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MRDN NASDAQ

Meridian Holdings Inc.
1W: -10.6% 1M: -12.4% 3M: -12.3% YTD: +66.9%
$11.95
+0.42 (+3.64%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.9%
$10 $11 $12 $13 $14
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · Tech Score Sell · Power 30 · $151.1M mcap · 2M float · 3.18% daily turnover · Short 42% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
45.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 8.7%
Cost Advantage
50
Intangibles
43
Switching Cost
63
Network Effect
29
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MRDN shows a Weak competitive edge (45.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 8.7% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$22
Avg Target
$22
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$21.60
Analysts2
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-03-13 _new_coverage None ADDED

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MRDN receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 C+ C
2026-06-29 B- C+
2026-06-24 C+ B-
2026-06-15 B- C+
2026-05-26 C+ B-
2026-05-14 B- C+
2026-05-11 C+ B-
2026-05-11 B- C+
2026-04-28 C+ B-
2026-03-31 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 49 Grade B
Profitability
33
Balance Sheet
74
Earnings Quality
77
Growth
—
Value
26
Momentum
—
Safety
50
Cash Flow
70
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MRDN scores highest in Earnings Quality (77/100) and lowest in Value (26/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.11
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-6.07
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 73.1/100
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.93x
Accruals: -7.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MRDN scores 2.11, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MRDN scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MRDN's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MRDN receives an estimated rating of A (score: 73.1/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MRDN's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-1.85x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.77x
P/B
3.04x
P/FCF
10.63x
P/OCF
13.71x
EV/EBITDA
15.66x
EV/Revenue
1.76x
EV/EBIT
28.94x
EV/FCF
10.57x
Earnings Yield
2.49%
FCF Yield
9.41%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$5.52
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. MRDN currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.52 per share, 117% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.812
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.893
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.061
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.871
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.314
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
8.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MRDN's ROE of 8.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.871), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2.95
Price/Value
4.72x
Margin of Safety
-372.11%
Premium
372.11%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MRDN's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MRDN trades at a 372% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2.95, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -1.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 166 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$11.95
Median 1Y
$15.20
5th Pctile
$2.77
95th Pctile
$83.08
Ann. Volatility
104.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Zoran Milošević MeridianBet
tive Officer of MeridianBet Group
$93,129 $715,000 $808,129
Anthony B. Goodman
CEO, President and Director
$303,600 $— $337,986
Omar Jimenez Financial
ief Financial Officer and Chief Compliance Officer
$251,025 $— $251,025
Weiting ‘Cathy’ Feng
COO, Former CFO and Former Director
$186,500 $— $207,555

CEO Pay Ratio

5:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $808,129
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $166,355
Employees: 1,200

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,200
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$152,386
Rev: $182,863,373
Profit / Employee
$-76,652
NI: $-91,982,136
SGA / Employee
$166,355
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 4.6% 8.9% 8.90%
ROA 2.0% 3.8% 3.84%
ROIC 4.7% 8.7% 8.69%
ROCE 5.5% 11.1% 11.10%
Gross Margin 56.2% 53.5% 53.50%
Operating Margin 6.3% 4.9% 4.86%
Net Margin 4.5% 4.3% 4.31%
EBITDA Margin 11.3% 11.2% 11.16%
FCF Margin 7.5% 16.7% 16.66%
OCF Margin 10.3% 12.9% 12.92%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.62%
Cash ROA snapshot only 11.25%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 26.55%
CROIC snapshot only 34.24%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.23%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.43%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 49.26%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.15%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 40.83 40.13 -1.852
P/S Ratio 1.84 1.77 0.766
P/B Ratio 1.89 3.57 3.042
P/FCF 24.62 10.63 10.632
P/OCF 17.91 13.71 13.710
EV/EBITDA 16.66 15.66 15.659
EV/Revenue 1.89 1.76 1.761
EV/EBIT 29.40 28.94 28.944
EV/FCF 25.23 10.57 10.575
Earnings Yield 2.4% 2.5% 2.49%
FCF Yield 4.1% 9.4% 9.41%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.001
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 11.683
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.636
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.212
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 31.561
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $5.52
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.57 0.59 0.586
Quick Ratio 0.48 0.51 0.508
Debt/Equity 0.39 0.33 0.329
Net Debt/Equity 0.05 -0.02 -0.019
Debt/Assets 0.17 0.14 0.142
Debt/EBITDA 3.33 1.45 1.450
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.41 -0.08 -0.085
Interest Coverage 9.10 9.33 9.333
Equity Multiplier 2.30 2.31 2.314
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.288
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 17.251
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.059
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.021
Defensive Interval snapshot only 191.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.45 0.87 0.871
Inventory Turnover 4.52 9.76 9.763
Receivables Turnover 10.22 12.77 12.766
Payables Turnover 1.20 1207.97 1207.966
DSO 36 29 28.6 days
DIO 81 37 37.4 days
DPO 305 0 0.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -189 66 65.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.992
Operating Cycle snapshot only 66.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.791
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.148
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — —
Earnings Stability — — —
Margin Stability — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — —
ROE Trend — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.6% 8.9% 8.90%
Internal Growth Rate 2.1% 4.0% 4.00%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.28 2.93 2.927
FCF/OCF 0.73 1.29 1.289
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 3.774
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.148
CapEx/Revenue 2.8% 3.7% 3.74%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.724
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.07 -0.074
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.325
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.455
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — —
Chowder Number — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.81 0.812
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.89 0.89 0.893
EBIT Margin 0.06 0.06 0.061
Asset Turnover 0.45 0.87 0.871
Equity Multiplier 2.30 2.31 2.314
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.18 $0.35 $0.35
Book Value/Share $3.81 $3.90 $4.05
Tangible Book/Share $1.07 $1.19 $1.19
Revenue/Share $3.92 $7.86 $15.57
FCF/Share $0.29 $1.31 $2.20
OCF/Share $0.40 $1.02 $2.23
Cash/Share $1.30 $1.36 $1.37
EBITDA/Share $0.44 $0.88 $0.88
Debt/Share $1.48 $1.28 $1.28
Net Debt/Share $0.18 $-0.08 $-0.08
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — 2.106
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.043
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.073
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 70.90%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.25
EVA snapshot only $-636992.39
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 44.78 73.08 73.076
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 68
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 68

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms