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SAFT NASDAQ

Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
1W: +3.0% 1M: -2.2% 3M: -5.5% YTD: -2.1% 1Y: -8.9% 3Y: +18.2% 5Y: +4.5%
$72.72
-0.51 (-0.70%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.6%
$67 $69 $71 $73 $75
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 40 · $1.1B mcap · 14M float · 0.609% daily turnover · Short 55% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
35.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 35.0%  ·  5Y Avg: 47.6%
Cost Advantage ★
57
Intangibles
24
Switching Cost
22
Network Effect
29
Scale
53
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SAFT has No discernible competitive edge (35.2/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 35.0% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
3
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SAFT receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-18 B+ B
2026-05-12 B B+
2026-05-06 A- B
2026-04-24 B+ A-
2026-04-21 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-03-04 A- B+
2026-02-27 C A-
2026-02-26 B+ C
2026-01-26 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

45 Grade B
Profitability
15
Balance Sheet
85
Earnings Quality
66
Growth
38
Value
77
Momentum
69
Safety
100
Cash Flow
78
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SAFT scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score
9.76
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.63
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.71
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 93.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.76x
Accruals: -4.7%
The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. SAFT scores 9.76, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SAFT scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SAFT's score of -2.63 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SAFT's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SAFT receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 93.6/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SAFT's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
16.73x
PEG
-1.26x
P/S
0.84x
P/B
1.23x
P/FCF
6.19x
P/OCF
6.04x
EV/EBITDA
3.71x
EV/Revenue
0.27x
EV/EBIT
4.13x
EV/FCF
2.00x
Earnings Yield
5.99%
FCF Yield
16.17%
Shareholder Yield
7.02%
Graham Number
$77.59
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 16.7x earnings, SAFT trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 6.0% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $77.59 per share, suggesting a potential 7% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.782
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.975
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.065
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.535
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.755
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SAFT's ROE of 7.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.535), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
34.25%
Fair P/E
76.99x
Intrinsic Value
$334.75
Price/Value
0.22x
Margin of Safety
78.30%
Premium
-78.30%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SAFT's realized 34.2% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $334.75, SAFT appears undervalued with a 78% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 77.0x compares to the current market P/E of 16.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$72.72
Median 1Y
$71.37
5th Pctile
$47.26
95th Pctile
$108.31
Ann. Volatility
25.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
David F. Brussard
President, CEO and Chairman of the Board
$828,426 $605,000 $3,350,546
William J. Begley,
Jr.
$400,000 $247,500 $1,375,013
George M. Murphy
Vice President
$350,000 $275,000 $1,318,835
James D. Berry
$263,682 $206,250 $1,006,397
Edward N. Patrick,
Jr.
$358,404 $41,250 $892,801

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
568
+3.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$2,207,875
Rev: $1,254,073,000
Profit / Employee
$174,745
NI: $99,255,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 20.3% 17.9% 14.4% 11.3% 8.0% 6.0% 5.4% 3.0% 4.1% 3.6% 2.3% 6.3% 6.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.9% 10.4% 10.7% 11.5% 7.3% 7.33%
ROA 8.4% 7.4% 6.3% 4.9% 3.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 2.7% 2.66%
ROIC -44.2% -40.5% -49.5% -39.9% -26.6% -18.1% -14.8% -5.0% -9.4% -7.4% -8.0% -21.7% -21.6% -31.7% 27.0% 27.7% 32.4% 33.3% 55.1% 35.0% 34.97%
ROCE 10.6% 9.4% 8.2% 6.5% 4.6% 3.4% 3.1% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 1.6% 4.1% 4.1% 6.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.8% 5.0% 5.2% 3.4% 3.37%
Gross Margin 52.6% 44.9% 44.8% 35.9% 36.5% 35.3% 34.9% 21.3% 37.3% 29.6% 33.3% 36.8% 35.4% 37.3% 32.2% 36.5% 38.5% 36.6% 34.1% 21.4% 21.44%
Operating Margin 25.8% 18.2% 18.4% 5.3% 5.6% 4.1% 5.4% -7.2% 9.4% 1.1% 6.1% 9.6% 7.9% 11.3% 3.6% 9.4% 11.7% 11.2% 8.1% -5.7% -5.67%
Net Margin 16.2% 11.5% 14.6% 4.1% 4.4% 3.2% 12.1% -5.8% 7.4% 0.9% 4.8% 7.5% 6.2% 8.9% 2.9% 7.3% 9.2% 8.8% 6.4% -4.5% -4.55%
EBITDA Margin 21.1% 15.2% 19.3% 6.2% 6.6% 5.0% 16.6% -6.3% 10.3% 1.9% 6.9% 10.5% 8.9% 12.2% 4.5% 10.1% 12.4% 11.8% 10.1% -5.5% -5.47%
FCF Margin 15.7% 15.5% 15.0% 12.5% 9.2% 6.5% 5.4% 5.6% 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 4.0% 6.4% 10.0% 11.2% 13.2% 13.3% 14.0% 15.3% 13.4% 13.41%
OCF Margin 16.8% 16.5% 16.0% 13.2% 9.8% 6.9% 5.8% 6.0% 3.7% 4.4% 5.6% 4.5% 6.9% 10.5% 11.6% 13.4% 13.4% 14.0% 15.5% 13.7% 13.73%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.40%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.30%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.73%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 45.16%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.79%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.05%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 96.70%
CROIC snapshot only 94.47%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.97%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.35%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.38%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 5.62 6.51 8.12 11.04 16.77 19.15 23.15 36.48 26.50 28.91 53.95 21.74 20.26 15.32 16.35 15.47 13.49 11.82 11.52 16.71 16.725
P/S Ratio 1.11 1.13 1.20 1.31 1.51 1.32 1.41 1.23 1.13 1.04 1.10 1.14 1.01 1.06 1.04 0.98 0.96 0.84 0.91 0.83 0.841
P/B Ratio 1.09 1.12 1.14 1.22 1.31 1.11 1.33 1.19 1.16 1.11 1.27 1.39 1.28 1.43 1.40 1.35 1.38 1.24 1.28 1.18 1.232
P/FCF 7.05 7.30 7.97 10.51 16.38 20.43 25.94 21.84 32.19 25.06 20.23 28.19 15.83 10.55 9.30 7.41 7.22 6.04 5.96 6.19 6.185
P/OCF 6.57 6.86 7.51 9.95 15.51 19.08 24.32 20.61 30.18 23.76 19.54 25.42 14.74 10.12 8.99 7.34 7.17 6.02 5.88 6.04 6.042
EV/EBITDA -1.27 -1.32 -0.95 -0.69 -0.07 -2.53 0.91 -1.32 -1.44 -2.37 -0.69 1.01 -0.12 1.01 5.91 5.44 4.92 3.86 3.09 3.71 3.706
EV/Revenue -0.33 -0.30 -0.18 -0.11 -0.01 -0.24 0.08 -0.07 -0.09 -0.13 -0.02 0.08 -0.01 0.10 0.53 0.49 0.49 0.38 0.34 0.27 0.269
EV/EBIT -1.31 -1.36 -0.99 -0.73 -0.08 -2.78 1.01 -1.57 -1.65 -2.76 -0.88 1.13 -0.14 1.11 6.53 5.98 5.31 4.13 3.36 4.13 4.127
EV/FCF -2.09 -1.94 -1.23 -0.88 -0.10 -3.78 1.46 -1.24 -2.63 -3.15 -0.44 1.88 -0.14 0.98 4.75 3.67 3.65 2.72 2.25 2.00 2.003
Earnings Yield 17.8% 15.4% 12.3% 9.1% 6.0% 5.2% 4.3% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 1.9% 4.6% 4.9% 6.5% 6.1% 6.5% 7.4% 8.5% 8.7% 6.0% 5.99%
FCF Yield 14.2% 13.7% 12.5% 9.5% 6.1% 4.9% 3.9% 4.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 3.5% 6.3% 9.5% 10.7% 13.5% 13.8% 16.6% 16.8% 16.2% 16.17%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.213
EV/OCF snapshot only 1.957
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.822
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 4.232
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.02%
Graham Number snapshot only $77.59
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 13.58 13.58 13.58 13.58 64.67 64.67 64.67 64.67 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 25.00 25.00 24.999
Quick Ratio 16.16 16.16 16.16 16.16 64.11 64.11 64.11 64.11 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.88 25.00 25.00 24.999
Debt/Equity 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.069
Net Debt/Equity -1.41 -1.41 -1.32 -1.32 -1.32 -1.32 -1.25 -1.25 -1.25 -1.25 -1.29 -1.29 -1.29 -1.29 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -0.80 -0.80 -0.798
Debt/Assets 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.025
Debt/EBITDA 0.27 0.31 0.33 0.42 0.58 0.76 0.87 1.41 1.10 1.22 1.55 0.68 0.67 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.39 0.38 0.44 0.67 0.672
Net Debt/EBITDA -5.55 -6.27 -7.13 -8.98 -12.38 -16.21 -15.25 -24.59 -19.14 -21.19 -32.33 -14.14 -14.09 -9.92 -5.68 -5.55 -4.82 -4.71 -5.10 -7.74 -7.736
Interest Coverage 417.10 368.32 315.69 248.36 175.98 131.02 114.70 57.46 56.64 49.78 30.85 90.38 125.96 189.80 177.55 189.75 137.12 102.63 83.80 40.43 40.429
Equity Multiplier 2.32 2.32 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.43 2.43 2.43 2.43 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.74 2.74 2.74 2.74 2.77 2.77 2.769
Cash Ratio snapshot only 49.095
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 45.030
Cash to Debt snapshot only 12.511
FCF to Debt snapshot only 2.753
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1194.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.41 0.43 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.51 0.52 0.55 0.56 0.53 0.54 0.535
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 2.79 2.78 3.06 2.97 2.78 2.70 2.64 2.71 2.89 3.01 2.72 2.88 2.99 3.18 2.62 2.70 2.82 2.89 3.20 3.24 3.239
Payables Turnover 4.72 4.97 5.32 5.46 5.49 5.54 5.75 6.26 6.62 7.04 7.76 7.78 8.13 8.41 8.12 8.37 8.61 8.87 8.30 8.90 8.900
DSO 131 131 119 123 131 135 138 135 126 121 134 127 122 115 139 135 130 126 114 113 112.7 days
DIO 0 0 -118 -115 -114 -113 -106 -97 -92 -86 -252 -251 -241 -233 -229 -223 -216 -210 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 77 73 69 67 67 66 63 58 55 52 47 47 45 43 45 44 42 41 44 41 41.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 54 58 -67 -59 -50 -44 -31 -20 -20 -17 -165 -171 -163 -161 -135 -131 -129 -125 70 72 71.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 107.027
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.640
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.947
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 7.3% 8.6% 9.8% 1.2% -7.6% -10.3% -13.7% -8.8% 3.8% 11.5% 21.2% 24.9% 21.8% 24.4% 19.8% 16.6% 17.0% 13.0% 13.0% 11.1% 11.09%
Net Income 1.0% 33.8% -5.4% -42.0% -57.7% -64.4% -64.4% -74.2% -51.1% -42.1% -59.5% 94.4% 43.5% 1.4% 2.7% 41.5% 66.6% 16.6% 40.3% -13.1% -13.12%
EPS 1.1% 33.3% -5.9% -41.3% -56.6% -63.5% -63.8% -74.1% -51.2% -42.0% -59.4% 94.2% 43.5% 1.4% 2.7% 41.0% 65.9% 17.3% 40.8% -11.6% -11.64%
FCF 22.5% 25.8% 33.8% -23.5% -45.6% -62.6% -68.8% -59.0% -60.7% -28.7% 21.2% -10.3% 1.2% 2.0% 1.5% 2.8% 1.4% 57.1% 54.4% 12.5% 12.49%
EBITDA 1.0% 33.3% -6.0% -41.0% -56.1% -62.1% -61.1% -69.7% -46.3% -36.5% -51.8% 77.9% 39.0% 1.2% 2.1% 38.8% 59.3% 14.7% 39.8% -9.9% -9.87%
Op. Income 1.4% 70.7% 31.7% -24.1% -51.2% -63.6% -79.1% -91.1% -75.0% -71.2% -36.9% 3.9% 1.6% 3.9% 2.7% 41.6% 66.0% 16.6% 41.0% -12.9% -12.86%
OCF Growth snapshot only 13.92%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.86%
Equity Growth snapshot only 7.71%
Debt Growth snapshot only 35.27%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.67%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.15%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 0.4% -2.0% -3.2% -4.6% -2.2% 0.9% 2.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 13.9% 16.2% 18.0% 17.4% 17.40%
Revenue 5Y 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 0.6% -0.9% -1.4% -2.0% -1.4% -0.1% 0.6% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 6.4% 8.0% 8.8% 9.2% 8.3% 8.35%
EPS 3Y 38.5% 26.3% 17.1% 0.8% -9.8% -14.4% -21.3% -25.9% -24.2% -34.4% -48.3% -33.5% -32.8% -20.6% -18.1% -10.9% 5.1% 17.2% 28.8% 34.2% 34.25%
EPS 5Y 24.9% 19.2% 15.4% 10.4% 3.2% -2.5% -5.1% -14.4% -10.9% -15.7% -25.1% -12.5% -12.4% -2.9% -5.8% 2.2% 0.8% -4.8% -6.2% -18.2% -18.17%
Net Income 3Y 38.1% 25.8% 16.3% -0.5% -11.0% -15.6% -22.4% -26.9% -25.0% -34.9% -48.5% -33.7% -33.3% -21.0% -18.5% -10.8% 5.3% 17.4% 28.7% 33.7% 33.68%
Net Income 5Y 25.0% 19.2% 15.1% 9.9% 2.7% -3.1% -5.7% -15.0% -11.5% -16.3% -25.7% -13.2% -13.2% -3.6% -6.6% 1.4% 0.1% -5.1% -6.4% -18.6% -18.60%
EBITDA 3Y 36.1% 25.7% 16.1% 0.4% -9.7% -13.6% -19.8% -23.0% -22.0% -31.6% -43.9% -31.7% -31.1% -19.3% -16.5% -9.2% 6.0% 16.8% 27.9% 30.6% 30.56%
EBITDA 5Y 18.4% 15.1% 11.5% 7.2% 0.9% -5.0% -6.2% -13.7% -9.9% -13.7% -21.8% -11.4% -11.3% -2.2% -5.0% 2.4% 1.0% -4.3% -5.2% -16.8% -16.82%
Gross Profit 3Y 11.3% 8.1% 6.6% 1.0% -4.1% -5.8% -9.9% -9.3% -7.5% -9.8% -10.9% -9.6% -8.9% -3.7% -2.5% 1.5% 9.4% 13.7% 18.8% 18.6% 18.64%
Gross Profit 5Y 8.3% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% -0.8% -2.6% -4.3% -5.4% -4.1% -4.8% -4.1% -2.2% -1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 4.0% 4.9% 3.8% 2.6% -1.8% -1.82%
Op. Income 3Y 32.4% 23.0% 19.1% 4.3% -8.7% -16.3% -33.1% -46.3% -33.8% -43.7% -44.2% -30.8% -31.7% -20.1% -21.4% -14.9% 2.7% 17.8% 48.4% 82.3% 82.28%
Op. Income 5Y 18.5% 12.9% 12.2% 7.6% -0.9% -7.1% -16.1% -30.9% -22.3% -27.9% -25.9% -13.1% -13.0% -3.9% -7.0% 1.5% 4.8% 0.3% -2.0% -16.4% -16.41%
FCF 3Y 17.2% 7.0% 4.6% -0.7% -10.7% -20.3% -26.1% -18.2% -36.0% -30.5% -20.3% -34.5% -21.9% -7.0% -2.3% 12.1% 28.7% 50.0% 66.6% 56.9% 56.90%
FCF 5Y 10.3% 5.1% 7.2% 2.8% -1.6% -5.4% -11.4% -9.7% -19.2% -20.1% -15.5% -18.5% -9.0% 1.7% 3.9% 13.5% 7.3% 9.7% 14.0% 3.9% 3.90%
OCF 3Y 18.1% 5.6% 3.5% -2.3% -12.4% -20.3% -26.7% -20.2% -36.9% -31.6% -21.9% -33.7% -21.9% -7.7% -3.1% 10.4% 26.7% 46.8% 63.7% 55.1% 55.10%
OCF 5Y 10.7% 5.6% 7.4% 3.1% -1.8% -5.8% -11.6% -10.0% -18.9% -20.8% -16.4% -18.5% -9.7% 1.2% 2.7% 10.7% 5.1% 7.6% 12.2% 3.0% 2.98%
Assets 3Y 4.4% 4.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% -0.8% -0.8% -0.8% -0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 7.8% 7.8% 7.80%
Assets 5Y 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 3.76%
Equity 3Y 8.1% 8.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -3.1% -3.1% -3.1% -3.1% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 3.19%
Book Value 3Y 8.4% 8.5% 9.7% 10.3% 10.4% 10.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 0.9% -2.7% -2.7% -2.3% -2.7% -3.2% -3.7% -3.9% -3.8% 3.3% 3.6% 3.63%
Dividend 3Y -0.5% -0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% -0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.80%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.39 0.12 0.16 0.65 0.07 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.02 0.00 0.09 0.15 0.24 0.31 0.30 0.55 0.70 0.76 0.78 0.76 0.762
Earnings Stability 0.70 0.89 0.89 0.38 0.20 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.31 0.22 0.32 0.27 0.44 0.19 0.20 0.23 0.21 0.41 0.412
Margin Stability 0.87 0.90 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.86 0.89 0.85 0.81 0.76 0.759
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.86 0.98 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.93 0.84 0.95 0.948
Earnings Smoothness 0.32 0.71 0.94 0.47 0.19 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.31 0.47 0.15 0.36 0.64 0.18 0.00 0.66 0.50 0.85 0.66 0.86 0.860
ROE Trend 0.07 0.04 0.00 -0.03 -0.07 -0.10 -0.09 -0.12 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.01 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.06 -0.01 -0.005
Gross Margin Trend 0.10 0.06 0.02 -0.02 -0.06 -0.09 -0.13 -0.18 -0.14 -0.13 -0.11 -0.04 -0.03 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.02 -0.022
FCF Margin Trend 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.048
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.9% 11.5% 8.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.1% -0.7% -3.1% -2.0% -2.5% -4.3% -0.2% -0.3% 2.7% 2.1% 2.4% 3.9% 4.1% 5.3% 1.1% 1.06%
Internal Growth Rate 6.1% 5.0% 3.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.39%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.86 0.95 1.08 1.11 1.08 1.00 0.95 1.77 0.88 1.22 2.76 0.86 1.37 1.51 1.82 2.11 1.88 1.96 1.96 2.76 2.765
FCF/OCF 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.90 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.977
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.701
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.894
CapEx/Revenue 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.32%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.427
Accruals Ratio 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.047
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.156
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.010
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 5.6% 5.5% 5.1% 4.8% 4.4% 5.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 5.2% 4.8% 5.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.7% 5.2% 4.7% 5.1% 5.03%
Dividend/Share $3.58 $3.58 $3.62 $3.65 $3.64 $3.62 $3.61 $3.62 $3.61 $3.63 $3.63 $3.62 $3.61 $3.58 $3.62 $3.61 $3.61 $3.63 $3.67 $3.72 $3.66
Payout Ratio 31.5% 35.6% 41.3% 52.5% 73.7% 98.7% 1.1% 2.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 71.2% 75.4% 73.4% 62.8% 61.5% 54.3% 85.5% 85.49%
FCF Payout Ratio 39.5% 39.9% 40.6% 49.9% 71.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.3% 81.7% 49.0% 42.9% 35.2% 33.6% 31.4% 28.1% 31.6% 31.65%
Total Payout Ratio 41.9% 35.6% 50.2% 78.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 3.1% 1.1% 1.0% 71.2% 75.4% 73.4% 62.8% 61.5% 74.4% 1.2% 1.17%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Chowder Number 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.063
Buyback Yield 1.9% 0.0% 1.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.90%
Net Buyback Yield 1.9% 0.0% 1.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.90%
Total Shareholder Return 7.4% 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 7.7% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 5.7% 5.2% 5.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 7.0% 7.02%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.782
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.975
EBIT Margin 0.25 0.22 0.19 0.15 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.07 0.06 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.07 0.065
Asset Turnover 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.41 0.43 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.51 0.52 0.55 0.56 0.53 0.54 0.535
Equity Multiplier 2.41 2.41 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.76 2.76 2.755
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $11.38 $10.05 $8.75 $6.95 $4.94 $3.67 $3.17 $1.80 $2.41 $2.13 $1.29 $3.49 $3.46 $5.04 $4.80 $4.92 $5.74 $5.91 $6.76 $4.35 $4.35
Book Value/Share $58.67 $58.67 $62.08 $62.95 $63.06 $63.02 $55.23 $55.30 $55.16 $55.31 $54.79 $54.72 $54.63 $54.10 $56.27 $56.19 $56.05 $56.10 $60.81 $61.55 $59.02
Tangible Book/Share $58.67 $58.67 $-38.03 $-38.56 $-38.63 $-38.60 $53.53 $53.60 $53.47 $53.61 $53.11 $53.05 $52.96 $52.45 $54.59 $54.50 $54.37 $54.42 $59.18 $59.90 $59.90
Revenue/Share $57.81 $57.72 $59.29 $58.41 $54.77 $53.06 $51.98 $53.43 $56.78 $59.30 $63.08 $66.68 $69.18 $72.86 $75.38 $77.50 $80.60 $82.84 $85.46 $87.56 $87.56
FCF/Share $9.07 $8.97 $8.92 $7.30 $5.06 $3.44 $2.83 $3.00 $1.98 $2.46 $3.43 $2.69 $4.43 $7.31 $8.44 $10.27 $10.73 $11.57 $13.08 $11.74 $11.74
OCF/Share $9.74 $9.54 $9.47 $7.71 $5.34 $3.68 $3.01 $3.18 $2.12 $2.59 $3.55 $2.99 $4.76 $7.62 $8.74 $10.38 $10.81 $11.60 $13.25 $12.02 $12.02
Cash/Share $86.93 $86.93 $85.84 $87.04 $87.19 $87.13 $73.15 $73.25 $73.06 $73.25 $74.28 $74.19 $74.06 $73.35 $41.59 $41.53 $41.43 $41.46 $52.74 $53.38 $51.96
EBITDA/Share $14.95 $13.23 $11.50 $9.26 $6.73 $5.14 $4.54 $2.82 $3.61 $3.27 $2.19 $5.01 $5.02 $7.06 $6.78 $6.93 $7.96 $8.15 $9.51 $6.35 $6.35
Debt/Share $4.05 $4.05 $3.82 $3.88 $3.88 $3.88 $3.97 $3.97 $3.96 $3.97 $3.39 $3.39 $3.38 $3.35 $3.11 $3.10 $3.09 $3.10 $4.22 $4.27 $4.27
Net Debt/Share $-82.88 $-82.88 $-82.01 $-83.16 $-83.30 $-83.25 $-69.18 $-69.27 $-69.10 $-69.28 $-70.89 $-70.80 $-70.68 $-70.00 $-38.49 $-38.43 $-38.33 $-38.37 $-48.52 $-49.11 $-49.11
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-I Score 9.757
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.043
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 7 7 8 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.44 -2.42 -2.72 -2.63 -2.52 -2.65 -2.44 -2.29 -2.56 -2.50 -0.32 -0.48 -0.30 -0.46 -2.36 -2.42 -2.46 -2.43 -2.98 -2.63 -2.627
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.712
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 21.18%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-81.71
EVA snapshot only $45011400.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 95.27 95.12 95.50 95.27 95.97 95.26 95.75 93.55 93.43 94.08 94.10 95.53 95.04 94.94 95.07 95.46 94.74 94.62 93.92 93.62 93.621
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.837
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 77
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 96

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