— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: SEATW (NASDAQ) · $vol 0M

SEAT NASDAQ

Vivid Seats Inc.
1W: -12.9% 1M: +11.3% 3M: +6.2% YTD: +15.1% 1Y: -79.5% 3Y: -95.8%
$7.98
-0.08 (-0.99%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±16.9%
$7 $8 $10 $12 $13
NASDAQ · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 61 · $66.2M mcap · 4M float · 3.29% daily turnover · Short 47% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
35.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 179.4%
Cost Advantage
23
Intangibles
39
Switching Cost
34
Network Effect
39
Scale ★
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SEAT has No discernible competitive edge (35.5/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 179.4% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$8
Low
$8
Avg Target
$8
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 5, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 6Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$8.08
Analysts5
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-06 Morgan Stanley $7 $8 +1 +8.2% $7.16
2026-03-13 Morgan Stanley Cameron Mansson $9 $7 -2 +23.9% $5.65
2026-03-13 Canaccord Genuity Maria Ripps $4 $10 +6 +70.9% $5.85
2026-03-13 Scotiabank Initiated $10 +77.0% $5.65
2026-03-12 Jefferies Initiated $6 0.0% $5.65
2026-01-20 Deutsche Bank $4 $7 +2 +1.6% $6.89
2025-12-18 Morgan Stanley $4 $9 +5 +30.9% $6.88
2025-11-07 RBC Capital $10 $12 +2 +17.1% $10.25
2025-08-05 Craig-Hallum $8 $2 -6 +96.1% $1.02
2025-05-07 Maxim Group Tom Forte $7 $3 -4 +72.9% $1.74
2025-05-07 Canaccord Genuity Maria Ripps Initiated $4 +130.5% $1.74
2024-12-18 Morgan Stanley Cameron Mansson Initiated $4 +23.9% $3.39
2024-09-10 Craig-Hallum Ryan Sigdahl Initiated $8 +68.8% $4.74
2024-08-12 Deutsche Bank Benjamin Black Initiated $4 +23.0% $3.66
2024-08-07 Piper Sandler Matt Farrell $9 $5 -4 +34.4% $3.72
2024-08-06 D.A. Davidson Tom White $7 $6 -0 +51.5% $4.29
2024-05-29 D.A. Davidson Tom White Initiated $7 +45.8% $4.80
2024-04-17 Maxim Group Tom Forte Initiated $7 +27.5% $5.49
2022-08-29 RBC Capital Brad Erickson Initiated $10 +23.0% $8.54
2022-08-09 Piper Sandler Matt Farrell Initiated $9 +3.4% $8.70

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SEAT receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5). Areas of concern: ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-05 B- C+
2026-05-05 C+ B-
2026-04-02 B- C+
2026-03-23 C+ B-
2026-03-16 B- C+
2026-03-12 C B-
2026-03-12 C+ C
2026-01-03 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

7 Grade D
Profitability
18
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
37
Growth
12
Value
15
Momentum
20
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SEAT scores highest in Earnings Quality (37/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-5.63
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Beneish M-Score
-6.34
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-1.56
Bankruptcy prob: 17.3%
Moderate
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 15.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 0.05x
Accruals: -36.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SEAT scores -5.63, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SEAT scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SEAT's score of -6.34 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SEAT's implied 17.3% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SEAT receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 15.1/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.20x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.12x
P/B
-0.90x
P/FCF
-1.83x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
0.03x
EV/Revenue
-0.03x
EV/EBIT
0.03x
EV/FCF
0.53x
Earnings Yield
-685.21%
FCF Yield
-54.54%
Shareholder Yield
19.25%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. SEAT currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.662
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.041
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-1.193
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.469
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
12.916
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-497.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SEAT's ROE of -497.8% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 12.92x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1152 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.98
Median 1Y
$2.85
5th Pctile
$0.89
95th Pctile
$9.13
Ann. Volatility
73.1%
Analyst Target
$8.08
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Stanley Chia
Former Chief Executive Officer
$741,539 $10,000,003 $11,974,476
Lawrence Fey
Chief Executive Officer
$337,908 $8,999,996 $9,351,904
Stefano Langenbacher Technology
nology Officer
$441,039 $5,000,010 $5,669,261
Riva Bakal Product
Chief Product & Strategy Officer
$335,192 $3,000,012 $3,716,972
Edward Pickus Accounting
unting Officer
$309,039 $1,450,021 $1,933,444

CEO Pay Ratio

148:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $11,974,476
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $80,888
Employees: 5,000

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
5,000
+551.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$114,155
Rev: $570,776,000
Profit / Employee
$-85,860
NI: $-429,301,000
SGA / Employee
$80,888
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -0.4% -0.5% -1.7% -2.5% -4.6% -6.4% -9.8% -9.6% -53.7% -49.3% -26.4% -25.4% 5.1% -1.4% -77.1% -84.7% -4.9% -5.0% -4.98%
ROA 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 5.1% 2.7% 2.6% 0.6% -0.2% -8.9% -9.7% -37.8% -38.5% -38.54%
ROIC -5.1% -6.5% -8.6% -11.1% -22.7% -28.2% -36.1% -34.7% 49.1% 45.4% 30.9% 26.1% 6.3% -8.2% -59.9% -66.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.79%
ROCE 0.9% 1.7% 4.6% 7.0% 10.6% 14.1% 12.7% 12.7% 7.9% 6.5% 5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2% -13.2% -16.7% -1.9% -1.9% -1.90%
Gross Margin 77.9% 75.4% 78.0% 76.0% 76.8% 76.6% 74.2% 73.2% 74.1% 74.0% 75.4% 72.7% 73.7% 72.9% 70.4% 67.5% 66.8% 59.1% 59.05%
Operating Margin 27.8% 10.5% 12.1% 13.8% 15.0% 20.8% 10.7% 10.7% 5.1% 10.8% 4.0% 5.8% 1.5% -2.6% -2.3% -16.8% -14.2% -6.1% -6.12%
Net Margin 2.0% 1.0% 6.5% 4.9% 6.1% 7.6% 18.6% 3.5% 12.6% 3.2% -0.5% 2.8% -0.4% -3.6% -97.3% -6.3% -2.2% -11.6% -11.63%
EBITDA Margin 5.6% 6.5% 19.3% 15.3% 18.8% 22.6% 11.7% 13.0% 11.2% 15.0% 7.7% 16.3% 8.8% 6.5% -1.2% -6.7% -3.2% 3.9% 3.94%
FCF Margin 2.6% 8.3% -0.3% -1.0% -0.2% 6.6% 12.6% 16.9% 18.9% 14.3% 9.3% 3.3% 4.5% -4.2% -6.5% -4.7% -19.9% -6.5% -6.55%
OCF Margin 2.8% 9.6% 1.4% 1.0% 2.4% 8.9% 14.8% 18.7% 20.7% 16.3% 11.6% 5.0% 7.0% -1.4% -3.7% -0.9% -16.0% -3.8% -3.81%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -21.51%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.98%
Cash ROA snapshot only -3.19%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -56.42%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.24%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 70.11%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.88%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 258.10 190.60 41.55 28.68 50.65 37.74 25.65 20.92 16.31 18.46 32.63 21.88 102.73 -238.72 -2.48 -1.10 -0.18 -0.15 -0.197
P/S Ratio 5.25 2.97 1.34 1.05 2.42 2.37 2.40 1.84 1.71 1.70 1.54 1.00 1.25 0.83 0.50 0.27 0.13 0.12 0.124
P/B Ratio -1.00 -1.02 -0.69 -0.73 -3.79 -3.90 -4.06 -3.26 11.58 12.03 11.39 7.35 3.71 2.37 1.34 0.66 -0.89 -0.75 -0.905
P/FCF 203.63 36.00 -458.61 -100.29 -1406.58 36.11 19.07 10.87 9.04 11.93 16.55 30.64 27.54 -19.70 -7.73 -5.63 -0.66 -1.83 -1.833
P/OCF 184.30 31.04 97.46 103.71 100.98 26.70 16.26 9.80 8.25 10.41 13.29 19.75 17.96
EV/EBITDA 90.87 47.83 12.19 8.54 16.12 12.73 14.33 11.50 13.42 15.04 14.99 9.65 12.33 10.60 -4.65 -2.24 0.01 0.03 0.032
EV/Revenue 5.07 2.87 1.27 1.00 2.47 2.42 2.45 1.88 1.93 1.92 1.75 1.20 1.46 1.05 0.74 0.52 -0.01 -0.03 -0.035
EV/EBIT 99.77 54.63 13.32 9.36 18.07 14.03 16.09 13.05 16.28 20.71 23.88 16.81 24.68 29.19 -3.22 -1.66 0.01 0.03 0.029
EV/FCF 196.67 34.79 -435.84 -95.59 -1436.64 36.86 19.45 11.15 10.22 13.43 18.76 36.96 32.20 -24.92 -11.37 -11.02 0.06 0.53 0.528
Earnings Yield 0.4% 0.5% 2.4% 3.5% 2.0% 2.6% 3.9% 4.8% 6.1% 5.4% 3.1% 4.6% 1.0% -0.4% -40.4% -90.5% -5.7% -6.9% -6.85%
FCF Yield 0.5% 2.8% -0.2% -1.0% -0.1% 2.8% 5.2% 9.2% 11.1% 8.4% 6.0% 3.3% 3.6% -5.1% -12.9% -17.8% -1.5% -54.5% -54.54%
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -0.052
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 19.25%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.59 0.59 0.588
Quick Ratio 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.53 0.53 0.529
Debt/Equity -0.53 -0.53 -0.53 -0.53 -0.74 -0.74 -0.74 -0.74 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 -0.24 -0.24 -0.239
Net Debt/Equity 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63
Debt/Assets 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.03 0.03 0.032
Debt/EBITDA 50.31 26.02 9.97 6.56 3.07 2.36 2.55 2.54 2.78 3.01 3.15 2.95 4.44 5.52 -3.69 -2.72 -0.04 -0.03 -0.035
Net Debt/EBITDA -3.21 -1.66 -0.64 -0.42 0.34 0.26 0.28 0.28 1.55 1.68 1.76 1.65 1.79 2.22 -1.49 -1.09 0.14 0.14 0.141
Interest Coverage 1.08 1.33 2.95 3.71 6.38 8.92 8.04 8.22 6.25 4.49 3.18 2.56 1.98 1.13 -6.62 -8.46 -26.47 -26.45 -26.455
Equity Multiplier -1.64 -1.64 -1.64 -1.64 -3.01 -3.01 -3.01 -3.01 14.76 14.76 14.76 14.76 6.27 6.27 6.27 6.27 -7.48 -7.48 -7.481
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.339
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -24.291
Cash to Debt snapshot only 5.039
FCF to Debt snapshot only -1.711
Defensive Interval snapshot only 66.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.21 0.31 0.43 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.57 0.49 0.47 0.44 0.40 0.50 0.47 0.469
Inventory Turnover 3.08 5.81 8.56 11.76 11.44 11.90 12.73 13.78 10.78 11.48 11.84 11.88 9.94 9.69 9.38 9.05 9.18 9.55 9.554
Receivables Turnover 4.54 8.16 12.25 16.59 16.52 17.36 17.84 18.71 15.01 15.63 16.33 16.29 14.52 14.02 13.00 12.06 14.45 13.49 13.486
Payables Turnover 0.19 0.36 0.53 0.72 0.80 0.83 0.89 0.96 0.87 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.82 0.80 0.78 0.75 0.90 0.93 0.934
DSO 80 45 30 22 22 21 20 20 24 23 22 22 25 26 28 30 25 27 27.1 days
DIO 119 63 43 31 32 31 29 26 34 32 31 31 37 38 39 40 40 38 38.2 days
DPO 1926 1020 692 504 458 440 412 380 420 394 382 381 443 455 470 487 407 391 390.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -1727 -913 -620 -451 -404 -389 -362 -334 -361 -339 -329 -328 -382 -391 -403 -416 -342 -326 -325.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 23.267
Operating Cycle snapshot only 65.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.185
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.196
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 2.7% 1.1% 46.5% 13.4% 18.8% 17.8% 19.6% 13.9% 8.8% 0.8% -10.5% -16.8% -26.4% -28.9% -28.88%
Net Income 7.6% 7.6% 3.3% 1.7% 1.6% 72.9% -39.6% -40.9% -87.4% -1.0% -4.9% -5.4% -46.5% -167.9% -167.91%
EPS 2.4% 2.5% 71.8% 14.9% 1.7% 60.5% -42.9% -44.9% -88.4% -1.0% -4.9% -5.4% -46.5% -162.3% -162.30%
FCF -1.2% 70.2% 64.2% 19.3% 131.4% 1.6% -11.4% -78.0% -73.9% -1.3% -1.6% -2.2% -4.2% -10.9% -10.94%
EBITDA 9.1% 5.8% 1.4% 58.7% 11.4% -21.1% -18.3% -13.3% -10.4% -21.9% -2.2% -2.6% -7.3% -8.9% -8.89%
Op. Income 71.5% 65.2% 26.4% -2.9% 4.1% -30.0% -39.8% -48.5% -48.1% -74.8% -6.5% -8.2% -9.9% -23.1% -23.07%
OCF Growth snapshot only -92.80%
Asset Growth snapshot only -61.07%
Equity Growth snapshot only -1.33%
Debt Growth snapshot only -95.00%
Shares Change snapshot only 3.44%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 67.9% 36.5% 16.2% 2.4% -1.7% -5.5% -5.48%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y 2.3%
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y 41.4%
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 1.2% 61.1%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 65.0% 34.6% 13.8% -0.1% -4.7% -10.1% -10.09%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y -2.5% -33.8%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y 1.0%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 1.3%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% -17.9% -17.9% -17.91%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y
Book Value 3Y
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.90 0.92 0.98 1.00 0.83 0.80 0.64 0.16 0.00 0.13 0.131
Earnings Stability 0.97 1.00 0.23 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.48 0.53 0.46 0.49 0.487
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.937
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.84 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.11 0.47 0.51 0.49 0.00
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.08 -0.077
FCF Margin Trend 0.18 0.07 0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.15 -0.17 -0.15 -0.32 -0.12 -0.116
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.1%
Internal Growth Rate 0.3% 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 2.8% 2.7% 0.6%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.40 6.14 0.43 0.28 0.50 1.41 1.58 2.14 1.98 1.77 2.46 1.11 5.72 4.06 0.18 0.04 0.21 0.05 0.046
FCF/OCF 0.91 0.86 -0.21 -1.03 -0.07 0.74 0.85 0.90 0.91 0.87 0.80 0.64 0.65 2.98 1.78 5.42 1.24 1.72 1.717
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.080
CapEx/Revenue 0.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 2.7% 2.73%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.280
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.07 -0.09 -0.30 -0.37 -0.368
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.085
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -1.395
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $4.48 $4.47 $4.47 $4.32 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 5.3% 3.9% 1.2% 80.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 4.2% 72.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Payout Ratio 76.1% 55.2% 17.8% 11.7% 1.1% 1.0% 66.1% 62.1% 27.0% 22.8% 88.8% 1.0% 2.4%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 27.4% 27.0% 39.9% 38.1% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 1.2% 2.7% 4.6% 2.4% 4.2% 5.4% 10.7% 24.2% 19.2% 19.25%
Net Buyback Yield -27.8% -27.3% -40.4% -37.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 1.2% 2.7% 4.6% 2.4% 4.2% 5.4% 10.7% 22.1% 16.7% 16.71%
Total Shareholder Return -25.7% -25.3% -37.4% -34.8% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 1.2% 2.7% 4.6% 2.4% 4.2% 5.4% 10.7% 22.1% 16.7% 16.71%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 10.29 1.30 0.52 0.47 0.41 0.41 0.70 0.69 1.05 1.28 0.94 1.04 0.41 -0.84 0.77 0.69 0.66 0.66 0.662
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.04 0.23 0.65 0.73 0.84 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.84 0.78 0.69 0.61 0.50 0.11 1.15 1.12 1.04 1.04 1.041
EBIT Margin 0.05 0.05 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.17 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.04 -0.23 -0.31 -1.10 -1.19 -1.193
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.21 0.31 0.43 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.57 0.49 0.47 0.44 0.40 0.50 0.47 0.469
Equity Multiplier -1.64 -1.64 -1.64 -1.64 -2.06 -2.06 -2.06 -2.06 -9.73 -9.73 -9.73 -9.73 8.70 8.70 8.70 8.70 12.92 12.92 12.916
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.84 $1.16 $3.60 $5.34 $2.88 $4.04 $6.18 $6.14 $7.75 $6.49 $3.52 $3.38 $0.90 $-0.25 $-13.65 $-15.05 $-41.01 $-40.50 $-40.50
Book Value/Share $-217.64 $-217.48 $-217.18 $-209.86 $-38.49 $-39.09 $-38.98 $-39.38 $10.92 $9.96 $10.10 $10.07 $24.97 $24.97 $25.23 $25.35 $-8.13 $-7.87 $-8.82
Tangible Book/Share $-419.11 $-418.79 $-418.22 $-404.13 $-118.68 $-120.51 $-120.17 $-121.41 $-112.65 $-102.75 $-104.17 $-103.89 $-87.52 $-87.52 $-88.43 $-88.83 $-48.77 $-47.21 $-47.21
Revenue/Share $41.44 $74.45 $111.62 $146.10 $60.38 $64.40 $66.02 $69.92 $74.12 $70.43 $74.57 $74.22 $74.17 $71.61 $67.07 $62.49 $54.52 $49.24 $49.24
FCF/Share $1.07 $6.14 $-0.33 $-1.53 $-0.10 $4.23 $8.31 $11.81 $13.99 $10.04 $6.95 $2.42 $3.36 $-3.01 $-4.37 $-2.95 $-10.85 $-3.22 $-3.22
OCF/Share $1.18 $7.13 $1.53 $1.48 $1.45 $5.71 $9.74 $13.11 $15.32 $11.51 $8.65 $3.75 $5.16 $-1.01 $-2.45 $-0.54 $-8.75 $-1.88 $-1.88
Cash/Share $123.79 $123.69 $123.53 $119.36 $25.30 $25.69 $25.62 $25.88 $13.05 $11.90 $12.06 $12.03 $23.28 $23.29 $23.53 $23.63 $9.81 $9.50 $13.27
EBITDA/Share $2.31 $4.47 $11.65 $17.09 $9.25 $12.24 $11.27 $11.44 $10.65 $8.97 $8.70 $9.25 $8.78 $7.07 $-10.67 $-14.56 $-55.16 $-53.92 $-53.92
Debt/Share $116.35 $116.27 $116.11 $112.20 $28.42 $28.86 $28.78 $29.07 $29.61 $27.00 $27.38 $27.31 $38.98 $38.99 $39.39 $39.57 $1.95 $1.88 $1.88
Net Debt/Share $-7.43 $-7.43 $-7.42 $-7.17 $3.12 $3.17 $3.16 $3.19 $16.56 $15.11 $15.31 $15.27 $15.70 $15.70 $15.86 $15.93 $-7.86 $-7.61 $-7.61
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -5.625
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -14.853
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 3 3 4 6 5 5 7 6 6 4 6 3 4 4 2 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.37 -2.47 -2.56 -2.68 -2.04 -1.99 -2.01 -1.77 -2.78 -2.65 -2.92 -3.03 -5.81 -6.34 -6.344
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -1.565
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-50.25
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 18.73 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 50.70 45.36 34.62 28.75 26.43 20.26 18.02 17.24 14.89 15.08 15.077
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -5.180
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 6
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 5

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