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TMCI NASDAQ

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.
1W: +2.5% 1M: +51.9% 3M: +50.3% YTD: +13.6% 1Y: -57.5% 3Y: -88.9% 5Y: -90.3%
$2.78
-0.06 (-2.11%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±14.0%
$2 $2 $3 $3 $3
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Medical - Devices · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 65 · $180.3M mcap · 48M float · 1.77% daily turnover · Short 44% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
49.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -83.2%  ·  5Y Avg: -80.5%
Cost Advantage
54
Intangibles
60
Switching Cost
49
Network Effect
44
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. TMCI shows a Weak competitive edge (49.9/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -83.2% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$5
Avg Target
$5
High
Based on 5 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 6Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$5.00
Analysts5
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-01-07 Stifel Nicolaus $27 $3 -24 +2.7% $2.92
2025-12-18 Truist Financial Richard Newitter $4 $3 -1 +18.3% $2.54
2025-11-10 Truist Financial Richard Newitter $7 $4 -3 +3.6% $3.86
2025-10-15 Truist Financial $8 $7 -1 +12.9% $6.20
2025-09-03 Truist Financial $10 $8 -2 +10.3% $7.25
2025-03-13 Truist Financial Initiated $10 +19.6% $7.94
2025-02-04 BTIG Ryan Zimmerman $28 $16 -12 +52.2% $10.51
2024-12-31 Lake Street Ben Haynor Initiated $14 +94.9% $7.44
2024-05-16 UBS Danielle Antalffy Initiated $6 +9.2% $5.95
2022-09-21 BTIG Initiated $28 +16.9% $23.95
2022-09-21 Stifel Nicolaus $21 $27 +6 +13.1% $23.87
2022-07-18 Stifel Nicolaus Initiated $21 +28.9% $16.29

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. TMCI receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-08 C- C
2026-04-01 C C-
2026-02-27 D+ C
2026-01-15 C- D+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

20 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
22
Growth
38
Value
41
Momentum
40
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TMCI scores highest in Balance Sheet (54/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.57
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.62
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.25
Bankruptcy prob: 0.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 32.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 0.21x
Accruals: -23.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. TMCI scores -0.57, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TMCI scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TMCI's score of -3.62 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TMCI's implied 0.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TMCI receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 32.7/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.94x
PEG
0.19x
P/S
0.87x
P/B
2.33x
P/FCF
-3.33x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
-1.11x
EV/Revenue
0.25x
EV/EBIT
-0.93x
EV/FCF
-2.01x
Earnings Yield
-70.52%
FCF Yield
-30.00%
Shareholder Yield
0.48%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. TMCI currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.085
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.271
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.017
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.036
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-61.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TMCI's ROE of -61.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.017), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1277 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.78
Median 1Y
$1.27
5th Pctile
$0.34
95th Pctile
$4.78
Ann. Volatility
83.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
John T. Treace
Chief Executive Officer, Founder and Board Chair
$755,353 $4,635,000 $5,405,190
Mark L. Hair
Chief Financial Officer
$509,959 $4,632,250 $5,157,046
Sean F. Scanlan
Chief Innovation Officer
$446,370 $1,849,688 $2,310,894
Scot M. Elder
Chief Legal & Compliance Officer, Corporate Secretary
$432,096 $1,677,050 $2,123,983
Gaetano M. Guglielmino
Chief Commercial Officer
$440,000 $— $468,536

CEO Pay Ratio

12:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $5,405,190
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $452,498
Employees: 450

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
450
-5.7% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$472,644
Rev: $212,690,000
Profit / Employee
$-131,116
NI: $-59,002,000
SGA / Employee
$452,498
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$45,071
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -6.6% -14.8% -19.5% -29.2% -83.8% -95.9% -55.7% -61.5% -55.0% -62.1% -49.9% -55.2% -64.2% -62.0% -44.4% -42.3% -39.2% -40.0% -58.9% -61.0% -60.97%
ROA -12.2% -27.5% -12.9% -19.3% -43.0% -49.3% -28.6% -31.5% -28.2% -31.8% -24.1% -26.6% -31.0% -29.9% -23.8% -22.6% -21.0% -21.4% -28.9% -29.9% -29.95%
ROIC -23.4% -54.9% -71.9% -1.1% -1.5% -1.8% -57.5% -66.9% -68.7% -79.5% -47.8% -52.6% -60.3% -57.8% -41.2% -38.7% -35.4% -35.8% -80.8% -83.2% -83.17%
ROCE -13.4% -31.4% -12.3% -18.9% -28.9% -33.4% -29.8% -33.0% -28.9% -33.0% -21.4% -24.0% -28.3% -27.2% -27.7% -26.2% -24.1% -24.6% -33.6% -35.2% -35.16%
Gross Margin 80.9% 80.4% 81.1% 82.3% 82.3% 81.6% 80.4% 80.9% 81.7% 80.4% 81.6% 80.2% 80.2% 80.1% 80.7% 79.7% 79.7% 79.1% 80.6% 79.3% 79.26%
Operating Margin -19.6% -25.3% -16.7% -27.9% -39.8% -34.2% -7.0% -32.6% -31.1% -43.7% -10.9% -37.1% -48.1% -33.6% -0.3% -29.6% -35.8% -31.2% -9.5% -36.4% -36.37%
Net Margin -24.6% -29.7% -19.8% -31.1% -57.5% -36.7% -8.9% -31.9% -29.2% -43.0% -10.1% -36.5% -47.7% -34.1% -0.7% -30.3% -36.7% -32.4% -15.0% -38.1% -38.05%
EBITDA Margin -19.1% -24.4% -15.9% -26.7% -52.9% -31.7% -4.4% -26.7% -23.6% -36.0% -5.2% -30.2% -40.0% -26.4% 4.4% -23.1% -28.5% -24.2% -8.3% -34.5% -34.47%
FCF Margin -21.3% -34.5% -25.4% -26.7% -34.5% -33.8% -32.1% -35.8% -31.3% -29.8% -24.6% -19.6% -20.9% -21.3% -23.3% -17.5% -13.6% -12.0% -13.9% -12.5% -12.53%
OCF Margin -18.1% -30.7% -22.1% -22.9% -27.0% -23.1% -21.6% -26.2% -23.0% -23.2% -18.5% -12.5% -15.2% -16.0% -17.8% -12.2% -7.0% -5.6% -7.5% -6.2% -6.24%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -52.17%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -52.75%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -26.06%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -52.04%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -45.32%
Cash ROA snapshot only -6.79%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -24.43%
CROIC snapshot only -49.05%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -21.24%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -29.44%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 9.33%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 96.79%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 12.12%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -302.50 -123.42 -55.16 -38.18 -20.18 -27.17 -29.83 -31.32 -37.15 -16.93 -15.88 -14.73 -6.48 -5.87 -8.32 -9.92 -7.53 -8.51 -2.65 -1.42 -2.942
P/S Ratio 74.45 33.58 13.20 9.90 6.95 9.75 9.01 9.54 9.40 4.62 4.20 4.11 2.08 1.78 2.22 2.49 1.73 1.95 0.74 0.42 0.870
P/B Ratio 1981.44 1829.14 10.74 11.14 8.52 13.14 21.10 24.44 25.94 13.33 5.70 5.85 2.99 2.62 4.11 4.66 3.28 3.78 1.79 0.99 2.326
P/FCF -349.37 -97.19 -51.90 -37.06 -20.18 -28.82 -28.08 -26.65 -30.00 -15.52 -17.09 -20.98 -9.95 -8.36 -9.51 -14.23 -12.71 -16.18 -5.31 -3.33 -3.333
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA -393.03 -155.50 -63.54 -43.11 -20.96 -29.10 -34.85 -36.87 -46.07 -20.91 -18.81 -17.44 -7.04 -6.37 -10.88 -13.41 -10.57 -12.08 -2.84 -1.11 -1.108
EV/Revenue 75.07 33.88 12.19 9.17 6.28 9.14 8.92 9.46 9.33 4.55 3.92 3.84 1.81 1.52 2.19 2.47 1.71 1.92 0.57 0.25 0.252
EV/EBIT -383.31 -150.77 -61.16 -41.44 -20.23 -28.04 -32.92 -34.51 -41.87 -18.70 -16.54 -15.21 -6.16 -5.47 -9.07 -10.89 -8.30 -9.37 -2.27 -0.93 -0.928
EV/FCF -352.30 -98.08 -47.93 -34.32 -18.23 -27.02 -27.80 -26.42 -29.76 -15.28 -15.94 -19.60 -8.67 -7.13 -9.39 -14.06 -12.50 -15.95 -4.14 -2.01 -2.009
Earnings Yield -0.3% -0.8% -1.8% -2.6% -5.0% -3.7% -3.4% -3.2% -2.7% -5.9% -6.3% -6.8% -15.4% -17.0% -12.0% -10.1% -13.3% -11.8% -37.7% -70.5% -70.52%
FCF Yield -0.3% -1.0% -1.9% -2.7% -5.0% -3.5% -3.6% -3.8% -3.3% -6.4% -5.9% -4.8% -10.1% -12.0% -10.5% -7.0% -7.9% -6.2% -18.8% -30.0% -30.00%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.189
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.284
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.316
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.48%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.53 3.53 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.40 4.40 4.40 4.40 4.62 4.62 4.62 4.62 4.31 4.31 4.311
Quick Ratio 2.86 2.86 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 3.77 3.77 3.77 3.77 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.13 3.13 3.134
Debt/Equity 39.92 39.92 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.16 0.16 0.160
Net Debt/Equity 16.62 16.62 -0.82 -0.82 -0.82 -0.82 -0.21 -0.21 -0.21 -0.21 -0.38 -0.38 -0.38 -0.38 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.394
Debt/Assets 0.74 0.74 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.07 0.07 0.073
Debt/EBITDA -7.85 -3.36 -2.02 -1.32 -0.86 -0.75 -1.89 -1.72 -2.03 -1.81 -1.80 -1.63 -1.38 -1.45 -1.66 -1.80 -2.02 -2.00 -0.33 -0.30 -0.297
Net Debt/EBITDA -3.27 -1.40 5.26 3.43 2.24 1.94 0.35 0.32 0.37 0.33 1.36 1.22 1.04 1.09 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.80 0.73 0.730
Interest Coverage -3.90 -4.75 -4.98 -5.82 -9.11 -9.94 -8.74 -8.98 -7.34 -8.21 -8.59 -9.53 -11.18 -10.73 -9.61 -9.09 -8.35 -8.48 -10.09 -10.08 -10.080
Equity Multiplier 53.88 53.88 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 2.18 2.18 2.182
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.579
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -8.443
Cash to Debt snapshot only 3.459
FCF to Debt snapshot only -1.857
Defensive Interval snapshot only 149.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.49 1.01 0.54 0.74 1.25 1.37 0.95 1.03 1.11 1.17 0.91 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.93 1.04 1.02 1.017
Inventory Turnover 0.50 1.05 1.37 1.86 2.28 2.48 1.76 1.95 2.11 2.24 1.45 1.53 1.58 1.62 1.20 1.22 1.24 1.29 1.14 1.12 1.117
Receivables Turnover 1.43 2.92 4.08 5.64 6.90 7.59 5.94 6.49 6.99 7.31 5.56 5.83 5.90 6.03 5.31 5.35 5.42 5.55 5.13 5.00 4.998
Payables Turnover 1.74 3.62 3.57 4.84 6.64 7.22 4.13 4.58 4.96 5.26 3.43 3.64 3.74 3.84 3.68 3.73 3.80 3.94 4.98 4.88 4.876
DSO 256 125 90 65 53 48 61 56 52 50 66 63 62 61 69 68 67 66 71 73 73.0 days
DIO 724 348 266 196 160 147 208 187 173 163 252 238 231 225 304 300 294 284 320 327 326.7 days
DPO 210 101 102 75 55 51 88 80 74 69 106 100 98 95 99 98 96 93 73 75 74.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 770 373 253 186 158 145 181 164 152 144 211 200 195 191 274 270 265 257 318 325 324.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.548
Operating Cycle snapshot only 399.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.286
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.919
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 4.5% 2.0% 87.3% 47.9% 46.4% 39.2% 31.9% 26.5% 18.9% 16.1% 11.9% 7.5% 7.7% 7.9% 1.6% -1.7% -1.66%
Net Income -6.7% -2.9% -1.4% -73.9% -7.5% -5.9% -15.7% -15.9% -50.7% -29.1% -12.6% 3.2% 22.8% 18.6% -5.8% -15.2% -15.20%
EPS -5.9% -2.7% -1.3% -62.4% 3.1% 4.7% -4.2% -10.2% -49.0% -27.7% -11.4% 4.6% 23.9% 20.2% -3.3% -11.8% -11.75%
FCF -7.9% -1.9% -1.4% -98.4% -33.1% -22.5% -1.2% 30.7% 20.7% 16.9% -5.9% 3.9% 29.8% 39.0% 39.5% 29.7% 29.73%
EBITDA -7.7% -3.3% -1.5% -78.6% 1.1% 3.6% -7.5% -8.6% -51.1% -27.2% -7.8% 10.3% 32.5% 28.0% -2.2% -21.5% -21.50%
Op. Income -6.7% -2.9% -1.3% -74.6% -34.0% -30.3% -47.6% -39.7% -56.0% -29.3% -8.3% 7.6% 26.3% 22.2% 2.8% -6.6% -6.57%
OCF Growth snapshot only 49.77%
Asset Growth snapshot only -12.21%
Equity Growth snapshot only -22.64%
Debt Growth snapshot only -79.93%
Shares Change snapshot only 3.08%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.1% 68.7% 40.4% 26.3% 23.3% 20.4% 14.5% 10.2% 10.18%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 1.1% 68.7% 40.1% 25.7% 22.5% 19.4% 13.7% 9.5% 9.51%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 82.0% 82.0% 15.5% 15.5% 15.5% 15.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.22%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y 4.6% 4.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 13.0% 13.0% 13.00%
Book Value 3Y 4.2% 4.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 7.9% 9.5% 9.47%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.98 0.98 0.99 1.00 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.86 0.75 0.747
Earnings Stability 0.81 0.80 0.90 0.94 0.91 0.86 0.88 0.75 0.68 0.62 0.85 0.80 0.803
Margin Stability 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.992
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.98 0.94 0.94 0.50 0.88 0.95 0.99 0.91 0.93 0.98 0.94 0.939
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend 2.79 6.86 0.09 0.14 0.10 0.19 0.04 0.12 0.14 0.17 -0.25 -0.27 -0.266
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.009
FCF Margin Trend -0.03 0.04 0.04 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.05 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.10 0.06 0.060
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.73 1.13 0.92 0.88 0.78 0.65 0.72 0.86 0.91 0.85 0.70 0.45 0.47 0.53 0.67 0.49 0.30 0.24 0.27 0.21 0.212
FCF/OCF 1.18 1.12 1.15 1.17 1.28 1.46 1.48 1.36 1.36 1.29 1.33 1.57 1.38 1.33 1.31 1.44 1.96 2.17 1.85 2.01 2.008
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.425
CapEx/Revenue 3.2% 3.8% 3.3% 3.8% 7.4% 10.7% 10.5% 9.6% 8.3% 6.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 6.29%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.427
Accruals Ratio -0.03 0.04 -0.01 -0.02 -0.09 -0.18 -0.08 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.15 -0.16 -0.14 -0.08 -0.12 -0.15 -0.16 -0.21 -0.24 -0.236
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.168
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.992
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio
FCF Payout Ratio
Total Payout Ratio
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.48%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -7.3% -6.5% -12.6% -12.9% 0.7% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.16%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -7.3% -6.5% -12.6% -12.9% 0.7% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.16%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.26 1.21 1.20 1.17 1.11 1.10 1.11 1.11 1.14 1.12 1.12 1.10 1.09 1.09 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.12 1.10 1.09 1.085
EBIT Margin -0.20 -0.22 -0.20 -0.22 -0.31 -0.33 -0.27 -0.27 -0.22 -0.24 -0.24 -0.25 -0.29 -0.28 -0.24 -0.23 -0.21 -0.20 -0.25 -0.27 -0.271
Asset Turnover 0.49 1.01 0.54 0.74 1.25 1.37 0.95 1.03 1.11 1.17 0.91 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.93 1.04 1.02 1.017
Equity Multiplier 53.88 53.88 1.51 1.51 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 2.04 2.04 2.036
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.10 $-0.22 $-0.34 $-0.50 $-0.71 $-0.81 $-0.77 $-0.80 $-0.69 $-0.77 $-0.80 $-0.89 $-1.03 $-0.99 $-0.89 $-0.85 $-0.78 $-0.79 $-0.92 $-0.95 $-0.95
Book Value/Share $0.02 $0.01 $1.74 $1.70 $1.68 $1.68 $1.09 $1.03 $0.99 $0.98 $2.24 $2.23 $2.22 $2.22 $1.81 $1.80 $1.79 $1.78 $1.37 $1.35 $1.20
Tangible Book/Share $0.02 $0.01 $1.74 $1.70 $1.68 $1.68 $1.09 $1.03 $0.99 $0.98 $1.88 $1.88 $1.87 $1.87 $1.48 $1.47 $1.46 $1.45 $1.06 $1.04 $1.04
Revenue/Share $0.42 $0.80 $1.41 $1.91 $2.06 $2.26 $2.55 $2.64 $2.72 $2.84 $3.03 $3.17 $3.20 $3.26 $3.36 $3.36 $3.39 $3.45 $3.33 $3.21 $3.21
FCF/Share $-0.09 $-0.28 $-0.36 $-0.51 $-0.71 $-0.77 $-0.82 $-0.95 $-0.85 $-0.84 $-0.75 $-0.62 $-0.67 $-0.69 $-0.78 $-0.59 $-0.46 $-0.41 $-0.46 $-0.40 $-0.40
OCF/Share $-0.08 $-0.25 $-0.31 $-0.44 $-0.56 $-0.52 $-0.55 $-0.69 $-0.63 $-0.66 $-0.56 $-0.40 $-0.48 $-0.52 $-0.60 $-0.41 $-0.24 $-0.19 $-0.25 $-0.20 $-0.20
Cash/Share $0.37 $0.34 $1.97 $1.93 $1.91 $1.91 $1.46 $1.38 $1.32 $1.32 $2.00 $1.99 $1.98 $1.98 $1.21 $1.21 $1.20 $1.19 $0.76 $0.75 $0.80
EBITDA/Share $-0.08 $-0.17 $-0.27 $-0.41 $-0.62 $-0.71 $-0.65 $-0.68 $-0.55 $-0.62 $-0.63 $-0.70 $-0.82 $-0.78 $-0.67 $-0.62 $-0.55 $-0.55 $-0.67 $-0.73 $-0.73
Debt/Share $0.63 $0.59 $0.55 $0.54 $0.53 $0.53 $1.23 $1.17 $1.12 $1.11 $1.14 $1.14 $1.13 $1.13 $1.12 $1.11 $1.11 $1.10 $0.22 $0.22 $0.22
Net Debt/Share $0.26 $0.24 $-1.43 $-1.39 $-1.38 $-1.38 $-0.23 $-0.22 $-0.21 $-0.21 $-0.86 $-0.86 $-0.85 $-0.85 $-0.10 $-0.10 $-0.10 $-0.09 $-0.54 $-0.53 $-0.53
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -0.573
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.871
Piotroski F-Score 2 1 2 2 5 5 3 3 3 4 5 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 2 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.29 -2.49 -2.29 -2.16 -2.07 -2.20 35.61 35.34 35.27 35.38 -2.79 -2.99 -3.13 -3.22 -3.51 -3.62 -3.615
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.246
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -40.52%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.45
EVA snapshot only $-49328510.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 50.61 50.62 58.78 58.97 60.86 61.15 60.47 58.74 59.35 58.94 61.18 60.72 47.07 46.39 46.79 51.08 46.59 47.10 33.00 32.67 32.669
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -18.415
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 26
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 21

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