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NCMI NASDAQ

National CineMedia, Inc.
1W: +2.0% 1M: -14.5% 3M: -11.8% YTD: -21.9% 1Y: -41.5% 3Y: +14.1% 5Y: -92.4%
$2.99
-0.01 (-0.33%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.0%
$2 $3 $3 $3 $3
NASDAQ · Communication Services · Advertising Agencies · Alpha Radar Strong Sell · Power 26 · $280.4M mcap · 65M float · 0.737% daily turnover · Short 70% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
30.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: -3.7%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
45
Scale ★
75
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NCMI has No discernible competitive edge (30.5/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. Negative ROIC of -3.7% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$7
Avg Target
$7
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 11Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$7.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-08-04 Wedbush $8 $7 -0 +47.4% $4.75
2025-03-14 Wedbush $6 $8 +2 +26.1% $5.95
2024-08-15 National Bank Mike Hickey $8 $8 +0 +30.7% $6.12
2024-08-06 National Bank James Goss $7 $8 +1 +18.9% $6.31
2024-08-01 Wedbush Alicia Reese Initiated $6 +0.4% $5.97
2024-05-28 B.Riley Financial Eric Wood Initiated $8 +32.6% $5.66
2024-03-19 National Bank Tom Lesinski $4 $7 +3 +28.3% $5.26
2023-08-16 National Bank Mike Hickey Initiated $4 +12.7% $3.55

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
2
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
4
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NCMI receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: D/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (2/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-13 C C+
2026-05-12 C+ C
2026-04-24 C C+
2026-04-01 C+ C
2026-03-04 C C+
2026-02-27 C+ C
2026-02-24 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

43 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
47
Growth
69
Value
49
Momentum
66
Safety
50
Cash Flow
38
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NCMI scores highest in Growth (69/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.37
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-4.42
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.22
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 50.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -2.62x
Accruals: -5.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NCMI scores 2.37, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NCMI scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NCMI's score of -4.42 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NCMI's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NCMI receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 50.4/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-33.18x
PEG
-0.52x
P/S
1.16x
P/B
0.81x
P/FCF
16.64x
P/OCF
12.71x
EV/EBITDA
7.42x
EV/Revenue
0.94x
EV/EBIT
-36.04x
EV/FCF
13.51x
Earnings Yield
-3.00%
FCF Yield
6.01%
Shareholder Yield
9.98%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NCMI currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.333
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.026
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.426
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.383
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-2.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NCMI's ROE of -2.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.426), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.99
Median 1Y
$1.40
5th Pctile
$0.35
95th Pctile
$5.55
Ann. Volatility
84.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Thomas F. Lesinski
Chief Executive Officer
$960,577 $1,000,005 $2,652,898
Catherine A. Sullivan
President
$630,000 $700,001 $2,549,163
Ronnie Y. Ng
Chief Financial Officer
$623,077 $700,001 $1,674,428
Maria V. Woods
Executive Vice President and General Counsel
$441,346 $400,003 $1,077,578

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
248
-2.4% YoY
Revenue / Employee
Profit / Employee
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 21.1% 21.7% 9.7% 10.9% 6.5% 5.2% 5.5% 9.4% -95.4% -1.3% -1.4% -17.7% -4.0% 57.7% 42.8% -4.3% -4.8% -3.6% -2.6% -2.0% -2.04%
ROA -8.9% -9.2% -5.7% -6.4% -3.8% -3.1% -3.6% -6.1% 61.7% 85.4% 89.0% 1.1% 23.8% -3.4% -3.3% -3.2% -3.6% -2.7% -1.8% -1.5% -1.48%
ROIC -18.7% -18.2% -11.0% -10.1% -4.4% -2.1% 1.0% -0.2% -2.1% -3.5% -4.9% -4.7% -5.7% -3.6% -4.3% -4.6% -5.2% -3.9% -3.1% -3.7% -3.72%
ROCE 6.4% 6.8% -7.2% -7.4% -1.8% 0.2% -3.3% -3.0% -1.3% -1.8% -1.8% 1.4% 32.1% -4.3% -4.1% -3.4% -3.8% -2.8% -2.0% -1.3% -1.27%
Gross Margin -16.4% 24.6% 52.3% 31.5% 49.9% 45.5% 67.3% 20.6% 58.8% 5.3% 66.5% 2.1% 25.0% 42.0% 61.9% 28.9% 16.2% 44.0% 60.1% -12.1% -12.06%
Operating Margin -2.1% -59.0% 12.6% -62.7% 8.3% -7.7% 30.6% -87.7% -33.1% -49.8% 22.5% -60.7% -17.0% -12.0% 23.1% -68.5% -23.2% -2.8% 25.5% -79.1% -79.12%
Net Margin -1.6% -47.9% 13.5% -70.2% -1.0% -16.3% 6.7% -1.3% 36.8% 7.4% 26.1% -92.8% -15.9% -5.8% 28.6% -88.0% -20.7% 2.5% 31.4% -84.1% -84.12%
EBITDA Margin -1.5% -25.9% 46.1% -57.7% 29.2% 11.0% 43.9% -64.5% 37.1% 7.6% 38.2% -63.6% 4.2% 12.0% 41.6% -57.6% -2.5% 16.9% 41.4% -51.2% -51.18%
FCF Margin -2.9% -1.9% -88.0% -67.7% -39.5% -19.5% -20.1% -6.6% -2.5% -21.4% -6.1% 1.9% 7.5% 16.5% 22.6% 15.6% 10.3% 11.1% 1.8% 6.9% 6.93%
OCF Margin -2.8% -1.8% -83.1% -64.6% -37.3% -17.8% -19.0% -5.4% -1.2% -19.8% -4.1% 4.2% 9.9% 18.5% 25.0% 17.7% 12.6% 13.6% 4.1% 9.1% 9.08%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 52.77%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 40.48%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.55%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -3.11%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.87%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.13%
CROIC snapshot only 4.68%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -5.51%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -3.47%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 30.40%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.20%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -4.06 -2.80 -4.26 -3.54 -2.20 -2.11 -0.61 -0.41 0.11 0.40 0.58 0.68 2.47 -27.95 -28.62 -30.91 -22.31 -28.79 -34.71 -33.29 -33.178
P/S Ratio 8.89 3.87 1.81 1.33 0.36 0.25 0.07 0.08 0.28 1.64 2.47 2.90 1.93 2.66 2.65 2.37 1.92 1.84 1.50 1.15 1.157
P/B Ratio -0.77 -0.55 -0.39 -0.37 -0.14 -0.11 -0.03 -0.04 -0.10 -0.53 -0.79 1.12 0.92 1.50 1.55 1.38 1.10 1.06 0.89 0.68 0.808
P/FCF -3.06 -2.02 -2.06 -1.96 -0.91 -1.28 -0.35 -1.23 -11.01 -7.68 -40.80 152.04 25.65 16.12 11.71 15.21 18.72 16.53 84.77 16.64 16.645
P/OCF 69.50 19.42 14.35 10.58 13.40 15.30 13.54 36.82 12.71 12.710
EV/EBITDA 13.91 12.35 -68.12 -58.23 54.50 31.40 24.21 25.28 1.97 1.79 1.98 0.62 1.89 30.57 26.81 20.10 18.27 15.23 11.18 7.42 7.419
EV/Revenue 30.69 17.29 10.70 8.35 5.50 4.86 4.39 4.42 5.77 8.12 8.99 2.79 1.84 2.58 2.44 2.16 1.71 1.62 1.28 0.94 0.937
EV/EBIT 23.62 20.33 -22.88 -21.98 -81.96 631.66 80.47 88.47 2.06 1.84 2.05 0.65 2.33 -29.16 -28.64 -30.82 -21.16 -27.22 -31.51 -36.04 -36.036
EV/FCF -10.57 -8.99 -12.15 -12.33 -13.92 -24.86 -21.80 -66.49 -230.77 -38.01 -148.48 146.23 24.46 15.66 10.77 13.83 16.61 14.59 72.53 13.51 13.514
Earnings Yield -24.6% -35.7% -23.5% -28.3% -45.4% -47.4% -1.6% -2.4% 9.2% 2.5% 1.7% 1.5% 40.5% -3.6% -3.5% -3.2% -4.5% -3.5% -2.9% -3.0% -3.00%
FCF Yield -32.7% -49.6% -48.6% -51.0% -1.1% -78.1% -2.9% -81.6% -9.1% -13.0% -2.5% 0.7% 3.9% 6.2% 8.5% 6.6% 5.3% 6.0% 1.2% 6.0% 6.01%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.630
EV/OCF snapshot only 10.319
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.574
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 9.98%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 4.00 4.00 2.27 2.27 2.27 2.27 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.420
Quick Ratio 4.00 4.00 2.27 2.27 2.27 2.27 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.420
Debt/Equity -2.28 -2.28 -2.13 -2.13 -2.13 -2.13 -2.21 -2.21 -2.21 -2.21 -2.21 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.055
Net Debt/Equity -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.12 -0.12 -0.12 -0.12 -0.13 -0.13 -0.128
Debt/Assets 1.21 1.21 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.040
Debt/EBITDA 11.87 11.52 -62.22 -53.85 56.00 32.75 25.25 26.30 1.99 1.51 1.52 0.02 0.08 0.77 1.11 0.95 1.10 0.96 0.81 0.74 0.735
Net Debt/EBITDA 9.88 9.58 -56.58 -48.97 50.92 29.78 23.82 24.81 1.88 1.42 1.44 -0.02 -0.09 -0.90 -2.33 -1.99 -2.32 -2.02 -1.89 -1.72 -1.719
Interest Coverage 0.89 0.90 -0.83 -0.82 -0.19 0.02 0.17 0.14 7.92 14.72 26.06 171.50 109.07 -13.56 -12.81 -11.93 -17.27 -17.62 -16.50 -10.50 -10.500
Equity Multiplier -1.87 -1.87 -1.55 -1.55 -1.55 -1.55 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.383
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.022
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 51.000
Cash to Debt snapshot only 3.338
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.747
Defensive Interval snapshot only 557.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.07 0.13 0.17 0.23 0.26 0.31 0.31 0.24 0.21 0.21 0.25 0.31 0.36 0.35 0.42 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.426
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 0.43 0.69 3.46 4.38 5.98 6.67 3.48 3.46 2.73 2.32 1.81 1.78 2.21 2.61 2.78 2.67 2.64 2.65 2.91 2.90 2.898
Payables Turnover 2.13 3.25 5.13 6.34 7.49 7.88 5.71 5.86 4.53 4.22 3.50 4.13 5.63 6.18 6.11 6.04 6.14 6.11 6.13 6.70 6.704
DSO 857 528 106 83 61 55 105 105 134 158 202 205 165 140 131 137 138 138 125 126 126.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 171 112 71 58 49 46 64 62 81 86 104 88 65 59 60 60 59 60 60 54 54.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 686 415 34 26 12 8 41 43 53 71 98 116 100 81 72 76 79 78 66 72 71.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 14.780
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.228
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.346
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -87.4% -69.9% 26.8% 3.7% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2% 71.1% -1.2% -24.8% -33.7% -32.4% 6.0% 47.7% 45.8% 42.1% 13.4% -3.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.72%
Net Income -9.3% -7.3% 25.5% 32.8% 63.9% 71.7% 41.1% 10.1% 16.3% 27.2% 25.6% 15.6% -67.4% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.1% 35.2% 52.9% 54.1% 54.10%
EPS -9.1% -7.1% 27.8% 34.9% 64.5% 72.1% 42.0% 49.9% 8.2% 4.4% 3.1% 3.2% -94.1% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.1% 34.6% 51.3% 53.0% 53.03%
FCF -1.7% -2.2% -3.1% -1.8% 34.4% 66.4% 50.2% 83.2% 93.7% 17.8% 80.1% 1.2% 4.2% 2.1% 6.5% 10.6% 55.1% -34.9% -92.1% -54.8% -54.84%
EBITDA -29.0% 42.3% -1.1% -1.2% -77.9% -63.4% 3.5% 3.1% 27.7% 21.1% 15.6% 16.3% -64.8% -97.3% -97.1% -96.6% -89.1% 21.7% 27.4% 19.5% 19.53%
Op. Income -2.1% -4.0% -12.5% 33.3% 72.4% 86.6% 1.1% 98.2% 58.0% -50.4% -4.9% -16.7% -1.1% 3.0% 28.5% -6.7% 1.7% 6.8% 29.1% 18.8% 18.75%
OCF Growth snapshot only -47.87%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.00%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.00%
Debt Growth snapshot only -7.02%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.28%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -55.0% -46.8% -36.2% -30.8% -23.0% -20.2% -17.6% -16.9% -15.6% -9.2% 22.3% 75.4% 71.6% 54.3% 28.1% 18.0% 5.9% 2.3% -0.8% -0.8% -0.79%
Revenue 5Y -37.8% -31.5% -23.9% -20.0% -14.1% -12.4% -10.2% -10.6% -15.4% -17.9% -17.8% -17.5% -13.7% -10.8% -11.5% -11.2% -6.3% 1.3% 21.9% 50.8% 50.78%
EPS 3Y 1.7%
EPS 5Y 1.0% 60.0% 13.6% 13.3% -18.0%
Net Income 3Y 2.6%
Net Income 5Y 1.4% 1.4% 88.3% 87.9% 35.6%
EBITDA 3Y -32.8% -31.6% -53.0% -43.7% -38.8% -38.9% 64.9% 1.3% 79.6% 97.5% 30.5% -39.5% 3.2% -9.7% -14.9% -11.0% -11.00%
EBITDA 5Y -14.7% -14.3% -36.5% -29.5% -30.7% -31.5% 13.9% 21.0% 31.0% 30.9% 0.9% -35.9% -35.6% -33.0% -29.7% -17.4% -26.4% -20.6% -20.64%
Gross Profit 3Y -78.0% -70.1% -54.6% -50.0% -39.9% -36.3% -29.9% -28.6% -25.8% -19.4% 18.3% 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 35.6% 27.4% 4.6% -1.0% -8.0% -11.5% -11.49%
Gross Profit 5Y -59.6% -51.6% -38.2% -34.5% -26.3% -23.7% -19.7% -20.5% -24.4% -28.0% -28.1% -29.2% -28.1% -23.9% -24.4% -21.6% -17.1% -7.9% 16.9% 61.6% 61.61%
Op. Income 3Y -64.9%
Op. Income 5Y -46.1%
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y -52.6% -34.5% -21.0% -15.9% -23.4% -33.0% -24.2% -38.1%
OCF 3Y
OCF 5Y -45.6% -32.2% -20.7% -15.9% -23.0% -31.2% -22.6% -29.1%
Assets 3Y -14.8% -14.8% -10.5% -10.5% -10.5% -10.5% -11.2% -11.2% -11.2% -11.2% -3.7% -13.8% -13.8% -13.8% -11.4% -11.4% -11.4% -11.4% -10.5% -10.5% -10.47%
Assets 5Y -4.0% -4.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -11.2% -11.2% -11.2% -11.2% -7.0% -13.0% -13.0% -13.0% -12.8% -12.8% -12.8% -12.8% -8.5% -8.5% -8.49%
Equity 3Y
Book Value 3Y
Dividend 3Y -46.2% -43.6% -38.1% -15.0% -10.1% -11.2% -18.7% -44.2% -55.8% -83.4% -83.8% -81.8% -77.5% -63.0% -63.2% 7.3% 34.8% 49.1%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.59 0.69 0.64 0.58 0.59 0.60 0.43 0.38 0.51 0.53 0.33 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.33 0.40 0.40 0.04 0.58 0.64 0.637
Earnings Stability 0.40 0.52 0.48 0.50 0.45 0.47 0.38 0.49 0.29 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.29 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.08 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.045
Margin Stability 0.51 0.54 0.62 0.50 0.44 0.49 0.60 0.49 0.43 0.48 0.60 0.48 0.38 0.44 0.60 0.64 0.68 0.78 0.87 0.76 0.762
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.96 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00
ROE Trend -0.82 -0.822
Gross Margin Trend -0.73 -0.63 -0.36 -0.19 -0.00 0.04 0.10 0.21 0.25 0.16 0.04 -0.00 -0.11 -0.06 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.07 -0.065
FCF Margin Trend -3.33 -2.31 -1.29 -0.29 0.78 0.53 -0.02 0.83 1.63 0.85 0.48 0.39 0.29 0.37 0.36 0.18 0.08 0.14 -0.07 -0.02 -0.018
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate 1.6% 5.8% 8.0% -20.1% 31.2%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.26 1.33 1.95 1.72 2.28 1.50 1.65 0.27 -0.00 -0.05 -0.01 0.01 0.13 -1.95 -2.70 -2.31 -1.46 -2.13 -0.94 -2.62 -2.619
FCF/OCF 1.05 1.04 1.06 1.05 1.06 1.10 1.06 1.24 2.04 1.08 1.49 0.46 0.76 0.89 0.90 0.88 0.82 0.82 0.43 0.76 0.764
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.000
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.719
CapEx/Revenue 13.9% 7.9% 5.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.15%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.141
Accruals Ratio 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.02 -0.04 0.62 0.90 0.90 1.04 0.21 -0.10 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.08 -0.04 -0.05 -0.053
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.065
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.134
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 5.4% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 21.1% 24.4% 54.0% 26.7% 5.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 2.0% 3.1% 5.1% 4.01%
Dividend/Share $2.47 $2.29 $2.10 $2.05 $1.85 $1.65 $1.16 $0.37 $0.17 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.06 $0.09 $0.12 $0.15 $0.12
Payout Ratio 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
FCF Payout Ratio 12.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 23.6% 32.3% 2.7% 84.5% 84.52%
Total Payout Ratio 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 5.9%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.78 -0.74 -0.67 -0.27 -0.03 -0.02 0.10 -0.41 -0.75 -0.96 -0.95 -0.93 -0.86 -0.40 -0.40 13.26 27.35 37.03
Buyback Yield 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 4.9% 4.90%
Net Buyback Yield 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 4.9% 4.90%
Total Shareholder Return 5.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.2% 22.2% 25.5% 55.2% 26.7% 5.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 2.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.9% 6.4% 6.7% 9.0% 10.0% 9.98%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 13.24 14.68 0.41 0.45 0.39 0.36 0.43 0.66 1.04 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.13 -0.11 2.21 2.22 6.32 -42.53 -4.87 -5.98 0.87 0.93 0.96 0.99 0.99 1.07 1.08 1.08 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.33 1.333
EBIT Margin 1.30 0.85 -0.47 -0.38 -0.07 0.01 0.05 0.05 2.80 4.41 4.39 4.30 0.79 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.026
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.07 0.13 0.17 0.23 0.26 0.31 0.31 0.24 0.21 0.21 0.25 0.31 0.36 0.35 0.42 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.426
Equity Multiplier -2.36 -2.36 -1.70 -1.70 -1.70 -1.70 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 -1.54 -16.83 -16.83 -16.83 -13.07 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.38 1.38 1.383
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-11.23 $-11.51 $-6.05 $-6.73 $-3.99 $-3.21 $-3.51 $-3.37 $28.55 $10.95 $7.28 $7.39 $1.68 $-0.24 $-0.23 $-0.19 $-0.22 $-0.16 $-0.11 $-0.09 $-0.09
Book Value/Share $-59.05 $-58.87 $-65.42 $-64.99 $-64.65 $-64.54 $-63.01 $-35.41 $-29.60 $-8.20 $-5.32 $4.48 $4.51 $4.56 $4.24 $4.31 $4.38 $4.36 $4.39 $4.41 $3.70
Tangible Book/Share $-137.41 $-137.00 $-140.72 $-139.81 $-139.07 $-138.84 $-134.74 $-75.73 $-63.31 $-17.55 $-11.37 $0.41 $0.42 $0.42 $0.62 $0.63 $0.64 $0.64 $0.64 $0.65 $0.65
Revenue/Share $5.13 $8.31 $14.23 $17.90 $24.33 $27.08 $30.47 $17.06 $11.25 $2.64 $1.70 $1.73 $2.15 $2.58 $2.48 $2.50 $2.50 $2.51 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60
FCF/Share $-14.90 $-15.98 $-12.53 $-12.12 $-9.61 $-5.29 $-6.14 $-1.13 $-0.28 $-0.57 $-0.10 $0.03 $0.16 $0.42 $0.56 $0.39 $0.26 $0.28 $0.05 $0.18 $0.18
OCF/Share $-14.19 $-15.32 $-11.82 $-11.57 $-9.08 $-4.83 $-5.78 $-0.91 $-0.14 $-0.52 $-0.07 $0.07 $0.21 $0.48 $0.62 $0.44 $0.31 $0.34 $0.11 $0.24 $0.24
Cash/Share $22.54 $22.47 $12.61 $12.52 $12.46 $12.44 $7.89 $4.43 $3.71 $1.03 $0.67 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.78 $0.79 $0.80 $0.80 $0.80 $0.81 $0.55
EBITDA/Share $11.32 $11.64 $-2.24 $-2.57 $2.45 $4.19 $5.53 $2.98 $32.94 $12.03 $7.74 $7.73 $2.09 $0.22 $0.23 $0.27 $0.23 $0.27 $0.30 $0.33 $0.33
Debt/Share $134.39 $133.99 $139.11 $138.20 $137.48 $137.25 $139.55 $78.44 $65.57 $18.17 $11.78 $0.17 $0.17 $0.17 $0.25 $0.25 $0.26 $0.26 $0.24 $0.24 $0.24
Net Debt/Share $111.85 $111.51 $126.50 $125.68 $125.02 $124.81 $131.66 $74.00 $61.86 $17.15 $11.11 $-0.19 $-0.19 $-0.20 $-0.53 $-0.53 $-0.54 $-0.54 $-0.56 $-0.56 $-0.56
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 248
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $977419.35
Income/Employee snapshot only $-33870.97
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $123387.10
FCF/Employee snapshot only $67741.94
Assets/Employee snapshot only $2292741.94
Market Cap/Employee snapshot only $1127531.53
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 2.368
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.606
Piotroski F-Score 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 2 2 4 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.57 0.58 0.42 1.66 0.34 -0.91 -1.93 -1.82 5.65 7.84 1.71 7.87 1.08 -2.78 -3.34 -3.62 -2.73 -3.01 -2.62 -4.42 -4.423
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.216
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -5.22%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.22
EVA snapshot only $-49211000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 16.65 18.91 8.01 8.01 20.00 20.00 20.00 95.08 97.13 69.40 65.49 63.10 56.74 58.48 57.54 50.42 50.425
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only -12.674
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 100

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