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TALO NYSE

Talos Energy Inc.
1W: +2.9% 1M: +6.5% 3M: +17.5% YTD: +41.2% 1Y: +95.3% 3Y: +39.2% 5Y: +24.7%
$16.04
+0.16 (+1.01%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.2%
$14 $15 $16 $17 $18
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 58 · $2.7B mcap · 124M float · 1.96% daily turnover · Short 49% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
23.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -10.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 2.1%
Cost Advantage
21
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
30
Network Effect
28
Scale
28
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. TALO has No discernible competitive edge (23.6/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -10.6% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$17
Low
$17
Avg Target
$17
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 5, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 6Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$17.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-06 Mizuho Securities $14 $17 +3 +6.9% $15.91
2025-12-12 Mizuho Securities $16 $14 -2 +21.6% $11.51
2025-12-05 KeyBanc Tim Rezvan $16 $14 -2 +14.6% $11.78
2024-10-16 Mizuho Securities Nitin Kumar Initiated $16 +62.1% $9.87
2024-10-15 KeyBanc Tim Rezvan $21 $16 -5 +63.0% $9.81
2024-07-21 Goldman Sachs Neil Mehta Initiated $14 +22.5% $11.43
2024-05-07 Stephens Mike Scialla Initiated $24 +79.8% $13.35
2024-04-23 Stifel Nicolaus Nate Pendleton Initiated $19 +40.0% $13.57
2024-04-21 KeyBanc Tim Rezvan Initiated $21 +54.8% $13.57

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. TALO receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-30 B- C+
2026-04-27 C+ B-
2026-04-06 C- C+
2026-03-30 C C-
2026-03-23 C- C
2026-03-18 C C-
2026-03-02 C- C
2026-02-26 C C-
2026-02-06 C- C
2026-02-02 C C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

19 Grade D
Profitability
8
Balance Sheet
52
Earnings Quality
24
Growth
20
Value
40
Momentum
26
Safety
15
Cash Flow
52
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TALO scores highest in Cash Flow (52/100) and lowest in Profitability (8/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.38
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
4.15
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.38
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 37.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -1.12x
Accruals: -26.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. TALO scores 0.38, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TALO scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TALO's score of 4.15 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TALO's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TALO receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 37.5/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-3.64x
PEG
0.04x
P/S
1.54x
P/B
1.44x
P/FCF
4.72x
P/OCF
3.18x
EV/EBITDA
4.58x
EV/Revenue
2.03x
EV/EBIT
-9.69x
EV/FCF
6.29x
Earnings Yield
-27.99%
FCF Yield
21.18%
Shareholder Yield
5.29%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. TALO currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.811
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
2.512
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.210
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.296
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.383
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-30.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TALO's ROE of -30.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.296), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$16.04
Median 1Y
$11.96
5th Pctile
$3.91
95th Pctile
$36.65
Ann. Volatility
66.4%
Analyst Target
$17.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Paul R. Goodfellow
President & CEO
$819,555 $6,513,948 $9,351,093
John B. Spath
EVP, Head of Operations
$500,966 $1,974,825 $3,110,791
William S. Moss
III ( 6 ) EVP, General Counsel
$475,763 $1,900,462 $2,980,525
Sergio L. Maiworm,
Jr. Former EVP & CFO
$242,220 $1,974,825 $2,270,895
Gregory M. Babcock
Former Interim CFO; VP & Chief Accounting Officer
$431,467 $770,715 $1,612,230
Zachary B. Dailey
EVP & CFO
$170,564 $628,352 $1,004,816
William Langin EVP,
Exploration & Development
$131,823 $362,002 $658,874
Joseph A. Mills
Former Interim President and CEO
$6,660 $238,881 $245,541

CEO Pay Ratio

42:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $9,351,093
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $221,954
Employees: 700

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
700
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$2,542,957
Rev: $1,780,070,000
Profit / Employee
$-709,083
NI: $-496,358,000
SGA / Employee
$221,954
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -72.8% -69.3% -21.7% -15.2% 22.9% 54.5% 39.7% 55.9% 37.0% 10.8% 11.3% -0.9% -1.0% 4.5% -3.1% 1.1% -7.0% -14.5% -20.1% -30.1% -30.14%
ROA -26.9% -25.6% -6.5% -4.6% 6.9% 16.4% 13.1% 18.5% 12.2% 3.6% 4.8% -0.4% -0.4% 1.9% -1.4% 0.5% -3.1% -6.5% -8.5% -12.6% -12.65%
ROIC -6.8% -1.5% 17.7% 24.9% 42.6% 46.8% 42.4% 33.2% 19.0% 31.3% 9.3% 6.4% 6.8% 6.2% 3.5% 1.9% -3.6% -5.9% -10.1% -10.6% -10.57%
ROCE -24.5% -21.5% -2.4% -0.0% 14.8% 26.9% 20.7% 25.5% 18.9% 8.6% 7.1% 3.2% 3.1% 6.0% 2.1% 4.2% -0.2% -4.5% -7.3% -7.4% -7.43%
Gross Margin 43.1% 45.2% 52.6% 61.6% 62.8% 53.6% 41.8% 28.9% 26.0% 30.2% 25.4% 18.3% 18.5% 14.0% 20.7% 20.4% 4.2% 11.9% -7.9% 16.5% 16.50%
Operating Margin 30.7% 31.7% 32.5% 52.6% 53.2% 43.5% 23.0% 2.4% 11.0% 33.1% 9.0% 15.8% 9.9% 4.6% 5.6% 8.5% -64.4% -19.1% -18.8% 5.4% 5.42%
Net Margin -41.4% -5.7% 21.2% -16.1% 37.6% 66.4% 0.8% 27.9% 3.7% -0.5% 22.3% -26.2% 2.3% 17.3% -13.3% -1.9% -43.8% -21.3% -52.2% -54.2% -54.24%
EBITDA Margin 7.8% 40.4% 60.5% 18.7% 67.0% 1.0% 49.7% 76.8% 70.5% 55.4% 86.0% 37.1% 63.9% 89.6% 60.1% 66.8% 28.3% 47.6% 37.1% 61.6% 61.59%
FCF Margin -2.8% 3.2% -7.5% -2.6% 3.7% 9.4% 23.4% 24.5% 29.9% 17.2% 16.5% 8.6% 12.5% 27.8% 33.6% 47.7% 54.0% 49.6% 45.8% 32.3% 32.31%
OCF Margin 35.3% 31.7% 33.1% 32.9% 35.3% 39.1% 43.0% 42.2% 44.9% 36.3% 35.6% 35.3% 35.9% 42.1% 48.8% 55.2% 61.9% 57.8% 52.6% 48.0% 47.99%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -11.33%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -0.93%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.42%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.48%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -9.54%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.03%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 27.39%
CROIC snapshot only 18.44%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -18.52%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -52.65%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.30%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.54%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -1.75 -1.62 -4.42 -10.13 6.71 3.03 4.17 2.95 4.89 19.58 9.51 -147.51 -137.24 25.25 -22.89 66.91 -8.74 -4.67 -3.89 -3.57 -3.637
P/S Ratio 1.46 1.09 0.65 0.93 0.81 0.82 0.96 1.02 1.24 1.44 1.22 1.41 1.28 1.00 0.89 0.85 0.78 0.89 1.08 1.53 1.539
P/B Ratio 1.38 1.22 1.06 1.70 1.70 1.83 1.37 1.36 1.50 1.75 0.83 1.02 1.04 0.87 0.63 0.63 0.55 0.60 0.89 1.22 1.441
P/FCF -51.70 33.91 -8.65 -35.90 21.75 8.74 4.12 4.15 4.14 8.36 7.42 16.32 10.19 3.59 2.64 1.79 1.44 1.79 2.37 4.72 4.722
P/OCF 4.14 3.44 1.97 2.83 2.28 2.11 2.25 2.41 2.76 3.97 3.43 3.99 3.56 2.37 1.82 1.54 1.26 1.53 2.06 3.18 3.179
EV/EBITDA -15.38 -32.44 4.27 4.90 2.85 2.22 2.20 1.87 2.17 2.92 2.80 3.51 3.22 2.34 2.29 2.00 2.18 2.89 3.42 4.58 4.584
EV/Revenue 2.57 2.03 1.38 1.59 1.37 1.36 1.30 1.37 1.63 1.84 2.02 2.15 1.94 1.62 1.46 1.40 1.36 1.49 1.58 2.03 2.031
EV/EBIT -3.85 -4.09 -33.43 -53824.90 6.89 3.96 4.23 3.43 4.98 12.27 9.81 24.81 25.95 11.85 24.62 12.48 -228.33 -11.48 -7.82 -9.69 -9.689
EV/FCF -90.94 63.13 -18.39 -61.13 37.06 14.44 5.57 5.62 5.46 10.65 12.26 24.91 15.50 5.82 4.35 2.94 2.53 3.01 3.44 6.29 6.286
Earnings Yield -57.0% -61.6% -22.6% -9.9% 14.9% 33.0% 24.0% 33.9% 20.5% 5.1% 10.5% -0.7% -0.7% 4.0% -4.4% 1.5% -11.4% -21.4% -25.7% -28.0% -27.99%
FCF Yield -1.9% 2.9% -11.6% -2.8% 4.6% 11.4% 24.3% 24.1% 24.2% 12.0% 13.5% 6.1% 9.8% 27.9% 37.9% 56.0% 69.3% 55.9% 42.3% 21.2% 21.18%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.042
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.224
EV/OCF snapshot only 4.232
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 29.800
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 5.29%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.55 0.55 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 1.30 1.30 1.305
Quick Ratio 0.55 0.55 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 1.30 1.30 1.305
Debt/Equity 1.09 1.09 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.57 0.57 0.573
Net Debt/Equity 1.05 1.05 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.405
Debt/Assets 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.224
Debt/EBITDA -6.87 -15.54 2.44 2.18 1.27 0.94 0.62 0.52 0.57 0.68 1.14 1.24 1.13 0.92 0.99 0.86 1.02 1.28 1.51 1.61 1.611
Net Debt/EBITDA -6.64 -15.01 2.26 2.02 1.18 0.88 0.57 0.49 0.53 0.63 1.11 1.21 1.10 0.90 0.90 0.79 0.94 1.17 1.07 1.14 1.141
Interest Coverage -5.08 -4.16 -0.39 -0.00 2.51 4.68 4.05 4.75 3.16 1.30 1.73 0.73 0.69 1.34 0.62 1.30 -0.07 -1.48 -1.46 -2.21 -2.208
Equity Multiplier 3.06 3.06 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 2.62 2.62 2.62 2.62 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.56 2.56 2.561
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.563
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.666
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.292
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.453
Defensive Interval snapshot only 475.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.32 0.38 0.44 0.50 0.57 0.60 0.57 0.54 0.48 0.49 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.48 0.36 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.30 0.30 0.296
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 8.19 9.66 8.91 9.96 11.50 12.11 10.20 9.64 8.70 8.74 8.85 9.50 10.60 11.37 9.50 9.90 9.30 9.01 6.36 6.21 6.215
Payables Turnover 7.37 7.56 7.16 7.06 7.27 7.43 6.79 7.44 8.18 9.04 9.94 11.09 12.75 14.35 16.12 16.69 16.28 15.87 15.57 15.43 15.433
DSO 45 38 41 37 32 30 36 38 42 42 41 38 34 32 38 37 39 41 57 59 58.7 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 50 48 51 52 50 49 54 49 45 40 37 33 29 25 23 22 22 23 23 24 23.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -5 -11 -10 -15 -18 -19 -18 -11 -3 1 5 6 6 7 16 15 17 18 34 35 35.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 54.598
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.794
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.192
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 20.9% 64.1% 1.2% 1.1% 83.3% 63.7% 32.7% 12.2% -12.3% -16.4% -11.7% 0.3% 24.0% 32.4% 35.4% 31.4% 10.6% -0.0% -9.8% -15.4% -15.43%
Net Income -9.0% -19.1% 60.7% 82.8% 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 5.2% 84.8% -77.4% -50.9% -1.0% -1.0% -29.0% -1.4% 2.7% -9.6% -5.8% -5.5% -29.4% -29.37%
EPS -7.5% -16.5% 64.2% 83.0% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 4.2% 23.1% -84.7% -66.9% -1.0% -1.0% -51.2% -1.3% 2.5% -10.0% -6.0% -5.7% -31.4% -31.36%
FCF -2.7% 1.7% -53.3% 57.8% 3.4% 3.8% 5.1% 11.6% 6.1% 52.7% -37.9% -64.6% -48.0% 1.1% 1.8% 6.2% 3.8% 78.6% 23.0% -42.7% -42.70%
EBITDA -1.3% -1.2% 3.8% 2.9% 6.3% 17.1% 1.4% 1.6% 36.9% -14.6% 7.2% -16.4% -0.6% 46.0% 19.9% 49.9% 14.9% -25.4% -34.6% -46.5% -46.53%
Op. Income -159.5% 60.5% 1.9% 2.5% 5.3% 23.3% 96.5% -0.2% -59.0% -67.6% -71.5% -48.8% -2.5% -28.8% -17.6% -44.9% -1.6% -2.6% -3.3% -3.7% -3.75%
OCF Growth snapshot only -26.42%
Asset Growth snapshot only -10.33%
Equity Growth snapshot only -21.44%
Debt Growth snapshot only 0.09%
Shares Change snapshot only -6.55%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 62.6% 28.6% 18.6% 14.8% 17.3% 21.7% 22.1% 19.5% 24.8% 31.0% 36.3% 33.4% 25.9% 21.9% 16.6% 13.9% 6.3% 3.4% 2.5% 3.7% 3.67%
Revenue 5Y 47.2% 23.8% 14.4% 11.2% 11.9% 14.8% 16.8% 17.6% 21.7% 24.3% 25.3% 21.4% 21.38%
EPS 3Y -25.6% -6.4% 61.4% -3.3% 27.2%
EPS 5Y -19.8% -42.8% -51.8%
Net Income 3Y -14.1% 8.1% 86.7% 18.2% 57.8%
Net Income 5Y -5.2% -27.3% -39.6%
EBITDA 3Y -13.5% -9.4% -1.6% 6.8% 25.0% 10.0% 23.0% 29.2% 1.3% 46.2% 47.4% 16.1% -2.4% -5.6% -12.5% -12.47%
EBITDA 5Y 1.1% 38.4% 11.0% 9.7% 5.3% 8.7% 20.2% 10.8% 16.3% 18.6% 58.0%
Gross Profit 3Y 30.7% 13.2% 13.6% 16.7% 22.7% 30.9% 42.9% 39.9% 96.8% 1.3% 20.1% -1.7% -14.4% -19.3% -31.5% -34.5% -46.1% -46.3% -46.28%
Gross Profit 5Y 39.4% 12.0% 1.0% -3.0% -4.5% -4.5% 2.1% 6.3% 33.2% 30.8% 30.78%
Op. Income 3Y 22.3% 33.3% 36.6% 48.2% 51.2% 40.3% 5.5% -22.7% -34.5%
Op. Income 5Y 49.3% 14.2% 0.5% 3.9% 0.4% -5.5% -4.1% -4.9%
FCF 3Y 84.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 1.5% 1.6% 79.9% 28.3% 13.7% 13.73%
FCF 5Y 79.4% 87.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4%
OCF 3Y 66.1% 46.6% 22.5% 20.0% 18.7% 13.6% 21.7% 12.5% 16.2% 16.7% 19.8% 28.8% 26.6% 34.1% 32.8% 35.3% 28.3% 17.8% 9.7% 8.2% 8.20%
OCF 5Y 56.5% 37.6% 18.3% 15.8% 13.1% 11.8% 19.6% 19.6% 24.3% 27.4% 25.4% 26.4% 26.40%
Assets 3Y 31.8% 31.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 19.3% 19.3% 19.3% 19.3% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 22.0% 22.0% 21.99%
Assets 5Y 19.8% 19.8% 14.2% 14.2% 14.2% 14.2% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 14.4% 14.4% 14.39%
Equity 3Y -8.9% -8.9% -8.9% -8.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 32.5% 32.5% 32.5% 32.5% 53.7% 53.7% 53.7% 53.7% 23.0% 23.0% 22.98%
Book Value 3Y -20.9% -20.7% -21.1% -21.1% -11.3% -16.0% -17.3% -14.7% 11.8% 6.1% 1.2% 1.8% 18.5% 18.2% 19.6% 20.6% -3.6% 5.7% 5.71%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.42 0.45 0.28 0.24 0.44 0.59 0.66 0.68 0.89 0.79 0.67 0.63 0.66 0.75 0.86 0.93 0.86 0.78 0.76 0.77 0.772
Earnings Stability 0.40 0.46 0.58 0.26 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.42 0.19 0.17 0.36 0.39 0.17 0.16 0.36 0.48 0.27 0.27 0.43 0.62 0.61 0.59 0.58 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.140
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.88 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.40 0.00 0.32 0.66
ROE Trend -0.98 -0.91 -0.02 0.08 0.61 1.00 0.70 0.95 0.57 0.16 0.04 -0.15 -0.29 -0.31 -0.23 -0.22 -0.21 -0.19 -0.26 -0.34 -0.344
Gross Margin Trend -0.04 0.15 0.31 0.34 0.39 0.43 0.37 0.21 -0.03 -0.15 -0.23 -0.26 -0.25 -0.26 -0.24 -0.19 -0.15 -0.10 -0.15 -0.15 -0.147
FCF Margin Trend -0.04 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.12 0.32 0.32 0.29 0.11 0.09 -0.02 -0.04 0.14 0.14 0.31 0.33 0.27 0.21 0.04 0.041
Sustainable Growth Rate 22.9% 54.5% 39.7% 55.9% 37.0% 10.8% 11.3% 4.5% 1.1%
Internal Growth Rate 7.4% 19.7% 15.1% 22.7% 14.0% 3.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.42 -0.47 -2.25 -3.58 2.94 1.44 1.86 1.22 1.77 4.93 2.77 -36.92 -38.60 10.67 -12.60 43.33 -6.95 -3.04 -1.89 -1.12 -1.124
FCF/OCF -0.08 0.10 -0.23 -0.08 0.11 0.24 0.54 0.58 0.67 0.47 0.46 0.24 0.35 0.66 0.69 0.86 0.87 0.86 0.87 0.67 0.673
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.757
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.083
CapEx/Revenue 38.1% 28.5% 40.6% 35.5% 31.6% 29.7% 19.6% 17.7% 15.0% 19.1% 19.1% 26.7% 23.4% 14.4% 15.2% 7.5% 8.0% 8.2% 6.8% 15.7% 15.68%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.240
Accruals Ratio -0.38 -0.38 -0.21 -0.21 -0.13 -0.07 -0.11 -0.04 -0.09 -0.14 -0.08 -0.14 -0.16 -0.18 -0.19 -0.20 -0.25 -0.26 -0.24 -0.27 -0.269
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.149
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.061
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 2.3% 1.0% 1.2% 4.7% 13.4% 45.7% 25.4% 68.5% 2.4%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 6.2% 6.2% 5.3% 5.29%
Net Buyback Yield -5.3% -6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% -19.3% -18.6% -21.7% -17.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.29%
Total Shareholder Return -5.3% -6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% -19.3% -18.6% -21.7% -17.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.29%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.04 1.09 0.99 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.09 1.12 2.13 1.48 0.30 0.27 1.15 1.07 0.50 0.95 0.87 0.82 0.81 0.811
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.20 1.24 3.59 3185.20 0.60 0.79 0.76 0.79 0.69 0.23 0.42 -0.37 -0.46 0.25 -0.61 0.23 15.68 1.67 1.68 2.51 2.512
EBIT Margin -0.67 -0.50 -0.04 -0.00 0.20 0.34 0.31 0.40 0.33 0.15 0.21 0.09 0.07 0.14 0.06 0.11 -0.01 -0.13 -0.20 -0.21 -0.210
Asset Turnover 0.32 0.38 0.44 0.50 0.57 0.60 0.57 0.54 0.48 0.49 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.48 0.36 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.30 0.30 0.296
Equity Multiplier 2.71 2.71 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.38 2.38 2.383
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-8.92 $-8.48 $-2.22 $-1.56 $2.31 $5.49 $4.52 $5.03 $2.84 $0.84 $1.50 $-0.09 $-0.09 $0.41 $-0.42 $0.15 $-0.97 $-2.06 $-2.83 $-4.41 $-4.41
Book Value/Share $11.32 $11.31 $9.21 $9.27 $9.09 $9.08 $13.81 $10.90 $9.28 $9.39 $17.22 $13.60 $11.73 $11.94 $15.33 $15.32 $15.56 $15.93 $12.38 $12.88 $11.13
Tangible Book/Share $11.32 $11.31 $9.21 $9.27 $9.09 $9.08 $13.81 $10.90 $9.28 $9.39 $17.22 $13.60 $11.73 $11.94 $15.33 $15.32 $15.56 $15.93 $12.38 $12.88 $12.88
Revenue/Share $10.71 $12.63 $15.07 $16.95 $19.20 $20.20 $19.57 $14.60 $11.21 $11.40 $11.65 $9.88 $9.51 $10.38 $10.96 $11.41 $10.89 $10.81 $10.16 $10.33 $10.33
FCF/Share $-0.30 $0.41 $-1.13 $-0.44 $0.71 $1.91 $4.58 $3.57 $3.35 $1.97 $1.92 $0.85 $1.19 $2.88 $3.68 $5.44 $5.88 $5.36 $4.66 $3.34 $1.96
OCF/Share $3.78 $4.00 $4.98 $5.58 $6.77 $7.91 $8.41 $6.16 $5.03 $4.14 $4.15 $3.49 $3.42 $4.37 $5.35 $6.30 $6.75 $6.25 $5.34 $4.96 $4.96
Cash/Share $0.42 $0.42 $0.85 $0.85 $0.83 $0.83 $0.52 $0.41 $0.35 $0.36 $0.27 $0.21 $0.18 $0.19 $0.60 $0.60 $0.61 $0.62 $2.07 $2.15 $2.29
EBITDA/Share $-1.79 $-0.79 $4.88 $5.48 $9.26 $12.41 $11.60 $10.75 $8.44 $7.16 $8.38 $6.07 $5.74 $7.19 $6.99 $8.00 $6.82 $5.59 $4.70 $4.58 $4.58
Debt/Share $12.29 $12.28 $11.88 $11.95 $11.72 $11.70 $7.13 $5.63 $4.79 $4.85 $9.55 $7.54 $6.51 $6.62 $6.89 $6.89 $6.99 $7.16 $7.09 $7.37 $7.37
Net Debt/Share $11.87 $11.86 $11.03 $11.10 $10.89 $10.87 $6.61 $5.22 $4.44 $4.50 $9.28 $7.33 $6.33 $6.44 $6.29 $6.29 $6.38 $6.54 $5.02 $5.22 $5.22
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.378
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.075
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 6 5 8 5 5 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -4.08 -4.20 -3.36 -3.49 -3.00 -2.83 -2.96 -2.48 -2.24 -2.71 2.96 2.77 2.62 2.85 -2.85 -3.00 -1.23 -3.11 2.26 4.15 4.147
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.383
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -1.60%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-15.10
EVA snapshot only $-626817830.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 19.23 21.00 20.67 20.47 33.28 39.71 59.55 60.66 56.79 45.16 34.72 29.05 28.07 44.04 46.74 50.34 42.04 43.18 42.36 37.54 37.541
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -12.796
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 27
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 29

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms