— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

PLOW NYSE

Douglas Dynamics, Inc.
1W: -4.1% 1M: -4.8% 3M: +1.7% YTD: +31.9% 1Y: +56.8% 3Y: +76.8% 5Y: +21.9%
$44.20
+0.66 (+1.52%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±9.7%
$36 $40 $44 $49 $53
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 44 · $1.0B mcap · 23M float · 1.15% daily turnover · Short 40% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
51.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 12.7%  ·  5Y Avg: 8.7%
Cost Advantage
49
Intangibles
56
Switching Cost
55
Network Effect
48
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. PLOW shows a Weak competitive edge (51.5/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 12.7% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$56
Low
$56
Avg Target
$56
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 4, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 3Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$50.50
Analysts4
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-05-12 consensus Hold Buy
2026-03-24 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-06 Robert W. Baird $50 $56 +6 +10.4% $50.74
2026-03-03 Loop Capital Markets Dmitriy Pozdnyakov Initiated $48 +6.1% $45.22
2026-02-25 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky $39 $48 +9 +7.0% $44.87
2026-02-25 Robert W. Baird $25 $50 +25 +9.1% $45.84
2025-11-06 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky $38 $39 +1 +22.5% $31.82
2024-07-31 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky $30 $38 +8 +23.7% $30.71
2024-05-24 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky Initiated $30 +18.8% $25.26
2024-04-07 Robert W. Baird Timothy Wojs Initiated $25 +4.2% $24.00

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
3
D/E
3
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. PLOW receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-02-26 A- B+
2026-02-24 B A-
2026-02-18 B+ B
2026-01-03 B B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

20 Grade D
Profitability
40
Balance Sheet
60
Earnings Quality
11
Growth
40
Value
64
Momentum
0
Safety
90
Cash Flow
8
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. PLOW scores highest in Safety (90/100) and lowest in Momentum (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.56
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-156.74
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-1.89
Bankruptcy prob: 13.2%
Moderate
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 69.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -17.29x
Accruals: 159.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. PLOW scores 3.56, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. PLOW scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. PLOW's score of -156.74 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. PLOW's implied 13.2% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. PLOW receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 69.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). PLOW's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
19.22x
PEG
-1.12x
P/S
1.51x
P/B
0.00x
P/FCF
-0.24x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
12.49x
EV/Revenue
1.77x
EV/EBIT
14.87x
EV/FCF
-0.29x
Earnings Yield
5.35%
FCF Yield
-411.78%
Shareholder Yield
3.13%
Graham Number
$24.59
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 19.2x earnings, PLOW trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $24.59 per share, 80% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.771
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.854
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.119
