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XPOF NYSE

Xponential Fitness, Inc.
1W: +9.6% 1M: -18.6% 3M: -32.5% YTD: -30.2% 1Y: -35.1% 3Y: -80.0%
$5.71
+0.13 (+2.33%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.6%
$4 $4 $5 $5 $6
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 42 · $213.1M mcap · 28M float · 2.38% daily turnover · Short 71% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
53.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 18.1%
Cost Advantage
68
Intangibles
69
Switching Cost
38
Network Effect
44
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. XPOF shows a Weak competitive edge (53.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 18.1% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$6
Low
$7
Avg Target
$8
High
Based on 3 analysts since May 7, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 6Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$7.25
Analysts4
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-20 Northland Securities Owen Rickert Initiated $8 +65.6% $4.83
2026-05-08 Roth Capital $8 $7 -1 +23.0% $5.69
2026-05-08 Lake Street Ryan Meyers $20 $6 -14 +0.8% $5.95
2026-04-08 Roth Capital George Kelly Initiated $8 +8.8% $7.35
2025-11-21 Stifel Nicolaus Chris O'Cull $20 $8 -12 +45.7% $5.49
2025-10-17 UBS Initiated $8 +16.1% $6.89
2024-11-08 Piper Sandler Peter Keith $13 $12 -1 -26.8% $16.40
2024-09-13 Loop Capital Markets Ryan Meyers $23 $20 -3 +40.2% $14.27
2024-08-02 Piper Sandler Korinne Wolfmeyer $9 $13 +4 -7.5% $14.06
2024-08-02 Lake Street Ryan Meyers $23 $20 -3 +17.4% $17.03
2024-08-02 Robert W. Baird Jonathan Komp $10 $15 +5 -11.9% $17.03
2024-06-17 Guggenheim John Heinbockel Initiated $20 +32.2% $15.13
2024-06-17 Jefferies Randal Konik Initiated $45 +197.0% $15.15
2024-06-17 Evercore ISI Warren Cheng $34 $35 +1 +131.3% $15.13
2024-05-21 Robert W. Baird Jonathan Komp Initiated $10 +17.5% $8.51
2024-05-13 Piper Sandler Peter Keith Initiated $9 -4.1% $9.38
2024-05-13 Loop Capital Markets Ryan Meyers $32 $23 -9 +145.5% $9.37
2024-05-13 Lake Street Ryan Meyers Initiated $23 +171.2% $8.48
2024-04-12 Stifel Nicolaus Chris O'Cull $18 $20 +2 +37.5% $14.54
2024-04-12 Loop Capital Markets Ryan Meyers Initiated $32 +118.6% $14.64
2023-12-12 Stifel Nicolaus Chris O'Cull Initiated $18 +95.2% $9.22
2023-06-29 Morgan Stanley Brian Harbour Initiated $32 +82.9% $17.50
2022-12-06 Citigroup Initiated $29 +29.1% $22.47
2022-08-12 Raymond James Initiated $29 +78.0% $16.29
2022-03-18 Evercore ISI Warren Cheng Initiated $34 +49.6% $22.72

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
4
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. XPOF receives an overall rating of C-. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-03-12 C C-
2026-02-27 C+ C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

25 Grade D
Profitability
35
Balance Sheet
22
Earnings Quality
58
Growth
63
Value
23
Momentum
61
Safety
0
Cash Flow
12
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. XPOF scores highest in Growth (63/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-1.54
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.63
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
1.99
Bankruptcy prob: 88.0%
High Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 10.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.02x
Accruals: -9.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. XPOF scores -1.54, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. XPOF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. XPOF's score of -3.63 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. XPOF's implied 88.0% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. XPOF receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 10.4/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-6.43x
PEG
-0.15x
P/S
0.71x
P/B
-0.67x
P/FCF
-70.42x
P/OCF
277.00x
EV/EBITDA
11.35x
EV/Revenue
2.36x
EV/EBIT
13.89x
EV/FCF
-220.53x
Earnings Yield
-15.00%
FCF Yield
-1.42%
Shareholder Yield
1.74%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. XPOF currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.661
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-1.007
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.170
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.798
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-1.542
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
13.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. XPOF's ROE of 13.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.798), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1214 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.73
Median 1Y
$3.41
5th Pctile
$0.91
95th Pctile
$13.01
Ann. Volatility
85.4%
Analyst Target
$7.25
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Michael Nuzzo
Chief Executive Officer
$324,627 $3,566,482 $4,691,109
John Kawaja President,
sident, North America
$289,231 $1,143,712 $1,751,693
Timothy Weiderhoft Operating
rating Officer, North America
$376,231 $1,072,230 $1,556,297
Gavin O’Connor Legal
Legal Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer and Secretary
$72,992 $817,456 $1,220,448
Mark King
Former Chief Executive Officer
$519,900 $— $519,900

CEO Pay Ratio

10:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $4,691,109
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $447,062
Employees: 340

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
340
-21.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$926,115
Rev: $314,879,000
Profit / Employee
$-99,385
NI: $-33,791,000
SGA / Employee
$447,062
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -2.8% 0.9% -2.1% 4.2% -2.0% 0.3% 2.9% -8.2% 1.7% 19.1% 33.7% 49.8% 41.7% 60.9% 60.4% 50.6% 43.1% 14.4% 13.9% 13.88%
ROA -4.2% -1.5% 3.3% -6.6% 1.7% -0.3% -2.6% 7.4% -1.6% -3.1% -5.5% -8.2% -6.8% -14.8% -14.7% -12.3% -10.5% -9.3% -9.0% -9.00%
ROIC -1.5% 4.4% 6.5% 1.3% 2.3% -78.4% -77.1% -1.1% -2.2% 7.5% 11.0% 2.3% -0.7% -29.0% -28.1% -18.4% -13.0% 16.1% 18.1% 18.06%
ROCE -1.1% -8.4% -12.5% -2.1% -4.1% 5.8% 7.6% 7.5% 11.4% 10.4% 16.6% 11.4% 8.7% 15.8% 15.7% 16.1% 20.3% 24.1% 22.1% 22.05%
Gross Margin 64.2% 65.3% 63.9% 62.8% 67.2% 69.5% 67.4% 69.7% 72.5% 66.1% 67.3% 64.1% 64.8% 67.8% 66.9% 86.2% 66.7% 76.7% 84.9% 84.94%
Operating Margin -8.0% -54.5% -29.3% 60.7% -16.4% 5.9% -10.2% 47.1% 9.3% -2.0% 10.0% -4.0% -8.0% -62.2% 12.6% 19.5% 4.5% 17.6% 24.7% 24.68%
Net Margin -33.1% 15.0% 39.4% -69.0% 31.7% -0.3% 13.6% 4.9% -25.1% -10.1% -3.1% -12.4% -16.6% -52.1% -2.5% 2.0% -6.2% -35.7% -1.2% -1.19%
EBITDA Margin -1.4% -47.0% -20.7% 68.1% -8.3% 22.2% -4.1% 52.5% 12.3% 16.5% 30.6% 23.4% -2.2% 28.4% 29.4% 23.1% 12.8% 20.5% 28.4% 28.39%
FCF Margin 6.9% 11.6% 8.0% 15.7% 14.6% 14.5% 16.4% 13.9% 13.4% 8.2% 5.7% 1.0% 0.4% 1.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 7.6% -1.1% -1.07%
OCF Margin 8.4% 13.8% 10.9% 19.3% 20.9% 21.1% 22.7% 19.8% 17.5% 11.1% 8.2% 3.2% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 4.5% 5.8% 9.0% 0.3% 0.27%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -10.67%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -10.95%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 15.18%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.23%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.39%
CROIC snapshot only -1.52%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 12.68%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -17.07%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 44.11%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.89%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -20.80 -76.00 38.77 -11.22 75.17 -464.82 -81.00 21.51 -88.90 -31.74 -18.47 -12.04 -11.58 -6.40 -4.12 -4.56 -5.52 -8.30 -6.67 -6.426
P/S Ratio 6.88 5.12 3.79 1.53 2.14 2.51 3.52 2.53 2.08 1.58 1.57 1.52 1.22 1.38 0.89 0.83 0.86 0.92 0.75 0.713
P/B Ratio 59.18 -0.71 -0.81 -0.47 -0.73 -3.97 -6.04 -4.64 -4.03 -47.32 -48.63 -46.87 -37.69 -2.04 -1.30 -1.21 -1.25 -1.08 -0.83 -0.674
P/FCF 99.16 44.14 47.42 9.79 14.65 17.30 21.48 18.20 15.51 19.11 27.42 159.18 321.25 86.12 32.20 26.72 18.46 12.11 -70.42 -70.423
P/OCF 82.29 36.98 34.65 7.94 10.26 11.90 15.54 12.80 11.90 14.14 19.24 47.08 49.08 37.92 19.09 18.29 14.68 10.23 277.00 277.002
EV/EBITDA -793.86 -24.07 -18.81 65.80 366.72 18.52 22.28 17.76 12.02 14.12 9.97 13.05 14.03 12.50 10.31 10.05 8.54 11.42 11.35 11.353
EV/Revenue 11.07 6.34 4.58 2.09 2.64 3.08 4.05 3.02 2.54 2.77 2.73 2.68 2.38 2.51 2.03 1.97 2.00 2.44 2.36 2.355
EV/EBIT -153.60 -19.41 -14.67 -57.06 -40.83 31.52 34.43 27.71 16.36 19.36 12.32 17.60 20.44 17.24 13.92 13.15 10.56 13.90 13.89 13.891
EV/FCF 159.67 54.71 57.26 13.32 18.04 21.20 24.66 21.71 18.96 33.57 47.61 280.73 626.29 156.80 73.58 63.75 43.26 32.14 -220.53 -220.526
Earnings Yield -4.8% -1.3% 2.6% -8.9% 1.3% -0.2% -1.2% 4.6% -1.1% -3.2% -5.4% -8.3% -8.6% -15.6% -24.3% -22.0% -18.1% -12.0% -15.0% -15.00%
FCF Yield 1.0% 2.3% 2.1% 10.2% 6.8% 5.8% 4.7% 5.5% 6.4% 5.2% 3.6% 0.6% 0.3% 1.2% 3.1% 3.7% 5.4% 8.3% -1.4% -1.42%
EV/OCF snapshot only 867.422
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.014
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 14.668
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.74%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.60 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.82 0.82 0.816
Quick Ratio 0.48 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.80 0.80 0.797
Debt/Equity 38.49 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20 -1.10 -1.10 -1.10 -1.10 -38.41 -38.41 -38.41 -38.41 -1.75 -1.75 -1.75 -1.75 -1.95 -1.95 -1.950
Net Debt/Equity 36.11
Debt/Assets 0.57 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 1.52 1.52 1.518
Debt/EBITDA -320.64 -5.55 -3.86 20.79 82.25 4.19 3.54 3.54 2.69 6.52 4.54 6.06 7.34 5.89 6.06 6.10 5.12 7.79 8.47 8.468
Net Debt/EBITDA -300.82 -4.65 -3.23 17.43 68.96 3.40 2.87 2.87 2.18 6.08 4.23 5.65 6.84 5.64 5.80 5.83 4.90 7.11 7.73 7.727
Interest Coverage -0.50 -3.39 -3.80 -0.51 -1.21 1.84 1.72 1.29 1.49 1.17 1.71 1.11 0.83 1.01 1.01 0.99 1.23 1.12 0.97 0.968
Equity Multiplier 67.98 -0.63 -0.63 -0.63 -0.63 -3.12 -3.12 -3.12 -3.12 -49.94 -49.94 -49.94 -49.94 -1.86 -1.86 -1.86 -1.86 -1.28 -1.28 -1.284
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.395
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.185
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.087
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.006
Defensive Interval snapshot only 126.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.22 0.34 0.48 0.60 0.55 0.59 0.63 0.67 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.84 0.80 0.798
Inventory Turnover 2.38 4.59 7.21 10.41 11.97 9.33 9.88 10.02 10.15 7.73 7.96 8.29 8.78 8.81 8.76 7.38 7.21 13.33 10.67 10.667
Receivables Turnover 7.87 6.45 10.05 14.30 23.25 12.39 13.42 14.31 15.16 10.87 11.18 11.16 11.16 9.93 9.84 9.82 9.77 12.56 11.91 11.915
Payables Turnover 0.80 2.13 3.35 4.84 4.71 5.34 5.65 5.73 5.81 5.60 5.77 6.01 6.36 4.73 4.70 3.96 3.87 3.06 2.45 2.450
DSO 46 57 36 26 16 29 27 25 24 34 33 33 33 37 37 37 37 29 31 30.6 days
DIO 154 80 51 35 30 39 37 36 36 47 46 44 42 41 42 49 51 27 34 34.2 days
DPO 457 171 109 75 77 68 65 64 63 65 63 61 57 77 78 92 94 119 149 149.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -257 -35 -22 -15 -31 0 -0 -2 -3 16 15 16 17 1 1 -6 -6 -63 -84 -84.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 12.129
Operating Cycle snapshot only 64.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.513
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.157
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 4.5% 1.7% 88.7% 41.4% 34.4% 29.8% 23.2% 15.3% 8.9% 0.9% -2.7% -2.8% -3.3% -1.9% -6.1% -6.09%
Net Income 1.5% 78.2% -1.8% 2.2% -2.1% -10.9% -1.4% -2.2% -3.9% -3.4% -1.5% -39.5% -42.1% 49.5% 50.9% 50.86%
EPS 1.4% 81.7% -1.6% 1.7% -1.7% -7.2% -1.4% -2.6% -5.1% -4.2% -1.3% -26.9% -31.9% 52.9% 55.3% 55.35%
FCF 10.5% 2.4% 2.9% 25.7% 23.3% -26.3% -56.9% -92.1% -96.9% -80.4% -53.3% 2.1% 10.8% 3.7% -1.4% -1.36%
EBITDA 3.8% 2.7% 2.4% 6.6% 38.5% 53.2% 86.1% 39.2% -12.5% 3.4% -30.2% -7.3% 33.7% 4.5% -1.0% -1.01%
Op. Income -3.9% 1.5% 1.5% 3.6% 3.6% 1.3% 1.2% -54.1% -1.1% -2.5% -2.0% -4.2% -6.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.92%
OCF Growth snapshot only -94.52%
Asset Growth snapshot only -14.32%
Debt Growth snapshot only 38.21%
Shares Change snapshot only 10.05%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -31.45%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 99.9% 52.6% 31.3% 16.6% 12.3% 8.7% 4.0% 4.04%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 1.1% 2.6% 18.3% 8.8% 8.76%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 1.0% 53.6% 32.3% 20.9% 16.1% 12.9% 9.6% 9.58%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y 41.2% 28.3% 28.31%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y -24.0% -21.1% -7.9% -32.1% -23.4% -12.4%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 33.5% -2.3% -1.3% -28.2% -26.6% -18.2% -76.2% -76.20%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 17.9% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -10.5% -10.5% -10.54%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y
Book Value 3Y
Dividend 3Y -26.3% -17.6% -20.7% -6.3% 3.9% -9.1% -17.3% -17.33%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.88 0.84 0.80 0.79 0.71 0.56 0.19 0.187
Earnings Stability 0.10 0.43 0.98 0.03 0.33 0.71 0.97 0.29 0.64 0.52 0.63 0.630
Margin Stability 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.92 0.920
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.80 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.108
FCF Margin Trend 0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.14 -0.14 -0.10 -0.08 -0.04 -0.02 0.03 -0.05 -0.053
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate 5.7%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.25 -2.06 1.12 -1.41 7.33 -39.06 -5.21 1.68 -7.47 -2.24 -0.96 -0.26 -0.24 -0.17 -0.22 -0.25 -0.38 -0.81 -0.02 -0.024
FCF/OCF 0.83 0.84 0.73 0.81 0.70 0.69 0.72 0.70 0.77 0.74 0.70 0.30 0.15 0.44 0.59 0.68 0.80 0.84 -3.93 -3.933
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.095
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.013
CapEx/Revenue 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 5.9% 4.1% 2.9% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.34%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.353
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.04 -0.00 -0.16 -0.11 -0.12 -0.16 -0.05 -0.13 -0.10 -0.11 -0.10 -0.08 -0.17 -0.18 -0.15 -0.14 -0.17 -0.09 -0.092
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.024
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.103
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 6.1% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.0% 1.7% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.19 $0.40 $0.61 $0.77 $0.68 $0.61 $0.41 $0.22 $0.22 $0.18 $0.25 $0.20 $0.16 $0.18 $0.17 $0.22 $0.22 $0.16 $0.10 $0.00
Payout Ratio 1.0% 2.8% 27.3%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.5% 85.9% 1.2% 59.8% 54.8% 45.7% 29.2% 23.1% 22.2% 27.1% 40.7% 2.1% 4.2% 1.1% 64.9% 77.5% 52.6% 23.8%
Total Payout Ratio 12.2% 2.8% 27.3%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 3.38 0.83 -0.07 -0.50 -0.49 -0.55 -0.38 -0.28 -0.41 -0.17 -0.24 0.21 0.51 0.01 -0.30 -0.297
Buyback Yield 54.6% 33.2% 28.8% 50.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 10.1% 9.8% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 54.6% 33.2% 28.8% 49.9% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 9.8% 9.5% 9.9% -2.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.09%
Total Shareholder Return 56.1% 35.1% 31.4% 56.0% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4% 1.3% 8.4% 11.2% 11.0% 11.2% -0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.65%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.53 0.16 -0.25 1.26 -0.24 -0.39 -2.08 -67.81 -0.89 2.92 -4.73 1.15 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.67 0.66 0.661
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.99 1.29 1.26 2.97 1.83 0.14 0.18 -0.02 0.17 -0.12 0.08 -0.72 -1.28 -2.12 -2.10 -1.72 -1.17 -0.95 -1.01 -1.007
EBIT Margin -0.07 -0.33 -0.31 -0.04 -0.06 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.22 0.15 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.170
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.22 0.34 0.48 0.60 0.55 0.59 0.63 0.67 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.84 0.80 0.798
Equity Multiplier 67.98 -0.63 -0.63 -0.63 -1.14 -1.11 -1.11 -1.11 -1.11 -6.12 -6.12 -6.12 -6.12 -4.10 -4.10 -4.10 -4.10 -1.54 -1.54 -1.542
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.61 $-0.27 $0.60 $-1.12 $0.24 $-0.05 $-0.38 $0.80 $-0.17 $-0.41 $-0.90 $-1.30 $-1.07 $-2.10 $-2.02 $-1.64 $-1.41 $-0.99 $-0.90 $-0.90
Book Value/Share $0.21 $-28.96 $-28.78 $-26.77 $-25.02 $-5.77 $-5.03 $-3.72 $-3.85 $-0.27 $-0.34 $-0.33 $-0.33 $-6.59 $-6.39 $-6.19 $-6.25 $-7.64 $-7.21 $-9.97
Tangible Book/Share $-10.49 $-42.50 $-42.24 $-39.28 $-36.72 $-17.06 $-14.88 $-11.00 $-11.38 $-7.78 $-9.71 $-9.51 $-9.40 $-13.77 $-13.35 $-12.95 $-13.06 $-13.16 $-12.42 $-12.42
Revenue/Share $1.85 $3.99 $6.18 $8.19 $8.53 $9.13 $8.63 $6.81 $7.45 $8.18 $10.50 $10.27 $10.15 $9.76 $9.38 $9.08 $9.11 $8.94 $8.00 $8.00
FCF/Share $0.13 $0.46 $0.49 $1.28 $1.25 $1.33 $1.42 $0.95 $1.00 $0.67 $0.60 $0.10 $0.04 $0.16 $0.26 $0.28 $0.42 $0.68 $-0.09 $-0.09
OCF/Share $0.15 $0.55 $0.68 $1.58 $1.78 $1.93 $1.96 $1.35 $1.30 $0.91 $0.86 $0.33 $0.25 $0.35 $0.44 $0.41 $0.53 $0.80 $0.02 $0.02
Cash/Share $0.51 $0.94 $0.94 $0.87 $0.82 $1.19 $1.04 $0.77 $0.80 $0.71 $0.89 $0.87 $0.86 $0.51 $0.49 $0.48 $0.48 $1.30 $1.23 $0.58
EBITDA/Share $-0.03 $-1.05 $-1.50 $0.26 $0.06 $1.52 $1.57 $1.16 $1.58 $1.60 $2.88 $2.11 $1.72 $1.96 $1.85 $1.78 $2.14 $1.91 $1.66 $1.66
Debt/Share $8.25 $5.84 $5.80 $5.40 $5.04 $6.36 $5.54 $4.10 $4.24 $10.46 $13.06 $12.78 $12.64 $11.55 $11.20 $10.86 $10.95 $14.90 $14.06 $14.06
Net Debt/Share $7.74 $4.89 $4.86 $4.52 $4.23 $5.16 $4.50 $3.33 $3.44 $9.75 $12.17 $11.91 $11.77 $11.04 $10.70 $10.38 $10.47 $13.60 $12.83 $12.83
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -1.538
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -6.076
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 4 3 8 7 6 8 6 4 4 5 5 5 3 4 4 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -1.70 -2.28 -2.46 -2.05 -2.41 -2.73 -2.75 -2.68 -2.60 -3.49 -3.54 -3.53 -3.30 -3.95 -3.63 -3.626
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 1.994
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-16.69
EVA snapshot only $16914490.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 15.91 18.13 18.39 12.02 11.78 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 15.09 18.73 14.32 10.80 14.81 13.03 10.82 14.26 15.14 10.41 10.406
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -2.621
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 0

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