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Economic Surprises › Australia
Australia -0.5 ▬ vs 1w ago (+0.5)
Australia economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
-0.5
1 Week Ago
+0.5
Releases (90d)
139
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with ASX 200 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (139 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-03-19 Full Time Employment Chg -30.5 3.0 -2.766 Medium -129.05
2026-03-19 Unemployment Rate 4.3 4.1 -1.318 High -92.25
2026-02-19 S&P Global Services PMI 52.2 55.5 -2.687 Medium -65.63
2026-03-19 Employment Change 48.9 20.3 +0.636 High +44.50
2026-02-02 ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM 4.4 -0.1 +5.145 Low +42.43
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.164 Medium +38.40
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.164 Medium +38.40
2026-03-19 Part Time Employment Chg 79.4 7.0 +1.619 Low +37.76
2026-03-03 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.164 Medium +37.52
2026-03-03 Ai Group Construction Index -8.2 3.0 -2.274 Low -36.65
2026-01-22 Unemployment Rate 4.1 4.4 +1.843 High +35.36
2026-02-19 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.0 55.6 -2.862 Low -34.95
2026-03-04 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.042 Medium +34.37
2026-03-12 Consumer Inflation Expectation 5.2 4.2 -1.729 Low -34.30
2026-03-04 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.8 0.6 +0.678 High +33.54
2026-02-11 Home Loans QoQ 10.6 2.0 +1.521 Medium +30.89
2026-02-19 S&P Global Services PMI Flash 52.2 55.5 -1.253 Medium -30.61
2026-03-10 NAB Business Confidence -1.0 3.0 -0.483 High -27.43
2026-02-19 Full Time Employment Chg 50.5 10.0 +1.003 Medium +24.51
2026-01-22 S&P Global Services PMI Flash 56.0 51.5 +1.841 Medium +23.55
2026-03-18 Westpac Leading Index MoM -0.1 0.2 -0.985 Low -22.46
2026-02-19 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.5 52.6 -0.864 Medium -21.10
2026-01-07 CPI 0.3 0.2 -1.409 High -19.11
2026-03-03 Ai Group Industry Index -1.5 -12.0 +0.575 Medium +18.52
2026-03-03 Private House Approvals MoM 1.1 0.2 +1.109 Low +17.87
2026-03-19 Participation Rate 66.9 66.7 +0.759 Low +17.71
2026-02-19 S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 52.0 55.6 -1.413 Low -17.26
2026-03-03 Services PMI 52.4 52.0 +1.036 Low +16.70
2026-03-03 Services PMI 52.4 52.0 +1.036 Low +16.70
2026-03-03 Services PMI 52.4 52.0 +1.036 Low +16.70
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.8 0.7 +0.479 Medium +15.80
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.8 0.7 +0.479 Medium +15.80
2026-02-19 Unemployment Rate 4.1 4.2 +0.643 Medium +15.72
2026-03-03 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.8 0.7 +0.479 Medium +15.44
2026-03-05 Household Spending YoY 4.6 5.2 -0.883 Low -14.91
2026-03-02 Commodity Prices YoY 3.4 1.2 -0.930 Low -14.64
2026-03-09 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index 91.6 89.5 +0.381 Medium +14.11
2026-03-09 Westpac Consumer Confidence Change 1.2 -1.1 +0.249 High +13.85
2026-03-03 Building Permits -7.2 5.5 -0.428 Medium -13.78
2026-02-09 Household Spending MoM -0.4 0.2 -1.322 Low -12.82
2026-02-09 Household Spending YoY 5.0 6.0 -1.276 Low -12.37
2026-03-02 TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM -0.2 0.2 +0.757 Low +11.92
2026-02-18 Westpac Leading Index MoM -0.1 0.2 -0.985 Low -11.76
2026-01-22 S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 55.5 51.3 +1.787 Low +11.43
2026-01-22 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 52.4 51.3 +0.886 Medium +11.33
2026-01-29 Import Prices QoQ 0.9 -0.2 -1.475 Low -11.09
2026-02-25 Construction Work Done QoQ -0.1 0.9 -0.376 Medium -10.57
2026-02-12 Consumer Inflation Expectation 5.0 4.4 -0.990 Low -10.29
2026-01-28 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.5 -1.272 Low -9.34
2026-01-27 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.5 -1.272 Low -9.13
2026-01-19 TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM 1.0 0.2 -1.514 Low -9.04
2026-03-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.0 51.5 -0.553 Low -8.51
2026-03-03 S&P Global Services PMI 52.8 52.2 +0.519 Low +8.37
2026-03-05 Balance of Trade 2.631 3.9 -0.162 High -8.23
2026-01-28 Inflation Rate YoY 3.8 3.6 -0.546 Medium -8.02
2026-01-07 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.4 3.6 +0.824 Medium +7.46
2026-02-25 Inflation Rate YoY 3.8 3.7 -0.265 Medium -7.45
2026-01-07 Inflation Rate YoY 3.4 3.7 +0.796 Medium +7.20
2026-01-12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index 92.9 97.0 -0.686 Medium -6.97
2026-02-03 Ai Group Construction Index 5.2 -15.0 +0.820 Low +6.92
2026-02-02 Commodity Prices YoY 2.6 -4.4 -0.807 Low -6.65
2026-03-03 Net Exports Contribution to GDP -0.1 -0.3 +0.394 Low +6.35
2026-02-19 Part Time Employment Chg -32.7 15.0 -0.498 Low -6.08
2026-02-25 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -5.63
2026-02-25 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -5.63
2026-02-24 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -5.50
2026-02-24 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -5.50
2026-03-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.4 52.0 +0.340 Low +5.48
2026-01-22 Employment Change 65.2 40.0 +0.284 High +5.46
2026-02-27 Private Sector Credit MoM 0.5 0.7 -0.362 Low -5.32
2026-01-29 Import Price Index QoQ 0.9 -0.2 -0.677 Low -5.09
2026-01-30 Producer Price Index QoQ 0.8 1.1 +0.328 Medium +5.05
2026-01-28 Import Price Index QoQ 0.9 -0.2 -0.677 Low -4.97
2026-01-30 Housing Credit MoM 0.7 0.6 +0.645 Low +4.96
2026-01-28 RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ 0.9 0.8 -0.335 Medium -4.92
2026-02-19 Participation Rate 66.7 66.8 -0.379 Low -4.63
2026-03-02 ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM 3.2 -2.3 +0.273 Low +4.31
2026-02-03 Services PMI 55.7 55.5 +0.485 Low +4.10
2026-02-03 Services PMI 55.7 55.5 +0.485 Low +4.10
2026-02-03 Services PMI 55.7 55.5 +0.485 Low +4.10
2026-01-12 Household Spending YoY 6.3 5.7 +0.806 Low +4.09
2026-01-30 Private Sector Credit MoM 0.8 0.6 +0.422 Low +3.25
2026-01-12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Change -1.7 2.6 -0.197 High -3.00
2026-03-05 Household Spending MoM 0.3 0.5 -0.176 Low -2.98
2026-03-02 Company Gross Profits QoQ 5.8 3.6 +0.094 Medium +2.95
2026-01-08 Balance of Trade 2.936 4.9 -0.200 High -2.78
2026-01-21 Westpac Leading Index MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.438 Low -2.74
2026-01-22 Full Time Employment Chg 54.8 30.0 +0.205 Medium +2.62
2026-01-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.6 52.2 -0.654 Low -2.58
2026-01-01 Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI 51.6 52.2 -0.626 Low -2.46
2026-01-22 Participation Rate 66.7 66.8 -0.379 Low -2.42
2026-03-03 Ai Group Manufacturing Index -15.6 -19.0 +0.127 Low +2.05
2026-02-03 S&P Global Services PMI 56.3 56.0 +0.242 Low +2.04
2026-02-11 Investment Lending for Homes 7.9 5.0 +0.087 Medium +1.77
2026-02-11 Investment Lending for Homes 7.9 5.0 +0.087 Medium +1.77
2026-02-09 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index 90.5 90.0 +0.090 Medium +1.75
2026-02-03 Judo Bank Services PMI 56.3 56.0 +0.189 Low +1.59
2026-02-03 Building Permits 0.4 9.8 -0.178 Low -1.50
2026-01-12 Household Spending MoM 1.0 0.6 +0.294 Low +1.49
2026-02-03 Ai Group Industry Index -12.3 -14.0 +0.080 Medium +1.35
2026-02-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 55.7 55.5 +0.159 Low +1.34
2026-01-28 CPI 3.6 3.4 -0.166 Low -1.22
2026-02-19 Employment Change 17.8 20.0 -0.050 Medium -1.21
2026-01-12 ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM -0.5 0.5 -0.229 Low -1.16
2026-01-05 Services PMI 51.0 51.1 -0.264 Low -1.14
2026-03-03 Current Account -21.1 -16.3 -0.066 Low -1.06
2026-03-03 Current Account -21.1 -16.3 -0.066 Low -1.06
2026-02-09 Westpac Consumer Confidence Change -2.6 -2.0 -0.036 High -1.04
2026-01-15 Consumer Inflation Expectation 4.6 4.5 -0.161 Low -0.88
2026-02-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.3 52.4 -0.109 Low -0.88
2026-02-03 Ai Group Manufacturing Index -19.4 -17.0 -0.100 Low -0.85
2026-02-01 Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI 52.3 52.4 -0.104 Low -0.84
2026-01-30 Producer Price Index YoY 3.5 3.3 -0.097 Low -0.74
2026-01-30 Private Sector Credit YoY 7.7 7.4 +0.078 Low +0.60
2026-02-26 Capital Expenditure QoQ -1.7 -2.0 +0.029 Low +0.41
2026-01-05 S&P Global Services PMI 51.1 51.0 +0.089 Low +0.38
2026-01-05 S&P Global Composite PMI 51.0 51.1 -0.086 Low -0.37
2026-02-27 Private Sector Credit YoY 7.7 7.6 +0.025 Low +0.37
2026-01-05 Judo Bank Services PMI 51.1 51.0 +0.069 Low +0.30
2026-02-05 Balance of Trade 3.373 3.3 +0.011 High +0.29
2026-01-22 Part Time Employment Chg 10.4 10.0 +0.006 Low +0.04
2026-01-14 Private House Approvals MoM 1.3 1.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-14 Building Permits 20.2 20.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-02 Interest Rate Decision 3.85 3.85 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-02 Interest Rate Decision 3.85 3.85 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-03 Interest Rate Decision 3.85 3.85 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-03 RBA Interest Rate Decision 3.85 3.85 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-03 Interest Rate Decision 3.85 3.85 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-10 NAB Business Confidence 3.0 3.0 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-10 Building Permits 0.4 0.4 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-10 Private House Approvals MoM 0.4 0.4 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-18 Wage Price Index QoQ 0.8 0.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-18 Wage Price Index YoY 3.4 3.4 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-27 Housing Credit MoM 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-10 Private House Approvals MoM 1.1 1.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-10 Building Permits -15.7 -15.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-17 Interest Rate Decision 4.1 4.1 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-03-17 RBA Interest Rate Decision 4.1 4.1 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-03-17 Interest Rate Decision 4.1 4.1 +0.000 High +0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms