$47.17

-0.96 (-1.99%)

Weekly Expected Move ±6.8%

$41 $45 $48 $51 $55

NASDAQ · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 69 · $1.2B mcap · 22M float · 0.516% daily turnover · Short 59% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE

38.4 / 100

NoneWeakNarrowWide

Primary source: Cost Advantage · ROIC: 13.7% · 5Y Avg: 5.9%

Cost Advantage ★

Intangibles

Switching Cost

Network Effect

Scale

The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. UFCS has No discernible competitive edge (38.4/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 13.7% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets

$45

Low

$51

Avg Target

$57

High

Based on 2 analysts since May 5, 2026 earnings

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0

Rating Summary

ConsensusBuy

Avg Target$51.00

Analysts2

Price Target Change History

Date	Firm	Analyst	Old	New	Change	Upside @ Call	Stock@Call
2026-05-07	Piper Sandler	—	$45	$57	+12	+32.5%	$43.01
2026-05-06	Piper Sandler	Paul Newsome	$41	$45	+4	+12.9%	$39.85
2026-02-12	Piper Sandler	—	$37	$41	+4	+2.6%	$39.97
2025-12-22	Piper Sandler	Paul Newsome	$26	$37	+11	+0.4%	$36.87
2024-11-18	Piper Sandler	Paul Newsome	$31	$26	-5	+37.3%	$18.93
2022-10-27	Piper Sandler	Paul Newsome	Initiated	$31	—	-2.4%	$31.75

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-

May 22, 2026

DCF

ROE

ROA

D/E

P/E

P/B

The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. UFCS receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5).

Rating Change History

Date	From	To
2026-05-14	A	A-
2026-05-11	A-	A
2026-05-06	B-	A-
2026-05-05	A	B-
2026-04-28	A-	A
2026-03-05	B+	A-
2026-02-13	C-	B+
2026-02-11	A-	C-
2026-01-15	B-	A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 59 Grade A

Profitability

Balance Sheet

Earnings Quality

Growth

Value

Momentum

Safety

100

Cash Flow

The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. UFCS scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (41/100). An overall grade of A places UFCS among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score

6.09

Safe Zone

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

Beneish M-Score

-3.18

Unlikely Manipulator

Ohlson O-Score

-4.03

Bankruptcy prob: 1.7%

Low Risk

Credit Rating

Score: 89.1/100

Trend: Improving

Earnings Quality

100/100

OCF/NI: 2.23x

Accruals: -4.4%

The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. UFCS scores 6.09, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. UFCS scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. UFCS's score of -3.18 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. UFCS's implied 1.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. UFCS receives an estimated rating of AA (score: 89.1/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). UFCS's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E

9.24x

PEG

0.10x

P/S

0.85x

P/B

1.27x

P/FCF

3.38x

P/OCF

3.33x

EV/EBITDA

5.31x

EV/Revenue

0.69x

EV/EBIT

5.55x

EV/FCF

3.41x

Earnings Yield

13.50%

FCF Yield

29.61%

Shareholder Yield

2.20%

Graham Number

$63.71

Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 9.2x earnings, UFCS trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 13.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $63.71 per share, suggesting a potential 35% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden

0.796

NI / EBT

Interest Burden

0.932

EBT / EBIT

EBIT Margin

0.123

EBIT / Rev

Asset Turnover

0.389

Rev / Assets

Equity Multiplier

4.255

Assets / Equity

ROE

15.2%

The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. UFCS's ROE of 15.2% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.25x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate

98.38%

Fair P/E

205.27x

Intrinsic Value

$1026.72

Price/Value

0.04x

Margin of Safety

96.39%

Premium

-96.39%

Assessment

Undervalued

Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with UFCS's realized 98.4% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $1026.72, UFCS appears undervalued with a 96% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 205.3x compares to the current market P/E of 9.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price

$47.17

Median 1Y

$44.70

5th Pctile

$22.12

95th Pctile

$90.12

Ann. Volatility

43.3%

Analyst Target

$51.00

25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

Executive	Salary	Stock	Total
Kevin J. Leidwinger President/Chief Executive Officer	$821,000	$1,656,008	$3,896,774
Julie A. Stephenson EVP/Chief Operating Officer	$610,747	$677,552	$2,270,090
Eric J. Martin EVP/Chief Financial Officer	$514,090	$518,468	$1,612,822
Sarah E. Madsen SVP/Chief Legal Officer	$397,311	$301,564	$1,108,132
Steven D. Hernandez SVP/Chief Human Resources Officer	$395,106	$239,062	$936,478
Corey L Ruehle SVP/Chief Claim Officer	$250,700	$207,376	$922,168

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees

—

Revenue / Employee

—

Rev: $1,386,412,000

Profit / Employee

—

NI: $118,191,000

SGA / Employee

—

Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
ROE	-1.6%	1.6%	9.5%	10.6%	7.7%	6.2%	1.9%	-1.6%	-7.2%	-3.6%	-4.0%	-2.3%	5.0%	6.8%	8.2%	8.7%	12.1%	14.7%	13.7%	15.2%	15.16%
ROA	-0.4%	0.5%	2.7%	3.0%	2.2%	1.7%	0.5%	-0.4%	-2.0%	-1.0%	-1.0%	-0.6%	1.2%	1.7%	1.9%	2.0%	2.8%	3.4%	3.2%	3.6%	3.56%
ROIC	-3.0%	1.8%	10.1%	11.3%	8.3%	6.6%	2.2%	-2.6%	-9.2%	-4.7%	-4.6%	-2.7%	5.4%	7.4%	-27.0%	-28.8%	-40.0%	-48.5%	12.4%	13.7%	13.72%
ROCE	-0.9%	0.4%	3.3%	3.7%	2.7%	2.2%	1.1%	-1.4%	-5.5%	-2.7%	-1.2%	-0.7%	1.6%	2.2%	2.4%	2.6%	3.6%	4.3%	12.7%	14.0%	14.02%
Gross Margin	18.9%	8.8%	34.9%	26.2%	7.1%	0.0%	20.2%	12.2%	-16.0%	14.0%	19.2%	17.1%	10.8%	19.9%	23.6%	19.3%	20.3%	23.8%	47.3%	43.7%	43.67%
Operating Margin	6.7%	-5.8%	27.5%	14.2%	-6.4%	-13.3%	7.9%	-0.0%	-27.0%	3.1%	8.3%	5.5%	-1.3%	7.7%	11.9%	6.6%	8.7%	13.7%	13.2%	10.3%	10.29%
Net Margin	5.6%	-3.9%	22.0%	11.6%	-4.8%	-9.8%	7.0%	0.3%	-21.1%	2.3%	6.8%	4.6%	-0.9%	6.1%	9.5%	5.3%	6.8%	11.1%	10.5%	8.1%	8.13%
EBITDA Margin	7.9%	-4.8%	28.5%	15.2%	-5.2%	-10.9%	8.0%	1.3%	-25.8%	4.3%	9.5%	6.7%	0.3%	9.3%	13.4%	8.1%	10.2%	15.4%	14.0%	11.9%	11.94%
FCF Margin	5.0%	5.2%	1.5%	-0.1%	-2.8%	-2.5%	-0.3%	-1.2%	4.2%	15.6%	14.6%	18.1%	21.5%	16.1%	26.2%	25.5%	22.1%	22.0%	19.0%	20.1%	20.08%
OCF Margin	6.3%	6.5%	2.8%	1.2%	-2.1%	-1.9%	-0.1%	-1.0%	5.0%	16.2%	15.6%	19.0%	22.5%	17.0%	27.2%	26.4%	22.8%	22.6%	19.4%	20.4%	20.39%
ROE 3Y Avg	snapshot only																				6.68%
ROE 5Y Avg	snapshot only																				5.72%
ROA 3Y Avg	snapshot only																				1.59%
ROIC 3Y Avg	snapshot only																				6.22%
ROIC Economic	snapshot only																				12.09%
Cash ROA	snapshot only																				7.57%
Cash ROIC	snapshot only																				30.54%
CROIC	snapshot only																				30.09%
NOPAT Margin	snapshot only																				9.16%
Pretax Margin	snapshot only																				11.51%
R&D / Revenue	snapshot only																				0.00%
SGA / Revenue	snapshot only																				0.00%
SBC / Revenue	snapshot only																				0.48%

Valuation

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
P/E Ratio	-46.11	37.35	6.59	7.94	11.94	12.66	42.92	-49.93	-9.16	-16.36	-16.44	-31.95	14.31	10.54	11.68	11.51	8.17	7.18	8.14	7.41	9.236
P/S Ratio	0.55	0.47	0.50	0.72	0.81	0.69	0.65	0.62	0.51	0.44	0.44	0.48	0.45	0.44	0.58	0.59	0.57	0.59	0.69	0.68	0.849
P/B Ratio	0.76	0.63	0.60	0.82	0.90	0.76	0.87	0.85	0.72	0.65	0.67	0.74	0.72	0.72	0.93	0.97	0.96	1.02	1.02	1.03	1.268
P/FCF	10.95	8.96	33.33	-1127.20	-29.02	-28.01	-190.41	-53.09	11.99	2.80	3.03	2.65	2.10	2.72	2.20	2.32	2.57	2.69	3.65	3.38	3.378
P/OCF	8.76	7.20	17.76	59.73	—	—	—	—	10.22	2.68	2.84	2.51	2.01	2.56	2.13	2.24	2.48	2.61	3.56	3.33	3.327
EV/EBITDA	-27.35	24.24	4.21	5.31	7.98	7.82	26.08	-53.95	-7.18	-14.08	-16.80	-50.89	7.87	6.08	-3.01	-2.44	-1.92	-1.32	5.82	5.31	5.306
EV/Revenue	0.52	0.43	0.42	0.63	0.72	0.61	0.61	0.58	0.46	0.39	0.40	0.43	0.41	0.39	-0.23	-0.19	-0.20	-0.16	0.70	0.69	0.686
EV/EBIT	-21.03	36.04	4.49	5.62	8.64	8.99	39.19	-29.98	-6.31	-11.33	-11.96	-24.24	9.66	7.08	-3.40	-2.73	-2.08	-1.41	6.11	5.55	5.554
EV/FCF	10.29	8.31	28.16	-997.67	-25.99	-24.55	-176.56	-49.14	10.95	2.53	2.71	2.39	1.89	2.45	-0.87	-0.76	-0.89	-0.71	3.69	3.41	3.415
Earnings Yield	-2.2%	2.7%	15.2%	12.6%	8.4%	7.9%	2.3%	-2.0%	-10.9%	-6.1%	-6.1%	-3.1%	7.0%	9.5%	8.6%	8.7%	12.2%	13.9%	12.3%	13.5%	13.50%
FCF Yield	9.1%	11.2%	3.0%	-0.1%	-3.4%	-3.6%	-0.5%	-1.9%	8.3%	35.7%	33.0%	37.8%	47.6%	36.8%	45.4%	43.1%	38.9%	37.2%	27.4%	29.6%	29.61%
PEG Ratio	snapshot only																				0.098
Price/Tangible Book	snapshot only																				1.031
EV/OCF	snapshot only																				3.364
EV/Gross Profit	snapshot only																				2.008
Acquirers Multiple	snapshot only																				5.959
Shareholder Yield	snapshot only																				2.20%
Graham Number	snapshot only																				$63.71

Leverage & Solvency

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Current Ratio	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	3.97	3.97	3.97	3.97	—	—	—	—	0.06	0.06	0.060
Quick Ratio	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	3.97	3.97	3.97	3.97	—	—	—	—	0.06	0.06	0.060
Debt/Equity	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.18	0.18	0.177
Net Debt/Equity	-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-1.29	-1.29	-1.29	-1.29	0.01	0.01	0.011
Debt/Assets	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.043
Debt/EBITDA	-2.31	2.51	0.47	0.42	0.56	0.67	2.18	-4.62	-0.73	-1.63	-1.93	-5.22	0.83	0.64	1.23	1.14	0.86	0.73	1.00	0.91	0.906
Net Debt/EBITDA	1.76	-1.91	-0.77	-0.69	-0.93	-1.10	-2.05	4.34	0.69	1.53	2.01	5.44	-0.87	-0.67	-10.62	-9.89	-7.46	-6.31	0.06	0.06	0.058
Interest Coverage	-17.68	5.61	31.39	28.33	25.64	20.37	4.79	-6.10	-24.35	-11.93	-11.18	-6.05	12.30	11.87	11.58	10.28	12.64	14.18	14.13	14.71	14.712
Equity Multiplier	3.72	3.72	3.43	3.43	3.43	3.43	3.89	3.89	3.89	3.89	4.29	4.29	4.29	4.29	4.46	4.46	4.46	4.46	4.08	4.08	4.081
Cash Ratio	snapshot only																				0.060
Debt Service Coverage	snapshot only																				15.401
Cash to Debt	snapshot only																				0.936
FCF to Debt	snapshot only																				1.715
Defensive Interval	snapshot only																				739.3 days

Efficiency & Turnover

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Asset Turnover	0.38	0.37	0.35	0.33	0.32	0.32	0.34	0.34	0.36	0.37	0.36	0.37	0.39	0.40	0.38	0.39	0.40	0.41	0.38	0.39	0.389
Inventory Turnover	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Receivables Turnover	2.75	2.67	2.29	2.17	2.12	2.09	2.44	2.49	2.61	2.71	2.64	2.71	2.80	2.91	2.18	2.25	2.31	2.36	2.35	2.42	2.418
Payables Turnover	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
DSO	133	137	159	168	173	175	150	146	140	135	138	134	131	125	167	163	158	155	155	151	151.0 days
DIO	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0 days
DPO	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Cash Conversion Cycle	133	137	159	168	173	175	150	146	140	135	138	134	131	125	167	163	158	155	155	151	—
Fixed Asset Turnover	snapshot only																				9.805
Cash Velocity	snapshot only																				9.121
Capital Intensity	snapshot only																				2.694

Growth (YoY)

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Revenue	7.7%	6.1%	-2.0%	-16.7%	-15.0%	-13.6%	-6.5%	1.0%	8.4%	13.8%	11.1%	11.6%	9.8%	10.4%	14.0%	14.2%	13.9%	11.8%	10.8%	10.8%	10.79%
Net Income	85.1%	1.1%	1.7%	5.2%	5.8%	2.8%	-81.3%	-1.1%	-1.9%	-1.6%	-3.0%	-33.8%	1.6%	2.7%	3.1%	4.9%	1.5%	1.2%	90.8%	97.3%	97.33%
EPS	85.2%	1.1%	1.7%	5.2%	5.9%	2.8%	-81.5%	-1.1%	-1.9%	-1.5%	-3.0%	-32.1%	1.6%	2.7%	3.0%	4.9%	1.4%	1.2%	87.4%	98.4%	98.38%
FCF	51.0%	11.7%	-29.4%	-1.0%	-1.5%	-1.4%	-1.2%	-17.7%	2.6%	8.2%	48.5%	18.2%	4.6%	14.0%	1.0%	61.0%	16.5%	53.1%	-19.8%	-12.7%	-12.71%
EBITDA	82.3%	1.1%	1.7%	4.4%	5.1%	2.7%	-78.5%	-1.1%	-1.8%	-1.4%	-2.1%	11.4%	1.9%	3.6%	4.7%	11.7%	1.3%	1.0%	75.4%	80.3%	80.27%
Op. Income	77.8%	1.1%	1.6%	3.6%	3.6%	4.6%	-87.5%	-1.2%	-2.0%	-1.7%	-4.3%	-3.5%	1.6%	2.5%	2.9%	4.5%	1.6%	1.3%	92.0%	98.7%	98.65%
OCF Growth	snapshot only																				-14.45%
Asset Growth	snapshot only																				10.10%
Equity Growth	snapshot only																				20.43%
Debt Growth	snapshot only																				42.63%
Shares Change	snapshot only																				-0.53%
Dividend Growth	snapshot only																				6.96%

Growth (CAGR)

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Revenue 3Y	2.3%	0.6%	-0.7%	-4.1%	-5.7%	-6.3%	-6.3%	-2.0%	-0.3%	1.4%	0.6%	-2.1%	0.4%	2.8%	5.8%	8.7%	10.7%	12.0%	12.0%	12.2%	12.17%
Revenue 5Y	1.2%	0.7%	-0.7%	-1.5%	-1.6%	-2.1%	-1.3%	-0.9%	-0.3%	0.0%	0.3%	-0.1%	-0.0%	0.7%	0.8%	3.7%	4.4%	5.2%	5.2%	3.5%	3.49%
EPS 3Y	—	-48.3%	42.4%	51.2%	44.2%	82.6%	-0.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.5%	-9.2%	-10.9%	9.8%	26.4%	96.4%	—	—
EPS 5Y	—	-26.9%	10.5%	14.2%	7.3%	25.1%	-21.7%	—	—	—	—	—	10.7%	41.3%	32.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Net Income 3Y	—	-48.6%	42.8%	50.6%	44.1%	82.6%	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	53.1%	-8.4%	-9.8%	11.6%	28.3%	98.9%	—	—
Net Income 5Y	—	-27.3%	10.1%	13.7%	6.9%	25.3%	-21.7%	—	—	—	—	—	10.8%	42.1%	33.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—
EBITDA 3Y	—	-33.2%	—	60.1%	49.2%	99.1%	-6.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	57.7%	-3.7%	-5.1%	15.3%	29.0%	93.8%	—	—
EBITDA 5Y	—	-26.1%	10.9%	15.8%	11.3%	73.2%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	—	17.7%	52.6%	27.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Gross Profit 3Y	-10.6%	-13.0%	12.1%	8.6%	4.6%	3.6%	-3.5%	3.8%	56.7%	—	—	-0.3%	17.9%	14.7%	4.0%	2.2%	12.5%	19.9%	41.4%	66.1%	66.07%
Gross Profit 5Y	-11.9%	-5.6%	7.4%	12.4%	11.3%	17.3%	4.1%	-3.9%	-20.5%	-15.8%	-10.0%	-10.3%	0.9%	5.7%	8.1%	2.0%	85.6%	—	—	36.5%	36.51%
Op. Income 3Y	—	-43.7%	—	65.6%	54.7%	1.5%	-10.6%	—	—	—	—	—	—	77.5%	-7.3%	-8.8%	13.7%	31.2%	1.3%	—	—
Op. Income 5Y	—	-33.8%	11.0%	16.0%	11.0%	2.4%	-5.1%	—	—	—	—	—	16.3%	72.2%	35.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—
FCF 3Y	-16.0%	-14.7%	-40.9%	—	—	—	—	—	5.4%	2.3%	92.4%	62.1%	63.2%	49.5%	1.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—
FCF 5Y	-19.6%	-21.0%	-40.1%	—	—	—	—	—	-14.4%	12.7%	15.9%	29.5%	44.5%	26.5%	39.9%	44.0%	50.2%	1.3%	63.4%	43.0%	43.01%
OCF 3Y	-16.5%	-16.2%	-35.2%	-50.2%	—	—	—	—	-5.3%	93.1%	60.6%	50.1%	53.7%	41.7%	1.2%	2.0%	—	—	—	—	—
OCF 5Y	-16.7%	-17.8%	-32.6%	-44.0%	—	—	—	—	-15.7%	7.7%	9.3%	17.2%	26.5%	16.3%	29.4%	33.4%	37.4%	65.4%	45.5%	35.6%	35.59%
Assets 3Y	-9.8%	-9.8%	2.3%	2.3%	2.3%	2.3%	-1.5%	-1.5%	-1.5%	-1.5%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.04%
Assets 5Y	-4.6%	-4.6%	-5.8%	-5.8%	-5.8%	-5.8%	-7.2%	-7.2%	-7.2%	-7.2%	2.2%	2.2%	2.2%	2.2%	3.0%	3.0%	3.0%	3.0%	4.6%	4.6%	4.58%
Equity 3Y	-5.4%	-5.4%	-0.3%	-0.3%	-0.3%	-0.3%	-6.7%	-6.7%	-6.7%	-6.7%	-3.8%	-3.8%	-3.8%	-3.8%	-3.8%	-3.8%	-3.8%	-3.8%	8.3%	8.3%	8.34%
Book Value 3Y	-5.1%	-4.7%	-0.6%	0.0%	-0.3%	-0.4%	-7.2%	-7.3%	-6.7%	-7.3%	-4.4%	-4.4%	-3.7%	-4.9%	-4.7%	-5.0%	-5.4%	-5.3%	7.0%	7.5%	7.51%
Dividend 3Y	-15.8%	-22.5%	-19.4%	-14.1%	-7.7%	1.2%	1.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	-0.5%	0.2%	-1.0%	-0.8%	-1.1%	-1.5%	-1.4%	-1.1%	1.5%	1.48%

Growth Quality

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Revenue Stability	0.18	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.07	0.20	0.19	0.06	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.14	0.06	0.00	0.01	0.42	0.54	0.65	0.63	0.37	0.368
Earnings Stability	0.59	0.30	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.13	0.07	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.19	0.10	0.34	0.49	0.62	0.45	0.32	0.315
Margin Stability	0.42	0.30	0.39	0.29	0.38	0.21	0.37	0.26	0.24	0.21	0.32	0.56	0.54	0.71	0.68	0.28	0.27	0.22	0.21	0.33	0.330
Rev. Growth Consistency	0.50	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency	0.50	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.000
FCF Positive Streak	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Earnings Persistence	0.50	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.50	0.50	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.50	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.500
Earnings Smoothness	—	—	—	—	—	0.00	0.00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.14	0.24	0.38	0.35	0.345
ROE Trend	0.02	0.08	0.15	0.17	0.13	0.12	0.04	-0.06	-0.11	-0.08	-0.10	-0.07	0.05	0.06	0.09	0.10	0.13	0.13	0.11	0.11	0.108
Gross Margin Trend	0.02	0.07	0.13	0.18	0.15	0.13	0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.07	-0.09	-0.07	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.09	0.11	0.09	0.15	0.20	0.203
FCF Margin Trend	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	0.14	0.14	0.19	0.21	0.10	0.19	0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	-0.017
Sustainable Growth Rate	—	-0.1%	7.7%	8.8%	6.0%	4.3%	-0.1%	—	—	—	—	—	2.8%	4.6%	6.0%	6.6%	10.0%	12.5%	11.8%	13.1%	13.14%
Internal Growth Rate	—	—	2.2%	2.5%	1.7%	1.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7%	1.1%	1.4%	1.5%	2.3%	2.9%	2.9%	3.2%	3.19%

Cash Flow Quality

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
OCF/Net Income	-5.27	5.19	0.37	0.13	-0.31	-0.34	-0.08	0.76	-0.90	-6.10	-5.78	-12.71	7.11	4.11	5.49	5.14	3.29	2.75	2.28	2.23	2.227
FCF/OCF	0.80	0.80	0.53	-0.05	1.31	1.32	2.71	1.23	0.85	0.96	0.94	0.95	0.96	0.94	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.99	0.985
FCF/Net Income	snapshot only																				2.194
OCF/EBITDA	snapshot only																				1.577
CapEx/Revenue	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%	0.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.2%	0.7%	0.7%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.9%	0.9%	0.8%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.30%
CapEx/Depreciation	snapshot only																				0.526
Accruals Ratio	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.044
Sloan Accruals	snapshot only																				-0.665
Cash Flow Adequacy	snapshot only																				13.401
Earnings Quality Score	snapshot only																				1.000

Dividends & Buybacks

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Dividend Yield	3.1%	2.9%	2.8%	2.1%	1.9%	2.3%	2.5%	2.6%	3.0%	3.4%	3.3%	3.0%	3.1%	3.1%	2.2%	2.1%	2.2%	2.0%	1.7%	1.8%	1.44%
Dividend/Share	$0.77	$0.60	$0.60	$0.59	$0.61	$0.62	$0.62	$0.63	$0.64	$0.63	$0.63	$0.63	$0.64	$0.63	$0.62	$0.62	$0.62	$0.62	$0.62	$0.67	$0.68
Payout Ratio	—	1.1%	18.7%	16.7%	23.2%	29.6%	1.1%	—	—	—	—	—	44.0%	32.3%	26.2%	24.5%	17.7%	14.6%	13.8%	13.3%	13.30%
FCF Payout Ratio	33.9%	25.9%	94.5%	—	—	—	—	—	36.1%	9.5%	10.0%	7.9%	6.5%	8.3%	4.9%	4.9%	5.6%	5.5%	6.2%	6.1%	6.06%
Total Payout Ratio	—	1.2%	21.1%	18.8%	24.7%	29.6%	1.1%	—	—	—	—	—	45.2%	33.3%	26.2%	25.2%	18.6%	14.8%	15.6%	16.3%	16.28%
Div. Increase Streak	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Chowder Number	-0.38	-0.52	-0.44	-0.35	-0.20	0.06	0.08	0.10	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.09	0.088
Buyback Yield	0.1%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	0.4%	0.40%
Net Buyback Yield	-0.0%	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	-0.0%	-0.1%	-0.1%	-0.2%	-0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	-0.0%	0.1%	0.3%	0.28%
Total Shareholder Return	3.1%	3.1%	3.1%	2.3%	1.9%	2.2%	2.3%	2.4%	3.0%	3.4%	3.3%	3.1%	3.2%	3.2%	2.2%	2.1%	2.2%	2.0%	1.8%	2.1%	2.07%

DuPont Factors

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT)	0.46	1.27	0.83	0.83	0.84	0.85	1.24	0.56	0.72	0.71	0.75	0.72	0.82	0.81	0.80	0.80	0.79	0.80	0.80	0.80	0.796
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT)	1.06	0.82	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.95	0.79	1.16	1.04	1.08	1.09	1.17	0.92	0.92	0.91	0.90	0.92	0.93	0.93	0.93	0.932
EBIT Margin	-0.02	0.01	0.09	0.11	0.08	0.07	0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	0.06	0.07	0.07	0.09	0.11	0.11	0.12	0.123
Asset Turnover	0.38	0.37	0.35	0.33	0.32	0.32	0.34	0.34	0.36	0.37	0.36	0.37	0.39	0.40	0.38	0.39	0.40	0.41	0.38	0.39	0.389
Equity Multiplier	3.50	3.50	3.57	3.57	3.57	3.57	3.64	3.64	3.64	3.64	4.09	4.09	4.09	4.09	4.38	4.38	4.38	4.38	4.25	4.25	4.255

Per Share

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
EPS (Diluted TTM)	$-0.54	$0.56	$3.19	$3.56	$2.63	$2.09	$0.59	$-0.50	$-2.32	$-1.14	$-1.17	$-0.65	$1.45	$1.93	$2.38	$2.52	$3.48	$4.22	$4.47	$5.00	$5.00
Book Value/Share	$32.46	$32.88	$34.77	$34.72	$34.96	$34.90	$29.06	$29.02	$29.31	$28.93	$28.81	$28.40	$28.99	$28.32	$30.08	$29.79	$29.61	$29.61	$35.58	$36.06	$37.19
Tangible Book/Share	$32.20	$32.62	$34.53	$34.48	$34.72	$34.66	$28.85	$28.82	$29.10	$28.73	$28.63	$28.22	$28.80	$28.14	$29.93	$29.64	$29.47	$29.47	$35.46	$35.94	$35.94
Revenue/Share	$45.16	$44.40	$41.78	$39.52	$38.81	$38.23	$38.80	$39.62	$41.90	$42.86	$43.13	$43.63	$45.87	$46.71	$48.18	$49.05	$50.11	$51.29	$52.46	$54.63	$55.78
FCF/Share	$2.27	$2.32	$0.63	$-0.03	$-1.08	$-0.94	$-0.13	$-0.47	$1.77	$6.67	$6.32	$7.89	$9.89	$7.50	$12.64	$12.50	$11.05	$11.27	$9.95	$10.97	$11.20
OCF/Share	$2.83	$2.89	$1.18	$0.47	$-0.83	$-0.72	$-0.05	$-0.38	$2.08	$6.96	$6.74	$8.31	$10.32	$7.96	$13.10	$12.95	$11.44	$11.61	$10.20	$11.14	$11.37
Cash/Share	$3.47	$3.51	$5.24	$5.23	$5.26	$5.26	$3.81	$3.80	$3.84	$3.79	$4.01	$3.95	$4.04	$3.94	$43.41	$42.99	$42.74	$42.74	$5.91	$5.99	$6.34
EBITDA/Share	$-0.85	$0.80	$4.22	$4.72	$3.52	$2.96	$0.90	$-0.42	$-2.70	$-1.20	$-1.02	$-0.37	$2.38	$3.02	$3.66	$3.90	$5.14	$6.07	$6.31	$7.06	$7.06
Debt/Share	$1.97	$1.99	$1.98	$1.97	$1.99	$1.98	$1.96	$1.96	$1.98	$1.95	$1.96	$1.94	$1.98	$1.93	$4.50	$4.46	$4.44	$4.44	$6.31	$6.40	$6.40
Net Debt/Share	$-1.50	$-1.52	$-3.26	$-3.25	$-3.28	$-3.27	$-1.84	$-1.84	$-1.86	$-1.83	$-2.05	$-2.02	$-2.06	$-2.01	$-38.90	$-38.53	$-38.30	$-38.30	$0.40	$0.41	$0.41

Academic Models

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Altman-I Score	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.093
Altman Z-Prime	snapshot only																				-2.877
Piotroski F-Score	6	7	4	5	3	2	1	2	3	4	6	6	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	8	8
Beneish M-Score	-2.05	-2.55	-2.91	-2.71	-1.58	195.64	-2.34	-2.16	-3.65	-3.59	-2.49	-2.72	-3.88	-2.62	-2.41	-2.36	-2.46	-2.28	-3.15	-3.18	-3.182
Ohlson O-Score	snapshot only																				-4.028
Net-Net WC	snapshot only																				$-105.11
EVA	snapshot only																				$35362500.00

Credit

Metric	Q2'21	Q3'21	Q4'21	Q1'22	Q2'22	Q3'22	Q4'22	Q1'23	Q2'23	Q3'23	Q4'23	Q1'24	Q2'24	Q3'24	Q4'24	Q1'25	Q2'25	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Credit Rating	snapshot only																				AA
Credit Score	61.13	76.37	86.94	75.59	74.56	74.77	53.51	43.21	63.52	62.69	61.25	60.65	89.62	88.54	85.14	85.54	88.81	87.29	89.48	89.11	89.113
Credit Grade	snapshot only																				3
Credit Trend	snapshot only																				3.573
Implied Spread (bps)	snapshot only																				80.000
Industry Credit Rank	snapshot only																				65
Sector Credit Rank	snapshot only																				94

UFCS NASDAQ

Edge Score

Analyst Insights

Financial Rating

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Risk & Quality Signals

Valuation

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Profitability Trends

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Earnings Stability

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Executive Compensation

C-Suite Compensation

CEO Pay Ratio

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Scaling Efficiency

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