— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

NCLH vs GBTG vs MMYT

Comprehensive side-by-side comparison

NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
$15.05
1W -3.4% 1M 4.5% 3M -22.8% YTD -34.0% 1Y -36.2%
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
VS
GBTG
Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
$9.50
1W 0.4% 1M 0.2% 3M 1.2% YTD 26.3% 1Y 16.7%
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
VS
MMYT
MakeMyTrip Limited
$46.59
1W 4.2% 1M -2.6% 3M -12.4% YTD -43.1% 1Y -48.5%
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

% Change Price Overlay

Edge Score (Moat) Comparison

NCLH
37.3
Moat Score
None
Primary: Efficient Scale
ROIC 8.7% · 5Y -4.1%
GBTG
43.0
Moat Score
Weak
Primary: Intangible Assets
ROIC 8.4%
MMYT
45.8
Moat Score
Weak
Primary: Efficient Scale
ROIC 16.4% · 5Y 13.0%

InsiderStreet Scorecard

NCLH
37.8
Overall Score / 100
Grade C
★★☆☆☆
GBTG
42.6
Overall Score / 100
Grade B
★★☆☆☆
MMYT
30.7
Overall Score / 100
Grade B
★★☆☆☆

Financial Rating

NCLH
B+
GBTG
N/A
MMYT
C-

Tech Score

NCLH
Neutral
Opinion: 0.13
Power Rating
55/100
Technical Score
52/100
10 Buy · 6 Neutral · 10 Sell
GBTG
Buy
Opinion: 1.70
Power Rating
58/100
Technical Score
71/100
16 Buy · 5 Neutral · 5 Sell
MMYT
Neutral
Opinion: -0.37
Power Rating
51/100
Technical Score
45/100
10 Buy · 5 Neutral · 11 Sell

Valuation Multiples

MetricNCLHGBTGMMYT

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

NCLH
Intrinsic Value
$17.92
Current Price
$15.05
Price / Value
1.18
Margin of Safety
-17.8%
Fair P/E
10.9
OVERVALUED
GBTG
Intrinsic Value
$1.44
Current Price
$9.50
Price / Value
6.53
Margin of Safety
-553.2%
Fair P/E
8.5
OVERVALUED
MMYT
Intrinsic Value
$13.42
Current Price
$46.59
Price / Value
3.97
Margin of Safety
-297.1%
Fair P/E
38.5
OVERVALUED

Profitability & Margins

MetricNCLHGBTGMMYT

DuPont Decomposition

Risk & Quality Signals

MetricNCLHGBTGMMYT

Growth & Quality

MetricNCLHGBTGMMYT

Returns Comparison

Technical Snapshot

NCLH RSI
GBTG RSI
MMYT RSI
NCLH
ADX16.2
SMA 5015.87
SMA 20019.07
SMA Cross Death
ATR0.61
SqueezeOFF
BB Width12.560
Volume Ratio0.74
% Off 52W High-40.1%
GBTG
ADX51.2
SMA 509.45
SMA 2007.93
SMA Cross Golden
ATR0.02
SqueezeON
BB Width0.600
Volume Ratio0.00
% Off 52W High-0.6%
MMYT
ADX36.1
SMA 5052.17
SMA 20052.56
SMA Cross Death
ATR2.07
SqueezeOFF
BB Width14.300
Volume Ratio1.05
% Off 52W High-49.4%

Analyst Consensus

NCLH
Buy
Avg Target: $21.50
GBTG
Buy
Avg Target: $0.00
MMYT
Buy
Avg Target: $0.00

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms