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WLFC NASDAQ

Willis Lease Finance Corporation
1W: -4.0% 1M: -3.1% 3M: -11.2% YTD: +36.2% 1Y: +32.9% 3Y: +320.3% 5Y: +309.4%
$182.70
+0.39 (+0.21%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±12.1%
$137 $158 $180 $202 $223
NASDAQ · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 43 · $1.5B mcap · 3M float · 3.45% daily turnover · Short 70% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
56.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: 4.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 2.3%
Cost Advantage
50
Intangibles
63
Switching Cost
62
Network Effect
64
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. WLFC has a Narrow competitive edge (56.9/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. ROIC of 4.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-04-07 _new_coverage None ADDED

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
5
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. WLFC receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (4/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-01 B A-
2026-02-18 B+ B
2026-01-03 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

50 Grade B
Profitability
69
Balance Sheet
29
Earnings Quality
86
Growth
72
Value
85
Momentum
95
Safety
15
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. WLFC scores highest in Momentum (95/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.99
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
2.66
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.78
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 36.2/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.45x
Accruals: -4.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. WLFC scores 0.99, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. WLFC scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. WLFC's score of 2.66 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. WLFC's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. WLFC receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 36.2/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). WLFC's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
10.15x
PEG
0.79x
P/S
1.91x
P/B
1.78x
P/FCF
-4.40x
P/OCF
4.13x
EV/EBITDA
9.39x
EV/Revenue
5.15x
EV/EBIT
13.04x
EV/FCF
-14.00x
Earnings Yield
9.88%
FCF Yield
-22.73%
Shareholder Yield
1.56%
Graham Number
$194.58
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 10.2x earnings, WLFC trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 9.9% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $194.58 per share, suggesting a potential 7% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.708
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.571
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.395
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.208
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.749
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
19.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. WLFC's ROE of 19.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.75x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
51.81%
Fair P/E
112.13x
Intrinsic Value
$1885.86
Price/Value
0.09x
Margin of Safety
90.97%
Premium
-90.97%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with WLFC's realized 51.8% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $1885.86, WLFC appears undervalued with a 91% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 112.1x compares to the current market P/E of 10.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$182.70
Median 1Y
$191.92
5th Pctile
$78.55
95th Pctile
$469.71
Ann. Volatility
57.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Charles F. Willis,
IV Executive Chairman
$1,210,202 $33,628,868 $52,091,481
Austin C. Willis
Chief Executive Officer
$850,662 $14,637,060 $19,209,005
Brian R. Hole
President
$664,599 $9,589,798 $12,276,872
Scott B. Flaherty
Chief Financial Officer
$607,278 $7,823,469 $9,926,494

CEO Pay Ratio

47:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $19,209,005
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $409,968
Employees: 475

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
475
+6.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,422,817
Rev: $675,838,000
Profit / Employee
$239,491
NI: $113,758,000
SGA / Employee
$409,968
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -0.3% -0.3% 0.8% -4.2% -2.7% -1.8% 1.4% 8.0% 10.0% 12.1% 10.4% 14.3% 21.1% 23.4% 22.0% 21.2% 24.8% 24.8% 17.8% 19.1% 19.13%
ROA -0.1% -0.1% 0.1% -0.7% -0.4% -0.3% 0.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 4.1% 4.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.33%
ROIC -0.2% -0.1% 0.1% -0.6% -0.2% -0.1% 0.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.6% 4.1% 3.7% 3.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 4.07%
ROCE 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 2.2% 2.7% 2.7% 3.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.8% 8.5% 9.4% 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 9.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.88%
Gross Margin 60.0% 64.4% 66.1% 61.2% 63.3% 65.8% 68.8% 65.4% 72.1% 71.0% 75.1% 74.2% 78.0% 73.4% 75.9% 71.0% 67.1% 93.4% 58.0% 72.5% 72.49%
Operating Margin -1.8% 8.6% 6.1% -36.5% 12.1% 11.4% 19.0% 8.9% 17.8% 18.9% 14.7% 22.9% 35.8% 23.0% 19.2% 15.2% 14.5% 21.1% 28.7% 38.4% 38.38%
Net Margin 0.1% 4.1% 2.3% -30.8% 7.6% 8.3% 16.3% 4.9% 12.7% 13.8% 9.6% 17.5% 28.2% 16.5% 13.8% 10.7% 30.9% 13.5% 6.3% 12.9% 12.91%
EBITDA Margin 57.9% 64.6% 60.7% 15.9% 62.2% 60.8% 66.4% 53.4% 55.5% 59.1% 57.8% 63.3% 69.4% 59.6% 55.7% 52.8% 69.6% 57.0% 41.5% 51.3% 51.27%
FCF Margin -1.2% -1.6% -42.8% -38.9% -41.5% -52.8% -47.6% -47.4% -38.2% 4.4% 14.6% 14.1% -23.7% -44.0% -98.2% -90.7% -60.1% -60.0% -37.5% -36.8% -36.76%
OCF Margin 35.9% 30.2% 33.1% 34.2% 36.0% 34.8% 46.3% 50.5% 50.9% 58.9% 54.9% 53.0% 53.2% 52.2% 50.0% 43.7% 46.0% 40.4% 39.0% 39.1% 39.15%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.53%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 10.57%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.82%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.91%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.07%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.41%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.74%
CROIC snapshot only -8.20%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 18.23%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 22.55%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 27.76%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 5.26%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -219.05 -179.34 68.91 -11.29 -21.35 -27.89 67.36 11.09 6.30 5.64 7.13 5.34 5.17 10.27 13.24 10.50 8.11 7.84 8.41 10.12 10.153
P/S Ratio 1.00 0.89 0.84 0.66 0.78 0.67 1.17 1.03 0.67 0.68 0.75 0.72 0.94 1.91 2.53 1.81 1.52 1.40 1.32 1.62 1.906
P/B Ratio 0.63 0.56 0.61 0.50 0.61 0.53 0.91 0.85 0.61 0.66 0.71 0.73 1.05 2.30 2.62 2.00 1.81 1.75 1.32 1.70 1.783
P/FCF -0.85 -0.55 -1.97 -1.70 -1.87 -1.26 -2.47 -2.18 -1.77 15.52 5.12 5.11 -3.96 -4.34 -2.57 -1.99 -2.53 -2.33 -3.51 -4.40 -4.400
P/OCF 2.78 2.93 2.55 1.94 2.16 1.91 2.54 2.05 1.32 1.15 1.36 1.35 1.76 3.65 5.06 4.14 3.31 3.47 3.38 4.13 4.131
EV/EBITDA 12.22 12.01 11.97 13.90 13.25 12.98 13.36 10.81 9.74 9.16 8.90 8.01 7.30 8.42 10.47 9.30 8.30 7.90 9.08 9.39 9.387
EV/Revenue 7.23 7.11 7.32 6.96 6.83 6.59 7.06 6.55 5.72 5.35 5.04 4.73 4.60 5.29 6.49 5.52 4.98 4.69 5.03 5.15 5.148
EV/EBIT 31.96 29.92 26.02 37.05 30.92 30.38 28.76 19.35 16.82 15.18 14.44 12.20 10.35 11.65 14.35 12.81 11.31 10.76 12.63 13.04 13.039
EV/FCF -6.17 -4.40 -17.11 -17.89 -16.46 -12.50 -14.81 -13.83 -14.98 122.57 34.58 33.62 -19.42 -12.03 -6.61 -6.08 -8.28 -7.81 -13.41 -14.00 -14.005
Earnings Yield -0.5% -0.6% 1.5% -8.9% -4.7% -3.6% 1.5% 9.0% 15.9% 17.7% 14.0% 18.7% 19.4% 9.7% 7.6% 9.5% 12.3% 12.8% 11.9% 9.9% 9.88%
FCF Yield -1.2% -1.8% -50.8% -58.8% -53.4% -79.1% -40.6% -45.8% -56.6% 6.4% 19.5% 19.6% -25.3% -23.1% -38.9% -50.2% -39.5% -42.8% -28.5% -22.7% -22.73%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.789
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.702
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.150
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.112
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 20.001
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.56%
Graham Number snapshot only $194.58
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.12 2.12 8.27 8.27 8.27 8.27 4.26 4.26 4.26 4.26 3.74 3.74 3.74 3.74 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.09 3.09 3.091
Quick Ratio 1.37 1.37 6.91 6.91 6.91 6.91 3.62 3.62 3.62 3.62 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.22 3.22 3.22 3.22 2.82 2.82 2.817
Debt/Equity 4.10 4.10 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.56 4.56 4.56 4.56 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.12 3.74 3.74 3.738
Net Debt/Equity 3.91 3.91 4.72 4.72 4.72 4.72 4.53 4.53 4.53 4.53 4.09 4.09 4.09 4.09 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 3.72 3.72 3.715
Debt/Assets 0.69 0.69 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.67 0.67 0.673
Debt/EBITDA 11.05 11.03 10.68 12.69 11.84 11.76 11.21 9.16 8.65 8.06 7.61 6.82 5.84 5.41 6.42 6.28 5.78 5.56 6.74 6.48 6.477
Net Debt/EBITDA 10.54 10.52 10.59 12.58 11.74 11.66 11.14 9.10 8.59 8.00 7.58 6.79 5.82 5.38 6.40 6.26 5.76 5.54 6.70 6.44 6.438
Interest Coverage 0.93 0.93 1.13 0.76 0.94 0.97 1.15 1.65 1.73 1.87 1.85 2.08 2.45 2.47 2.46 2.30 2.34 2.38 2.25 2.33 2.332
Equity Multiplier 5.92 5.92 6.55 6.55 6.55 6.55 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.04 6.04 6.04 6.04 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 5.56 5.56 5.557
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.079
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.240
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.006
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.103
Defensive Interval snapshot only 53.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.20 0.21 0.208
Inventory Turnover 2.16 2.10 1.91 1.89 1.92 1.94 2.44 2.53 2.57 2.67 3.03 3.02 3.10 3.30 2.47 2.74 3.28 2.80 3.16 3.28 3.276
Receivables Turnover 9.93 9.93 8.08 8.30 8.65 8.83 7.21 7.68 8.40 9.07 7.94 8.50 9.30 10.07 11.76 12.56 13.48 14.18 19.64 20.63 20.633
Payables Turnover 3.37 3.28 9.13 9.02 9.19 9.28 4.34 4.50 4.503
DSO 37 37 45 44 42 41 51 47 43 40 46 43 39 36 31 29 27 26 19 18 17.7 days
DIO 169 174 191 193 190 188 150 144 142 137 120 121 118 110 148 133 111 130 116 111 111.4 days
DPO 108 111 40 40 40 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 84 81 81.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 97 99 196 197 192 190 200 192 185 177 166 164 157 147 179 162 138 156 50 48 48.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 10.341
Operating Cycle snapshot only 129.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 46.438
Capital Intensity snapshot only 5.281
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -29.1% -17.9% -5.0% 5.1% 13.0% 15.3% 13.8% 18.0% 23.9% 31.0% 34.2% 34.7% 34.8% 35.2% 36.0% 35.7% 33.1% 29.3% 27.7% 25.6% 25.60%
Net Income -1.0% -1.1% -65.6% -5.0% -8.0% -4.6% 62.3% 2.9% 4.7% 7.6% 7.0% 94.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 73.6% 37.5% 24.5% 4.7% 16.6% 16.59%
EPS -1.0% -1.1% -67.3% -5.0% -8.0% -4.7% 60.4% 2.7% 4.5% 7.4% 6.8% 88.2% 1.2% 96.9% 1.3% 65.2% 32.1% 21.4% 3.6% 12.5% 12.54%
FCF -5.6% -34.9% 63.2% 59.9% 60.0% 62.4% -26.7% -43.6% -14.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.4% -14.6% -10.2% -9.8% -2.4% -76.5% 51.3% 49.1% 49.10%
EBITDA -28.5% -18.8% -4.2% -14.3% -1.5% -1.1% -1.7% 42.8% 41.2% 50.6% 43.7% 31.2% 44.6% 45.4% 48.9% 36.3% 26.8% 22.1% 14.1% 16.1% 16.14%
Op. Income -1.1% -1.1% -43.2% -4.0% -3.5% 30.2% 18.2% 3.8% 11.7% 29.2% 5.5% 94.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 69.1% -2.4% -9.3% 1.0% 39.3% 39.28%
OCF Growth snapshot only 12.54%
Asset Growth snapshot only 22.28%
Equity Growth snapshot only 32.07%
Debt Growth snapshot only 19.76%
Shares Change snapshot only 3.60%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -7.67%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -1.0% -2.4% -6.4% -9.0% -9.5% -11.9% -8.6% -4.9% -0.2% 7.4% 13.2% 18.7% 23.6% 26.9% 27.6% 29.2% 30.5% 31.8% 32.6% 31.9% 31.91%
Revenue 5Y 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 3.8% 3.0% 2.3% 2.6% 5.0% 6.3% 7.0% 4.6% 3.7% 4.4% 3.9% 6.8% 9.5% 12.2% 16.7% 20.3% 23.3% 23.27%
EPS 3Y -58.2% -57.3% -16.4% -1.6% 36.0% 60.1% 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 51.8% 51.81%
EPS 5Y -24.7% -38.9% -13.2% -10.6% -8.4% -1.7% -1.0% 4.1% 1.8% 7.2% 12.7% 22.5% 43.2% 58.2% 89.5% 89.46%
Net Income 3Y -57.4% -56.7% -14.9% 0.2% 38.8% 65.0% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 57.8% 57.81%
Net Income 5Y -24.7% -38.6% -12.7% -9.3% -7.0% 0.3% 1.1% 6.3% 4.2% 10.2% 15.8% 25.9% 47.4% 63.5% 96.8% 96.82%
EBITDA 3Y 2.6% -0.2% -5.3% -14.1% -13.9% -15.9% -12.1% -3.4% -0.2% 6.5% 10.6% 17.1% 26.2% 29.4% 28.1% 36.7% 37.3% 38.8% 34.7% 27.6% 27.59%
EBITDA 5Y 3.0% 2.7% 4.6% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 3.9% 8.4% 8.5% 8.2% 3.7% 3.5% 5.5% 5.4% 7.8% 10.0% 12.8% 16.5% 18.1% 20.5% 20.51%
Gross Profit 3Y -4.0% -4.9% -7.1% -9.3% -9.3% -11.4% -8.0% -3.3% 2.9% 12.2% 18.9% 27.3% 34.7% 37.5% 36.5% 36.6% 35.5% 40.0% 37.2% 36.1% 36.09%
Gross Profit 5Y 3.3% 4.2% 5.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.0% 3.8% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 7.2% 6.6% 7.9% 7.7% 10.5% 13.3% 15.4% 22.3% 24.2% 28.3% 28.29%
Op. Income 3Y -45.8% -50.3% -11.4% 1.6% 35.0% 63.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 66.0% 66.00%
Op. Income 5Y -17.5% -19.3% 11.3% 14.0% 12.9% 4.1% 3.4% 8.3% 6.7% 12.5% 18.0% 18.0% 35.6% 58.2% 1.1% 1.07%
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y -10.2% -14.5% -21.7% -20.8% -20.2% -26.1% -14.4% -9.0% 0.6% 17.4% 35.0% 39.4% 40.9% 52.2% 46.4% 40.2% 41.6% 38.5% 25.2% 21.2% 21.18%
OCF 5Y -4.5% -6.3% -2.1% -5.3% -5.4% -6.0% 1.3% 7.0% 7.5% 12.9% 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 1.4% 4.3% 3.6% 10.5% 14.1% 24.8% 27.8% 27.76%
Assets 3Y 15.2% 15.2% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.1% 16.1% 16.12%
Assets 5Y 13.4% 13.4% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.5% 10.5% 10.48%
Equity 3Y 16.9% 16.9% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 21.5% 21.5% 21.48%
Book Value 3Y 15.5% 14.7% 7.3% 9.6% 8.3% 8.4% -1.1% -1.4% -1.4% -1.6% -1.1% -1.5% -0.6% -0.5% 9.7% 7.5% 9.3% 9.2% 17.5% 16.9% 16.86%
Dividend 3Y -1.3% -1.7% -2.0% 0.1% -1.0% -0.9% -1.3% -1.6% -1.6% -1.7% -3.3% -2.7% 44.2% 54.8% 58.1% 62.0% 0.3% -6.9% -2.7% -6.3% -6.33%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.22 0.13 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.17 0.37 0.17 0.10 0.14 0.10 0.26 0.43 0.59 0.77 0.85 0.90 0.903
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.35 0.40 0.38 0.71 0.50 0.43 0.32 0.15 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.16 0.37 0.59 0.76 0.82 0.91 0.909
Margin Stability 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.91 0.907
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.90 0.98 0.93 0.934
Earnings Smoothness 0.02 0.53 0.00 0.36 0.22 0.30 0.15 0.46 0.68 0.78 0.95 0.85 0.847
ROE Trend -0.17 -0.16 -0.09 -0.11 -0.08 -0.04 -0.00 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.09 0.12 0.17 0.18 0.14 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.004
Gross Margin Trend -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.05 -0.00 0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.015
FCF Margin Trend -0.93 -1.50 0.20 0.20 0.23 0.30 0.29 0.23 0.41 1.12 0.60 0.57 0.16 -0.20 -0.82 -0.74 -0.29 -0.40 0.04 0.02 0.016
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.0% 0.6% 7.1% 9.1% 11.2% 9.6% 13.5% 18.6% 20.2% 19.1% 17.8% 22.4% 22.4% 15.6% 16.7% 16.71%
Internal Growth Rate 0.0% 0.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 3.9% 3.9% 2.8% 3.0% 2.99%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -78.80 -61.18 27.05 -5.83 -9.90 -14.57 26.55 5.41 4.75 4.90 5.25 3.94 2.93 2.81 2.62 2.54 2.45 2.26 2.49 2.45 2.451
FCF/OCF -3.26 -5.35 -1.29 -1.14 -1.15 -1.51 -1.03 -0.94 -0.75 0.07 0.27 0.26 -0.45 -0.84 -1.97 -2.08 -1.31 -1.49 -0.96 -0.94 -0.939
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.301
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.714
CapEx/Revenue 1.5% 1.9% 75.8% 73.1% 77.5% 87.6% 93.9% 97.9% 89.1% 54.5% 40.3% 39.0% 76.9% 96.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 76.4% 75.9% 75.91%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.941
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.048
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.003
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.502
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 2.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 0.79%
Dividend/Share $0.52 $0.51 $0.52 $0.55 $0.52 $0.52 $0.51 $0.51 $0.51 $0.51 $0.49 $0.50 $1.58 $1.91 $2.03 $2.39 $1.71 $1.69 $2.04 $2.13 $1.45
Payout Ratio 97.0% 60.1% 10.5% 8.4% 6.9% 7.4% 5.5% 11.9% 13.3% 13.1% 16.0% 9.8% 9.7% 12.7% 12.7% 12.66%
FCF Payout Ratio 19.1% 5.3% 5.3%
Total Payout Ratio 5.5% 2.2% 34.1% 23.9% 19.6% 21.0% 15.2% 12.1% 14.6% 15.0% 18.0% 11.5% 10.5% 16.0% 15.8% 15.77%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0
Chowder Number 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.03 2.26 3.02 3.39 4.02 0.14 -0.08 0.03 -0.06 -0.064
Buyback Yield 2.0% 4.4% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 6.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.31%
Net Buyback Yield 2.0% 4.4% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 6.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% -0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.28%
Total Shareholder Return 3.2% 5.8% 7.9% 10.7% 9.7% 8.5% 3.3% 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.9% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 1.53%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.26 0.29 0.37 0.98 2.62 3.93 0.56 0.70 0.74 0.73 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.69 0.71 0.71 0.74 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.708
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.08 -0.07 0.12 -0.32 -0.06 -0.03 0.13 0.39 0.42 0.46 0.46 0.52 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.571
EBIT Margin 0.23 0.24 0.28 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.25 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.39 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.40 0.39 0.395
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.20 0.21 0.208
Equity Multiplier 5.40 5.40 6.22 6.22 6.22 6.22 6.45 6.45 6.45 6.45 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.02 6.02 6.02 6.02 5.75 5.75 5.749
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.19 $-0.20 $0.53 $-2.78 $-1.71 $-1.14 $0.85 $4.81 $6.05 $7.30 $6.67 $9.05 $13.26 $14.36 $15.55 $14.94 $17.51 $17.44 $16.12 $16.82 $16.82
Book Value/Share $66.54 $65.02 $59.63 $63.16 $60.18 $59.95 $63.44 $62.68 $62.82 $62.59 $66.93 $65.92 $65.38 $64.00 $78.67 $78.48 $78.59 $78.13 $102.81 $100.05 $102.45
Tangible Book/Share $63.11 $61.67 $55.87 $59.18 $56.39 $56.17 $60.49 $59.77 $59.90 $59.67 $65.37 $64.39 $63.86 $62.51 $73.79 $73.61 $73.72 $73.29 $102.77 $100.01 $100.01
Revenue/Share $41.77 $40.84 $43.50 $47.37 $46.99 $47.78 $48.90 $51.52 $56.44 $60.69 $63.81 $67.29 $73.02 $77.37 $81.52 $86.84 $93.31 $97.58 $103.00 $105.28 $112.64
FCF/Share $-48.94 $-66.04 $-18.61 $-18.44 $-19.49 $-25.21 $-23.30 $-24.40 $-21.56 $2.65 $9.29 $9.46 $-17.30 $-34.01 $-80.04 $-78.77 $-56.11 $-58.55 $-38.60 $-38.70 $-41.41
OCF/Share $15.01 $12.35 $14.38 $16.19 $16.91 $16.65 $22.64 $26.02 $28.74 $35.74 $35.03 $35.69 $38.86 $40.41 $40.73 $37.94 $42.91 $39.40 $40.14 $41.22 $44.10
Cash/Share $12.69 $12.40 $2.27 $2.41 $2.29 $2.29 $1.90 $1.88 $1.89 $1.88 $1.08 $1.06 $1.05 $1.03 $1.30 $1.30 $1.30 $1.30 $2.33 $2.27 $3.62
EBITDA/Share $24.71 $24.19 $26.59 $23.72 $24.22 $24.29 $25.83 $31.23 $33.15 $35.47 $36.11 $39.71 $45.99 $48.62 $50.50 $51.50 $56.03 $57.91 $57.02 $57.74 $57.74
Debt/Share $273.02 $266.80 $283.99 $300.83 $286.63 $285.53 $289.59 $286.13 $286.76 $285.69 $274.87 $270.74 $268.53 $262.85 $324.30 $323.51 $323.97 $322.08 $384.31 $373.98 $373.98
Net Debt/Share $260.33 $254.39 $281.72 $298.43 $284.33 $283.24 $287.68 $284.25 $284.87 $283.81 $273.79 $269.68 $267.47 $261.82 $322.99 $322.21 $322.67 $320.79 $381.98 $371.71 $371.71
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.994
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.076
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 6 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 8 5 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.77 -2.80 0.40 0.61 0.57 0.82 -2.78 -2.71 -2.74 -2.75 -2.77 -2.70 -2.65 -2.69 -2.25 -2.27 -2.22 -2.40 2.89 2.66 2.661
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.783
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 59.54%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-367.77
EVA snapshot only $-202925606.77
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 19.03 18.99 23.88 22.09 21.33 20.59 25.52 28.07 28.81 28.97 31.17 33.79 34.55 34.45 33.08 32.55 32.93 34.73 35.02 36.18 36.179
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only 3.634
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 47
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 16

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