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NATH NASDAQ

Nathan's Famous, Inc.
1W: +0.1% 1M: -0.0% 3M: -0.1% YTD: +10.5% 1Y: +2.0% 3Y: +55.7% 5Y: +80.3%
$101.07
-0.04 (-0.04%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±0.7%
$100 $101 $101 $102 $103
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 56 · $413.8M mcap · 3M float · 0.850% daily turnover · Short 52% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
47.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 191.9%
Cost Advantage ★
71
Intangibles
39
Switching Cost
52
Network Effect
24
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NATH shows a Weak competitive edge (47.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 191.9% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NATH receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-01 C+ B-
2026-03-24 B- C+
2026-02-24 B B-
2026-01-03 B- B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

47 Grade C
Profitability
44
Balance Sheet
66
Earnings Quality
58
Growth
46
Value
50
Momentum
52
Safety
100
Cash Flow
40
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NATH scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (40/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
8.80
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.10
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.44
Bankruptcy prob: 1.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.77x
Accruals: 9.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NATH scores 8.80, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NATH scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NATH's score of -2.10 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NATH's implied 1.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NATH receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NATH's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
19.28x
PEG
-1.96x
P/S
2.62x
P/B
-27.08x
P/FCF
24.76x
P/OCF
24.35x
EV/EBITDA
12.62x
EV/Revenue
2.90x
EV/EBIT
12.98x
EV/FCF
26.56x
Earnings Yield
5.34%
FCF Yield
4.04%
Shareholder Yield
4.44%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 19.3x earnings, NATH trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.718
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.900
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.223
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
2.807
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-2.070
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-83.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NATH's ROE of -83.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (2.807), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
5.74%
Fair P/E
19.97x
Intrinsic Value
$100.53
Price/Value
0.94x
Margin of Safety
6.22%
Premium
-6.22%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NATH's realized 5.7% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $100.53, NATH appears undervalued with a 6% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 20.0x compares to the current market P/E of 19.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$101.07
Median 1Y
$103.67
5th Pctile
$59.68
95th Pctile
$180.01
Ann. Volatility
33.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Eric Gatoff
Chief Executive Officer
$625,000 $— $1,694,216
Howard M. Lorber
Executive Chairman of the Board
$1,000,000 $— $1,024,787
Robert Steinberg –
ice President – Finance, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary
$325,000 $— $548,509

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
131
-10.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
Profit / Employee
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
ROE -17.9% -17.2% -19.9% -19.8% -20.9% -23.1% -25.5% -29.6% -31.5% -39.4% -39.9% -39.4% -38.1% -50.6% -55.5% -56.3% -61.2% -97.2% -95.8% -83.9% -83.87%
ROA 12.2% 10.3% 11.9% 11.8% 12.5% 14.5% 16.0% 18.6% 19.8% 28.6% 29.0% 28.6% 27.7% 36.5% 40.0% 40.6% 44.1% 47.0% 46.3% 40.5% 40.52%
ROIC 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.92%
ROCE 29.6% 27.5% 30.2% 29.8% 30.8% 45.6% 47.3% 51.5% 52.9% 82.7% 81.9% 80.2% 77.1% 98.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 98.5% 87.4% 87.37%
Gross Margin 44.1% 49.5% 46.1% 33.4% 36.0% 39.6% 39.3% 38.3% 39.4% 32.7% 38.7% 34.1% 35.0% 33.3% 41.1% 33.3% 34.8% 29.0% 35.6% 27.8% 27.75%
Operating Margin 24.4% 29.7% 34.2% 22.6% 21.7% 24.7% 29.7% 26.4% 24.2% 23.4% 27.3% 23.5% 17.8% 23.5% 30.7% 23.4% 21.4% 20.7% 27.2% 14.9% 14.94%
Net Margin 7.5% 11.3% 18.4% 10.8% 8.2% 8.7% 18.0% 15.9% 12.5% 11.9% 17.6% 14.7% 9.0% 13.5% 20.7% 14.7% 14.2% 13.8% 19.0% 9.0% 8.99%
EBITDA Margin 26.6% 31.7% 35.2% 23.0% 22.1% 20.4% 30.4% 27.2% 25.3% 25.3% 28.0% 24.5% 18.4% 25.4% 31.3% 23.8% 22.6% 22.6% 28.2% 16.6% 16.57%
FCF Margin 13.2% 14.8% 9.3% 10.9% 14.1% 13.8% 13.4% 13.0% 15.0% 14.7% 15.6% 15.7% 14.4% 14.2% 16.0% 16.1% 16.8% 16.9% 13.1% 10.9% 10.92%
OCF Margin 14.4% 15.5% 9.9% 11.5% 14.7% 14.3% 13.9% 13.5% 15.5% 15.2% 15.9% 16.0% 14.7% 14.4% 16.2% 16.3% 17.0% 17.0% 13.3% 11.1% 11.10%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 38.97%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.62%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 60.97%
Cash ROA snapshot only 29.82%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.37%
CROIC snapshot only 1.35%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 15.51%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 20.11%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 10.21%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.60%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
P/E Ratio 15.75 20.27 19.79 17.94 16.07 14.51 14.19 13.48 13.40 14.35 14.39 13.71 15.46 13.82 12.16 14.51 13.03 15.77 18.56 18.73 19.275
P/S Ratio 2.43 2.96 2.84 2.27 2.00 1.72 1.72 1.83 1.94 2.15 2.15 2.00 2.14 1.96 1.85 2.20 2.11 2.56 2.92 2.70 2.623
P/B Ratio -2.90 -3.59 -4.07 -3.66 -3.47 -3.59 -3.86 -4.26 -4.51 -6.32 -6.42 -6.04 -6.58 -8.24 -7.95 -9.62 -9.38 -22.95 -26.62 -23.52 -27.076
P/FCF 18.33 20.02 30.42 20.75 14.15 12.45 12.90 14.12 12.94 14.66 13.78 12.77 14.82 13.77 11.59 13.65 12.54 15.15 22.28 24.76 24.763
P/OCF 16.87 19.08 28.74 19.72 13.60 11.97 12.37 13.52 12.46 14.20 13.48 12.55 14.59 13.56 11.45 13.49 12.42 15.02 21.95 24.35 24.350
EV/EBITDA 9.55 11.05 11.12 10.40 9.70 8.98 9.17 9.10 9.27 9.44 9.64 9.35 10.44 9.33 8.48 9.92 9.25 10.75 12.61 12.62 12.622
EV/Revenue 3.42 3.95 3.68 3.02 2.70 2.30 2.26 2.35 2.45 2.58 2.57 2.42 2.55 2.28 2.17 2.52 2.42 2.75 3.11 2.90 2.900
EV/EBIT 9.97 11.56 11.57 10.82 10.07 9.31 9.49 9.40 9.58 9.75 9.98 9.69 10.82 9.65 8.74 10.20 9.49 11.03 12.93 12.98 12.984
EV/FCF 25.88 26.72 39.42 27.58 19.05 16.65 16.93 18.13 16.40 17.60 16.49 15.44 17.66 16.08 13.60 15.61 14.39 16.27 23.70 26.56 26.557
Earnings Yield 6.3% 4.9% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 6.9% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 7.0% 7.0% 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 8.2% 6.9% 7.7% 6.3% 5.4% 5.3% 5.34%
FCF Yield 5.5% 5.0% 3.3% 4.8% 7.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.1% 7.7% 6.8% 7.3% 7.8% 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 7.3% 8.0% 6.6% 4.5% 4.0% 4.04%
EV/OCF snapshot only 26.114
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 9.022
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 13.418
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.44%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Current Ratio 6.14 6.49 6.49 6.49 6.49 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.69 2.69 2.69 2.692
Quick Ratio 6.12 6.44 6.44 6.44 6.44 3.95 3.95 3.95 3.95 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.62 2.62 2.62 2.620
Debt/Equity -2.35 -2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -2.12 -2.12 -2.12 -2.12 -1.94 -1.94 -1.94 -1.94 -2.02 -2.02 -2.02 -2.02 -3.39 -3.39 -3.39 -3.387
Net Debt/Equity
Debt/Assets 1.47 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.046
Debt/EBITDA 5.50 5.76 5.27 5.35 5.19 3.97 3.83 3.53 3.44 2.41 2.43 2.48 2.57 1.96 1.83 1.82 1.73 1.48 1.51 1.69 1.695
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.78 2.77 2.54 2.58 2.50 2.26 2.19 2.01 1.96 1.57 1.59 1.62 1.68 1.34 1.25 1.24 1.18 0.74 0.76 0.85 0.852
Interest Coverage 2.57 2.45 2.69 2.65 2.74 2.79 3.12 3.67 4.10 4.48 4.76 5.03 5.27 6.13 7.02 7.06 8.33 8.99 9.51 10.45 10.448
Equity Multiplier -1.60 -1.74 -1.74 -1.74 -1.74 -1.43 -1.43 -1.43 -1.43 -1.32 -1.32 -1.32 -1.32 -1.48 -1.48 -1.48 -1.48 -3.24 -3.24 -3.24 -3.238
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.658
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 10.748
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.497
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.280
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1024.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.79 0.70 0.83 0.93 1.01 1.23 1.32 1.37 1.37 1.91 1.94 1.96 2.00 2.58 2.63 2.68 2.72 2.90 2.94 2.81 2.807
Inventory Turnover 85.70 74.05 94.90 115.97 128.95 122.76 135.39 137.57 136.30 153.75 156.78 161.26 166.75 129.41 130.34 133.08 135.68 93.26 97.03 94.48 94.480
Receivables Turnover 7.79 6.72 7.93 8.91 9.61 9.31 9.99 10.36 10.38 9.54 9.70 9.79 9.99 9.56 9.75 9.91 10.09 10.45 10.61 10.13 10.127
Payables Turnover 8.96 9.83 12.59 15.39 17.11 13.50 14.89 15.13 14.99 12.70 12.95 13.32 13.78 14.64 14.75 15.06 15.35 16.16 16.81 16.37 16.370
DSO 47 54 46 41 38 39 37 35 35 38 38 37 37 38 37 37 36 35 34 36 36.0 days
DIO 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3.9 days
DPO 41 37 29 24 21 27 25 24 24 29 28 27 26 25 25 24 24 23 22 22 22.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 10 22 21 20 19 15 15 14 13 12 12 12 12 16 15 15 15 16 16 18 17.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 20.225
Operating Cycle snapshot only 39.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.166
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.372
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue -23.6% -26.6% -1.1% 21.7% 36.8% 51.5% 37.8% 27.3% 18.2% 13.8% 7.9% 5.0% 6.9% 6.0% 6.3% 7.0% 6.8% 6.9% 6.4% -0.1% -0.10%
Net Income -4.1% -17.6% 6.4% 5.5% 10.6% 22.8% 16.6% 36.6% 37.2% 44.3% 32.8% 12.9% 2.5% -0.0% 8.2% 11.2% 24.9% 22.5% 10.1% -5.0% -5.01%
EPS -1.5% -15.7% 6.5% 5.5% 10.6% 22.8% 16.7% 37.6% 37.1% 45.2% 33.6% 12.7% 3.4% -0.0% 8.2% 11.1% 24.5% 22.3% 9.2% -5.6% -5.56%
FCF 5.3% -2.3% -45.7% -23.3% 46.2% 41.2% 97.2% 50.8% 25.0% 21.3% 26.1% 27.0% 3.3% 2.5% 8.7% 10.0% 24.3% 27.1% -12.6% -32.4% -32.37%
EBITDA -1.8% -9.2% 4.9% 3.7% 6.0% 8.4% 2.6% 13.2% 12.6% 21.9% 16.8% 5.4% -1.2% -5.2% 1.9% 4.8% 14.3% 11.6% 2.5% -9.6% -9.56%
Op. Income 1.5% -6.1% 8.9% 7.5% 9.8% 17.0% 10.0% 19.4% 16.9% 15.3% 10.3% -0.3% -5.9% -5.6% 1.9% 6.0% 15.0% 12.3% 2.2% -12.1% -12.11%
OCF Growth snapshot only -32.03%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.45%
Debt Growth snapshot only -15.76%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.59%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue 3Y -8.6% -10.0% -4.7% -0.2% 3.0% 4.1% 6.5% 7.6% 7.3% 8.2% 13.7% 17.6% 20.0% 22.3% 16.5% 12.7% 10.5% 8.9% 6.9% 3.9% 3.94%
Revenue 5Y -4.9% -5.5% -2.1% 0.7% 2.4% 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 5.8% 6.7% 6.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.1% 7.5% 10.7% 11.7% 11.70%
EPS 3Y 60.7% 63.0% 43.1% 30.7% -10.6% -13.5% -11.5% -5.4% 14.3% 14.5% 18.4% 17.8% 16.2% 21.3% 19.0% 19.9% 20.9% 21.1% 16.4% 5.7% 5.74%
EPS 5Y 13.1% 13.9% 12.3% 13.2% 13.7% 13.2% 17.5% 19.1% 44.5% 50.5% 35.5% 28.2% 0.3% -1.3% 0.0% 1.2% 14.0% 12.9% 14.4% 11.4% 11.42%
Net Income 3Y 59.8% 61.5% 41.8% 29.5% -11.3% -14.2% -12.1% -6.5% 13.3% 13.5% 18.1% 17.6% 15.8% 21.0% 18.8% 19.7% 20.6% 20.9% 16.5% 6.0% 6.05%
Net Income 5Y 11.4% 12.7% 11.8% 12.7% 13.2% 12.7% 16.9% 18.4% 44.0% 49.5% 34.6% 27.3% -0.4% -1.8% -0.5% 0.5% 13.2% 12.3% 14.4% 11.4% 11.44%
EBITDA 3Y 12.5% 12.5% 14.6% 13.4% -8.6% -10.8% -10.2% -6.7% 5.5% 6.3% 8.0% 7.3% 5.7% 7.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.3% 8.8% 6.9% -0.0% -0.04%
EBITDA 5Y 2.7% 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 1.1% 2.1% 3.2% 11.2% 13.4% 12.5% 11.7% -3.2% -3.9% -3.0% -2.2% 5.8% 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 3.23%
Gross Profit 3Y -1.5% -2.6% -0.7% -0.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 5.0% 6.0% 4.5% 7.0% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 7.0% 6.9% 6.4% 5.3% 3.3% -2.0% -2.02%
Gross Profit 5Y 1.1% -0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.3% 3.6% 3.3% 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 3.8% 4.3% 2.9% 2.92%
Op. Income 3Y -0.8% -2.0% 0.5% 0.6% 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 7.1% 9.2% 8.2% 9.7% 8.6% 6.5% 8.4% 7.3% 8.1% 8.2% 6.9% 4.7% -2.4% -2.43%
Op. Income 5Y 2.7% 0.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 4.2% 3.9% 3.5% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 7.1% 6.1% 6.6% 3.6% 3.58%
FCF 3Y 10.3% -15.1% -9.2% -21.8% -5.3% 13.9% 9.6% 34.3% 24.4% 18.7% 10.5% 13.7% 23.6% 20.6% 39.3% 28.2% 17.1% 16.4% 6.2% -1.9% -1.87%
FCF 5Y -6.5% -0.2% -2.7% 1.9% 15.7% 11.3% 13.3% 17.6% 19.7% 1.0% 13.2% -1.8% 1.9% 13.0% 12.5% 27.6% 19.8% 16.9% 5.1% 1.8% 1.78%
OCF 3Y 10.6% -14.6% -8.8% -21.0% -4.7% 13.9% 9.9% 33.7% 24.0% 17.1% 9.0% 11.7% 20.8% 19.3% 37.2% 26.5% 15.9% 15.3% 5.3% -2.7% -2.73%
OCF 5Y -6.6% -1.2% -3.9% 0.1% 12.2% 9.6% 11.7% 16.0% 18.7% 1.0% 12.7% -1.8% 1.7% 12.4% 12.1% 26.5% 18.9% 15.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.75%
Assets 3Y 10.9% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% -5.9% -5.9% -5.9% -5.9% -18.1% -18.1% -18.1% -18.1% -23.4% -23.4% -23.4% -23.4% -12.0% -12.0% -12.0% -12.02%
Assets 5Y 4.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -6.1% -6.1% -6.1% -6.1% -12.3% -12.3% -12.3% -12.3% -12.9% -12.9% -12.9% -12.88%
Equity 3Y
Book Value 3Y
Dividend 3Y 2.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 3.1% 5.3% 7.9% 9.5% 8.0% -4.4% 4.6% 3.7% 2.8% 12.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% -0.0% 25.7% 25.69%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.39 0.35 0.50 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.18 0.41 0.53 0.58 0.53 0.69 0.83 0.92 0.98 0.97 0.86 0.865
Earnings Stability 0.29 0.25 0.26 0.29 0.25 0.16 0.23 0.31 0.29 0.22 0.23 0.29 0.07 0.02 0.07 0.15 0.89 0.84 0.96 0.88 0.883
Margin Stability 0.88 0.89 0.94 0.93 0.90 0.89 0.91 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.86 0.85 0.89 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.89 0.84 0.841
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.93 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.91 0.93 0.85 0.85 0.82 0.87 0.95 0.99 1.00 0.97 0.96 0.90 0.91 0.96 0.98 0.980
Earnings Smoothness 0.96 0.81 0.94 0.95 0.90 0.80 0.85 0.69 0.69 0.64 0.72 0.88 0.98 1.00 0.92 0.89 0.78 0.80 0.90 0.95 0.949
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend 0.09 0.09 0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.08 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.040
FCF Margin Trend -0.01 0.04 -0.05 -0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.04 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.050
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate 6.8% 5.2% 7.0% 6.9% 7.7% 8.6% 9.8% 12.5% 13.5% 21.3% 26.0% 20.5% 18.7% 27.1% 33.0% 34.1% 40.7% 44.9% 43.5% 9.3% 9.35%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.93 1.06 0.69 0.91 1.18 1.21 1.15 1.00 1.08 1.01 1.07 1.09 1.06 1.02 1.06 1.08 1.05 1.05 0.85 0.77 0.769
FCF/OCF 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.983
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.756
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.483
CapEx/Revenue 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.19%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.289
Accruals Ratio 0.01 -0.01 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 0.07 0.09 0.093
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.083
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.959
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Dividend Yield 3.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 2.6% 2.2% 1.9% 4.2% 4.45%
Dividend/Share $1.41 $1.40 $1.40 $1.40 $1.40 $1.50 $1.60 $1.71 $1.79 $1.85 $1.40 $1.94 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $1.99 $2.00 $2.00 $1.98 $3.97 $4.50
Payout Ratio 47.5% 52.0% 44.9% 45.3% 42.7% 45.4% 44.0% 40.2% 39.8% 38.5% 28.7% 40.5% 43.0% 41.6% 37.9% 37.4% 34.5% 34.0% 34.5% 78.9% 78.90%
FCF Payout Ratio 55.2% 51.4% 69.0% 52.3% 37.6% 39.0% 40.0% 42.1% 38.5% 39.4% 27.5% 37.7% 41.2% 41.4% 36.2% 35.2% 33.2% 32.7% 41.4% 1.0% 1.04%
Total Payout Ratio 92.4% 52.1% 56.5% 57.0% 53.7% 53.3% 58.3% 57.2% 55.8% 48.2% 32.9% 40.5% 44.9% 41.6% 37.9% 37.4% 34.8% 35.8% 36.4% 83.2% 83.22%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.10 0.17 0.24 0.31 0.25 -0.11 0.17 0.13 0.11 0.46 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.02 1.05 1.045
Buyback Yield 2.9% 0.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.23%
Net Buyback Yield 2.9% 0.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.23%
Total Shareholder Return 5.9% 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 4.2% 4.2% 3.4% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.0% 4.4% 4.44%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.73 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.718
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.61 0.59 0.63 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.69 0.74 0.76 0.77 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.900
EBIT Margin 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.28 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.22 0.223
Asset Turnover 0.79 0.70 0.83 0.93 1.01 1.23 1.32 1.37 1.37 1.91 1.94 1.96 2.00 2.58 2.63 2.68 2.72 2.90 2.94 2.81 2.807
Equity Multiplier -1.47 -1.67 -1.67 -1.67 -1.67 -1.59 -1.59 -1.59 -1.59 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -1.39 -1.39 -1.39 -1.39 -2.07 -2.07 -2.07 -2.070
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.97 $2.69 $3.12 $3.09 $3.28 $3.30 $3.64 $4.26 $4.50 $4.80 $4.86 $4.80 $4.65 $4.80 $5.26 $5.33 $5.79 $5.87 $5.74 $5.03 $5.03
Book Value/Share $-16.14 $-15.18 $-15.18 $-15.18 $-15.18 $-13.36 $-13.37 $-13.47 $-13.36 $-10.90 $-10.90 $-10.89 $-10.92 $-8.05 $-8.05 $-8.04 $-8.04 $-4.03 $-4.00 $-4.01 $-3.73
Tangible Book/Share $-16.47 $-15.49 $-15.49 $-15.49 $-15.49 $-13.64 $-13.65 $-13.75 $-13.64 $-11.13 $-11.14 $-11.13 $-11.16 $-8.25 $-8.24 $-8.23 $-8.24 $-4.18 $-4.15 $-4.16 $-4.16
Revenue/Share $19.26 $18.43 $21.74 $24.43 $26.34 $27.92 $29.97 $31.33 $31.13 $31.98 $32.55 $32.82 $33.59 $33.91 $34.58 $35.11 $35.76 $36.19 $36.47 $34.87 $38.58
FCF/Share $2.55 $2.73 $2.03 $2.67 $3.73 $3.85 $4.00 $4.06 $4.66 $4.70 $5.08 $5.15 $4.85 $4.82 $5.52 $5.66 $6.01 $6.11 $4.78 $3.81 $5.40
OCF/Share $2.77 $2.86 $2.15 $2.81 $3.88 $4.00 $4.17 $4.24 $4.84 $4.85 $5.19 $5.24 $4.93 $4.89 $5.59 $5.73 $6.07 $6.16 $4.86 $3.87 $5.50
Cash/Share $18.74 $19.70 $19.70 $19.70 $19.70 $12.17 $12.17 $12.26 $12.16 $7.30 $7.30 $7.30 $7.32 $5.14 $5.14 $5.13 $5.14 $6.79 $6.74 $6.75 $6.00
EBITDA/Share $6.91 $6.59 $7.20 $7.09 $7.32 $7.14 $7.39 $8.09 $8.24 $8.76 $8.69 $8.51 $8.21 $8.30 $8.85 $8.91 $9.36 $9.25 $9.00 $8.01 $8.01
Debt/Share $37.97 $37.96 $37.96 $37.96 $37.96 $28.32 $28.33 $28.54 $28.31 $21.09 $21.09 $21.07 $21.14 $16.24 $16.24 $16.21 $16.22 $13.66 $13.56 $13.58 $13.58
Net Debt/Share $19.23 $18.26 $18.26 $18.26 $18.26 $16.15 $16.16 $16.28 $16.15 $13.79 $13.79 $13.78 $13.82 $11.10 $11.09 $11.08 $11.08 $6.87 $6.82 $6.83 $6.83
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 131
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $1096305.34
Income/Employee snapshot only $158251.91
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $251877.86
FCF/Employee snapshot only $119709.92
Assets/Employee snapshot only $408213.74
Market Cap/Employee snapshot only $2964422.29
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Altman Z-Score 8.803
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 13.737
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 6 7 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 7 6 5 5 7 6 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.31 -2.59 -1.89 -2.15 -2.43 -2.23 -2.26 -2.36 -2.41 -2.29 -2.58 -2.51 -2.50 -2.60 -2.68 -2.65 -2.60 -2.53 -2.11 -2.10 -2.097
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.443
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-6.03
EVA snapshot only $21116868.17
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 91
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 81

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