— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: TRTX-PC (NYSE) · $vol 0M

TRTX NYSE

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc.
1W: -2.7% 1M: -21.1% 3M: -26.3% YTD: -30.3% 1Y: -28.4% 3Y: +16.7% 5Y: -23.3%
$6.14
-0.20 (-3.15%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
$6 $6 $6 $6 $7
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Tech Score Sell · Power 35 · $471.4M mcap · 67M float · 1.23% daily turnover · Short 67% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
40.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 4.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.9%
Cost Advantage
38
Intangibles
66
Switching Cost
22
Network Effect
24
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. TRTX shows a Weak competitive edge (40.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 4.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$10
Avg Target
$10
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 3Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$10.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-19 Wells Fargo — $9 $10 +1 +18.3% $8.45
2024-07-19 BTIG Sarah Barcomb $18 $11 -8 +18.3% $9.30
2024-05-07 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti Initiated $9 — +4.7% $8.60
2022-07-01 JMP Securities — Initiated $13 — +44.3% $9.01
2022-05-01 BTIG Eric Hagen Initiated $18 — +76.1% $10.51
2022-04-25 J.P. Morgan — Initiated $12 — +5.1% $10.94

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. TRTX receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B+
2026-05-14 B+ B
2026-04-01 B B+
2026-02-19 B- B
2026-02-19 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 45 Grade D
Profitability
46
Balance Sheet
19
Earnings Quality
87
Growth
48
Value
84
Momentum
76
Safety
15
Cash Flow
70
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TRTX scores highest in Earnings Quality (87/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.11
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
43.64
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.54
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 17.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.61x
Accruals: -0.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. TRTX scores 0.11, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TRTX scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TRTX's score of 43.64 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TRTX's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TRTX receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 17.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). TRTX's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.12x
PEG
-0.72x
P/S
1.77x
P/B
0.45x
P/FCF
7.88x
P/OCF
7.05x
EV/EBITDA
15.27x
EV/Revenue
15.34x
EV/EBIT
15.89x
EV/FCF
49.37x
Earnings Yield
8.83%
FCF Yield
12.69%
Shareholder Yield
16.12%
Graham Number
$14.92
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.1x earnings, TRTX trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.8% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $14.92 per share, suggesting a potential 143% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.986
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.227
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.966
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.061
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.102
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TRTX's ROE of 5.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.10x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.99 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$6.28
Price/Value
1.33x
Margin of Safety
-33.29%
Premium
33.29%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with TRTX's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. TRTX trades at a 33% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $6.28, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 11.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$6.15
Median 1Y
$4.91
5th Pctile
$1.89
95th Pctile
$12.69
Ann. Volatility
60.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $332,575,000
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $60,319,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 7.4% 9.5% 8.9% 6.4% -3.7% -4.3% -5.5% -10.5% -7.1% -9.5% -8.8% -1.1% 6.2% 6.6% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.4% 5.40%
ROA 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 1.7% -0.9% -1.1% -1.4% -2.7% -1.7% -2.4% -2.3% -0.3% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 1.32%
ROIC 3.9% 4.5% 4.2% 3.7% 0.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.4% 4.0% 3.2% 5.1% 5.7% 5.8% 4.1% 4.14%
ROCE 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.9% 0.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.7% 2.6% 1.8% 1.9% 4.0% 5.6% 3.8% 5.2% 4.6% 4.6% 6.5% 5.7% 5.9% 5.88%
Gross Margin 84.6% 70.7% 83.7% 73.8% 55.6% 62.6% 1.0% 94.3% -53.2% -61.6% 1.0% 24.6% 20.8% 67.5% 1.9% 80.6% 80.5% 85.1% 80.5% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 38.0% -2.4% 2.5% 0.0% 5.6% 10.2% 6.7% 0.0% 6.5% -5.4% 35.0% 4.7% 72.9% 81.8% 66.1% 78.7% -66.4% -66.43%
Net Margin 75.9% 83.4% 62.5% -10.7% -3.8% 1.0% 29.0% -2.1% -62.8% 6.8% 43.5% 2.1% 2.0% 35.5% 1.1% 25.1% 24.9% 4.7% 22.1% 1.3% 1.27%
EBITDA Margin 1.3% 96.9% 1.2% 30.9% -2.5% 3.0% 0.0% 7.6% 11.6% 67.9% 0.0% 6.8% 6.9% 0.0% 5.0% 77.6% 85.0% 69.2% 81.7% 6.4% 6.41%
FCF Margin 81.3% 77.8% 81.3% 75.1% 68.2% 61.9% 60.9% 49.6% 35.4% 30.0% 33.2% 43.0% 66.6% 1.2% 1.4% 66.0% 41.1% 31.8% 26.0% 31.1% 31.07%
OCF Margin 81.3% 77.8% 81.3% 75.1% 68.2% 65.1% 64.5% 53.8% 39.3% 32.1% 35.8% 46.4% 70.7% 1.2% 1.4% 68.8% 43.2% 34.1% 28.3% 34.7% 34.72%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.50%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 1.08%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.84%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.84%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.09%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.02%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.07%
CROIC snapshot only 1.85%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 69.64%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 21.91%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.40%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.20%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 5.97 4.75 4.93 5.13 -7.44 -6.33 -5.61 -3.19 -4.88 -3.63 -4.85 -44.78 9.09 8.57 8.82 8.96 10.13 11.25 9.48 11.33 11.115
P/S Ratio 4.14 3.88 3.78 2.62 2.22 2.46 3.03 3.63 2.22 1.70 1.98 2.47 4.10 6.99 9.69 4.45 3.20 2.54 1.82 2.45 1.767
P/B Ratio 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.33 0.29 0.29 0.33 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.46 0.53 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.55 0.62 0.63 0.58 0.63 0.453
P/FCF 5.09 4.98 4.64 3.49 3.25 3.98 4.97 7.32 6.28 5.67 5.96 5.76 6.15 5.97 7.03 6.74 7.78 8.01 7.01 7.88 7.879
P/OCF 5.09 4.98 4.64 3.49 3.25 3.78 4.69 6.76 5.66 5.29 5.53 5.33 5.79 5.68 6.70 6.47 7.40 7.46 6.45 7.05 7.050
EV/EBITDA 21.21 19.65 21.08 24.39 111.53 45.34 88.78 109.75 27.91 41.86 38.24 18.44 13.26 19.51 14.33 17.41 17.78 15.15 14.64 15.27 15.266
EV/Revenue 26.19 24.18 25.23 22.17 25.75 27.79 30.20 31.12 17.66 13.05 11.33 11.83 18.66 33.07 47.44 25.57 16.65 14.62 11.48 15.34 15.340
EV/EBIT 21.04 19.65 21.25 25.62 120.42 48.75 102.90 113.87 29.78 43.82 42.40 19.79 14.06 21.05 15.02 18.32 18.66 15.89 15.32 15.89 15.888
EV/FCF 32.22 31.07 31.02 29.51 37.77 44.92 49.56 62.68 49.91 43.56 34.09 27.55 28.03 28.24 34.41 38.73 40.54 46.01 44.15 49.37 49.373
Earnings Yield 16.7% 21.0% 20.3% 19.5% -13.4% -15.8% -17.8% -31.3% -20.5% -27.5% -20.6% -2.2% 11.0% 11.7% 11.3% 11.2% 9.9% 8.9% 10.5% 8.8% 8.83%
FCF Yield 19.6% 20.1% 21.5% 28.7% 30.8% 25.1% 20.1% 13.7% 15.9% 17.6% 16.8% 17.4% 16.3% 16.8% 14.2% 14.8% 12.9% 12.5% 14.3% 12.7% 12.69%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.625
EV/OCF snapshot only 44.179
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 18.547
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 21.874
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 16.12%
Graham Number snapshot only $14.92
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 128.31 117.05 131.93 104.23 100.08 90.56 — 70.99 58.83 — 71.55 83.90 — — 81.29 105.63 — 0.18 5.24 0.44 0.442
Quick Ratio 128.31 117.05 131.93 104.23 100.08 90.56 — 70.99 58.83 — 71.55 83.90 — — 81.29 105.63 — 0.18 5.24 0.44 0.442
Debt/Equity 2.57 2.53 2.73 2.70 3.29 3.15 3.06 3.03 2.85 2.70 2.37 2.24 2.21 2.31 2.55 2.77 2.71 3.08 3.17 3.36 3.356
Net Debt/Equity 2.38 2.35 2.49 2.46 3.11 2.95 2.94 2.78 2.59 2.52 2.19 2.01 2.01 2.14 2.22 2.62 2.62 3.00 3.08 3.29 3.293
Debt/Assets 0.71 0.71 0.73 0.72 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.762
Debt/EBITDA 19.26 17.75 19.65 23.67 107.86 44.01 83.23 105.74 26.91 39.07 34.16 16.25 11.38 16.62 13.09 15.22 14.84 12.86 12.66 13.07 13.074
Net Debt/EBITDA 17.86 16.50 17.93 21.51 101.93 41.32 79.88 96.94 24.40 36.42 31.55 14.58 10.35 15.39 11.40 14.38 14.36 12.51 12.31 12.83 12.830
Interest Coverage 2.29 2.46 2.32 1.68 0.31 0.55 0.20 0.13 0.41 0.27 0.27 0.60 0.95 0.72 1.10 1.04 1.04 1.29 1.31 1.29 1.293
Equity Multiplier 3.60 3.56 3.76 3.74 4.34 4.19 4.11 4.09 3.92 3.75 3.42 3.29 3.26 3.35 3.59 3.82 3.75 4.13 4.21 4.40 4.401
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.304
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.346
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.019
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.024
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1029.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.061
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.10 0.15 0.07 0.08 1.44 0.02 0.04 3.11 9.33 0.21 0.14 0.143
Payables Turnover — — — — — — 7.55 — — 59.37 57.51 — 51.14 3.23 — — 4.97 5.11 17.48 — —
DSO 11179 10020 10285 9453 10352 11414 6703 13209 8451 3570 2384 5606 4429 253 18292 9227 117 39 1768 2556 2556.2 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 0 0 6 6 0 7 113 0 0 73 71 21 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 11179 10020 10285 9453 10352 11414 6655 13209 8451 3564 2377 5606 4422 140 18292 9227 44 -32 1747 2556 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.187
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.068
Capital Intensity snapshot only 17.231
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 7.1% 7.1% 0.1% 9.4% 10.5% -9.1% -16.8% -32.1% 10.5% 61.7% 85.4% 96.5% -18.5% -63.4% -75.3% -44.1% 35.9% 1.9% 4.2% 97.1% 97.14%
Net Income 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% -21.2% -1.5% -1.4% -1.6% -2.5% -69.0% -94.2% -40.3% 90.5% 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 6.0% -4.9% -19.4% -8.6% -14.3% -14.25%
EPS 1.9% 2.0% 0.5% -21.5% -1.5% -1.5% -1.6% -2.5% -68.3% -91.5% -40.7% 90.5% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 5.9% -1.8% -18.1% -5.5% -11.9% -11.85%
FCF -6.6% 0.1% 14.5% 11.2% -7.3% -27.8% -37.7% -55.1% -42.7% -21.7% 1.1% 70.0% 53.3% 42.9% 2.5% -14.0% -16.2% -21.1% -1.5% -7.2% -7.22%
EBITDA 2.5% 3.3% 30.1% 15.7% -79.3% -54.7% -76.4% -78.8% 2.0% -17.7% 61.5% 3.4% 81.2% 98.7% 1.8% 28.0% -9.5% 65.5% 23.7% 34.9% 34.91%
Op. Income 3.1% 3.5% 37.8% 26.8% -69.5% -64.1% -84.3% -90.8% 67.7% -77.5% -47.1% 4.5% -17.8% 3.7% 6.9% 38.0% 1.4% 1.8% 77.0% 46.9% 46.90%
OCF Growth snapshot only -0.46%
Asset Growth snapshot only 10.45%
Equity Growth snapshot only -4.25%
Debt Growth snapshot only 15.92%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.72%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 0.32%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 5.4% 7.1% 6.1% 6.5% 2.8% -2.2% — — — — 15.6% 13.5% -0.2% -18.7% -27.5% -9.3% 6.9% 19.8% 33.7% 29.4% 29.39%
Revenue 5Y — — — — 44.4% 21.2% 9.0% -0.5% 7.4% 12.5% 13.0% 10.0% -0.4% -11.2% — — — — 14.8% 10.0% 9.99%
EPS 3Y -6.3% 2.6% -0.4% -8.5% — — — — — — — — -13.3% -17.9% -18.2% -11.3% — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -12.2% -10.8% — — — — -12.3% -13.5% -13.51%
Net Income 3Y 1.6% 9.0% 5.8% -7.2% — — — — — — — — -13.5% -18.7% -18.2% -10.1% — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -10.5% -10.1% — — — — -12.6% -13.3% -13.26%
EBITDA 3Y -3.6% -3.6% -6.6% -15.4% -48.5% -25.4% — — — — -20.8% 2.9% 4.3% -9.6% 1.8% 6.4% 70.5% 39.4% 76.7% 97.3% 97.26%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — -0.0% 1.8% -18.9% -29.1% -11.0% -19.7% -20.8% -10.6% -5.6% -7.4% — — — — 11.2% 13.5% 13.50%
Gross Profit 3Y 1.4% -0.3% -1.4% -2.2% -7.9% -13.1% — — — — — — — -22.4% -29.1% -7.2% 13.1% 28.7% 39.6% 32.6% 32.56%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — 35.1% 12.9% 2.0% -5.6% -27.8% — — — — -17.3% — — — — 10.9% 7.4% 7.37%
Op. Income 3Y -3.4% -1.2% -4.5% -12.4% -41.2% -32.4% — — — — -51.4% -13.8% -25.1% -27.4% -13.0% -11.3% 49.7% 44.6% 95.0% 1.2% 1.24%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — 8.2% -1.4% -24.3% -38.8% -14.3% -40.0% -40.8% -19.4% -22.5% -19.9% — — — — 9.9% 5.4% 5.38%
FCF 3Y 7.5% 7.1% 7.9% 7.9% 0.1% -7.8% -13.5% -24.0% -20.8% -17.3% -10.3% -5.3% -6.6% -6.9% -13.5% -13.1% -9.7% -4.1% 0.7% 10.7% 10.67%
FCF 5Y — — — — 51.5% 19.8% 6.8% -7.6% -8.0% -7.0% -4.6% -0.9% -2.5% -2.6% -7.6% -8.5% -8.6% -8.6% -6.1% -7.5% -7.51%
OCF 3Y 7.5% 7.1% 7.9% 7.9% 0.1% -6.2% -11.8% -22.0% -18.0% -15.3% -8.0% -2.9% -4.7% -5.3% -12.1% -11.9% -8.1% -3.5% 1.6% 11.8% 11.85%
OCF 5Y — — — — 51.8% 21.1% 8.1% -6.1% -6.0% -5.7% -3.1% 0.7% -1.3% -1.6% -6.7% -7.8% -7.7% -7.3% -4.5% -5.4% -5.43%
Assets 3Y 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% -2.5% -1.1% -2.0% -2.6% -2.0% -4.7% -5.0% -10.1% -10.8% -11.0% -10.6% -10.4% -8.3% -10.5% -7.4% -6.0% -2.7% -2.66%
Assets 5Y — — — — 13.2% 10.6% 7.0% 3.9% 0.7% -1.4% -5.6% -8.7% -9.0% -8.7% -7.4% -4.7% -4.6% -2.1% -3.2% -2.4% -2.45%
Equity 3Y 2.8% 3.3% 0.6% -0.5% -3.8% -4.2% 2.1% -6.0% -8.5% -8.5% -8.8% -7.9% -8.0% -8.7% -9.1% -8.9% -6.1% -6.9% -6.7% -5.0% -5.03%
Book Value 3Y -5.2% -2.8% -5.3% -1.9% -5.2% -4.3% 1.3% -6.3% -8.3% -7.3% -7.7% -8.2% -7.8% -7.8% -9.1% -10.0% -6.6% -7.5% -7.1% -5.3% -5.28%
Dividend 3Y -14.2% -9.8% -13.1% -13.6% -3.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 0.8% -4.7% -3.0% -4.6% -1.5% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% -0.5% -0.7% -1.1% -1.07%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.03 0.02 0.14 0.14 0.26 0.13 0.24 0.09 0.21 0.27 0.42 0.23 0.09 0.02 0.26 0.50 0.72 0.56 0.12 0.23 0.225
Earnings Stability 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.10 0.11 0.04 0.19 0.37 0.34 0.15 0.10 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.19 0.12 0.07 0.02 0.020
Margin Stability 0.93 0.88 0.89 0.87 0.85 0.83 0.85 0.87 0.44 0.06 0.29 0.18 0.09 0.21 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.28 0.18 0.177
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.98 0.76 — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.95 0.79 0.91 0.85 0.847
ROE Trend 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.07 -0.04 -0.05 -0.15 -0.19 -0.09 -0.13 -0.11 0.01 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.03 0.030
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — -0.17 -0.08 -0.67 -0.97 -0.92 -1.05 -0.52 0.46 0.47 0.59 0.83 0.63 0.52 0.55 0.555
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — -0.15 -0.25 -0.39 -0.40 -0.38 -0.19 0.15 0.71 0.91 0.20 -0.10 -0.42 -0.60 -0.23 -0.234
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.7% 2.7% 2.7% 0.2% — — — — — — — — -1.7% -1.4% -1.8% -2.2% -2.3% -2.9% -2.3% -3.0% -3.01%
Internal Growth Rate 0.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.17 0.95 1.06 1.47 -2.29 -1.67 -1.19 -0.47 -0.86 -0.69 -0.88 -8.39 1.57 1.51 1.32 1.38 1.37 1.51 1.47 1.61 1.607
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.89 0.895
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.438
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.346
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 5.8% 6.8% 2.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 3.65%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.928
Accruals Ratio -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.008
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.913
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.931
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 15.2% 14.9% 14.0% 19.0% 24.3% 26.9% 22.7% 21.8% 22.3% 20.1% 16.4% 14.3% 14.1% 14.2% 14.5% 15.3% 13.6% 13.5% 14.6% 13.7% 15.63%
Dividend/Share $1.20 $1.20 $1.10 $1.17 $1.20 $1.33 $1.24 $1.26 $1.22 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.14 $1.12 $1.15 $1.16 $1.16 $1.14 $1.15 $0.96
Payout Ratio 90.7% 70.9% 69.0% 97.3% — — — — — — — — 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.56%
FCF Payout Ratio 77.3% 74.4% 65.0% 66.2% 78.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.1% 97.9% 82.4% 86.7% 84.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.08%
Total Payout Ratio 90.7% 70.9% 69.0% 97.3% — — — — — — — — 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.83%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.04 0.03 -0.07 -0.14 0.19 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.24 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.09 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.11 0.113
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 2.4% 2.37%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 2.4% 2.36%
Total Shareholder Return 15.2% 14.9% 14.0% 19.0% 24.3% 26.9% 22.7% 21.8% 22.3% 20.1% 16.4% 14.3% 14.1% 14.2% 15.0% 15.3% 13.6% 13.6% 14.9% 16.1% 16.11%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.04 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.986
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.56 0.67 0.65 0.59 -1.39 -0.68 -1.82 -4.15 -0.76 -1.57 -1.52 -0.09 0.34 0.52 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.25 0.26 0.23 0.227
EBIT Margin 1.24 1.23 1.19 0.87 0.21 0.57 0.29 0.27 0.59 0.30 0.27 0.60 1.33 1.57 3.16 1.40 0.89 0.92 0.75 0.97 0.966
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.061
Equity Multiplier 3.53 3.45 3.66 3.68 3.95 3.86 3.92 3.90 4.14 3.99 3.79 3.70 3.59 3.55 3.50 3.55 3.50 3.73 3.89 4.10 4.102
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.32 $1.69 $1.59 $1.20 $-0.66 $-0.78 $-0.98 $-1.81 $-1.12 $-1.50 $-1.38 $-0.17 $0.86 $0.93 $0.87 $0.84 $0.85 $0.77 $0.82 $0.74 $0.74
Book Value/Share $17.62 $17.86 $17.95 $18.68 $16.88 $17.25 $16.76 $15.75 $14.63 $14.47 $14.39 $14.44 $13.82 $14.00 $13.50 $13.60 $13.74 $13.64 $13.43 $13.39 $13.56
Tangible Book/Share $17.62 $17.86 $17.95 $18.68 $16.88 $17.25 $16.76 $15.75 $14.63 $14.47 $14.39 $14.44 $13.82 $14.00 $13.50 $13.60 $13.74 $13.48 $13.43 $13.39 $13.39
Revenue/Share $1.90 $2.07 $2.08 $2.35 $2.23 $2.01 $1.81 $1.59 $2.45 $3.21 $3.37 $3.11 $1.91 $1.15 $0.79 $1.69 $2.68 $3.38 $4.28 $3.42 $3.46
FCF/Share $1.55 $1.61 $1.69 $1.76 $1.52 $1.24 $1.11 $0.79 $0.87 $0.96 $1.12 $1.33 $1.27 $1.34 $1.09 $1.11 $1.10 $1.08 $1.11 $1.06 $1.08
OCF/Share $1.55 $1.61 $1.69 $1.76 $1.52 $1.31 $1.17 $0.86 $0.96 $1.03 $1.21 $1.44 $1.35 $1.41 $1.15 $1.16 $1.16 $1.15 $1.21 $1.19 $1.20
Cash/Share $3.28 $3.18 $4.30 $4.61 $3.05 $3.31 $2.07 $3.97 $3.89 $2.65 $2.61 $3.33 $2.78 $2.39 $4.44 $2.07 $1.19 $1.13 $1.16 $0.84 $0.85
EBITDA/Share $2.35 $2.55 $2.49 $2.13 $0.51 $1.23 $0.62 $0.45 $1.55 $1.00 $1.00 $1.99 $2.69 $1.94 $2.63 $2.48 $2.51 $3.27 $3.36 $3.44 $3.44
Debt/Share $45.29 $45.20 $48.95 $50.53 $55.54 $54.27 $51.34 $47.70 $41.75 $39.10 $34.13 $32.41 $30.58 $32.29 $34.39 $37.70 $37.22 $42.00 $42.54 $44.92 $44.92
Net Debt/Share $42.00 $42.02 $44.65 $45.92 $52.49 $50.96 $49.28 $43.73 $37.86 $36.44 $31.52 $29.08 $27.80 $29.90 $29.95 $35.63 $36.03 $40.87 $41.38 $44.08 $44.08
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.109
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.099
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.09 -2.31 -2.57 -2.54 -2.37 -1.76 1168.25 4.63 10.78 357.86 11.42 -1.81 60.54 -5.37 -1.85 1.75 2.97 -1.41 42.55 43.64 43.638
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.544
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 2.47%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-44.31
EVA snapshot only $-262607577.70
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 48.32 47.83 49.09 44.62 32.03 36.79 22.60 30.94 33.94 21.50 33.93 40.53 22.37 20.92 37.91 37.48 29.74 22.05 38.89 17.79 17.792
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -19.690
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 27
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 4

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