VST NYSE
Vistra Corp.
1W: -2.4%
1M: +6.3%
3M: +2.7%
YTD: -11.2%
1Y: -27.2%
3Y: +368.5%
5Y: +727.3%
$146.66
+4.93 (+3.48%)
Pre-Market: $146.97 (+0.31, +0.21%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.9%
$112
$126
$140
$154
$168
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 63% of companies Debt: 28.8% of company value Bonds: $1.54B held by 908 funds, 118 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Cash Flow Trends
Operating Cash Flow
$4.1B
-10.8% ▼
5Y CAGR: +4.1%
Capital Expenditures
$3.9B
-89.7% ▼
5Y CAGR: +25.6%
Free Cash Flow
$129M
-94.8% ▼
5Y CAGR: -42.6%
Dividends Paid
$498M
-4.2% ▼
Buybacks
$1.0B
+18.8% ▲
Net Change in Cash
-$400M
+82.7% ▲
Cash Flow Composition
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Cash Flow Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Operating Activities — | |||||
| Net Income | -$1.3B | -$1.2B | $1.5B | $2.8B | $944M |
| Depreciation & Amort. | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.6B | $3.0B |
| Stock-Based Comp. | $47M | $63M | $77M | $100M | $113M |
| Change in Working Capital | -$1.3B | -$2.6B | $1.6B | -$416M | -$1.2B |
| Other Non-Cash Items | $792M | $2.4B | -$282M | -$1.2B | $1.1B |
| Operating Cash Flow | -$206M | $485M | $5.5B | $4.6B | $4.1B |
| — Investing Activities — | |||||
| Capital Expenditures | -$1.0B | -$1.3B | -$1.7B | -$2.1B | -$3.9B |
| Acquisitions (Net) | $0 | $0 | $0 | -$3.1B | -$746M |
| Investment Purchases | -$505M | -$693M | -$624M | -$2.2B | -$5.2B |
| Investment Sales | $483M | $670M | $601M | $2.2B | $5.2B |
| Other Investing | -$98M | $85M | -$446M | -$110M | $315M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -$1.2B | -$1.2B | -$2.1B | -$5.3B | -$4.4B |
| — Financing Activities — | |||||
| Net Debt Issuance | $1.4B | $1.9B | $1.8B | $1.5B | $2.2B |
| Stock Repurchased | -$471M | -$1.9B | -$1.2B | -$1.3B | -$1.0B |
| Dividends Paid | -$290M | -$453M | -$463M | -$478M | -$498M |
| Other Financing | -$334M | $425M | -$401M | -$1.4B | -$722M |
| Financing Cash Flow | $2.3B | -$80M | -$294M | -$1.6B | -$74M |
| Net Change in Cash | $915M | -$834M | $3.0B | -$2.3B | -$400M |
| Cash End of Period | $1.4B | $525M | $3.5B | $1.2B | $822M |
| Free Cash Flow | -$1.2B | -$816M | $3.8B | $2.5B | $129M |