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Economic Surprises › Australia
Australia -0.4 ▲ vs 1w ago (-1.4)
Australia economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
-0.4
1 Week Ago
-1.4
Releases (90d)
154
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with ASX 200 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (154 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-04-22 S&P Global Services PMI 50.3 46.0 +2.661 Medium +69.68
2026-04-22 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.0 49.0 +2.197 Medium +57.53
2026-03-23 S&P Global Services PMI 46.6 54.7 -4.216 Medium -55.19
2026-03-31 Ai Group Construction Index -31.4 -2.0 -6.445 Low -50.75
2026-04-14 NAB Business Confidence -29.0 -6.0 -1.387 High -45.29
2026-05-07 Balance of Trade -1.841 4.25 -0.718 High -39.89
2026-05-19 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index 83.0 79.2 +0.773 Medium +37.76
2026-05-19 Westpac Consumer Confidence Change 3.5 -1.1 +0.503 High +36.83
2026-04-14 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index 80.1 89.0 -1.611 Medium -35.06
2026-04-01 Building Permits MoM 29.7 6.5 +2.078 Medium +33.49
2026-03-19 Full Time Employment Chg -30.5 3.0 -2.787 Medium -33.26
2026-04-22 S&P Global Composite PMI 50.1 46.3 +2.404 Low +31.47
2026-05-05 Household Spending YoY 6.3 5.1 +1.747 Low +30.88
2026-04-07 ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM -3.1 0.1 -3.161 Low -29.26
2026-04-07 ANZ Job Advertisements MoM -3.1 0.1 -2.982 Low -27.60
2026-03-23 S&P Global Composite PMI 47.0 54.5 -4.030 Low -26.38
2026-05-13 Home Loans QoQ -4.3 5.1 -0.606 Medium -25.77
2026-05-04 Private House Approvals MoM 0.9 -0.2 +1.369 Low +23.64
2026-04-14 Westpac Consumer Confidence Change -12.5 -1.8 -0.714 High -23.32
2026-05-01 Producer Price Index QoQ 0.4 0.9 +0.671 Medium +21.61
2026-03-23 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 50.1 51.6 -1.565 Medium -20.48
2026-03-19 Unemployment Rate 4.3 4.1 -1.322 Medium -15.78
2026-04-02 Balance of Trade 5.686 2.6 +0.595 High +14.72
2026-03-31 Ai Group Industry Index -23.6 -10.0 -0.912 Medium -14.37
2026-04-22 Westpac Leading Index MoM -0.1 0.2 -0.987 Low -12.93
2026-04-29 Inflation Rate YoY 4.6 4.8 +0.420 Medium +12.91
2026-04-30 Housing Credit MoM 0.6 0.5 +0.790 Low +12.43
2026-05-13 Investment Lending for Homes -3.0 3.6 -0.277 Medium -11.79
2026-03-03 Building Permits MoM -7.2 5.5 -1.344 Medium -11.08
2026-04-07 Household Spending MoM 0.3 -0.2 +1.172 Low +10.85
2026-03-03 Building Permits YoY -15.7 2.8 -2.598 Low -10.71
2026-02-19 S&P Global Services PMI 52.2 55.5 -1.693 Medium -10.58
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.164 Medium +9.82
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.164 Medium +9.82
2026-03-19 Part Time Employment Chg 79.4 7.0 +1.625 Low +9.70
2026-03-03 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.164 Medium +9.60
2026-04-16 Full Time Employment Chg 52.5 20.0 +0.406 Medium +9.24
2026-03-12 Consumer Inflation Expectation 5.2 4.2 -1.737 Low -8.82
2026-03-04 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.6 2.2 +1.042 Medium +8.79
2026-03-04 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.8 0.6 +0.678 High +8.58
2026-02-19 S&P Global Services PMI Flash 52.2 55.5 -1.253 Medium -7.83
2026-04-16 Consumer Inflation Expectation 5.9 5.4 -0.675 Low -7.70
2026-03-19 Employment Change 48.9 20.3 +0.638 Medium +7.61
2026-03-10 NAB Business Confidence -1.0 3.0 -0.483 High -7.02
2026-05-01 Producer Price Index YoY 3.0 4.1 +0.432 Low +6.97
2026-04-01 Commodity Prices YoY 12.8 4.8 -0.852 Low -6.87
2026-04-16 Part Time Employment Chg -34.6 12.2 -0.603 Low -6.87
2026-04-01 Building Permits YoY 14.0 -12.0 +0.852 Low +6.86
2026-04-29 Inflation Rate MoM 1.1 1.3 +0.221 Medium +6.82
2026-03-03 Ai Group Construction Index -8.2 3.0 -1.637 Low -6.75
2026-04-07 Household Spending YoY 4.6 4.2 +0.707 Low +6.54
2026-02-19 Full Time Employment Chg 50.5 10.0 +1.011 Medium +6.32
2026-02-19 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.0 55.6 -1.896 Low -5.93
2026-03-18 Westpac Leading Index MoM -0.1 0.2 -0.987 Low -5.76
2026-04-07 TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM 1.3 0.5 -0.614 Low -5.68
2026-05-12 NAB Business Confidence -24.0 -32.0 +0.090 High +5.64
2026-02-19 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.5 52.6 -0.864 Medium -5.40
2026-04-30 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.3 51.0 +0.317 Low +4.99
2026-04-30 Import Prices QoQ 0.1 -0.6 -0.316 Low -4.98
2026-03-03 Ai Group Industry Index -1.5 -12.0 +0.587 Medium +4.84
2026-04-29 RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ 0.8 0.9 +0.301 Low +4.64
2026-03-03 Private House Approvals MoM 1.1 0.2 +1.120 Low +4.62
2026-03-19 Participation Rate 66.9 66.7 +0.762 Low +4.54
2026-02-19 S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 52.0 55.6 -1.413 Low -4.42
2026-04-16 Participation Rate 66.8 66.9 -0.380 Low -4.33
2026-03-03 Services PMI 52.4 52.0 +1.036 Low +4.27
2026-03-03 Services PMI 52.4 52.0 +1.036 Low +4.27
2026-03-03 Services PMI 52.4 52.0 +1.036 Low +4.27
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.8 0.7 +0.479 Medium +4.04
2026-03-04 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.8 0.7 +0.479 Medium +4.04
2026-02-19 Unemployment Rate 4.1 4.2 +0.645 Medium +4.03
2026-03-03 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.8 0.7 +0.479 Medium +3.95
2026-05-04 S&P Global Services PMI 50.7 50.3 +0.226 Low +3.91
2026-03-02 Commodity Prices YoY 3.4 1.2 -0.937 Low -3.78
2026-03-05 Household Spending YoY 4.6 5.2 -0.857 Low -3.70
2026-04-29 Inflation Rate YoY 4.1 4.2 +0.240 Low +3.69
2026-03-25 Inflation Rate YoY 3.7 3.8 +0.265 Medium +3.63
2026-03-09 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index 91.6 89.5 +0.378 Medium +3.58
2026-03-09 Westpac Consumer Confidence Change 1.2 -1.1 +0.251 High +3.57
2026-03-03 Building Permits -7.2 5.5 -0.428 Medium -3.53
2026-05-05 Ai Group Construction Index -19.3 -35.0 +0.197 Low +3.48
2026-02-25 Inflation Rate MoM 0.4 0.3 -0.480 Medium -3.44
2026-04-30 Private Sector Credit MoM 0.7 0.6 +0.213 Low +3.36
2026-03-02 TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM -0.2 0.2 +0.767 Low +3.09
2026-05-04 ANZ Job Advertisements MoM -0.8 0.9 -0.176 Low -3.04
2026-05-04 S&P Global Composite PMI 50.4 50.1 +0.175 Low +3.03
2026-05-04 TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM 0.6 1.1 +0.174 Low +3.01
2026-03-31 Ai Group Manufacturing Index -27.9 -18.6 -0.360 Low -2.83
2026-02-25 Construction Work Done QoQ -0.1 0.9 -0.376 Medium -2.70
2026-03-31 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 49.8 50.1 -0.322 Low -2.54
2026-05-05 Ai Group Industry Index -24.4 -27.0 +0.065 Medium +2.28
2026-04-06 S&P Global Composite PMI 46.6 47.0 -0.249 Low -2.25
2026-04-06 S&P Global Services PMI 47.0 46.6 +0.244 Low +2.21
2026-05-04 Building Permits YoY 9.0 13.2 -0.125 Low -2.16
2026-03-05 Balance of Trade 2.631 3.9 -0.163 High -2.11
2026-03-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.0 51.5 -0.523 Low -2.06
2026-04-30 Export Prices QoQ 0.5 1.0 +0.128 Low +2.02
2026-02-25 Inflation Rate YoY 3.8 3.7 -0.272 Medium -1.95
2026-04-06 S&P Global Services PMI 46.3 46.6 -0.183 Low -1.66
2026-05-05 Household Spending MoM 1.6 2.0 -0.094 Low -1.66
2026-03-03 Net Exports Contribution to GDP -0.1 -0.3 +0.394 Low +1.62
2026-02-19 Part Time Employment Chg -32.7 15.0 -0.500 Low -1.56
2026-04-30 Import Price Index QoQ 0.1 0.4 +0.098 Low +1.54
2026-02-25 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -1.44
2026-02-25 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -1.44
2026-02-24 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -1.41
2026-02-24 Monthly CPI Indicator 3.8 3.7 -0.401 Low -1.41
2026-02-27 Private Sector Credit MoM 0.5 0.7 -0.366 Low -1.38
2026-03-03 S&P Global Services PMI 52.8 52.2 +0.327 Low +1.35
2026-05-04 Building Permits MoM -10.5 -9.9 -0.035 Medium -1.22
2026-02-19 Participation Rate 66.7 66.8 -0.380 Low -1.19
2026-04-30 Private Sector Credit YoY 8.1 7.8 +0.075 Low +1.18
2026-04-16 Employment Change 17.9 20.0 -0.048 Medium -1.08
2026-05-01 Commodity Prices YoY 15.7 18.0 +0.065 Low +1.05
2026-03-02 ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM 3.2 -2.3 +0.236 Low +0.95
2026-03-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.4 52.0 +0.225 Low +0.93
2026-03-02 ANZ Job Advertisements MoM 3.2 -2.3 +0.223 Low +0.90
2026-05-05 Ai Group Manufacturing Index -27.9 -30.0 +0.050 Low +0.89
2026-03-05 Household Spending MoM 0.3 0.5 -0.187 Low -0.81
2026-03-02 Company Gross Profits QoQ 5.8 3.6 +0.094 Medium +0.75
2026-04-01 Private House Approvals MoM 0.2 0.3 -0.083 Low -0.67
2026-03-03 Ai Group Manufacturing Index -15.6 -19.0 +0.129 Low +0.53
2026-02-19 Employment Change 17.8 20.0 -0.050 Medium -0.31
2026-02-26 Capital Expenditure QoQ 2.3 1.6 +0.084 Low +0.31
2026-03-03 Current Account -21.1 -16.3 -0.066 Low -0.27
2026-03-03 Current Account -21.1 -16.3 -0.066 Low -0.27
2026-03-31 Private Sector Credit YoY 7.8 7.7 +0.025 Low +0.20
2026-04-29 CPI 102.44 102.7 +0.008 Low +0.13
2026-02-27 Private Sector Credit YoY 7.7 7.6 +0.026 Low +0.10
2026-03-25 CPI 101.31 101.4 +0.003 Low +0.02
2026-02-27 Housing Credit MoM 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-10 Building Permits MoM -7.2 -7.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-10 Building Permits -15.7 -15.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-10 Private House Approvals MoM 1.1 1.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-10 Building Permits YoY -15.7 -15.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-17 Interest Rate Decision 4.1 4.1 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-03-17 Interest Rate Decision 4.1 4.1 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-03-17 RBA Interest Rate Decision 4.1 4.1 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-03-31 Housing Credit MoM 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-31 Private Sector Credit MoM 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-31 Private Sector Credit MoM 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-10 Private House Approvals MoM 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-10 Building Permits YoY 14.0 14.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-10 Building Permits MoM 29.7 29.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-16 Unemployment Rate 4.3 4.3 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-04-29 RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY 3.5 3.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-29 Consumer Price Index 1.4 1.4 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-04-29 Inflation Rate QoQ 1.4 1.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-05 Interest Rate Decision 4.35 4.35 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-05-11 Building Permits YoY 9.0 9.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-05-11 Building Permits MoM -10.5 -10.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-05-11 Private House Approvals MoM 0.9 0.9 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-05-13 Wage Price Index YoY 3.3 3.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-05-13 Wage Price Index QoQ 0.8 0.8 +0.000 Low +0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms