— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: RLJ-PA (NYSE) · $vol 1M

RLJ NYSE

RLJ Lodging Trust
1W: +5.6% 1M: +21.6% 3M: +16.9% YTD: +25.6% 1Y: +34.8% 3Y: +4.2% 5Y: -26.4%
$9.58
-0.03 (-0.31%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.7%
$8 $9 $9 $9 $10
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 69 · $1.5B mcap · 121M float · 2.04% daily turnover · Short 54% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 3.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.5%
Cost Advantage
17
Intangibles
37
Switching Cost
54
Network Effect
24
Scale ★
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. RLJ has No discernible competitive edge (38.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 3.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$7
Avg Target
$7
High
Based on 3 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 9Sell: 4Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$7.17
Analysts3
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-01-06 Barclays $15 $6 -9 -20.9% $7.59
2025-10-03 Robert W. Baird $12 $8 -4 +4.2% $7.20
2025-09-05 Truist Financial $11 $8 -3 +1.5% $7.88
2025-03-24 KeyBanc Initiated $12 +41.5% $8.48
2024-10-28 Truist Financial Gregory Miller Initiated $11 +21.1% $9.09
2024-09-13 Wells Fargo Dori Kesten $14 $9 -4 -0.1% $9.01
2024-08-05 Compass Point Floris van Dijkum Initiated $10 +8.5% $9.22
2024-06-10 Robert W. Baird Michael Bellisario Initiated $12 +23.0% $9.76
2022-08-29 Wells Fargo Initiated $14 +8.7% $12.42
2022-07-07 Barclays Initiated $15 +38.0% $10.87
2022-04-22 Oppenheimer Initiated $20 +41.9% $14.09

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
May 22, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
2
ROA
3
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. RLJ receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-24 B+ B
2026-04-01 B B+
2026-03-04 B- B
2026-02-27 C+ B-
2026-02-24 B C+
2026-02-02 B+ B
2026-01-30 B B+
2026-01-26 B+ B
2026-01-20 B B+
2026-01-16 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

36 Grade B
Profitability
16
Balance Sheet
48
Earnings Quality
88
Growth
19
Value
61
Momentum
55
Safety
15
Cash Flow
75
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. RLJ scores highest in Earnings Quality (88/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.36
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.70
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.13
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 43.3/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 10.23x
Accruals: -4.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. RLJ scores 0.36, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. RLJ scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. RLJ's score of -2.70 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. RLJ's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. RLJ receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 43.3/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). RLJ's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
57.69x
PEG
-0.55x
P/S
1.07x
P/B
0.67x
P/FCF
4.37x
P/OCF
4.37x
EV/EBITDA
9.37x
EV/Revenue
2.21x
EV/EBIT
22.36x
EV/FCF
11.88x
Earnings Yield
2.24%
FCF Yield
22.90%
Shareholder Yield
14.20%
Graham Number
$7.37
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 57.7x earnings, RLJ is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $7.37 per share, 30% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.948
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.194
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.099
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.283
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.161
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. RLJ's ROE of 1.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.283), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.95 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1.41
Price/Value
5.26x
Margin of Safety
-425.65%
Premium
425.65%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with RLJ's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. RLJ trades at a 426% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1.41, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 57.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$9.57
Median 1Y
$8.09
5th Pctile
$3.73
95th Pctile
$17.56
Ann. Volatility
48.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Thomas J. Baltimore,
Jr. President and Chief Executive Officer
$768,750 $— $8,725,949
Ross H. Bierkan
Chief Investment Officer and Executive Vice President
$430,500 $— $3,279,317
Robert L. Johnson
Executive Chairman
$358,750 $— $3,181,800
Leslie D. Hale
Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Executive Vice President
$358,750 $— $2,886,897

CEO Pay Ratio

14:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $8,725,949
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $635,253
Employees: 75

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
75
+2.7% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$17,998,133
Rev: $1,349,860,000
Profit / Employee
$380,120
NI: $28,509,000
SGA / Employee
$635,253
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -13.3% -12.4% -12.1% -9.6% -6.2% 0.3% 1.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 1.11%
ROA -6.8% -6.4% -5.7% -4.5% -2.9% 0.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.52%
ROIC -0.8% 0.4% 1.7% 2.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.9% 7.7% 7.8% 5.8% 4.9% 3.7% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.09%
ROCE -3.5% -2.2% -1.0% -0.1% 1.3% 2.0% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.00%
Gross Margin 25.3% 27.4% 25.6% 25.3% 35.4% 31.1% 28.3% 28.3% 33.8% 28.1% 27.4% 25.6% 31.3% 28.3% 26.6% 25.6% 30.4% 24.2% -87.1% 33.8% 33.82%
Operating Margin -5.1% 22.0% 20.6% 19.5% 31.4% 26.8% 23.2% 24.0% 29.7% 0.0% 8.5% 7.2% 15.5% 11.7% 8.9% 7.7% 14.6% 6.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.19%
Net Margin -26.5% -63.4% -11.6% -6.3% 10.0% 5.5% 2.2% 3.4% 11.6% 4.9% 2.5% 1.5% 10.0% 6.0% 1.6% 1.0% 7.8% -1.1% 0.1% -0.1% -0.10%
EBITDA Margin 10.2% 21.3% 20.9% 19.6% 31.6% 27.1% 23.7% 24.3% 30.0% 25.8% 22.9% 23.5% 29.8% 27.3% 24.0% 23.2% 28.2% 21.5% 22.3% 22.0% 21.99%
FCF Margin -31.6% -13.9% 2.5% 6.5% 12.7% 13.5% 13.1% 14.9% 15.8% 17.4% 20.4% 16.1% 15.0% 12.2% 10.9% 13.0% 14.5% 16.5% 18.1% 18.6% 18.63%
OCF Margin -28.4% -9.7% 5.5% 9.1% 17.5% 20.0% 21.5% 22.8% 21.5% 23.0% 25.4% 23.7% 25.3% 22.3% 20.8% 20.5% 19.1% 18.6% 18.1% 18.6% 18.63%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.36%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -0.05%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.11%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.04%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.83%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.35%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.23%
CROIC snapshot only 6.23%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.26%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.92%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.52%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.08%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -5.48 -5.72 -6.40 -8.16 -9.79 184.84 35.07 21.84 18.58 17.97 21.24 23.13 20.42 18.52 21.62 17.19 18.46 32.09 38.96 44.68 57.687
P/S Ratio 4.38 3.27 2.49 2.18 1.48 1.24 1.23 1.17 1.10 1.03 1.22 1.22 1.01 0.96 1.07 0.83 0.78 0.79 0.82 0.81 1.069
P/B Ratio 0.80 0.78 0.82 0.83 0.65 0.58 0.61 0.61 0.59 0.56 0.69 0.70 0.58 0.56 0.64 0.50 0.47 0.47 0.51 0.51 0.667
P/FCF -13.85 -23.55 98.78 33.48 11.63 9.22 9.39 7.87 6.93 5.93 5.99 7.58 6.69 7.88 9.87 6.41 5.40 4.83 4.56 4.37 4.367
P/OCF 45.49 24.05 8.44 6.19 5.73 5.14 5.11 4.48 4.81 5.17 3.97 4.31 5.15 4.07 4.08 4.26 4.56 4.37 4.367
EV/EBITDA -200.83 75.05 32.20 23.01 13.56 11.35 10.72 9.84 9.58 9.38 10.06 10.11 9.21 8.86 9.46 8.55 8.52 9.14 9.35 9.37 9.375
EV/Revenue 8.09 6.10 4.87 4.23 3.27 2.89 2.78 2.63 2.53 2.45 2.60 2.59 2.36 2.31 2.48 2.24 2.19 2.22 2.23 2.21 2.213
EV/EBIT -20.70 -33.39 -75.46 -1223.51 53.42 33.25 27.27 21.95 20.95 20.36 21.70 21.85 19.70 18.48 19.48 17.68 18.21 21.53 22.12 22.36 22.364
EV/FCF -25.60 -44.01 193.15 65.09 25.67 21.51 21.23 17.71 15.99 14.09 12.74 16.05 15.71 18.89 22.83 17.23 15.17 13.50 12.37 11.88 11.877
Earnings Yield -18.3% -17.5% -15.6% -12.3% -10.2% 0.5% 2.9% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 4.7% 4.3% 4.9% 5.4% 4.6% 5.8% 5.4% 3.1% 2.6% 2.2% 2.24%
FCF Yield -7.2% -4.2% 1.0% 3.0% 8.6% 10.8% 10.6% 12.7% 14.4% 16.9% 16.7% 13.2% 14.9% 12.7% 10.1% 15.6% 18.5% 20.7% 21.9% 22.9% 22.90%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.511
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.877
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 155.049
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 23.354
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 14.20%
Graham Number snapshot only $7.37
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 4.47 4.47 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.04 3.04 3.04 3.04 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.04 2.04 2.044
Quick Ratio 4.47 4.47 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.04 3.04 3.04 3.04 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.04 2.04 2.044
Debt/Equity 1.02 1.02 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.07 1.07 1.067
Net Debt/Equity 0.68 0.68 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.88 0.88 0.878
Debt/Assets 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.488
Debt/EBITDA -138.01 52.23 21.34 15.15 10.06 8.79 7.53 6.89 6.84 6.84 6.83 6.84 6.78 6.63 6.51 6.51 6.65 7.12 7.17 7.20 7.204
Net Debt/EBITDA -92.19 34.89 15.73 11.17 7.41 6.48 5.98 5.47 5.43 5.43 5.33 5.33 5.29 5.17 5.37 5.37 5.49 5.87 5.90 5.93 5.928
Interest Coverage -3.64 -2.19 -0.65 -0.04 1.23 2.06 2.72 2.21 1.67 1.64 2.16 3.21 3.15 3.17 2.19 1.65 1.57 1.79 1.70 1.64 1.639
Equity Multiplier 2.11 2.11 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.14 2.14 2.14 2.14 2.19 2.19 2.186
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.681
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.910
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.177
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.110
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.11 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.283
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 18.36 24.03 35.34 40.91 47.05 50.85 34.30 36.37 37.12 37.60 41.00 41.29 41.67 42.02 53.02 53.16 52.92 52.32 48.96 49.39 49.394
Payables Turnover 2.52 2.94 3.67 4.11 4.53 4.83 5.34 5.63 5.77 5.91 6.16 6.26 6.37 6.42 6.51 6.53 6.53 6.54 9.19 9.06 9.063
DSO 20 15 10 9 8 7 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7 7.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 145 124 100 89 81 76 68 65 63 62 59 58 57 57 56 56 56 56 40 40 40.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -125 -109 -89 -80 -73 -68 -58 -55 -53 -52 -50 -49 -49 -48 -49 -49 -49 -49 -32 -33 -32.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 11.024
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.320
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.482
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -52.1% -12.5% 66.3% 1.8% 1.1% 77.1% 52.1% 39.3% 23.6% 15.8% 11.1% 5.5% 4.3% 3.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.4% -0.6% -1.4% -0.8% -0.83%
Net Income -3.7% -28.8% 24.5% 46.5% 59.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 8.9% 82.2% 4.2% -12.9% -6.0% -11.0% -6.0% -13.0% -52.6% -58.1% -62.7% -62.68%
EPS -3.6% -28.5% 24.8% 46.6% 59.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 9.3% 89.2% 9.1% -11.4% -4.9% -10.1% -4.7% -10.4% -51.3% -57.0% -62.3% -62.28%
FCF -2.0% -18.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.7% 6.9% 2.2% 53.7% 49.6% 72.9% 14.5% -0.9% -27.0% -45.0% -17.3% -2.5% 34.1% 63.7% 42.3% 42.32%
EBITDA -1.1% 5.1% 3.1% 2.7% 13.8% 4.6% 1.6% 1.0% 35.6% 18.6% 10.7% 1.1% 1.2% 3.5% 4.8% 4.9% 1.8% -7.1% -10.2% -10.6% -10.58%
Op. Income -1.4% -51.8% 2.6% 2.5% 6.3% 10.4% 2.4% 1.4% 34.0% -11.8% -32.0% -53.3% -68.1% -41.2% -28.0% -2.6% 37.5% -12.9% -15.7% -15.3% -15.30%
OCF Growth snapshot only -9.70%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.90%
Equity Growth snapshot only -5.04%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.02%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.05%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 42.31%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -34.3% -29.5% -23.6% -19.3% -14.9% -11.3% -8.7% -4.1% 8.3% 21.5% 41.1% 60.2% 40.4% 28.7% 20.4% 14.7% 9.4% 6.1% 4.2% 2.5% 2.46%
Revenue 5Y -15.9% -11.3% -7.5% -4.5% -1.4% -0.6% -2.5% -3.7% -5.5% -6.4% -5.5% -5.1% -4.5% -3.4% -2.7% -0.9% 6.1% 13.1% 23.4% 33.2% 33.17%
EPS 3Y -57.2% -27.5% 6.7% 68.2% -9.9% -26.8% -26.80%
EPS 5Y -45.8% -9.3% -0.9% -1.7% -11.5% -12.7% -14.4% -12.3% -5.2% -8.3% 4.8%
Net Income 3Y -58.0% -28.8% 5.2% 64.0% -12.1% -28.5% -28.49%
Net Income 5Y -44.3% -10.8% -2.5% -3.8% -13.6% -14.7% -16.5% -14.3% -7.2% -10.2% 2.6%
EBITDA 3Y -53.5% -38.1% -30.6% -18.3% -12.9% -9.3% -0.5% 25.2% 90.5% 89.6% 44.7% 29.1% 11.8% 4.5% 1.4% -1.7% -1.75%
EBITDA 5Y -33.0% -20.9% -15.0% -6.7% -2.8% -3.5% -3.6% -5.9% -7.9% -7.3% -7.3% -5.6% -4.1% -2.9% 0.9% 15.1% 46.1%
Gross Profit 3Y -58.2% -41.3% -30.4% -24.4% -17.2% -12.7% -9.5% -2.4% 21.3% 59.7% 1.1% 49.2% 27.6% 17.8% 7.8% 2.3% -63.2% -63.23%
Gross Profit 5Y -37.4% -22.5% -14.9% -10.4% -5.1% -3.4% -4.3% -4.4% -6.3% -7.4% -6.6% -6.7% -6.6% -5.5% -4.7% -1.7% 11.4% 30.5%
Op. Income 3Y -54.5% -29.3% -18.8% -0.7% 5.5% 2.8% 7.4% 38.8% 69.5% 81.0% 18.4% 3.4% -16.2% -23.3% -25.5% -27.2% -27.24%
Op. Income 5Y -35.2% -16.3% -8.6% 4.9% 11.3% 11.1% 11.7% 8.6% -1.0% -4.0% -9.5% -16.0% -9.4% -11.8% -10.8% 3.3% 20.0%
FCF 3Y -63.1% -47.9% -30.2% -26.7% -26.7% -18.8% 10.9% 2.6% 96.0% 44.5% 14.1% 13.5% 15.9% 10.4% 10.45%
FCF 5Y -43.1% -28.9% -15.5% -12.0% -9.7% -6.4% -8.3% -9.1% -7.3% -12.4% -12.4% -15.6% -17.8% -12.7% 5.7% 1.1%
OCF 3Y -52.3% -41.9% -22.4% -16.4% -13.6% -6.5% 22.8% 2.9% 88.0% 50.6% 12.6% 3.6% -1.7% -4.2% -4.17%
OCF 5Y -33.5% -24.1% -9.9% -4.7% -0.3% 2.0% -2.5% -3.9% -3.1% -5.5% -2.7% -4.7% -6.4% -4.4% 11.8% 1.2%
Assets 3Y -6.1% -6.1% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.2% -5.2% -5.2% -5.2% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% -1.7% -1.7% -1.7% -1.7% -1.6% -1.6% -1.61%
Assets 5Y 7.1% 7.1% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% -6.0% -6.0% -6.0% -6.0% -3.9% -3.9% -3.9% -3.9% -3.6% -3.6% -3.6% -3.6% -3.3% -3.3% -3.33%
Equity 3Y -9.1% -9.1% -11.6% -11.6% -11.6% -11.6% -9.0% -9.0% -9.0% -9.0% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% -4.3% -1.6% -1.6% -1.6% -1.6% -3.5% -3.5% -3.51%
Book Value 3Y -7.2% -7.2% -9.9% -10.1% -10.0% -9.9% -7.3% -7.7% -7.7% -7.3% -2.4% -2.1% -2.3% -2.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% -1.1% -1.2% -1.23%
Dividend 3Y -44.4% -37.8% -26.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 8.4% 13.7% 22.2% 30.2% 27.0% 25.0% 17.3% 11.9% 11.1% 11.0% 12.4% 21.8% 18.3% 15.1% 15.13%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.25 0.27 0.25 0.22 0.18 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.17 0.13 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.85 0.88 0.79 0.73 0.734
Earnings Stability 0.75 0.80 0.68 0.65 0.68 0.38 0.22 0.16 0.12 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.13 0.21 0.46 0.66 0.69 0.65 0.649
Margin Stability 0.57 0.62 0.34 0.00 0.58 0.63 0.35 0.00 0.60 0.66 0.35 0.00 0.62 0.81 0.89 0.94 0.88 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.96 0.98 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.42 0.96 0.86 0.94 0.88 0.94 0.86 0.29 0.18 0.09 0.087
ROE Trend -0.15 -0.11 -0.07 -0.03 0.02 0.12 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.018
Gross Margin Trend -0.18 -0.04 0.09 0.19 0.14 0.14 0.20 0.26 0.12 0.06 0.03 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.30 -0.27 -0.270
FCF Margin Trend -0.51 -0.26 0.09 0.32 0.21 0.20 0.31 0.49 0.25 0.18 0.13 0.05 0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.041
Sustainable Growth Rate -1.0% 0.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% -0.5% -0.8% -0.7% -1.2% -1.6% -2.2% -4.9% -5.3% -5.4% -5.44%
Internal Growth Rate 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.36 0.17 -0.14 -0.34 -1.16 29.85 6.12 4.25 3.64 4.01 4.41 4.47 5.14 4.30 4.20 4.23 4.53 7.53 8.55 10.23 10.231
FCF/OCF 1.11 1.43 0.46 0.72 0.73 0.67 0.61 0.65 0.74 0.75 0.80 0.68 0.59 0.55 0.52 0.63 0.75 0.88 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 10.231
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.789
CapEx/Revenue 3.2% 4.2% 3.0% 2.5% 4.8% 6.6% 8.4% 7.9% 5.6% 5.6% 5.0% 7.5% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.048
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.038
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.737
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 5.0% 4.6% 5.0% 6.2% 6.7% 6.5% 9.0% 10.3% 13.6% 13.2% 13.2% 6.26%
Dividend/Share $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.20 $0.20 $0.24 $0.28 $0.36 $0.43 $0.48 $0.53 $0.55 $0.57 $0.62 $0.68 $0.73 $0.98 $0.98 $0.98 $0.60
Payout Ratio 4.2% 91.6% 66.1% 73.2% 89.0% 97.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.9% 5.89%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.6% 53.9% 24.0% 21.0% 24.5% 23.8% 27.3% 29.4% 27.4% 37.9% 41.7% 52.7% 63.7% 57.6% 55.5% 65.8% 59.9% 57.6% 57.57%
Total Payout Ratio 11.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.35%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number -0.82 -0.76 -0.61 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.23 0.44 0.79 1.14 0.98 0.87 0.58 0.38 0.34 0.35 0.40 0.81 0.67 0.55 0.555
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 5.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.0% 3.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.1% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 2.9% 1.0% 1.02%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 5.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.0% 3.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.1% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 2.9% 1.0% 1.02%
Total Shareholder Return 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 5.4% 6.1% 6.8% 8.9% 8.6% 10.8% 9.5% 8.6% 9.0% 9.5% 8.6% 13.3% 14.8% 16.9% 16.0% 14.2% 14.20%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.19 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.82 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.948
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.72 3.17 6.12 78.32 -2.51 0.09 0.36 0.46 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.45 0.42 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.36 0.25 0.22 0.19 0.194
EBIT Margin -0.39 -0.18 -0.06 -0.00 0.06 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.099
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.11 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.283
Equity Multiplier 1.95 1.95 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.16 2.16 2.161
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-2.37 $-2.22 $-1.86 $-1.48 $-0.96 $0.05 $0.26 $0.42 $0.49 $0.48 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43 $0.46 $0.45 $0.44 $0.39 $0.22 $0.19 $0.17 $0.17
Book Value/Share $16.26 $16.25 $14.61 $14.60 $14.64 $14.91 $15.06 $15.08 $15.41 $15.57 $15.13 $15.28 $15.16 $15.25 $14.95 $15.14 $15.27 $15.32 $14.55 $14.53 $14.44
Tangible Book/Share $16.26 $16.25 $14.61 $14.60 $14.64 $14.91 $15.06 $15.08 $15.41 $15.57 $15.13 $15.28 $15.16 $15.25 $14.95 $15.14 $15.27 $15.32 $14.55 $14.53 $14.53
Revenue/Share $2.97 $3.89 $4.78 $5.54 $6.38 $7.03 $7.45 $7.90 $8.24 $8.44 $8.59 $8.73 $8.75 $8.87 $8.96 $9.10 $9.14 $9.06 $9.05 $9.12 $9.12
FCF/Share $-0.94 $-0.54 $0.12 $0.36 $0.81 $0.95 $0.98 $1.18 $1.30 $1.47 $1.75 $1.41 $1.31 $1.08 $0.97 $1.18 $1.32 $1.49 $1.64 $1.70 $1.70
OCF/Share $-0.84 $-0.38 $0.26 $0.50 $1.12 $1.41 $1.60 $1.80 $1.77 $1.94 $2.18 $2.07 $2.22 $1.98 $1.87 $1.86 $1.75 $1.69 $1.64 $1.70 $1.70
Cash/Share $5.49 $5.48 $4.05 $4.05 $4.06 $4.14 $3.00 $3.01 $3.07 $3.10 $3.35 $3.38 $3.35 $3.37 $2.68 $2.72 $2.74 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.59
EBITDA/Share $-0.12 $0.32 $0.72 $1.02 $1.54 $1.79 $1.93 $2.12 $2.18 $2.20 $2.22 $2.24 $2.24 $2.31 $2.35 $2.38 $2.35 $2.20 $2.16 $2.15 $2.15
Debt/Share $16.53 $16.52 $15.43 $15.42 $15.46 $15.75 $14.56 $14.58 $14.89 $15.05 $15.18 $15.32 $15.21 $15.29 $15.30 $15.50 $15.64 $15.69 $15.53 $15.51 $15.51
Net Debt/Share $11.04 $11.04 $11.38 $11.37 $11.40 $11.61 $11.56 $11.57 $11.82 $11.95 $11.83 $11.94 $11.85 $11.92 $12.62 $12.78 $12.90 $12.94 $12.78 $12.76 $12.76
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.357
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.188
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 4 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.29 -2.65 -2.10 -2.02 -1.93 -1.75 -2.52 -2.48 -2.44 -2.43 -2.99 -2.96 -2.98 -2.97 -2.65 -2.67 -2.64 -2.60 -3.23 -2.70 -2.700
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.129
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 35.61%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-13.80
EVA snapshot only $-281364246.43
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 42.44 32.59 32.77 32.50 38.82 46.52 48.55 49.39 43.14 47.13 48.07 53.47 50.07 53.43 45.20 44.16 42.52 45.81 41.70 43.31 43.312
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.851
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 50
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 52

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