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MH NYSE

McGraw Hill, Inc.
1W: +9.8% 1M: -15.0% 3M: -11.2% YTD: -25.5%
$12.03
-0.16 (-1.31%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$10 $11 $11 $12 $13
NYSE · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 49 · $2.3B mcap · 20M float · 1.89% daily turnover · Short 59% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
59.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 6.2%
Cost Advantage
66
Intangibles
70
Switching Cost
59
Network Effect
38
Scale
56
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MH has a Narrow competitive edge (59.6/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 6.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$17
Low
$18
Avg Target
$19
High
Based on 3 analysts since Feb 11, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$19.29
Analysts7
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-12 BMO Capital Initiated $19 +25.8% $15.10
2026-02-12 Robert W. Baird Initiated $19 +20.7% $15.73
2026-02-12 UBS Initiated $17 +37.8% $12.34
2025-12-22 Goldman Sachs Initiated $22 +28.5% $17.12
2025-12-17 Morgan Stanley Initiated $21 +22.1% $17.20
2025-08-18 Needham Ryan MacDonald Initiated $19 +42.3% $13.35
2025-08-18 Deutsche Bank Faiza Alwy Initiated $18 +34.8% $13.35

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MH receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-03-16 C- C
2026-03-02 C C-
2026-02-19 D+ C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

43 Grade C
Profitability
68
Balance Sheet
17
Earnings Quality
69
Growth
Value
36
Momentum
Safety
15
Cash Flow
75
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MH scores highest in Cash Flow (75/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.09
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
Ohlson O-Score
-5.22
Bankruptcy prob: 0.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 18.5/100
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.52x
Accruals: -2.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MH scores 0.09, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MH scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MH's implied 0.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MH receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 18.5/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MH's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-30.99x
PEG
1.34x
P/S
1.09x
P/B
2.85x
P/FCF
9.83x
P/OCF
9.05x
EV/EBITDA
26.18x
EV/Revenue
7.86x
EV/EBIT
37.54x
EV/FCF
21.59x
Earnings Yield
4.39%
FCF Yield
10.17%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$4.27
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. MH currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $4.27 per share, 182% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.250
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.601
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.209
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.116
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
20.546
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
37.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MH's ROE of 37.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 20.55x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.25 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$4.69
Price/Value
2.68x
Margin of Safety
-167.85%
Premium
167.85%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MH's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. MH trades at a 168% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $4.69, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -31.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 210 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$12.06
Median 1Y
$6.75
5th Pctile
$2.38
95th Pctile
$19.14
Ann. Volatility
57.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
ROE 37.6% 37.57%
ROA 1.8% 1.83%
ROIC 6.2% 6.22%
ROCE 3.2% 3.17%
Gross Margin 79.2% 79.22%
Operating Margin 23.4% 23.39%
Net Margin 15.7% 15.73%
EBITDA Margin 30.0% 30.03%
FCF Margin 36.4% 36.43%
OCF Margin 39.6% 39.60%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.56%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.60%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.42%
CROIC snapshot only 7.75%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 29.24%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 12.59%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 10.41%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.55%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 22.77 -30.991
P/S Ratio 3.58 1.088
P/B Ratio 8.55 2.849
P/FCF 9.83 9.833
P/OCF 9.05 9.046
EV/EBITDA 26.18 26.185
EV/Revenue 7.86 7.864
EV/EBIT 37.54 37.544
EV/FCF 21.59 21.586
Earnings Yield 4.4% 4.39%
FCF Yield 10.2% 10.17%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 1.343
EV/OCF snapshot only 19.859
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 9.927
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 33.620
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $4.27
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.79 0.791
Quick Ratio 0.66 0.660
Debt/Equity 11.62 11.615
Net Debt/Equity 10.22 10.224
Debt/Assets 0.57 0.565
Debt/EBITDA 16.20 16.197
Net Debt/EBITDA 14.26 14.257
Interest Coverage 2.51 2.506
Equity Multiplier 20.55 20.546
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.293
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.593
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.120
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.075
Defensive Interval snapshot only 711.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.116
Inventory Turnover 0.80 0.799
Receivables Turnover 1.98 1.977
Payables Turnover 0.95 0.948
DSO 185 184.6 days
DIO 457 456.7 days
DPO 385 385.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 256 256.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.620
Operating Cycle snapshot only 641.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.717
Capital Intensity snapshot only 8.604
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability
Earnings Stability
Margin Stability
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0
Earnings Persistence
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend
FCF Margin Trend
Sustainable Growth Rate 37.6% 37.57%
Internal Growth Rate 1.9% 1.86%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.52 2.517
FCF/OCF 0.92 0.920
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.316
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.319
CapEx/Revenue 3.2% 3.17%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.349
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.028
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.124
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 12.502
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -16.3% -16.27%
Total Shareholder Return -16.3% -16.27%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.25 1.250
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.60 0.601
EBIT Margin 0.21 0.209
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.116
Equity Multiplier 20.55 20.546
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.55 $0.55
Book Value/Share $1.47 $4.22
Tangible Book/Share $-20.70 $-20.70
Revenue/Share $3.50 $11.50
FCF/Share $1.28 $1.73
OCF/Share $1.39 $2.37
Cash/Share $2.04 $2.80
EBITDA/Share $1.05 $1.05
Debt/Share $17.04 $17.04
Net Debt/Share $15.00 $15.00
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.090
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.419
Piotroski F-Score 4 4
Beneish M-Score
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.219
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-23.17
EVA snapshot only $-118890816.25
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 18.53 18.529
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 8
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 7

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms