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Not Investment Advice

NOG NYSE

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
1W: +1.0% 1M: -10.7% 3M: -16.2% YTD: +7.2% 1Y: -12.2% 3Y: -11.7% 5Y: +76.2%
$23.75
+0.13 (+0.55%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.2%
$21 $23 $24 $26 $27
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 32 · $2.5B mcap · 102M float · 2.73% daily turnover · Short 35% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 9.4%  ·  5Y Avg: 22.5%
Cost Advantage ★
57
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
26
Network Effect
28
Scale
43
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NOG has No discernible competitive edge (34.8/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 9.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$29
Low
$33
Avg Target
$36
High
Based on 3 analysts since Apr 28, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 5Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$32.00
Analysts4
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-22 Morgan Stanley $28 $29 +1 +22.6% $23.66
2026-05-21 Raymond James John Freeman $50 $35 -15 +45.4% $24.07
2026-05-20 Johnson Rice Charles Meade Initiated $36 +44.6% $24.89
2026-03-27 Morgan Stanley $24 $28 +4 -9.1% $30.82
2026-01-23 Morgan Stanley $26 $24 -2 +0.9% $23.77
2026-01-21 Mizuho Securities Nitin Kumar $30 $29 -1 +25.3% $23.14
2026-01-20 RBC Capital $34 $30 -4 +35.4% $22.15
2025-12-12 Mizuho Securities $47 $30 -17 +28.5% $23.34
2025-10-14 Morgan Stanley Devin McDermott $43 $26 -17 +13.9% $22.83
2025-04-14 RBC Capital Scott Hanold $42 $34 -8 +49.8% $22.70
2025-01-22 Morgan Stanley Devin McDermott $39 $43 +4 +7.1% $40.16
2024-09-19 Mizuho Securities William Janela Initiated $47 +29.9% $36.17
2024-09-16 Morgan Stanley Devin McDermott $38 $39 +1 +13.2% $34.44
2024-07-22 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann $57 $54 -3 +33.7% $40.38
2024-07-01 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann $58 $57 -1 +53.3% $37.17
2024-05-14 Piper Sandler Mark Lear Initiated $43 +8.5% $39.62
2024-04-23 Stifel Nicolaus Derrick Whitfield Initiated $55 +28.9% $42.66
2024-03-28 Morgan Stanley Devin McDermott Initiated $38 -3.4% $39.32
2023-08-08 RBC Capital Scott Hanold $46 $42 -4 +1.9% $41.23
2023-04-10 RBC Capital Scott Hanold Initiated $46 +37.7% $33.40
2022-07-26 Raymond James $55 $50 -5 +85.2% $27.00
2022-07-11 Wells Fargo $34 $35 +1 +45.2% $24.10
2022-06-20 Raymond James John Freeman $48 $55 +7 +99.9% $27.52
2022-06-13 Truist Financial Initiated $58 +63.4% $35.49
2022-04-26 Citigroup Initiated $36 +43.3% $25.13
2022-04-25 Raymond James Initiated $48 +88.6% $25.45
2022-03-13 Wells Fargo Joseph McKay Initiated $34 +42.6% $23.84

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NOG receives an overall rating of C-. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-28 B- C-
2026-04-01 C B-
2026-02-26 C+ C
2026-02-20 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

16 Grade D
Profitability
27
Balance Sheet
43
Earnings Quality
26
Growth
27
Value
48
Momentum
31
Safety
15
Cash Flow
22
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NOG scores highest in Value (48/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.14
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
91.62
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.72
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 27.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -2.28x
Accruals: -37.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NOG scores 1.14, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NOG scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NOG's score of 91.62 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NOG's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NOG receives an estimated rating of B (score: 27.0/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-3.75x
PEG
0.02x
P/S
1.22x
P/B
1.31x
P/FCF
-3.84x
P/OCF
2.03x
EV/EBITDA
5.44x
EV/Revenue
2.56x
EV/EBIT
32.64x
EV/FCF
-7.02x
Earnings Yield
-21.64%
FCF Yield
-26.03%
Shareholder Yield
7.58%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NOG currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.761
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-5.082
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.078
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.374
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.477
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-28.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NOG's ROE of -28.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.374), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$23.74
Median 1Y
$19.46
5th Pctile
$6.57
95th Pctile
$57.62
Ann. Volatility
64.5%
Analyst Target
$32.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Nicholas O’Grady
Chief Executive Officer
$925,000 $5,356,556 $8,070,289
Adam Dirlam
President
$600,000 $2,407,518 $3,935,460
Chad Allen Financial
ancial Officer
$500,000 $1,289,570 $2,506,460
James Evans Technical
hnical Officer
$485,000 $1,141,361 $2,283,199
Erik Romslo Legal
Legal Officer Secretary
$475,000 $1,051,649 $2,076,251

CEO Pay Ratio

8:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $8,070,289
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $958,313
Employees: 64

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
64
+30.6% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$32,735,297
Rev: $2,095,059,000
Profit / Employee
$605,641
NI: $38,761,000
SGA / Employee
$958,313
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -3.3% -1.9% -1.6% 26.9% -56.8% -196.5% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 1.4% 66.1% 42.6% 40.5% 60.0% 23.8% 29.7% 27.9% 8.3% 1.7% -28.0% -28.02%
ROA -40.0% -22.4% 0.5% -9.2% 19.4% 67.0% 35.2% 60.0% 56.2% 30.9% 25.1% 16.2% 15.4% 22.8% 10.3% 12.8% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% -11.3% -11.31%
ROIC -53.4% -26.4% 7.5% -3.7% 29.3% 86.4% 37.5% 61.7% 58.4% 34.5% 26.7% 18.5% 17.9% 24.7% 13.7% 16.5% 15.7% 10.9% 8.4% 9.4% 9.40%
ROCE -72.4% -36.8% 5.5% -3.8% 25.2% 73.5% 33.9% 55.9% 54.7% 32.5% 27.7% 20.0% 19.5% 29.0% 16.6% 20.1% 19.2% 8.2% 4.8% 3.3% 3.31%
Gross Margin 59.2% 61.9% 64.4% 68.8% 70.3% 66.9% 57.9% 51.6% 45.6% 49.7% 45.2% 38.2% 42.2% 40.4% 33.7% 38.7% 37.2% 28.7% 21.3% 32.9% 32.88%
Operating Margin -33.2% 10.4% 57.3% -41.4% 49.1% 1.1% 37.6% 84.1% 56.1% 8.3% 88.6% 9.8% 38.8% 84.2% 24.2% 39.5% 30.5% 25.8% 17.5% 28.6% 28.62%
Net Margin -40.1% 4.8% 52.6% -45.3% 45.7% 1.1% 32.6% 79.4% 40.1% 5.1% 71.2% 2.2% 24.6% 57.9% 13.1% 23.9% 17.2% -26.6% -15.7% -96.1% -96.10%
EBITDA Margin -19.8% 24.3% 70.3% -29.5% 59.2% 1.3% 55.2% 1.1% 82.4% 34.3% 1.2% 42.3% 70.1% 1.2% 61.5% 75.0% 66.1% 15.1% 35.3% 64.8% 64.85%
FCF Margin 0.0% -8.5% -20.2% -38.3% -20.4% -15.2% -21.7% -18.4% -28.7% -49.0% -34.7% -24.1% -14.0% 4.1% -14.3% -6.6% -10.5% -7.6% -13.9% -36.4% -36.40%
OCF Margin 53.6% 45.3% 40.7% 38.3% 37.0% 41.3% 46.8% 53.3% 62.5% 62.5% 62.1% 64.9% 62.0% 67.6% 65.1% 64.5% 65.0% 67.6% 71.8% 69.0% 69.04%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.21%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 30.74%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.43%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.04%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 9.40%
Cash ROA snapshot only 26.28%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 31.54%
CROIC snapshot only -16.63%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 20.57%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -39.78%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.40%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.75%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -1.91 -3.88 224.37 -16.81 8.10 2.55 2.85 1.74 2.21 5.02 3.66 6.26 6.25 4.02 6.90 4.52 4.55 13.29 55.01 -4.62 -3.755
P/S Ratio 1.91 1.62 1.46 1.45 1.18 1.09 1.11 1.17 1.50 1.89 1.77 1.85 1.64 1.56 1.66 1.33 1.25 1.10 1.02 1.40 1.220
P/B Ratio -4.75 -5.39 6.64 8.58 8.74 9.51 2.96 3.08 3.67 4.57 1.65 1.82 1.73 1.64 1.55 1.26 1.19 1.04 1.00 1.35 1.311
P/FCF 14951.49 -19.10 -7.23 -3.78 -5.76 -7.18 -5.11 -6.37 -5.22 -3.85 -5.10 -7.67 -11.67 38.42 -11.64 -19.93 -11.88 -14.45 -7.32 -3.84 -3.842
P/OCF 3.56 3.58 3.60 3.79 3.18 2.64 2.38 2.20 2.40 3.02 2.85 2.85 2.64 2.30 2.55 2.06 1.92 1.62 1.42 2.03 2.026
EV/EBITDA -5.36 -17.42 10.76 22.48 5.48 2.59 3.36 2.23 2.46 4.00 3.21 4.01 3.74 2.77 3.77 2.96 2.89 3.88 4.30 5.44 5.437
EV/Revenue 3.60 2.89 2.28 2.07 1.67 1.52 1.88 1.95 2.33 2.73 2.73 2.76 2.48 2.40 2.75 2.39 2.31 2.17 2.15 2.56 2.555
EV/EBIT -4.01 -8.45 33.85 -58.24 8.89 3.23 4.35 2.70 3.08 6.00 4.58 6.78 6.72 4.37 7.10 5.21 5.27 11.54 19.20 32.64 32.638
EV/FCF 28239.02 -34.07 -11.26 -5.40 -8.19 -9.97 -8.64 -10.61 -8.13 -5.57 -7.86 -11.44 -17.70 59.29 -19.28 -36.00 -22.00 -28.61 -15.48 -7.02 -7.019
Earnings Yield -52.4% -25.8% 0.4% -5.9% 12.3% 39.3% 35.1% 57.6% 45.2% 19.9% 27.3% 16.0% 16.0% 24.9% 14.5% 22.1% 22.0% 7.5% 1.8% -21.6% -21.64%
FCF Yield 0.0% -5.2% -13.8% -26.5% -17.4% -13.9% -19.6% -15.7% -19.1% -26.0% -19.6% -13.0% -8.6% 2.6% -8.6% -5.0% -8.4% -6.9% -13.7% -26.0% -26.03%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.019
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.354
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.701
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 8.356
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 9.812
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.58%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.69 0.69 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 1.09 1.09 1.087
Quick Ratio 0.69 0.69 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 1.09 1.09 1.087
Debt/Equity -4.23 -4.23 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.13 1.13 1.127
Net Debt/Equity 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.12 1.12 1.120
Debt/Assets 1.08 1.08 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.443
Debt/EBITDA -2.53 -7.67 3.89 6.84 1.65 0.73 1.38 0.89 0.88 1.24 1.13 1.33 1.28 0.98 1.50 1.32 1.33 1.93 2.28 2.48 2.476
Net Debt/EBITDA -2.52 -7.66 3.85 6.76 1.63 0.72 1.37 0.89 0.88 1.23 1.13 1.32 1.27 0.97 1.49 1.32 1.33 1.92 2.27 2.46 2.461
Interest Coverage -8.84 -4.50 1.11 -0.71 4.50 12.13 10.66 15.30 13.05 6.68 8.38 5.70 5.35 7.99 5.32 6.21 5.71 2.34 1.36 0.94 0.942
Equity Multiplier -3.91 -3.91 7.08 7.08 7.08 7.08 3.86 3.86 3.86 3.86 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.41 2.41 2.41 2.41 2.54 2.54 2.544
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.027
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.654
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.006
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.313
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1422.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.40 0.53 0.81 1.06 1.33 1.56 0.90 0.89 0.83 0.82 0.52 0.55 0.59 0.59 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.38 0.37 0.374
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 6.21 8.28 7.37 9.63 12.08 14.16 8.54 8.42 7.86 7.77 5.94 6.27 6.73 6.73 5.69 5.81 5.85 5.77 5.67 5.57 5.567
Payables Turnover 5.76 6.47 7.67 8.93 10.33 11.87 6.91 7.58 8.25 9.09 6.18 6.95 7.56 7.86 6.71 6.84 7.03 7.22 6.74 6.78 6.782
DSO 59 44 50 38 30 26 43 43 46 47 61 58 54 54 64 63 62 63 64 66 65.6 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 63 56 48 41 35 31 53 48 44 40 59 53 48 46 54 53 52 51 54 54 53.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -5 -12 2 -3 -5 -5 -10 -5 2 7 2 6 6 8 10 9 10 13 10 12 11.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 644.182
Cash Velocity snapshot only 143.983
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.627
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 18.5% 92.7% 2.0% 2.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.0% 53.7% 14.3% -3.5% -4.0% 2.8% 18.2% 19.6% 13.5% 9.7% 3.0% 1.5% -3.2% -6.8% -6.81%
Net Income -2.1% 64.4% 1.0% 92.0% 1.4% 3.6% 120.5% 13.0% 4.3% -15.4% 19.4% -55.0% -54.3% 23.3% -43.6% 9.0% 7.7% -78.4% -92.6% -2.0% -1.96%
EPS 30.1% 76.7% 1.0% 94.3% 1.3% 3.0% 120.5% 11.8% 4.2% -22.3% -2.1% -62.2% -60.1% 14.8% -44.4% 10.8% 10.5% -77.6% -92.4% -2.0% -1.98%
FCF 1.0% 11.8% -5.1% -7.2% -4601.5% -3.5% -1.2% 26.4% -60.3% -2.1% -53.5% -34.8% 42.2% 1.1% 53.4% 69.7% 22.9% -2.9% 5.6% -4.1% -4.10%
EBITDA -47.6% 79.9% 1.3% 1.1% 2.3% 9.9% 4.4% 13.5% 2.5% 12.6% 46.4% -19.0% -17.0% 52.2% -2.7% 29.3% 23.8% -34.5% -33.5% -45.9% -45.91%
Op. Income -11.8% 68.9% 1.1% 96.4% 1.6% 4.6% 9.9% 31.0% 3.6% -8.1% 31.5% -42.0% -41.7% 47.7% -25.3% 24.7% 21.8% -44.2% -27.2% -47.2% -47.17%
OCF Growth snapshot only -0.17%
Asset Growth snapshot only -3.47%
Equity Growth snapshot only -8.36%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.10%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.49%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 7.67%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 22.5% 24.4% 26.6% 48.8% 51.0% 56.3% 58.6% 45.5% 57.3% 67.4% 80.5% 79.0% 57.1% 42.8% 30.4% 20.1% 11.6% 5.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.69%
Revenue 5Y 28.3% 38.1% 44.3% 48.5% 54.4% 57.4% 57.6% 51.9% 43.2% 36.2% 31.8% 39.1% 36.0% 34.5% 34.1% 28.3% 36.5% 41.6% 45.2% 42.4% 42.43%
EPS 3Y -72.6% -16.6% 13.9% 24.4% 3.0% 31.8% -41.5% -65.4%
EPS 5Y 90.0% 19.5% 45.3% 3.8% 5.7% -4.2%
Net Income 3Y -64.6% 10.0% 47.6% 49.0% 3.3% 37.9% -39.1% -63.1%
Net Income 5Y 2.2% 45.1% 77.7% 26.5% 27.4% 10.2%
EBITDA 3Y -16.2% -23.6% 4.9% 27.8% 72.8% 34.4% 97.0% 1.5% 53.8% 3.9% -1.8% -17.3% -17.26%
EBITDA 5Y 40.1% 55.1% 56.2% 70.8% 1.4% 74.6% 35.9% 39.4% 27.7% 29.0% 49.1% 20.5%
Gross Profit 3Y 15.2% 15.9% 26.1% 40.7% 53.6% 74.9% 83.1% 88.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 1.3% 55.1% 30.7% 12.5% 1.4% -8.1% -15.6% -19.9% -19.8% -19.84%
Gross Profit 5Y 1.1% 83.9% 63.1% 61.5% 67.3% 69.8% 69.5% 58.5% 44.0% 29.1% 25.6% 24.9% 26.1% 30.4% 31.3% 36.1% 61.9% 88.6% 1.1% 53.0% 53.03%
Op. Income 3Y -37.9% 2.0% 33.7% 1.5% 37.3% 1.2% 48.3% -8.8% -10.6% -27.4% -27.43%
Op. Income 5Y 52.1% 67.4% 69.8% 92.4% 1.0% 61.1% 28.0% 31.7% 23.2% 26.6% 72.1% 13.4%
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y -73.5%
OCF 3Y 40.8% 36.0% 17.5% 17.9% 16.0% 26.0% 39.8% 45.1% 49.2% 50.8% 52.8% 64.4% 64.9% 63.1% 52.6% 42.9% 34.7% 24.2% 17.5% 10.8% 10.85%
OCF 5Y 9.0% 14.6% 31.2% 44.9% 51.9% 61.8% 66.3% 63.7% 60.6% 53.2% 37.1% 34.4% 28.7% 30.4% 32.9% 33.1% 33.3% 35.1% 35.3% 37.1% 37.07%
Assets 3Y 11.3% 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7% 72.6% 72.6% 72.6% 72.6% 54.4% 54.4% 54.4% 54.4% 23.5% 23.5% 23.45%
Assets 5Y 3.5% 3.5% 28.7% 28.7% 28.7% 28.7% 35.4% 35.4% 35.4% 35.4% 24.4% 24.4% 24.4% 24.4% 24.1% 24.1% 24.1% 24.1% 44.1% 44.1% 44.05%
Equity 3Y -20.6% -20.6% -20.6% -20.6% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 41.8% 41.8% 41.83%
Book Value 3Y -38.6% -37.7% -39.8% -38.7% -13.1% -8.1% -14.6% -14.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 33.0% 35.2% 35.25%
Dividend 3Y -11.4% -2.7% 1.8% 10.1% 11.7% 6.2% -8.3% -7.0% -5.2% -6.1% 1.8% -3.2% -0.8% -0.7% -4.1% -2.3% -2.27%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.96 0.79 0.59 0.60 0.65 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.79 0.75 0.74 0.83 0.87 0.86 0.88 0.94 0.93 0.82 0.73 0.72 0.722
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.09 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.32 0.27 0.36 0.17 0.40 0.45 0.53 0.25 0.59 0.44 0.26 0.08 0.083
Margin Stability 0.30 0.32 0.43 0.50 0.57 0.51 0.46 0.57 0.59 0.51 0.48 0.60 0.81 0.82 0.77 0.68 0.56 0.46 0.41 0.61 0.608
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.83 0.96 0.97 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.82 0.24 0.25 0.79 0.44 0.91 0.93 0.00 0.00
ROE Trend -0.08 -0.34 -1.09 -1.91 -0.52 -0.75 -0.71 -0.58 -0.32 -0.58 -0.578
Gross Margin Trend 0.06 0.26 0.36 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.34 0.19 -0.00 -0.10 -0.15 -0.19 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 -0.15 -0.12 -0.12 -0.11 -0.11 -0.111
FCF Margin Trend 0.38 0.23 -0.05 -0.30 0.07 -0.02 -0.19 -0.10 -0.18 -0.37 -0.14 0.04 0.11 0.36 0.14 0.15 0.11 0.15 0.11 -0.21 -0.210
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.5% 2.6% 2.4% 1.2% 57.2% 32.6% 29.7% 48.8% 16.4% 22.2% 20.2% 0.4% -6.1%
Internal Growth Rate 19.7% 1.7% 46.7% 1.3% 1.1% 33.8% 27.7% 14.1% 12.7% 22.8% 7.6% 10.6% 9.6% 0.2%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.54 -1.08 62.32 -4.44 2.55 0.96 1.20 0.79 0.92 1.66 1.28 2.20 2.37 1.74 2.71 2.20 2.37 8.18 38.84 -2.28 -2.281
FCF/OCF 0.00 -0.19 -0.50 -1.00 -0.55 -0.37 -0.46 -0.34 -0.46 -0.78 -0.56 -0.37 -0.23 0.06 -0.22 -0.10 -0.16 -0.11 -0.19 -0.53 -0.527
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.203
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.469
CapEx/Revenue 53.6% 53.8% 60.9% 76.6% 57.5% 56.6% 68.5% 71.7% 91.1% 1.1% 96.8% 89.0% 76.0% 63.6% 79.4% 71.1% 75.5% 75.2% 85.8% 1.1% 1.05%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.693
Accruals Ratio -0.62 -0.47 -0.33 -0.50 -0.30 0.02 -0.07 0.13 0.04 -0.20 -0.07 -0.19 -0.21 -0.17 -0.18 -0.15 -0.17 -0.26 -0.27 -0.37 -0.371
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.130
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.606
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 4.5% 5.6% 6.0% 7.1% 8.1% 6.1% 7.58%
Dividend/Share $0.36 $0.36 $0.42 $0.52 $0.40 $0.56 $0.90 $1.08 $1.18 $1.32 $1.24 $1.36 $1.47 $1.54 $1.60 $1.64 $1.69 $1.77 $1.75 $1.79 $1.80
Payout Ratio 5.4% 15.1% 6.0% 9.5% 7.0% 8.5% 18.3% 13.4% 23.3% 26.5% 18.6% 31.1% 25.3% 27.5% 94.6% 4.5%
FCF Payout Ratio 309.9% 1.8%
Total Payout Ratio 5.4% 34.0% 12.5% 20.5% 14.1% 12.5% 24.3% 14.3% 26.7% 36.2% 26.8% 49.3% 39.1% 42.3% 1.4% 5.9%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.61 1.03 1.18 1.34 2.03 1.62 0.73 0.53 0.47 0.30 0.35 0.24 0.18 0.17 0.15 0.14 0.138
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 4.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 1.46%
Net Buyback Yield -21.5% -19.0% -30.7% -16.5% -8.8% -7.7% 3.9% 4.1% -6.4% -5.4% -15.0% -13.3% -6.7% -6.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 2.7% -6.5% -6.46%
Total Shareholder Return -19.4% -17.0% -28.3% -14.3% -7.0% -5.3% 7.2% 8.1% -2.6% -1.7% -11.3% -9.6% -2.4% -1.9% 7.1% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% -0.3% -0.34%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 0.96 1.01 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.97 0.92 0.88 0.87 0.80 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.62 0.76 0.761
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.11 1.22 0.10 2.40 0.78 0.92 0.91 0.93 0.92 0.85 0.88 0.82 0.81 0.87 0.81 0.84 0.82 0.57 0.27 -5.08 -5.082
EBIT Margin -0.90 -0.34 0.07 -0.04 0.19 0.47 0.43 0.72 0.76 0.45 0.60 0.41 0.37 0.55 0.39 0.46 0.44 0.19 0.11 0.08 0.078
Asset Turnover 0.40 0.53 0.81 1.06 1.33 1.56 0.90 0.89 0.83 0.82 0.52 0.55 0.59 0.59 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.38 0.37 0.374
Equity Multiplier 8.28 8.28 -293.14 -293.14 -293.14 -293.14 4.58 4.58 4.58 4.58 2.64 2.64 2.64 2.64 2.31 2.31 2.31 2.31 2.48 2.48 2.477
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-9.16 $-4.66 $0.08 $-1.43 $2.67 $9.32 $9.45 $15.46 $13.88 $7.25 $9.25 $5.85 $5.54 $8.31 $5.14 $6.48 $6.12 $1.87 $0.39 $-6.33 $-6.33
Book Value/Share $-3.68 $-3.35 $2.63 $2.80 $2.48 $2.50 $9.10 $8.73 $8.36 $7.95 $20.51 $20.15 $20.08 $20.33 $22.91 $23.21 $23.35 $23.89 $21.41 $21.59 $18.12
Tangible Book/Share $-3.68 $-3.35 $2.63 $2.80 $2.48 $2.50 $9.10 $8.73 $8.36 $7.95 $20.51 $20.15 $20.08 $20.33 $22.91 $23.21 $23.35 $23.89 $21.41 $21.59 $21.59
Revenue/Share $9.16 $11.14 $11.91 $16.56 $18.41 $21.74 $24.26 $22.92 $20.50 $19.27 $19.11 $19.81 $21.17 $21.45 $21.37 $22.09 $22.37 $22.58 $21.10 $20.90 $20.90
FCF/Share $0.00 $-0.95 $-2.41 $-6.35 $-3.76 $-3.31 $-5.27 $-4.21 $-5.88 $-9.45 $-6.63 $-4.77 $-2.97 $0.87 $-3.05 $-1.47 $-2.35 $-1.72 $-2.93 $-7.61 $-7.61
OCF/Share $4.92 $5.05 $4.84 $6.34 $6.82 $8.99 $11.34 $12.22 $12.81 $12.04 $11.86 $12.85 $13.13 $14.50 $13.91 $14.24 $14.54 $15.27 $15.16 $14.43 $14.43
Cash/Share $0.02 $0.02 $0.12 $0.12 $0.11 $0.11 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.09 $0.09 $0.09 $0.09 $0.14 $0.15 $0.38
EBITDA/Share $-6.16 $-1.85 $2.52 $1.53 $5.62 $12.72 $13.54 $20.00 $19.39 $13.16 $16.25 $13.61 $14.06 $18.63 $15.60 $17.89 $17.86 $12.65 $10.57 $9.82 $9.82
Debt/Share $15.57 $14.18 $9.82 $10.44 $9.26 $9.33 $18.64 $17.86 $17.12 $16.27 $18.39 $18.06 $18.00 $18.22 $23.40 $23.69 $23.84 $24.39 $24.12 $24.32 $24.32
Net Debt/Share $15.54 $14.16 $9.70 $10.32 $9.15 $9.22 $18.60 $17.83 $17.09 $16.25 $18.31 $17.98 $17.92 $18.14 $23.31 $23.61 $23.75 $24.30 $23.98 $24.17 $24.17
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.140
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.468
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 7 6 7 6 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score -1.76 -5.10 -1.15 -1.92 -1.33 -0.32 -2.31 -1.42 -1.62 -2.64 -2.34 -2.80 -3.01 -2.77 -3.20 -3.22 -3.18 -3.47 92.40 91.62 91.616
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.723
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 3.23%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-27.38
EVA snapshot only $-27203960.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 19.09 18.83 15.65 8.18 31.72 52.60 49.77 58.70 58.08 52.24 63.37 61.83 60.89 66.77 48.62 50.17 49.23 36.98 31.99 27.01 27.008
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -23.158
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 14
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 17

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