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SCVL NASDAQ

Shoe Carnival, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +3.4% 3M: -11.4% YTD: -10.1% 1Y: -23.6% 3Y: -38.6% 5Y: -49.5%
$15.61
Last traded 2026-08-05 — delisted
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail · $423.8M mcap · 18M float · 2.73% daily turnover · Short 29% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
35.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 2.4%  ·  5Y Avg: 11.0%
Cost Advantage
43
Intangibles
23
Switching Cost
44
Network Effect
19
Scale ★
50
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SCVL has No discernible competitive edge (35.7/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 2.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$22
Avg Target
$22
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 9Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$22.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-26 Williams Trading Sam Poser $42 $22 -20 +12.1% $19.62
2025-05-28 Seaport Global — $50 $24 -26 +25.7% $19.09
2024-08-27 Seaport Global Mitch Kummetz $42 $50 +8 +15.1% $43.42
2024-05-24 Seaport Global Mitch Kummetz Initiated $42 — +15.7% $36.29
2024-05-23 Williams Trading Sam Poser $40 $42 +2 +15.7% $36.29
2024-03-21 Williams Trading Sam Poser Initiated $40 — +12.2% $35.64

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 43 Grade B
Profitability
18
Balance Sheet
71
Earnings Quality
86
Growth
17
Value
69
Momentum
53
Safety
65
Cash Flow
62
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SCVL scores highest in Earnings Quality (86/100) and lowest in Growth (17/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.95
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.93
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.01
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 69.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 4.18x
Accruals: -6.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SCVL scores 2.95, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SCVL scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SCVL's score of -2.93 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SCVL's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SCVL receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 69.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SCVL's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.54x
PEG
-0.29x
P/S
0.38x
P/B
0.63x
P/FCF
6.24x
P/OCF
4.08x
EV/EBITDA
12.94x
EV/Revenue
0.58x
EV/EBIT
23.89x
EV/FCF
9.59x
Earnings Yield
5.86%
FCF Yield
16.03%
Shareholder Yield
5.99%
Graham Number
$22.28
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.5x earnings, SCVL trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.9% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $22.28 per share, suggesting a potential 43% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.696
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.308
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.024
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.948
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.731
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SCVL's ROE of 3.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.948), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$7.57
Price/Value
2.01x
Margin of Safety
-100.75%
Premium
100.75%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SCVL's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SCVL trades at a 101% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $7.57, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$15.61
Median 1Y
$14.08
5th Pctile
$5.73
95th Pctile
$34.63
Ann. Volatility
54.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 38.5% 40.6% 34.4% 28.2% 23.2% 22.5% 20.1% 17.4% 14.8% 13.2% 13.1% 13.2% 12.4% 12.0% 10.5% 9.7% 8.8% 7.8% 5.6% 3.6% 3.61%
ROA 20.1% 21.3% 17.2% 14.5% 12.4% 12.2% 10.8% 9.2% 8.0% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 6.8% 5.9% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 3.2% 2.1% 2.09%
ROIC 30.5% 27.4% 22.9% 17.6% 21.3% 13.6% 11.9% 10.2% 9.1% 8.6% 8.0% 8.4% 7.8% 7.7% 6.6% 6.1% 5.6% 5.3% 3.8% 2.4% 2.41%
ROCE 30.5% 31.5% 28.0% 22.7% 18.2% 17.7% 15.9% 13.5% 11.5% 10.4% 10.3% 10.7% 10.1% 9.8% 8.8% 8.2% 7.5% 6.8% 5.2% 2.6% 2.61%
Gross Margin 40.4% 37.3% 35.5% 36.2% 38.3% 38.3% 35.0% 35.8% 36.8% 35.6% 35.6% 36.1% 36.0% 34.9% 34.5% 38.8% 37.6% 34.9% 33.3% 31.9% 31.87%
Operating Margin 17.5% 8.9% 11.1% 12.4% 12.8% 9.9% 7.4% 8.4% 8.7% 7.1% 7.5% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 4.3% 8.2% 6.3% 4.3% -2.2% 2.7% 2.68%
Net Margin 13.1% 6.6% 8.5% 9.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.9% 6.6% 6.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.8% 6.3% 5.6% 3.4% 6.3% 4.9% 3.6% -2.1% 2.2% 2.20%
EBITDA Margin 21.8% 14.1% 16.4% 14.3% 14.7% 12.3% 10.0% 15.2% 11.0% 10.1% 10.2% 11.4% 10.9% 10.0% 7.7% 11.2% 6.6% 8.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.61%
FCF Margin 12.7% 8.8% 2.6% 0.6% -2.2% -2.1% -2.5% 0.5% 3.7% 5.7% 7.2% 8.1% 6.1% 5.8% 3.4% 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 5.5% 6.0% 6.02%
OCF Margin 14.5% 11.1% 6.8% 5.9% 3.6% 4.0% 2.8% 5.3% 8.5% 10.4% 11.5% 11.4% 9.1% 8.5% 6.4% 5.7% 7.1% 6.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.20%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.47%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.42%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.79%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.90%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.15%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.72%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 11.32%
CROIC snapshot only 7.40%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.96%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.16%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.65%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.83%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 6.35 5.68 5.78 4.63 5.71 6.51 6.10 7.66 7.59 9.44 12.39 13.23 12.29 9.90 7.48 8.75 8.74 10.07 13.65 17.06 17.539
P/S Ratio 0.71 0.66 0.61 0.44 0.48 0.57 0.50 0.57 0.51 0.59 0.77 0.83 0.75 0.61 0.42 0.47 0.44 0.46 0.45 0.38 0.383
P/B Ratio 2.08 1.95 1.76 1.18 1.23 1.36 1.13 1.24 1.06 1.19 1.54 1.65 1.44 1.13 0.75 0.82 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.61 0.626
P/FCF 5.59 7.56 22.96 75.86 -21.98 -26.68 -19.87 112.35 13.83 10.42 10.64 10.24 12.39 10.52 12.42 23.09 14.42 19.80 8.18 6.24 6.239
P/OCF 4.90 5.95 8.99 7.41 13.43 14.21 17.48 10.81 5.98 5.64 6.66 7.24 8.23 7.12 6.48 8.34 6.18 7.38 4.89 4.08 4.078
EV/EBITDA 3.90 3.69 3.83 3.59 3.28 5.46 5.68 6.36 6.22 6.86 8.76 9.82 9.23 7.61 6.43 7.07 7.47 7.95 9.36 12.94 12.941
EV/Revenue 0.74 0.75 0.72 0.60 0.49 0.79 0.74 0.83 0.75 0.80 1.02 1.05 0.99 0.81 0.65 0.71 0.67 0.68 0.66 0.58 0.577
EV/EBIT 4.91 4.79 5.12 4.77 4.29 6.76 6.76 8.43 8.63 9.83 12.54 12.71 12.04 10.04 8.80 9.86 9.90 10.84 14.05 23.89 23.894
EV/FCF 5.80 8.53 27.25 104.60 -22.15 -37.12 -29.45 164.06 20.51 14.07 14.11 13.01 16.24 14.04 19.29 34.48 21.69 28.85 11.91 9.59 9.589
Earnings Yield 15.7% 17.6% 17.3% 21.6% 17.5% 15.4% 16.4% 13.1% 13.2% 10.6% 8.1% 7.6% 8.1% 10.1% 13.4% 11.4% 11.4% 9.9% 7.3% 5.9% 5.86%
FCF Yield 17.9% 13.2% 4.4% 1.3% -4.6% -3.7% -5.0% 0.9% 7.2% 9.6% 9.4% 9.8% 8.1% 9.5% 8.1% 4.3% 6.9% 5.1% 12.2% 16.0% 16.03%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.672
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.268
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.674
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 20.491
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 5.99%
Graham Number snapshot only $22.28
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.06 2.88 2.36 2.52 2.84 2.99 3.35 3.14 3.81 3.76 3.38 3.36 3.88 4.11 3.67 3.67 4.05 3.76 4.02 4.04 4.042
Quick Ratio 1.32 1.02 0.63 0.48 0.44 0.50 0.47 0.49 0.77 1.05 0.63 0.70 0.89 1.15 0.80 0.80 0.97 0.99 1.08 1.12 1.123
Debt/Equity 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.58 0.10 0.65 0.63 0.66 0.64 0.61 0.62 0.58 0.59 0.57 0.56 0.54 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.524
Net Debt/Equity 0.08 0.25 0.33 0.45 0.01 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.51 0.42 0.50 0.45 0.45 0.38 0.42 0.40 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.329
Debt/Assets 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.30 0.05 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.304
Debt/EBITDA 0.94 0.91 0.99 1.27 0.27 1.88 2.13 2.30 2.52 2.60 2.66 2.73 2.89 2.87 3.07 3.13 3.56 3.85 4.56 7.19 7.191
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.14 0.42 0.60 0.99 0.03 1.53 1.85 2.00 2.03 1.78 2.16 2.09 2.19 1.91 2.29 2.33 2.50 2.49 2.93 4.52 4.522
Interest Coverage 399.00 434.47 408.56 411.75 425.11 501.41 503.46 441.27 372.47 337.65 275.88 244.24 205.42 235.75 245.44 281.69 329.89 189.71 138.73 67.96 67.957
Equity Multiplier 1.82 1.79 1.89 1.89 1.91 1.88 1.82 1.88 1.80 1.79 1.83 1.80 1.77 1.73 1.74 1.74 1.72 1.74 1.72 1.73 1.725
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.901
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 125.473
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.371
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.188
Defensive Interval snapshot only 143.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.80 1.83 1.64 1.53 1.47 1.40 1.33 1.23 1.19 1.16 1.16 1.14 1.14 1.11 1.06 1.01 1.00 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.948
Inventory Turnover 2.81 3.10 2.64 2.34 2.41 2.35 2.10 1.92 1.98 2.05 1.91 1.89 2.02 2.11 1.82 1.69 1.72 1.75 1.70 1.66 1.656
Receivables Turnover 137.75 125.18 120.39 140.12 144.52 146.68 139.89 165.08 218.37 416.61 266.99 260.16 207.10 207.20 161.53 165.13 145.09 147.56 145.96 150.27 150.266
Payables Turnover 13.44 12.67 7.39 7.73 10.54 10.73 8.94 7.97 11.48 11.00 12.05 10.43 15.63 14.04 11.06 10.34 11.79 10.98 10.90 10.29 10.292
DSO 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2.4 days
DIO 130 118 138 156 152 155 174 190 184 178 191 193 181 173 201 216 212 209 215 220 220.4 days
DPO 27 29 49 47 35 34 41 46 32 33 30 35 23 26 33 35 31 33 33 35 35.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 105 92 92 111 120 124 135 147 154 146 162 159 159 148 170 183 183 178 184 187 187.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.180
Operating Cycle snapshot only 222.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.404
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.055
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 32.0% 36.2% 14.0% 9.3% 1.1% -5.1% -7.1% -7.0% -7.7% -6.8% -2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 2.3% -1.2% -6.4% -6.2% -5.6% -4.4% -4.1% -4.13%
Net Income 10.8% 8.7% 83.7% 12.5% -23.1% -28.9% -28.0% -26.8% -27.2% -33.4% -25.7% -14.4% -6.1% 0.6% -11.2% -19.1% -22.4% -29.1% -43.3% -61.1% -61.05%
EPS 10.8% 8.7% 85.7% 15.9% -20.7% -26.1% -25.9% -25.7% -26.4% -33.0% -25.4% -14.7% -6.6% -0.3% -11.4% -19.0% -22.5% -29.2% -43.6% -60.9% -60.85%
FCF 5.3% 1.3% -79.4% -92.5% -1.2% -1.2% -1.9% -18.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 15.2% 69.8% 4.5% -54.1% -76.3% -52.6% -61.7% 57.0% 1.8% 1.81%
EBITDA 6.3% 6.1% 89.8% 17.3% -20.3% -32.2% -36.1% -27.5% -24.8% -25.3% -12.3% -16.7% -9.4% -6.1% -14.5% -12.6% -21.7% -24.7% -33.4% -57.3% -57.32%
Op. Income 10.8% 8.5% 80.5% 11.1% -23.5% -29.5% -28.8% -28.3% -29.8% -36.1% -28.0% -14.7% -5.0% -2.5% -15.2% -24.6% -28.0% -26.8% -39.5% -58.9% -58.89%
OCF Growth snapshot only 55.39%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.20%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.91%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.93%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.51%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 13.05%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.0% 8.9% 8.7% 8.2% 7.6% 6.8% 9.6% 7.9% 7.2% 6.4% 1.1% 1.2% -1.4% -3.3% -3.6% -3.9% -3.8% -3.5% -2.7% -2.9% -2.90%
Revenue 5Y 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 3.4% 3.0% 4.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.1% -0.5% -1.4% -1.43%
EPS 3Y 68.4% 63.7% 56.1% 49.5% 41.1% 38.8% 99.1% 1.0% 90.2% 68.7% 0.9% -9.8% -18.3% -21.0% -21.2% -19.9% -18.9% -22.1% -28.0% -35.3% -35.32%
EPS 5Y 43.6% 51.7% 50.8% 46.9% 41.8% 46.6% 36.6% 26.3% 22.8% 16.8% 16.0% 16.2% 14.1% 12.3% 39.1% 42.3% 37.8% 27.6% -12.5% -25.3% -25.28%
Net Income 3Y 62.7% 59.5% 52.5% 46.6% 38.8% 36.9% 98.0% 1.0% 87.6% 66.2% -0.6% -11.0% -19.3% -21.9% -22.0% -20.3% -19.0% -22.0% -27.9% -35.4% -35.39%
Net Income 5Y 37.7% 45.8% 45.7% 42.6% 37.9% 42.2% 33.3% 23.4% 19.3% 14.0% 13.7% 14.6% 12.8% 11.4% 38.6% 41.3% 36.9% 26.7% -13.1% -26.0% -25.99%
EBITDA 3Y 49.9% 55.0% 52.8% 47.1% 40.0% 36.5% 70.1% 72.5% 63.9% 53.0% 2.1% -10.8% -18.4% -21.9% -21.8% -19.2% -18.9% -19.1% -20.7% -32.3% -32.26%
EBITDA 5Y 27.7% 34.2% 33.4% 30.1% 25.6% 23.9% 19.4% 16.6% 15.1% 13.5% 14.8% 14.0% 13.3% 12.3% 29.8% 30.2% 25.6% 20.4% -9.6% -23.4% -23.36%
Gross Profit 3Y 16.0% 19.5% 18.4% 16.9% 15.3% 14.5% 19.2% 18.4% 16.8% 14.6% 4.3% 0.9% -3.6% -6.6% -6.4% -5.1% -4.1% -3.9% -3.4% -5.1% -5.10%
Gross Profit 5Y 10.7% 12.7% 12.3% 11.2% 10.3% 9.6% 8.5% 7.1% 6.7% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 7.2% 6.6% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 1.6% -2.5% -2.46%
Op. Income 3Y 57.8% 61.0% 56.9% 49.9% 41.9% 39.3% 1.0% 1.0% 85.3% 62.3% -2.5% -12.1% -20.1% -24.0% -24.2% -22.8% -21.7% -23.0% -28.3% -35.8% -35.83%
Op. Income 5Y 32.9% 40.5% 40.5% 37.4% 32.2% 31.2% 25.9% 18.6% 16.1% 13.4% 14.6% 15.5% 13.8% 11.0% 39.4% 40.0% 34.2% 25.0% -13.8% -26.8% -26.79%
FCF 3Y 38.1% 20.4% -5.0% -48.1% — — — -55.3% 19.4% 9.2% -20.1% 0.0% -22.8% -15.8% 4.4% 46.6% — — — 1.2% 1.21%
FCF 5Y 36.7% 22.7% 7.3% 29.8% — — — -38.8% -6.6% -0.1% 16.2% 13.2% 9.6% 7.5% 13.6% -19.2% 6.5% -12.2% -18.2% -7.8% -7.77%
OCF 3Y 38.5% 25.9% 16.5% 3.2% -10.4% -9.0% 1.4% -8.4% 37.2% 24.6% -9.0% 6.4% -15.3% -11.5% -5.2% -5.2% 20.8% 12.2% 44.1% 16.8% 16.81%
OCF 5Y 26.5% 18.3% 12.4% 25.5% -2.0% 4.6% -9.9% -4.6% 7.8% 10.6% 19.6% 15.0% 11.6% 8.9% 17.9% -4.7% 15.9% 2.4% -10.7% -2.7% -2.75%
Assets 3Y 21.5% 24.8% 11.8% 9.7% 14.3% 16.4% 15.8% 14.8% 18.0% 17.5% 13.4% 12.5% 12.7% 11.4% 9.8% 8.4% 6.7% 6.7% 5.9% 3.8% 3.83%
Assets 5Y 10.9% 12.1% 13.8% 13.2% 16.9% 19.0% 17.4% 16.9% 18.5% 20.0% 12.1% 10.0% 11.7% 12.3% 12.6% 11.1% 13.5% 13.3% 9.1% 8.3% 8.29%
Equity 3Y 11.9% 14.1% 16.2% 16.8% 18.9% 20.9% 24.4% 24.3% 23.4% 23.4% 19.5% 16.6% 13.7% 12.8% 12.8% 11.5% 10.6% 9.5% 7.8% 6.8% 6.80%
Book Value 3Y 15.8% 17.1% 19.0% 19.1% 20.9% 22.6% 25.1% 25.9% 25.1% 25.3% 21.3% 18.2% 15.0% 14.1% 13.9% 12.0% 10.7% 9.3% 7.6% 6.9% 6.93%
Dividend 3Y 16.9% 19.0% 15.9% 13.3% 11.0% 9.1% 7.3% 6.8% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 11.0% 9.2% 7.7% 7.1% 5.0% 4.6% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.12%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.32 0.37 0.54 0.61 0.57 0.52 0.57 0.50 0.44 0.37 0.47 0.59 0.35 0.17 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.09 0.37 0.368
Earnings Stability 0.37 0.43 0.64 0.64 0.55 0.55 0.66 0.56 0.37 0.28 0.36 0.31 0.15 0.09 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.88 0.882
Margin Stability 0.87 0.85 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.95 0.97 0.975
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.87 0.90 0.94 0.98 1.00 0.96 0.92 0.91 0.88 0.83 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.88 0.74 0.66 0.67 0.69 0.69 0.60 0.71 0.84 0.94 0.99 0.88 0.79 0.75 0.66 0.45 0.12 0.121
ROE Trend 0.24 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.03 0.01 -0.07 -0.11 -0.13 -0.15 -0.12 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.073
Gross Margin Trend 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.016
FCF Margin Trend 0.09 0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.10 -0.09 -0.11 -0.04 -0.02 0.02 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.01 0.009
Sustainable Growth Rate 36.5% 38.5% 32.3% 26.1% 21.2% 20.5% 18.0% 15.3% 12.7% 11.0% 10.8% 10.8% 10.0% 9.6% 8.1% 7.2% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.96%
Internal Growth Rate 23.6% 25.3% 19.2% 15.5% 12.8% 12.5% 10.8% 8.9% 7.3% 6.4% 6.3% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 4.7% 4.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.56%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.30 0.95 0.64 0.62 0.43 0.46 0.35 0.71 1.27 1.67 1.86 1.83 1.49 1.39 1.15 1.05 1.41 1.36 2.79 4.18 4.184
FCF/OCF 0.88 0.79 0.39 0.10 -0.61 -0.53 -0.88 0.10 0.43 0.54 0.63 0.71 0.66 0.68 0.52 0.36 0.43 0.37 0.60 0.65 0.654
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.735
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.065
CapEx/Revenue 1.8% 2.4% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 5.3% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.3% 3.4% 3.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 3.2% 3.19%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 3.917
Accruals Ratio -0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.03 -0.02 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.06 -0.07 -0.066
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.015
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.917
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 4.3% 4.10%
Dividend/Share $0.26 $0.28 $0.30 $0.32 $0.34 $0.36 $0.38 $0.39 $0.42 $0.45 $0.47 $0.50 $0.52 $0.53 $0.56 $0.58 $0.59 $0.61 $0.63 $0.65 $0.64
Payout Ratio 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.4% 11.7% 14.3% 16.6% 17.5% 18.0% 19.2% 19.9% 23.4% 25.4% 28.2% 32.0% 46.5% 73.4% 73.36%
FCF Payout Ratio 4.5% 6.9% 24.4% 1.2% — — — 1.7% 26.1% 18.3% 15.0% 13.9% 19.3% 21.2% 38.9% 67.0% 46.5% 63.0% 27.9% 26.8% 26.82%
Total Payout Ratio 10.2% 9.8% 26.1% 26.5% 36.7% 36.8% 20.4% 22.8% 21.2% 24.0% 24.8% 25.0% 19.2% 19.9% 23.4% 25.4% 28.2% 32.0% 65.3% 1.0% 1.02%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.45 0.57 0.46 0.39 0.32 0.26 0.23 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.33 0.27 0.23 0.22 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.168
Buyback Yield 0.8% 0.8% 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.3% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1.7% 1.69%
Net Buyback Yield 0.8% 0.8% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 4.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.64%
Total Shareholder Return 1.6% 1.7% 4.5% 5.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.94%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.71 0.70 0.696
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.31 1.308
EBIT Margin 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.02 0.024
Asset Turnover 1.80 1.83 1.64 1.53 1.47 1.40 1.33 1.23 1.19 1.16 1.16 1.14 1.14 1.11 1.06 1.01 1.00 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.948
Equity Multiplier 1.92 1.91 2.00 1.94 1.87 1.84 1.85 1.88 1.85 1.83 1.82 1.84 1.78 1.76 1.78 1.77 1.74 1.74 1.73 1.73 1.731
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.96 $5.42 $4.89 $4.43 $3.94 $4.01 $3.62 $3.29 $2.90 $2.68 $2.70 $2.81 $2.71 $2.67 $2.40 $2.28 $2.10 $1.89 $1.35 $0.89 $0.89
Book Value/Share $15.15 $15.85 $16.09 $17.39 $18.25 $19.14 $19.55 $20.27 $20.80 $21.35 $21.81 $22.49 $23.06 $23.53 $23.79 $24.43 $24.76 $24.97 $24.39 $24.78 $24.92
Tangible Book/Share $15.15 $14.31 $14.52 $15.83 $16.66 $17.52 $17.93 $18.64 $19.17 $19.71 $19.76 $20.44 $20.92 $21.39 $21.64 $22.28 $22.62 $22.84 $22.25 $22.62 $22.62
Revenue/Share $44.52 $46.60 $46.57 $46.72 $46.38 $45.97 $44.57 $44.08 $43.30 $43.03 $43.60 $44.84 $44.26 $43.62 $42.96 $42.03 $41.46 $41.11 $40.86 $40.50 $40.74
FCF/Share $5.64 $4.08 $1.23 $0.27 $-1.02 $-0.98 $-1.11 $0.22 $1.59 $2.43 $3.15 $3.63 $2.69 $2.52 $1.44 $0.86 $1.27 $0.96 $2.25 $2.44 $2.45
OCF/Share $6.44 $5.18 $3.14 $2.77 $1.67 $1.84 $1.26 $2.33 $3.68 $4.49 $5.03 $5.13 $4.04 $3.72 $2.76 $2.39 $2.96 $2.58 $3.77 $3.73 $3.75
Cash/Share $6.70 $4.64 $3.43 $2.25 $1.72 $2.29 $1.60 $1.71 $2.60 $4.07 $2.53 $3.07 $3.30 $4.46 $3.38 $3.35 $3.90 $4.73 $4.68 $4.82 $4.85
EBITDA/Share $8.40 $9.44 $8.76 $7.86 $6.90 $6.65 $5.77 $5.79 $5.25 $4.99 $5.07 $4.81 $4.72 $4.65 $4.33 $4.21 $3.69 $3.50 $2.87 $1.81 $1.81
Debt/Share $7.88 $8.63 $8.71 $10.02 $1.89 $12.50 $12.26 $13.30 $13.23 $12.97 $13.48 $13.11 $13.64 $13.34 $13.30 $13.17 $13.15 $13.45 $13.08 $12.98 $12.98
Net Debt/Share $1.19 $3.99 $5.28 $7.77 $0.18 $10.21 $10.66 $11.60 $10.63 $8.90 $10.94 $10.04 $10.34 $8.88 $9.91 $9.82 $9.24 $8.72 $8.40 $8.16 $8.16
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.946
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.773
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 7 5 4 5 4 4 5 6 7 6 5 5 5 7 6 5 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.67 -1.11 -0.49 -0.97 -1.59 -3.00 -2.98 -2.99 -3.17 -2.82 -1.93 -2.36 -0.82 -0.08 -2.02 -2.01 -2.80 -2.85 -2.99 -2.93 -2.927
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.008
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 2.81%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $3.66
EVA snapshot only $-68287507.33
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 96.18 93.19 88.81 83.48 84.93 77.57 76.24 76.69 80.97 82.76 80.88 81.21 73.53 83.10 74.78 72.58 74.97 74.24 76.61 69.23 69.230
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.348
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 56
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 63

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms