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SCVL NASDAQ

Shoe Carnival, Inc.
1W: +8.1% 1M: -9.3% 3M: -18.8% YTD: -0.5% 1Y: -13.0% 3Y: -21.1% 5Y: -41.7%
$16.66
-0.61 (-3.53%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.1%
$14 $15 $16 $17 $18
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 44 · $457.6M mcap · 18M float · 2.34% daily turnover · Short 33% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
44.4 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 3.3%  ·  5Y Avg: 12.5%
Cost Advantage
12
Intangibles
84
Switching Cost
30
Network Effect
40
Scale
50
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SCVL shows a Weak competitive edge (44.4/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 3.3% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$22
Avg Target
$23
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 8Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$22.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-26 Williams Trading Sam Poser $42 $22 -20 +12.1% $19.62
2025-05-28 Seaport Global $50 $24 -26 +25.7% $19.09
2024-08-27 Seaport Global Mitch Kummetz $42 $50 +8 +15.1% $43.42
2024-05-24 Seaport Global Mitch Kummetz Initiated $42 +15.7% $36.29
2024-05-23 Williams Trading Sam Poser $40 $42 +2 +15.7% $36.29
2024-03-21 Williams Trading Sam Poser Initiated $40 +12.2% $35.64

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SCVL receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-21 A- B-
2026-05-04 B+ A-
2026-04-27 A- B+
2026-03-26 A A-
2026-01-30 A- A

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

Grade A+
Profitability
Balance Sheet
70
Earnings Quality
87
Growth
1
Value
89
Momentum
40
Safety
65
Cash Flow
64

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.63
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
Ohlson O-Score
-8.06
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 68.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.79x
Accruals: -5.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SCVL scores 2.63, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SCVL scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SCVL's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SCVL receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 68.0/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SCVL's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.21x
PEG
-0.25x
P/S
0.76x
P/B
0.68x
P/FCF
8.18x
P/OCF
4.89x
EV/EBITDA
15.78x
EV/Revenue
1.24x
EV/EBIT
13.23x
EV/FCF
12.05x
Earnings Yield
7.33%
FCF Yield
12.22%
Shareholder Yield
4.78%
Graham Number
$27.55
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.2x earnings, SCVL trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $27.55 per share, suggesting a potential 65% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.934
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.705
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.094
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.519
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.737
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SCVL's ROE of 5.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.519), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.93 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$11.48
Price/Value
1.61x
Margin of Safety
-60.53%
Premium
60.53%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SCVL's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. SCVL trades at a 61% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $11.48, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$16.66
Median 1Y
$14.34
5th Pctile
$5.82
95th Pctile
$35.37
Ann. Volatility
54.7%
Analyst Target
$22.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Mark J. Worden
Former President and Chief Executive Officer
$1,060,900 $2,795,577 $4,058,347
Marc A. Chilton
Senior Executive Vice President Chief Operating Officer
$625,000 $713,668 $1,951,878
Tanya E. Gordon
Executive Vice President Chief Merchandising Officer
$481,334 $483,103 $1,272,953
Patrick C. Edwards
Senior Vice President Controller and Treasurer and Former Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and
$409,890 $410,644 $1,088,210
W. Kerry Jackson
Executive Vice President Chief Financial Officer and Secretary
$317,102 $421,200 $935,198
J. Wayne Weaver
Chairman of the Board
$300,000 $100,018 $400,018

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
5,000
-9.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
Profit / Employee
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 36.1% 46.7% 40.6% 36.3% 32.3% 28.6% 22.5% 20.4% 18.4% 16.2% 13.2% 13.4% 13.9% 13.5% 12.0% 10.7% 10.1% 9.4% 7.8% 5.6% 5.57%
ROA 17.2% 22.3% 21.3% 19.0% 16.9% 15.0% 12.2% 11.1% 10.0% 8.8% 7.2% 7.3% 7.6% 7.3% 6.8% 6.1% 5.8% 5.3% 4.5% 3.2% 3.21%
ROIC 25.3% 32.7% 27.4% 24.5% 21.8% 19.2% 13.6% 12.3% 11.1% 9.7% 8.6% 8.7% 9.1% 8.7% 7.7% 6.8% 6.4% 5.9% 5.3% 3.3% 3.33%
ROCE 28.9% 37.2% 31.5% 28.2% 25.0% 22.2% 17.7% 16.0% 14.4% 12.4% 10.4% 10.6% 11.2% 10.9% 9.8% 8.7% 8.3% 7.7% 6.7% 5.4% 5.43%
Gross Margin 40.9% 40.4% 37.3% 35.5% 36.2% 38.3% 38.3% 35.0% 35.8% 36.8% 35.6% 35.6% 36.1% 36.0% 34.9% 34.5% 38.8% 37.6% 34.9% 34.9% 34.92%
Operating Margin 18.0% 17.5% 8.9% 11.1% 12.4% 12.8% 9.9% 7.4% 8.4% 8.7% 7.1% 7.5% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 4.3% 8.2% 6.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.31%
Net Margin 13.3% 13.1% 6.6% 8.5% 9.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.9% 6.6% 6.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.8% 6.3% 5.6% 3.4% 6.3% 4.9% 3.6% 2.2% 2.22%
EBITDA Margin 22.3% 21.8% 14.1% 16.4% 14.3% 14.7% 12.3% 10.0% 15.2% 11.0% 10.1% 10.2% 11.4% 10.9% 10.0% 7.7% 11.2% 6.6% 7.9% 10.5% 10.47%
FCF Margin 8.4% 12.7% 8.8% 2.6% 0.6% -2.2% -2.1% -2.5% 0.5% 3.7% 5.7% 7.2% 8.1% 6.1% 5.8% 3.4% 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 10.3% 10.31%
OCF Margin 9.8% 14.5% 11.1% 6.8% 5.9% 3.6% 4.0% 2.8% 5.3% 8.5% 10.4% 11.5% 11.4% 9.1% 8.5% 6.4% 5.7% 7.1% 6.3% 17.2% 17.23%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.42%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 15.57%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.36%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.41%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.96%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.66%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 11.18%
CROIC snapshot only 6.69%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.14%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.62%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 56.73%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.21%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 8.19 6.35 5.68 5.78 4.63 5.71 6.51 6.10 7.66 7.59 9.44 12.39 13.23 12.29 9.90 7.48 8.75 8.74 10.07 13.65 12.215
P/S Ratio 0.75 0.71 0.66 0.61 0.44 0.48 0.57 0.50 0.57 0.51 0.59 0.77 0.83 0.75 0.61 0.42 0.47 0.44 0.46 0.84 0.758
P/B Ratio 2.89 2.90 1.95 1.77 1.26 1.38 1.36 1.16 1.31 1.15 1.19 1.57 1.75 1.57 1.13 0.76 0.84 0.78 0.76 0.74 0.677
P/FCF 9.00 5.59 7.56 22.96 75.86 -21.98 -26.68 -19.87 112.35 13.83 10.42 10.64 10.24 12.39 10.52 12.42 23.09 14.42 19.80 8.18 8.181
P/OCF 7.67 4.90 5.95 8.99 7.41 13.43 14.21 17.48 10.81 5.98 5.64 6.66 7.24 8.23 7.12 6.48 8.34 6.18 7.38 4.89 4.893
EV/EBITDA 5.48 4.28 3.69 3.68 3.13 3.85 5.46 5.60 6.12 6.14 6.86 8.35 9.57 8.91 7.61 6.20 6.85 7.37 8.03 15.78 15.777
EV/Revenue 0.86 0.81 0.75 0.69 0.53 0.57 0.79 0.72 0.80 0.74 0.80 0.97 1.03 0.95 0.81 0.62 0.69 0.66 0.68 1.24 1.242
EV/EBIT 6.90 5.39 4.79 4.93 4.15 5.04 6.76 6.66 8.12 8.53 9.83 11.96 12.39 11.62 10.04 8.48 9.56 9.77 11.00 13.23 13.227
EV/FCF 10.25 6.37 8.53 26.22 91.02 -26.00 -37.12 -29.03 157.94 20.26 14.07 13.45 12.68 15.67 14.04 18.60 33.44 21.39 28.85 12.05 12.050
Earnings Yield 12.2% 15.7% 17.6% 17.3% 21.6% 17.5% 15.4% 16.4% 13.1% 13.2% 10.6% 8.1% 7.6% 8.1% 10.1% 13.4% 11.4% 11.4% 9.9% 7.3% 7.33%
FCF Yield 11.1% 17.9% 13.2% 4.4% 1.3% -4.6% -3.7% -5.0% 0.9% 7.2% 9.6% 9.4% 9.8% 8.1% 9.5% 8.1% 4.3% 6.9% 5.1% 12.2% 12.22%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.807
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.207
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.250
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 17.095
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.78%
Graham Number snapshot only $27.55
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.71 2.71 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.99 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 3.76 3.76 3.763
Quick Ratio 0.93 0.93 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.99 0.99 0.988
Debt/Equity 0.75 0.75 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.54 0.54 0.539
Net Debt/Equity 0.40 0.40 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.35 0.35 0.349
Debt/Assets 0.36 0.36 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.309
Debt/EBITDA 1.24 0.96 0.91 0.99 1.13 1.29 1.88 2.16 2.16 2.39 2.60 2.55 2.68 2.72 2.87 3.09 3.19 3.61 3.89 7.82 7.817
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.67 0.52 0.42 0.46 0.52 0.60 1.53 1.77 1.77 1.95 1.78 1.75 1.84 1.87 1.91 2.06 2.12 2.40 2.52 5.07 5.066
Interest Coverage 311.04 399.00 434.47 408.56 411.75 425.11 501.41 503.46 441.27 372.47 337.65 275.88 244.24 205.42 235.75 245.44 281.69 329.89 186.98 365.65 365.652
Equity Multiplier 2.07 2.07 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.74 1.74 1.742
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.825
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 306.548
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.352
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.167
Defensive Interval snapshot only 146.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.87 2.00 1.83 1.81 1.79 1.77 1.40 1.36 1.34 1.32 1.16 1.18 1.21 1.20 1.11 1.09 1.07 1.06 0.98 0.52 0.519
Inventory Turnover 3.07 3.18 3.10 3.12 3.13 3.13 2.35 2.29 2.26 2.23 2.05 2.08 2.14 2.13 2.11 2.08 2.01 1.98 1.75 0.90 0.904
Receivables Turnover 242.19 258.84 125.18 124.16 122.28 120.90 146.68 142.45 140.40 137.88 416.61 423.41 436.90 432.28 207.20 203.30 198.76 197.09 147.56 78.44 78.443
Payables Turnover 12.79 13.23 12.67 12.77 12.82 12.79 10.73 10.44 10.30 10.19 11.00 11.16 11.51 11.42 14.04 13.82 13.37 13.17 10.98 5.68 5.684
DSO 2 1 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 5 4.7 days
DIO 119 115 118 117 116 117 155 160 162 164 178 176 170 172 173 175 181 184 209 404 403.9 days
DPO 29 28 29 29 28 29 34 35 35 36 33 33 32 32 26 26 27 28 33 64 64.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 92 89 92 91 91 91 124 127 129 130 146 144 140 141 148 151 156 158 178 344 344.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.128
Operating Cycle snapshot only 218.7 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.617
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.991
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 23.5% 32.0% 36.2% 14.0% 9.3% 1.1% -5.1% -7.1% -7.0% -7.7% -6.8% -2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 2.3% -1.2% -6.4% -6.2% -5.6% -48.9% -48.86%
Net Income 8.9% 10.8% 8.7% 83.7% 12.5% -23.1% -28.9% -28.0% -26.8% -27.2% -33.4% -25.7% -14.4% -6.1% 0.6% -11.2% -19.1% -22.4% -29.1% -43.3% -43.34%
EPS 8.8% 10.8% 8.7% 85.7% 15.9% -20.7% -26.1% -25.9% -25.7% -26.4% -33.0% -25.4% -14.7% -6.6% -0.3% -11.4% -19.0% -22.5% -29.2% -43.6% -43.62%
FCF 44.7% 5.3% 1.3% -79.4% -92.5% -1.2% -1.2% -1.9% -18.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 15.2% 69.8% 4.5% -54.1% -76.3% -52.6% -61.7% 57.0% 56.99%
EBITDA 5.0% 6.3% 6.1% 89.8% 17.3% -20.3% -32.2% -36.1% -27.5% -24.8% -25.3% -12.3% -16.7% -9.4% -6.1% -14.5% -12.6% -21.7% -25.5% -60.0% -60.04%
Op. Income 9.5% 10.8% 8.5% 80.5% 11.1% -23.5% -29.5% -28.8% -28.3% -29.8% -36.1% -28.0% -14.7% -5.0% -2.5% -15.2% -24.6% -28.0% -26.8% -45.6% -45.60%
OCF Growth snapshot only 36.97%
Asset Growth snapshot only 6.90%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.27%
Debt Growth snapshot only 0.93%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.51%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 12.46%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 4.0% 7.0% 8.9% 8.7% 8.2% 7.6% 6.8% 9.6% 7.9% 7.2% 6.4% 1.1% 1.2% -1.4% -3.3% -3.6% -3.9% -3.8% -3.5% -21.0% -21.04%
Revenue 5Y 3.6% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 3.4% 3.0% 4.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.1% -12.2% -12.21%
EPS 3Y 55.0% 68.4% 63.7% 56.1% 49.5% 41.1% 38.8% 99.1% 1.0% 90.2% 68.7% 0.9% -9.8% -18.3% -21.0% -21.2% -19.9% -18.9% -22.1% -28.0% -28.04%
EPS 5Y 37.6% 43.6% 51.7% 50.8% 46.9% 41.8% 46.6% 36.6% 26.3% 22.8% 16.8% 16.0% 16.2% 14.1% 12.3% 39.1% 42.3% 37.8% 27.6% -12.5% -12.50%
Net Income 3Y 51.5% 62.7% 59.5% 52.5% 46.6% 38.8% 36.9% 98.0% 1.0% 87.6% 66.2% -0.6% -11.0% -19.3% -21.9% -22.0% -20.3% -19.0% -22.0% -27.9% -27.94%
Net Income 5Y 31.1% 37.7% 45.8% 45.7% 42.6% 37.9% 42.2% 33.3% 23.4% 19.3% 14.0% 13.7% 14.6% 12.8% 11.4% 38.6% 41.3% 36.9% 26.7% -13.1% -13.14%
EBITDA 3Y 36.4% 49.9% 55.0% 52.8% 47.1% 40.0% 36.5% 70.1% 72.5% 63.9% 53.0% 2.1% -10.8% -18.4% -21.9% -21.8% -19.2% -18.9% -19.4% -33.1% -33.09%
EBITDA 5Y 21.5% 27.7% 34.2% 33.4% 30.1% 25.6% 23.9% 19.4% 16.6% 15.1% 13.5% 14.8% 14.0% 13.3% 12.3% 29.8% 30.2% 25.6% 20.2% -18.3% -18.33%
Gross Profit 3Y 10.9% 16.0% 19.5% 18.4% 16.9% 15.3% 14.5% 19.2% 18.4% 16.8% 14.6% 4.3% 0.9% -3.6% -6.6% -6.4% -5.1% -4.1% -3.9% -20.2% -20.20%
Gross Profit 5Y 8.1% 10.7% 12.7% 12.3% 11.2% 10.3% 9.6% 8.5% 7.1% 6.7% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 7.2% 6.6% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% -9.4% -9.44%
Op. Income 3Y 43.3% 57.8% 61.0% 56.9% 49.9% 41.9% 39.3% 1.0% 1.0% 85.3% 62.3% -2.5% -12.1% -20.1% -24.0% -24.2% -22.8% -21.7% -23.0% -30.7% -30.74%
Op. Income 5Y 26.5% 32.9% 40.5% 40.5% 37.4% 32.2% 31.2% 25.9% 18.6% 16.1% 13.4% 14.6% 15.5% 13.8% 11.0% 39.4% 40.0% 34.2% 25.0% -15.7% -15.66%
FCF 3Y 11.8% 38.1% 20.4% -5.0% -48.1% -55.3% 19.4% 9.2% -20.1% 0.0% -22.8% -15.8% 4.4% 46.6%
FCF 5Y 14.3% 36.7% 22.7% 7.3% 29.8% -38.8% -6.6% -0.1% 16.2% 13.2% 9.6% 7.5% 13.6% -19.2% 6.5% -12.2% -18.2% -18.16%
OCF 3Y 13.1% 38.5% 25.9% 16.5% 3.2% -10.4% -9.0% 1.4% -8.4% 37.2% 24.6% -9.0% 6.4% -15.3% -11.5% -5.2% -5.2% 20.8% 12.2% 44.1% 44.07%
OCF 5Y 9.5% 26.5% 18.3% 12.4% 25.5% -2.0% 4.6% -9.9% -4.6% 7.8% 10.6% 19.6% 15.0% 11.6% 8.9% 17.9% -4.7% 15.9% 2.4% -10.7% -10.66%
Assets 3Y 15.6% 15.6% 24.8% 24.8% 24.8% 24.8% 16.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.4% 17.5% 17.5% 17.5% 17.5% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4% 6.7% 6.7% 6.68%
Assets 5Y 6.0% 6.0% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 12.3% 12.3% 12.3% 12.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.33%
Equity 3Y 0.3% 0.3% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1% 20.9% 20.9% 20.9% 20.9% 23.4% 23.4% 23.4% 23.4% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8% 9.5% 9.5% 9.48%
Book Value 3Y 2.7% 3.8% 17.1% 16.8% 16.4% 16.0% 22.6% 21.6% 22.4% 22.5% 25.3% 25.3% 25.1% 24.9% 14.1% 13.9% 13.3% 12.9% 9.3% 9.3% 9.33%
Dividend 3Y 12.1% 16.9% 19.0% 15.9% 13.3% 11.0% 9.1% 7.3% 6.8% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 11.0% 9.2% 7.7% 7.1% 5.0% 4.6% 4.2% 3.9% 3.85%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.26 0.32 0.37 0.54 0.61 0.57 0.52 0.57 0.50 0.44 0.37 0.47 0.59 0.35 0.17 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.37 0.374
Earnings Stability 0.34 0.37 0.43 0.64 0.64 0.55 0.55 0.66 0.56 0.37 0.28 0.36 0.31 0.15 0.09 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.459
Margin Stability 0.89 0.87 0.85 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.942
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.87 0.90 0.94 0.98 1.00 0.96 0.92 0.91 0.88 0.83 0.827
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.88 0.74 0.66 0.67 0.69 0.69 0.60 0.71 0.84 0.94 0.99 0.88 0.79 0.75 0.66 0.45 0.447
ROE Trend 0.27 0.37 0.24 0.16 0.08 -0.01 0.01 -0.08 -0.14 -0.20 -0.15 -0.12 -0.09 -0.07 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.060
Gross Margin Trend 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.025
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 0.09 0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.10 -0.09 -0.11 -0.04 -0.02 0.02 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 0.05 0.050
Sustainable Growth Rate 33.9% 44.3% 38.5% 34.1% 29.9% 26.1% 20.5% 18.3% 16.3% 13.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.4% 10.9% 9.6% 8.2% 7.6% 6.7% 5.3% 3.0% 2.98%
Internal Growth Rate 19.3% 26.8% 25.3% 21.8% 18.6% 15.9% 12.5% 11.0% 9.7% 8.2% 6.4% 6.4% 6.7% 6.3% 5.8% 4.9% 4.5% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 1.75%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.07 1.30 0.95 0.64 0.62 0.43 0.46 0.35 0.71 1.27 1.67 1.86 1.83 1.49 1.39 1.15 1.05 1.41 1.36 2.79 2.789
FCF/OCF 0.85 0.88 0.79 0.39 0.10 -0.61 -0.53 -0.88 0.10 0.43 0.54 0.63 0.71 0.66 0.68 0.52 0.36 0.43 0.37 0.60 0.598
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.668
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.189
CapEx/Revenue 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 5.3% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.3% 3.4% 3.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 6.9% 6.93%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.962
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.07 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.03 -0.02 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.06 -0.057
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.020
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.758
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 3.72%
Dividend/Share $0.23 $0.26 $0.28 $0.30 $0.32 $0.34 $0.36 $0.38 $0.39 $0.42 $0.45 $0.47 $0.50 $0.52 $0.53 $0.56 $0.58 $0.59 $0.61 $0.63 $0.62
Payout Ratio 6.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.4% 11.7% 14.3% 16.6% 17.5% 18.0% 19.2% 19.9% 23.4% 25.4% 28.2% 32.0% 46.5% 46.51%
FCF Payout Ratio 6.6% 4.5% 6.9% 24.4% 1.2% 1.7% 26.1% 18.3% 15.0% 13.9% 19.3% 21.2% 38.9% 67.0% 46.5% 63.0% 27.9% 27.88%
Total Payout Ratio 9.6% 10.2% 9.8% 26.1% 26.5% 36.7% 36.8% 20.4% 22.8% 21.2% 24.0% 24.8% 25.0% 19.2% 19.9% 23.4% 25.4% 28.2% 32.0% 65.3% 65.28%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.32 0.45 0.57 0.46 0.39 0.32 0.26 0.23 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.33 0.27 0.23 0.22 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.159
Buyback Yield 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.3% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1.38%
Net Buyback Yield 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 4.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 1.3% 1.34%
Total Shareholder Return 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 4.5% 5.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.8% 4.75%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.93 0.934
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 0.70 0.705
EBIT Margin 0.12 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.09 0.094
Asset Turnover 1.87 2.00 1.83 1.81 1.79 1.77 1.40 1.36 1.34 1.32 1.16 1.18 1.21 1.20 1.11 1.09 1.07 1.06 0.98 0.52 0.519
Equity Multiplier 2.09 2.09 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.74 1.74 1.737
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.82 $4.96 $5.42 $4.89 $4.43 $3.94 $4.01 $3.62 $3.29 $2.90 $2.68 $2.70 $2.81 $2.71 $2.67 $2.40 $2.28 $2.10 $1.89 $1.35 $1.35
Book Value/Share $10.83 $10.87 $15.85 $15.97 $16.27 $16.34 $19.14 $19.11 $19.17 $19.18 $21.35 $21.29 $21.21 $21.16 $23.53 $23.62 $23.64 $23.52 $24.97 $24.97 $24.63
Tangible Book/Share $10.43 $10.47 $14.31 $14.42 $14.69 $14.75 $17.52 $17.49 $17.55 $17.55 $19.71 $19.66 $19.59 $19.55 $21.39 $21.47 $21.49 $21.38 $22.84 $22.84 $22.84
Revenue/Share $41.50 $44.52 $46.60 $46.57 $46.72 $46.38 $45.97 $44.57 $44.08 $43.30 $43.03 $43.60 $44.84 $44.26 $43.62 $42.96 $42.03 $41.46 $41.11 $21.86 $22.07
FCF/Share $3.48 $5.64 $4.08 $1.23 $0.27 $-1.02 $-0.98 $-1.11 $0.22 $1.59 $2.43 $3.15 $3.63 $2.69 $2.52 $1.44 $0.86 $1.27 $0.96 $2.25 $2.27
OCF/Share $4.08 $6.44 $5.18 $3.14 $2.77 $1.67 $1.84 $1.26 $2.33 $3.68 $4.49 $5.03 $5.13 $4.04 $3.72 $2.76 $2.39 $2.96 $2.58 $3.77 $3.80
Cash/Share $3.72 $3.73 $4.64 $4.67 $4.76 $4.78 $2.29 $2.29 $2.30 $2.30 $4.07 $4.06 $4.05 $4.04 $4.46 $4.48 $4.48 $4.46 $4.73 $4.73 $4.73
EBITDA/Share $6.51 $8.40 $9.44 $8.76 $7.86 $6.90 $6.65 $5.77 $5.79 $5.25 $4.99 $5.07 $4.81 $4.72 $4.65 $4.33 $4.21 $3.69 $3.46 $1.72 $1.72
Debt/Share $8.08 $8.11 $8.63 $8.70 $8.86 $8.89 $12.50 $12.48 $12.52 $12.53 $12.97 $12.93 $12.88 $12.85 $13.34 $13.39 $13.40 $13.33 $13.45 $13.45 $13.45
Net Debt/Share $4.36 $4.37 $3.99 $4.02 $4.10 $4.11 $10.21 $10.19 $10.22 $10.23 $8.90 $8.87 $8.84 $8.82 $8.88 $8.91 $8.92 $8.87 $8.72 $8.72 $8.72
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 5,000
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $120708.60
Income/Employee snapshot only $7459.60
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $9503.00
FCF/Employee snapshot only $12442.20
Assets/Employee snapshot only $240348.60
Market Cap/Employee snapshot only $101788.89
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 2.634
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.944
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 8 7 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 7 6 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score -1.28 -1.61 -1.11 -0.54 -0.51 -0.49 -3.00 -3.00 -3.15 -3.36 -2.82 -2.92 -2.90 -2.79 -0.08 0.04 0.01 -0.19 -2.85
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.062
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 5.83%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $3.04
EVA snapshot only $-62036330.09
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 89.17 95.32 93.82 91.96 87.71 86.40 77.13 77.08 77.43 80.13 82.10 86.67 86.45 86.45 82.65 76.99 75.28 76.84 76.81 68.01 68.013
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.973
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 50
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 73

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