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Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: PGYWW (NASDAQ) · $vol 0M

PGY NASDAQ

Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
1W: -3.8% 1M: -9.9% 3M: +10.0% YTD: -41.3% 1Y: -10.1% 3Y: +32.4% 5Y: -88.8%
$12.76
-0.32 (-2.45%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.5%
$11 $12 $14 $15 $16
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Infrastructure · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 40 · $1.1B mcap · 48M float · 7.18% daily turnover · Short 55% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
49.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 29.8%  ·  5Y Avg: -13.0%
Cost Advantage ★
70
Intangibles
51
Switching Cost
35
Network Effect
54
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. PGY shows a Weak competitive edge (49.6/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 29.8% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$29
Avg Target
$29
High
Based on 5 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$29.40
Analysts5
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-10 New Street Initiated $32 +125.5% $14.19
2026-02-09 Stephens Kyle Joseph $22 $25 +3 +76.2% $14.19
2026-02-09 Benchmark Co. Initiated $33 +132.6% $14.19
2026-02-09 Jefferies John Hecht Initiated $35 +134.0% $14.96
2025-06-11 Stephens Kyle Joseph Initiated $22 +20.9% $18.19
2025-03-25 JMP Securities David Scharf $25 $26 +1 +110.4% $12.36
2024-08-26 Coker Palmer Mark Palmer Initiated $21 +60.9% $13.05
2024-04-07 JMP Securities David Scharf Initiated $25 +125.6% $11.08
2023-01-13 UBS Initiated $1 +14.2% $1.09
2022-12-14 Canaccord Genuity Initiated $2 +118.7% $0.69

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
5
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. PGY receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-20 A- B+
2026-05-08 B+ A-
2026-04-28 B B+
2026-02-10 D+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

62 Grade A
Profitability
61
Balance Sheet
62
Earnings Quality
67
Growth
77
Value
73
Momentum
99
Safety
30
Cash Flow
76
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. PGY scores highest in Momentum (99/100) and lowest in Safety (30/100). An overall grade of A places PGY among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.36
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.63
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.52
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 56.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.52x
Accruals: -10.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. PGY scores 1.36, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. PGY scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. PGY's score of -2.63 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. PGY's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. PGY receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 56.4/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). PGY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.46x
PEG
0.03x
P/S
0.82x
P/B
2.13x
P/FCF
4.81x
P/OCF
4.55x
EV/EBITDA
9.70x
EV/Revenue
1.36x
EV/EBIT
11.15x
EV/FCF
7.52x
Earnings Yield
8.72%
FCF Yield
20.78%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$10.65
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.5x earnings, PGY trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $10.65 per share, 20% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.243
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.500
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.122
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.914
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.518
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
24.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. PGY's ROE of 24.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.52x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.24 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$8.63
Price/Value
1.35x
Margin of Safety
-34.98%
Premium
34.98%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with PGY's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. PGY trades at a 35% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $8.63, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 11.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1279 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$12.76
Median 1Y
$4.00
5th Pctile
$0.55
95th Pctile
$29.09
Ann. Volatility
120.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
518
-6.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$2,435,021
Rev: $1,261,341,000
Profit / Employee
$157,122
NI: $81,389,000
SGA / Employee
$411,488
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$145,199
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -5.4% -31.2% -14.4% -20.4% -1.1% -1.3% -70.2% -80.1% -46.7% -34.3% -23.1% -15.9% -23.7% -32.0% -90.6% -84.0% -63.4% -43.1% 20.2% 24.3% 24.35%
ROA -2.9% -16.7% -7.5% -10.6% -58.4% -70.2% -37.0% -42.2% -24.6% -18.1% -11.4% -7.9% -11.7% -15.8% -32.1% -29.8% -22.5% -15.3% 5.7% 6.9% 6.92%
ROIC -8.6% 42.7% 12.5% 7.1% -80.5% -1.2% -43.7% -46.3% -21.9% -10.7% -2.5% 0.8% 2.4% 4.6% 6.5% 10.4% 15.4% 21.0% 31.0% 29.8% 29.85%
ROCE 1.7% 4.9% -0.5% -4.5% -35.1% -51.0% -34.4% -35.9% -19.7% -11.8% -5.6% -2.5% -0.9% 1.2% 3.6% 7.3% 11.9% 11.3% 8.1% 10.8% 10.76%
Gross Margin 32.1% 36.2% 64.8% 41.7% 35.7% 30.4% 30.0% 28.6% 35.0% 36.1% 36.1% 38.9% 40.0% 40.2% 42.6% 40.9% 39.7% 41.0% 40.8% 44.2% 44.15%
Operating Margin 11.2% 11.6% -1.5% -6.3% -92.2% -34.6% -15.0% -14.3% -5.5% 0.1% 5.1% 3.2% 2.1% 9.0% 11.5% 16.9% 17.8% 23.5% 20.5% 25.2% 25.16%
Net Margin -6.4% -22.0% -7.2% -11.5% -1.1% -40.3% -19.1% -34.8% -16.9% -10.8% -6.9% -9.0% -30.8% -27.1% -86.3% 2.8% 5.2% 6.6% 10.7% 7.8% 7.77%
EBITDA Margin 3.8% 5.1% -8.5% -13.7% -1.0% -42.9% -22.0% -18.7% -8.5% -2.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.8% 8.6% 13.2% 17.0% 17.4% 4.6% 9.1% 25.6% 25.55%
FCF Margin -0.1% 12.6% 9.5% 5.8% 1.3% -7.6% -9.1% -12.4% -9.8% -4.2% -1.4% 3.7% 4.8% 2.2% 2.9% 4.5% 8.5% 14.0% 17.8% 18.1% 18.05%
OCF Margin -0.1% 12.9% 11.1% 7.2% 2.5% -4.0% -5.8% -8.7% -5.5% -1.6% 1.2% 6.1% 7.0% 4.1% 5.2% 6.5% 10.4% 15.7% 18.9% 19.1% 19.08%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -36.47%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -38.42%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -9.94%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -13.30%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 24.16%
Cash ROA snapshot only 16.00%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 22.20%
CROIC snapshot only 21.00%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 25.65%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.09%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 5.53%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 13.85%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.60%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -319.23 -56.80 -44.15 -32.24 -4.60 -2.32 -2.82 -2.10 -5.04 -8.50 -8.14 -7.35 -6.93 -4.32 -1.72 -2.17 -6.05 -14.17 26.17 11.47 11.461
P/S Ratio 20.34 8.77 5.39 3.87 1.80 0.99 1.24 1.03 1.40 1.70 1.35 0.78 1.03 0.82 0.69 0.77 1.51 2.22 1.69 0.87 0.816
P/B Ratio 17.17 17.70 6.37 6.56 3.46 2.10 1.54 1.31 1.83 2.27 1.87 1.16 1.64 1.37 2.12 2.47 5.20 8.28 4.44 2.35 2.126
P/FCF -14823.16 69.58 56.63 66.68 142.16 -13.13 -13.67 -8.31 -14.25 -40.35 -98.52 20.91 21.36 37.59 24.04 17.25 17.80 15.85 9.48 4.81 4.813
P/OCF 68.03 48.59 53.82 71.63 109.17 12.78 14.75 19.79 13.29 11.76 14.55 14.16 8.93 4.55 4.554
EV/EBITDA 523.99 186.46 -783.68 -77.39 -4.62 -1.72 -2.44 -1.96 -5.47 -12.51 -28.51 -147.55 80.89 24.44 17.32 11.72 13.53 20.50 18.63 9.70 9.701
EV/Revenue 19.66 8.49 4.94 3.56 1.52 0.74 1.10 0.89 1.26 1.57 1.64 1.05 1.28 1.06 1.17 1.23 1.94 2.62 2.19 1.36 1.358
EV/EBIT 523.99 190.39 -636.13 -74.27 -4.58 -1.69 -2.40 -1.90 -5.07 -10.73 -19.94 -31.41 -109.37 70.06 30.04 16.13 16.72 25.66 23.37 11.15 11.151
EV/FCF -14328.02 67.32 51.93 61.31 120.45 -9.82 -12.09 -7.18 -12.87 -37.19 -119.59 28.09 26.57 48.52 40.93 27.61 22.88 18.69 12.30 7.52 7.523
Earnings Yield -0.3% -1.8% -2.3% -3.1% -21.7% -43.1% -35.4% -47.6% -19.8% -11.8% -12.3% -13.6% -14.4% -23.1% -58.1% -46.1% -16.5% -7.1% 3.8% 8.7% 8.72%
FCF Yield -0.0% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% -7.6% -7.3% -12.0% -7.0% -2.5% -1.0% 4.8% 4.7% 2.7% 4.2% 5.8% 5.6% 6.3% 10.5% 20.8% 20.78%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.032
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.507
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.119
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.280
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 6.237
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $10.65
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 18.04 18.04 8.60 8.60 8.60 8.60 3.28 3.28 3.28 3.28 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 5.62 5.62 5.621
Quick Ratio 18.04 18.04 8.60 8.60 8.60 8.60 3.28 3.28 3.28 3.28 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 5.62 5.62 5.621
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 1.92 1.92 1.922
Net Debt/Equity -0.57 -0.57 -0.53 -0.53 -0.53 -0.53 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.32 1.32 1.322
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.60 0.60 0.597
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.00 -16.49 -1.58 -0.19 -0.13 -0.69 -0.66 -1.27 -2.29 -9.27 -69.56 29.29 10.16 10.03 6.17 4.22 4.38 6.22 5.08 5.084
Net Debt/EBITDA -18.11 -6.24 70.95 6.78 0.83 0.58 0.32 0.31 0.59 1.06 -5.02 -37.70 15.88 5.51 7.14 4.40 3.01 3.12 4.28 3.50 3.495
Interest Coverage
Equity Multiplier 1.87 1.87 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 2.16 2.16 2.16 2.16 3.95 3.95 3.95 3.95 3.22 3.22 3.221
Cash Ratio snapshot only 3.670
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.312
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.254
Defensive Interval snapshot only 633.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.45 1.08 0.62 0.89 1.50 1.64 0.84 0.86 0.89 0.91 0.69 0.74 0.79 0.83 0.80 0.84 0.90 0.97 0.89 0.91 0.914
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 7.19 17.20 11.28 16.17 26.32 28.86 14.97 15.34 15.83 16.18 11.14 12.03 12.85 13.54 10.48 10.95 11.74 12.68 9.50 9.77 9.768
Payables Turnover 107.73 248.40 16.85 24.82 54.24 62.03 67.74 72.66 75.00 74.96 336.49 349.60 366.12 379.46 144.40 149.76 160.84 173.31 137.17 139.09 139.091
DSO 51 21 32 23 14 13 24 24 23 23 33 30 28 27 35 33 31 29 38 37 37.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 3 1 22 15 7 6 5 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 2.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 47 20 11 8 7 7 19 19 18 18 32 29 27 26 32 31 29 27 36 35 34.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 21.326
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.497
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.192
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 5.4% 2.0% 88.0% 34.3% 22.0% 13.7% 12.8% 18.8% 23.0% 26.8% 30.0% 25.8% 26.2% 29.5% 25.6% 23.5% 23.45%
Net Income -38.5% -7.2% -5.8% -4.5% 13.4% 46.9% 57.5% 74.3% 34.3% -20.2% -2.1% -3.2% -1.1% -7.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.26%
EPS -29.0% -3.5% -95.3% -58.2% 69.4% 76.2% 61.4% 76.4% 44.7% -9.7% -1.7% -2.5% -91.4% 14.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.21%
FCF 60.4% -2.8% -2.8% -3.9% -10.5% 36.7% 83.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 3.7% 50.3% 1.2% 7.3% 6.8% 4.0% 4.00%
EBITDA -57.6% -29.1% -133.3% -12.3% 14.5% 67.1% 85.6% 98.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 19.6% 10.5% 2.8% 1.2% 64.6% 64.60%
Op. Income -15.3% -10.0% -11.9% -21.5% 14.8% 72.8% 90.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 3.7% 11.9% 5.7% 3.7% 2.7% 1.6% 1.64%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.60%
Asset Growth snapshot only 19.74%
Equity Growth snapshot only 47.02%
Debt Growth snapshot only 35.54%
Shares Change snapshot only 25.51%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.1% 62.1% 40.2% 26.2% 23.7% 23.1% 22.5% 22.7% 22.67%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 59.7% 59.4%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 1.3% 68.8% 33.9% 22.3% 20.3% 22.0% 29.8% 34.9% 34.95%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y 31.4% 22.0% 42.7% 1.0%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y -9.7% -6.1% 15.5% 1.3%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 11.0% 8.7% 22.2% 98.6%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 80.9% 80.9% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 13.9% 13.9% 13.94%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y 72.4% 72.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% -4.6% -4.6% -4.64%
Book Value 3Y 4.9% 4.8% -38.3% -38.3% -34.3% -29.8% -21.3% -19.0% -19.00%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.90 0.87 0.90 0.99 0.90 0.91 0.96 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.96 0.98 0.983
Earnings Stability 0.63 0.22 0.10 0.01 0.20 0.15 0.51 0.28 0.45 0.14 0.02 0.05 0.054
Margin Stability 0.79 0.86 0.81 0.81 0.83 0.88 0.85 0.84 0.85 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.872
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.95 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.97 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend 0.04 0.34 0.12 0.25 0.32 0.27 -0.84 -0.75 -0.56 -0.29 0.90 0.85 0.854
Gross Margin Trend -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.026
FCF Margin Trend -0.10 -0.07 -0.02 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.15 0.17 0.14 0.140
Sustainable Growth Rate 20.2% 24.3% 24.35%
Internal Growth Rate 6.1% 7.4% 7.44%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.02 -0.83 -0.91 -0.60 -0.06 0.09 0.13 0.18 0.20 0.08 -0.07 -0.57 -0.47 -0.22 -0.13 -0.18 -0.42 -1.00 2.93 2.52 2.519
FCF/OCF 1.00 0.98 0.86 0.81 0.50 1.90 1.56 1.43 1.78 2.71 -1.11 0.61 0.69 0.53 0.55 0.68 0.82 0.89 0.94 0.95 0.946
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.384
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.363
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 3.6% 3.3% 3.8% 4.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.03%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.564
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.31 -0.14 -0.17 -0.62 -0.64 -0.32 -0.35 -0.20 -0.17 -0.12 -0.12 -0.17 -0.19 -0.36 -0.35 -0.32 -0.31 -0.11 -0.11 -0.105
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.129
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 18.597
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -27.4% -45.2% -34.3% -40.6% -7.5% -6.3% -10.1% -30.7% -13.6% -16.6% -14.7% -1.2% -0.6% -0.2% -0.3% -0.4% -0.43%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -27.4% -45.2% -34.3% -40.6% -7.5% -6.3% -10.1% -30.7% -13.6% -16.6% -14.7% -1.2% -0.6% -0.2% -0.3% -0.4% -0.43%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -5.01 2.03 1.91 1.90 1.30 1.26 1.09 0.96 0.83 0.65 0.71 0.77 0.84 0.91 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.90 1.58 1.24 1.243
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.34 -1.71 8.22 1.32 0.90 0.77 0.88 1.09 1.34 2.11 2.85 4.16 15.06 -13.81 -10.76 -4.92 -2.33 -1.70 0.44 0.50 0.500
EBIT Margin 0.04 0.04 -0.01 -0.05 -0.33 -0.44 -0.46 -0.47 -0.25 -0.15 -0.08 -0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.04 0.08 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.12 0.122
Asset Turnover 0.45 1.08 0.62 0.89 1.50 1.64 0.84 0.86 0.89 0.91 0.69 0.74 0.79 0.83 0.80 0.84 0.90 0.97 0.89 0.91 0.914
Equity Multiplier 1.87 1.87 1.91 1.91 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82 3.52 3.52 3.518
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.36 $-2.08 $-2.70 $-3.68 $-10.90 $-9.36 $-5.27 $-5.82 $-3.33 $-2.23 $-2.03 $-1.37 $-1.84 $-2.45 $-5.40 $-4.83 $-3.53 $-2.10 $0.80 $1.02 $1.02
Book Value/Share $6.76 $6.68 $18.71 $18.08 $14.48 $10.36 $9.65 $9.34 $9.17 $8.34 $8.87 $8.68 $7.80 $7.70 $4.39 $4.24 $4.10 $3.59 $4.71 $4.96 $6.79
Tangible Book/Share $6.76 $6.68 $18.71 $18.08 $14.48 $10.36 $9.65 $9.34 $9.17 $8.34 $8.65 $8.47 $7.61 $7.51 $3.91 $3.77 $3.65 $3.19 $4.41 $4.65 $4.65
Revenue/Share $5.71 $13.49 $22.12 $30.67 $27.90 $21.88 $11.95 $11.85 $12.01 $11.16 $12.24 $12.94 $12.42 $12.92 $13.51 $13.63 $14.13 $13.36 $12.38 $13.41 $14.70
FCF/Share $-0.01 $1.70 $2.10 $1.78 $0.35 $-1.65 $-1.09 $-1.47 $-1.18 $-0.47 $-0.17 $0.48 $0.60 $0.28 $0.39 $0.61 $1.20 $1.87 $2.20 $2.42 $2.65
OCF/Share $-0.01 $1.74 $2.45 $2.21 $0.70 $-0.87 $-0.70 $-1.03 $-0.66 $-0.17 $0.15 $0.79 $0.87 $0.53 $0.70 $0.89 $1.47 $2.10 $2.34 $2.56 $2.80
Cash/Share $3.88 $3.83 $12.19 $11.79 $9.44 $6.75 $5.42 $5.25 $5.15 $4.68 $2.99 $2.93 $2.63 $2.60 $2.63 $2.54 $2.46 $2.15 $2.83 $2.98 $4.31
EBITDA/Share $0.21 $0.61 $-0.14 $-1.41 $-9.19 $-9.47 $-5.38 $-5.40 $-2.77 $-1.40 $-0.71 $-0.09 $0.20 $0.56 $0.91 $1.43 $2.03 $1.71 $1.46 $1.88 $1.88
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.00 $2.30 $2.22 $1.78 $1.27 $3.70 $3.58 $3.52 $3.20 $6.54 $6.40 $5.75 $5.67 $9.16 $8.84 $8.55 $7.48 $9.05 $9.54 $9.54
Net Debt/Share $-3.88 $-3.83 $-9.89 $-9.56 $-7.66 $-5.48 $-1.72 $-1.66 $-1.63 $-1.48 $3.54 $3.47 $3.12 $3.07 $6.53 $6.30 $6.09 $5.33 $6.22 $6.56 $6.56
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.359
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.602
Piotroski F-Score 2 3 3 3 5 3 3 2 3 4 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 5 7 8 8
Beneish M-Score -3.90 -3.30 -2.28 -2.76 -2.36 -2.36 -2.48 -2.56 -2.71 -2.79 -3.80 -3.64 -3.45 -3.39 -2.62 -2.63 -2.627
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.519
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 37.26%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-5.68
EVA snapshot only $221174527.73
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 89.00 89.00 93.05 93.01 78.32 66.71 50.63 44.69 56.18 60.54 49.42 58.72 56.10 52.79 41.55 43.67 51.31 59.20 63.91 56.45 56.448
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 12.782
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 47
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 39

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