PZZA NASDAQ
Papa John's International, Inc.
1W: -3.5%
1M: -10.1%
3M: -40.9%
YTD: -54.0%
1Y: -66.1%
3Y: -68.9%
5Y: -82.9%
$18.07
-0.16 (-0.88%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.9%
$17
$17
$18
$19
$19
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 77% of companies Debt: 61.1% of company value Bonds: $50.2M held by 63 funds, 179 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.74 (down 90%), Papa John's International, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $935.5M against a stock market value of $594.9M.
Distance to default 2.87 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-28, debt counted $402.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.7%; Altman Z'' 1.23. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.74 (down 90%), Papa John's International, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $935.5M against a stock market value of $594.9M.
Distance to default 2.87 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-28, debt counted $402.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.7%; Altman Z'' 1.23. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Cash Flow Trends
Operating Cash Flow
$126M
+18.2% ▲
5Y CAGR: -7.5%
Capital Expenditures
$65M
+10.7% ▲
5Y CAGR: +12.7%
Free Cash Flow
$61M
+79.5% ▲
5Y CAGR: -16.5%
Dividends Paid
$61M
-1.0% ▼
Buybacks
$0
+100.0% ▲
Net Change in Cash
-$1M
+61.8% ▲
Cash Flow Composition
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Cash Flow Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Operating Activities — | |||||
| Net Income | $125M | $69M | $82M | $84M | $32M |
| Depreciation & Amort. | $49M | $52M | $64M | $69M | $92M |
| Stock-Based Comp. | $17M | $18M | $18M | $10M | $15M |
| Change in Working Capital | -$9M | -$58M | $29M | -$34M | -$17M |
| Other Non-Cash Items | -$271K | $34M | $6M | -$19M | -$3M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $185M | $118M | $193M | $107M | $126M |
| — Investing Activities — | |||||
| Capital Expenditures | -$69M | -$78M | -$77M | -$72M | -$65M |
| Acquisitions (Net) | -$699K | $12M | -$6M | -$125K | $0 |
| Investment Purchases | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Investment Sales | $0 | $14M | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Other Investing | $6M | -$10M | $7M | $55M | $43M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -$64M | -$63M | -$75M | -$17M | -$21M |
| — Financing Activities — | |||||
| Net Debt Issuance | $135M | $115M | $150M | -$26M | -$38M |
| Stock Repurchased | -$72M | -$125M | -$210M | -$2M | $0 |
| Dividends Paid | -$47M | -$55M | -$58M | -$61M | -$61M |
| Other Financing | -$8M | -$6M | $960K | -$3M | -$6M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -$181M | -$76M | -$124M | -$92M | -$106M |
| Net Change in Cash | -$60M | -$23M | -$7M | -$3M | -$1M |
| Cash End of Period | $71M | $47M | $41M | $38M | $37M |
| Free Cash Flow | $116M | $39M | $116M | $34M | $61M |