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MRDN NASDAQ

Meridian Holdings Inc.
1W: -1.9% 1M: +63.8% 3M: +54.6% YTD: +43.9%
$10.37
+0.07 (+0.68%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±25.7%
$5 $8 $11 $14 $17
NASDAQ · Technology · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 58 · $131.1M mcap · 2M float · 2.07% daily turnover · Short 57% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
49.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 4.6%
Cost Advantage
56
Intangibles
35
Switching Cost
70
Network Effect
33
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MRDN shows a Weak competitive edge (49.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 4.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$22
Avg Target
$22
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$21.60
Analysts2
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-03-13 _new_coverage None ADDED

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MRDN receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-14 B- C+
2026-05-11 C+ B-
2026-05-11 B- C+
2026-04-28 C+ B-
2026-03-31 B- C+
2026-03-24 C+ B-
2026-03-20 C C+
2026-03-16 B- C
2026-03-09 C+ B-
2026-03-04 C- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

34 Grade B
Profitability
30
Balance Sheet
72
Earnings Quality
79
Growth
Value
28
Momentum
Safety
15
Cash Flow
53
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MRDN scores highest in Earnings Quality (79/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.06
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
Ohlson O-Score
-5.61
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 38.6/100
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.28x
Accruals: -2.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MRDN scores 1.06, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MRDN scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MRDN's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MRDN receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 38.6/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MRDN's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-1.50x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.69x
P/B
2.69x
P/FCF
24.62x
P/OCF
17.91x
EV/EBITDA
17.38x
EV/Revenue
1.95x
EV/EBIT
30.92x
EV/FCF
26.03x
Earnings Yield
2.45%
FCF Yield
4.06%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$3.81
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. MRDN currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3.81 per share, 172% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.789
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.907
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.063
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.424
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.537
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
4.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MRDN's ROE of 4.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.424), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1.50
Price/Value
4.80x
Margin of Safety
-380.36%
Premium
380.36%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MRDN's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. MRDN trades at a 380% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1.50, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -1.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 75 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.37
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
682.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Zoran Milošević MeridianBet
tive Officer of MeridianBet Group
$93,129 $715,000 $808,129
Anthony B. Goodman
CEO, President and Director
$303,600 $— $337,986
Omar Jimenez Financial
ief Financial Officer and Chief Compliance Officer
$251,025 $— $251,025
Weiting ‘Cathy’ Feng
COO, Former CFO and Former Director
$186,500 $— $207,555

CEO Pay Ratio

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
ROE 4.9% 4.86%
ROA 1.9% 1.91%
ROIC 4.6% 4.61%
ROCE 5.4% 5.40%
Gross Margin 56.2% 56.17%
Operating Margin 6.3% 6.30%
Net Margin 4.5% 4.51%
EBITDA Margin 11.2% 11.21%
FCF Margin 7.5% 7.48%
OCF Margin 10.3% 10.29%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.47%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.37%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.94%
CROIC snapshot only 7.23%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.77%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.72%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 49.87%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.50%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 40.83 -1.500
P/S Ratio 1.84 0.689
P/B Ratio 1.98 2.690
P/FCF 24.62 24.616
P/OCF 17.91 17.905
EV/EBITDA 17.38 17.376
EV/Revenue 1.95 1.948
EV/EBIT 30.92 30.922
EV/FCF 26.03 26.033
Earnings Yield 2.4% 2.45%
FCF Yield 4.1% 4.06%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.002
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 7.937
EV/OCF snapshot only 18.936
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.469
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 30.922
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $3.81
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.59 0.595
Quick Ratio 0.50 0.502
Debt/Equity 0.50 0.503
Net Debt/Equity 0.11 0.114
Debt/Assets 0.20 0.198
Debt/EBITDA 4.16 4.163
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.95 0.946
Interest Coverage 8.93 8.925
Equity Multiplier 2.54 2.537
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.303
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 15.883
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.773
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.160
Defensive Interval snapshot only 380.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.424
Inventory Turnover 3.97 3.975
Receivables Turnover 6.30 6.299
Payables Turnover 74.40 74.398
DSO 58 57.9 days
DIO 92 91.8 days
DPO 5 4.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 145 144.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.421
Operating Cycle snapshot only 149.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.771
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.357
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability
Earnings Stability
Margin Stability
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0
Earnings Persistence
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend
FCF Margin Trend
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.9% 4.86%
Internal Growth Rate 2.0% 1.95%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.28 2.280
FCF/OCF 0.73 0.727
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.659
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.918
CapEx/Revenue 2.8% 2.81%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.571
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.025
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.266
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.668
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.789
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.91 0.907
EBIT Margin 0.06 0.063
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.424
Equity Multiplier 2.54 2.537
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.18 $0.18
Book Value/Share $3.64 $3.99
Tangible Book/Share $0.91 $0.91
Revenue/Share $3.92 $15.05
FCF/Share $0.29 $0.88
OCF/Share $0.40 $1.80
Cash/Share $1.41 $1.28
EBITDA/Share $0.44 $0.44
Debt/Share $1.83 $1.83
Net Debt/Share $0.42 $0.42
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.062
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.229
Piotroski F-Score 4 4
Beneish M-Score
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.606
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 28.36%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.68
EVA snapshot only $-2796013.30
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 38.62 38.621
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 26
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 21

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms