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SBT NASDAQ

Sterling Bancorp, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.2% 3M: +4.3% 1Y: +0.2% 3Y: -31.6% 5Y: +24.1%
$4.84
Last traded 2025-04-14 — delisted
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · $253.1M mcap · 28M float · 0.145% daily turnover · Short 37% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: -0.0%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
32
Switching Cost
35
Network Effect
44
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SBT has No discernible competitive edge (34.6/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. Negative ROIC of -0.0% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-03-20 Piper Sandler Nicholas Cucharale Initiated $6 +3.3% $5.81

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

7 Grade D
Profitability
19
Balance Sheet
62
Earnings Quality
57
Growth
40
Value
46
Momentum
0
Safety
100
Cash Flow
18
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SBT scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Momentum (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
4.38
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
Beneish M-Score
-1.98
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.21
Bankruptcy prob: 0.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 70.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -0.99x
Accruals: 0.2%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. SBT scores 4.38, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SBT scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SBT's score of -1.98 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SBT's implied 0.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SBT receives an estimated rating of A (score: 70.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SBT's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
115.39x
PEG
-1.60x
P/S
1.87x
P/B
0.74x
P/FCF
-110.58x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
-173.69x
EV/Revenue
-6.50x
EV/EBIT
-175.76x
EV/FCF
339.91x
Earnings Yield
0.87%
FCF Yield
-0.90%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$2.47
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 115.4x earnings, SBT is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2.47 per share, 96% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.503
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.994
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.037
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.048
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.334
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SBT's ROE of 0.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.33x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.50 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.35
Price/Value
13.45x
Margin of Safety
-1244.76%
Premium
1244.76%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SBT's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. SBT trades at a 1245% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.35, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 115.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4.84
Median 1Y
$3.74
5th Pctile
$1.70
95th Pctile
$8.23
Ann. Volatility
48.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 10.7% 7.7% 3.6% -3.8% -1.9% -2.0% 0.8% 5.8% 6.7% 5.3% 2.7% -4.3% -6.1% -4.7% -4.9% 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.65%
ROA 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% -0.4% -0.2% -0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% -0.5% -0.8% -0.6% -0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.09%
ROIC -5.6% -7.9% -11.8% -3.6% -4.3% -3.9% -4.8% 23.4% 22.9% 24.8% 17.5% -12.2% -12.2% -6.0% -4.2% -5.3% -4.1% -3.9% -3.6% -0.0% -0.00%
ROCE 1.6% 0.8% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.18%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 52.7% 52.67%
Operating Margin 22.1% 55.2% 41.2% -24.9% 49.8% 52.6% 79.7% 44.5% 49.4% 1.3% 37.7% 0.0% 60.4% 20.2% 3.8% 93.1% -0.1% 6.5% 5.2% -8.6% -8.64%
Net Margin -13.8% 10.1% -0.4% -45.4% 9.8% 11.0% 41.1% 19.0% 23.2% -11.3% 6.1% -98.2% -2.8% 14.0% 1.9% 15.4% -0.6% 3.8% -1.0% 3.4% 3.45%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 59.3% 47.1% 35.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 22.1% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 6.2% 6.24%
FCF Margin 37.0% 36.5% 12.0% 3.7% 2.6% -4.4% 4.4% 30.9% 36.7% 33.3% 23.0% 2.4% -3.8% -4.4% -42.1% -29.6% -25.3% -22.5% 1.2% -1.9% -1.91%
OCF Margin 37.8% 37.2% 12.6% 4.5% 4.1% -2.2% 7.2% 32.2% 37.1% 32.9% 22.0% 2.9% -3.1% -3.8% -41.5% -29.1% -25.0% -22.2% 1.3% -1.8% -1.84%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.55%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -0.01%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.06%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.00%
Cash ROA snapshot only -0.09%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.00%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.68%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 38.09%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 2.80%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 5.75 6.69 11.84 -17.45 -42.73 -32.95 94.14 15.03 16.13 16.49 33.75 -21.63 -14.31 -18.25 -18.54 39.84 33.99 41.34 38.47 114.30 115.390
P/S Ratio 1.68 1.45 1.29 2.06 2.70 2.29 2.70 3.03 3.78 3.16 3.52 3.83 3.79 3.75 4.19 3.46 2.60 2.29 2.02 2.12 1.873
P/B Ratio 0.59 0.50 0.42 0.71 0.88 0.71 0.81 0.85 1.05 0.84 0.90 0.98 0.91 0.89 0.95 0.90 0.80 0.82 0.71 0.73 0.739
P/FCF 4.54 3.97 10.73 56.25 105.65 -51.76 62.08 9.78 10.30 9.50 15.31 160.12 -100.89 -85.46 -9.95 -11.67 -10.25 -10.20 175.33 -110.58 -110.581
P/OCF 4.44 3.90 10.21 45.76 65.76 37.44 9.41 10.21 9.62 15.97 131.29 150.08
EV/EBITDA 11.40 20.66 -46.89 4.33 5.34 3.24 6.39 -36.61 -80.04 -60.45 -129.08 -135.73 -209.53 -315.94 -173.69 -173.690
EV/Revenue 3.53 3.36 3.30 -6.18 -5.97 -6.82 -6.74 1.16 1.90 1.20 1.46 -3.63 -4.14 -4.32 -4.21 -7.49 -6.66 -5.69 -6.12 -6.50 -6.503
EV/EBIT 12.00 22.76 -223.71 423.10 385.74 419.05 -53.94 4.64 5.63 3.42 6.93 -45.43 207.83 -125.46 -84.51 -176.51 -181.80 -332.21 -332.54 -175.76 -175.763
EV/FCF 9.53 9.20 27.55 -169.11 -233.41 154.25 -154.93 3.76 5.17 3.61 6.37 -151.65 110.30 98.44 9.99 25.26 26.27 25.29 -530.06 339.91 339.914
Earnings Yield 17.4% 14.9% 8.4% -5.7% -2.3% -3.0% 1.1% 6.7% 6.2% 6.1% 3.0% -4.6% -7.0% -5.5% -5.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.87%
FCF Yield 22.0% 25.2% 9.3% 1.8% 0.9% -1.9% 1.6% 10.2% 9.7% 10.5% 6.5% 0.6% -1.0% -1.2% -10.1% -8.6% -9.8% -9.8% 0.6% -0.9% -0.90%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.735
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -7.545
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $2.47
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 46.08 46.08 46.08 46.08 87.65 87.650
Quick Ratio 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 46.08 46.08 46.08 46.08 87.65 87.650
Debt/Equity 0.87 0.87 0.87 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.03 0.035
Net Debt/Equity 0.65 0.65 0.65 -2.84 -2.84 -2.84 -2.84 -0.52 -0.52 -0.52 -0.52 -1.91 -1.91 -1.91 -1.91 -2.85 -2.85 -2.85 -2.85 -2.98 -2.981
Debt/Assets 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.005
Debt/EBITDA 7.97 15.68 29.26 9.13 6.98 6.98 11.83 16.53 32.84 26.50 12.63 12.63 19.67 28.13 2.68 2.680
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.97 11.75 -65.68 -6.93 -5.29 -5.29 -8.98 -75.27 -149.53 -120.67 -188.70 -188.70 -294.01 -420.44 -230.19 -230.195
Interest Coverage 0.70 0.35 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0.38 0.94 1.57 1.92 1.10 0.30 -0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.11 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.071
Equity Multiplier 8.99 8.99 8.99 12.25 12.25 12.25 12.25 8.44 8.44 8.44 8.44 7.82 7.82 7.82 7.82 7.37 7.37 7.37 7.37 7.30 7.296
Cash Ratio snapshot only 86.908
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.071
Cash to Debt snapshot only 86.908
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.191
Defensive Interval snapshot only 9330.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.048
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 9.36 9.03 8.57 8.91 8.47 8.06 7.77 10.23 10.12 9.71 9.28 10.33 9.72 9.53 9.17 10.45 12.36 14.34 14.05 13.51 13.511
Payables Turnover
DSO 39 40 43 41 43 45 47 36 36 38 39 35 38 38 40 35 30 25 26 27 27.0 days
DIO 0 0.0 days
DPO 0
Cash Conversion Cycle 27
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 7.640
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.115
Capital Intensity snapshot only 21.091
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue -10.3% -11.3% -14.7% -16.9% -17.9% -19.1% -17.7% -13.2% -9.6% -8.8% -9.8% -16.1% -20.3% -18.5% -17.8% 6.5% 33.8% 58.3% 61.2% 35.3% 35.32%
Net Income -41.3% -56.2% -78.5% -1.2% -1.2% -1.3% -78.3% 2.5% 4.4% 3.5% 2.3% -1.7% -1.9% -1.9% -2.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% -71.2% -71.16%
EPS -38.1% -54.7% -78.3% -1.2% -1.2% -1.3% -78.4% 2.5% 4.3% 3.5% 2.3% -1.7% -1.9% -1.9% -2.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% -71.2% -71.25%
FCF -22.7% -29.0% -80.7% -94.2% -94.3% -1.1% -70.1% 6.4% 12.0% 7.9% 3.8% -93.5% -1.1% -1.1% -2.5% -14.2% -8.0% -7.1% 1.0% 91.3% 91.27%
EBITDA -41.9% -68.9% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% 43.7% -69.1% -1.0% -88.1% -75.0% -37.6% -20.5% -55.1% -12.7% -12.68%
Op. Income -80.0% -1.6% -2.6% 2.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 66.1% 1.3% 53.1% -18.0% -17.7% -67.5% -72.7% 3.6% -20.4% 54.1% 1.2% -1.0% -1.00%
OCF Growth snapshot only 91.46%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.85%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.90%
Debt Growth snapshot only -81.47%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.31%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 54.7% 17.8% -0.2% -10.8% -12.4% -12.7% -13.2% -14.1% -15.4% -16.0% -15.6% -15.2% -8.1% -1.2% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.52%
Revenue 5Y 21.9% 3.3% -5.9% -12.0% -9.7% -6.6% -3.3% -3.5% -2.7% -2.70%
EPS 3Y -62.3% -31.7% -28.5% -33.6% -46.5% 29.2% -52.3% -52.25%
EPS 5Y -34.5% -33.9% -36.0% -36.8% -48.4% -48.40%
Net Income 3Y -62.9% -32.8% -29.5% -34.1% -46.5% 29.9% -51.9% -51.93%
Net Income 5Y -34.9% -34.4% -36.1% -36.6% -48.1% -48.13%
EBITDA 3Y -41.2% -27.7% -20.9% -19.5% -31.6% -49.6% -41.6% -45.6% -44.8% -44.79%
EBITDA 5Y -38.5% -40.8% -40.8% -40.8% -45.2% -48.6% -41.3% -41.28%
Gross Profit 3Y 54.7% 17.8% -0.2% -10.8% -12.4% -12.7% -13.2% -14.1% -15.4% -16.0% -15.6% -15.2% -8.1% -1.2% 5.6% 6.1% 1.4% 1.38%
Gross Profit 5Y 21.9% 3.3% -5.9% -12.0% -9.7% -6.6% -3.3% -3.5% -5.5% -5.54%
Op. Income 3Y 19.7% 2.8% 5.2% -2.5%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y -38.7% -57.1% -19.5% -17.1% -21.9% -35.0% -69.9% -31.8%
FCF 5Y -55.1%
OCF 3Y -31.3% -50.3% -20.2% -18.4% -23.3% -36.5% -68.0% -39.3%
OCF 5Y -53.9%
Assets 3Y 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -9.0% -9.0% -9.0% -9.0% -14.9% -14.9% -14.9% -14.9% -5.4% -5.35%
Assets 5Y -3.8% -3.8% -3.8% -3.8% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.4% -5.5% -5.54%
Equity 3Y 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% -4.6% -4.6% -4.6% -4.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% -0.6% -0.63%
Book Value 3Y 4.8% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 2.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% -4.9% -5.0% -5.2% -5.4% -0.0% 0.2% -0.0% 0.3% -1.3% -1.30%
Dividend 3Y -37.8%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.59 0.35 0.68 0.34 0.17 0.01 0.87 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.17 0.01 0.41 0.98 0.92 0.64 0.29 0.29 0.20 0.198
Earnings Stability 0.13 0.11 0.66 0.05 0.25 0.60 0.82 0.06 0.19 0.48 0.75 0.24 0.46 0.66 0.84 0.54 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.25 0.250
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.94 0.936
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.48 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.17 -0.15 -0.10 -0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.05 -0.09 -0.06 -0.07 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.018
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.14 -0.138
FCF Margin Trend 0.06 0.00 -0.34 -0.43 -0.37 -0.46 -0.28 0.03 0.17 0.17 0.15 -0.15 -0.23 -0.19 -0.56 -0.46 -0.42 -0.37 0.11 0.12 0.117
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.1% 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 5.8% 6.7% 5.3% 2.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.65%
Internal Growth Rate 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.09%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.29 1.72 1.16 -0.38 -0.65 0.31 2.51 1.60 1.58 1.71 2.11 -0.16 0.12 0.18 1.84 -3.35 -3.27 -4.01 0.26 -0.99 -0.993
FCF/OCF 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.81 0.62 2.04 0.60 0.96 0.99 1.01 1.04 0.82 1.21 1.17 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01 0.86 1.04 1.041
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.034
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.491
CapEx/Revenue 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.08%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.113
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.002
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.001
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -24.114
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.04 $0.03 $0.02 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 5.4% 5.6% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 4.3% 3.3% 7.1% 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Payout Ratio 56.1% 38.9% 45.0% 3.3% 8.2% 7.1% 9.0% 17.4% 3.3% 5.0% 9.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.04 -0.28 -0.51 -0.75
Buyback Yield 8.8% 5.0% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 54.2% 43.8% 54.6% 51.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 8.8% 5.0% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.6% -0.5% 53.3% 42.3% 52.3% 49.2% -1.7% -0.9% 0.1% 0.1% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.8% -0.2% -0.20%
Total Shareholder Return 9.8% 5.8% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0% -0.6% -0.5% 53.3% 42.3% 52.3% 49.2% -1.7% -0.9% 0.1% 0.1% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.8% -0.2% -0.20%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.75 0.76 0.84 0.69 0.67 0.69 0.78 0.71 0.70 0.60 0.51 1.88 1.27 1.16 1.11 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.65 0.50 0.503
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.33 1.92 -8.80 11.74 6.10 6.14 0.30 1.14 1.00 0.91 0.96 -1.18 10.43 -5.15 -4.08 2.92 2.93 4.55 4.37 0.99 0.994
EBIT Margin 0.29 0.15 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.12 0.25 0.34 0.35 0.21 0.08 -0.02 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.037
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.048
Equity Multiplier 9.26 9.26 9.26 10.52 10.52 10.52 10.52 10.28 10.28 10.28 10.28 8.14 8.14 8.14 8.14 7.59 7.59 7.59 7.59 7.33 7.334
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.75 $0.54 $0.25 $-0.26 $-0.13 $-0.14 $0.05 $0.38 $0.44 $0.35 $0.18 $-0.28 $-0.40 $-0.30 $-0.31 $0.14 $0.15 $0.13 $0.12 $0.04 $0.04
Book Value/Share $7.23 $7.23 $7.23 $6.41 $6.40 $6.38 $6.36 $6.76 $6.75 $6.76 $6.73 $6.20 $6.20 $6.16 $6.12 $6.40 $6.45 $6.38 $6.42 $6.50 $6.55
Tangible Book/Share $7.03 $7.03 $7.03 $6.30 $6.29 $6.27 $6.25 $6.71 $6.70 $6.70 $6.68 $6.17 $6.16 $6.12 $6.09 $6.37 $6.42 $6.35 $6.39 $6.48 $6.48
Revenue/Share $2.56 $2.47 $2.34 $2.21 $2.10 $1.99 $1.91 $1.90 $1.88 $1.80 $1.71 $1.59 $1.50 $1.46 $1.39 $1.67 $1.99 $2.28 $2.25 $2.25 $2.65
FCF/Share $0.95 $0.90 $0.28 $0.08 $0.05 $-0.09 $0.08 $0.59 $0.69 $0.60 $0.39 $0.04 $-0.06 $-0.06 $-0.59 $-0.49 $-0.50 $-0.51 $0.03 $-0.04 $-0.04
OCF/Share $0.97 $0.92 $0.29 $0.10 $0.09 $-0.04 $0.14 $0.61 $0.70 $0.59 $0.38 $0.05 $-0.05 $-0.05 $-0.58 $-0.49 $-0.50 $-0.51 $0.03 $-0.04 $-0.04
Cash/Share $1.58 $1.58 $1.58 $26.29 $26.26 $26.18 $26.07 $8.21 $8.19 $8.19 $8.16 $14.46 $14.45 $14.36 $14.27 $19.48 $19.61 $19.42 $19.53 $19.62 $19.76
EBITDA/Share $0.79 $0.40 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.27 $0.51 $0.67 $0.67 $0.39 $0.16 $0.00 $0.08 $0.10 $0.10 $0.10 $0.06 $0.04 $0.08 $0.08
Debt/Share $6.30 $6.30 $6.30 $8.10 $8.09 $8.07 $8.03 $4.67 $4.66 $4.66 $4.64 $2.60 $2.60 $2.58 $2.57 $1.22 $1.23 $1.22 $1.22 $0.23 $0.23
Net Debt/Share $4.72 $4.72 $4.72 $-18.19 $-18.16 $-18.11 $-18.04 $-3.54 $-3.53 $-3.53 $-3.52 $-11.86 $-11.85 $-11.77 $-11.70 $-18.26 $-18.38 $-18.20 $-18.31 $-19.39 $-19.39
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman-B Score 4.382
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.164
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 5 5 4 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 2 2 1 3 3 3 5 3 3
Beneish M-Score 4.93 4.91 4.91 -2.86 -2.83 -2.82 -2.65 -2.78 -2.82 -2.76 -3.25 -2.59 -2.61 -2.74 -2.56 -2.09 -2.05 -2.03 -2.45 -1.98 -1.980
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.214
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 0.42%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-21.17
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 60.78 52.07 37.70 38.97 41.28 35.94 46.06 57.94 61.97 58.10 47.44 58.59 52.74 53.04 53.35 62.95 63.40 61.38 63.27 70.90 70.901
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only 7.950
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 76
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 59

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