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MGY NYSE

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
1W: +1.5% 1M: -0.2% 3M: +7.9% YTD: +30.8% 1Y: +32.6% 3Y: +59.9% 5Y: +158.5%
$29.24
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.3%
$26 $28 $30 $31 $33
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 46 · $5.4B mcap · 181M float · 1.46% daily turnover · Short 57% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
41.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 16.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 32.0%
Cost Advantage ★
64
Intangibles
39
Switching Cost
28
Network Effect
23
Scale
53
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MGY shows a Weak competitive edge (41.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 16.8% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$31
Low
$31
Avg Target
$31
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 6, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 13Hold: 13Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$32.33
Analysts3
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-13 Wells Fargo Hanwen Chang $32 $31 -1 +8.2% $28.64
2026-04-27 Truist Financial $31 $34 +3 +14.7% $29.64
2026-04-10 Wells Fargo $25 $32 +7 +7.3% $29.81
2026-02-16 Wells Fargo $22 $25 +3 -6.6% $26.78
2026-02-11 Goldman Sachs $14 $26 +12 -2.4% $26.65
2026-02-10 Piper Sandler $23 $26 +3 -4.7% $27.27
2026-02-09 KeyBanc $29 $30 +1 +11.2% $26.99
2026-02-06 Mizuho Securities $29 $30 +1 +14.5% $26.21
2026-01-27 Wells Fargo Hanwen Chang $27 $22 -5 -9.8% $24.38
2026-01-26 Susquehanna $30 $28 -2 +16.7% $24.00
2026-01-09 UBS Peyton Dorne Initiated $29 +29.1% $22.45
2026-01-09 BMO Capital Initiated $27 +21.6% $22.21
2025-12-12 Mizuho Securities $26 $29 +3 +27.5% $22.75
2025-11-18 Piper Sandler $25 $23 -2 +1.4% $22.69
2025-10-30 Mizuho Securities $27 $26 -1 +13.0% $23.00
2025-10-15 KeyBanc Tim Rezvan Initiated $29 +25.6% $23.08
2025-04-22 Susquehanna Charles Minervino $29 $30 +1 +44.0% $20.83
2025-04-22 Piper Sandler $29 $25 -4 +20.0% $20.83
2025-03-05 Williams Trading Initiated $29 +28.5% $22.57
2024-10-28 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann $35 $31 -4 +21.3% $25.57
2024-09-16 Mizuho Securities William Janela Initiated $27 +13.3% $23.84
2024-06-11 Capital One Financial Phillips Johnston Initiated $28 +13.4% $24.69
2024-05-31 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann $39 $35 -4 +37.5% $25.46
2024-04-19 Piper Sandler Mark Lear $35 $29 -6 +12.9% $25.68
2024-04-18 Wells Fargo Hanwen Chang $30 $27 -3 +4.6% $25.82
2023-01-11 Piper Sandler $36 $35 -1 +56.3% $22.40
2022-11-17 Piper Sandler Initiated $36 +36.7% $26.34
2022-07-27 MKM Partners Leo Mariani $16 $26 +10 +13.6% $22.89
2022-07-19 Truist Financial Initiated $39 +84.1% $21.18
2022-07-11 Wells Fargo Initiated $30 +50.5% $19.94
2022-04-25 Susquehanna Initiated $29 +20.8% $24.01
2021-08-04 MKM Partners John Gerdes Initiated $16 +14.1% $14.02
2021-06-15 Northland Securities Jeff Grampp Initiated $14 -10.2% $15.59
2021-04-19 Goldman Sachs Umang Choudhary Initiated $14 +38.1% $10.50

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
3
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MGY receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-11 A A-
2026-05-08 B- A
2026-05-06 A B-
2026-05-04 A- A
2026-04-30 A A-
2026-04-24 A- A
2026-04-08 B+ A-
2026-04-01 A- B+
2026-02-18 A A-
2026-02-11 A- A

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

62 Grade A+
Profitability
79
Balance Sheet
82
Earnings Quality
50
Growth
27
Value
57
Momentum
59
Safety
100
Cash Flow
68
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MGY scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (27/100). An overall grade of A+ places MGY among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
5.31
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-10.28
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 96.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.64x
Accruals: -18.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MGY scores 5.31, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MGY scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MGY's score of -3.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MGY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MGY receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 96.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MGY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
16.73x
PEG
-1.25x
P/S
4.12x
P/B
2.65x
P/FCF
15.72x
P/OCF
6.80x
EV/EBITDA
6.76x
EV/Revenue
4.50x
EV/EBIT
13.82x
EV/FCF
16.14x
Earnings Yield
5.57%
FCF Yield
6.36%
Shareholder Yield
5.54%
Graham Number
$20.46
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 16.7x earnings, MGY trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $20.46 per share, 43% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.791
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.948
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.326
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.461
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.485
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
16.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MGY's ROE of 16.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.461), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$14.94
Price/Value
2.11x
Margin of Safety
-111.30%
Premium
111.30%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MGY's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. MGY trades at a 111% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $14.94, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 16.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$29.24
Median 1Y
$29.55
5th Pctile
$12.58
95th Pctile
$69.60
Ann. Volatility
50.1%
Analyst Target
$32.33
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Christopher G. Stavros
President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board
$870,192 $4,314,309 $6,693,001
Timothy D. Yang
Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Commercial Officer, Corporate Secretary and Land
$537,762 $1,553,141 $2,805,203
Brian M. Corales
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
$537,762 $1,553,141 $2,805,203

CEO Pay Ratio

18:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $6,693,001
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $370,374
Employees: 262

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
262
+4.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$5,007,042
Rev: $1,311,845,000
Profit / Employee
$1,241,420
NI: $325,252,000
SGA / Employee
$370,374
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 15.9% 25.4% 61.1% 76.2% 1.0% 1.2% 74.7% 68.9% 55.6% 43.6% 23.8% 23.1% 23.3% 23.2% 20.3% 21.3% 20.3% 19.0% 16.9% 16.7% 16.72%
ROA 7.5% 12.0% 26.1% 32.5% 42.9% 50.8% 41.4% 38.2% 30.8% 24.2% 14.6% 14.2% 14.3% 14.2% 13.1% 13.8% 13.1% 12.3% 11.4% 11.3% 11.26%
ROIC 39.0% 58.4% 70.8% 84.8% 1.1% 1.2% 82.7% 74.1% 58.3% 44.7% 25.6% 25.3% 25.8% 25.0% 20.0% 20.3% 19.3% 18.3% 17.0% 16.8% 16.76%
ROCE 22.4% 33.7% 39.2% 48.2% 61.8% 71.0% 48.4% 44.2% 35.1% 27.7% 22.9% 22.2% 22.4% 21.9% 20.2% 20.7% 19.6% 18.2% 16.8% 16.4% 16.43%
Gross Margin 67.1% 70.8% 70.5% 74.1% 78.1% 74.5% 67.8% 59.2% 55.7% 59.7% 54.4% 52.5% 53.2% 51.2% 50.0% 52.1% 47.6% 46.2% 42.9% 49.0% 48.98%
Operating Margin 51.3% 60.2% 60.1% 62.4% 67.7% 64.5% 56.7% 41.2% 43.3% 46.9% 42.8% 39.0% 39.9% 38.7% 38.0% 38.8% 33.8% 31.2% 29.6% 35.6% 35.64%
Net Margin 33.5% 41.9% 44.7% 43.9% 51.7% 50.8% 66.4% 31.2% 32.6% 32.3% 30.5% 26.6% 28.4% 30.0% 26.2% 29.4% 24.5% 23.2% 21.6% 27.8% 27.84%
EBITDA Margin 70.6% 76.8% 75.9% 76.5% 80.9% 78.8% 75.0% 69.2% 74.1% 72.6% 72.4% 69.4% 71.3% 73.1% 67.6% 69.3% 67.3% 65.1% 66.0% 67.8% 67.77%
FCF Margin 39.1% 44.3% 50.8% 50.2% 50.6% 52.4% 48.4% 46.0% 40.9% 28.4% 5.7% 5.3% 9.2% 13.2% 31.8% 32.3% 29.5% 30.9% 30.0% 27.9% 27.88%
OCF Margin 61.6% 67.8% 72.8% 72.7% 74.2% 76.7% 76.5% 78.6% 77.4% 70.0% 69.7% 68.4% 70.6% 72.0% 70.0% 69.4% 65.0% 67.6% 67.0% 64.4% 64.45%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 19.65%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 34.98%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.80%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.28%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 15.04%
Cash ROA snapshot only 29.31%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 40.65%
CROIC snapshot only 17.58%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 26.58%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 30.86%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.87%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.57%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 13.59 9.72 7.52 7.71 5.34 4.29 4.67 4.78 5.62 7.80 9.81 12.04 11.85 11.73 11.85 12.16 11.29 12.80 12.28 17.96 16.725
P/S Ratio 3.43 3.20 2.90 3.20 2.47 2.07 2.46 2.43 2.63 3.25 3.11 3.67 3.49 3.39 3.30 3.47 3.11 3.32 3.05 4.38 4.119
P/B Ratio 4.58 5.23 3.84 4.91 4.49 4.26 2.65 2.50 2.37 2.58 2.25 2.68 2.67 2.63 2.27 2.44 2.16 2.29 2.06 2.98 2.647
P/FCF 8.77 7.22 5.70 6.38 4.88 3.95 5.09 5.28 6.43 11.42 54.32 69.03 38.11 25.64 10.38 10.74 10.54 10.75 10.16 15.72 15.724
P/OCF 5.57 4.72 3.98 4.41 3.33 2.70 3.22 3.08 3.40 4.64 4.45 5.36 4.94 4.70 4.71 5.00 4.79 4.91 4.55 6.80 6.801
EV/EBITDA 5.53 4.79 3.97 4.28 3.19 2.66 2.94 2.93 3.25 4.15 4.30 5.08 4.88 4.72 4.85 5.09 4.65 5.09 4.72 6.76 6.759
EV/Revenue 3.70 3.42 2.92 3.22 2.48 2.08 2.29 2.25 2.43 3.02 3.10 3.66 3.48 3.38 3.41 3.58 3.23 3.43 3.16 4.50 4.499
EV/EBIT 9.13 6.86 5.27 5.47 3.90 3.23 3.60 3.70 4.41 6.11 6.80 8.38 8.26 8.31 8.77 9.19 8.64 9.83 9.45 13.82 13.819
EV/FCF 9.46 7.72 5.74 6.41 4.91 3.98 4.74 4.90 5.94 10.62 54.20 68.91 38.04 25.59 10.74 11.09 10.92 11.12 10.55 16.14 16.139
Earnings Yield 7.4% 10.3% 13.3% 13.0% 18.7% 23.3% 21.4% 20.9% 17.8% 12.8% 10.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.5% 8.4% 8.2% 8.9% 7.8% 8.1% 5.6% 5.57%
FCF Yield 11.4% 13.8% 17.5% 15.7% 20.5% 25.3% 19.7% 18.9% 15.6% 8.8% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 3.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.8% 6.4% 6.36%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.983
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.981
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 9.678
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 13.775
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 5.54%
Graham Number snapshot only $20.46
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.18 2.18 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.54 1.54 1.536
Quick Ratio 2.18 2.18 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.54 1.54 1.536
Debt/Equity 0.71 0.71 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.216
Net Debt/Equity 0.36 0.36 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.079
Debt/Assets 0.27 0.27 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.145
Debt/EBITDA 0.80 0.61 0.49 0.41 0.34 0.29 0.29 0.31 0.37 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.42 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.477
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.41 0.31 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.22 -0.23 -0.27 -0.31 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.174
Interest Coverage 9.65 14.47 19.34 22.27 30.13 37.24 46.09 70.07 95.26 209.64 359.79 139.94 87.57 52.93 35.61 30.29 25.59 22.05 20.31 19.21 19.212
Equity Multiplier 2.65 2.65 2.14 2.14 2.14 2.14 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.50 1.50 1.496
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.926
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 39.283
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.636
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.877
Defensive Interval snapshot only 883.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.36 0.68 0.78 0.93 1.05 0.78 0.75 0.66 0.58 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.461
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 7.81 9.56 9.36 10.82 12.83 14.54 10.57 10.14 8.86 7.82 6.81 6.87 7.18 7.28 7.80 7.98 7.87 7.82 9.92 9.98 9.984
Payables Turnover 4.30 4.44 3.57 3.81 4.05 4.47 2.66 2.83 2.94 2.96 2.65 2.78 2.95 3.13 3.39 3.48 3.53 3.60 3.86 3.94 3.939
DSO 47 38 39 34 28 25 35 36 41 47 54 53 51 50 47 46 46 47 37 37 36.6 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 85 82 102 96 90 82 137 129 124 123 138 131 124 117 108 105 103 101 95 93 92.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -38 -44 -63 -62 -62 -57 -103 -93 -83 -77 -84 -78 -73 -67 -61 -59 -57 -55 -58 -56 -56.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.539
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.948
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.199
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -1.0% 45.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 87.8% 56.5% 29.9% -4.3% -25.5% -27.6% -23.8% -8.9% 4.7% 7.2% 8.8% 2.7% 0.7% -0.3% -2.0% -1.98%
Net Income 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 5.4% 2.7% 1.8% 1.1% 58.5% -3.1% -35.8% -56.6% -54.2% -42.7% -27.4% -5.7% 1.8% -3.9% -9.7% -11.1% -16.1% -16.08%
EPS 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.6% 1.0% 51.1% -3.6% -35.2% -55.9% -51.8% -41.3% -27.6% -7.1% -1.6% -4.7% -8.2% -7.2% -13.6% -13.61%
FCF 56.9% 1.8% 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 1.2% 49.0% 18.8% -22.6% -59.5% -91.4% -91.2% -79.6% -51.3% 5.0% 5.6% 2.3% 1.4% -6.0% -15.3% -15.34%
EBITDA 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 66.1% 32.5% -8.0% -30.8% -33.2% -28.5% -13.0% 3.0% 4.8% 6.2% -0.3% -5.2% -5.1% -7.3% -7.27%
Op. Income 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 4.3% 2.2% 1.4% 78.2% 30.6% -19.2% -44.9% -50.2% -44.9% -28.1% -11.5% -4.2% -1.7% -8.9% -10.8% -14.2% -17.6% -17.61%
OCF Growth snapshot only -8.95%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.92%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.38%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.25%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.85%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 11.84%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.8% 9.9% 1.4% 4.8% 9.5% 12.0% 21.9% 21.8% 24.4% 26.8% 31.9% 30.1% 21.0% 13.6% 6.7% 2.5% -3.6% -7.7% -8.2% -6.7% -6.69%
Revenue 5Y 81.0% 51.6% 33.5% 19.5% 13.2% 3.4% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 7.0% 8.4% 12.5% 16.5% 19.7% 18.6% 18.61%
EPS 3Y -21.1% 13.8% 57.4% 1.8% 1.5% 62.4% 25.3% 6.3% -5.8% -10.5% -18.6% -24.5% -27.6% -25.7% -25.73%
EPS 5Y 2.7% 2.3% 1.9% 32.0% 10.5% 19.6% 28.5% 72.4% 45.7% 29.5% 29.50%
Net Income 3Y 2.1% 18.1% 64.4% 1.9% 1.6% 66.4% 27.3% 8.7% -4.3% -9.6% -18.9% -25.0% -28.6% -26.9% -26.88%
Net Income 5Y 3.7% 2.9% 2.5% 56.8% 30.9% 23.9% 32.9% 77.4% 48.8% 31.5% 31.52%
EBITDA 3Y 19.5% 15.2% 0.8% 5.8% 12.2% 15.2% 25.7% 37.9% 23.6% 13.7% 5.2% 0.2% -7.3% -12.3% -12.8% -11.0% -11.03%
EBITDA 5Y 55.6% 30.0% 16.9% 2.6% 2.3% 2.5% 1.7% 6.8% 20.9% 20.87%
Gross Profit 3Y -2.7% 0.3% -7.3% 1.8% 14.1% 25.2% 67.0% 78.4% 94.9% 90.3% 76.0% 38.2% 18.6% 6.1% -2.9% -7.8% -15.3% -19.8% -20.9% -19.1% -19.07%
Gross Profit 5Y 91.1% 59.7% 32.9% 15.1% 5.8% -5.5% -4.0% -0.8% 1.6% 20.4% 27.8% 39.5% 42.3% 36.9% 18.7% 18.71%
Op. Income 3Y 15.0% 23.9% 30.1% 51.0% 81.5% 95.3% 1.0% 56.6% 22.9% 5.9% -5.3% -10.9% -19.1% -24.2% -25.8% -23.5% -23.55%
Op. Income 5Y 60.2% 31.5% 20.6% 14.3% 19.9% 28.3% 29.5% 32.1% 25.5% 25.48%
FCF 3Y 52.0% 40.5% 26.7% 30.4% 56.8% 40.2% 47.2% 35.4% -7.2% -18.9% -25.5% -24.1% -8.7% -11.6% -19.4% -22.7% -21.7% -21.0% -21.01%
FCF 5Y -14.9% -21.9% -20.3% -15.3% 14.5% 9.9% 16.6% 23.2% 34.9% 24.4% 24.41%
OCF 3Y 92.6% 59.1% 16.7% 14.0% 10.9% 12.8% 26.0% 24.3% 29.7% 31.0% 40.3% 42.4% 26.6% 15.9% 5.3% 0.9% -7.8% -11.5% -12.2% -12.7% -12.68%
OCF 5Y 82.7% 82.3% 77.2% 42.2% 11.5% 6.7% 2.5% 1.0% 7.3% 7.0% 11.4% 18.0% 23.2% 23.7% 23.73%
Assets 3Y -4.9% -4.9% -20.2% -20.2% -20.2% -20.2% -9.5% -9.5% -9.5% -9.5% 23.8% 23.8% 23.8% 23.8% 17.3% 17.3% 17.3% 17.3% 4.1% 4.1% 4.11%
Assets 5Y 21.8% 21.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% -4.0% -4.0% -4.0% -4.0% 14.8% 14.8% 14.84%
Equity 3Y -30.0% -30.0% -21.3% -21.3% -21.3% -21.3% -3.9% -3.9% -3.9% -3.9% 45.6% 45.6% 45.6% 45.6% 32.8% 32.8% 32.8% 32.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.17%
Book Value 3Y -45.9% -32.6% -24.7% -25.1% -25.7% -24.5% -7.2% -8.3% -8.0% -6.8% 40.6% 42.1% 43.2% 42.4% 30.6% 31.5% 33.3% 33.8% 8.7% 8.9% 8.85%
Dividend 3Y 52.2% 68.6% 0.9% 12.3% 11.5% 1.8% 11.2% 1.6% 1.0% 1.8% 3.6% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 5.4% 5.43%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.63 0.64 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.57 0.25 0.23 0.23 0.09 0.31 0.39 0.43 0.31 0.33 0.39 0.389
Earnings Stability 0.08 0.04 0.01 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.40 0.39 0.34 0.26 0.47 0.41 0.34 0.27 0.01 0.006
Margin Stability 0.51 0.49 0.40 0.54 0.53 0.60 0.55 0.61 0.58 0.58 0.61 0.80 0.88 0.85 0.69 0.64 0.58 0.59 0.64 0.81 0.811
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.89 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.936
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.27 0.55 0.97 0.56 0.21 0.26 0.46 0.68 0.94 0.98 0.96 0.90 0.88 0.83 0.825
ROE Trend 0.70 0.90 1.60 0.90 1.02 1.07 1.41 0.13 -0.17 -0.44 -0.31 -0.36 -0.41 -0.44 -0.21 -0.17 -0.13 -0.10 -0.04 -0.05 -0.046
Gross Margin Trend 0.17 0.29 0.42 0.37 0.36 0.33 0.28 0.13 -0.00 -0.09 -0.14 -0.16 -0.15 -0.15 -0.14 -0.12 -0.10 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.071
FCF Margin Trend 0.10 0.16 0.31 0.24 0.19 0.19 0.15 0.10 -0.04 -0.20 -0.44 -0.43 -0.37 -0.27 0.05 0.07 0.04 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.091
Sustainable Growth Rate 15.9% 24.2% 59.1% 68.7% 93.0% 1.1% 68.4% 63.8% 48.7% 36.5% 18.4% 17.6% 17.7% 17.4% 14.9% 15.6% 14.4% 12.9% 11.0% 10.8% 10.77%
Internal Growth Rate 8.1% 12.9% 33.7% 41.4% 65.8% 89.6% 61.0% 54.7% 36.9% 25.3% 12.7% 12.1% 12.2% 12.0% 10.7% 11.2% 10.3% 9.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.82%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.44 2.06 1.89 1.75 1.60 1.59 1.45 1.55 1.65 1.68 2.20 2.25 2.40 2.49 2.52 2.43 2.36 2.61 2.70 2.64 2.641
FCF/OCF 0.64 0.65 0.70 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.63 0.58 0.53 0.41 0.08 0.08 0.13 0.18 0.45 0.47 0.45 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.433
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.142
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.968
CapEx/Revenue 22.5% 23.5% 22.0% 22.4% 23.6% 24.3% 28.1% 32.7% 36.5% 41.5% 64.0% 63.1% 61.5% 58.8% 38.2% 37.1% 35.5% 36.7% 37.0% 36.6% 36.57%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.075
Accruals Ratio -0.11 -0.13 -0.23 -0.24 -0.26 -0.30 -0.19 -0.21 -0.20 -0.16 -0.18 -0.18 -0.20 -0.21 -0.20 -0.20 -0.18 -0.20 -0.19 -0.18 -0.185
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.145
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.424
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 2.0% 2.14%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.08 $0.08 $0.28 $0.27 $0.30 $0.39 $0.32 $0.44 $0.46 $0.47 $0.49 $0.49 $0.50 $0.51 $0.54 $0.57 $0.60 $0.62 $0.63 $0.63
Payout Ratio 0.0% 4.8% 3.4% 9.9% 7.5% 6.9% 8.4% 7.4% 12.4% 16.4% 22.7% 23.7% 23.9% 24.8% 26.7% 26.7% 29.2% 32.3% 34.8% 35.6% 35.59%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 3.6% 2.6% 8.2% 6.8% 6.4% 9.2% 8.1% 14.2% 24.0% 1.3% 1.4% 77.0% 54.3% 23.3% 23.6% 27.3% 27.1% 28.8% 31.2% 31.16%
Total Payout Ratio 1.0% 92.2% 74.6% 78.0% 60.1% 49.7% 47.8% 40.1% 44.9% 57.0% 75.6% 79.6% 94.0% 96.5% 1.0% 98.1% 88.5% 92.9% 97.9% 99.6% 99.58%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 3.00 4.34 0.20 0.63 0.54 0.19 0.50 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.17 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.14 0.138
Buyback Yield 7.5% 9.0% 9.5% 8.8% 9.9% 10.0% 8.4% 6.8% 5.8% 5.2% 5.4% 4.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 5.9% 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 3.6% 3.56%
Net Buyback Yield 7.5% 9.0% 9.5% 8.8% 9.9% 10.0% 8.4% 6.8% 5.8% 5.2% 5.4% 4.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 5.9% 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 3.6% 3.56%
Total Shareholder Return 7.5% 9.5% 9.9% 10.1% 11.3% 11.6% 10.2% 8.4% 8.0% 7.3% 7.7% 6.6% 7.9% 8.2% 8.5% 8.1% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 5.5% 5.54%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.77 0.85 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.791
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.90 0.93 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.948
EBIT Margin 0.41 0.50 0.55 0.59 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.61 0.55 0.49 0.46 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.326
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.36 0.68 0.78 0.93 1.05 0.78 0.75 0.66 0.58 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.461
Equity Multiplier 2.12 2.12 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.49 1.49 1.485
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.05 $1.68 $2.30 $2.84 $3.64 $4.30 $4.69 $4.29 $3.51 $2.79 $2.07 $2.07 $2.06 $2.02 $1.92 $2.03 $1.96 $1.85 $1.78 $1.76 $1.76
Book Value/Share $3.11 $3.12 $4.50 $4.46 $4.33 $4.32 $8.27 $8.21 $8.31 $8.42 $9.01 $9.27 $9.15 $9.00 $10.04 $10.14 $10.26 $10.36 $10.63 $10.58 $11.11
Tangible Book/Share $3.06 $3.07 $4.50 $4.46 $4.33 $4.32 $8.27 $8.21 $8.31 $8.42 $9.01 $9.27 $9.15 $9.00 $10.04 $10.14 $10.26 $10.36 $10.63 $10.58 $10.58
Revenue/Share $4.15 $5.10 $5.97 $6.83 $7.87 $8.90 $8.89 $8.46 $7.49 $6.69 $6.53 $6.79 $7.00 $6.98 $6.90 $7.14 $7.12 $7.15 $7.19 $7.20 $7.20
FCF/Share $1.62 $2.26 $3.03 $3.43 $3.98 $4.66 $4.30 $3.89 $3.07 $1.90 $0.37 $0.36 $0.64 $0.92 $2.19 $2.30 $2.10 $2.21 $2.15 $2.01 $2.01
OCF/Share $2.56 $3.46 $4.35 $4.96 $5.84 $6.82 $6.80 $6.65 $5.80 $4.68 $4.56 $4.64 $4.94 $5.03 $4.83 $4.95 $4.63 $4.83 $4.81 $4.64 $4.64
Cash/Share $1.09 $1.10 $2.02 $2.00 $1.95 $1.94 $3.54 $3.52 $3.56 $3.61 $2.14 $2.20 $2.17 $2.14 $1.36 $1.38 $1.39 $1.41 $1.46 $1.46 $0.68
EBITDA/Share $2.78 $3.64 $4.39 $5.14 $6.13 $6.97 $6.94 $6.50 $5.61 $4.87 $4.71 $4.89 $5.00 $5.00 $4.86 $5.02 $4.94 $4.82 $4.81 $4.79 $4.79
Debt/Share $2.22 $2.23 $2.14 $2.12 $2.06 $2.05 $2.05 $2.03 $2.06 $2.08 $2.09 $2.15 $2.12 $2.09 $2.15 $2.17 $2.20 $2.22 $2.30 $2.29 $2.29
Net Debt/Share $1.13 $1.13 $0.12 $0.12 $0.11 $0.11 $-1.50 $-1.48 $-1.50 $-1.52 $-0.04 $-0.05 $-0.04 $-0.04 $0.79 $0.80 $0.81 $0.81 $0.84 $0.83 $0.83
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 5.314
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 9.150
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -3.09 -3.49 -2.73 -2.92 -2.93 -3.21 0.69 0.72 1.10 1.06 -3.22 -3.29 -3.41 -3.42 -3.60 -3.59 -3.50 -3.60 -3.50 -3.53 -3.533
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -10.277
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 16.50%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.52
EVA snapshot only $141539216.42
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 83.97 88.88 96.41 97.91 97.94 97.51 97.56 97.34 97.73 97.35 93.39 93.54 96.23 96.18 97.89 97.55 97.71 97.56 97.63 96.24 96.237
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.318
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 96
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 94

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