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.116
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.230
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
19.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. PLOW's ROE of 19.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.116), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
20.61%
Fair P/E
49.71x
Intrinsic Value
$111.97
Price/Value
0.38x
Margin of Safety
62.41%
Premium
-62.41%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with PLOW's realized 20.6% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $111.97, PLOW appears undervalued with a 62% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 49.7x compares to the current market P/E of 19.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$44.20
Median 1Y
$43.84
5th Pctile
$24.96
95th Pctile
$77.06
Ann. Volatility
36.1%
Analyst Target
$50.50
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Mark Van Genderen
President and Chief Executive Officer
$651,421 $1,110,239 $3,008,565
Sarah C. Lauber
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary
$508,000 $847,133 $2,045,497
Christopher E. Bernauer
President, Work Truck Attachments
$335,342 $234,488 $1,024,271
James L. Janik
Executive Chairman and Interim President and CEO
$180,833 $114,596 $295,429

CEO Pay Ratio

56:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $3,008,565
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $53,793
Employees: 1,764

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,764
+5.4% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$371,912
Rev: $656,053,000
Profit / Employee
$26,586
NI: $46,897,000
SGA / Employee
$53,793
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 16.5% 15.6% 14.8% 12.6% 14.3% 17.3% 17.1% 13.0% 15.8% 12.5% 10.1% 12.2% 12.3% 23.6% 22.7% 26.1% 26.7% 16.9% 17.2% 19.5% 19.47%
ROA 6.6% 6.2% 5.3% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 5.0% 6.1% 4.8% 4.0% 4.8% 4.8% 9.3% 9.5% 10.9% 11.2% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.73%
ROIC 14.1% 13.1% 10.9% 9.6% 8.8% 10.5% 10.8% 8.9% 10.6% 9.1% 7.9% 8.9% 9.0% 14.6% 14.0% 15.7% 15.8% 10.7% 11.5% 12.7% 12.69%
ROCE 13.3% 11.9% 9.5% 8.1% 9.4% 11.3% 11.8% 9.6% 11.4% 9.8% 9.5% 11.0% 11.4% 18.7% 17.2% 18.9% 19.1% 12.9% 13.9% 15.2% 15.19%
Gross Margin 31.0% 24.0% 23.7% 20.5% 27.3% 24.8% 23.7% 13.7% 29.6% 22.3% 22.0% 19.8% 30.7% 23.9% 24.9% 24.5% 31.0% 23.5% 25.3% 26.3% 26.31%
Operating Margin 15.3% 8.1% 8.5% -2.9% 13.6% 11.7% 10.4% -16.7% 16.7% 8.0% 9.4% -6.7% 18.2% 35.4% 9.0% 2.8% 19.0% 8.7% 10.5% 7.2% 7.19%
Net Margin 9.0% 5.5% 5.8% -3.8% 9.5% 8.0% 7.2% -15.9% 11.6% 4.0% 5.3% -8.7% 12.2% 24.9% 5.5% 0.1% 13.4% 4.9% 7.0% 4.6% 4.63%
EBITDA Margin 15.5% 12.1% 11.9% 2.3% 16.4% 14.9% 13.6% -10.2% 19.3% 11.7% 13.5% -1.1% 20.3% 39.0% 11.8% 5.8% 21.1% 11.1% 12.6% 10.0% 9.99%
FCF Margin 10.6% 8.9% 9.1% -0.2% -4.0% -1.2% 4.5% -0.6% 3.3% 6.7% 0.3% 6.7% 9.0% 6.5% 5.9% 9.0% 6.4% 6.7% 9.6% -6.0% -6.02%
OCF Margin 13.1% 11.2% 11.2% 1.9% -1.9% 0.9% 6.5% 1.5% 5.2% 8.5% 2.2% 8.2% 10.4% 7.8% 7.2% 10.4% 8.2% 8.6% 11.3% -1.4% -1.35%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 18.55%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 16.04%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.08%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.20%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.69%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.47%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -1.88%
CROIC snapshot only -8.38%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.12%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 10.15%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 38.91%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.74%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 18.54 17.59 24.87 26.18 19.21 15.61 18.89 22.10 17.30 22.35 26.33 18.08 17.60 11.17 9.55 8.08 10.34 17.40 16.41 18.69 19.218
P/S Ratio 1.42 1.29 1.41 1.26 1.00 0.92 1.18 1.09 1.00 1.06 1.10 0.89 0.88 1.10 0.94 0.89 1.18 1.19 1.17 1.46 1.506
P/B Ratio 3.91 3.52 3.56 3.18 2.66 2.61 3.08 2.74 2.60 2.65 2.70 2.22 2.19 2.67 2.03 1.98 2.59 2.76 2.74 3.53 0.004
P/FCF 13.39 14.47 15.48 -815.39 -24.77 -76.46 26.07 -186.21 30.45 15.92 320.69 13.32 9.84 16.89 16.09 9.90 18.36 17.69 12.17 -0.24 -0.243
P/OCF 10.80 11.55 12.61 65.59 101.36 18.22 71.36 19.27 12.49 50.10 10.78 8.52 14.25 13.04 8.50 14.42 13.74 10.35
EV/EBITDA 11.42 11.43 14.48 14.63 11.58 10.05 11.76 12.44 10.56 11.90 12.88 10.11 9.92 7.86 7.03 6.43 7.83 11.46 10.97 12.49 12.487
EV/Revenue 1.83 1.70 1.78 1.64 1.35 1.25 1.52 1.44 1.34 1.41 1.51 1.29 1.29 1.52 1.32 1.26 1.55 1.54 1.49 1.77 1.767
EV/EBIT 14.79 15.21 20.81 22.13 16.71 13.81 15.96 17.95 14.54 17.16 19.09 14.31 13.70 9.59 8.44 7.50 9.08 14.07 13.26 14.87 14.870
EV/FCF 17.27 19.13 19.59 -1058.11 -33.58 -104.14 33.42 -245.20 40.62 21.13 440.07 19.33 14.35 23.25 22.59 14.00 24.15 22.93 15.43 -0.29 -0.293
Earnings Yield 5.4% 5.7% 4.0% 3.8% 5.2% 6.4% 5.3% 4.5% 5.8% 4.5% 3.8% 5.5% 5.7% 9.0% 10.5% 12.4% 9.7% 5.7% 6.1% 5.4% 5.35%
FCF Yield 7.5% 6.9% 6.5% -0.1% -4.0% -1.3% 3.8% -0.5% 3.3% 6.3% 0.3% 7.5% 10.2% 5.9% 6.2% 10.1% 5.4% 5.7% 8.2% -4.1% -4.12%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 20.514
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.617
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 14.933
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.13%
Graham Number snapshot only $24.59
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.28 3.28 2.69 2.69 2.69 2.69 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.21 2.21 2.21 2.21 3.39 3.39 3.39 3.39 2.78 2.78 2.776
Quick Ratio 1.96 1.96 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.18 1.18 1.181
Debt/Equity 1.34 1.34 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.76 0.76 0.763
Net Debt/Equity 1.13 1.13 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.73 0.73 0.734
Debt/Assets 0.46 0.46 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.343
Debt/EBITDA 3.03 3.29 3.59 3.97 3.59 3.16 2.85 3.29 2.91 3.23 3.86 3.47 3.44 2.37 2.07 1.93 1.92 2.68 2.41 2.24 2.237
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.57 2.78 3.04 3.36 3.04 2.67 2.59 2.99 2.64 2.93 3.49 3.15 3.12 2.15 2.02 1.88 1.88 2.62 2.32 2.15 2.151
Interest Coverage 4.05 4.36 3.92 3.64 5.09 5.43 5.21 3.97 4.26 3.33 2.87 3.20 3.23 5.35 5.84 6.97 7.66 5.49 6.08 6.84 6.840
Equity Multiplier 2.89 2.89 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.227
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.087
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 8.145
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.039
FCF to Debt snapshot only -19.026
Defensive Interval snapshot only 382.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.86 0.85 0.94 0.94 0.99 1.06 1.05 1.02 1.05 1.02 0.95 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.96 0.99 0.98 1.04 1.08 1.12 1.116
Inventory Turnover 4.57 4.57 4.11 4.16 4.44 4.73 3.80 3.72 3.80 3.69 3.10 3.13 3.08 2.99 2.99 3.06 3.03 3.21 3.30 3.40 3.402
Receivables Turnover 6.46 6.39 7.02 7.01 7.40 7.90 7.81 7.55 7.80 7.53 6.66 6.82 6.73 6.56 6.64 6.87 6.80 7.19 7.09 7.34 7.339
Payables Turnover 24.28 24.27 18.30 18.51 19.77 21.05 12.13 11.86 12.11 11.77 10.76 10.90 10.72 10.38 13.24 13.56 13.42 14.22 13.60 14.01 14.013
DSO 56 57 52 52 49 46 47 48 47 49 55 54 54 56 55 53 54 51 51 50 49.7 days
DIO 80 80 89 88 82 77 96 98 96 99 118 116 118 122 122 119 121 114 111 107 107.3 days
DPO 15 15 20 20 18 17 30 31 30 31 34 33 34 35 28 27 27 26 27 26 26.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 121 122 121 120 113 106 113 116 113 116 139 136 139 143 150 145 147 139 135 131 131.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.968
Operating Cycle snapshot only 157.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 81.811
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.923
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 12.7% 13.3% 12.8% 4.9% 3.2% 11.4% 13.8% 10.2% 7.9% -2.5% -7.8% -2.5% -6.8% -5.8% 0.1% 1.1% 1.5% 10.0% 15.4% 15.5% 15.46%
Net Income 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% -29.8% -10.3% 25.8% 12.9% 20.2% -21.6% -38.6% -3.1% -19.1% 96.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% -24.1% -16.5% -17.8% -17.83%
EPS 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% -29.5% -9.9% 26.4% 13.3% 19.8% -21.9% -38.8% -3.6% -19.5% 91.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% -24.1% -16.4% -19.5% -19.45%
FCF -3.2% -16.4% 26.9% -1.0% -1.4% -1.2% -43.3% -3.2% 1.9% 6.4% -93.0% 12.1% 1.5% -7.5% 16.1% 36.5% -27.6% 12.9% 89.9% -78.5% -78.47%
EBITDA 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% -24.5% -6.8% 19.2% 13.7% 16.7% -7.7% -16.3% 7.5% -4.2% 54.2% 60.8% 55.4% 54.2% -23.7% -16.9% -16.3% -16.34%
Op. Income 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% -37.1% -16.6% 14.9% 7.5% 23.6% -11.2% -23.6% 9.2% -5.0% 80.7% 97.5% 88.1% 83.3% -23.9% -17.0% -18.3% -18.32%
OCF Growth snapshot only -15.95%
Asset Growth snapshot only 6.22%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.52%
Debt Growth snapshot only -2.98%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.02%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.11%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5% 1.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 7.9% 7.2% 5.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3% 2.1% 4.4% 4.43%
Revenue 5Y 6.6% 6.2% 5.4% 4.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1% 3.8% 3.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% -0.1% -0.1% 1.5% 3.5% 5.0% 6.4% 5.7% 5.67%
EPS 3Y -12.7% -14.5% -11.3% -17.0% -15.7% -11.6% -7.5% -9.0% -12.1% 10.5% 21.2% 35.1% 29.3% 4.3% 5.6% 20.6% 20.61%
EPS 5Y -4.3% -2.0% -4.8% -3.2% 0.5% 2.9% -7.2% -12.5% -10.9% -15.2% -11.6% -9.0% -10.4% 0.7% 2.2% 10.4%
Net Income 3Y -12.4% -14.2% -11.0% -16.7% -15.6% -11.5% -7.4% -8.9% -11.9% 11.4% 22.3% 35.4% 30.7% 5.3% 6.7% 21.8% 21.79%
Net Income 5Y -3.9% -1.6% -4.4% -2.8% 0.7% 3.2% -6.9% -12.3% -10.7% -15.0% -11.4% -8.8% -10.2% 1.3% 2.9% 10.7%
EBITDA 3Y -2.5% -4.0% -9.8% -13.6% -12.5% -9.9% -6.9% -7.5% -5.5% 9.9% 17.1% 23.8% 19.9% 2.8% 3.8% 11.8% 11.78%
EBITDA 5Y -1.2% -1.7% -5.7% -7.3% -5.1% -2.3% -1.8% -5.0% -4.0% -5.3% -6.1% -4.6% -5.6% 0.8% 1.7% 5.7%
Gross Profit 3Y 0.6% -0.5% -2.9% -4.7% -4.9% -3.5% -3.6% -3.5% 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% -0.2% -3.8% -2.9% 1.2% 4.5% 3.7% 2.7% 4.6% 8.6% 8.56%
Gross Profit 5Y 3.4% 3.2% 1.2% -0.1% -0.2% 1.4% 1.1% -0.6% -0.6% -1.7% -2.8% -2.1% -2.6% -3.3% -2.8% -0.2% 3.6% 5.1% 6.2% 4.9% 4.88%
Op. Income 3Y -2.4% -3.9% -11.4% -16.3% -17.4% -13.8% -12.1% -13.8% -9.6% 10.2% 20.2% 30.2% 29.1% 6.9% 7.8% 18.8% 18.81%
Op. Income 5Y -1.9% -1.3% -5.8% -7.8% -6.3% -3.9% -3.5% -7.8% -6.3% -8.0% -9.4% -7.2% -7.9% 0.5% 0.5% 5.6%
FCF 3Y 1.8% 6.3% 0.6% -24.8% -30.6% -12.1% -63.1% -18.8% -4.1% -9.1% -12.3% 31.2%
FCF 5Y -1.4% -6.9% -3.9% -13.8% -18.3% -0.5% -47.4% 5.8% 7.6% -3.5% -12.7% -2.8% -9.2% -6.6% 10.2%
OCF 3Y 4.3% 7.5% 1.3% -35.3% -53.5% -19.7% -50.2% -23.5% -11.0% -38.4% -18.0% -6.3% -10.7% -12.1% 80.8% 1.1% 22.9%
OCF 5Y -0.5% -5.2% -2.8% -28.5% -37.5% -9.6% -34.6% -12.9% 0.5% -26.5% 4.5% 4.9% -4.6% -11.9% -3.6% -7.9% -5.7% 6.9%
Assets 3Y -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.64%
Assets 5Y 2.8% 2.8% -3.2% -3.2% -3.2% -3.2% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.59%
Equity 3Y -7.9% -7.9% -8.8% -8.8% -8.8% -8.8% -8.9% -8.9% -8.9% -8.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 5.9% 5.9% 5.88%
Book Value 3Y -8.3% -8.3% -9.1% -9.1% -8.9% -8.9% -8.9% -9.0% -9.0% -9.0% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.1% 6.2% 7.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.8% 4.9% 4.85%
Dividend 3Y 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% -0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% -0.2% -0.3% -1.0% -0.8% 0.4% -0.4% -0.2% -0.4% -0.6% -0.61%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.66 0.54 0.41 0.59 0.64 0.55 0.46 0.71 0.74 0.64 0.40 0.57 0.48 0.06 0.01 0.58 0.55 0.53 0.63 0.78 0.779
Earnings Stability 0.15 0.14 0.21 0.22 0.04 0.03 0.07 0.12 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.13 0.14 0.24 0.53 0.48 0.55 0.66 0.662
Margin Stability 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.936
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.91 0.85 0.99 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.929
Earnings Smoothness 0.65 0.89 0.77 0.88 0.82 0.76 0.52 0.97 0.79 0.35 0.19 0.22 0.21 0.73 0.82 0.80 0.804
ROE Trend 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.25 0.18 0.22 0.31 0.25 -0.02 -0.06 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 0.10 0.08 0.12 0.11 -0.02 0.01 0.00 0.005
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.012
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.13 -0.15 -0.12 -0.04 -0.08 0.00 0.03 -0.06 0.07 0.09 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.07 -6.10 -6.101
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.2% 5.3% 2.0% -0.2% 1.4% 4.3% 5.1% 1.0% 3.7% 0.3% -1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 12.0% 11.6% 14.9% 15.5% 5.7% 6.9% 9.2% 9.19%
Internal Growth Rate 2.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.6% 2.0% 0.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 4.9% 5.1% 6.7% 7.0% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 4.30%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.72 1.52 1.97 0.40 -0.36 0.15 1.04 0.31 0.90 1.79 0.53 1.68 2.06 0.78 0.73 0.95 0.72 1.27 1.59 -17.29 -17.285
FCF/OCF 0.81 0.80 0.81 -0.08 2.13 -1.33 0.70 -0.38 0.63 0.78 0.16 0.81 0.87 0.84 0.81 0.86 0.79 0.78 0.85 4.45 4.452
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -76.955
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -9.560
CapEx/Revenue 2.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 4.7% 4.67%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 205.949
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.03 -0.05 0.03 0.07 0.05 -0.00 0.03 0.01 -0.04 0.02 -0.03 -0.05 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.03 -0.02 -0.05 1.60 1.597
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.022
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.287
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 3.4% 3.7% 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 3.7% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.4% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 4.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.8% 2.67%
Dividend/Share $1.14 $1.15 $1.15 $1.15 $1.17 $1.18 $1.18 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.18 $1.18 $1.16 $1.16 $1.20 $1.17 $1.18 $1.18 $1.19 $1.18
Payout Ratio 62.2% 65.9% 86.4% 1.0% 90.3% 74.9% 70.0% 92.6% 76.6% 97.5% 1.2% 95.6% 94.4% 49.3% 48.9% 42.9% 41.9% 66.5% 59.6% 52.8% 52.80%
FCF Payout Ratio 44.9% 54.2% 53.8% 96.6% 1.3% 69.4% 14.1% 70.4% 52.8% 74.6% 82.5% 52.6% 74.4% 67.6% 44.2%
Total Payout Ratio 62.2% 65.9% 86.4% 1.1% 1.1% 91.7% 85.5% 1.0% 76.6% 97.5% 1.2% 95.6% 94.4% 49.3% 48.9% 42.9% 41.9% 66.5% 59.6% 58.4% 58.45%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.039
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.30%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.30%
Total Shareholder Return 3.4% 3.7% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 5.9% 4.5% 4.7% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.4% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 4.1% 3.8% 3.6% 3.1% 3.13%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.82 0.85 0.89 0.90 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.771
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.75 0.77 0.74 0.73 0.80 0.82 0.81 0.75 0.77 0.70 0.65 0.69 0.69 0.81 0.83 0.86 0.87 0.82 0.84 0.85 0.854
EBIT Margin 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.119
Asset Turnover 0.86 0.85 0.94 0.94 0.99 1.06 1.05 1.02 1.05 1.02 0.95 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.96 0.99 0.98 1.04 1.08 1.12 1.116
Equity Multiplier 2.50 2.50 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.23 2.23 2.230
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.84 $1.74 $1.34 $1.13 $1.29 $1.57 $1.69 $1.28 $1.55 $1.23 $1.03 $1.24 $1.25 $2.35 $2.38 $2.80 $2.80 $1.78 $1.99 $2.25 $2.25
Book Value/Share $8.71 $8.71 $9.34 $9.34 $9.37 $9.38 $10.36 $10.35 $10.32 $10.32 $10.08 $10.06 $10.03 $9.82 $11.19 $11.43 $11.16 $11.21 $11.94 $11.93 $12097.76
Tangible Book/Share $-2.86 $-2.86 $-1.77 $-1.77 $-1.77 $-1.78 $-0.33 $-0.33 $-0.33 $-0.33 $-0.11 $-0.11 $-0.11 $-0.11 $1.59 $1.62 $1.59 $1.59 $2.05 $2.05 $2.05
Revenue/Share $24.05 $23.78 $23.55 $23.53 $24.92 $26.62 $26.92 $26.02 $26.80 $25.83 $24.72 $25.26 $24.85 $23.72 $24.08 $25.43 $24.60 $26.09 $27.83 $28.78 $29.39
FCF/Share $2.55 $2.12 $2.15 $-0.04 $-1.00 $-0.32 $1.22 $-0.15 $0.88 $1.72 $0.08 $1.68 $2.23 $1.55 $1.41 $2.28 $1.58 $1.75 $2.68 $-173.32 $-177.00
OCF/Share $3.16 $2.65 $2.63 $0.45 $-0.47 $0.24 $1.75 $0.40 $1.39 $2.19 $0.54 $2.08 $2.58 $1.84 $1.74 $2.66 $2.01 $2.26 $3.16 $-38.93 $-39.74
Cash/Share $1.79 $1.78 $1.61 $1.61 $1.61 $1.62 $0.90 $0.90 $0.90 $0.90 $1.05 $1.05 $1.05 $1.02 $0.22 $0.22 $0.22 $0.22 $0.35 $0.35 $224.65
EBITDA/Share $3.85 $3.54 $2.90 $2.63 $2.91 $3.32 $3.48 $3.00 $3.39 $3.05 $2.90 $3.21 $3.23 $4.59 $4.53 $4.97 $4.86 $3.50 $3.77 $4.07 $4.07
Debt/Share $11.66 $11.66 $10.43 $10.44 $10.47 $10.48 $9.90 $9.89 $9.86 $9.86 $11.17 $11.16 $11.12 $10.89 $9.38 $9.58 $9.35 $9.40 $9.11 $9.11 $9.11
Net Debt/Share $9.87 $9.87 $8.83 $8.83 $8.86 $8.87 $8.99 $8.99 $8.96 $8.96 $10.12 $10.11 $10.07 $9.86 $9.16 $9.36 $9.14 $9.18 $8.76 $8.76 $8.76
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 3.559
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.666
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 5 4 3 5 8 6 6 4 2 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 7 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.96 -2.79 -2.74 -2.38 -2.15 -2.27 -2.32 -1.85 -2.33 -2.39 -2.30 -2.75 -2.74 -2.51 -2.51 -2.53 -2.35 -2.49 -2.55 -156.74 -156.742
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -1.886
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 28.41%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-3.36
EVA snapshot only $13117177.19
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 65.84 58.98 59.49 54.30 57.84 58.56 71.84 56.49 59.89 59.72 50.17 56.87 58.27 62.49 70.79 73.84 74.92 70.24 72.68 69.50 69.503
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -4.336
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 59
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 65

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