.54 $1.56
Cash/Share $7.35 $6.88 $2.57 $2.86 $2.97 $2.99 $3.28 $3.04 $3.28 $3.28 $2.95 $3.02 $3.02 $2.99 $3.27 $3.22 $3.22 $3.22 $2.02 $2.02 $2.14
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.56 $3.24 $3.24 $4.49 $4.49
Debt/Share $16.60 $15.55 $26.53 $29.54 $30.71 $30.93 $67.36 $62.29 $67.29 $67.28 $46.46 $47.54 $47.57 $47.03 $88.71 $87.27 $87.33 $87.33 $104.39 $104.39 $104.39
Net Debt/Share $9.25 $8.67 $23.96 $26.68 $27.74 $27.94 $64.08 $59.26 $64.01 $64.01 $43.50 $44.52 $44.55 $44.04 $85.44 $84.05 $84.11 $84.11 $102.37 $102.37 $102.37
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.039
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.002
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 2 5 4 6 7 6 5 8 6 6 8 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -3.05 -2.77 -1.44 193.70 4.28 1.25 8.80 175.94 52.20 26.50 60.03 -0.32 0.68 0.675
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.655
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.72%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-101.72
EVA snapshot only $-864632884.61
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 36.76 36.97 16.97 19.94 20.17 25.74 36.33 38.01 36.76 35.04 23.56 23.34 23.43 24.45 32.14 34.07 31.16 32.71 28.69 33.83 33.830
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.241
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 71
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 19

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