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Also trades as: NVV1.F (FSX) · $vol 0M

NVAX NASDAQ

Novavax, Inc.
1W: -4.0% 1M: +6.3% 3M: -2.4% YTD: +25.9% 1Y: +16.9% 3Y: +17.5% 5Y: -93.2%
$9.21
+0.23 (+2.56%)
After Hours: $9.19 (-0.02, -0.22%)
Weekly Expected Move ±10.7%
$7 $8 $9 $10 $11
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 59 · $1.5B mcap · 141M float · 3.36% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
41.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 8.6%
Cost Advantage ★
58
Intangibles
44
Switching Cost
38
Network Effect
37
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NVAX shows a Weak competitive edge (41.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 8.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$14
Avg Target
$14
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 17Hold: 3Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$14.50
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-10-24 Cantor Fitzgerald $174 $18 -156 +110.5% $8.55
2025-10-23 H.C. Wainwright Sean Lee $19 $11 -8 +30.0% $8.46
2024-11-18 B.Riley Financial Mayank Mamtani Initiated $22 +190.2% $7.58
2024-10-16 Jefferies Roger Song $31 $25 -6 +146.3% $10.15
2024-10-16 Bank of America Securities Alec Stranahan Initiated $14 +34.0% $10.45
2024-07-19 Jefferies Roger Song Initiated $31 +115.9% $14.36
2024-05-10 H.C. Wainwright Vernon Bernardino Initiated $19 +91.2% $9.94
2022-02-13 Cantor Fitzgerald Charles Duncan Initiated $174 +117.2% $80.11

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NVAX receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5). Areas of concern: ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-06 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

9 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
34
Earnings Quality
64
Growth
12
Value
32
Momentum
20
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NVAX scores highest in Earnings Quality (64/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-4.00
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Beneish M-Score
0.07
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.62
Bankruptcy prob: 1.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 1.04x
Accruals: 0.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NVAX scores -4.00, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NVAX scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NVAX's score of 0.07 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NVAX's implied 1.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NVAX receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-16.85x
PEG
0.14x
P/S
2.50x
P/B
-10.22x
P/FCF
-13.68x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
-14.78x
EV/Revenue
1.41x
EV/EBIT
-11.05x
EV/FCF
-8.67x
Earnings Yield
-6.61%
FCF Yield
-7.31%
Shareholder Yield
0.61%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NVAX currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.019
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.130
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.128
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.436
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-3.642
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
23.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NVAX's ROE of 23.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.436), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.02 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$9.21
Median 1Y
$4.88
5th Pctile
$0.88
95th Pctile
$27.95
Ann. Volatility
111.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
John C. Jacobs
President and CEO
$792,917 $3,545,435 $8,856,015
Elaine O'Hara EVP,
Chief Strategy Officer
$561,080 $1,330,030 $3,688,276
James P. Kelly
EVP, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
$572,886 $1,019,165 $2,986,228
Mark J. Casey,
J.D. EVP, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
$577,831 $885,375 $2,810,453
Ruxandra Draghia-Akli, M.D.,
Ph.D. Former EVP, Head of Research & Development
$600,000 $629,600 $2,303,380
John J. Trizzino
Former President and Chief Operating Officer
$310,016 $368,624 $1,709,950

CEO Pay Ratio

44:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $8,856,015
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $200,732
Employees: 749

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
749
-21.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,499,972
Rev: $1,123,479,000
Profit / Employee
$587,853
NI: $440,302,000
SGA / Employee
$200,732
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$449,693
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -4.3% -4.9% -12.7% -9.6% -10.7% -9.6% 1.3% 2.3% 1.2% 1.1% 80.7% 59.0% 43.6% 42.2% 28.0% -71.4% -63.1% -51.0% -1.2% 23.4% 23.37%
ROA -1.1% -1.2% -83.8% -63.4% -71.0% -63.6% -27.2% -47.8% -24.3% -22.7% -26.9% -19.7% -14.5% -14.0% -11.2% 28.5% 25.2% 20.4% 32.2% -6.4% -6.42%
ROIC -1.9% -2.1% 94.3% 70.9% 78.6% 68.5% 35.8% 64.9% 34.9% 34.8% 42.4% 29.4% 21.5% 22.1% 14.6% -30.6% -26.5% -23.1% -75.3% 8.6% 8.59%
ROCE -92.1% -1.0% -9.1% -6.8% -7.7% -6.9% 3.1% 5.6% 2.8% 2.7% -3.3% -2.3% -1.7% -1.6% -38.6% 1.3% 1.1% 92.4% 64.9% -10.6% -10.65%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 97.5% -45.8% 40.8% 36.8% 6.3% 86.9% -3.5% 48.9% 48.0% 88.9% 28.3% 58.5% 97.9% 94.1% 69.5% 82.9% 78.0% 78.00%
Operating Margin -1.2% -1.7% 1.1% 34.6% -2.6% -17.3% -84.7% 48.7% 13.1% -5.7% -63.0% -1.5% 38.7% -1.6% -1.5% 77.3% 44.2% -2.5% 14.3% -11.1% -11.06%
Net Margin -1.2% -1.8% 1.2% 33.6% -2.7% -23.0% -63.3% 45.7% 13.7% -5.9% -61.2% -1.6% 39.1% -1.4% -91.8% 77.8% 44.5% -2.9% 11.9% -6.8% -6.80%
EBITDA Margin -1.1% -1.7% 1.1% 36.0% -2.7% -20.9% -59.8% 43.5% 16.7% -5.3% -55.5% -1.4% 43.3% -1.2% -60.6% 80.1% 50.4% -2.7% 19.6% -11.1% -11.06%
FCF Margin 50.2% 37.7% 1.3% -1.4% -3.4% -91.1% -28.1% -62.6% -51.2% -99.8% -1.1% -61.9% -2.9% -12.7% -14.9% -15.8% -59.1% -36.1% -22.3% -16.3% -16.29%
OCF Margin 56.9% 44.6% 1.6% -1.2% -3.1% -80.2% -22.9% -54.3% -45.4% -90.0% -97.6% -56.7% 1.7% -10.3% -12.8% -15.1% -58.5% -35.5% -21.8% -15.4% -15.35%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.34%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -48.33%
Cash ROA snapshot only -7.78%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -8.84%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -14.45%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 57.91%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 21.46%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.31%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -16.57 -14.41 -6.10 -4.51 -2.72 -1.08 -1.25 -0.52 -1.32 -1.36 -1.09 -1.68 -7.13 -7.10 -6.87 2.38 2.64 4.12 2.64 -15.13 -16.851
P/S Ratio 13.31 12.87 53.87 16.74 16.54 1.78 0.45 0.50 0.54 1.03 0.81 0.80 2.55 2.28 1.89 0.91 1.03 1.32 1.04 2.23 2.500
P/B Ratio 25.09 24.71 -30.27 -16.90 -11.43 -4.05 -1.29 -0.94 -1.22 -1.18 -0.83 -0.93 -2.93 -2.82 -2.07 -1.83 -1.79 -2.26 -9.11 -10.40 -10.224
P/FCF 26.55 34.16 40.10 -12.15 -4.94 -1.96 -1.61 -0.79 -1.05 -1.03 -0.77 -1.30 -89.10 -17.99 -12.64 -5.74 -1.75 -3.66 -4.64 -13.68 -13.678
P/OCF 23.40 28.87 32.96 147.06
EV/EBITDA -16.92 -14.79 -5.70 -3.91 -2.10 -0.29 -0.06 0.17 0.03 0.08 -0.52 -0.98 -7.71 -7.77 -5.51 0.80 0.86 1.74 1.38 -14.78 -14.783
EV/Revenue 13.11 12.67 48.50 13.75 12.18 0.46 0.02 -0.16 -0.01 -0.05 0.35 0.40 2.14 1.90 0.87 0.36 0.39 0.67 0.60 1.41 1.413
EV/EBIT -16.78 -14.64 -5.66 -3.85 -2.07 -0.28 -0.05 0.17 0.02 0.07 -0.48 -0.86 -6.43 -6.39 -3.81 0.87 0.93 1.91 1.46 -11.05 -11.048
EV/FCF 26.14 33.62 36.10 -9.98 -3.63 -0.50 -0.07 0.25 0.02 0.05 -0.33 -0.64 -74.70 -14.97 -5.85 -2.25 -0.67 -1.86 -2.70 -8.67 -8.674
Earnings Yield -6.0% -6.9% -16.4% -22.2% -36.7% -92.8% -80.2% -1.9% -75.9% -73.3% -91.8% -59.6% -14.0% -14.1% -14.6% 42.0% 37.9% 24.3% 37.9% -6.6% -6.61%
FCF Yield 3.8% 2.9% 2.5% -8.2% -20.3% -51.1% -62.0% -1.3% -95.3% -97.1% -1.3% -76.9% -1.1% -5.6% -7.9% -17.4% -57.1% -27.3% -21.5% -7.3% -7.31%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.143
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.670
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.61%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.15 2.15 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 2.13 2.13 2.127
Quick Ratio 2.15 2.15 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 2.10 2.10 2.102
Debt/Equity 0.75 0.75 -1.29 -1.29 -1.29 -1.29 -0.87 -0.87 -0.87 -0.87 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.37 -0.37 -0.37 -0.37 -1.95 -1.95 -1.948
Net Debt/Equity -0.39 -0.39
Debt/Assets 0.30 0.30 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.21 0.21 0.211
Debt/EBITDA -0.51 -0.45 -0.27 -0.36 -0.32 -0.36 -0.91 -0.50 -1.03 -1.10 -0.47 -0.68 -1.00 -1.06 -2.13 0.42 0.46 0.56 0.51 -4.36 -4.364
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.27 0.24 0.63 0.85 0.75 0.85 1.30 0.71 1.47 1.58 0.70 1.01 1.49 1.57 6.41 -1.25 -1.40 -1.69 -0.99 8.53 8.529
Interest Coverage -48.23 -52.44 -80.15 -59.88 -66.60 -62.60 -31.88 -58.65 -35.12 -35.97 -36.67 -26.84 -17.97 -15.84 -7.80 23.53 19.71 15.43 20.61 -6.40 -6.398
Equity Multiplier 2.52 2.52 -7.33 -7.33 -7.33 -7.33 -3.56 -3.56 -3.56 -3.56 -2.51 -2.51 -2.51 -2.51 -2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -9.21 -9.21 -9.209
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.598
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -4.782
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.954
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.391
Defensive Interval snapshot only 537.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.35 1.37 0.10 0.17 0.12 0.38 0.75 0.50 0.60 0.30 0.36 0.41 0.41 0.44 0.41 0.75 0.64 0.63 0.82 0.44 0.436
Inventory Turnover 49.21 50.24 38.50 20.20 8.62 8.99 8.75 7.77 7.63 6.25 4.98 3.43 7.40 9.03 9.029
Receivables Turnover 8.77 8.93 0.55 0.99 0.68 2.23 6.75 4.47 5.36 2.71 3.85 4.38 4.33 4.66 3.36 6.19 5.32 5.25 10.46 5.55 5.554
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 3.16 7.95 5.25 5.36 4.11 2.16 1.93 2.02 1.96 1.74 2.21 1.81 1.44 0.99 2.27 2.77 2.770
DSO 42 41 662 369 539 164 54 82 68 135 95 83 84 78 108 59 69 70 35 66 65.7 days
DIO 0 0 0 7 7 9 18 42 41 42 47 48 58 73 106 49 40 40.4 days
DPO 2177 116 46 69 68 89 169 189 181 186 209 165 202 253 367 161 132 131.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -1809 423 118 -8 21 -11 -16 -52 -57 -60 -84 -9 -84 -111 -192 -77 -26 -25.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 8.809
Operating Cycle snapshot only 106.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.811
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.973
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 22.5% 4.9% -58.5% -61.4% -79.4% -33.7% 8.2% 2.4% 4.9% -8.9% -59.7% -30.8% -42.9% 21.6% -6.7% 50.9% 31.1% 20.3% 64.7% -52.5% -52.48%
Net Income -9.2% -2.9% -3.2% -1.1% -55.4% -23.0% 62.3% 12.3% 60.2% 58.5% 17.2% 65.5% 49.8% 48.1% 65.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% -1.2% -1.18%
EPS -7.1% -2.2% -2.7% -93.8% -47.4% -17.4% 64.8% 17.9% 70.1% 68.6% 46.5% 78.7% 68.5% 66.5% 73.4% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 3.2% -1.2% -1.20%
FCF 17.5% 8.2% 3.7% -1.9% -2.4% -2.6% -2.9% -53.9% 9.5% 0.1% -51.8% 31.7% 96.8% 84.5% 86.8% 61.5% -26.0% -2.4% -1.5% 51.0% 50.97%
EBITDA -10.9% -3.0% -3.2% -1.1% -53.5% -21.5% 64.1% 11.9% 62.0% 60.3% 19.3% 69.4% 57.3% 56.5% 77.8% 2.6% 3.2% 2.9% 5.6% -1.1% -1.10%
Op. Income -10.1% -3.0% -3.0% -1.1% -51.0% -17.4% 61.8% 8.0% 55.3% 48.9% 12.1% 66.4% 54.3% 52.9% 57.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% -1.2% -1.16%
OCF Growth snapshot only 51.61%
Asset Growth snapshot only -24.60%
Debt Growth snapshot only 7.98%
Shares Change snapshot only -8.08%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.1% 2.1% 79.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 2.1% 52.6% 15.4% -3.3% -11.4% -9.7% 51.1% 52.3% 64.4% 10.1% -14.7% -20.8% -20.83%
Revenue 5Y 1.3% 1.4% 66.7% 84.0% 63.1% 98.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.1% 80.0% 84.4% 96.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 84.7% 39.1% 18.8% -8.3% -8.30%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 79.3% 1.3% 69.5% 2.7% 1.5% 1.4% 20.4% -6.1% -19.5% -26.0% -21.6% 35.3% 47.8% 1.3% 4.8% 21.6% 21.65%
Gross Profit 5Y 1.7% 1.7% 62.9% 75.7% 86.6% 1.1% 92.2% 1.3% 80.1% 36.7% 17.1% -11.3% -11.30%
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y -72.3%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 73.6% 73.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% -15.4% -15.4% -15.4% -15.4% -19.5% -19.5% -19.54%
Assets 5Y 32.6% 32.6% 45.6% 45.6% 45.6% 45.6% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5% 53.9% 53.9% 53.9% 53.9% 55.3% 55.3% 55.3% 55.3% -5.8% -5.8% -5.76%
Equity 3Y
Book Value 3Y
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.43 0.51 0.38 0.36 0.24 0.60 0.53 0.59 0.48 0.48 0.38 0.49 0.31 0.34 0.22 0.78 0.56 0.89 0.03 0.07 0.070
Earnings Stability 0.26 0.38 0.47 0.57 0.65 0.75 0.41 0.78 0.44 0.44 0.18 0.27 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.09 0.19 0.30 0.46 0.49 0.490
Margin Stability 0.12 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.55 0.17 0.42 0.68 0.56 0.18 0.43 0.70 0.57 0.566
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.50 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.50 0.80 0.81 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -1.18 -0.90 -0.50 -0.75 0.10 -0.06 -0.21 -0.02 0.42 0.36 0.20 0.47 0.34 0.35 0.31 0.12 0.121
FCF Margin Trend 3.99 5.27 5.16 1.36 -3.92 -1.22 -0.85 -0.25 0.91 -0.73 -1.59 0.38 1.90 0.83 0.52 0.46 -0.32 0.20 0.38 0.23 0.225
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate 39.9% 33.7% 25.6% 47.4%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.71 -0.50 -0.19 0.33 0.50 0.48 0.63 0.57 1.11 1.19 1.31 1.18 -0.05 0.32 0.47 -0.40 -1.49 -1.11 -0.56 1.04 1.042
FCF/OCF 0.88 0.85 0.82 1.14 1.09 1.14 1.22 1.15 1.13 1.11 1.08 1.09 -1.65 1.24 1.17 1.05 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.06 1.061
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.106
CapEx/Revenue 6.7% 6.9% 29.1% 17.0% 28.8% 10.9% 5.1% 8.3% 5.8% 9.9% 8.0% 5.1% 4.6% 2.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.94%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.291
Accruals Ratio -1.85 -1.84 -0.99 -0.43 -0.35 -0.33 -0.10 -0.21 0.03 0.04 0.08 0.04 -0.15 -0.10 -0.06 0.40 0.63 0.43 0.50 0.00 0.003
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.383
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -16.320
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.61%
Net Buyback Yield -6.6% -6.4% -5.3% -3.0% -4.5% -12.6% -30.4% -11.7% -17.0% -43.6% -60.7% -54.9% -26.7% -18.1% -20.4% -22.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.61%
Total Shareholder Return -6.6% -6.4% -5.3% -3.0% -4.5% -12.6% -30.4% -11.7% -17.0% -43.6% -60.7% -54.9% -26.7% -18.1% -20.4% -22.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.61%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.06 0.98 0.98 0.97 1.00 1.02 1.019
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.06 1.13 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.95 1.13 1.130
EBIT Margin -0.78 -0.87 -8.57 -3.57 -5.88 -1.60 -0.35 -0.94 -0.40 -0.74 -0.72 -0.46 -0.33 -0.30 -0.23 0.41 0.42 0.35 0.41 -0.13 -0.128
Asset Turnover 1.35 1.37 0.10 0.17 0.12 0.38 0.75 0.50 0.60 0.30 0.36 0.41 0.41 0.44 0.41 0.75 0.64 0.63 0.82 0.44 0.436
Equity Multiplier 3.98 3.98 15.10 15.10 15.10 15.10 -4.91 -4.91 -4.91 -4.91 -3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -3.64 -3.64 -3.642
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-12.82 $-14.38 $-23.44 $-16.33 $-18.89 $-16.89 $-8.24 $-13.41 $-5.64 $-5.31 $-4.41 $-2.85 $-1.77 $-1.78 $-1.17 $2.69 $2.39 $2.10 $2.54 $-0.54 $-0.54
Book Value/Share $8.46 $8.39 $-4.73 $-4.36 $-4.50 $-4.49 $-7.94 $-7.36 $-6.09 $-6.13 $-5.80 $-5.12 $-4.32 $-4.48 $-3.89 $-3.51 $-3.52 $-3.84 $-0.74 $-0.78 $-0.89
Tangible Book/Share $6.56 $6.50 $-6.56 $-6.05 $-6.24 $-6.23 $-9.53 $-8.83 $-7.31 $-7.35 $-6.83 $-6.03 $-5.09 $-5.28 $-4.56 $-4.12 $-4.13 $-4.50 $-1.39 $-1.48 $-1.48
Revenue/Share $15.95 $16.10 $2.66 $4.40 $3.11 $10.20 $22.71 $13.95 $13.84 $7.04 $5.91 $5.94 $4.96 $5.53 $4.26 $7.07 $6.09 $6.56 $6.49 $3.65 $3.65
FCF/Share $8.00 $6.07 $3.57 $-6.06 $-10.42 $-9.30 $-6.38 $-8.74 $-7.08 $-7.03 $-6.25 $-3.68 $-0.14 $-0.70 $-0.64 $-1.12 $-3.59 $-2.37 $-1.45 $-0.60 $-0.60
OCF/Share $9.07 $7.18 $4.34 $-5.31 $-9.52 $-8.18 $-5.21 $-7.58 $-6.29 $-6.33 $-5.77 $-3.37 $0.09 $-0.57 $-0.54 $-1.07 $-3.56 $-2.33 $-1.41 $-0.56 $-0.56
Cash/Share $9.59 $9.51 $20.36 $18.77 $19.39 $19.36 $16.75 $15.52 $12.85 $12.93 $4.60 $4.06 $3.43 $3.55 $5.76 $5.20 $5.21 $5.69 $4.25 $4.50 $4.84
EBITDA/Share $-12.36 $-13.79 $-22.59 $-15.49 $-17.99 $-16.00 $-7.57 $-12.78 $-5.13 $-4.81 $-3.94 $-2.41 $-1.38 $-1.35 $-0.67 $3.12 $2.80 $2.53 $2.84 $-0.35 $-0.35
Debt/Share $6.31 $6.26 $6.10 $5.62 $5.81 $5.80 $6.89 $6.38 $5.28 $5.32 $1.85 $1.64 $1.38 $1.43 $1.44 $1.30 $1.30 $1.42 $1.44 $1.52 $1.52
Net Debt/Share $-3.28 $-3.25 $-14.26 $-13.15 $-13.58 $-13.56 $-9.86 $-9.14 $-7.56 $-7.61 $-2.74 $-2.43 $-2.05 $-2.12 $-4.32 $-3.90 $-3.91 $-4.27 $-2.81 $-2.98 $-2.98
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -4.003
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -9.134
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 1 3 2 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 2 2
Beneish M-Score 2.30 20.14 -3.49 -4.39 -0.57 -2.82 -4.01 0.25 -0.82 -7.36 -3.49 3.91 -0.09 -1.30 0.46 0.07 0.067
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.624
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 68.97 68.75 20.00 16.82 16.84 17.13 15.03 15.22 14.99 15.23 15.30 15.39 15.87 15.30 17.50 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 13
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 13

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