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MSEX NASDAQ

Middlesex Water Company
1W: +0.4% 1M: -3.2% 3M: -4.4% YTD: +3.6% 1Y: -10.5% 3Y: -25.0% 5Y: -29.5%
$52.11
+0.36 (+0.70%)
After Hours: $51.61 (-0.50, -0.95%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
$46 $48 $50 $52 $54
NASDAQ · Utilities · Regulated Water · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 48 · $970.5M mcap · 18M float · 0.858% daily turnover · Short 65% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 5.5%  ·  5Y Avg: 5.5%
Cost Advantage ★
68
Intangibles
47
Switching Cost
31
Network Effect
34
Scale
57
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MSEX shows a Weak competitive edge (46.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 5.5% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$55
Avg Target
$55
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$55.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-25 Loop Capital Markets Matvey Tayts Initiated $55 +2.5% $53.67
2025-12-05 New Street Initiated $52 +1.9% $51.05

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
3
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MSEX receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-06 B B-
2026-05-04 C+ B
2026-04-30 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

39 Grade A
Profitability
60
Balance Sheet
39
Earnings Quality
88
Growth
41
Value
55
Momentum
72
Safety
15
Cash Flow
34
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MSEX scores highest in Earnings Quality (88/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A places MSEX among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.13
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-0.02
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.02
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 34.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.38x
Accruals: -1.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MSEX scores 1.13, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MSEX scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MSEX's score of -0.02 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MSEX's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MSEX receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 34.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MSEX's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
21.95x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
4.90x
P/B
1.93x
P/FCF
63.16x
P/OCF
15.85x
EV/EBITDA
14.27x
EV/Revenue
6.91x
EV/EBIT
21.61x
EV/FCF
90.57x
Earnings Yield
4.58%
FCF Yield
1.58%
Shareholder Yield
2.66%
Graham Number
$37.91
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 21.9x earnings, MSEX commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $37.91 per share, 37% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.899
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.768
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.320
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.152
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.785
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
9.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MSEX's ROE of 9.3% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
5.37%
Fair P/E
19.25x
Intrinsic Value
$45.89
Price/Value
1.13x
Margin of Safety
-13.43%
Premium
13.43%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MSEX's realized 5.4% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. MSEX trades at a 13% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $45.89, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 19.2x compares to the current market P/E of 21.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$52.11
Median 1Y
$49.54
5th Pctile
$29.67
95th Pctile
$83.49
Ann. Volatility
33.3%
Analyst Target
$55.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Nadine Leslie Chair,
President and Chief Executive Officer
$754,000 $678,000 $1,906,024
Mohammed G. Zerhouni
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
$587,600 $200,000 $1,024,696
Gregory S. Sorensen
Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
$494,000 $— $696,514
Jay L. Kooper
Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
$386,227 $103,000 $586,243
Georgia M. Simpson
Vice President, Information Technology and Chief Technology Officer
$318,210 $72,000 $467,588

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
395
+9.7% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$492,896
Rev: $194,694,000
Profit / Employee
$108,410
NI: $42,822,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 11.5% 11.2% 10.2% 11.6% 11.1% 11.8% 11.0% 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 10.0% 10.2% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 9.1% 9.3% 9.34%
ROA 4.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.1% 3.5% 3.6% 3.1% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.3% 3.4% 3.35%
ROIC 6.6% 6.5% 5.6% 6.4% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 5.0% 5.2% 4.9% 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% 5.5% 5.52%
ROCE 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.6% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.0% 5.2% 4.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.4% 5.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.2% 4.9% 5.0% 5.01%
Gross Margin 51.1% 52.5% 45.9% 47.1% 50.7% 57.4% 48.3% 46.9% 50.5% 51.7% 50.6% 49.5% 55.6% 54.0% 47.5% 52.4% 53.2% 43.3% 35.5% 52.8% 52.76%
Operating Margin 26.7% 28.7% 18.6% 34.6% 25.4% 34.7% 21.0% 19.6% 24.9% 27.4% 21.4% 24.3% 31.2% 31.8% 22.4% 26.1% 28.2% 32.7% 23.9% 26.9% 26.90%
Net Margin 29.8% 28.8% 21.3% 33.4% 22.3% 29.9% 18.5% 15.4% 23.1% 21.4% 14.9% 26.4% 21.5% 26.0% 18.7% 21.4% 21.9% 25.8% 18.3% 21.8% 21.77%
EBITDA Margin 46.9% 41.4% 49.6% 57.3% 45.5% 51.8% 43.0% 43.0% 47.1% 45.6% 42.8% 52.3% 50.9% 47.8% 42.3% 48.0% 47.3% 52.0% 46.2% 47.8% 47.81%
FCF Margin -41.4% -42.7% -32.4% -24.8% -18.0% -16.1% -18.5% -21.8% -23.2% -24.8% -22.5% -21.7% -15.4% 18.0% 17.5% 18.5% 39.1% 11.0% 9.7% 7.6% 7.63%
OCF Margin 32.8% 24.1% 23.1% 25.6% 30.3% 37.2% 37.8% 38.5% 38.1% 34.3% 31.7% 25.8% 23.6% 27.3% 30.6% 33.7% 37.2% 33.6% 32.2% 30.4% 30.41%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.03%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.48%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.20%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.93%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.52%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.43%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.65%
CROIC snapshot only 1.67%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 25.25%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 24.56%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.57%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 34.07 44.40 53.55 41.29 36.41 30.11 30.66 36.08 36.49 34.10 35.35 24.84 24.44 27.48 20.76 26.16 22.17 22.68 21.71 21.83 21.949
P/S Ratio 9.21 11.62 13.67 11.74 9.65 8.12 8.01 7.94 8.11 6.74 6.70 5.35 5.17 6.19 4.80 5.77 4.91 5.01 4.77 4.82 4.902
P/B Ratio 3.80 4.79 5.29 4.66 3.91 3.46 3.23 3.25 3.38 2.79 2.62 2.12 2.13 2.67 2.06 2.53 2.15 2.18 1.88 1.94 1.925
P/FCF -22.22 -27.21 -42.22 -47.32 -53.69 -50.29 -43.40 -36.41 -34.98 -27.15 -29.80 -24.67 -33.60 34.37 27.41 31.18 12.57 45.44 48.99 63.16 63.161
P/OCF 28.11 48.12 59.25 45.87 31.89 21.82 21.20 20.61 21.30 19.66 21.12 20.77 21.85 22.64 15.68 17.14 13.19 14.89 14.85 15.85 15.848
EV/EBITDA 26.09 32.99 36.07 28.74 24.55 19.98 20.75 22.00 22.08 19.93 20.49 16.57 15.64 17.35 14.08 16.32 14.78 14.65 14.25 14.27 14.265
EV/Revenue 11.18 13.59 15.96 13.97 11.83 10.19 10.24 10.15 10.28 8.93 9.17 7.78 7.51 8.43 6.79 7.72 6.86 6.97 6.91 6.91 6.911
EV/EBIT 42.12 53.20 62.54 46.59 39.47 31.68 31.56 34.75 34.89 32.94 33.92 25.75 23.41 25.13 20.21 24.13 22.24 22.29 21.73 21.61 21.605
EV/FCF -26.97 -31.82 -49.27 -56.30 -65.84 -63.15 -55.52 -46.54 -44.33 -35.93 -40.76 -35.87 -48.83 46.78 38.78 41.73 17.56 63.21 70.94 90.57 90.573
Earnings Yield 2.9% 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 4.1% 3.6% 4.8% 3.8% 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 4.58%
FCF Yield -4.5% -3.7% -2.4% -2.1% -1.9% -2.0% -2.3% -2.7% -2.9% -3.7% -3.4% -4.1% -3.0% 2.9% 3.6% 3.2% 8.0% 2.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.58%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.014
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.942
EV/OCF snapshot only 22.727
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 14.952
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 24.606
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.66%
Graham Number snapshot only $37.91
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.45 0.45 0.445
Quick Ratio 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.36 0.36 0.365
Debt/Equity 0.83 0.83 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.849
Net Debt/Equity 0.81 0.81 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.843
Debt/Assets 0.29 0.29 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.307
Debt/EBITDA 4.67 4.86 5.22 4.63 4.58 4.11 4.58 4.84 4.71 4.92 5.54 5.21 4.91 4.63 4.17 4.17 4.25 4.16 4.44 4.35 4.346
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.60 4.78 5.17 4.59 4.53 4.07 4.53 4.79 4.66 4.87 5.51 5.18 4.88 4.60 4.13 4.12 4.20 4.12 4.41 4.32 4.317
Interest Coverage 10.73 8.42 6.69 6.81 6.43 7.30 7.47 5.87 5.14 4.14 3.63 3.91 4.06 4.43 4.88 4.95 4.94 4.55 4.33 4.30 4.304
Equity Multiplier 2.80 2.80 2.76 2.76 2.76 2.76 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.76 2.76 2.764
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.030
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.519
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.007
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.036
Defensive Interval snapshot only 222.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.152
Inventory Turnover 13.70 13.89 14.07 14.22 14.53 14.79 13.71 13.91 14.19 14.59 12.64 12.67 12.77 13.19 13.49 13.59 13.77 14.55 14.74 15.01 15.009
Receivables Turnover 7.06 7.06 6.47 6.64 6.77 7.13 6.87 6.96 7.09 7.05 6.38 6.47 6.71 7.03 8.29 8.45 8.46 8.41 10.23 10.46 10.464
Payables Turnover 2.69 2.73 2.86 2.89 2.95 3.00 3.44 3.49 3.56 3.66 3.17 3.18 3.20 3.31 3.32 3.34 3.39 3.58 3.54 3.61 3.607
DSO 52 52 56 55 54 51 53 52 51 52 57 56 54 52 44 43 43 43 36 35 34.9 days
DIO 27 26 26 26 25 25 27 26 26 25 29 29 29 28 27 27 27 25 25 24 24.3 days
DPO 136 134 128 126 124 122 106 105 102 100 115 115 114 110 110 109 108 102 103 101 101.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -57 -56 -45 -46 -45 -46 -26 -26 -25 -23 -29 -30 -31 -31 -39 -39 -38 -34 -43 -42 -42.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 100.967
Operating Cycle snapshot only 59.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 71.110
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.859
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 4.5% 2.9% 1.1% 3.1% 4.2% 9.7% 13.5% 12.0% 11.8% 5.6% 2.4% 2.6% 4.5% 10.1% 15.4% 16.0% 11.9% 6.2% 1.5% 1.8% 1.76%
Net Income 6.3% -1.5% -4.9% 10.8% 2.1% 13.0% 16.1% -13.3% -6.2% -22.5% -25.7% 0.4% -0.7% 25.5% 40.7% 18.7% 17.3% 4.1% -3.5% 1.8% 1.85%
EPS 6.1% -1.6% -5.5% 10.4% 1.5% 12.1% 15.7% -13.8% -6.9% -23.1% -26.4% -0.5% -1.3% 24.9% 39.6% 18.6% 17.0% 3.0% -6.0% -0.8% -0.82%
FCF -11.2% -26.0% 11.3% 34.8% 54.8% 58.5% 35.3% 1.5% -44.3% -62.6% -24.8% -2.0% 30.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 3.8% -35.0% -43.5% -58.0% -58.03%
EBITDA 16.9% 7.2% 8.0% 20.3% 17.2% 35.8% 26.7% 6.4% 8.0% -7.2% -7.3% 4.4% 7.8% 19.4% 24.4% 16.9% 8.2% 4.1% 2.1% 4.2% 4.22%
Op. Income 4.2% -3.9% -11.3% 9.8% 9.2% 29.3% 42.5% 5.5% 6.2% -14.0% -17.1% -1.7% 7.8% 30.1% 35.7% 32.0% 15.7% 5.5% 2.2% 1.9% 1.86%
OCF Growth snapshot only -8.07%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.81%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.55%
Debt Growth snapshot only 8.62%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.70%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 7.19%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.4% 1.8% 1.2% 2.2% 3.3% 5.3% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 6.0% 5.5% 5.8% 6.8% 8.5% 10.3% 10.1% 9.3% 7.3% 6.2% 6.6% 6.59%
Revenue 5Y 2.2% 1.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 4.4% 4.5% 4.6% 4.1% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.6% 7.3% 6.9% 6.6% 6.9% 6.94%
EPS 3Y 11.8% 4.7% 1.2% 4.3% 3.2% 6.9% 7.5% 0.7% 0.1% -5.3% -7.0% -1.8% -2.3% 2.5% 5.9% 0.6% 2.4% -0.4% -1.2% 5.4% 5.37%
EPS 5Y 10.5% 7.8% 8.9% 11.7% 11.1% 13.8% 11.8% 8.0% 5.7% -0.2% -2.5% -0.5% 0.2% 3.3% 5.0% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 1.1% 2.2% 2.17%
