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TIC NYSE

TIC Solutions, Inc.
1W: -4.5% 1M: -3.6% 3M: -12.9% YTD: -13.8% 1Y: -22.4%
$8.52
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.6%
$8 $8 $9 $10 $10
NYSE · Industrials · Specialty Business Services · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 39 · $1.9B mcap · 108M float · 2.85% daily turnover · Short 54% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -0.7%
Cost Advantage
49
Intangibles
43
Switching Cost
71
Network Effect
23
Scale
47
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. TIC shows a Weak competitive edge (48.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -0.7% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$11
Low
$11
Avg Target
$12
High
Based on 2 analysts since May 6, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 1Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$11.25
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-07 Roth Capital Initiated $12 +14.9% $10.01
2026-05-07 Robert W. Baird $15 $11 -4 +6.7% $10.31
2025-11-14 Jefferies Stephanie Moore Initiated $15 +45.9% $10.28
2025-10-09 Robert W. Baird Initiated $15 +12.5% $13.33
2025-10-09 UBS Initiated $15 +8.6% $13.81

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
4
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. TIC receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: D/E (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-11 C+ B-
2026-05-07 B- C+
2026-05-06 C+ B-
2026-05-05 B- C+
2026-04-30 C+ B-
2026-04-01 B- C+
2026-03-12 C+ B-
2026-03-12 C C+
2026-01-03 B- C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

21 Grade D
Profitability
7
Balance Sheet
45
Earnings Quality
48
Growth
52
Value
50
Momentum
50
Safety
15
Cash Flow
17
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TIC scores highest in Growth (52/100) and lowest in Profitability (7/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.79
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-1.61
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.92
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 25.7/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.54x
Accruals: -4.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. TIC scores 0.79, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TIC scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TIC's score of -1.61 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TIC's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TIC receives an estimated rating of B (score: 25.7/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-12.97x
PEG
0.13x
P/S
1.06x
P/B
0.63x
P/FCF
76.48x
P/OCF
18.67x
EV/EBITDA
11.85x
EV/Revenue
1.29x
EV/EBIT
-73.21x
EV/FCF
170.38x
Earnings Yield
-9.92%
FCF Yield
1.31%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. TIC currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.780
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
4.178
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.018
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.540
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.983
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-6.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TIC's ROE of -6.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.540), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 318 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.52
Median 1Y
$5.65
5th Pctile
$2.36
95th Pctile
$13.68
Ann. Volatility
52.7%
Analyst Target
$11.25
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
12,760
+110.6% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$119,929
Rev: $1,530,296,000
Profit / Employee
$-6,827
NI: $-87,116,000
SGA / Employee
$34,548
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -2.2% -2.3% -3.5% -4.0% -6.2% -6.18%
ROA -1.2% -1.2% -1.8% -2.0% -3.1% -3.12%
ROIC -0.4% 0.4% 0.1% -0.3% -0.7% -0.71%
ROCE -0.4% 0.5% 0.3% -0.3% -0.8% -0.77%
Gross Margin 18.6% 23.6% 32.2% 35.2% 24.8% 24.85%
Operating Margin -4.0% 5.8% -1.4% -2.7% -6.0% -5.96%
Net Margin -11.0% -0.1% -2.9% -9.3% -8.5% -8.51%
EBITDA Margin 8.5% 15.4% 13.7% 10.2% 6.1% 6.11%
FCF Margin 12.1% 2.5% 0.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.76%
OCF Margin 14.0% 4.8% 2.8% 5.1% 3.1% 3.11%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -0.64%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.26%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.61%
CROIC snapshot only 0.39%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -1.37%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -7.39%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 27.10%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.55%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -52.37 -51.95 -40.84 -18.29 -10.08 -12.970
P/S Ratio 5.77 2.47 1.60 1.04 0.58 1.056
P/B Ratio 1.17 1.17 1.42 0.73 0.48 0.625
P/FCF 47.71 97.90 3070.56 42.32 76.48 76.476
P/OCF 41.19 51.40 56.76 20.32 18.67 18.671
EV/EBITDA 102.18 29.70 17.29 15.51 11.85 11.855
EV/Revenue 8.64 3.70 2.25 1.87 1.29 1.295
EV/EBIT -230.32 201.03 374.69 -254.09 -73.21 -73.213
EV/FCF 71.49 146.66 4339.05 76.14 170.38 170.378
Earnings Yield -1.9% -1.9% -2.4% -5.5% -9.9% -9.92%
FCF Yield 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 2.4% 1.3% 1.31%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.126
EV/OCF snapshot only 41.595
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.384
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.20 3.20 3.201
Quick Ratio 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.20 3.20 3.201
Debt/Equity 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.79 0.79 0.786
Net Debt/Equity 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.58 0.584
Debt/Assets 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.390
Debt/EBITDA 41.02 11.91 6.10 9.26 8.79 8.789
Net Debt/EBITDA 34.00 9.87 5.06 6.89 6.53 6.534
Interest Coverage -0.55 0.32 0.11 -0.13 -0.31 -0.314
Equity Multiplier 1.92 1.92 1.92 2.02 2.02 2.017
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.378
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.937
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.257
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.008
Defensive Interval snapshot only 628.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.25 0.46 0.35 0.54 0.540
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 1.10 2.58 4.81 2.94 4.87 4.867
Payables Turnover 10.57 23.88 41.71 17.89 32.05 32.052
DSO 331 141 76 124 75 75.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 35 15 9 20 11 11.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 296 126 67 104 64 63.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.649
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.059
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.464
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 6.6% 6.62%
Net Income -3.0% -2.99%
EPS -2.1% -2.07%
FCF -52.1% -52.11%
EBITDA 8.8% 8.84%
Op. Income -2.3% -2.29%
OCF Growth snapshot only 69.38%
Asset Growth snapshot only 99.13%
Equity Growth snapshot only 89.36%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.11%
Shares Change snapshot only 29.74%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability
Earnings Stability
Margin Stability
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 0
Earnings Persistence
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend
FCF Margin Trend
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.27 -1.01 -0.72 -0.90 -0.54 -0.540
FCF/OCF 0.86 0.53 0.02 0.48 0.24 0.244
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.132
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.285
CapEx/Revenue 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 2.35%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.185
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.048
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.057
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.323
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -15.7% -24.2% -24.15%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -15.7% -24.2% -24.15%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.06 1.26 0.78 0.89 0.78 0.780
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.77 -2.05 -8.31 8.70 4.18 4.178
EBIT Margin -0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.018
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.25 0.46 0.35 0.54 0.540
Equity Multiplier 1.92 1.92 1.92 2.02 1.98 1.983
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.21 $-0.21 $-0.33 $-0.55 $-0.65 $-0.65
Book Value/Share $9.48 $9.40 $9.40 $13.83 $13.83 $13.63
Tangible Book/Share $-3.58 $-3.56 $-3.56 $-5.46 $-5.46 $-5.46
Revenue/Share $1.93 $4.48 $8.34 $9.71 $11.32 $11.39
FCF/Share $0.23 $0.11 $0.00 $0.24 $0.09 $0.09
OCF/Share $0.27 $0.21 $0.23 $0.50 $0.35 $0.35
Cash/Share $1.15 $1.14 $1.14 $2.79 $2.79 $2.72
EBITDA/Share $0.16 $0.56 $1.09 $1.17 $1.24 $1.24
Debt/Share $6.69 $6.63 $6.63 $10.87 $10.87 $10.87
Net Debt/Share $5.54 $5.50 $5.50 $8.08 $8.08 $8.08
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.793
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.347
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 3 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.61 -1.614
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.915
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-7.58
EVA snapshot only $-369820480.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 24.81 27.01 32.87 26.09 25.72 25.717
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.902
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 15
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 12

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms