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WLFC NASDAQ

Willis Lease Finance Corporation
1W: -15.9% 1M: -16.8% 3M: -42.9% YTD: -65.9% 1Y: -66.6% 3Y: +11.7% 5Y: +26.2%
$45.67
-2.13 (-4.46%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.8%
$41 $43 $46 $48 $50
NASDAQ · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 42 · $965.7M mcap · 20M float · 1.43% daily turnover · Short 68% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
54.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 4.4%  ·  5Y Avg: 2.6%
Cost Advantage
42
Intangibles
39
Switching Cost
75
Network Effect
63
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. WLFC shows a Weak competitive edge (54.6/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 4.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$71
Low
$76
Avg Target
$80
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 4, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$75.50
Analysts2
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-04-07 _new_coverage None ADDED
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-08 Deutsche Bank — Initiated $80 — +42.3% $56.22
2026-08-12 UBS — Initiated $71 — +22.1% $58.14

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. WLFC receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B+
2026-08-12 B- B
2026-07-22 B+ B-
2026-07-01 A- B+
2026-04-01 B A-
2026-02-18 B+ B
2026-01-03 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 29 Grade C
Profitability
41
Balance Sheet
28
Earnings Quality
85
Growth
35
Value
41
Momentum
65
Safety
30
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. WLFC scores highest in Earnings Quality (85/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (28/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.76
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.07
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.76
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 38.5/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.97x
Accruals: -4.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. WLFC scores 1.76, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. WLFC scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. WLFC's score of -1.07 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. WLFC's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. WLFC receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 38.5/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). WLFC's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
19.87x
PEG
1.07x
P/S
1.27x
P/B
1.25x
P/FCF
-45.23x
P/OCF
18.50x
EV/EBITDA
23.55x
EV/Revenue
9.64x
EV/EBIT
37.93x
EV/FCF
-65.97x
Earnings Yield
1.82%
FCF Yield
-2.21%
Shareholder Yield
0.96%
Graham Number
$57.36
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 19.9x earnings, WLFC trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $57.36 per share, suggesting a potential 26% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.675
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.702
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.254
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.201
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.229
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. WLFC's ROE of 12.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.23x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$35.43
Price/Value
6.46x
Margin of Safety
-545.73%
Premium
545.73%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with WLFC's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. WLFC trades at a 546% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $35.43, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 19.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$45.67
Median 1Y
$34.71
5th Pctile
$11.71
95th Pctile
$103.05
Ann. Volatility
69.4%
Analyst Target
$75.50
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Charles F. Willis,
IV Executive Chairman
$1,210,202 $33,628,868 $52,091,481
Austin C. Willis
Chief Executive Officer
$850,662 $14,637,060 $19,209,005
Brian R. Hole
President
$664,599 $9,589,798 $12,276,872
Scott B. Flaherty
Chief Financial Officer
$607,278 $7,823,469 $9,926,494

CEO Pay Ratio

47:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $19,209,005
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $409,968
Employees: 475

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
475
+6.7% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,422,817
Rev: $675,838,000
Profit / Employee
$239,491
NI: $113,758,000
SGA / Employee
$409,968
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -0.3% 0.8% -3.9% -2.5% -1.7% 1.4% 7.1% 8.7% 10.2% 10.4% 13.1% 18.6% 19.7% 22.0% 20.4% 20.9% 19.9% 17.8% 19.4% 12.6% 12.63%
ROA -0.1% 0.1% -0.7% -0.4% -0.3% 0.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 3.5% 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.1% 3.6% 2.4% 2.41%
ROIC -0.1% 0.1% -0.6% -0.2% -0.1% 0.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 4.8% 4.4% 4.43%
ROCE 2.6% 3.2% 2.3% 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 6.9% 7.8% 8.4% 8.1% 8.2% 7.9% 9.1% 7.6% 8.9% 5.5% 5.46%
Gross Margin 64.4% 66.1% 61.2% 63.3% 65.8% 68.8% 65.4% 72.1% 71.0% 75.1% 74.2% 78.0% 73.4% 75.9% 71.0% 67.1% 93.4% 58.0% 72.5% 17.5% 17.51%
Operating Margin 8.6% 6.1% -36.5% 12.1% 11.4% 19.0% 8.9% 17.8% 18.9% 14.7% 22.9% 35.8% 23.0% 19.2% 15.2% 14.5% 21.1% 28.7% 38.4% 17.5% 17.51%
Net Margin 4.1% 2.3% -30.8% 7.6% 8.3% 16.3% 4.9% 12.7% 13.8% 9.6% 17.5% 28.2% 16.5% 13.8% 10.7% 30.9% 13.5% 6.3% 12.9% 15.5% 15.55%
EBITDA Margin 64.6% 60.7% 15.9% 62.2% 60.8% 66.4% 53.4% 55.5% 59.1% 57.8% 63.3% 69.4% 59.6% 55.7% 52.8% 69.6% 57.0% 41.5% 51.3% 15.0% 15.04%
FCF Margin -1.6% -42.8% -38.9% -41.5% -52.8% -47.6% -47.4% -38.2% 4.4% 14.6% 14.1% -23.7% -44.0% -98.2% -90.7% -60.1% -60.0% -37.5% -36.8% -14.6% -14.61%
OCF Margin 30.2% 33.1% 34.2% 36.0% 34.8% 46.3% 50.5% 50.9% 58.9% 54.9% 53.0% 53.2% 52.2% 50.0% 43.7% 46.0% 40.4% 39.0% 39.1% 35.7% 35.73%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 15.98%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 10.75%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.89%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.11%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.43%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.45%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.83%
CROIC snapshot only -3.61%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 17.93%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.85%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 28.49%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.74%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -179.34 68.91 -11.29 -21.35 -27.89 67.36 11.09 6.30 5.64 7.13 5.34 5.17 10.27 13.24 10.50 8.11 7.84 8.41 91.11 54.89 19.866
P/S Ratio 0.89 0.84 0.66 0.78 0.67 1.17 1.03 0.67 0.68 0.75 0.72 0.94 1.91 2.53 1.81 1.52 1.40 1.32 14.55 6.61 1.267
P/B Ratio 0.55 0.61 0.44 0.54 0.45 0.91 0.75 0.53 0.55 0.71 0.70 0.93 1.95 2.62 1.94 1.46 1.35 1.32 16.00 6.52 1.250
P/FCF -0.55 -1.97 -1.70 -1.87 -1.26 -2.47 -2.18 -1.77 15.52 5.12 5.11 -3.96 -4.34 -2.57 -1.99 -2.53 -2.33 -3.51 -39.60 -45.23 -45.229
P/OCF 2.93 2.55 1.94 2.16 1.91 2.54 2.05 1.32 1.15 1.36 1.35 1.76 3.65 5.06 4.14 3.31 3.47 3.38 37.18 18.50 18.500
EV/EBITDA 13.20 11.97 13.20 12.47 12.94 13.36 10.50 9.45 8.72 8.90 7.75 7.78 8.98 10.47 9.15 7.69 7.44 9.08 31.86 23.55 23.555
EV/Revenue 7.82 7.32 6.61 6.43 6.58 7.06 6.36 5.55 5.09 5.04 4.57 4.90 5.65 6.49 5.43 4.62 4.42 5.03 17.47 9.64 9.641
EV/EBIT 32.88 26.02 35.17 29.10 30.29 28.76 18.80 16.31 14.44 14.44 11.81 11.02 12.44 14.35 12.59 10.48 10.13 12.63 44.26 37.93 37.933
EV/FCF -4.84 -17.11 -16.98 -15.49 -12.47 -14.81 -13.43 -14.52 116.57 34.58 32.54 -20.67 -12.84 -6.61 -5.98 -7.68 -7.36 -13.41 -47.54 -65.97 -65.975
Earnings Yield -0.6% 1.5% -8.9% -4.7% -3.6% 1.5% 9.0% 15.9% 17.7% 14.0% 18.7% 19.4% 9.7% 7.6% 9.5% 12.3% 12.8% 11.9% 1.1% 1.8% 1.82%
FCF Yield -1.8% -50.8% -58.8% -53.4% -79.1% -40.6% -45.8% -56.6% 6.4% 19.5% 19.6% -25.3% -23.1% -38.9% -50.2% -39.5% -42.8% -28.5% -2.5% -2.2% -2.21%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 1.071
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 6.594
EV/OCF snapshot only 26.986
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 16.133
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 36.331
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.96%
Graham Number snapshot only $57.36
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.42 8.27 1.95 2.05 2.58 4.26 1.51 1.85 2.53 3.74 2.36 3.16 2.49 3.85 4.83 3.04 1.81 3.09 3.75 3.31 3.311
Quick Ratio 2.93 6.91 1.41 1.48 1.95 3.62 1.14 1.33 1.75 3.32 1.77 2.53 2.03 3.22 4.12 2.82 1.44 2.82 3.22 2.81 2.813
Debt/Equity 4.32 4.76 4.18 4.08 4.22 4.56 4.03 3.91 3.71 4.11 3.76 3.95 3.84 4.12 3.95 4.11 3.14 3.74 3.25 3.01 3.006
Net Debt/Equity 4.28 4.72 3.98 3.90 4.03 4.53 3.89 3.79 3.60 4.09 3.74 3.94 3.83 4.11 3.89 2.96 2.90 3.72 3.21 2.99 2.992
Debt/Assets 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.70 0.69 0.68 0.65 0.67 0.65 0.69 0.68 0.71 0.65 0.67 0.64 0.64 0.635
Debt/EBITDA 11.81 10.68 12.46 11.45 12.16 11.21 9.11 8.56 7.80 7.61 6.56 6.30 5.97 6.42 6.19 7.15 5.50 6.74 5.38 7.44 7.441
Net Debt/EBITDA 11.71 10.59 11.88 10.96 11.63 11.14 8.79 8.30 7.55 7.58 6.53 6.29 5.95 6.40 6.10 5.15 5.08 6.70 5.32 7.41 7.407
Interest Coverage 0.93 1.13 0.76 0.94 0.97 1.15 1.65 1.73 1.87 1.85 2.08 2.45 2.47 2.46 2.30 2.34 2.38 2.25 2.33 1.54 1.545
Equity Multiplier 5.95 6.55 5.77 5.64 5.79 6.36 5.68 5.57 5.40 6.04 5.79 5.93 5.88 6.00 5.79 5.79 4.79 5.56 5.05 4.73 4.731
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.104
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.488
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.005
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.048
Defensive Interval snapshot only 75.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.23 0.20 0.201
Inventory Turnover 1.96 1.91 1.97 2.16 2.25 2.44 2.67 2.70 2.74 3.03 1.97 1.99 2.20 2.47 2.03 2.55 2.48 3.16 3.41 5.33 5.332
Receivables Turnover 6.13 8.08 6.79 6.86 6.50 7.21 7.31 7.84 8.19 7.94 8.12 9.22 12.73 11.76 11.76 14.22 17.29 19.64 18.99 19.29 19.289
Payables Turnover 3.02 9.13 3.91 3.69 2.80 — 3.05 3.38 3.30 — 5.72 5.87 6.11 — — 4.40 4.00 4.34 — 3.27 3.268
DSO 60 45 54 53 56 51 50 47 45 46 45 40 29 31 31 26 21 19 19 19 18.9 days
DIO 186 191 185 169 162 150 137 135 133 120 186 183 166 148 180 143 147 116 107 68 68.5 days
DPO 121 40 93 99 130 0 120 108 111 0 64 62 60 0 0 83 91 84 0 112 111.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 125 196 145 123 88 200 67 74 67 166 167 161 135 179 211 86 77 50 126 -24 -24.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.266
Operating Cycle snapshot only 87.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 71.050
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.794
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -17.9% -5.0% 5.1% 13.0% 15.3% 13.8% 18.0% 23.9% 31.0% 34.2% 34.7% 34.8% 35.2% 36.0% 35.7% 33.1% 29.3% 27.7% 25.6% 16.8% 16.83%
Net Income -1.1% -65.6% -5.0% -8.0% -4.6% 62.3% 2.9% 4.7% 7.6% 7.0% 94.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 73.6% 37.5% 24.5% 4.7% 16.6% -25.0% -25.03%
EPS -1.1% -67.3% -5.0% -8.0% -4.7% 60.4% 2.7% 4.5% 7.4% 6.8% 88.2% 1.2% 96.9% 1.3% 65.2% 32.1% 21.4% 3.6% -87.5% -76.2% -76.19%
FCF -34.9% 63.2% 59.9% 60.0% 62.4% -26.7% -43.6% -14.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.4% -14.6% -10.2% -9.8% -2.4% -76.5% 51.3% 49.1% 71.6% 71.61%
EBITDA -18.8% -4.2% -14.3% -1.5% -1.1% -1.7% 42.8% 41.2% 50.6% 43.7% 31.2% 44.6% 45.4% 48.9% 36.3% 26.8% 22.1% 14.1% 16.1% -20.4% -20.36%
Op. Income -1.1% -43.2% -4.0% -3.5% 30.2% 18.2% 3.8% 11.7% 29.2% 5.5% 94.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 69.1% -2.4% -9.3% 1.0% 39.3% 75.4% 75.43%
OCF Growth snapshot only -9.24%
Asset Growth snapshot only -7.43%
Equity Growth snapshot only 13.35%
Debt Growth snapshot only -17.13%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.15%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -55.94%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -2.4% -6.4% -9.0% -9.5% -11.9% -8.6% -4.9% -0.2% 7.4% 13.2% 18.7% 23.6% 26.9% 27.6% 29.2% 30.5% 31.8% 32.6% 31.9% 28.0% 27.98%
Revenue 5Y 4.7% 5.8% 3.8% 3.0% 2.3% 2.6% 5.0% 6.3% 7.0% 4.6% 3.7% 4.4% 3.9% 6.8% 9.5% 12.2% 16.7% 20.3% 23.3% 24.0% 24.02%
EPS 3Y — -58.2% — — — -57.3% -16.4% -1.6% 36.0% 60.1% 1.4% — — 2.1% — — — 1.7% -27.0% -11.7% -11.65%
EPS 5Y — -24.7% — — — -38.9% -13.2% -10.6% -8.4% -1.7% -1.0% 4.1% 1.8% 7.2% 12.7% 22.5% 43.2% 58.2% 22.1% — —
Net Income 3Y — -57.4% — — — -56.7% -14.9% 0.2% 38.8% 65.0% 1.4% — — 2.2% — — — 1.8% 57.8% 33.1% 33.07%
Net Income 5Y — -24.7% — — — -38.6% -12.7% -9.3% -7.0% 0.3% 1.1% 6.3% 4.2% 10.2% 15.8% 25.9% 47.4% 63.5% 96.8% — —
EBITDA 3Y -0.2% -5.3% -14.1% -13.9% -15.9% -12.1% -3.4% -0.2% 6.5% 10.6% 17.1% 26.2% 29.4% 28.1% 36.7% 37.3% 38.8% 34.7% 27.6% 13.5% 13.46%
EBITDA 5Y 2.7% 4.6% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 3.9% 8.4% 8.5% 8.2% 3.7% 3.5% 5.5% 5.4% 7.8% 10.0% 12.8% 16.5% 18.1% 20.5% 15.2% 15.21%
Gross Profit 3Y -4.9% -7.1% -9.3% -9.3% -11.4% -8.0% -3.3% 2.9% 12.2% 18.9% 27.3% 34.7% 37.5% 36.5% 36.6% 35.5% 40.0% 37.2% 36.1% 22.4% 22.39%
Gross Profit 5Y 4.2% 5.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.0% 3.8% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 7.2% 6.6% 7.9% 7.7% 10.5% 13.3% 15.4% 22.3% 24.2% 28.3% 24.8% 24.82%
Op. Income 3Y — -45.8% — — — -50.3% -11.4% 1.6% 35.0% 63.5% 1.5% — — 1.6% — — — 1.5% 66.0% 56.3% 56.34%
Op. Income 5Y — -17.5% — — — -19.3% 11.3% 14.0% 12.9% 4.1% 3.4% 8.3% 6.7% 12.5% 18.0% 18.0% 35.6% 58.2% 1.1% — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -14.5% -21.7% -20.8% -20.2% -26.1% -14.4% -9.0% 0.6% 17.4% 35.0% 39.4% 40.9% 52.2% 46.4% 40.2% 41.6% 38.5% 25.2% 21.2% 13.7% 13.71%
OCF 5Y -6.3% -2.1% -5.3% -5.4% -6.0% 1.3% 7.0% 7.5% 12.9% 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 1.4% 4.3% 3.6% 10.5% 14.1% 24.8% 27.8% 23.9% 23.88%
Assets 3Y 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 7.5% 9.6% 9.9% 3.6% 5.6% 6.6% 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 6.8% 10.2% 10.5% 18.1% 10.4% 16.1% 10.7% 11.9% 11.95%
Assets 5Y 14.1% 13.0% 12.9% 11.6% 12.1% 9.9% 8.5% 7.9% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 7.1% 12.3% 9.7% 10.5% 7.8% 7.2% 7.16%
Equity 3Y 15.8% 9.4% 11.0% 9.9% 8.3% 0.4% 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 2.0% 3.0% 5.6% 7.2% 13.5% 10.3% 17.1% 17.6% 21.5% 15.1% 18.2% 18.24%
Book Value 3Y 13.6% 7.3% 11.2% 8.8% 7.3% -1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% -1.1% -0.5% 2.9% 4.5% 9.7% 4.5% 12.7% 13.1% 17.5% -46.8% -21.5% -21.50%
Dividend 3Y -1.7% -2.0% 0.1% -1.0% -0.9% -1.3% -1.6% -1.6% -1.7% -3.3% -2.7% 44.2% 54.8% 58.1% 62.0% 0.3% -6.9% -2.7% -55.0% -25.9% -25.95%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.13 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.17 0.37 0.17 0.10 0.14 0.10 0.26 0.43 0.59 0.77 0.85 0.90 0.95 0.952
Earnings Stability 0.02 0.13 0.35 0.40 0.38 0.71 0.50 0.43 0.32 0.15 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.16 0.37 0.59 0.76 0.82 0.91 0.81 0.808
Margin Stability 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.889
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.90 0.98 0.93 0.90 0.900
Earnings Smoothness — 0.02 — — — 0.53 — — — 0.00 0.36 0.22 0.30 0.15 0.46 0.68 0.78 0.95 0.85 0.71 0.714
ROE Trend -0.14 -0.09 -0.11 -0.07 -0.04 -0.00 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.02 -0.06 -0.061
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.05 -0.00 0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.13 -0.134
FCF Margin Trend -1.50 0.20 0.20 0.23 0.30 0.29 0.23 0.41 1.12 0.60 0.57 0.16 -0.20 -0.82 -0.74 -0.29 -0.40 0.04 0.02 0.27 0.273
Sustainable Growth Rate — 0.0% — — — 0.6% 6.3% 8.0% 9.5% 9.6% 12.4% 16.4% 17.1% 19.1% 17.1% 18.8% 18.0% 15.6% 16.9% 10.3% 10.35%
Internal Growth Rate — 0.0% — — — 0.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.5% 2.8% 3.2% 2.0% 2.02%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -61.18 27.05 -5.83 -9.90 -14.57 26.55 5.41 4.75 4.90 5.25 3.94 2.93 2.81 2.62 2.54 2.45 2.26 2.49 2.45 2.97 2.967
FCF/OCF -5.35 -1.29 -1.14 -1.15 -1.51 -1.03 -0.94 -0.75 0.07 0.27 0.26 -0.45 -0.84 -1.97 -2.08 -1.31 -1.49 -0.96 -0.94 -0.41 -0.409
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.214
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.873
CapEx/Revenue 1.9% 75.8% 73.1% 77.5% 87.6% 93.9% 97.9% 89.1% 54.5% 40.3% 39.0% 76.9% 96.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 76.4% 75.9% 50.3% 50.34%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 3.245
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.047
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.124
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.680
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 2.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3% 1.17%
Dividend/Share $0.51 $0.52 $0.55 $0.52 $0.52 $0.51 $0.51 $0.51 $0.51 $0.49 $0.50 $1.58 $1.91 $2.03 $2.39 $1.71 $1.69 $2.04 $0.24 $0.75 $0.53
Payout Ratio — 97.0% — — — 60.1% 10.5% 8.4% 6.9% 7.4% 5.5% 11.9% 13.3% 13.1% 16.0% 9.8% 9.7% 12.7% 12.7% 18.1% 18.06%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — 19.1% 5.3% 5.3% — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — 5.5% — — — 2.2% 34.1% 23.9% 19.6% 21.0% 15.2% 12.1% 14.6% 15.0% 18.0% 11.5% 10.5% 16.0% 18.1% 52.6% 52.61%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1
Chowder Number 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.03 2.26 3.02 3.39 4.02 0.14 -0.08 0.03 -0.08 0.39 0.391
Buyback Yield 4.4% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 6.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.63%
Net Buyback Yield 4.4% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 6.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% -0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.62%
Total Shareholder Return 5.8% 7.9% 10.7% 9.7% 8.5% 3.3% 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.9% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 0.2% 1.0% 0.95%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.29 0.37 0.98 2.62 3.93 0.56 0.70 0.74 0.73 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.69 0.71 0.71 0.74 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.67 0.675
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.07 0.12 -0.32 -0.06 -0.03 0.13 0.39 0.42 0.46 0.46 0.52 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.70 0.702
EBIT Margin 0.24 0.28 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.25 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.39 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.40 0.39 0.25 0.254
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.23 0.20 0.201
Equity Multiplier 5.57 6.22 5.74 5.91 5.86 6.45 5.72 5.61 5.58 6.20 5.73 5.76 5.65 6.02 5.79 5.85 5.25 5.75 5.38 5.23 5.229
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.20 $0.53 $-2.78 $-1.71 $-1.14 $0.85 $4.81 $6.05 $7.30 $6.67 $9.05 $13.26 $14.36 $15.55 $14.94 $17.51 $17.44 $16.12 $1.87 $4.17 $4.17
Book Value/Share $66.11 $59.63 $70.72 $68.00 $70.06 $63.44 $70.62 $72.51 $74.53 $66.93 $69.35 $73.34 $75.49 $78.67 $80.78 $97.45 $101.48 $102.81 $10.64 $35.08 $36.65
Tangible Book/Share $62.38 $55.87 $66.74 $64.21 $66.47 $60.49 $68.18 $70.16 $72.29 $65.37 $67.82 $68.74 $70.28 $73.79 $76.96 $92.45 $97.60 $102.77 $10.17 $34.70 $34.70
Revenue/Share $40.84 $43.50 $47.37 $46.99 $47.78 $48.90 $51.52 $56.44 $60.69 $63.81 $67.29 $73.02 $77.37 $81.52 $86.84 $93.31 $97.58 $103.00 $11.70 $34.62 $36.07
FCF/Share $-66.04 $-18.61 $-18.44 $-19.49 $-25.21 $-23.30 $-24.40 $-21.56 $2.65 $9.29 $9.46 $-17.30 $-34.01 $-80.04 $-78.77 $-56.11 $-58.55 $-38.60 $-4.30 $-5.06 $-5.27
OCF/Share $12.35 $14.38 $16.19 $16.91 $16.65 $22.64 $26.02 $28.74 $35.74 $35.03 $35.69 $38.86 $40.41 $40.73 $37.94 $42.91 $39.40 $40.14 $4.58 $12.37 $12.89
Cash/Share $2.37 $2.27 $13.94 $11.82 $12.98 $1.90 $9.99 $8.54 $8.60 $1.08 $1.14 $0.75 $0.84 $1.30 $4.62 $111.95 $24.32 $2.33 $0.38 $0.49 $0.51
EBITDA/Share $24.19 $26.59 $23.72 $24.22 $24.29 $25.83 $31.23 $33.15 $35.47 $36.11 $39.71 $45.99 $48.62 $50.50 $51.50 $56.03 $57.91 $57.02 $6.42 $14.17 $14.17
Debt/Share $285.58 $283.99 $295.60 $277.27 $295.32 $289.59 $284.52 $283.61 $276.53 $274.87 $260.64 $289.96 $290.20 $324.30 $318.80 $400.66 $318.51 $384.31 $34.53 $105.43 $105.43
Net Debt/Share $283.21 $281.72 $281.66 $265.44 $282.34 $287.68 $274.53 $275.07 $267.92 $273.79 $259.49 $289.20 $289.35 $322.99 $314.18 $288.71 $294.19 $381.98 $34.15 $104.95 $104.95
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.756
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.190
Piotroski F-Score 3 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 6 5 6 5 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.61 0.40 -3.10 -3.15 -2.93 -2.78 -2.62 -2.54 -2.80 -2.77 -1.31 -1.32 -0.42 -2.25 -2.41 -2.71 -2.98 2.89 -2.84 -1.07 -1.072
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.758
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.25%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-115.24
EVA snapshot only $-171606901.42
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 21.72 24.09 16.91 19.07 21.22 26.13 24.67 24.60 30.00 32.40 32.24 34.26 33.65 34.44 33.68 33.00 30.27 35.83 58.16 38.50 38.504
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only 5.501
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 50
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 19

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms