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OB NASDAQ

Outbrain Inc.
1W: +1.2% 1M: -4.6% 3M: -29.3% 1Y: -48.9% 3Y: -50.4%
$2.74
Last traded 2025-07-07 — delisted
NASDAQ · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · $258.4M mcap · 30M float · 1.44% daily turnover · Short 56% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
41.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: -49.5%  ·  5Y Avg: -20.1%
Cost Advantage ★
55
Intangibles
47
Switching Cost
35
Network Effect
24
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. OB shows a Weak competitive edge (41.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. Negative ROIC of -49.5% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-07-24 Needham Laura Martin $10 $6 -4 +28.0% $5.08
2023-02-06 Citigroup $4 $5 +1 +1.9% $5.20
2022-12-13 Citigroup Initiated $4 +12.2% $3.56
2022-06-28 Jefferies Andrew Uerkwitz Initiated $8 +50.4% $5.32
2022-05-12 Needham Laura Martin Initiated $10 +59.2% $6.28

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

15 Grade D
Profitability
9
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
18
Growth
52
Value
22
Momentum
50
Safety
15
Cash Flow
20
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. OB scores highest in Growth (52/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.38
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.31
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-2.61
Bankruptcy prob: 6.8%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 21.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 0.05x
Accruals: -50.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. OB scores 0.38, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. OB scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. OB's score of -2.31 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. OB's implied 6.8% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. OB receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 21.6/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.21x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.08x
P/B
2.11x
P/FCF
-8.07x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
-2.06x
EV/Revenue
0.58x
EV/EBIT
-110.29x
EV/FCF
-25.09x
Earnings Yield
-208.98%
FCF Yield
-12.39%
Shareholder Yield
0.14%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. OB currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.115
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
66.491
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.005
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.364
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.744
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-306.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. OB's ROE of -306.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.74x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.11 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 992 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.49
Median 1Y
$1.24
5th Pctile
$0.48
95th Pctile
$3.20
Ann. Volatility
57.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 67.5% -5.8% -6.6% -10.6% 25.0% -10.4% -11.9% -2.8% -0.7% 4.6% 4.9% -1.2% 1.6% -0.3% -22.2% -27.6% -39.2% -3.2% -3.1% -3.07%
ROA -15.1% -1.9% -2.1% -3.4% 3.8% -3.1% -3.6% -0.8% -0.2% 1.4% 1.5% -0.4% 0.5% -0.1% -8.3% -10.3% -14.7% -55.1% -53.4% -53.38%
ROIC 3.0% 5.1% 5.3% -0.4% 4.6% -2.4% -6.3% 70.0% 1.3% -2.9% -1.9% -1.6% -3.4% 6.5% -49.2% -45.9% -49.2% -52.4% -49.5% -49.47%
ROCE -47.4% -7.5% -7.5% -8.1% 0.5% -1.6% -2.8% 1.3% 2.7% 5.9% 6.0% 0.7% 2.5% 2.1% -13.0% -11.7% -18.1% -6.1% -0.8% -0.80%
Gross Margin 24.0% 23.3% 21.2% 19.4% 18.3% 18.6% 17.8% 19.5% 20.2% 21.4% 19.2% 21.3% 21.8% 23.9% 28.9% 35.1% 33.2% 34.2% 31.4% 31.44%
Operating Margin -2.6% 3.1% 0.0% -1.1% -1.7% 0.2% -4.0% -3.4% 1.1% 2.3% -3.0% -2.6% -1.3% 1.1% -15.5% -0.7% -2.0% -98.2% -8.2% -8.20%
Net Margin -21.5% 13.4% -0.7% -4.1% -2.0% -3.0% -2.4% 5.0% 0.2% 1.6% -2.3% -1.0% 3.0% -0.1% -19.2% -4.2% -6.2% -1.2% -14.6% -14.58%
EBITDA Margin -16.9% 4.6% 2.5% 1.5% 1.3% 3.0% 0.2% 9.4% 3.4% 5.1% -0.1% 0.9% 6.3% 3.9% -11.0% -0.7% 2.5% -98.2% -8.2% -8.20%
FCF Margin 12.2% 3.3% 1.1% -0.0% -4.6% -2.2% -4.2% -3.6% -1.7% -0.7% 2.7% 3.0% 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 6.1% 2.8% 0.2% -2.3% -2.32%
OCF Margin 14.4% 5.9% 3.7% 2.9% -1.7% 0.4% -1.4% -1.5% 0.6% 1.5% 4.7% 4.9% 5.7% 7.7% 6.1% 7.4% 3.6% 0.6% -2.1% -2.05%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.81%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -1.12%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -15.10%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -28.36%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -41.63%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.98%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -4.38%
CROIC snapshot only -4.94%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -23.23%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -35.11%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 3.14%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.58%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.01%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -13.14 -64.70 -36.47 -10.67 9.11 -7.73 -7.51 -41.65 -159.55 21.43 18.01 -91.08 74.58 -532.28 -5.76 -3.74 -2.66 -0.46 -0.48 -0.211
P/S Ratio 2.82 1.79 0.77 0.28 0.20 0.19 0.22 0.30 0.26 0.23 0.21 0.27 0.29 0.43 0.30 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.083
P/B Ratio -8.87 3.77 2.39 1.13 0.79 0.87 0.98 1.28 1.15 0.98 0.87 1.09 1.17 1.64 1.26 1.01 1.02 2.49 2.51 2.107
P/FCF 23.10 54.93 70.45 -1406.21 -4.32 -8.58 -5.27 -8.31 -15.61 -33.83 7.71 8.79 7.57 7.38 6.80 3.53 7.15 119.17 -8.07 -8.069
P/OCF 19.56 30.33 20.99 9.41 49.80 46.65 15.97 4.54 5.46 5.10 5.52 4.93 2.91 5.51 31.30
EV/EBITDA -14.57 -25.87 -17.53 -3.90 -0.55 7.99 12.60 7.88 6.04 4.37 3.85 9.44 8.00 9.19 -21.81 -7.95 -5.14 -2.00 -2.06 -2.058
EV/Revenue 2.47 1.39 0.50 0.07 -0.01 0.17 0.20 0.27 0.24 0.20 0.17 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.15 0.08 0.07 0.57 0.58 0.582
EV/EBIT -13.09 -19.66 -10.43 -1.79 -6.25 -21.53 -14.27 42.24 17.55 8.53 7.30 78.35 25.14 42.62 -4.14 -2.76 -1.84 -14.53 -110.29 -110.285
EV/FCF 20.17 42.65 45.64 -356.07 0.32 -7.54 -4.70 -7.62 -14.17 -28.58 6.36 7.56 6.59 4.45 3.29 1.27 2.61 372.26 -25.09 -25.088
Earnings Yield -7.6% -1.5% -2.7% -9.4% 11.0% -12.9% -13.3% -2.4% -0.6% 4.7% 5.6% -1.1% 1.3% -0.2% -17.4% -26.7% -37.6% -2.2% -2.1% -2.09%
FCF Yield 4.3% 1.8% 1.4% -0.1% -23.1% -11.7% -19.0% -12.0% -6.4% -3.0% 13.0% 11.4% 13.2% 13.5% 14.7% 28.3% 14.0% 0.8% -12.4% -12.39%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.001
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.733
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.14%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.08 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.10 1.10 1.096
Quick Ratio 1.08 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.10 1.10 1.096
Debt/Equity -0.05 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 6.75 6.75 6.752
Net Debt/Equity -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.65 -0.65 -0.65 -0.65 5.30 5.30 5.299
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.49 0.49 0.485
Debt/EBITDA -0.09 -8.23 -10.53 -12.71 9.01 11.95 16.60 7.68 6.66 3.09 3.15 5.90 4.60 0.64 -2.46 -1.50 -0.94 -1.73 -1.78 -1.779
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.12 7.45 9.53 11.50 -8.15 -1.10 -1.53 -0.71 -0.61 -0.80 -0.82 -1.53 -1.19 -6.05 23.34 14.22 8.93 -1.36 -1.40 -1.396
Interest Coverage -28.53 -8.12 -4.98 -3.05 0.17 -0.62 -1.16 0.89 2.05 4.03 4.93 0.68 2.32 1.47 -1.29 -0.70 -0.80 -1.25 -33.13 -33.132
Equity Multiplier -4.47 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 2.98 2.98 2.98 2.98 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.37 13.91 13.91 13.915
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.287
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -1775.255
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.215
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.046
Defensive Interval snapshot only 217.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.70 0.68 1.00 1.31 1.78 1.26 1.23 1.20 1.20 1.29 1.27 1.26 1.25 1.47 1.58 1.79 1.95 1.39 1.36 1.364
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 1.52 2.80 4.12 5.42 5.72 5.30 5.18 5.05 5.06 5.05 4.97 4.91 4.88 5.26 5.67 6.43 6.99 5.29 5.21 5.209
Payables Turnover 1.61 2.57 3.81 5.07 5.81 5.18 5.12 4.99 4.97 5.03 4.93 4.84 4.79 4.65 4.84 5.20 5.45 4.27 4.17 4.166
DSO 241 130 89 67 64 69 70 72 72 72 73 74 75 69 64 57 52 69 70 70.1 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 227 142 96 72 63 70 71 73 73 73 74 75 76 79 75 70 67 85 88 87.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 14 -12 -7 -5 1 -2 -1 -1 -1 -0 -1 -1 -1 -9 -11 -13 -15 -16 -18 -17.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 16.040
Cash Velocity snapshot only 9.229
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.037
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3.1% 83.6% 22.0% -9.7% -7.6% -5.7% -5.0% -3.7% -4.4% -4.9% 4.2% 19.7% 30.9% 46.1% 33.4% 33.44%
Net Income 1.4% -64.4% -68.0% 75.3% -1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 60.1% 3.2% -1.1% -5.7% -22.4% -26.3% -726.2% -8.9% -8.92%
EPS 1.4% -1.2% -87.0% 74.9% -1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 53.7% 3.1% -1.1% -4.0% -11.1% -15.4% -399.9% -7.0% -7.03%
FCF -2.5% -2.3% -5.6% -161.9% 65.7% 70.7% 1.6% 1.8% 3.2% 8.9% 69.4% 1.4% -4.3% -96.1% -1.7% -1.70%
EBITDA 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 41.2% 1.0% 1.8% -31.6% -23.9% -41.5% -1.2% -1.5% -1.6% -16.0% -55.2% -55.24%
Op. Income 1.4% -3.3% -6.7% -108.8% -6.8% -43.1% 61.6% 80.7% 31.0% -46.3% -7.5% -11.1% -4.3% -30.6% -6.5% -6.46%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.45%
Asset Growth snapshot only 1.42%
Equity Growth snapshot only -58.75%
Debt Growth snapshot only 39.74%
Shares Change snapshot only 23.51%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 53.3% 18.1% 6.5% 1.3% 4.9% 9.4% 9.7% 9.70%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 46.4% 14.6% 8.7% 10.1% 19.8% 30.6% 33.7% 33.71%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y 4.1% 42.8% 69.9%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 12.4% 29.0% 26.3% 37.7% 25.9%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 23.1% -11.6% -11.6% -11.6% -11.6% 19.3% 19.3% 19.35%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y -3.4% -3.4% -3.4% -3.4% -24.0% -24.0% -24.04%
Book Value 3Y 5.7% -12.9% -18.1% -19.4% -37.8% -38.4% -38.37%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.67 0.65 0.49 0.93 0.46 0.40 0.51 0.02 0.21 0.37 0.57 0.566
Earnings Stability 0.45 0.49 0.47 0.87 0.35 0.42 0.10 0.23 0.09 0.46 0.53 0.527
Margin Stability 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.88 0.81 0.76 0.73 0.72 0.720
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend 0.13 0.15 0.06 -0.02 0.03 -0.18 -0.25 -0.39 -5.44 -5.16 -5.165
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.114
FCF Margin Trend -0.06 -0.01 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.02 -0.02 -0.06 -0.059
Sustainable Growth Rate 25.0% 4.6% 4.9% 1.6%
Internal Growth Rate 4.0% 1.4% 1.5% 0.5%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.67 -2.13 -1.74 -1.13 -0.79 -0.16 0.50 2.05 -3.42 1.34 3.96 -16.69 14.62 -96.43 -1.17 -1.28 -0.48 -0.01 0.05 0.052
FCF/OCF 0.85 0.55 0.30 -0.01 2.65 -5.80 2.87 2.45 -2.99 -0.47 0.59 0.62 0.67 0.75 0.72 0.82 0.77 0.26 1.13 1.130
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.059
CapEx/Revenue 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.27%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.077
Accruals Ratio -0.25 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 0.07 -0.04 -0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.04 -0.07 -0.07 -0.11 -0.18 -0.24 -0.22 -0.56 -0.51 -0.506
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.055
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -7.706
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Payout Ratio 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 3.3%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.1% 1.4% 2.5% 8.1% 19.5% 17.2% 17.6% 11.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.1% 4.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.14%
Net Buyback Yield -20.9% -14.1% -21.9% -43.8% 18.7% 17.2% 17.6% 11.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.1% 4.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.14%
Total Shareholder Return -20.9% -14.1% -21.9% -43.8% 18.7% 17.2% 17.6% 11.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.1% 4.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.14%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.10 0.35 0.37 0.50 -1.95 1.32 1.23 -6.74 -0.19 0.63 0.62 2.14 0.68 -0.42 0.84 0.82 0.82 1.08 1.11 1.115
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.04 1.12 1.20 1.33 -4.81 2.40 1.73 0.16 0.64 0.75 0.80 -0.47 0.57 0.32 1.78 2.52 2.31 9.33 66.49 66.491
EBIT Margin -0.19 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.005
Asset Turnover 0.70 0.68 1.00 1.31 1.78 1.26 1.23 1.20 1.20 1.29 1.27 1.26 1.25 1.47 1.58 1.79 1.95 1.39 1.36 1.364
Equity Multiplier -4.47 3.10 3.10 3.10 6.51 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.28 3.28 3.28 3.28 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 5.74 5.74 5.744
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-1.13 $-0.22 $-0.29 $-0.47 $0.40 $-0.47 $-0.55 $-0.12 $-0.03 $0.20 $0.22 $-0.05 $0.07 $-0.01 $-0.65 $-0.66 $-0.94 $-5.41 $-5.20 $-5.20
Book Value/Share $-1.67 $3.72 $4.49 $4.46 $4.65 $4.15 $4.23 $3.84 $4.25 $4.45 $4.53 $4.56 $4.14 $4.39 $2.97 $2.45 $2.43 $1.00 $0.99 $0.52
Tangible Book/Share $-2.56 $3.16 $3.81 $3.79 $3.95 $2.48 $2.53 $2.30 $2.54 $2.79 $2.83 $2.85 $2.59 $2.87 $1.94 $1.60 $1.59 $-5.88 $-5.84 $-5.84
Revenue/Share $5.24 $7.82 $13.88 $18.15 $18.54 $18.91 $18.85 $16.67 $18.45 $18.68 $18.69 $18.59 $16.76 $16.88 $12.31 $11.52 $12.44 $13.60 $13.30 $13.30
FCF/Share $0.64 $0.25 $0.15 $-0.00 $-0.84 $-0.42 $-0.78 $-0.59 $-0.31 $-0.13 $0.51 $0.57 $0.64 $0.97 $0.55 $0.70 $0.35 $0.02 $-0.31 $-0.08
OCF/Share $0.76 $0.46 $0.51 $0.53 $-0.32 $0.07 $-0.27 $-0.24 $0.10 $0.27 $0.87 $0.91 $0.95 $1.30 $0.76 $0.85 $0.45 $0.08 $-0.27 $0.05
Cash/Share $1.96 $6.59 $7.96 $7.91 $8.25 $5.19 $5.30 $4.81 $5.32 $3.30 $3.35 $3.38 $3.06 $3.15 $2.13 $1.76 $1.75 $1.45 $1.44 $1.02
EBITDA/Share $-0.89 $-0.42 $-0.40 $-0.33 $0.48 $0.40 $0.29 $0.57 $0.73 $0.85 $0.85 $0.45 $0.53 $0.47 $-0.08 $-0.11 $-0.18 $-3.89 $-3.76 $-3.76
Debt/Share $0.08 $3.46 $4.18 $4.15 $4.33 $4.75 $4.85 $4.40 $4.87 $2.62 $2.66 $2.68 $2.43 $0.30 $0.20 $0.17 $0.17 $6.74 $6.69 $6.69
Net Debt/Share $-1.88 $-3.13 $-3.78 $-3.76 $-3.92 $-0.44 $-0.45 $-0.41 $-0.45 $-0.68 $-0.69 $-0.70 $-0.63 $-2.85 $-1.93 $-1.59 $-1.58 $5.29 $5.25 $5.25
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.382
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.286
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 3 5 4 3 3 4 7 7 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
Beneish M-Score -1.78 -1.95 -1.90 -1.89 -1.99 -2.55 -2.73 -2.85 -2.89 -3.49 -3.94 -4.07 -4.06 -3.04 -2.31 -2.315
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -2.610
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-7.29
EVA snapshot only $-357459310.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 20.00 44.95 45.75 38.46 37.06 25.65 25.21 28.11 36.33 44.08 47.73 34.44 43.64 58.72 46.85 53.48 52.95 22.65 21.57 21.569
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -25.284
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 14
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 14

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms