— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: PEB-PD (NYSE) · $vol 0M · PEB-PH (NYSE) · $vol 0M · PEB-PE (NYSE) · $vol 0M · PEB-PG (NYSE) · $vol 0M · PEB-PF (NYSE) · $vol 0M

PEB NYSE

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
1W: +4.1% 1M: +8.9% 3M: +17.1% YTD: +28.7% 1Y: +54.6% 3Y: +7.8% 5Y: -34.1%
$14.78
-0.08 (-0.54%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.4%
$13 $14 $14 $15 $15
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 60 · $1.7B mcap · 104M float · 2.39% daily turnover · Short 65% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 1.1%  ·  5Y Avg: -0.7%
Cost Advantage
16
Intangibles
41
Switching Cost
69
Network Effect
28
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. PEB shows a Weak competitive edge (43.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 1.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$12
Low
$15
Avg Target
$16
High
Based on 4 analysts since Apr 28, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 15Sell: 6Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$14.65
Analysts5
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-13 Cantor Fitzgerald $12 $15 +3 +5.1% $14.27
2026-05-12 Morgan Stanley Stephen Grambling $9 $12 +3 -15.7% $14.23
2026-05-04 BMO Capital Initiated $15 +5.4% $14.23
2026-04-29 Stifel Nicolaus $14 $16 +3 +15.2% $14.11
2026-04-27 Evercore ISI Duane Pfennigwerth $13 $15 +2 +7.4% $13.96
2026-01-12 Truist Financial Patrick Scholes $9 $12 +3 -3.0% $12.37
2026-01-12 Robert W. Baird $13 $15 +2 +21.8% $12.32
2026-01-06 Barclays Richard Hightower Initiated $10 -13.6% $11.57
2025-11-06 Stifel Nicolaus Simon Yarmak $14 $14 -0 +28.5% $10.51
2025-10-22 Morgan Stanley $10 $9 -1 -17.0% $10.84
2025-10-01 Cantor Fitzgerald Richard Anderson Initiated $12 +5.4% $11.39
2025-09-18 Evercore ISI Initiated $13 +6.8% $12.17
2025-09-18 Robert W. Baird Initiated $13 +11.2% $11.70
2025-09-17 Stifel Nicolaus Simon Yarmak $13 $14 +1 +18.6% $11.80
2025-07-30 Stifel Nicolaus $23 $13 -10 +29.6% $10.03
2025-07-15 Morgan Stanley Stephen Grambling Initiated $10 -8.6% $10.94
2025-06-02 Truist Financial Patrick Scholes $15 $9 -6 -0.7% $9.06
2025-05-06 Wedbush Richard Anderson Initiated $9 +1.1% $8.90
2025-03-10 Compass Point $17 $15 -2 +23.9% $12.11
2025-02-27 Raymond James Initiated $14 +17.4% $11.93
2024-05-30 Truist Financial Patrick Scholes Initiated $15 +9.7% $13.67
2024-03-28 Compass Point Floris van Dijkum $30 $17 -13 +9.1% $15.58
2022-08-29 Wells Fargo Dori Kesten Initiated $20 +9.0% $18.35
2022-06-24 Stifel Nicolaus Simon Yarmak Initiated $23 +32.0% $17.62
2021-10-31 Compass Point Floris van Dijkum Initiated $30 +24.5% $24.09

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. PEB receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-01 C+ B-
2026-04-28 B- C+
2026-04-24 C+ B-
2026-04-13 B- C+
2026-04-10 C+ B-
2026-04-01 B- C+
2026-03-04 C+ B-
2026-02-26 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

22 Grade D
Profitability
10
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
68
Growth
35
Value
50
Momentum
37
Safety
15
Cash Flow
41
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. PEB scores highest in Earnings Quality (68/100) and lowest in Profitability (10/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.21
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.98
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.67
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 21.0/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -5.44x
Accruals: -6.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. PEB scores 0.21, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. PEB scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. PEB's score of -2.98 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. PEB's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. PEB receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 21.0/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-32.13x
PEG
0.25x
P/S
1.12x
P/B
0.69x
P/FCF
5.57x
P/OCF
5.05x
EV/EBITDA
13.12x
EV/Revenue
2.47x
EV/EBIT
61.47x
EV/FCF
14.43x
Earnings Yield
-3.64%
FCF Yield
17.94%
Shareholder Yield
8.42%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. PEB currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.335
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.648
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.040
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.272
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.137
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-2.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. PEB's ROE of -2.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.272), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.34 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.77
Median 1Y
$12.01
5th Pctile
$5.56
95th Pctile
$26.06
Ann. Volatility
48.1%
Analyst Target
$14.65
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
100
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$14,755,440
Rev: $1,475,544,000
Profit / Employee
$-658,110
NI: $-65,811,000
SGA / Employee
$494,740
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -12.3% -9.2% -5.8% -5.1% -4.3% -2.8% -2.8% -0.3% 0.2% -2.5% -2.7% -2.9% -3.4% 0.1% -0.2% -0.3% -0.8% -3.6% -2.5% -2.0% -2.02%
ROA -6.7% -5.0% -3.0% -2.7% -2.2% -1.4% -1.4% -0.2% 0.1% -1.2% -1.3% -1.4% -1.6% 0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.4% -1.7% -1.2% -0.9% -0.94%
ROIC -4.1% -2.8% -1.2% -1.0% -0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 1.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.05%
ROCE -5.5% -3.8% -1.7% -1.4% -0.9% -0.0% -0.0% 1.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.9% 1.2% 1.20%
Gross Margin 16.3% 27.0% 20.7% 20.6% 34.2% 31.3% 19.5% 20.4% 28.3% 28.6% 20.9% 20.9% 31.3% 27.7% 18.9% 18.7% 29.4% 26.2% -10.6% 23.4% 23.37%
Operating Margin 16.1% -0.3% -7.8% -30.1% 13.1% 12.5% -3.7% 1.7% 19.5% -6.6% -4.8% -0.4% 15.4% 11.6% -6.7% -2.3% 12.9% -2.6% 1.5% 4.6% 4.55%
Net Margin 0.9% -9.8% -17.1% -38.6% 7.0% 6.0% -12.7% -7.5% 11.6% -14.4% -12.8% -9.0% 7.8% 10.8% -15.0% -10.3% 4.4% -8.3% -5.1% -5.6% -5.58%
EBITDA Margin 47.9% 22.1% 15.0% -8.1% 27.7% 26.5% 12.1% 20.2% 34.3% 9.1% 13.5% 17.7% 27.9% 24.6% 9.2% 14.8% 26.2% 13.5% 18.7% 16.4% 16.39%
FCF Margin -1.0% -59.6% -1.8% 2.5% 10.2% 13.8% 15.1% 14.1% 9.3% 6.2% 2.5% 1.4% 6.5% 8.9% 21.2% 24.8% 25.1% 25.3% 15.1% 17.1% 17.11%
OCF Margin -29.5% -1.9% 9.7% 12.9% 18.9% 21.3% 20.0% 19.9% 18.0% 16.1% 16.6% 16.5% 17.0% 16.5% 18.9% 19.1% 19.5% 19.7% 16.9% 18.9% 18.88%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.82%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -2.20%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.85%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.10%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.02%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.30%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 5.98%
CROIC snapshot only 5.42%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.32%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -2.60%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.22%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.85%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -7.21 -9.18 -15.65 -19.35 -19.19 -21.21 -19.66 -165.39 339.41 -21.31 -24.48 -22.06 -21.08 551.23 -379.90 -136.34 -54.40 -13.60 -20.13 -27.45 -32.127
P/S Ratio 7.64 5.17 3.95 3.49 2.31 1.43 1.23 1.21 1.47 1.15 1.35 1.29 1.42 1.36 1.11 0.83 0.80 0.91 0.90 0.95 1.116
P/B Ratio 0.93 0.89 0.92 1.00 0.84 0.60 0.57 0.58 0.70 0.54 0.69 0.67 0.74 0.71 0.60 0.45 0.44 0.50 0.54 0.58 0.687
P/FCF -7.34 -8.68 -221.44 139.79 22.63 10.37 8.14 8.60 15.76 18.72 53.70 90.38 21.99 15.19 5.23 3.33 3.20 3.62 5.94 5.57 5.574
P/OCF 40.87 27.15 12.22 6.71 6.15 6.11 8.17 7.15 8.09 7.80 8.35 8.21 5.86 4.31 4.13 4.65 5.30 5.05 5.050
EV/EBITDA -61.08 3799.61 44.82 39.86 29.81 19.37 18.37 13.75 13.88 15.99 15.90 16.01 18.21 14.23 13.36 12.34 12.44 15.48 13.17 13.12 13.119
EV/Revenue 14.34 9.93 7.63 6.47 4.68 3.48 3.15 3.07 3.34 3.05 3.08 3.01 3.13 3.05 2.73 2.44 2.41 2.53 2.44 2.47 2.468
EV/EBIT -18.02 -25.21 -56.28 -72.87 -98.20 -3018.04 -3708.74 53.65 44.75 148.99 128.67 148.84 520.10 56.75 58.65 60.30 64.86 423.66 79.15 61.47 61.469
EV/FCF -13.77 -16.68 -428.38 259.01 45.83 25.25 20.81 21.72 35.84 49.53 122.78 211.00 48.35 34.14 12.89 9.85 9.60 9.99 16.13 14.43 14.426
Earnings Yield -13.9% -10.9% -6.4% -5.2% -5.2% -4.7% -5.1% -0.6% 0.3% -4.7% -4.1% -4.5% -4.7% 0.2% -0.3% -0.7% -1.8% -7.4% -5.0% -3.6% -3.64%
FCF Yield -13.6% -11.5% -0.5% 0.7% 4.4% 9.6% 12.3% 11.6% 6.3% 5.3% 1.9% 1.1% 4.5% 6.6% 19.1% 30.0% 31.2% 27.7% 16.8% 17.9% 17.94%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.248
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.580
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.069
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 13.830
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 58.664
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 8.42%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.70 0.70 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.70 0.70 0.702
Quick Ratio 0.70 0.70 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.70 0.70 0.702
Debt/Equity 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.995
Net Debt/Equity 0.82 0.82 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.92 0.92 0.921
Debt/Assets 0.46 0.46 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.459
Debt/EBITDA -29.86 1906.20 22.12 18.74 15.42 11.66 11.36 8.43 7.90 10.10 9.62 9.84 10.67 8.49 8.64 8.88 9.01 10.74 9.00 8.70 8.702
Net Debt/EBITDA -28.53 1821.32 21.65 18.35 15.09 11.41 11.19 8.30 7.78 9.94 8.95 9.15 9.93 7.90 7.94 8.17 8.29 9.88 8.32 8.05 8.050
Interest Coverage 0.33 1.48 0.87 0.57 0.54 0.12 0.57 0.78 0.780
Equity Multiplier 1.87 1.87 1.98 1.98 1.98 1.98 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.17 2.17 2.166
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.561
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.655
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.075
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.105
Defensive Interval snapshot only 389.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.272
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 13.31 18.71 31.02 38.40 48.30 55.83 33.82 34.98 34.66 34.15 31.85 32.04 32.32 32.52 35.00 35.15 35.40 35.26 40.26 40.95 40.948
Payables Turnover 1.78 2.09 2.55 2.98 3.51 3.98 4.03 4.18 4.24 4.23 4.36 4.38 4.37 4.41 4.72 4.77 4.84 4.85 5.83 5.85 5.846
DSO 27 20 12 10 8 7 11 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 9 9 8.9 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 205 175 143 122 104 92 91 87 86 86 84 83 84 83 77 77 75 75 63 62 62.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -178 -155 -131 -113 -97 -85 -80 -77 -76 -76 -72 -72 -72 -72 -67 -66 -65 -65 -54 -54 -53.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.149
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.563
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -63.6% -25.1% 65.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.4% 89.9% 58.6% 24.9% 6.5% 2.0% -0.8% 1.0% 3.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.8% 2.84%
Net Income -9.8% -58.2% 52.8% 70.4% 67.5% 71.8% 52.8% 93.5% 1.0% 14.4% 10.5% -6.9% -16.8% 1.0% 94.6% 89.4% 77.7% -28.6% -14.5% -4.9% -4.90%
EPS -9.8% -58.0% 52.9% 70.5% 73.5% 71.9% 52.2% 93.3% 1.0% 6.5% 3.9% -7.2% -16.9% 1.0% 94.5% 89.3% 71.7% -36.0% -14.8% -5.2% -5.20%
FCF -7.5% -1.8% 97.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 17.1% 8.0% 14.0% -52.4% -83.1% -90.0% -29.8% 49.7% 7.7% 16.8% 3.0% 1.9% -27.6% -29.1% -29.07%
EBITDA -1.3% -98.7% 2.7% 1.6% 2.9% 160.8% 91.0% 1.2% 91.4% 13.2% 15.2% -16.4% -27.8% 16.0% 8.3% 7.7% 15.1% -23.2% -8.1% -2.3% -2.30%
Op. Income -7.4% -90.2% 69.3% 83.9% 85.1% 1.0% 1.2% 2.4% 3.6% 4.8% 1.6% -68.0% -85.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 3.0% -86.4% -52.2% -19.2% -19.22%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.47%
Asset Growth snapshot only -6.06%
Equity Growth snapshot only -8.48%
Debt Growth snapshot only -4.30%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.93%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -0.73%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -19.7% -10.2% -4.0% -3.7% -3.0% -3.5% -4.8% -1.7% 9.2% 23.4% 47.5% 77.0% 53.5% 37.3% 25.6% 17.2% 8.8% 3.5% 2.0% 1.4% 1.40%
Revenue 5Y -13.4% -7.1% -2.1% 2.5% 7.5% 10.8% 12.6% 13.4% 13.2% 12.7% 11.4% 7.1% 2.9% -0.3% -2.1% -0.7% 6.1% 14.4% 27.2% 42.3% 42.28%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y -53.1%
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y -45.2%
EBITDA 3Y -81.5% -16.2% -15.4% -17.9% -14.8% -19.5% -12.8% 6.8% 34.4% 5.0% 33.5% 25.2% 16.7% 0.3% 4.6% -4.2% -4.20%
EBITDA 5Y -61.7% -7.0% -3.6% 1.0% -0.1% 0.8% 6.7% 8.0% 2.9% 5.3% 2.0% -5.2% -4.1% -8.2% -9.8% 0.3% 16.7%
Gross Profit 3Y -41.2% -22.0% -13.9% -8.1% -7.1% -9.3% -4.7% 13.9% 63.0% 92.5% 43.2% 22.6% 5.2% -2.2% -13.6% -11.9% -11.89%
Gross Profit 5Y -28.5% -15.0% -6.5% 2.5% 7.1% 8.6% 9.1% 7.4% 6.3% 6.2% 3.1% -1.0% -4.3% -6.5% -4.4% 7.6% 34.1%
Op. Income 3Y -62.2% -60.0% -27.3% 36.1% 19.5% 39.7% -13.5% -13.51%
Op. Income 5Y -43.9% -34.3% -5.8% -2.9% -21.3% -10.8% -13.8% -31.2% -7.5% -18.2% -21.0% 7.8%
FCF 3Y -46.8% -19.9% -13.5% -18.9% -11.1% 27.5% 1.5% 46.8% 26.8% 2.0% 8.1% 8.10%
FCF 5Y -37.2% -11.9% -2.7% 1.5% 0.5% -8.1% -16.5% -23.5% -33.0% -16.3% -14.3% -4.8% 4.6% 41.9%
OCF 3Y -19.5% -8.2% -1.7% -0.0% -11.0% -5.6% 30.8% 57.2% 33.8% 9.9% 0.8% -3.6% -0.3% -0.32%
OCF 5Y -21.8% -12.9% -0.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 4.8% 1.2% 11.7% 9.4% 1.6% -3.1% -7.0% -3.9% 20.1%
Assets 3Y 32.9% 32.9% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -1.9% -1.9% -1.9% -1.9% -1.4% -1.4% -1.4% -1.4% -3.1% -3.1% -3.1% -3.1% -4.5% -4.5% -4.46%
Assets 5Y 14.7% 14.7% 17.4% 17.4% 17.4% 17.4% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.5% -2.5% -2.52%
Equity 3Y 29.5% 29.5% -5.6% -5.6% -5.6% -5.6% -6.1% -6.1% -6.1% -6.1% -5.3% -5.3% -5.3% -5.3% -5.1% -5.1% -5.1% -5.1% -6.3% -6.3% -6.26%
Book Value 3Y 4.8% 4.8% -16.6% -5.7% -11.9% -5.7% -5.7% -4.8% -10.6% -3.4% -2.7% -2.6% -9.5% -9.4% -2.1% -2.1% 5.1% -1.6% -3.1% -3.0% -3.02%
Dividend 3Y -52.2% -46.3% -29.1% 8.1% 3.2% 10.6% 6.0% 5.1% -2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% -5.2% -5.3% 2.1% 2.4% 10.2% 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.20%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.26 0.49 0.47 0.29 0.15 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.83 0.81 0.73 0.70 0.703
Earnings Stability 0.69 0.79 0.50 0.37 0.51 0.59 0.32 0.14 0.15 0.23 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.07 0.02 0.03 0.17 0.50 0.71 0.55 0.555
Margin Stability 0.20 0.47 0.07 0.00 0.19 0.48 0.06 0.00 0.18 0.50 0.04 0.00 0.19 0.64 0.79 0.88 0.93 0.70 0.02 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.94 0.96 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend -0.12 -0.07 -0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.11 0.09 0.04 0.02 -0.00 -0.01 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.004
Gross Margin Trend -0.36 -0.12 0.07 0.27 0.20 0.18 0.25 0.37 0.16 0.06 0.03 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.08 -0.07 -0.070
FCF Margin Trend -1.16 -0.61 0.45 0.88 0.59 0.51 0.75 1.08 0.56 0.29 -0.04 -0.07 -0.03 -0.01 0.12 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.03 0.04 0.040
Sustainable Growth Rate -1.6% -1.7%
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.28 0.03 -0.38 -0.71 -1.57 -3.16 -3.20 -27.07 41.57 -2.98 -3.03 -2.83 -2.53 67.11 -64.83 -31.60 -13.18 -2.92 -3.79 -5.44 -5.436
FCF/OCF 3.53 31.27 -0.18 0.19 0.54 0.65 0.76 0.71 0.52 0.38 0.15 0.09 0.38 0.54 1.12 1.30 1.29 1.29 0.89 0.91 0.906
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -4.925
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.004
CapEx/Revenue 74.6% 57.6% 11.4% 10.4% 8.7% 7.5% 4.9% 5.8% 8.7% 10.0% 14.1% 15.1% 10.6% 7.6% 2.3% 5.7% 5.6% 5.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.78%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.120
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.061
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.040
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.620
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 2.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 3.9% 3.9% 3.6% 0.27%
Dividend/Share $0.29 $0.30 $0.34 $0.37 $0.32 $0.41 $0.41 $0.43 $0.36 $0.45 $0.45 $0.44 $0.35 $0.35 $0.44 $0.44 $0.44 $0.44 $0.44 $0.46 $0.04
Payout Ratio 8.8% 14.7%
FCF Payout Ratio 2.1% 43.9% 29.5% 25.0% 26.3% 40.8% 62.4% 1.5% 2.6% 56.6% 40.4% 16.9% 14.4% 14.1% 14.0% 23.3% 20.1% 20.12%
Total Payout Ratio 35.1% 23.8%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.78 -0.69 -0.47 0.28 0.37 0.39 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.04 0.05 0.02 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.029
Buyback Yield 0.0% 8.7% 8.7% 7.9% 9.5% 0.1% 4.1% 6.4% 7.8% 10.0% 5.7% 3.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 4.9% 5.9% 4.8% 4.82%
Net Buyback Yield -7.3% -7.4% -7.4% -6.7% 0.4% 0.1% 4.1% 6.4% 7.8% 10.0% 5.7% 3.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 4.9% 5.9% 4.8% 4.82%
Total Shareholder Return -6.0% -6.0% -5.8% -5.2% 2.3% 2.9% 7.2% 9.5% 10.3% 13.4% 8.5% 6.8% 3.7% 4.3% 4.3% 6.4% 6.6% 8.8% 9.8% 8.4% 8.42%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.02 1.01 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.02 1.03 1.62 0.57 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.06 -0.22 0.17 0.26 0.55 1.11 1.18 1.34 1.335
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.30 1.41 1.87 2.05 2.53 57.18 71.72 -0.08 0.10 -2.51 -2.17 -2.74 -10.62 -0.21 -0.38 -0.57 -0.73 -10.18 -1.23 -0.65 -0.648
EBIT Margin -0.80 -0.39 -0.14 -0.09 -0.05 -0.00 -0.00 0.06 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.040
Asset Turnover 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.272
Equity Multiplier 1.83 1.83 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.14 2.14 2.137
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-3.23 $-2.41 $-1.41 $-1.25 $-0.85 $-0.68 $-0.68 $-0.08 $0.04 $-0.63 $-0.65 $-0.69 $-0.65 $0.02 $-0.04 $-0.07 $-0.18 $-0.84 $-0.56 $-0.46 $-0.46
Book Value/Share $24.90 $24.90 $24.13 $24.11 $19.64 $24.07 $23.21 $23.88 $19.81 $24.96 $22.99 $23.01 $18.45 $18.50 $22.61 $22.63 $22.79 $22.95 $21.09 $21.78 $22.34
Tangible Book/Share $24.90 $24.90 $24.13 $24.11 $19.64 $24.07 $23.21 $23.88 $19.81 $24.96 $22.99 $23.01 $18.45 $18.50 $22.61 $22.63 $22.79 $22.95 $21.09 $21.78 $21.78
Revenue/Share $3.04 $4.28 $5.60 $6.93 $7.10 $10.06 $10.78 $11.47 $9.43 $11.71 $11.81 $11.89 $9.62 $9.71 $12.18 $12.24 $12.42 $12.45 $12.61 $13.24 $13.24
FCF/Share $-3.17 $-2.55 $-0.10 $0.17 $0.72 $1.39 $1.63 $1.62 $0.88 $0.72 $0.30 $0.17 $0.62 $0.87 $2.58 $3.04 $3.12 $3.15 $1.91 $2.27 $2.27
OCF/Share $-0.90 $-0.08 $0.54 $0.89 $1.34 $2.14 $2.16 $2.28 $1.69 $1.89 $1.97 $1.97 $1.64 $1.60 $2.31 $2.34 $2.42 $2.45 $2.13 $2.50 $2.50
Cash/Share $0.95 $0.95 $0.45 $0.45 $0.36 $0.45 $0.32 $0.33 $0.27 $0.34 $1.53 $1.53 $1.23 $1.23 $1.73 $1.73 $1.75 $1.76 $1.57 $1.63 $1.73
EBITDA/Share $-0.71 $0.01 $0.95 $1.13 $1.11 $1.81 $1.85 $2.56 $2.27 $2.23 $2.28 $2.23 $1.65 $2.08 $2.49 $2.42 $2.41 $2.03 $2.33 $2.49 $2.49
Debt/Share $21.33 $21.33 $21.11 $21.09 $17.18 $21.05 $20.97 $21.58 $17.90 $22.55 $21.97 $21.99 $17.63 $17.68 $21.52 $21.54 $21.69 $21.84 $21.00 $21.68 $21.68
Net Debt/Share $20.38 $20.38 $20.66 $20.65 $16.82 $20.61 $20.65 $21.25 $17.63 $22.21 $20.44 $20.46 $16.41 $16.45 $19.79 $19.80 $19.94 $20.08 $19.42 $20.06 $20.06
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.211
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.421
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 5 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -4.97 -2.71 -1.67 -1.62 -1.18 -1.10 -2.46 -2.49 -2.39 -2.48 -2.86 -2.83 -2.87 -2.71 -2.76 -2.77 -2.81 -2.88 -4.35 -2.98 -2.978
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.670
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-22.54
EVA snapshot only $-424275050.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 40.78 30.79 26.94 28.05 25.43 49.20 44.38 44.52 43.94 45.77 41.44 44.16 15.05 17.59 20.85 21.22 22.12 23.27 18.98 21.02 21.017
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.205
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 15
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 16

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