Net Income 3Y 14.1% 6.9% 4.0% 6.5% 5.3% 9.0% 7.8% 1.1% 0.6% -4.8% -6.4% -1.2% -1.6% 3.2% 6.7% 1.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.3% 6.7% 6.68%
Net Income 5Y 12.0% 9.3% 9.9% 13.3% 12.7% 15.5% 13.2% 9.6% 7.3% 1.3% -0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 3.5% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.13%
EBITDA 3Y 3.8% 1.8% 4.8% 8.6% 10.5% 15.5% 17.0% 14.2% 13.9% 10.5% 8.3% 10.1% 10.9% 14.6% 13.5% 9.1% 8.0% 4.9% 5.6% 8.3% 8.33%
EBITDA 5Y 3.6% 1.6% 3.7% 6.5% 7.0% 9.8% 8.4% 7.5% 7.2% 5.9% 6.2% 7.3% 9.4% 11.3% 13.1% 12.7% 11.5% 10.9% 10.0% 10.2% 10.22%
Gross Profit 3Y 2.3% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.6% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 8.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.6% 8.4% 11.1% 12.7% 12.4% 11.3% 5.9% 2.4% 3.0% 3.02%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 4.2% 4.7% 5.3% 5.1% 4.1% 4.6% 4.7% 6.6% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 8.5% 6.5% 4.8% 5.5% 5.50%
Op. Income 3Y -1.0% -2.9% -3.7% 2.0% 3.8% 9.0% 10.0% 6.5% 6.5% 2.2% 1.6% 4.4% 7.8% 13.1% 17.0% 11.0% 9.8% 5.7% 4.7% 9.8% 9.75%
Op. Income 5Y -0.8% -3.1% -4.0% 0.1% 0.7% 4.0% 4.5% 2.8% 2.4% 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 5.1% 7.7% 8.4% 9.4% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 8.9% 8.89%
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 4.0% -9.7% -10.4% -5.5% 5.8% 17.3% 19.4% 12.5% 12.1% 4.5% -0.4% -2.3% -4.2% 13.0% 21.2% 20.6% 17.2% 3.8% 0.7% -1.5% -1.50%
OCF 5Y -0.3% -8.0% -6.8% -3.5% -2.1% 5.4% 7.4% 8.7% 8.8% 3.9% 2.8% -0.5% 1.6% 6.6% 10.3% 8.1% 10.0% 5.6% 3.2% 5.3% 5.35%
Assets 3Y 13.9% 13.9% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.32%
Assets 5Y 10.8% 10.8% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 6.94%
Equity 3Y 14.6% 14.6% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 7.1% 7.1% 7.08%
Book Value 3Y 12.2% 12.2% 10.7% 11.4% 11.5% 11.6% 7.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7% 5.5% 5.8% 5.77%
Dividend 3Y 0.8% 0.4% -0.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 1.09%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.94 0.87 0.75 0.84 0.88 0.84 0.79 0.82 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.86 0.91 0.94 0.90 0.91 0.95 0.98 0.94 0.95 0.947
Earnings Stability 0.94 0.84 0.85 0.90 0.91 0.89 0.84 0.59 0.65 0.23 0.06 0.12 0.23 0.17 0.17 0.25 0.30 0.13 0.15 0.30 0.297
Margin Stability 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.953
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.99 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.98 0.91 0.90 1.00 1.00 0.90 0.84 0.93 0.93 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.993
Earnings Smoothness 0.94 0.98 0.95 0.90 0.98 0.88 0.85 0.86 0.94 0.75 0.71 1.00 0.99 0.77 0.66 0.83 0.84 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.982
ROE Trend -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.002
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.053
FCF Margin Trend -0.07 -0.08 0.06 0.16 0.22 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.05 0.39 0.38 0.40 0.58 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.092
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.9% 5.5% 4.7% 6.1% 5.4% 6.1% 5.6% 3.8% 4.0% 2.8% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 4.4% 4.8% 4.4% 4.4% 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 3.91%
Internal Growth Rate 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.42%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.21 0.92 0.90 0.90 1.14 1.38 1.45 1.75 1.71 1.73 1.67 1.20 1.12 1.21 1.32 1.53 1.68 1.52 1.46 1.38 1.378
FCF/OCF -1.26 -1.77 -1.40 -0.97 -0.59 -0.43 -0.49 -0.57 -0.61 -0.72 -0.71 -0.84 -0.65 0.66 0.57 0.55 1.05 0.33 0.30 0.25 0.251
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.346
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.628
CapEx/Revenue 74.2% 66.8% 55.5% 50.4% 48.2% 53.3% 56.2% 60.4% 61.3% 59.1% 54.2% 47.5% 39.0% 9.3% 13.1% 15.2% 1.8% 22.6% 22.4% 22.8% 22.78%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.384
Accruals Ratio -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.013
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.034
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.854
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.71%
Dividend/Share $1.07 $1.09 $1.11 $1.12 $1.14 $1.16 $1.19 $1.20 $1.22 $1.24 $1.27 $1.27 $1.28 $1.30 $1.31 $1.33 $1.34 $1.35 $1.36 $1.39 $1.42
Payout Ratio 48.6% 51.0% 53.3% 47.5% 50.8% 48.2% 49.3% 59.0% 58.5% 67.5% 71.6% 62.7% 62.3% 56.4% 53.0% 55.3% 55.7% 56.9% 58.4% 58.2% 58.18%
FCF Payout Ratio 70.5% 70.0% 65.9% 31.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.68%
Total Payout Ratio 48.6% 51.0% 53.3% 47.5% 50.8% 48.2% 49.3% 59.0% 58.5% 67.5% 71.6% 62.7% 62.3% 56.4% 53.0% 55.3% 55.7% 56.9% 58.4% 58.2% 58.18%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.099
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.4% -0.7% -1.0% -0.8% -0.7% -0.7% -0.8% -1.1% -1.1% -0.8% -0.3% -0.1% -0.1% -0.5% -2.2% -3.3% -3.4% -3.42%
Total Shareholder Return 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 0.3% -0.6% -0.8% -0.76%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.12 1.16 1.18 1.11 1.05 0.97 0.93 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.90 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.899
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.91 0.88 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.86 0.87 0.83 0.81 0.76 0.72 0.74 0.75 0.77 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.768
EBIT Margin 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.29 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.320
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.152
Equity Multiplier 2.80 2.80 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.79 2.79 2.785
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.21 $2.14 $2.08 $2.36 $2.24 $2.40 $2.41 $2.04 $2.09 $1.84 $1.77 $2.03 $2.06 $2.30 $2.47 $2.40 $2.41 $2.37 $2.32 $2.38 $2.38
Book Value/Share $19.79 $19.78 $21.04 $20.95 $20.90 $20.84 $22.81 $22.65 $22.57 $22.52 $23.85 $23.70 $23.69 $23.68 $24.89 $24.90 $24.84 $24.62 $26.80 $26.80 $27.22
Tangible Book/Share $19.79 $19.78 $21.04 $20.95 $20.90 $20.84 $22.81 $22.65 $22.57 $22.52 $23.85 $23.70 $23.69 $23.68 $24.89 $24.90 $24.84 $24.62 $26.80 $26.80 $26.80
Revenue/Share $8.17 $8.16 $8.14 $8.32 $8.46 $8.88 $9.21 $9.25 $9.40 $9.32 $9.33 $9.40 $9.75 $10.21 $10.69 $10.90 $10.88 $10.73 $10.56 $10.80 $10.82
FCF/Share $-3.39 $-3.49 $-2.64 $-2.06 $-1.52 $-1.43 $-1.70 $-2.02 $-2.18 $-2.31 $-2.10 $-2.04 $-1.50 $1.84 $1.87 $2.02 $4.25 $1.18 $1.03 $0.82 $0.83
OCF/Share $2.68 $1.97 $1.88 $2.13 $2.56 $3.30 $3.48 $3.57 $3.58 $3.20 $2.96 $2.42 $2.31 $2.79 $3.27 $3.67 $4.05 $3.61 $3.40 $3.28 $3.29
Cash/Share $0.26 $0.26 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.22 $0.22 $0.21 $0.21 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.24 $0.24 $0.23 $0.23 $0.15 $0.15 $0.11
EBITDA/Share $3.50 $3.36 $3.60 $4.04 $4.08 $4.53 $4.55 $4.27 $4.37 $4.17 $4.17 $4.42 $4.68 $4.96 $5.15 $5.16 $5.05 $5.11 $5.12 $5.23 $5.23
Debt/Share $16.33 $16.33 $18.81 $18.73 $18.68 $18.63 $20.80 $20.65 $20.58 $20.53 $23.14 $22.99 $22.98 $22.97 $21.50 $21.50 $21.45 $21.26 $22.74 $22.74 $22.74
Net Debt/Share $16.08 $16.08 $18.61 $18.53 $18.48 $18.43 $20.58 $20.44 $20.37 $20.32 $23.00 $22.86 $22.84 $22.83 $21.26 $21.27 $21.22 $21.03 $22.59 $22.59 $22.59
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.135
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.732
Piotroski F-Score 8 4 4 7 6 8 7 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 6 7 6 6 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.48 -2.39 -2.47 -2.53 -2.53 -2.61 -2.52 -2.53 -2.52 -2.45 0.13 0.01 -0.18 -0.22 -2.86 -3.04 -3.07 -2.95 0.11 -0.02 -0.024
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.016
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-45.02
EVA snapshot only $-40782238.96
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 50.07 55.31 49.33 52.92 43.39 50.67 46.96 44.43 42.10 38.83 44.47 39.96 40.32 48.72 36.09 43.13 42.96 42.29 34.91 34.46 34.460
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.669
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 30
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 40

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